Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Townhall.com (R) Wisconsin 2016 Presidential Survey

Gravis Marketing/Townhall.com (R) Wisconsin 2016 Presidential Poll 

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (47%)
• Paul Ryan (R) 46% (48%)
• Unsure 8% (6%)

Survey of 908 likely voters was conducted September 22-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 34% (35%) Democrat; 33% (33%) Republican; 33% (32%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 2, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Townhall.com (R) Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing/Townhall.com (R) Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Poll 

• Mary Burke (D) 50% [47%] (44%)
• Scott Walker (R) 45% [47%] (49%)
• Unsure 4% [6%] (7%) 

Survey of 908 likely voters was conducted September 22-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 34% [35%] (37%) Democrat; 33% [33%] (33%) Republican; 33% [32%] (30%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: American Research Group New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

ARG New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 53% (50%)
• Scott Brown (R) 43% (45%)
• Undecided 4% (5%)

Among Men

• Scott Brown (R) 49%
• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 46%
• Undecided 5%

Among Women

• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 59% 
• Scott Brown (R) 38%
• Undecided 3%

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted September 27-29, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 35% Republican; 32% Democrat; 33% Undeclared. Results from the poll conducted September 12-15, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

• Kay Hagan (D) 50% {43%} [47%] (41%)
• Thom Tillis (R) 43% {45%} [43%] (46%)
• Undecided 6% {10%} [9%] (12%)

Survey of 600 registered voters was conducted September 25-28, 2014 by National Research Inc.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 28-29, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 18-19 and 22, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {44%} [45%] (50%)
• Jeb Bush (R) 43% {39%} [41%] (36%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {45%} [45%] (43%)
• Chris Christie (R) 41% {39%} [39%] (36%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {46%} [46%]
• Mike Huckabee (R) 42% {42%} [42%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {46%} [47%] (48%)
• Rand Paul (R) 42% {42%} [42%] (37%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {47%}
• Ted Cruz (R) 39% {40%}

Among Independents

• Jeb Bush (R) 41% {43%} [42%] (32%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {31%} [36%] (47%)

• Chris Christie (R) 41% {43%} [39%] (34%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 37% {35%} [35%] (29%)

• Mike Huckabee (R) 41% {48%} [48%]  
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {36%} [32%]

• Rand Paul (R) 47% {51%} [45%] (32%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {35%} [37%] (42%)

• Ted Cruz (R) 39% {45%}
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {37%}

Among Moderates

• Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {49%} [51%] (65%)
• Jeb Bush (R) 28% {25%} [28%] (18%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 55% {51%} [53%] (52%)
• Chris Christie (R) 30% {29%} [28%] (25%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 56% {55%} [52%]
• Mike Huckabee (R) 26% {28%} [28%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 60% {55%} [56%] (61%)
• Rand Paul (R) 25% {26%} [27%] (20%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 60% {54%}
• Ted Cruz (R) 21% {23%}

Among Men

• Jeb Bush (R) 44% {47%} [48%] (42%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 38% {35%} [37%] (47%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {37%} [38%] (38%)
• Chris Christie (R) 40% {46%} [44%] (43%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {40%} [39%]
• Mike Huckabee (R) 43% {50%} [50%]  

• Rand Paul (R) 47% {50%} [49%] (42%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {40%} [41%] (45%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {41%}
• Ted Cruz (R) 42% {48%}

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {52%} [53%] (53%)
• Jeb Bush (R) 42% {33%} [35%] (31%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {52%} [51%] (47%)
• Chris Christie (R) 41% {32%} [33%] (31%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {53%} [53%]
• Mike Huckabee (R) 41% {36%} [36%] 

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {53%} [53%] (51%)
• Rand Paul (R) 38% {34%} [34%] (33%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {52%}
• Ted Cruz (R) 36% {32%} 

Survey of 1,192 likely voters was conducted September 25-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 36% {34%} [31%] (37%) Republican; 35% {38%} [37%] (38%) Democrat; 29% {28%} [32%] (25%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 33% {27%} [30%] (32%) Moderate; 21% {22%} [24%] (21%) Somewhat conservative; 18% {19%} [14%] (18%) Very conservative; 17% {18%} [22%] (19%) Somewhat liberal; 12% {14%} [10%] (9%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2014 Senate Poll

The candidates for U.S. Senate are Democrat Bruce Braley, Republican Joni Ernst, Libertarian Douglas Butzier, Bob Quast, Ruth Smith, and independent Rick Stewart. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

• Joni Ernst (R) 44% {40%}
• Bruce Braley (D) 42% {41%}
• Douglas Butzier (L) 2% {2%} 
• Rick Stewart (I) 1% {2%}
• Bob Quast 1% {0%}
• Ruth Smith 0% {1%}
• Undecided 10% {14%}

