Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Charlie Crist the Democrat, Rick Scott the Republican and Adrian Wyllie the Libertarian, for whom would you vote?

• Charlie Crist (D) 42% {43%} [42%] (42%) {39%}
• Rick Scott (R) 41% {40%} [42%] (44%) {37%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 7% {8%} [7%] (8%) {9%}

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 84% {83%} [86%] (83%) {73%}
• Rick Scott (R) 6% {7%} [5%] (7%) {9%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 2% {3%} [3%] (6%) {6%}

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 81% {81%} [81%] (80%) {74%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 8% {8%} [7%] (11%) {9%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 4% {4%} [6%] (7%) {5%}

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (D) 39% {47%} [41%] (37%) {36%}
• Rick Scott (R) 32% {29%} [38%] (44%) {34%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 16% {16%} [11%] (11%) {12%}

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 47% {47%} [46%] (48%) {45%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 34% {37%} [38%] (40%) {32%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 8% {9%} [10%] (8%) {9%}

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 50% {49%} [45%] (43%) {45%}
• Rick Scott (R) 35% {35%} [39%] (41%) {30%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% {6%} [6%] (8%) {8%}

Recalculated match-up, asking Wyllie voters: Who is your second choice?

• Charlie Crist (D) 44% {45%} [44%] (44%) {45%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [47%] (50%)
• Rick Scott (R) 42% {42%} [44%] (46%) {40%} [38%] (38%) {40%} [37%] (34%)

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 85% {84%} [87%] (86%) {78%} [82%] (81%) {86%} [83%] (81%)
• Rick Scott (R) 6% {8%} [6%] (8%) {10%} [9%] (6%) {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 82% {83%} [85%] (81%) {79%} [79%] (79%) {80%} [75%] (76%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 10% {9%} [8%] (14%) {12%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [13%] (16%)

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (D) 41% {53%} [46%] (39%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (49%)
• Rick Scott (R) 34% {33%} [40%] (47%) {38%} [34%] (32%) {41%} [33%] (29%)

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 50% {49%} [48%] (50%) {48%} [43%] (42%) {46%} [43%] (39%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 35% {39%} [41%] (43%) {39%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (49%)  

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 52% {51%} [46%] (46%) {49%} [51%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (51%)
• Rick Scott (R) 36% {37%} [40%] (43%) {34%} [33%] (34%) {34%} [32%] (29%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Charlie Crist 43% {45%} [42%] (41%) {40%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [48%] (49%) / 50% {45%} [47%] (49%) {42%} [36%] (35%) {39%} [31%] (30%) {-7%}
• Rick Scott 42% {41%} [40%] (42%) {40%} [39%] (38%) {39%} [40%] (33%) / 49% {46%} [48%] (48%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {42%} [42%] (46%) {-7%}

Survey of 817 likely voters was conducted October 28 - November 2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 35% {33%} [33%] (32%) {28%} [25%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 35% {31%} [30%] (30%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 23% {27%} [29%] (31%) {32%} [34%] (35%) {32%} [30%] (31%) Independent; 7% {9%} [7%] (7%) {9%} [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 22-27, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 14-20, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 17-22, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

The candidates for Governor this fall are Republican Rick Scott, Democrat Charlie Crist, and Libertarian Adrian Wyllie. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

• Charlie Crist (D) 44.0% [45%] (42%)
• Rick Scott (R) 43.8% [43%] (39%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% [8%] (8%)
• Undecided 6% [5%] (11%)

Horse race, with Wyllie supporters and undecideds asked if they lean Scott or Crist:

• Charlie Crist (D) 47% (44%) [42%] (49%) {43%} [50%] (52%) {53%} [48%] (45%) {44%} [55%] (51%) {56%}
• Rick Scott (R) 46% (41%) [42%] (42%) {41%} [38%] (40%) {39%} [43%] (42%) {41%} [32%] (38%) {34%}

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 78% (70%) [74%] (77%) {66%} [72%] (74%) {76%} [77%] (69%) {69%} [80%] (83%) {81%}
• Rick Scott (R) 18% (17%) [12%] (13%) {20%} [17%] (19%) {15%} [13%] (15%) {16%} [9%] (9%) {7%}

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 83% (73%) [75%] (69%) {80%} [65%] (65%) {66%} [81%] (77%) {69%} [61%] (72%) {68%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 14% (15%) [11%] (21%) {14%} [21%] (29%) {29%} [12%] (15%) {19%} [25%] (16%) {24%}

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (D) 49% (49%) [37%] (38%) {47%} [57%] (47%) {48%} [47%] (52%) {40%} [52%] (51%) {62%}
• Rick Scott (R) 33% (31%) [41%] (56%) {23%} [33%] (41%) {41%} [41%] (31%) {43%} [32%] (33%) {30%}

