Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Runoff Survey

Rasmussen (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Runoff Poll

• Bill Cassidy (R) 56% {56%} [50%] (52%) {44%} [43%] (44%)
• Mary Landrieu (D) 40% {41%} [46%] (43%) {41%} [46%] (40%) 

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted December 2-4, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 16-19, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 22-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 13-14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 2-3, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 8-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 28-29, 2014 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Among the 89% who say they will definitely vote in the runoff election, Cassidy leads 57% to 40%.

Thirty percent (30%) say they have voted already, and the Republican holds a narrower 50% to 44% lead in this group. He’s ahead 58% to 39% among the 70% who say they have yet to cast their ballots.

This survey was taken just after the only debate between Landrieu and Cassidy, held on Monday night. Thirty-four percent (34%) of the state’s voters say they have changed the way they were going to vote after watching a debate between candidates for statewide office. Fifty-nine percent (59%) say they have not ever changed their vote because of a debate, compared to 53% of voters nationwide.

But even among voters who say a debate has caused them to change a vote, Cassidy leads 52% to 45%.

Landrieu is viewed favorably by 43% of voters in Louisiana and unfavorably by 55%. This includes 29% with a Very Favorable opinion of her and 42% with a Very Unfavorable one.

For Cassidy, favorables are 55% and unfavorable 42%, including 26% with a Very Favorable opinion and 28% who view him Very Unfavorably.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Runoff Survey

Rasmussen (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Runoff Poll

• Bill Cassidy (R) 56% [50%] (52%) {44%} [43%] (44%)
• Mary Landrieu (D) 41% [46%] (43%) {41%} [46%] (40%) 

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted November 16-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 22-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 13-14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 2-3, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 8-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 28-29, 2014 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Landrieu, a member of the U.S. Senate since 1997, has the support of only 76% of Louisiana Democrats. Twenty-one percent (21%) of the state’s Democrats and 92% of Louisiana Republicans favor Cassidy. He also has a seven-point advantage among voters not affiliated with either of the major political parties.

Cassidy leads nearly two-to-one among men, while the candidates run almost even among women voters. Landrieu is the choice of voters under 40, while the Republican is well ahead among those who are older.

When voters are asked which candidate they trust more in four major policy areas, Cassidy has double-digit leads in three of them – taxes (52% to 39%), government spending (52% to 38%) and government ethics and corruption (52% to 37%). He leads by nine points in voter trust in the area of social issues (50% to 41%).

Cassidy is viewed favorably by 55% of all voters in the state and unfavorably by 43%. This includes 27% with a Very Favorable opinion of him and 28% with a Very Unfavorable one. For Landrieu, favorables are 43% and unfavorable 55%, including 29% with a Very Favorable view of the three-term senator and 42% with a Very Unfavorable view.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Runoff Survey

Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Runoff Poll

• Bill Cassidy (R) 59%
• Mary Landrieu (D) 38%
• Unsure 3%

Survey of 643 likely voters was conducted November 12-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 44% Democrat; 36% Republican; 20% Independent/Other.  Gender: 52% Female; 48% Male.  Race: 69% White; 25% Black; 2% Hispanic; 1% Asian; 3% Other.

Poll Watch: Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll

• Gary Peters (D) 52% {52.2%} [51.1%] (50%) {48%} [49%] (43%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {45%} [38%] (33%)
• Terri Lynn Land (R) 40% {38.1%} [37.5%] (39%) {43%} [36%] (41%) {44%} [44%] (38%) {42%} [44%] (32%)
• Jim Fulner (L) 2% {3.2%} [2.2%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (3%)
• Richard Matkin (UST) 1% {0.8%} [1.0%] (0.5%) {0.5%} [1%] (2%)
• Chris Wahmhoff (G) 1% {0.6%} [1.2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (3%)
• Undecided 4% {5.2%} [7.0%] (8%) {6%} [9%] (9%) {10%} [11%] (19%) {14%} [18%] (35%)