Horse race, with third-party supporters asked if they lean Braley or Ernst

• Joni Ernst (R) 45% {42%} [39%] (35%)
• Bruce Braley (D) 43% {42%} [45%] (41%)
• Not sure 12% {16%} [16%] (23%)

Among Men

• Joni Ernst (R) 48% {50%} [48%] (43%)
• Bruce Braley (D) 43% {40%} [39%] (41%)
• Not sure 9% {9%} [12%] (16%)

Among Women

• Bruce Braley (D) 44% {44%} [50%] (42%)
• Joni Ernst (R) 42% {35%} [31%] (28%)
• Not sure 15% {21%} [20%] (30%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Joni Ernst 42% {36%} [27%] (9%) / 46% {46%} [32%] (12%) {-4%}
• Bruce Braley 37% {37%} [29%] (31%) / 44% {41%} [29%] (25%) {-7%}

Survey of 1,192 likely voters was conducted September 25-28, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 36% {34%} [34%] (31%) Republican; 35% {35%} [38%] (37%) Democrat; 29% {31%} [28%] (32%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 33% {29%} [27%] (30%) Moderate; 21% {23%} [22%] (24%) Somewhat conservative; 18% {17%} [19%] (14%) Very conservative; 17% {20%} [18%] (22%) Somewhat liberal; 12% {11%} [14%] (10%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 22-24, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Louisiana 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Louisiana 2016 Presidential Poll 

• Jeb Bush (R) 49% (46%) {50%} [44%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (45%) {43%} [44%]

• Mike Huckabee (R) 50% (46%) {49%}
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (45%) {44%}

• Rand Paul (R) 47% (46%) {47%} [45%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (46%) {43%} [44%] 
  

• Ted Cruz (R) 47% (45%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (46%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (48%) {45%} [47%] (48%)
• Bobby Jindal (R) 45% (44%) {47%} [40%] (45%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (46%) {43%} [42%]
• Chris Christie (R) 42% (42%) {44%} [41%]

Among Men

• Jeb Bush (R) 52% (47%) {52%} [49%] 
• Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (42%) {39%} [37%]

• Mike Huckabee (R) 55% (53%) {54%} 
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (39%) {40%}

• Rand Paul (R) 54% (52%) {51%} [51%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (41%) {39%} [37%]

• Ted Cruz (R) 55% (53%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (41%)

• Bobby Jindal (R) 49% (49%) {50%} [44%] (54%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (42%) {43%} [42%] (40%)

• Chris Christie (R) 45% (48%) {51%} [44%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (40%) {36%} [35%]

Among Women 

• Jeb Bush (R) 45% (45%) {48%} [39%] 
• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (48%) {45%} [52%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (50%) {46%}
• Mike Huckabee (R) 45% (40%) {45%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (50%) {46%} [51%]
• Rand Paul (R) 42% (40%) {44%} [39%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (50%) 
• Ted Cruz (R) 40% (39%) 

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (53%) {47%} [53%] (56%)
• Bobby Jindal (R) 41% (39%) {44%} [36%] (36%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (51%) {48%} [49%]
• Chris Christie (R) 38% (37%) {39%} [37%]

Do you think Bobby Jindal should run for President in 2016, or not?

• He should run 20% (17%) {25%} [17%] (24%)
• He should not 68% (72%) {63%} [72%] (66%)

Survey of 1,141 likely voters was conducted September 25-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 43% (44%) {42%} [45%] (43%) Democrat; 39% (36%) {38%} [36%] (39%) Republican; 19% (20%) {20%} [18%] (17%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 28% (29%) {32%} [27%] (28%) Moderate; 24% (24%) {25%} [31%] (22%) Somewhat conservative; 24% (22%) {21%} [22%] (26%) Very conservative; 14% (17%) {13%} [12%] (12%) Somewhat liberal; 10% (7%) {9%} [9%] (12%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 26-29, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-12, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Louisiana 2014 Senate Poll

• Bill Cassidy (R) 48% [47%] (44%) {41%} [40%] (40%)
• Mary Landrieu (D) 45% [47%] (45%) {48%} [50%] (50%)
• Undecided 7% [6%] (10%) {11%} [10%] (10%)

Among Men

• Bill Cassidy (R) 52% [53%] (48%) {51%} [43%] (50%)
• Mary Landrieu (D) 44% [43%] (47%) {41%} [46%] (42%)
• Undecided 4% [4%] (6%) {9%} [12%] (8%)

Among Women

• Mary Landrieu (D) 46% [50%] (44%) {54%} [55%] (57%)
• Bill Cassidy (R) 44% [42%] (42%) {33%} [36%] (31%)
• Undecided 10% [8%] (15%) {14%} [9%] (12%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Bill Cassidy 37% [28%] (24%) [24%] (19%) / 41% [36%] (26%) [27%] (24%) {-4%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mary Landrieu's job performance?