Among Moderates

• Charlie Crist (D) 59% (54%) [44%] {56%} [64%] (71%) {67%} [65%] (55%) {57%} [63%] (68%) {73%}
• Rick Scott (R) 31% (31%) [36%] {28%} [23%] (23%) {25%} [25%] (33%) {24%} [22%] (21%) {22%}

Among Men

• Charlie Crist (D) 48% (44%) [39%] (41%) {39%} [46%] (50%) {44%} [45%] (42%) {44%} [50%] (48%) {52%}
• Rick Scott (R) 46% (43%) [49%] (52%) {47%} [43%] (44%) {49%} [48%] (46%) {43%} [37%] (39%) {41%}

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 47% (45%) [44%] (55%) {47%} [54%] (53%) {61%} [50%] (47%) {44%} [59%] (54%) {60%}
• Rick Scott (R) 45% (40%) [36%] (33%) {36%} [34%] (37%) {31%} [38%] (39%) {40%} [28%] (37%) {28%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Scott’s job performance?

• Approve 41% (40%) [39%] {34%} [33%] (33%) {33%} [38%] (41%) {39%} (31%) {34%} [26%] (36%) {33%} [32%]
• Disapprove 48% (49%) [48%] {51%} [55%] (57%) {57%} [48%] (49%) {51%} (56%) {54%} [58%] (52%) {59%} [55%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 18% (20%) [15%] {19%} [16%] (23%) {21%} [13%] (17%) {13%} (12%) {11%} [8%] (16%) {10%} [11%]
• Disapprove 73% (72%) [75%] {69%} [74%] (69%) {71%} [73%] (72%) {77%} (79%) {83%} [80%] (79%) {82%} [81%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 72% (69%) [61%] {58%} [57%] (46%) {49%} [72%] (72%) {64%} (53%) {60%} [46%] (60%) {63%} [57%]
• Disapprove 18% (23%) [26%] {27%} [29%] (42%) {38%} [18%] (20%) {27%} (31%) {22%} [31%] (23%) {30%} [27%]

Among Independents

• Approve 28% (27%) [43%] {26%} [27%] (30%) {32%} [31%] (31%) {43%} (26%) {27%} [30%] (35%) {27%} [31%]
• Disapprove 56% (54%) [42%] {54%} [63%] (59%) {64%} [48%] (54%) {43%} (60%) {60%} [55%] (52%) {64%} [54%]

Among Moderates

• Approve 26% (29%) [33%] {30%} [26%] (21%) {30%} [25%] (34%) {21%} (18%) {23%} [19%] (25%) {21%} [17%]
• Disapprove 62% (59%) [48%] {57%} [63%] (68%) {65%} [60%] (57%) {66%} (66%) {64%} [66%] (65%) {71%} [72%]

Among Men

• Approve 42% (43%) [48%] {41%} [39%] (34%) {40%} [44%] (42%) {41%} (37%) {41%} [30%] (36%) {37%} [39%]
• Disapprove 50% (50%) [46%] {44%} [48%] (57%) {55%} [44%] (49%) {55%} (52%) {50%} [56%] (52%) {56%} [51%]

Among Women

• Approve 39% (38%) [31%] {27%} [28%] (32%) {27%} [33%] (39%) {37%} (25%) {27%} [22%] (37%) {29%} [26%]
• Disapprove 47% (49%) [51%] {57%} [62%] (57%) {60%} [52%] (48%) {47%} (60%) {57%} [59%] (53%) {62%} [59%]

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Charlie Crist?

• Favorable 40% (40%) [32%] {36%} [43%] (46%) {49%} [39%] (36%) {41%} [48%] (51%) [46%]
• Unfavorable 47% (46%) [48%] {46%} [42%] (43%) {38%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [33%] (34%) [42%]

Among Democrats

• Favorable 68% (66%) [55%] {52%} [58%] (60%) {70%} [55%] (44%) {50%} [57%] (66%) [59%]
• Unfavorable 20% (21%) [22%] {24%} [24%] (28%) {16%} [22%] (33%) {31%} [23%] (21%) [28%]

Among Republicans

• Favorable 11% (13%) [16%] {17%} [25%] (28%) {29%} [19%] (24%) {34%} [38%] (35%) [33%]
• Unfavorable 80% (76%) [74%] {72%} [65%] (62%) {62%} [69%] (60%) {49%} [44%] (52%) [57%]

Among Independents

• Favorable 40% (40%) [24%] {35%} [47%] (49%) {38%} [40%] (43%) {36%} [45%] (47%) [44%]
• Unfavorable 38% (39%) [49%] {45%} [38%] (40%) {44%} [41%] (35%) {44%} [36%] (30%) [44%]

Among Moderates

• Favorable 48% (51%) [35%] {47%} [51%] (61%) {63%} [51%] (43%) {52%} [54%] (61%) [64%]
• Unfavorable 31% (33%) [41%] {35%} [32%] (25%) {29%} [30%] (36%) {30%} [27%] (22%) [24%]