Survey of 1,224 likely voters was conducted November 2, 2014 for Fox 2 News (WJBK-TV) in Detroit. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 27, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 12, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 27, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 7-17, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 6, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

The candidates for U.S. Senate this fall are Democrat Jeanne Shaheen and Republican Scott Brown. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49% (49%) {49%} [50%] (50%)
• Scott Brown (R) 47% (47%) {45%} [44%] (44%)
• Undecided 4% (4%) {5%} [5%] (6%)

Among Democrats

• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 87% {91%} [82%] (85%)
• Scott Brown (R) 11% {7%} [16%] (14%)

Among Republicans

• Scott Brown (R) 84% {85%} [76%] (76%)
• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 13% {11%} [18%] (16%)

Among Independents

• Scott Brown (R) 48% {44%} [43%] (46%)
• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 46% {48%} [49%] (45%)

Among Men

• Scott Brown (R) 51% {53%} [45%] (46%)
• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 44% {41%} [50%] (47%)

Among Women

• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 54% {57%} [51%] (52%)
• Scott Brown (R) 43% {38%} [43%] (42%)

Horse race, with undecideds asked if they lean Shaheen or Brown:

• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 50%
• Scott Brown (R) 48%
• Completely undecided 3%

Among Democrats

• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 88%
• Scott Brown (R) 11%

Among Republicans

• Scott Brown (R) 84%
• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 14%

Among Independents

• Scott Brown (R) 49%
• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 46%

Among Men

• Scott Brown (R) 52%
• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 44%

Among Women

• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 54%
• Scott Brown (R) 44%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Scott Brown 44% {44%} [43%] (42%) / 46% {48%} [53%] (49%) {-2%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jeanne Shaheen’s job performance?

• Approve 47%
• Disapprove 46%

Survey of 1,690 likely voters was conducted November 1-3, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points. Party ID: 29% (36%) {31%} [32%] (32%) Democrat; 27% (31%) {31%} [30%] (27%) Republican; 44% (33%) {39%} [38%] (41%) Independent/Other. Gender: 53% (53%) {53%} [53%] (53%) Women; 47% (47%) {47%} [47%] (47%) Men. Results from the poll conducted October 30-31, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 20-21, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 18-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 27-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

The candidates for Governor this fall are Democrat Maggie Hassan and Republican Walt Havenstein. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

• Maggie Hassan (D) 51%
• Walt Havenstein (R) 45%
• Undecided 4%

Horse race, with undecideds asked if they lean Hassan or Havenstein:

• Maggie Hassan (D) 51%
• Walt Havenstein (R) 46%
• Undecided 3%

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Maggie Hassan’s job performance?

• Approve 51%
• Disapprove 39%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Walt Havenstein?

• Favorable 40%
• Unfavorable 33%

Survey of 1,690 likely voters was conducted November 1-3, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points. Party ID: 29% Democrat; 27% Republican; 44% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2014 Senate Poll

The candidates for U.S. Senate are Democrat Bruce Braley, Republican Joni Ernst, Libertarian Douglas Butzier, Bob Quast, Ruth Smith, and independent Rick Stewart. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

• Joni Ernst (R) 48% (44%) {40%}
• Bruce Braley (D) 45% (42%) {41%}
• Douglas Butzier (L) 1% (2%) {2%} 
• Rick Stewart (I) 1% (1%) {2%}
• Bob Quast 0% (1%) {0%}
• Ruth Smith 0% (0%) {1%}
• Undecided 5% (10%) {14%}

Horse race, with third-party supporters and undecideds asked if they lean Braley or Ernst: 

• Joni Ernst (R) 49% {48%} [47%] (45%) {42%} [39%] (35%)
• Bruce Braley (D) 46% {47%} [48%] (43%) {42%} [45%] (41%)
• Undecided 5% {5%} [5%] (12%) {16%} [16%] (23%)

Among Men

• Joni Ernst (R) 53% [49%] (48%) {50%} [48%] (43%)
• Bruce Braley (D) 42% [48%] (43%) {40%} [39%] (41%)
• Undecided 5% [3%] (9%) {9%} [12%] (16%)