• Approve 42% [42%] (37%) [46%] (47%)
• Disapprove 52% [52%] (52%) [43%] (45%)

Survey of 1,141 likely voters was conducted September 25-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 43% [44%] (42%) {44%} [45%] (43%) Democrat; 39% [36%] (38%) {36%} [36%] (39%) Republican; 19% [20%] (20%) {20%} [18%] (17%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 28% [29%] (32%) [27%] (28%) Moderate; 24% [24%] (25%) [31%] (22%) Somewhat conservative; 24% [22%] (21%) [22%] (26%) Very conservative; 14% [17%] (13%) [12%] (12%) Somewhat liberal; 10% [7%] (9%) [9%] (12%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted June 26-29, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 14-15, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-12, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Nielson Brothers South Dakota 2014 Senatorial Survey

Nielson Brothers South Dakota 2014 Senate Poll

• Mike Rounds (R) 39%
• Rick Weiland (D) 26%
• Larry Pressler (I) 24%
• Gordon Howie (I) 4%
• Undecided 7%

Survey of 647 likely voters was conducted September 21-25, 2014, and sponsored in part by Northern Plains News.  The margin of error is +/- 3.24 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

CNN/ORC Louisiana 2014 Senate Poll 

If the general election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were the Democrat, Mary Landrieu, and the Republicans, Bill Cassidy and Rob Maness, who would you be more likely to vote for?

• Mary Landrieu (D) 43%
• Bill Cassidy (R) 40%
• Rob Maness (R) 9%

If no candidate gets more than fifty percent of the vote in November, Louisiana will hold a run-off election for U.S. Senate in December between the two candidates with the most votes in November. 2. If that run-off election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were Mary Landrieu, the Democrat, and Bill Cassidy, the Republican, who would you be more likely to vote for?

• Bill Cassidy (R) 50%
• Mary Landrieu (D) 47%

Among Men

• Bill Cassidy (R) 51%
• Mary Landrieu (D) 45%

Among Women

• Bill Cassidy (R) 49%
• Mary Landrieu (D) 48%

Survey of 610 likely Louisiana voters was conducted September 22-25, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID : 33% Republican; 31% Democrat; 36% Independent.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

CNN/ORC North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

• Kay Hagan (D) 46%
• Thom Tillis (R) 43%
• Sean Haugh (L) 7%

Among Men

• Thom Tillis (R) 46%
• Kay Hagan (D) 42%
• Sean Haugh (L) 8%

Among Women

• Kay Hagan (D) 49%
• Thom Tillis (R) 40%
• Sean Haugh (L) 5%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Thom Tillis 47% / 40% {+7%}
• Kay Hagan 46% / 47% {-1%}

Survey of 595 likely voters was conducted September 22-25, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 34% Democrat; 30% Republican; 36% Independent.

Poll Watch: UNH/Portland Press Herald Maine 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

UNH/Portland Press Herald Maine 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Mike Michaud (D) 40% (40%)
• Paul LePage (R) 38% (36%)
• Eliot Cutler (I) 12% (15%)

Survey of 482 likely voters was conducted September 18-25, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 12-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. Iowa 2014 Senate Poll 

• Joni Ernst (R) 44% 
• Bruce Braley (D) 38%
• Undecided 12%

Among Men

• Joni Ernst (R) 55% 
• Bruce Braley (D) 30%

Among Women

• Bruce Braley (D) 46%
• Joni Ernst (R) 33% 

Survey of 546 likely voters was conducted September 21-24, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll

• Tom Cotton (R) 47% {43%} [47%] (45%)
• Mark Pryor (D) 40% {44%} [43%] (40%)
• Some other candidate 5% {6%} [4%] (5%)
• Undecided 8% {6%} [6%] (10%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted September 24-25, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 25-26, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 27-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Dittman Research (R) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

Dittman Research (R) Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

• Dan Sullivan (R) 49%
• Mark Begich (D) 43%
• Undecided 4%

Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted September 14-17, 2014 for the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Inside the numbers: 

Also worrisome for Begich is that Sullivan has a 12-point lead among those who say they are “extremely” interested in the election.

In a generic question, 54 percent of the voters think it’s time to give someone another chance at the job, 32 percent approve of Obama and 69 percent of the voters think the country is on the “wrong track.”

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Virginia 2014 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Virginia 2014 Senate Poll

• Mark Warner (D) 48% (46%)
• Ed Gillespie (R) 39% (31%)
• Robert Sarvis (L) 6% (6%)

Among Independents

• Ed Gillespie (R) 43% (30%)
  
• Mark Warner (D) 41% (39%)
• Robert Sarvis (L) 9% (11%)

Among Men

• Mark Warner (D) 46% (41%)
• Ed Gillespie (R) 41% (37%)
• Robert Sarvis (L) 9% (8%)

Among Women

• Mark Warner (D) 50% (50%)
• Ed Gillespie (R) 37% (27%)
• Robert Sarvis (L) 3% (6%)

Recalculated match-up, asking Sarvis voters: Who is your second choice?