Among Men

• Favorable 39% (44%) [30%] {34%} [44%] (48%) {45%} [39%] (34%) {40%} [45%] (50%) [43%]
• Unfavorable 48% (49%) [53%] {50%} [48%] (44%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {45%} [35%] (36%) [45%]

Among Women

• Favorable 42% (37%) [34%] {38%} [43%] (44%) {52%} [39%] (37%) {42%} [49%] (51%) [49%]
• Unfavorable 45% (43%) [44%] {42%} [36%] (42%) {33%} [39%] (40%) {37%} [31%] (33%) [39%]

Survey of 1,198 likely voters was conducted November 1-2, 2014. Party ID: 39% [44%] (40%) [38%] (44%) {41%} [39%] (42%) {44%} [44%] (41%) {42%} (41%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {42%} [41%] (42%) Democrat; 37% [39%] (38%) [37%] (39%) {34%} [35%] (37%) {38%} [36%] (37%) {40%} (40%) {41%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [37%] (40%) Republican; 23% [17%] (22%) [25%] (17%) {24%} [25%] (22%) {18%} [20%] (21%) {19%} (19%) {18%} [20%] (23%) {21%} [22%] (18%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 34% (31%) [28%] {33%} [29%] (32%) {33%} [34%] (36%) {33%} (33%) {32%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [30%] Moderate; 24% (23%) [25%] {21%} [27%] (21%) {21%} [25%] (25%) {20%} (25%) {22%} [23%] (27%) {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 16% (19%) [22%] {20%} [18%] (17%) {17%} [15%] (16%) {17%} (16%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 15% (13%) [15%] {17%} [16%] (17%) {18%} [16%] (13%) {20%} (16%) {16%} [14%] (16%) {20%} [21%] Very conservative; 11% (13%) [11%] {10%} [10%] (13%) {12%} [10%] (9%) {10%} (10%) {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [7%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 3-4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 4-7, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 1-3, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 16-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: YouGov Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

YouGov Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Charlie Crist (D) 41.3% (45%) {44%} [43%] (43%) 
• Rick Scott (R) 41.2% (46%) {47%} [46%] (48%)
• Other 4.9% (2%) {1%} [4%] (4%)
• Not sure 12.5% (7%) {8%} [8%] (2%)

Survey of 1,795 likely voters was conducted October 25-31, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 16-23, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Tampa Bay Times/Bay News 9/News 13/UF Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Tampa Bay Times/Bay News 9/News 13/UF Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Charlie Crist (D) 36% [40%] (35.74%)
• Rick Scott (R) 36% [40%] (40.93%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% [6%] (6.32%)

Survey of 850 likely voters was conducted October 24-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 7-12, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 27-31, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 1, 2014 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

An unusually high 13 percent refused to say whom they support and 7 percent were undecided. Exclude those who would not answer about the governor’s race, and the numbers shift to 42 percent support for Crist, 41 percent for Scott, and 7 percent for Wyllie — still a dead heat.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Charlie Crist the Democrat, Rick Scott the Republican and Adrian Wyllie the Libertarian, for whom would you vote?

• Charlie Crist (D) 43% [42%] (42%) {39%}
• Rick Scott (R) 40% [42%] (44%) {37%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 8% [7%] (8%) {9%}

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 83% [86%] (83%) {73%}
• Rick Scott (R) 7% [5%] (7%) {9%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 3% [3%] (6%) {6%}

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 81% [81%] (80%) {74%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 8% [7%] (11%) {9%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 4% [6%] (7%) {5%}

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (D) 47% [41%] (37%) {36%}
• Rick Scott (R) 29% [38%] (44%) {34%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 16% [11%] (11%) {12%}

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 47% [46%] (48%) {45%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 37% [38%] (40%) {32%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 9% [10%] (8%) {9%}

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 49% [45%] (43%) {45%}
• Rick Scott (R) 35% [39%] (41%) {30%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% [6%] (8%) {8%}

Recalculated match-up, asking Wyllie voters: Who is your second choice?

• Charlie Crist (D) 45% [44%] (44%) {45%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [47%] (50%)
• Rick Scott (R) 42% [44%] (46%) {40%} [38%] (38%) {40%} [37%] (34%)

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 84% [87%] (86%) {78%} [82%] (81%) {86%} [83%] (81%)
• Rick Scott (R) 8% [6%] (8%) {10%} [9%] (6%) {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 83% [85%] (81%) {79%} [79%] (79%) {80%} [75%] (76%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 9% [8%] (14%) {12%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [13%] (16%)

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (D) 53% [46%] (39%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (49%)
• Rick Scott (R) 33% [40%] (47%) {38%} [34%] (32%) {41%} [33%] (29%)

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 49% [48%] (50%) {48%} [43%] (42%) {46%} [43%] (39%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 39% [41%] (43%) {39%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (49%)  