Among Women

• Bruce Braley (D) 50% [48%] (44%) {44%} [50%] (42%)
• Joni Ernst (R) 46% [46%] (42%) {35%} [31%] (28%)
• Undecided 4% [7%] (15%) {21%} [20%] (30%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Joni Ernst 46% [48%] (42%) {36%} [27%] (9%) / 45% [47%] (46%) {46%} [32%] (12%) {+1%}
• Bruce Braley 42% [47%] (37%) {37%} [29%] (31%) / 45% [46%] (44%) {41%} [29%] (25%) {-3%}

Survey of 1,265 likely voters was conducted November 1-3, 2014. Party ID: 37% {37%} [37%] (36%) {34%} [34%] (31%) Republican; 35% {41%} [36%] (35%) {35%} [38%] (37%) Democrat; 27% {22%} [27%] (29%) {31%} [28%] (32%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted October 30-31, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 15-16, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-28, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 22-24, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

• Kay Hagan (D) 46% [46%] {47%} (46%) [44%] {42%} (41%) [39%] {38%} (43%) [45%] {40%} (42%) [44%] {44%}
• Thom Tillis (R) 44% [45%] {46%} (43%) [40%] {38%} (34%) [34%] {36%} (41%) [43%] {42%} (43%) [42%] {42%} 
• Sean Haugh (L) 5% [4%] {4%} (5%) [5%] {8%} (8%) [11%] {11%}

Among Men

• Thom Tillis (R) 48% {53%} (49%) [48%] {44%} (42%) [39%] {42%} (42%) [50%] {47%} (48%) [45%] {48%}
• Kay Hagan (D) 44% {39%} (42%) [38%] {38%} (38%) [39%] {36%} (47%) [42%] {42%} (43%) [43%] {42%}
• Sean Haugh (L) 3% {6%} (6%) [6%] {9%} (9%) [10%] {12%}

Among Women

• Kay Hagan (D) 47% {54%} (49%) [49%] {45%} (44%) [39%] {40%} (39%) [47%] {39%} (41%) [46%] {46%}
• Thom Tillis (R) 40% {40%} (37%) [33%] {32%} (27%) [29%] {31%} (40%) [37%] {38%} (39%) [40%] {37%} 
• Sean Haugh (L) 7% {3%} (5%) [4%] {7%} (8%) [12%] {10%}  

Horse race, with Haugh supporters and undecideds asked if they lean Hagan or Tillis:

• Kay Hagan (D) 48% (47%) [46%] {43%} (42%) [42%] {41%} 
• Thom Tillis (R) 46% (44%) [42%] {42%} (39%) [38%] {41%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Thom Tillis 36% {42%} (37%) [34%] {28%} (24%) [23%] {30%} (20%) [18%] {15%} (15%) [12%] {16%} / 48% {50%} (49%) [48%] {48%} (47%) [45%] {46%} (39%) [37%] {29%} (28%) [30%] {28%} {-12%}

Do you approve or disapprove Senator Kay Hagan's job performance?

• Approve 41% (41%) [43%] {42%} (40%) [42%] {38%} (41%) [41%] {41%} (39%) [43%] {44%}
• Disapprove 49% (50%) [48%] {49%} (50%) [46%] {49%} (48%) [50%] {50%} (49%) [49%] {49%}

Survey of 1,333 likely voters was conducted November 1-3, 2014. Party ID: 43% [44%] {46%} (44%) [45%] {42%} (44%) [43%] {42%} (42%) [42%] {39%} [43%] {45%} Democrat; 35% [36%] {34%} (37%) [34%] {31%} (34%) [36%] {35%} (36%) [35%] {34%} [34%] {33%} Republican; 22% [21%] {19%} (19%) [21%] {27%} (22%) [22%] {23%} (22%) [23%] {27%} [23%] {21%} Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted October 30-31, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 28-29, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 16-18, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 11-14, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in parentheses.Results from the poll conducted June 12-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Georgia 2014 Senate Poll

