Sunday, October 31, 2010

Poll Watch: PPP (D) West Virginia Senatorial Special Election Survey

PPP (D) West Virginia Senatorial Special Election Survey
  • Joe Manchin (D) 51% {50%} [48%] (43%)
  • John Raese (R) 46% {44%} [45%] (46%)
  • Undecided 3% {6%} [7%] (10%)
Among Men
  • John Raese (R) 53% {49%} [49%] (50%)
  • Joe Manchin (D) 45% {45%} [44%] (39%)
  • Undecided 2% {6%} [7%] (10%)
Among Women
  • Joe Manchin (D) 56% {54%} [51%] (47%)
  • John Raese (R) 40% {38%} [41%] (42%)
  • Undecided 4% {7%} [7%] (11%)
Already Voted (27%)
  • Joe Manchin (D) 54%
  • John Raese (R) 45%
Did Not Vote Yet (73%)
  • Joe Manchin (D) 50%
  • John Raese (R) 47%
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Joe Manchin’s job performance?
  • Approve 70% {69%} [68%] (59%)
  • Disapprove 22% {23%} [22%] (32%)
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John Raese?
  • Favorable 41% {42%] [39%] (41%)
  • Unfavorable 47% {47%} [46%] (35%)
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 31% {31%} [33%] (30%)
  • Disapprove 61% {65%} [61%] (64%)
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jay Rockefeller’s job performance?
  • Approve 49% {47%} [51%]
  • Disapprove 40% {43%} [40%]
Survey of 1,676 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 55% {55%} [55%] (51%) Democrat; 34% {35%} [33%] (37%) Republican; 11% {11%} [12%] (12%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 44% {46%} [48%] (42%) Moderate; 43% {42%} [39%] (45%) Conservative; 13% {13%} [13%] (13%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 23-24, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 9-10, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-19, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Albuquerque Journal New Mexico Gubernatorial Survey

Albuquerque Journal New Mexico Gubernatorial Survey
  • Susana Martinez (R) 53% [49%] (45%)
  • Diane Denish (D) 43% [42%] (39%)
Survey of 1,003 likely voters was conducted October 27-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-27, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Ninety-one percent of Republicans supported Martinez and 6 percent backed Denish.
Meanwhile, 69 percent of Democrats supported Denish and 25 percent supported Martinez.
Denish had 56 percent support among Hispanic voters, who often lean toward Democratic candidates, while Martinez had 37 percent support.
Sixty-one percent of Anglo voters supported Martinez while 35 percent supported Denish.
Denish had a 60 percent to 35 percent advantage over Martinez in the north-central region of New Mexico, but Martinez led by almost identical margins in the northwest and east side regions.
Martinez also led Denish in the Albuquerque area and in the south-southwest region.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey
  • Tom Corbett (R) 52% (48%) {48%} [45%] (45%)
  • Dan Onorato (D) 45% (46%) {35%} [35%] (32%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Tom Corbett 51% (47%) {33%} [31%] (27%) / 32% (34%) {23%} [19%] (20%) {+19%}
  • Dan Onorato 37% (45%) {30%} [22%] (15%) / 45% (39%) {28%} [25%] (13%) {-8%
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Ed Rendell’s job performance?
  • Approve 34% (36%) {27%} [35%] (35%)
  • Disapprove 53% (54%) {63%} [53%] (51%)
Survey of 772 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 46% (48%) {46%} [50%] (47%) Democrat; 44% (41%) {44%} [42%] (41%) Republican; 10% (11%) {9%} [8%] (12%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 43% (37%) {39%} [43%] (41%) Moderate; 39% (44%) {44%} [39%] (40%) Conservative; 18% (19%) {16%} [17%] (19%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 17-18, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania Senatorial Survey 
  • Pat Toomey (R) 51% (45%) {45%} [41%] (42%)
  • Joe Sestak (D) 46% (46%) {36%} [41%] (36%)
  • Undecided 4% (9%) {20%} [18%] (22%)
Among Men
  • Pat Toomey (R) 51% (50%) {50%} [45%] (48%)
  • Joe Sestak (D) 46% (42%) {37%} [40%] (31%)
  • Undecided 3% (8%) {14%} [16%] (20%)
Among Women
  • Pat Toomey (R) 50% (41%) {40%} [38%] (37%)
  • Joe Sestak (D) 46% (49%) {35%} [42%] (39%)
  • Undecided 4% (10%) {25%} [20%] (24%) 
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Pat Toomey?
  • Favorable 45% (41%) {36%} [30%] (20%)
  • Unfavorable 40% (41%) {33%} [28%] (22%)
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Sestak?
  • Favorable 39% (43%) {28%} [29%] (16%)
  • Unfavorable 43% (39%) {38%} [28%] (18%)
If the candidates for Senate this fall had been Democrat Arlen Specter and Republican Pat Toomey, who would you have voted for?
  • Pat Toomey 49%
  • Arlen Specter 40%
  • Undecided 10%
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Arlen Specter’s job performance?
  • Approve 29% (32%) {27%} [30%] (34%)
  • Disapprove 60% (57%) {57%} [55%] (52%)
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Bob Casey's job performance?
  • Approve 36%
  • Disapprove 40%
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 40% (43%) {40%} [43%] (46%)
  • Disapprove 54% (51%) {55%} [50%] (50%)  
Survey of 772 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 46% (48%) {46%} [50%] (47%) Democrat; 44% (41%) {44%} [42%] (41%) Republican; 10% (11%) {9%} [8%] (12%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 43% (37%) {39%} [43%] (41%) Moderate; 39% (44%) {44%} [39%] (40%) Conservative; 18% (19%) {16%} [17%] (19%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 17-18, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Arkansas Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Arkansas Senatorial Survey
  • John Boozman (R) 55% {55%} [65%] (60%) {61%} [66%] (57%) {51%} [48%] (54%)
  • Blanche Lincoln (D) 36% {37%} [27%] (35%) {32%] [28%] (29%) {36%} [39%] (35%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • John Boozman 61% {56%} [67%] (65%) {65%} [64%] (58%) {47%} [51%] (51%) / 35% {36%} [26%] (26%) {26%} [28%] (24%) {25%} [27%] (24%) {+26%}
  • Blanche Lincoln 38% {37%} [34%] (37%) {32%} [28%] (31%) {37%} [41%] (36%) {38%} [43%] (45%) / 59% {63%} [63%] (62%) {65%} [71%] (63%) {61%} [52%] (59%) {56%} [52%] (52%) {-21%}
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?
  • Strongly approve 26% {19%} [21%] (17%) {24%} [19%] (27%) {23%} [22%] (20%) {20%} [21%] (28%)
  • Somewhat approve 12% {15%} [10%] (17%) {14%} [13%] (8%) {14%} [16%] (13%) {18%} [13%] (9%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 8% {10%} [13%] (9%) {12%} [10%] (12%) {9%} [10%] (7%) {8%} [14%] (10%)
  • Strongly disapprove 53% {56%} [56%] (56%) {49%} [57%] (51%) {52%} [50%] (59%) {53%} [51%] (52%)
How would you rate the job Mike Beebe has been doing as Governor?
  • Strongly approve 41% {32%} [31%] (32%) {34%} [27%] (28%) {33%} [26%] (22%) {23%} [23%] (27%)
  • Somewhat approve 37% {35%} [41%] (42%) {42%} [45%] (40%) {41%} [49%] (51%) {45%} [47%] (42%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 13% {20%} [18%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (24%) {15%} [16%] (17%) {21%} [22%] (22%)
  • Strongly disapprove 8% {12%} [8%] (8%) {4%} [13%] (6%) {10%} [6%] (7%) {8%} [6%] (8%)
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 34% {28%} Republican; 33% {36%} Democrat; 33% {36%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 30, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 20, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 15, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 30, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 1, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 5, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 1, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 28, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Eighty-eight percent (88%) of Arkansas Republicans support Boozman, while Lincoln has the backing of 82% of Democrats. Voters not affiliated with either of the major parties prefer the GOP candidate by a 44-point margin.