• Mark Warner (D) 50%
• Ed Gillespie (R) 41%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mark Warner 52% (49%) / 34% (30%) {+18%}
• Ed Gillespie 34% (20%) / 26% (14%) {+8%}
• Robert Sarvis 10% (8%) / 11% (11%) {-1%}

Survey of 1,010 likely voters was conducted September 17-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 30% (33%) Democrat; 28% (24%) Republican; 34% (35%) Independent; 9% (8%) Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted March 19-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

• Cory Gardner (R) 47% (43%) {43%} [45%] (40%)
• Mark Udall (D) 45% (44%) {47%} [47%] (42%)

Among Independents

• Cory Gardner (R) 44% (45%) {45%} [43%] (38%)
• Mark Udall (D) 44% (38%) {43%} [43%] (30%)

Among Men

• Cory Gardner (R) 54% (53%) {48%} [50%] (45%)
• Mark Udall (D) 38% (38%) {43%} [44%] (42%)

Among Women

• Mark Udall (D) 51% (49%) {51%} [49%] (43%)
• Cory Gardner (R) 41% (35%) {39%} [40%] (36%) 

Survey of 652 likely voters was conducted September 19-21, 2014 on behalf of Americans for Tax Fairness. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 34% (35%) {36%} [36%] (33%) Democrat; 33% (34%) {31%} [32%] (34%) Republican; 34% (31%) {33%} [32%] (33%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 7-8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 17-20, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-16, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

• Dan Sullivan (R) 48% [47%] (44%)
• Mark Begich (D) 43% [45%] (44%) 
• Some other candidate 5% [3%]
• Undecided 4% [4%]

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted September 23-24, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 20-21, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 19-20, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Arkansas 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University Arkansas 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 70.81%
• Joe Biden 7.66%
• Andrew Cuomo 5.26%
• Elizabeth Warren 3.35%
• Martin O'Malley 2.39% 
• Other 0.48%
• Undecided 9.57%

Survey of 209 Democratic primary voters was conducted September 20-23, 2014.

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Arkansas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University Arkansas 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Mike Huckabee 39.27%
• Rick Perry 8.38%
• Ted Cruz 7.33%
• Rand Paul 6.28%
• Chris Christie 4.71%
• Jeb Bush 4.71%
• Marco Rubio 4.71%
• Paul Ryan 3.14%
• Bobby Jindal 2.62%
• Rick Santorum 2.09%
• Scott Walker 1.57%
• Jon Huntsman 1.57%
• John Kasich 1.05%
• Other 2.09%
• Undecided 10.47%

Survey of 171 GOP primary voters was conducted September 20-23, 2014.

Poll Watch: New England College New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

New England College New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 50.1% (51.0%)
• Scott Brown (R) 42.8% (40.2%)
• Another candidate 4.0% (4.5%)
• Not sure 3.2% (4.2%)

Among Men

• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 48.0%
• Scott Brown (R) 45.4%
• Another candidate 4.0%
• Not sure 2.6%

Among Women

• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 52.2%
• Scott Brown (R) 40.2%
• Another candidate 3.9%
• Not sure 3.8%

Survey of 1,494 likely voters was conducted September 19,-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll 

• Mark Pryor (D) 44.8%
• Tom Cotton (R) 43.0%
• Nathan LaFrance (L) 2.8%
• Mark Swaney (G) 2.6%
• Undecided 6.6%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mark Pryor 43.8% / 46.6% {-2.8%}
• Tom Cotton 38.6% / 43.0% {-4.4%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Mark Pryor is doing as U.S. Senator?

• Approve 38.4%
• Disapprove 49.0%

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 20-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 35.4% Democrat; 31.0% Republican; 27.6% Independent/Unaffiliated; 5.2% Libertarian; 0.8% Green.

Poll Watch: Roanoke College Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

Roanoke College Virginia 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [44%] (48%)
• Chris Christie (R) 37% [34%] (40%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [47%] (51%)
• Paul Ryan (R) 37% [38%] (40%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [47%] (52%)
• Rand Paul (R) 35% [37%] (38%)

Survey of 630 registered voters was conducted September 13-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% [35%] (29%) Democrat; 28% [27%] (24%) Republican; 18% [28%] (47%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted July 14-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 22-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Georgia 2014 Senate Poll

• David Perdue (R) 46% {47%} [50%] (43%)
• Michelle Nunn (D) 45% {44%} [41%] (38%)
• Amanda Swafford (L) 4% {5%} [3%] (6%)
• Undecided 6% {4%} [6%] (14%)

Among Men

• David Perdue (R) 50% {55%} [56%] (50%)
• Michelle Nunn (D) 40% {36%} [37%] (33%)
• Amanda Swafford (L) 4% {6%} [2%] (6%)
• Undecided 6% {3%} [4%] (11%)