The candidates for U.S. Senate are Republican David Perdue, Democrat Michelle Nunn, and Libertarian Amanda Swafford. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

• David Perdue (R) 46% {46%} [47%] (45%)
• Michelle Nunn (D) 45% {46%} [47%] (43%)
• Amanda Swafford (L) 5% {4%} [3%] (5%)
• Undecided 5% {4%} [4%] (8%)

Horse race, with Swafford supporters and undecideds asked if they lean Perdue or Nunn:

• David Perdue (R) 48% (48%)
• Michelle Nunn (D) 48% (45%)
• Not sure 5% (6%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Michelle Nunn 45% (41%) / 41% (42%) {+4%}
• David Perdue 43% (39%) / 41% (43%) {+2%}

Survey of 975 likely voters was conducted November 1-3, 2014. Party ID: 40% {41%} [40%] (38%) Republican; 35% {38%} [37%] (37%) Democrat; 25% {21%} [24%] (25%) Independent/Other.  Gender: 53% {53%} [53%] (53%) Women; 47% {47%} [47%] (47%) Men. Race: 64% {65%} [64%] (64%) White; 29% {29%} [29%] (28%) Black; 7% {6%} [7%] (8%) Other. Results from the poll conducted October 30-31, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 23-24, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 2-5, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Landmark Communications (R) Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

Landmark Communications (R) Georgia 2014 Senate Poll

• David Perdue (R) 49.8% [47.4%] (47.3%) {46.0%} [43.4%] (40%) {43.0%} [42%] (37.5%)
• Michelle Nunn (D) 45.6% [46.6%] (47.4%) {45.7%} [46.0%] (47%) {46.6%} [48%] (33.0%) 
• Amanda Swafford (L) 2.4% [2.7%] (3.3%) {3.9%} [6.4%] (3%) {3.8%}

Among Men

• David Perdue (R) 59.8% [55.4%] (51.7%) {51.3%}
• Michelle Nunn (D) 34.9% [38.8%] (41.6%) {39.3%}
• Amanda Swafford (L) 3.1% [3.0%] (4.1%) {4.6%}

Among Women

• Michelle Nunn (D) 54.3% [53.1%] (52.5%) {51.2%}
• David Perdue (R) 41.7% [40.8%] (43.4%) {41.4%}
• Amanda Swafford (L) 1.8% [2.5%] (2.6%) {3.3%}

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted November 2, 2014 for Channel 2 Action News. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Gender: 55.1% [55%] Female; 44.9% [45%] Male. Race: 63.1% [64.4%] White; 30.4% [29.3%] Black; 6.5% [6.3%] Other. Results from the poll conducted October 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 20-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 7-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 9-11, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 20-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 25, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 1, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: InsiderAdvantage/Opinion Savvy (R) Georgia 2014 Senate Survey

InsiderAdvantage/Opinion Savvy (R) Georgia 2014 Senate Poll

• David Perdue (R) 48% (44.9%) {47.0%} [50.1%] (47%)
• Michelle Nunn (D) 45% (47.3%) {42.6%} [39.8%] (40%)
• Amanda Swafford (L) 3% (4.1%) {3.6%} [5.0%] (8%)
• Undecided 4% (3.7%) {6.8%} [5.1%] (5%)
  

Survey of 1,463 likely GOP primary voters was conducted October 30 - November 2, 2014 for Fox5 and Morris News.  The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 21-22, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 12-13, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49% {49%} [50%] (50%)
• Scott Brown (R) 47% {45%} [44%] (44%)
• Undecided 4% {5%} [5%] (6%)

Survey of 679 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2014 on behalf of the Center for American Progress Action Fund. Party ID: 36% {31%} [32%] (32%) Democrat; 31% {31%} [30%] (27%) Republican; 33% {39%} [38%] (41%) Independent/Other. Gender: 53% {53%} [53%] (53%) Women; 47% {47%} [47%] (47%) Men. Results from the poll conducted October 20-21, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 18-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 27-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Georgia 2014 Senate Poll

