Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Charlie Crist the Democrat, Rick Scott the Republican and Adrian Wyllie the Libertarian, for whom would you vote?

• Rick Scott (R) 44% {37%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 42% {39%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 8% {9%}

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 83% {73%}
• Rick Scott (R) 7% {9%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% {6%}

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 80% {74%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 11% {9%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 7% {5%}

Among Independents

• Rick Scott (R) 44% {34%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 37% {36%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 11% {12%}

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 48% {45%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 40% {32%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 8% {9%}

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 43% {45%}
• Rick Scott (R) 41% {30%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 8% {8%}

Recalculated match-up, asking Wyllie voters: Who is your second choice?

• Rick Scott (R) 46% {40%} [38%] (38%) {40%} [37%] (34%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 44% {45%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [47%] (50%)
  

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 86% {78%} [82%] (81%) {86%} [83%] (81%)
• Rick Scott (R) 8% {10%} [9%] (6%) {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 81% {79%} [79%] (79%) {80%} [75%] (76%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 14% {12%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [13%] (16%)

Among Independents

• Rick Scott (R) 47% {38%} [34%] (32%) {41%} [33%] (29%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 39% {45%} [48%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (49%)

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 50% {48%} [43%] (42%) {46%} [43%] (39%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 43% {39%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (49%)  

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 46% {49%} [51%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (51%)
• Rick Scott (R) 43% {34%} [33%] (34%) {34%} [32%] (29%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Scott 42% {40%} [39%] (38%) {39%} [40%] (33%) / 48% {45%} [46%] (45%) {42%} [42%] (46%) {-6%}
• Charlie Crist 41% {40%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [48%] (49%) / 49% {42%} [36%] (35%) {39%} [31%] (30%) {-8%}

Would you say that Charlie Crist is honest and trustworthy or not?

• Yes 37% {39%} [45%]
• No 49% {48%} [43%]

Would you say that Rick Scott is honest and trustworthy or not?

• Yes 39% {40%} [38%]
• No 51% {51%} [51%]

Would you say that Charlie Crist cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 46% {44%} [48%]
• No 45% {47%} [42%]

Would you say that Rick Scott cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 42% {41%} [38%]
• No 50% {52%} [55%]

Would you say that Charlie Crist has strong leadership qualities or not?

• Yes 46% {49%} [55%]
• No 44% {43%} [37%]

Would you say that Rick Scott has strong leadership qualities or not?

• Yes 58% {54%} [49%]
• No 34% {38%} [44%]

Survey of 991 likely voters was conducted September 17-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 32% {28%} [25%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 30% {31%} [31%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 31% {32%} [34%] (35%) {32%} [30%] (31%) Independent; 7% {9%} [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.