Among Women

• Michelle Nunn (D) 49% {52%} [46%] (44%)
• David Perdue (R) 41% {40%} [44%] (35%)
• Amanda Swafford (L) 4% {3%} [3%] (5%)
• Undecided 6% {4%} [7%] (16%)

Survey of 550 likely voters was conducted September 19-22, 2014 for WXIA-TV Atlanta.  The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.  Party ID: 38% {37%} [40%] (38%) Republican; 37% {40%} [38%] (35%) Democrat; 23% {23%} [21%] (25%) Independent.  Ideology: 41% {36%} [38%] (38%) Moderate; 36% {42%} [44%] (40%) Conservative; 17% {17%} [13%] (15%) Liberal.  Gender: 50% {51%} [48%] (47%) Female; 50% {49%} [52%] (53%) Male.  Race: 63% {62%} [63%] (65%) White; 27% {29%} [26%] (24%) Black; 7% {6%} [7%] (7%) Hispanic. Results from the poll conducted September 5-8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 3-5, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press NJ Poll on Gov. Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?

• Approve 46% {49%} [51%] (49%) {58%} [65%] (63%) {65%} [70%] (69%) {55%} [53%] (50%) {55%} [55%] (50%) {46%} [49%] (44%) {45%} [42%] (31%)
• Disapprove 42% {43%} [43%] (46%) {35%} [27%] (24%) {26%} [16%] (22%) {36%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [37%] (41%) {49%} [41%] (40%) {43%} [44%] (15%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 35% {37%} [34%] (31%) {38%} [47%] (47%) {52%} [58%] (57%) {30%} [26%] (33%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {22%} [27%] (22%) {23%} [19%] (21%)
• Disapprove 53% {54%} [59%] (64%) {52%} [45%] (37%) {39%} [26%] (30%) {57%} [60%] (55%) {56%} [59%] (55%) {72%} [61%] (58%) {65%} [68%] (24%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 68% {76%} [84%] (77%) {89%} [85%] (89%) {86%} [88%] (85%) {90%} [82%] (74%) {79%} [84%] (78%) {75%} [80%] (71%) {80%} [65%] (52%)
• Disapprove 22% {23%} [14%] (20%) {7%} [9%] (7%) {10%} [7%] (7%) {4%} [10%] (18%) {16%} [12%] (15%) {24%} [14%] (22%) {14%} [19%] (4%)

Among Independents

• Approve 45% {50%} [55%] (54%) {62%} [73%] (64%) {64%} [71%] (68%) {55%} [57%] (54%) {55%} [58%] (44%) {53%} [49%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (35%)
• Disapprove 35% {39%} [36%] (38%) {30%} [17%] (21%) {24%} [14%] (20%) {34%} [31%] (28%) {34%} [34%] (46%) {41%} [38%] (31%) {41%} [34%] (13%)

Among Men 

• Approve 51% {53%} [56%] (55%) {62%} [70%] (62%) {61%} [69%] (68%) {61%} [58%] (59%) {56%} [54%] (52%)
• Disapprove 36% {38%} [38%] (41%) {28%} [20%] (23%) {27%} [18%] (19%) {31%} [32%] (28%) {33%} [36%] (37%)

Among Women

• Approve 41% {47%} [47%] (46%) {57%} [61%] (61%) {65%} [70%] (66%) {47%} [45%] (43%) {48%} [53%] (45%)
  
• Disapprove 42% {45%} [42%] (47%) {36%} [30%] (25%) {26%} [16%] (23%) {40%} [40%] (42%) {42%} [40%] (48%)

Survey of 680 registered voters was conducted September 17-21, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% {37%} [38%] (38%) {38%} [37%] (37%) {39%} [37%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) {35%} [35%] (35%) {38%} [40%] Democrat; 21% {21%} [21%] (22%) {22%} [24%] (23%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {24%} [23%] (23%) {23%} [20%] (22%) {21%} [22%] (22%) {22%} [22%] Republican; 43% {42%} [41%] (40%) {40%} [39%] (40%) {38%} [40%] (40%) {41%} [43%] (40%) {41%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (43%) {40%} [38%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted June 25-29, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 30 - April 1, 2014 are in square brackets. February 19-23, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 10-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-8, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 6-10, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 6-10, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 29 - December 2, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 18-22, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 11-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-9, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 2-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-19, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27-31, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Charlie Crist the Democrat, Rick Scott the Republican and Adrian Wyllie the Libertarian, for whom would you vote?

• Rick Scott (R) 44% {37%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 42% {39%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 8% {9%}

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 83% {73%}
• Rick Scott (R) 7% {9%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% {6%}

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 80% {74%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 11% {9%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 7% {5%}

Among Independents

• Rick Scott (R) 44% {34%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 37% {36%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 11% {12%}

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 48% {45%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 40% {32%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 8% {9%}

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 43% {45%}
• Rick Scott (R) 41% {30%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 8% {8%}

Recalculated match-up, asking Wyllie voters: Who is your second choice?