One last push in Fort Myers for both Crist and Rubio



Charlie Crist: "...If you are born in America, you’re an American..."

When Charlie Crist, Florida Governor and Senate candidate, was asked on the proposal to eliminate citizenship to children born in the U.S. if parents were illegal immigrants, Mr. Crist thought that wasn't right.
Mr. Crist said: " I don’t think that’s right. Tradition in America has always been, if you’re born in America you’re an American. I believe in that and it’s the right thing to do."   Mr. Crist also commented on one of his opponents Marco Rubio and said: ”Unfortunately he (Marco Rubio) doesn’t support the DREAM Act, doesn’t support rational immigration reform; he’s a radical extremist like Sarah Palin, and that’s not what we need, and that’s not what we want, and Florida deserves better.”

Mr. Crist's comments were made while he visited Hollywood, a city between Miami and Fort Lauderdale, in one of the stops in the last day of the three-day bus tour.

Mr Crist was accompanied by the Hollywood's Mayor Peter Bober and along Broadwalk Street he chatted with voters and the press before getting to Ocean Alley, a beach front restaurant, to chat with the brunch clients and even served some drinks.

Charlie Crist for Senate Ad: "Marco Rubio in His Own Words"

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey
  • Tom Corbett (R) 52% [50%] (54%) {53%} [49%] (50%) {48%} [50%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {45%} [46%] (52%)
  • Dan Onorato (D) 43% [45%] (40%) {41%}  [39%] (37%) {38%} [39%] (38%) {39%} [33%] (36%) {36%} [29%] (26%)
Among Voters Certain of Their Vote
  • Tom Corbett (R) 56% [55%] (57%)
  • Dan Onorato (D) 44% [45%] (43%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Tom Corbett 59% [52%] (57%) {61%} [59%] (60%) {59%} [54%] (56%) {61%} [59%] (57%) {56%} [59%] (67%) / 35% [40%] (32%) {26%} [28%] (29%) {27%} [31%] (26%) {24%} [25%] (26%) {29%} [33%] (15%) {+14%}
  • Dan Onorato 49% [47%] (46%) {50%} [47%] (43%) {46%} [48%] (46%) {48%} [45%] (46%) {41%} [36%] (34%) / 47% [45%] (43%) {37%} [32%] (39%) {35%} [32%] (33%) {37%} [35%] (32%) {32%} [36%] (35%) {+2%}
Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 28, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 41% [43%] (45%) Democrat; 39% [40%] (37%) Republican; 20% [17%] (17%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 30, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 28, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 14, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 16, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 10, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 18, 2010 are in angle brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 8, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 13, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Corbett has the backing of 89% of Republicans in the state, while 79% of Democrats support Onorato. The GOP candidate holds an 19-point lead among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