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 51% [46%] (46%) {49%} [51%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (51%)
• Rick Scott (R) 37% [40%] (43%) {34%} [33%] (34%) {34%} [32%] (29%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Charlie Crist 45% [42%] (41%) {40%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [48%] (49%) / 45% [47%] (49%) {42%} [36%] (35%) {39%} [31%] (30%) {0%}
• Rick Scott 41% [40%] (42%) {40%} [39%] (38%) {39%} [40%] (33%) / 46% [48%] (48%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {42%} [42%] (46%) {-5%}

Survey of 817 likely voters was conducted October 22-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 33% [33%] (32%) {28%} [25%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 31% [30%] (30%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 27% [29%] (31%) {32%} [34%] (35%) {32%} [30%] (31%) Independent; 9% [7%] (7%) {9%} [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 14-20, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 17-22, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Charlie Crist (D) 44% [42%] (37%) {39%} [43%] (47%)
• Rick Scott (R) 42% [44%] (37%) {41%} [44%] (44%)
• Unsure 14% [14%] (26%) {15%} [9%] (6%)

Survey of 861 likely voters was conducted October 22-24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 37% [37%] (37%) {36%} [36%] (36%) Democrat; 36% [36%] (36%) {37%} [37%] (37%) Republican; 27% [27%] (27%) {27%} [27%] (27%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted October 11-12, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 14-24, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 20-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 23-25, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30-31, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Rick Scott (R) 46% {47%} [46%] (48%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 45% {44%} [43%] (43%)
• Other 2% {1%} [4%] (4%)
• Not sure 7% {8%} [8%] (2%)

Survey of 5,422 likely voters was conducted October 16-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Saint Leo University Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Saint Leo University Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

Thinking about the November election for Governor, if the election were held today would you vote for Republican Rick Scott, Democrat Charlie Crist, or Libertarian Adrian Wyllie?

• Charlie Crist (D) 43%
• Rick Scott (R) 40%
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 8%
• Don't know/Unsure 9%

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 80%
• Rick Scott (R) 11%
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 5%
• Don' know/Unsure 4%

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 73%
• Charlie Crist (D) 15%
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 6%
• Don' know/Unsure 8%

Among Independents

• Rick Scott (R) 36%
• Charlie Crist (D) 32%
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 14%
• Don' know/Unsure 18%

Among Men

• Charlie Crist (D) 44%
• Rick Scott (R) 42%
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 9%
• Don' know/Unsure 5% 

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 43%
• Rick Scott (R) 38%
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 7%
• Don' know/Unsure 12% 

What if there were no Libertarian candidate and you could only vote for Republican Rick Scott or Democrat Charlie Crist?

• Charlie Crist (D) 45% (41%)
• Rick Scott (R) 45% (43%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Scott 48% (46%) / 48% (48%) {0%}
• Charlie Crist 47% (47%) / 49% (47%) {-2%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 16-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 37% Republican; 37% Democrat; 26% No affiliation.  Results from the poll conducted May 28 - June 4, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Charlie Crist the Democrat, Rick Scott the Republican and Adrian Wyllie the Libertarian, for whom would you vote?

• Charlie Crist (D) 42% (42%) {39%}
• Rick Scott (R) 42% (44%) {37%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 7% (8%) {9%}

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 86% (83%) {73%}
• Rick Scott (R) 5% (7%) {9%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 3% (6%) {6%}

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 81% (80%) {74%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 7% (11%) {9%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% (7%) {5%}

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (D) 41% (37%) {36%}
• Rick Scott (R) 38% (44%) {34%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 11% (11%) {12%}

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 46% (48%) {45%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 38% (40%) {32%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 10% (8%) {9%}

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 45% (43%) {45%}
• Rick Scott (R) 39% (41%) {30%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% (8%) {8%}

Recalculated match-up, asking Wyllie voters: Who is your second choice?

• Charlie Crist (D) 44% (44%) {45%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [47%] (50%)
• Rick Scott (R) 44% (46%) {40%} [38%] (38%) {40%} [37%] (34%)

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 87% (86%) {78%} [82%] (81%) {86%} [83%] (81%)
• Rick Scott (R) 6% (8%) {10%} [9%] (6%) {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 85% (81%) {79%} [79%] (79%) {80%} [75%] (76%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 8% (14%) {12%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [13%] (16%)

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (D) 46% (39%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (49%)
• Rick Scott (R) 40% (47%) {38%} [34%] (32%) {41%} [33%] (29%)

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 48% (50%) {48%} [43%] (42%) {46%} [43%] (39%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 41% (43%) {39%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (49%)  

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 46% (46%) {49%} [51%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (51%)
• Rick Scott (R) 40% (43%) {34%} [33%] (34%) {34%} [32%] (29%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Charlie Crist 42% (41%) {40%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [48%] (49%) / 47% (49%) {42%} [36%] (35%) {39%} [31%] (30%) {-5%}
• Rick Scott 40% (42%) {40%} [39%] (38%) {39%} [40%] (33%) / 48% (48%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {42%} [42%] (46%) {-8%}