• Rick Scott (R) 46% {40%} [38%] (38%) {40%} [37%] (34%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 44% {45%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [47%] (50%)
  

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 86% {78%} [82%] (81%) {86%} [83%] (81%)
• Rick Scott (R) 8% {10%} [9%] (6%) {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 81% {79%} [79%] (79%) {80%} [75%] (76%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 14% {12%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [13%] (16%)

Among Independents

• Rick Scott (R) 47% {38%} [34%] (32%) {41%} [33%] (29%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 39% {45%} [48%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (49%)

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 50% {48%} [43%] (42%) {46%} [43%] (39%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 43% {39%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (49%)  

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 46% {49%} [51%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (51%)
• Rick Scott (R) 43% {34%} [33%] (34%) {34%} [32%] (29%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Scott 42% {40%} [39%] (38%) {39%} [40%] (33%) / 48% {45%} [46%] (45%) {42%} [42%] (46%) {-6%}
• Charlie Crist 41% {40%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [48%] (49%) / 49% {42%} [36%] (35%) {39%} [31%] (30%) {-8%}

Would you say that Charlie Crist is honest and trustworthy or not?

• Yes 37% {39%} [45%]
• No 49% {48%} [43%]

Would you say that Rick Scott is honest and trustworthy or not?

• Yes 39% {40%} [38%]
• No 51% {51%} [51%]

Would you say that Charlie Crist cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 46% {44%} [48%]
• No 45% {47%} [42%]

Would you say that Rick Scott cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 42% {41%} [38%]
• No 50% {52%} [55%]

Would you say that Charlie Crist has strong leadership qualities or not?

• Yes 46% {49%} [55%]
• No 44% {43%} [37%]

Would you say that Rick Scott has strong leadership qualities or not?

• Yes 58% {54%} [49%]
• No 34% {38%} [44%]

Survey of 991 likely voters was conducted September 17-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 32% {28%} [25%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 30% {31%} [31%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 31% {32%} [34%] (35%) {32%} [30%] (31%) Independent; 7% {9%} [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Rick Scott (R) 43% (44%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {45%} [40%] (45%) {42%} [40%] (42%) {41%} [41%] (41%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 42% (39%) {44%} [45%] (41%) {43%} [46%] (43%) {41%} [44%] (40%) {44%} [44%] (46%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 4% (7%) {3%} [4%] (4%)

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 78% (76%) {78%} [78%] (76%) {78%} [82%] (79%) {75%} [82%] (77%) {80%} (80%)
• Rick Scott (R) 10% (11%) {12%} [11%] (13%) {13%} [9%] (10%) {11%} [6%] (8%) {10%} (13%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 2% (4%) {4%} [3%] (1%)

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 79% (76%) {79%} [75%] (79%) {80%} [73%] (79%) {77%} [75%] (80%) {74%} (71%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 10% (11%) {14%} [19%] (12%) {14%} [16%] (13%) {12%} [13%] (7%) {14%} (14%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% (9%) {2%} [4%] (2%)

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (D) 39% (31%) {41%} [37%] (37%) {33%} [37%] (35%) {32%} [35%] (31%) {36%} (40%)
• Rick Scott (R) 34% (44%) {41%} [40%] (30%) {45%} [39%] (47%) {40%} [39%] (39%) {41%} (43%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 7% (9%) {1%} [7%] (12%)

Among Moderates

• Charlie Crist (D) 53% (52%) {55%} [53%] (52%) {54%} [54%] (51%) {52%} [47%] (46%) {55%} (57%)
• Rick Scott (R) 31% (32%) {35%} [34%] (29%) {33%} [32%] (38%) {28%} [31%] (34%) {30%} (33%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 4% (9%) {3%} [3%] (4%)

Among Men

• Charlie Crist (D) 43% (35%) {40%} [43%] (40%) {41%} [43%] (40%) {36%} [39%] (35%) {37%} (47%)
• Rick Scott (R) 42% (47%) {50%} [45%] (43%) {50%} [42%] (47%) {49%} [45%] (49%) {49%} (41%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 5% (9%) {2%} [5%] (6%)

Among Women

• Rick Scott (R) 44% (41%) {41%} [41%] (44%) {41%} [38%] (43%) {35%} [34%] (35%) {33%} (42%) 
• Charlie Crist (D) 41% (43%) {48%} [47%] (41%) {45%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [50%] (47%) {50%} (46%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 3% (5%) {4%} [4%] (3%)