Poll Watch: Mason-Dixon Georgia Gubernatorial Survey

Mason-Dixon Georgia Gubernatorial Survey
  • Nathan Deal (R) 47% [45%]
  • Roy Barnes (D) 40% [41%]
  • John Monds (L) 6% [5%]
  • Undecided 7% [9%]
Survey of 625 likely voters was conducted October 26-28, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-15, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kentucky Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Kentucky Senatorial Survey
  • Rand Paul (R) 55% [53%] (49%) {43%} [41%] (42%)
  • Jack Conway (D) 40% [40%] (42%) {43%} [40%] (36%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Rand Paul 48% [49%] (45%) {34%} [28%] (26%) / 43% [43%] (40%) {42%} [35%] (23%) {+5%}
  • Jack Conway 34% [39%] (36%) {31%} [20%] (19%) / 52% [52%] (36%) {29%} [22%] (18%) {-18%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 31% [34%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (35%)
  • Disapprove 62% [61%] (60%) {58%} [59%] (59%)
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Steve Beshear's job performance?
  • Approve 48% [43%] (43%)
  • Disapprove 34% [39%] (37%)
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mitch McConnell's job performance?
  • Approve 42% [41%] (41%)
  • Disapprove 44% [47%] (50%)
Among Republicans
  • Approve 68% [65%] (64%)
  • Disapprove 20% [25%] (25%)
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jim Bunning's job performance?
  • Approve 32% [33%] (31%)
  • Disapprove 45% [45%] (48%)
Among Republicans
  • Approve 47% [45%] (43%)
  • Disapprove 29% [30%] (33%)
Survey of 1,021 likely voters was conducted October 28-30, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 53% [50%] (49%) {52%} [50%] (52%) Democrat; 37% [40%] (39%) {37%} [40%] (38%) Republican; 10% [10%] (12%) {11%} [10%] (11%) Independent. Political ideology: 44% [44%] (47%) {47%} [49%] (45%) Conservative; 42% [41%] (38%) {41%} [38%] (43%) Moderate; 14% [15%] (15%) {12%} [13%] (13%) Liberal.   Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 11-12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 28-30, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 1-2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 18-21, 2009 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. Iowa Gubernatorial Survey

Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. Iowa Gubernatorial Survey
  • Terry Branstad (R) 50% [52%]
  • Chet Culver (D) 38% [33%]
  • Other candidates 5% [9%]
  • Not sure 7% [6%]
Survey of 805 likely voters was conducted October 26-29, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-22, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: New York Times/USF Polytechnic Florida Gubernatorial Survey

New York Times/USF Polytechnic Florida Gubernatorial Survey
  • Rick Scott (R) 44% [30%]
  • Alex Sink (D) 39% [28%]
  • Neither 6%
  • Undecided 11% [31%]
Survey of 696 likely voters was conducted October 23-27, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 24-28, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen New Hampshire Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen New Hampshire Gubernatorial Survey
  • John Lynch (D) 51% (53%) {48%} [50%] (47%) {47%} [50%]
  • John Stephen (R) 45% (43%) {46%} [39%] (35%) {37%} [35%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • John Lynch 54% (57%) {55%} [55%] (53%) {60%} [59%] / 43% (39%) {38%} [42%] (43%) {35%} [37%] {+11%}
  • John Stephen 48% (47%) {47%} [39%] (36%) {36%} [32%] / 45% (44%) {38%] [32%] (25%) {27%} [30%] {+3%}
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 27, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 33% (34%) {30%} Republican; 31% (31%) {34%} Democrat; 35% (35%) {36%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 10, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 8, 2010 are in square brackets.

Inside the numbers:

Lynch is backed by 91% of New Hampshire Democrats, while Stephen draws support from 80% of Republicans. Lynch leads 49% to 44% among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Rasmussen Vermont Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Vermont Gubernatorial Survey
  • Peter Shumlin (D) 50% {49%} [36%] (33%)
  • Brian Dubie (R) 45% {46%} [55%] (51%)
Among Voters Certain of Their Vote
  • Peter Shumlin (D) 51%
  • Brian Dubie (R) 48%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Brian Dubie 55% {56%} [61%] (61%) / 44% {39%} [30%] (29%) {+11%}
  • Peter Shumlin 53% {52%} [43%] (37%) / 46% {40%} [41%] (45%) {+7%}
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?
  • Strongly approve 38% {41%} [40%]
  • Somewhat approve 20% {22%} [22%]
  • Somewhat disapprove 8% {7%} [11%]
  • Strongly disapprove 34% {30%} [26%]
How would you rate the job Jim Douglas has been doing as Governor?
  • Strongly approve 33% {30%} [34%]
  • Somewhat approve 25% {34%} [31%]
  • Somewhat disapprove 23% {18%} [21%]
  • Strongly disapprove 17% {16%} [13%]
Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 28, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 37% Democrat; 26% Republican; 37% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 17, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 18, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Dubie draws support from 88% of Republicans, while Shumlin is backed by 83% of Democrats. Dubie holds a 2-point lead over Shumlin among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Ohio Political Survey