Survey of 984 likely voters was conducted October 14-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 33% (32%) {28%} [25%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 30% (30%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 29% (31%) {32%} [34%] (35%) {32%} [30%] (31%) Independent; 7% (7%) {9%} [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 17-22, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Charlie Crist (D) 47% {42%} [41%] (45%)
• Rick Scott (R) 47% {40%} [42%] (39%)

Survey of 1,114 likely voters was conducted October 15-17, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 8-10, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 29-30, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 21-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Tampa Bay Times/Bay News 9/News 13/UF Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Tampa Bay Times/Bay News 9/News 13/UF Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Charlie Crist (D) 40% (35.74%)
• Rick Scott (R) 40% (40.93%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% (6.32%)

Survey of 781 likely voters was conducted October 7-12, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 27-31, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 1, 2014 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Forty-four percent of the likely voters surveyed approved of Scott's handling of his job, while 49 percent disapprove — including 57 percent of independent voters. In contrast, 48 percent said they approved of Crist's performance when he was the Republican governor — including six in 10 Democrats, one-third of Republicans, and 47 percent of independents — while 41 percent disapproved.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Rick Scott (R) 44% (37%) {41%} [44%] (44%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 42% (37%) {39%} [43%] (47%)
• Unsure 14% (26%) {15%} [9%] (6%)

Survey of 1,023 likely voters was conducted October 11-12, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 37% (37%) {36%} [36%] (36%) Democrat; 36% (36%) {37%} [37%] (37%) Republican; 27% (27%) {27%} [27%] (27%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted August 14-24, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 20-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 23-25, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30-31, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Charlie Crist (D) 45% (44%) {46%} [42%] (39%) {44%} [45%] (41%) {43%} [46%] (43%) {41%} [44%] (40%) {44%} [44%] (46%)
• Rick Scott (R) 41% (42%) {40%} [43%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {45%} [40%] (45%) {42%} [40%] (42%) {41%} [41%] (41%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 7% (6%) {8%} [4%] (7%) {3%} [4%] (4%)

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 78% (83%) {81%} [78%] (76%) {78%} [78%] (76%) {78%} [82%] (79%) {75%} [82%] (77%) {80%} (80%)
• Rick Scott (R) 11% (10%) {8%} [10%] (11%) {12%} [11%] (13%) {13%} [9%] (10%) {11%} [6%] (8%) {10%} (13%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 5% (2%) {5%} [2%] (4%) {4%} [3%] (1%)

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 74% (78%) {75%} [79%] (76%) {79%} [75%] (79%) {80%} [73%] (79%) {77%} [75%] (80%) {74%} (71%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 15% (12%) {12%} [10%] (11%) {14%} [19%] (12%) {14%} [16%] (13%) {12%} [13%] (7%) {14%} (14%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 8% (5%) {9%} [6%] (9%) {2%} [4%] (2%)

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (D) 39% (32%) {41%} [39%] (31%) {41%} [37%] (37%) {33%} [37%] (35%) {32%} [35%] (31%) {36%} (40%)
• Rick Scott (R) 38% (37%) {33%} [34%] (44%) {41%} [40%] (30%) {45%} [39%] (47%) {40%} [39%] (39%) {41%} (43%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 7% (14%) {13%} [7%] (9%) {1%} [7%] (12%)

Among Moderates

• Charlie Crist (D) 53% (55%) {57%} [53%] (52%) {55%} [53%] (52%) {54%} [54%] (51%) {52%} [47%] (46%) {55%} (57%)
• Rick Scott (R) 33% (31%) {29%} [31%] (32%) {35%} [34%] (29%) {33%} [32%] (38%) {28%} [31%] (34%) {30%} (33%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 5% (5%) {6%} [4%] (9%) {3%} [3%] (4%)

Among Men

• Charlie Crist (D) 44% (43%) {44%}[43%] (35%) {40%} [43%] (40%) {41%} [43%] (40%) {36%} [39%] (35%) {37%} (47%)
• Rick Scott (R) 43% (44%) {42%} [42%] (47%) {50%} [45%] (43%) {50%} [42%] (47%) {49%} [45%] (49%) {49%} (41%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 7% (6%) {6%} [5%] (9%) {2%} [5%] (6%)

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 45% (46%) {47%} [41%] (43%) {48%} [47%] (41%) {45%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [50%] (47%) {50%} (46%)
• Rick Scott (R) 40% (41%) {38%} [44%] (41%) {41%} [41%] (44%) {41%} [38%] (43%) {35%} [34%] (35%) {33%} (42%) 
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% (5%) {10%} [3%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (3%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Charlie Crist (36%) {37%} [33%] (33%) / (44%) {45%} [45%] (47%) {-8%}
• Rick Scott (36%) {35%} [37%] (39%) / (46%) {51%} [42%] (44%) {-10%}