Survey of 588 likely voters was conducted September 19-22, 2014 for WFLA-TV.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 40% (41%) {40%} [41%] (40%) {37%} [38%] (37%) {37%} [38%] (37%) {37%} (34%) Republican; 39% (37%) {39%} [37%] (35%) {38%} [37%] (38%) {40%} [38%] (39%) {37%} (38%) Democrat; 20% (21%) {20%} [21%] (24%) {24%} [24%] (24%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {26%} (27%) Independent. Ideology: 42% (40%) {43%} [41%] (45%) {43%} [44%] (42%) {49%} [41%] (41%) {42%} (45%) Moderate; 34% (36%) {35%} [35%] (34%) {34%} [34%] (33%) {30%} [35%] (34%) {34%} (32%) Conservative; 19% (19%) {18%} [19%] (16%) {20%} [17%] (21%) {17%} [20%] (21%) {19%} (20%) Liberal. Gender: 51% (52%) {51%} [50%] (47%) {51%} [52%] (49%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {49%} (48%) Female; 49% (48%) {49%} [50%] (53%) {49%} [48%] (51%) {51%} [53%] (53%) {51%} (52%) Male. Results from the poll conducted September 12-15, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 5-8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 27-28, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 15-18, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 4, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 2, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 20-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 5-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll released April 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arkansas 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Arkansas 2016 Presidential Poll

• Mike Huckabee (R) 53% [55%] (47%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41% [39%] (44%)

• Jeb Bush (R) 46% [46%] (41%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [41%] (46%)

• Rand Paul (R) 45% [45%] (42%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [42%] (48%)

• Ted Cruz (R) 44% [46%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [42%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [41%] (47%)
• Chris Christie (R) 41% [42%] (38%)

Among Independents

• Mike Huckabee (R) 62% [60%] (56%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 24% [29%] (31%)

• Jeb Bush (R) 55% [46%] (44%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 23% [31%] (33%)

• Rand Paul (R) 55% [50%] (51%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 24% [30%] (35%)

• Ted Cruz (R) 53% [49%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 26% [32%]

• Chris Christie (R) 45% [42%] (44%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 28% [32%] (33%)

Among Moderates

• Hillary Clinton (D) 62% [52%] (58%)
• Mike Huckabee (R) 33% [38%] (30%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 60% [54%] (64%)
• Jeb Bush (R) 27% [29%] (23%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 63% [57%] (66%)
• Rand Paul (R) 25% [23%] (24%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 65% [57%]
• Ted Cruz (R) 23% [26%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 63% [55%] (60%)
• Chris Christie (R) 25% [24%] (27%)

Among Men

• Mike Huckabee (R) 58% [59%] (50%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 37% [35%] (38%)

• Jeb Bush (R) 54% [51%] (44%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 34% [36%] (38%)

• Rand Paul (R) 53% [49%] (47%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [38%] (43%)

• Ted Cruz (R) 52% [51%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [39%]

• Chris Christie (R) 47% [48%] (41%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [37%] (40%)

Among Women

• Mike Huckabee (R) 48% [51%] (46%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [43%] (50%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [45%] (52%)
• Jeb Bush (R) 38% [42%] (38%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [45%] (52%)
• Rand Paul (R) 37% [41%] (38%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [45%]
• Ted Cruz (R) 37% [40%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [45%] (52%)
• Chris Christie (R) 36% [37%] (36%)

Do you think Mike Huckabee should run for President in 2016, or not?

• Think he should run 45% [42%] (39%)
• Think he should not 43% [45%] (46%)
• Not sure 13% [13%] (15%) 

Survey of 1,453 likely voters was conducted September 18-21, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points. Party ID: 39% [35%] (41%) Democrat; 31% [34%] (27%) Republican; 30% [31%] (32%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 27% [27%] (23%) Somewhat conservative; 26% [28%] (28%) Moderate; 22% [22%] (23%) Very conservative; 13% [14%] (16%) Somewhat liberal; 11% [10%] (10%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 1-3, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 25-27, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll 

The candidates for U.S. Senate this fall are Democrat Mark Pryor, Republican Tom Cotton, Green party candidate Mark Swaney, and Libertarian Nathan LaFrance. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

• Tom Cotton (R) 43% (41%)
• Mark Pryor (D) 38% (39%)
• Mark Swaney (G) 3% (4%)
• Nathan LaFrance (L) 3% (3%)
• Undecided 13% (14%)

Horse race, with third-party supporters asked if they lean Pryor or Cotton

• Tom Cotton (R) 45% (43%) {42%} [44%] (41%)
• Mark Pryor (D) 39% (41%) {43%} [44%] (44%)

Among Men

• Tom Cotton (R) 53% (50%) {48%} [53%] (50%)
• Mark Pryor (D) 36% (40%) {40%} [39%] (38%)

Among Women

• Mark Pryor (D) 42% (41%) {45%} [49%] (50%)
• Tom Cotton (R) 38% (37%) {36%} [37%] (33%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Pryor's job performance?