PPP (D) Ohio Political Survey

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION
  • John Kasich (R) 49% {50%} [43%] (42%)
  • Ted Strickland (D) 48% {40%} [41%] (37%)
Among Men
  • John Kasich (R) 53%
  • Ted Strickland (D) 44%
Among Women
  • Ted Strickland (D) 51%
  • John Kasich (R) 46%
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Ted Strickland’s job performance?
  • Approve 41% {34%} [37%] (33%)
  • Disapprove 50% {52%} [48%] (47%)
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John Kasich?
  • Favorable 43% {33%} [28%] (25%)
  • Unfavorable 42% {33%} [30%] (24%)
SENATORIAL ELECTION
  • Rob Portman (R) 57% {45%} [38%] (41%)
  • Lee Fisher (D) 39% {38%} [40%] (36%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Rob Portman 50% {29%} [22%] (16%) / 25% {28%} [25%] (19%) {+25%}
  • Lee Fisher 30% {24%} [28%] (22%) / 46% {32%} [27%] (24%) {-16%}
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Sherrod Brown's job performance?
  • Approve 31% {33%}
  • Disapprove 40% {36%}
Would you like John Boehner to be the next Speaker of the House?
  • Yes 36%
  • No 34%
Among Republicans
  • Yes 65%
  • No 9%
Among Independents
  • Yes 37%
  • No 34%
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama's job performance?
  • Approve 38% {41%} [42%] (40%)
  • Disapprove 55% {54%} [54%] (53%)
Survey of 1,356 likely voters was conducted October 28-30, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 43% {40%} [44%] Democrat; 37% {40%} [38%] Republican; 20% {20%} [18%] Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 43% {40%} [37%] Conservative; 40% {44%} [45%] Moderate; 17% {16%} [18%] Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 27-29, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 26-27, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 20-21, 2010 are in parentheses.

Saturday, October 30, 2010

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Ohio Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Ohio Senatorial Survey
  • Rob Portman (R) 56% (54%) {49%} [46%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (45%) {43%} [43%] (42%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [38%] (41%)
  • Lee Fisher (D) 33% (32%) {41%} [39%] (39%) {37%} [40%] (39%) {39%} [43%] (43%) {38%} [39%] (39%) {37%} [36%] (40%)
  • Other 3% (4%) {2%} [4%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [5%] (5%) {4%} [8%] (6%)
  • Not Sure 7% (10%) {8%} [11%] (11%) {13%} [11%] (11%) {13%} [10%] (11%) {14%} [12%] (13%) {14%} [18%] (14%)
With Leaners
  • Rob Portman (R) 57% (57%) {51%} [49%] (47%) {48%}
  • Lee Fisher (D) 33% (34%) {42%} [41%] (41%) {39%}
  • Other 3% (2%) {1%} [2%] (4%) {3%}
  • Not Sure 7% (7%) {6%} [8%] (9%) {10%}
Among Voters Certain of Their Vote
  • Rob Portman (R) 64% (61%) {55%} [58%] (53%) {52%}
  • Lee Fisher (D) 35% (39%) {45%} [42%] (47%) {48%}
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Rob Portman 66% (61%) {57%} [52%] (49%) {51%} [46%] (47%) {48%} [49%] {45%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [48%] (45%) / 25% (27%) {31%} [27%] (28%) {23%} [27%] (26%) {22%} [23%] {26%} [27%] (24%) {25%} [21%] (23%) {+41%}
  • Lee Fisher 39% (38%) {45%} [44%] (47%) {41%} [40%] (41%) {45%} [46%] {39%} [41%] (38%) {41%} [36%] (42%) / 50% (52%) {45%} [38%] (35%) {34%} [41%] (37%) {34%} [33%] {38%} [37%] (39%) {39%} [35%] (34%) {-14%}
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?
  • Strongly approve 27% (29%) {35%} [32%] (27%) {25%} [29%] (31%) {31%} [34%] (29%) {32%} [29%] (29%) {29%} [31%] (33%)
  • Somewhat approve 15% (18%) {13%} [12%] (18%) {20%} [17%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (19%) {14%} [18%] (20%) {17%} [15%] (15%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 7% (8%) {7%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [11%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [10%] (10%) {13%} [12%] (10%)
  • Strongly disapprove 50% (43%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [42%] (46%) {44%} [42%] (43%) {44%} [42%] (41%) {41%} [41%] (40%)
Survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted October 26, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 37% (36%) Democrat; 35% (34%) Republican; 27% (30%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 11, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 27, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 30, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 19, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 29, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 3, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 5, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 30, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 4, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 5-6, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 7, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 23, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Portman has the backing of 88% of Ohio Republicans, while only 63% of Democrats support Fisher. The Republican leads by a 59% to 28% margin among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Connecticut Political Survey