Survey of 566 likely voters was conducted October 10-13, 2014 for WFLA-TV.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID: 38% (40%) {40%} [40%] (41%) {40%} [41%] (40%) {37%} [38%] (37%) {37%} [38%] (37%) {37%} (34%) Republican; 38% (40%) {40%} [39%] (37%) {39%} [37%] (35%) {38%} [37%] (38%) {40%} [38%] (39%) {37%} (38%) Democrat; 23% (20%) {19%} [20%] (21%) {20%} [21%] (24%) {24%} [24%] (24%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {26%} (27%) Independent. Ideology: 44% (38%) {39%} [42%] (40%) {43%} [41%] (45%) {43%} [44%] (42%) {49%} [41%] (41%) {42%} (45%) Moderate; 30% (36%) {35%} [34%] (36%) {35%} [35%] (34%) {34%} [34%] (33%) {30%} [35%] (34%) {34%} (32%) Conservative; 18% (21%) {22%} [19%] (19%) {18%} [19%] (16%) {20%} [17%] (21%) {17%} [20%] (21%) {19%} (20%) Liberal. Gender: 51% (52%) {51%} [51%] (52%) {51%} [50%] (47%) {51%} [52%] (49%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {49%} (48%) Female; 49% (48%) {49%} [49%] (48%) {49%} [50%] (53%) {49%} [48%] (51%) {51%} [53%] (53%) {51%} (52%) Male. Results from the poll conducted October 2-6, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 26-29, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 19-22, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 12-15, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 5-8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 27-28, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 15-18, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 4, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 2, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 20-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 5-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll released April 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

CNN/ORC Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Charlie Crist (D) 44%
• Rick Scott (R) 44%
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 9%

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 84%
• Rick Scott (R) 7%
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 6%

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 84%
• Charlie Crist (D) 10%
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 3%

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (D) 39%
• Rick Scott (R) 39%
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 17%

Among Moderates

• Charlie Crist (D) 51%
• Rick Scott (R) 36%
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 10%

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 47%
• Charlie Crist (D) 42%
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 9%

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 45%
• Rick Scott (R) 42%
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 8%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

• Rick Scott 45% / 52% {-7%}
• Charlie Crist 42% / 53% {-11%}

Survey of 610 likely voters was conducted October 9-13, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 34% Republican; 32% Democrat; 34% Independent.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Rick Scott (R) 47% [46%] (48%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 44% [43%] (43%)
• Other 1% [4%] (4%)
• Not sure 8% [8%] (2%)

Survey of 5,689 likely voters was conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: University of North Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

UNF Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election for governor were being held today, whom would you vote for between Rick Scott the Republican, Charlie Crist the Democrat and Adrian Wyllie the Libertarian?

• Charlie Crist (D) 43%
• Rick Scott (R) 38%
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 10%

If the election for governor were being held today, whom would you vote for between Rick Scott the Republican and Charlie Crist the Democrat?

• Charlie Crist (D) 47% [34%] (44%)
• Rick Scott (R) 42% [33%] (40%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Rick Scott is handling his job as governor of Florida?

• Approve 41% [45%] (49%)
• Disapprove 54% [39%] (42%)

Survey of 471 likely Florida voters was conducted September 29 - October 8, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.74 percentage points.  Party ID: 41% [39%] Democrat; 40% [35%] Republican; 19% [25%] Independent/No party affiliation. Results from the poll conducted March 6-16, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 8, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Charlie Crist (D) 44% {46%} [42%] (39%) {44%} [45%] (41%) {43%} [46%] (43%) {41%} [44%] (40%) {44%} [44%] (46%)
• Rick Scott (R) 42% {40%} [43%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {45%} [40%] (45%) {42%} [40%] (42%) {41%} [41%] (41%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% {8%} [4%] (7%) {3%} [4%] (4%)

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 83% {81%} [78%] (76%) {78%} [78%] (76%) {78%} [82%] (79%) {75%} [82%] (77%) {80%} (80%)
• Rick Scott (R) 10% {8%} [10%] (11%) {12%} [11%] (13%) {13%} [9%] (10%) {11%} [6%] (8%) {10%} (13%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 2% {5%} [2%] (4%) {4%} [3%] (1%)

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 78% {75%} [79%] (76%) {79%} [75%] (79%) {80%} [73%] (79%) {77%} [75%] (80%) {74%} (71%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 12% {12%} [10%] (11%) {14%} [19%] (12%) {14%} [16%] (13%) {12%} [13%] (7%) {14%} (14%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 5% {9%} [6%] (9%) {2%} [4%] (2%)

Among Independents

• Rick Scott (R) 37% {33%} [34%] (44%) {41%} [40%] (30%) {45%} [39%] (47%) {40%} [39%] (39%) {41%} (43%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 32% {41%} [39%] (31%) {41%} [37%] (37%) {33%} [37%] (35%) {32%} [35%] (31%) {36%} (40%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 14% {13%} [7%] (9%) {1%} [7%] (12%)