• David Perdue (R) 46% [47%] (45%)
• Michelle Nunn (D) 46% [47%] (43%)
• Amanda Swafford (L) 4% [3%] (5%)
• Undecided 4% [4%] (8%)

Survey of 533 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2014 on behalf of the Center for American Progress Action Fund. Party ID: 41% [40%] (38%) Republican; 38% [37%] (37%) Democrat; 21% [24%] (25%) Independent/Other.  Gender: 53% [53%] (53%) Women; 47% [47%] (47%) Men. Race: 65% [64%] (64%) White; 29% [29%] (28%) Black; 6% [7%] (8%) Other. Results from the poll conducted October 23-24, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 2-5, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

• Kay Hagan (D) 46% {47%} (46%) [44%] {42%} (41%) [39%] {38%} (43%) [45%] {40%} (42%) [44%] {44%}
• Thom Tillis (R) 45% {46%} (43%) [40%] {38%} (34%) [34%] {36%} (41%) [43%] {42%} (43%) [42%] {42%} 
• Sean Haugh (L) 4% {4%} (5%) [5%] {8%} (8%) [11%] {11%}

Survey of 738 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2014 on behalf of the Center for American Progress Action Fund. Party ID: 44% {46%} (44%) [45%] {42%} (44%) [43%] {42%} (42%) [42%] {39%} [43%] {45%} Democrat; 36% {34%} (37%) [34%] {31%} (34%) [36%] {35%} (36%) [35%] {34%} [34%] {33%} Republican; 21% {19%} (19%) [21%] {27%} (22%) [22%] {23%} (22%) [23%] {27%} [23%] {21%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 28-29, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 16-18, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 11-14, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 12-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for: Thom Tillis, Republican, Kay Hagan, Democrat or Sean Haugh, Libertarian?

• Thom Tillis (R) 46% 
• Kay Hagan (D) 44%
• Sean Haugh (L) 6%
• Not sure 4%

If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for: Thom Tillis, Republican, or Kay Hagan, Democrat?

• Thom Tillis (R) 48% (44%) 
• Kay Hagan (D) 45% (44%)
• Not sure 7% (12%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Kay Hagan 49% (37%) / 48% (49%) {+1%}
• Thom Tillis 47% (15%) / 49% (33%) {-2%}

Survey of 511 likely voters was conducted October 28-30, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.34 percentage points. Party ID: 43% (43%) Democrat; 34% (32%) Republican; 23% (24%) Independent/Other. Ideology: 43% (43%) Conservative; 39% (39%) Moderate; 14% (13%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 20-21, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2014 Senate Poll

• Joni Ernst (R) 48% [47%] (45%) {42%} [39%] (35%)
• Bruce Braley (D) 47% [48%] (43%) {42%} [45%] (41%)
• Undecided 5% [5%] (12%) {16%} [16%] (23%)

Survey of 617 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2014 on behalf of the Center for American Progress Action Fund. Party ID: 41% [36%] (35%) {35%} [38%] (37%) Democrat; 37% [37%] (36%) {34%} [34%] (31%) Republican; 22% [27%] (29%) {31%} [28%] (32%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 15-16, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-28, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 22-24, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Georgia 2014 Senate Poll

• David Perdue (R) 47% (48%) {44%} [45%] (46%) (46%) {47%} [50%] (43%)
• Michelle Nunn (D) 44% (45%) {46%} [48%] (45%) (45%) {44%} [41%] (38%)
• Amanda Swafford (L) 5% (3%) {4%} [3%] (3%) (4%) {5%} [3%] (6%)
• Undecided 4% (5%) {7%} [4%] (6%) (6%) {4%} [6%] (14%)

Among Men

• David Perdue (R) 51% (50%) {50%} [49%] (51%) (50%) {55%} [56%] (50%)
• Michelle Nunn (D) 39% (41%) {41%} [46%] (40%) (40%) {36%} [37%] (33%)
• Amanda Swafford (L) 5% (4%) {4%} [3%] (3%) (4%) {6%} [2%] (6%)
• Undecided 5% (5%) {5%} [3%] (6%) (6%) {3%} [4%] (11%)