PPP (D) Connecticut Political Survey
GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION
  • Tom Foley (R) 49% [40%]
  • Dan Malloy (D) 47% [50%]
  • Undecided 4% [10%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Tom Foley 41% [41%] / 38% [40%] {+3%}
  • Dan Malloy 39% [48%] / 40% [30%] {-1%}
SENATORIAL ELECTION
  • Richard Blumenthal (D) 54% [53%]
  • Linda McMahon (R) 43% [41%]
  • Undecided 3% [7%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Richard Blumenthal 50% / 40% {+10%}
  • Linda McMahon 37% / 52% {-15%}
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Jodi Rell’s job performance?
  • Approve 55% [51%]
  • Disapprove 31% [37%]
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Joe Lieberman’s job performance?
  • Approve 33%
  • Disapprove 54%
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Chris Dodd’s job performance?
  • Approve 36%
  • Disapprove 52%
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 46%
  • Disapprove 44%
Survey of 759 likely voters was conducted October 27-29, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 42% [41%] Democrat; 27% [28%] Republican; 31% [31%] Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 52% [49%] Moderate; 28% [32%] Conservative; 21% [19%] Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 2, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Minnesota Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Minnesota Gubernatorial Survey
  • Mark Dayton (D) 43%
  • Tom Emmer (R) 40%
  • Tom Horner (I) 15%
  • Undecided 3%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Tom Horner 35% / 36% {-1%}
  • Mark Dayton 43% / 45% {-2%}
  • Tom Emmer 37% / 51% {-14%}
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Tim Pawlenty’s job performance?
  • Approve 43%
  • Disapprove 50%
Do you want Tim Pawlenty to run for President in 2012?
  • Yes 23%
  • No 59%
Among Republicans
  • Yes 47%
  • No 24%
Among Independents
  • Yes 19%
  • No 60%
Among Conservatives
  • Yes 37%
  • No 32%
Among Moderates
  • Yes 19%
  • No 68%
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Amy Klobuchar’s job performance?
  • Approve 53%
  • Disapprove 32%
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Al Franken's job performance?
  • Approve 44%
  • Disapprove 44%
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 43%
  • Disapprove 49%
Survey of 2,058 likely voters was conducted October 27-29, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 36% Democrat; 31% Republican; 33% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 43% Moderate; 37% Conservative; 21% Liberal.

Mark Kirk for Senate Ad: "Reckless"

Sharron Angle for Senate Ad: "Our Turn"

Poll Watch: YouGov Florida Gubernatorial Survey

YouGov Florida Gubernatorial Survey 
  • Alex Sink (D) 44.4%
  • Rick Scott (R) 41.0%
  • Other 1.4%
  • Not sure 12.9%
Among Democrats
  • Alex Sink (D) 79%
  • Rick Scott (R) 6%
Among Republicans
  • Rick Scott (R) 80%
  • Alex Sink (D) 7%
Among Independents
  • Alex Sink (D) 54%
  • Rick Scott (R) 32%
Among Men
  • Rick Scott (R) 49%
  • Alex Sink (D) 42%
Among Women
  • Alex Sink (D) 47%
  • Rick Scott (R) 34%
Among Whites
  • Rick Scott (R) 46%
  • Alex Sink (D) 41%
Among Non-Whites
  • Alex Sink (D) 57%
  • Rick Scott (R) 22%
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
  • Strongly approve 22.4%
  • Somewhat approve 20.7%
  • Somewhat disapprove 9.8%
  • Strongly disapprove 45.6% 
Since taking office, do you think Barack Obama has accomplished...
  • More than I expected 22.0%
  • About what I expected 38.6%
  • Less than I expected 37.4%
Do you favor or oppose allowing gays and lesbians to marry legally?
  • Favor 42.1%
  • Oppose 46.4%
Do you favor or oppose providing a way for illegal immigrants currently in the country to gain legal citizenship if they pass background checks, pay fines, and have jobs?
  • Favor 49.4%
  • Oppose 41.3%
Do you think abortion should be...
  • Legal in all cases 24.3%
  • Legal in most cases 34.0%
  • Illegal in most cases 28.2%
  • Illegal in all cases 6.8%
Who do you think you will vote for in the 2010 election for U.S. House of Representatives?
  • Republican 49.9%
  • Democrat 35.9%
Survey of 826 likely voters was conducted October 25-28, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: YouGov Florida Senatorial Survey