Among Moderates

• Charlie Crist (D) 55% {57%} [53%] (52%) {55%} [53%] (52%) {54%} [54%] (51%) {52%} [47%] (46%) {55%} (57%)
• Rick Scott (R) 31% {29%} [31%] (32%) {35%} [34%] (29%) {33%} [32%] (38%) {28%} [31%] (34%) {30%} (33%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 5% {6%} [4%] (9%) {3%} [3%] (4%)

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 44% {42%} [42%] (47%) {50%} [45%] (43%) {50%} [42%] (47%) {49%} [45%] (49%) {49%} (41%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 43% {44%}[43%] (35%) {40%} [43%] (40%) {41%} [43%] (40%) {36%} [39%] (35%) {37%} (47%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% {6%} [5%] (9%) {2%} [5%] (6%)

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 46% {47%} [41%] (43%) {48%} [47%] (41%) {45%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [50%] (47%) {50%} (46%)
• Rick Scott (R) 41% {38%} [44%] (41%) {41%} [41%] (44%) {41%} [38%] (43%) {35%} [34%] (35%) {33%} (42%) 
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 5% {10%} [3%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (3%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Charlie Crist 36% {37%} [33%] (33%) / 44% {45%} [45%] (47%) {-8%}
• Rick Scott 36% {35%} [37%] (39%) / 46% {51%} [42%] (44%) {-10%}

Survey of 594 likely voters was conducted October 2-6, 2014 for WFLA-TV.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 40% {40%} [40%] (41%) {40%} [41%] (40%) {37%} [38%] (37%) {37%} [38%] (37%) {37%} (34%) Republican; 40% {40%} [39%] (37%) {39%} [37%] (35%) {38%} [37%] (38%) {40%} [38%] (39%) {37%} (38%) Democrat; 20% {19%} [20%] (21%) {20%} [21%] (24%) {24%} [24%] (24%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {26%} (27%) Independent. Ideology: 38% {39%} [42%] (40%) {43%} [41%] (45%) {43%} [44%] (42%) {49%} [41%] (41%) {42%} (45%) Moderate; 36% {35%} [34%] (36%) {35%} [35%] (34%) {34%} [34%] (33%) {30%} [35%] (34%) {34%} (32%) Conservative; 21% {22%} [19%] (19%) {18%} [19%] (16%) {20%} [17%] (21%) {17%} [20%] (21%) {19%} (20%) Liberal. Gender: 52% {51%} [51%] (52%) {51%} [50%] (47%) {51%} [52%] (49%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {49%} (48%) Female; 48% {49%} [49%] (48%) {49%} [50%] (53%) {49%} [48%] (51%) {51%} [53%] (53%) {51%} (52%) Male. Results from the poll conducted September 26-29, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 19-22, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 12-15, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 5-8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 27-28, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 15-18, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 4, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 2, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 20-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 5-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll released April 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Charlie Crist (D) 45% (42%)
• Rick Scott (R) 43% (39%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 8% (8%)
• Undecided 5% (11%)

Survey of 1,161 likely voters was conducted October 3-4, 2014. Party ID: 44% (40%) Democrat; 39% (38%) Republican; 17% (22%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 4-7, 2014 are in parentheses. 

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Charlie Crist (D) 46% [42%] (39%) {44%} [45%] (41%) {43%} [46%] (43%) {41%} [44%] (40%) {44%} [44%] (46%)
• Rick Scott (R) 40% [43%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {45%} [40%] (45%) {42%} [40%] (42%) {41%} [41%] (41%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 8% [4%] (7%) {3%} [4%] (4%)

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 81% [78%] (76%) {78%} [78%] (76%) {78%} [82%] (79%) {75%} [82%] (77%) {80%} (80%)
• Rick Scott (R) 8% [10%] (11%) {12%} [11%] (13%) {13%} [9%] (10%) {11%} [6%] (8%) {10%} (13%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 5% [2%] (4%) {4%} [3%] (1%)

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 75% [79%] (76%) {79%} [75%] (79%) {80%} [73%] (79%) {77%} [75%] (80%) {74%} (71%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 12% [10%] (11%) {14%} [19%] (12%) {14%} [16%] (13%) {12%} [13%] (7%) {14%} (14%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 9% [6%] (9%) {2%} [4%] (2%)

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (D) 41% [39%] (31%) {41%} [37%] (37%) {33%} [37%] (35%) {32%} [35%] (31%) {36%} (40%)
• Rick Scott (R) 33% [34%] (44%) {41%} [40%] (30%) {45%} [39%] (47%) {40%} [39%] (39%) {41%} (43%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 13% [7%] (9%) {1%} [7%] (12%)

Among Moderates

• Charlie Crist (D) 57% [53%] (52%) {55%} [53%] (52%) {54%} [54%] (51%) {52%} [47%] (46%) {55%} (57%)
• Rick Scott (R) 29% [31%] (32%) {35%} [34%] (29%) {33%} [32%] (38%) {28%} [31%] (34%) {30%} (33%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% [4%] (9%) {3%} [3%] (4%)