Among Women

• Michelle Nunn (D) 49% (48%) {51%} [50%] (49%) (49%) {52%} [46%] (44%)
• David Perdue (R) 43% (46%) {38%} [41%] (41%) (41%) {40%} [44%] (35%)
• Amanda Swafford (L) 5% (2%) {3%} [3%] (4%) (4%) {3%} [3%] (5%)
• Undecided 2% (5%) {8%} [5%] (5%) (6%) {4%} [7%] (16%)

Survey of 591 likely and actual voters was conducted October 30 - November 2, 2014 for WXIA-TV Atlanta.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.  Party ID: 39% (40%) {39%} [38%] (38%) (37%) {40%} [38%] (35%) Democrat; 36% (39%) {39%} [39%] (35%) (38%) {37%} [40%] (38%) Republican; 24% (21%) {22%} [22%] (25%) (23%) {23%} [21%] (25%) Independent.  Ideology: 44% (42%) {40%} [43%] (41%) (41%) {36%} [38%] (38%) Moderate; 37% (37%) {40%} [39%] (38%) (36%) {42%} [44%] (40%) Conservative; 14% (15%) {15%} [14%] (14%) (17%) {17%} [13%] (15%) Liberal.  Gender: 52% (52%) {52%} [51%] (52%) (50%) {51%} [48%] (47%) Female; 48% (48%) {48%} [49%] (48%) (50%) {49%} [52%] (53%) Male.  Race: 64% (62%) {63%} [61%] (62%) (63%) {62%} [63%] (65%) White; 26% (31%) {28%} [27%] (30%) (27%) {29%} [26%] (24%) Black. Results from the poll conducted October 24-27, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 17-20, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-13, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 2-6, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 19-22, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 5-8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 3-5, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Charlie Crist the Democrat, Rick Scott the Republican and Adrian Wyllie the Libertarian, for whom would you vote?

• Charlie Crist (D) 42% {43%} [42%] (42%) {39%}
• Rick Scott (R) 41% {40%} [42%] (44%) {37%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 7% {8%} [7%] (8%) {9%}

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 84% {83%} [86%] (83%) {73%}
• Rick Scott (R) 6% {7%} [5%] (7%) {9%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 2% {3%} [3%] (6%) {6%}

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 81% {81%} [81%] (80%) {74%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 8% {8%} [7%] (11%) {9%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 4% {4%} [6%] (7%) {5%}

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (D) 39% {47%} [41%] (37%) {36%}
• Rick Scott (R) 32% {29%} [38%] (44%) {34%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 16% {16%} [11%] (11%) {12%}

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 47% {47%} [46%] (48%) {45%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 34% {37%} [38%] (40%) {32%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 8% {9%} [10%] (8%) {9%}

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 50% {49%} [45%] (43%) {45%}
• Rick Scott (R) 35% {35%} [39%] (41%) {30%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% {6%} [6%] (8%) {8%}

Recalculated match-up, asking Wyllie voters: Who is your second choice?

• Charlie Crist (D) 44% {45%} [44%] (44%) {45%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [47%] (50%)
• Rick Scott (R) 42% {42%} [44%] (46%) {40%} [38%] (38%) {40%} [37%] (34%)

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 85% {84%} [87%] (86%) {78%} [82%] (81%) {86%} [83%] (81%)
• Rick Scott (R) 6% {8%} [6%] (8%) {10%} [9%] (6%) {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 82% {83%} [85%] (81%) {79%} [79%] (79%) {80%} [75%] (76%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 10% {9%} [8%] (14%) {12%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [13%] (16%)

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (D) 41% {53%} [46%] (39%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (49%)
• Rick Scott (R) 34% {33%} [40%] (47%) {38%} [34%] (32%) {41%} [33%] (29%)