YouGov Florida Senatorial Survey 
  • Marco Rubio (R) 41.9%
  • Charlie Crist (I) 31.3%
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 17.7%
  • Other 0.3%
  • Not Sure 8.9%
Among Democrats
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 41%
  • Charlie Crist (I) 40%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 5%
Among Republicans
  • Marco Rubio (R) 84%
  • Charlie Crist (I) 11%
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 2%
Among Independents
  • Charlie Crist (I) 52%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 31%
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 9%
Among Men
  • Marco Rubio (R) 49%
  • Charlie Crist (I) 32%
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 13%
Among Women
  • Marco Rubio (R) 36%
  • Charlie Crist (I) 31%
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 21%
Among Whites
  • Marco Rubio (R) 48%
  • Charlie Crist (I) 31%
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 15%
Among Non-Whites
  • Charlie Crist (I) 32%
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 27%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 20%
Survey of 826 likely voters was conducted October 25-28, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Click here to view full results and crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen New Hampshire Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen New Hampshire Senatorial Survey
  • Kelly Ayotte (R) 55% (49%) {48%} [51%] (49%) {50%} [50%] (47%) {46%} [49%] (46%)
  • Paul Hodes (D) 40% (43%) {41%} [38%] (37%) {38%} [35%] (37%) {39%} [40%] (38%)
With Leaners
  • Kelly Ayotte (R) 56% (51%) {51%}
  • Paul Hodes (D) 41% (44%) {44%}
Among Voters Certain of Their Vote
  • Kelly Ayotte (R) 57% (55%) {55%}
  • Paul Hodes (D) 43% (45%) {45%}
Among Men
  • Kelly Ayotte (R) 64% (55%) {56%}
  • Paul Hodes (D) 34% (38%) {39%}
Among Women
  • Kelly Ayotte (R) 50% (47%) {48%}
  • Paul Hodes (D) 46% (50%) {48%}
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Kelly Ayotte 58% (58%) {56%} [55%] (56%) {63%} [61%] (60%) [57%} [60%] (58%) / 37% (37%) {39%} [33%] (32%) {27%} [19%] (22%) {21%} [21%] (21%) {+21%}
  • Paul Hodes 45% (47%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {49%} [49%] (46%) / 51% (47%) {48%} [44%] (48%) {47%} [46%] (42%) {42%} [43%] (38%) {-6%}
How would you rate the job John Lynch has been doing as Governor?
  • Strongly approve 34% (34%) {28%} [24%] (24%) {22%} [22%] (25%) {24%} [23%] (22%)
  • Somewhat approve 22% (23%) {29%} [31%] (33%) {34%} [37%] (38%) {36%} [35%] (42%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 20% (22%) {21%} [26%] (26%) {24%} [25%] (21%) {25%} [19%] (21%)
  • Strongly disapprove 24% (19%) {18%} [18%] (17%) {19%} [14%] (15%) {14%} [19%] (13%)
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?
  • Strongly approve 32% (36%) {28%} [36%] (27%) {32%} [27%] (29%) {31%} [31%] (38%)
  • Somewhat approve 12% (14%) {19%} [13%] (15%) {18%} [22%] (19%) {18%} [21%] (12%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 8% (7%) {8%} [8%] (11%) {9%} [7%] (11%) {10%} [9%] (9%)
  • Strongly disapprove 47% (42%) {43%} [42%] (46%) {41%} [43%] (41%) {41%} [38%] (41%)
Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 27, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 33% (34%) {30%} Republican; 31% (31%) {34%} Democrat; 35% (35%) {36%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 10, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 8, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 10, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 12, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 14, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Ninety percent (90%) of New Hampshire Republicans support Ayotte, while 84% of the state’s Democrats back Hodes. The Republican has a 28-point lead among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

Poll Watch: Las Vegas Review-Journal/Mason-Dixon Nevada Gubernatorial Survey

Las Vegas Review-Journal/Mason-Dixon Nevada Gubernatorial Survey
  • Brian Sandoval (R) 54% (52%) {51%} [52%] (53%) {52%} [50%] (47%) {51%}
  • Rory Reid (D) 38% (37%) {37%} [36%] (31%) {36%} [31%] (36%) {37%}
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Brian Sandoval 56% (53%) {53%} [51%] (48%) / 23% (21%) {23%} [21%] (17%) {+33%}
  • Rory Reid 35% (34%) {34%} [32%] (27%) / 49% (45%) {43%} [45%] (43%) {-14%}
Survey of 625 likely voters was conducted October 25-27, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 43% (42%) {43%} Democrat; 42% (40%) {41%} Republican; 15% (18%) {16%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 11-12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-22, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-25, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-28, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-14, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 1-3, 2010 are in curly brackets.

Meg Whitman for Governor Ad: "Again"

Christie-Daniels 2012?


Poll Watch: Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Senatorial Election
  • Pat Toomey (R) 45% [46%] (48%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {41%} [45%] (46%)
  • Joe Sestak (D) 43% [41%] (40%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {44%} [38%] (39%)
  • Undecided 12% [12%] (12%) {11%} [13%] (14%) {15%} [14%] (14%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Joe Sestak 38% [37%] (35%) / 35% [40%] (38%) {+3%}
  • Pat Toomey 37% [37%] (36%) / 38% [39%] (37%) {-1%}
Gubernatorial Election
  • Tom Corbett (R) 50% [52%] (50%) {50%} [49%] (49%) {47%} [47%] (46%)
  • Dan Onorato (D) 41% [38%] (39%) {41%} [41%] (40%) {40%} [36%] (37%)
  • Undecided 9% [10%] (11%) {9%} [10%] (11%) {14%} [16%] (17%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Tom Corbett 46% [46%] (44%) / 29% [29%] (28%) {+17%}
  • Dan Onorato 37% [38%] (36%) / 39% [41%] (40%) {-2%}
Survey of 480 likely voters was conducted October 26-29, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party registration breakdown: 47% Democrat; 45% Republican; 6% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 23-26, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 22-25, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 19-22, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28 - October 4, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Marist/McClatchy Pennsylvania Political Survey