Among Men

• Charlie Crist (D) 44% [43%] (35%) {40%} [43%] (40%) {41%} [43%] (40%) {36%} [39%] (35%) {37%} (47%)
• Rick Scott (R) 42% [42%] (47%) {50%} [45%] (43%) {50%} [42%] (47%) {49%} [45%] (49%) {49%} (41%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% [5%] (9%) {2%} [5%] (6%)

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 47% [41%] (43%) {48%} [47%] (41%) {45%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [50%] (47%) {50%} (46%)
• Rick Scott (R) 38% [44%] (41%) {41%} [41%] (44%) {41%} [38%] (43%) {35%} [34%] (35%) {33%} (42%) 
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 10% [3%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (3%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Charlie Crist 37% [33%] (33%) / 45% [45%] (47%) {-8%}
• Rick Scott 35% [37%] (39%) / 51% [42%] (44%) {-16%}

Survey of 584 likely voters was conducted September 26-29, 2014 for WFLA-TV.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 40% [40%] (41%) {40%} [41%] (40%) {37%} [38%] (37%) {37%} [38%] (37%) {37%} (34%) Republican; 40% [39%] (37%) {39%} [37%] (35%) {38%} [37%] (38%) {40%} [38%] (39%) {37%} (38%) Democrat; 19% [20%] (21%) {20%} [21%] (24%) {24%} [24%] (24%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {26%} (27%) Independent. Ideology: 39% [42%] (40%) {43%} [41%] (45%) {43%} [44%] (42%) {49%} [41%] (41%) {42%} (45%) Moderate; 35% [34%] (36%) {35%} [35%] (34%) {34%} [34%] (33%) {30%} [35%] (34%) {34%} (32%) Conservative; 22% [19%] (19%) {18%} [19%] (16%) {20%} [17%] (21%) {17%} [20%] (21%) {19%} (20%) Liberal. Gender: 51% [51%] (52%) {51%} [50%] (47%) {51%} [52%] (49%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {49%} (48%) Female; 49% [49%] (48%) {49%} [50%] (53%) {49%} [48%] (51%) {51%} [53%] (53%) {51%} (52%) Male. Results from the poll conducted September 19-22, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 12-15, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 5-8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 27-28, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 15-18, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 4, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 2, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 20-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 5-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll released April 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Charlie Crist the Democrat, Rick Scott the Republican and Adrian Wyllie the Libertarian, for whom would you vote?

• Rick Scott (R) 44% {37%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 42% {39%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 8% {9%}

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 83% {73%}
• Rick Scott (R) 7% {9%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% {6%}

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 80% {74%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 11% {9%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 7% {5%}

Among Independents

• Rick Scott (R) 44% {34%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 37% {36%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 11% {12%}

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 48% {45%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 40% {32%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 8% {9%}

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 43% {45%}
• Rick Scott (R) 41% {30%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 8% {8%}

Recalculated match-up, asking Wyllie voters: Who is your second choice?

• Rick Scott (R) 46% {40%} [38%] (38%) {40%} [37%] (34%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 44% {45%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [47%] (50%)
  

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 86% {78%} [82%] (81%) {86%} [83%] (81%)
• Rick Scott (R) 8% {10%} [9%] (6%) {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 81% {79%} [79%] (79%) {80%} [75%] (76%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 14% {12%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [13%] (16%)

Among Independents

• Rick Scott (R) 47% {38%} [34%] (32%) {41%} [33%] (29%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 39% {45%} [48%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (49%)

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 50% {48%} [43%] (42%) {46%} [43%] (39%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 43% {39%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (49%)  

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 46% {49%} [51%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (51%)
• Rick Scott (R) 43% {34%} [33%] (34%) {34%} [32%] (29%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Scott 42% {40%} [39%] (38%) {39%} [40%] (33%) / 48% {45%} [46%] (45%) {42%} [42%] (46%) {-6%}
• Charlie Crist 41% {40%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [48%] (49%) / 49% {42%} [36%] (35%) {39%} [31%] (30%) {-8%}

Would you say that Charlie Crist is honest and trustworthy or not?

• Yes 37% {39%} [45%]
• No 49% {48%} [43%]

Would you say that Rick Scott is honest and trustworthy or not?

• Yes 39% {40%} [38%]
• No 51% {51%} [51%]

Would you say that Charlie Crist cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 46% {44%} [48%]
• No 45% {47%} [42%]

Would you say that Rick Scott cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 42% {41%} [38%]
• No 50% {52%} [55%]

Would you say that Charlie Crist has strong leadership qualities or not?

• Yes 46% {49%} [55%]
• No 44% {43%} [37%]

Would you say that Rick Scott has strong leadership qualities or not?

• Yes 58% {54%} [49%]
• No 34% {38%} [44%]

Survey of 991 likely voters was conducted September 17-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 32% {28%} [25%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 30% {31%} [31%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 31% {32%} [34%] (35%) {32%} [30%] (31%) Independent; 7% {9%} [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.