• Approve 36% (34%) {38%}
• Disapprove 51% (51%) {46%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Cotton 40% (40%) {37%} / 41% (40%) {42%} {-1%}

Survey of 1,453 likely voters was conducted September 18-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points. Party ID: 39% (35%) {41%} [37%] (37%) Democrat; 31% (34%) {27%} [27%] (27%) Republican; 30% (31%) {32%} [37%] (36%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 27% (27%) {23%} Somewhat conservative; 26% (28%) {28%} Moderate; 22% (22%) {23%} Very conservative; 13% (14%) {16%} Somewhat liberal; 11% (10%) {10%} Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 1-3, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 25-27, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 13-15, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 14-15, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Presidential Poll

• Chris Christie (R) 46% [45%] (44%) {43%} [46%] (43%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [34%] (41%) {39%} [38%] (42%)

• Ted Cruz (R) 46%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39%

• Rand Paul (R) 45% [50%] (46%) {47%} [49%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [36%] (40%) {41%} [43%]

• Jeb Bush (R) 44% [47%] (47%) {47%} [49%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [38%] (41%) {39%} [42%]

• Mike Huckabee (R) 44% [47%] (43%) {45%}
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [39%] (42%) {41%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [46%] (44%) {44%} [49%] (53%)
• Sarah Palin (R) 38% [40%] (41%) {43%} [40%] (37%)

Among Independents

• Chris Christie (R) 43% [41%] (38%) {34%} [44%] (37%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 35% [32%] (43%) {41%} [38%] (42%)

• Ted Cruz (R) 44%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 38%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [36%] (41%) {45%} [45%]
  
• Rand Paul (R) 41% [46%] (39%) {38%} [46%]

• Jeb Bush (R) 38% [39%] (38%) {40%} [42%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [38%] (43%) {41%} [45%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [39%] (45%) {45%}
  
• Mike Huckabee (R) 39% [41%] (36%) {35%} 

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [49%] (47%) {49%} [53%] (62%)
• Sarah Palin (R) 33% [37%] (34%) {34%} [32%] (25%)

Among Moderates

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [40%] (49%) {51%} [45%] (53%)
• Chris Christie (R) 34% [31%] (29%) {29%} [33%] (25%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
• Ted Cruz (R) 33%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 55% [42%] (49%) {56%} [60%]
• Rand Paul (R) 30% [29%] (28%) {28%} [32%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 55% [46%] (50%) {51%} [58%]
• Jeb Bush (R) 25% [29%] (32%) {31%} [31%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 58% [47%] (53%) {55%}
• Mike Huckabee (R) 25% [26%] (24%) {25%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 61% [60%] (54%) {61%} [67%] (79%)
• Sarah Palin (R) 23% [21%] (25%) {25%} [21%] (14%)

Among Men

• Chris Christie (R) 49% [50%] (51%) {49%} [51%] (50%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 34% [28%] (33%) {34%} [31%] (35%)

• Ted Cruz (R) 53%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 36%

• Rand Paul (R) 49% [57%] (55%) {55%} [58%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [33%] (34%) {35%} [34%]

• Jeb Bush (R) 46% [49%] (58%) {54%} [59%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 37% [33%] (32%) {33%} [31%]

• Mike Huckabee (R) 47% [49%] (51%) {51%}
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [36%] (36%) {35%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [42%] (34%) {37%} [39%] (46%)
• Sarah Palin (R) 36% [45%] (50%) {49%} [48%] (43%)

Among Women

• Chris Christie (R) 43% [41%] (37%) {38%} [43%] (38%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 37% [40%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (47%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
• Ted Cruz (R) 39%

• Rand Paul (R) 41% [44%] (39%) {41%} [42%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [39%] (46%) {46%} [50%]

• Jeb Bush (R) 43% [45%] (37%) {40%} [40%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [42%] (48%) {45%} [52%]

• Mike Huckabee (R) 40% [45%] (37%) {40%}
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [41%] (47%) {47%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [50%] (54%) {50%} [58%] (60%)
• Sarah Palin (R) 39% [36%] (32%) {38%} [34%] (31%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin?

• Favorable 32% [36%] (36%) {39%} [39%] (34%)
• Unfavorable 54% [55%] (56%) {55%} [58%] (59%)

Do you think Sarah Palin should run for President in 2016, or not?

• She should run 18% [20%] (19%) {23%} [18%] (16%)
• She should not 75% [74%] (74%) {69%} [77%] (78%)

Survey of 880 likely voters was conducted September 18-21, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points.  Party ID: 28% [32%] (29%) {33%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 16% [20%] (18%) {20%} [20%] (21%) Democrat; 56% [47%] (53%) {46%} [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 33% [33%] (31%) {32%} [30%] (33%) Moderate; 28% [25%] (21%) {23%} [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 17% [18%] (22%) {21%} [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 15% [16%] (16%) {16%} [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 7% [8%] (9%) {7%} [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 3, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 8-11, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.