Marist/McClatchy Pennsylvania Political Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION
  • Pat Toomey (R) 52% [51%]
  • Joe Sestak (D) 45% [42%]
  • Other 1% [1%]
  • Undecided 2% [6%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Pat Toomey 49% [48%] / 35% [34%] {+14%}
  • Joe Sestak 45% [46%] / 40% [39%] {+5%}
GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION
  • Tom Corbett (R) 51% [53%]
  • Dan Onorato (D) 44% [41%]
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in office as president?
  • Approve 43% [41%]
  • Disapprove 52% [54%]
Do you think the current economic conditions are mostly something President Obama inherited or are they mostly a result of his own policies?
  • Economic conditions mostly inherited 50%
  • Economic conditions mostly a result of his own policies 41%
Survey of 461 likely voters was conducted October 26-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 41% Republican; 39% Democrat;  18% Independent. Political ideology: 45% Conservative; 34% Moderate; 21% Liberal. Results from the poll conducted September 26-28, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist Washington Senatorial Survey

McClatchy-Marist Washington Senatorial Survey
  • Patty Murray (D) 49% [48%]
  • Dino Rossi (R) 48% [47%] 
  • Other 2% [1%]
  • Undecided 1% [5%]
Already Voted (33%)
  • Dino Rossi (R) 49%
  • Patty Murray (D) 48%
  • Other 2%
  • Undecided 1%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Patty Murray 49% [49%] / 44% [44%] {+5%}
  • Dino Rossi 46% [46%] / 46% [46%] {0%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the job President Barack Obama is doing?
  • Approve 47% [48%]
  • Disapprove 47% [46%]
Do you think the current economic conditions are mostly something President Obama inherited or are they mostly a result of his own policies?
  • Economic conditions mostly inherited 59%
  • Economic conditions mostly a result of his own policies 34%
Survey of 638 likely voters was conducted October 26-28, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 31% [32%] Democrat; 25% [21%] Republican; 43% [47%] Independent.  Political ideology: 39% Conservative; 37% Moderate; 24% Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 14-17, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Marist/McClatchy Wisconsin Political Survey

Marist/McClatchy Wisconsin Political Survey
SENATORIAL ELECTION
  • Ron Johnson (R) 52% [52%] 
  • Russ Feingold (D) 45% [45%]
  • Other 1%
  • Undecided 2% [3%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Ron Johnson 51% [57%] / 38% [28%] {+13%}
  • Russ Feingold 49% [48%] / 46% [44%] {+3%}
GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION
  • Scott Walker (R) 51% [51%] 
  • Tom Barrett (D) 44% [43%]
  • Undecided 5% [6%]
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in office as president?
  • Approve 43% [46%]
  • Disapprove 50% [50%]
Do you think the current economic conditions are mostly something President Obama inherited or are they mostly a result of his own policies?
  • Economic conditions mostly inherited 53%
  • Economic conditions mostly a result of his own policies 36%
Survey of 491 likely voters was conducted October 26-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 27% Democrat; 26% Republican; 46% Independent. Political ideology: 45% Conservative; 36% Moderate; 19% Liberal. Results from the poll conducted September 26-28, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Marist/McClatchy Colorado Political Survey

Marist/McClatchy Colorado Political Survey
SENATORIAL ELECTION
  • Ken Buck (R) 49% [50%]
  • Michael Bennet (D) 45% [42%] 
  • Other 3% [2%]
  • Undecided 3% [6%]
Already Voted  (25%)
  • Michael Bennet (D) 50%
  • Ken Buck (R) 45%
  • Other 5%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Michael Bennet 45% [42%] / 48% [45%] {-3%}
  • Ken Buck 44% [47%] / 48% [40%] {-4%}
GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION
  • John Hickenlooper (D) 47% [48%]
  • Tom Tancredo (AC) 43% [29%]
  • Dan Maes (R) 7% [19%]
  • Undecided 3% [4%]
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in office as president?
  • Approve 40% [39%]
  • Disapprove 55% [56%]
Do you think the current economic conditions are mostly something President Obama inherited or are they mostly a result of his own policies?
  • Economic conditions mostly inherited 50%
  • Economic conditions mostly a result of his own policies 39%
Survey of 615 likely voters was conducted October 26-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 36% Republican; 30% Democrat; 32% Independent.  Political ideology: 44% Conservative; 35% Moderate; 21% Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 26-28, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Critical Insights Maine 1st Congressional District

Critical Insights Maine 1st Congressional District
  • Dean Scontras (R) 45% [40%] {33%} (26%)
  • Chellie Pingree (D) 41% [45%] {48%} (54%)
Survey of 295 likely Maine 1st Congressional District voters was conducted October 27-28, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 5.7 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 40% Democrat; 39% Republican; 19% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 13-17, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 10-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 27, 2010 are in parentheses..