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 50% {49%} [48%] (50%) {48%} [43%] (42%) {46%} [43%] (39%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 35% {39%} [41%] (43%) {39%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (49%)  

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 52% {51%} [46%] (46%) {49%} [51%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (51%)
• Rick Scott (R) 36% {37%} [40%] (43%) {34%} [33%] (34%) {34%} [32%] (29%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Charlie Crist 43% {45%} [42%] (41%) {40%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [48%] (49%) / 50% {45%} [47%] (49%) {42%} [36%] (35%) {39%} [31%] (30%) {-7%}
• Rick Scott 42% {41%} [40%] (42%) {40%} [39%] (38%) {39%} [40%] (33%) / 49% {46%} [48%] (48%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {42%} [42%] (46%) {-7%}

Survey of 817 likely voters was conducted October 28 - November 2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 35% {33%} [33%] (32%) {28%} [25%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 35% {31%} [30%] (30%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 23% {27%} [29%] (31%) {32%} [34%] (35%) {32%} [30%] (31%) Independent; 7% {9%} [7%] (7%) {9%} [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 22-27, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 14-20, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 17-22, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Iowa 2014 Senate Poll 

• Joni Ernst (R) 47% (49%) {48%} [47%] (50%) {40%} [29%] (38%)
• Bruce Braley (D) 47% (45%) {46%} [45%] (44%) {44%} [42%] (44%)

Among Men

• Joni Ernst (R) 52% (56%) {55%} [56%] (56%) {44%} [33%] (44%)
• Bruce Braley (D) 44% (39%) {38%} [38%] (39%) {40%} [40%] (39%)

Among Women

• Bruce Braley (D) 51% (50%) {53%} [52%] (50%) {47%} [44%] (49%)
• Joni Ernst (R) 42% (42%) {40%} [39%] (44%) {36%} [27%] (31%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Joni Ernst 47% (45%) {48%} [47%] (45%) {34%} [13%] / 45% (43%) {42%} [41%] (39%) {28%} [6%] {+2%}
• Bruce Braley 43% (40%) {43%} [42%] (38%) {35%} [35%] / 45% (43%) {43%} [44%] (41%) {26%} [18%] {-2%}

Survey of 778 likely voters was conducted October 28 - November 2, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 34% (31%) {32%} [30%] (26%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Democrat; 31% (35%) {31%} [29%] (28%) {27%} [25%] (28%) Republican; 32% (30%) {32%} [34%] (41%) {40%} [39%] (40%) Independent; 4% (4%) {6%} [7%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (4%) Other. Results from the poll conducted October 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 15-21, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 8-13, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-15, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 12-16, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 5-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-15, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat, Tom Foley the Republican, and Joe Visconti running as an independent, for whom would you vote?

• Dan Malloy (D) 43% (43%) {43%} [43%] (40%)
• Tom Foley (R) 42% (43%) {42%} [43%] (46%)
  
• Joe Visconti (I) 8% (7%) {9%} [9%] (7%)

Recalculated matchup, with Visconti supporters asked for their second choice:

• Dan Malloy (D) 47% (45%) {45%} [46%] (43%) {43%} [42%] (40%)
• Tom Foley (R) 44% (46%) {45%} [46%] (49%) {43%} [42%] (43%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Foley 42% (43%) {40%} [41%] (42%) {36%} [38%] (35%) / 44% (43%) {46%} [39%] (33%) {23%} [21%] (18%) {-2%}
• Dan Malloy 43% (41%) {42%} [41%] (40%) {46%} [46%] (46%) / 49% (52%) {50%} [51%] (53%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {-6%}

Survey of 926 likely voters was conducted October 28 - November 2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% (36%) {33%} [34%] (31%) {32%} [31%] (34%) Democrat; 25% (25%) {26%} [26%] (26%) {21%} [20%] (21%) Republican; 35% (33%) {34%} [35%] (38%) {42%} [42%] (40%) Independent; 6% (5%) {6%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [6%] (4%) Other. Results from the poll conducted October 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 14-20, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 1-6, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 3-8, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 1-6, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.