Poll Watch: New York Times/USF Polytechnic Florida Senatorial Survey

New York Times/USF Polytechnic Florida Senatorial Survey
  • Marco Rubio (R) 46%
  • Charlie Crist (I) 29%
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 16%
  • Undecided 8%
Among Democrats
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 36%
  • Charlie Crist (I) 35%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 15%
Among Republicans
  • Marco Rubio (R) 76%
  • Charlie Crist (I) 17%
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 2%
Among Independents
  • Charlie Crist (I) 43%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 32%
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 10%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Marco Rubio 48% / 29% {+19%}
  • Charlie Crist 43% / 44% {-1%}
  • Kendrick Meek 25% / 28% {-3%}
Survey of 696 likely voters was conducted October 23-27, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Friday, October 29, 2010

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Oregon Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Oregon Senatorial Survey
  • Ron Wyden (D) 57% {56%} [54%] (53%) {51%}
  • Jim Huffman (R) 32% {34%} [38%] (35%) {38%}
Already Voted (60%)
  • Ron Wyden (D) 60%
  • Jim Huffman (R) 33%
Did Not Vote Yet (40%)
  • Ron Wyden (D) 52%
  • Jim Huffman (R) 30%
Survey of 580 likely and actual voters was conducted October 23-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-14, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 12-14, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25-27, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Party ID breakdown: 45% {45%} [44%] Democrat; 31% {32%} [32%] Republican; 21% {21%} [23%] Independent.  Political ideology: 37% {36%} [39%] Moderate; 32% {33%} [37%] Conservative; 23% {25%} [21%] Liberal. 

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Oregon Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Oregon Gubernatorial Survey 
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 48% (46%) {43%} [44%] (40%)
  • Chris Dudley (R) 41% (45%) {49%} [46%] (47%)
Among Men
  • Chris Dudley (R) 47% (51%) {57%} [44%] (50%)
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 44% (40%) {38%} [48%] (36%)
Among Women
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 51% (52%) {48%} [41%] (44%)
  • Chris Dudley (R) 36% (40%) {42%} [47%] (44%)
Among Democrats
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 82% (76%) {76%} [73%] (70%)
  • Chris Dudley (R) 12% (18%) {20%} [19%] (20%)
Among Republicans
  • Chris Dudley (R) 83% (83%) {82%} [84%] (79%)
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 9% (12%) {10%} [7%] (13%)
Among Independents
  • Chris Dudley (R) 43% (46%) {61%} [45%] (41%)
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 36% (37%) {28%} [41%] (35%) 
Among Moderates
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 56% (51%) {51%} [50%] (51%)
  • Chris Dudley (R) 34% (41%) {43%} [39%] (34%)
Portland
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 49% (48%) {46%} [46%] (43%)
  • Chris Dudley (R) 42% (43%) {46%} [44%] (44%)
Rest of Oregon
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 46% (43%) {38%} [41%] (35%)
  • Chris Dudley (R) 40% (49%) {56%} [49%] (53%)
College Grad
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 51% (54%) {46%} [48%] (48%)
  • Chris Dudley (R) 41% (38%) {44%} [43%] (46%)
Not a College Grad
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 45% (36%) {41%} [41%] (33%)
  • Chris Dudley (R) 41% (54%) {54%} [47%] (49%)
Pro-Choice
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 66% (63%) {65%} [62%] (54%)
  • Chris Dudley (R) 26% (30%) {29%} [31%] (33%)
Pro-Life
  • Chris Dudley (R) 70% (75%) {75%} [68%] (71%)
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 18% (16%) {17%} [19%] (18%) 
Regularly Attend Religious Service
  • Chris Dudley (R) 61% (58%) {61%} [60%] (56%)
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 36% (33%) {34%} [28%] (37%)
Occasionally Attend Religious Service
  • Chris Dudley (R) 48% (48%) {51%} [49%] (53%)
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 47% (46%) {36%} [44%] (33%)
Almost Never Attend Religious Service 
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 64% (56%) {58%} [60%] (47%)
  • Chris Dudley (R) 31% (35%) {36%} [31%] (37%)
Already Voted (60%)
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 51%
  • Chris Dudley (R) 42%
Did Not Vote Yet (40%)
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 43%
  • Chris Dudley (R) 41%
Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable or unfavorable?
  • Favorable 28% (29%) {34%} [32%] (34%)
  • Unfavorable 39% (42%) {36%} [33%] (32%)
Survey of 580 likely and actual voters was conducted October 23-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 45% (45%) {44%} [46%] (38%) Democrat; 31% (32%) {32%} [32%] (35%) Republican; 21% (21%) {23%} [20%] (26%) Independent.  Political ideology: 37% (36%) {39%} [41%] (43%) Moderate; 32% (33%) {37%} [31%] (34%) Conservative; 23% (25%) {21%} [21%] (18%) Liberal.  Abortion: 60% (62%) {56%} [57%] (57%) Pro-choice; 34% (34%) {42%} [41%] (40%) Pro-life.  Attend Religious Service: 37% (37%) {36%} [37%] (38%) Regularly; 21% (19%) {25%} [22%] (22%) Occasionally; 41% (43%) {39%} [41%] (40%) Almost Never.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-14, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 12-14, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25-27, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-9, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fleming/WPRI Rhode Island Gubernatorial Survey

Fleming/WPRI Rhode Island Gubernatorial Survey
  • Lincoln Chafee (I) 32.8% [29.8%]
  • Frank Caprio (D) 26.2% [32.8%]
  • John Robitaille (R) 25.5% [18.6%]
  • Ken Block (M) 4.1% [4.0%]
  • Undecided 11.0% [14.6%]
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 21-25, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.38 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 41% Democrat; 17% Republican; 42% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-26, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Western New England College Massachusetts Gubernatorial Survey

Western New England College Massachusetts Gubernatorial Survey
  • Deval Patrick (D) 42% {44%} [39%]
  • Charlie Baker (R) 37% {36%} [33%]
  • Tim Cahill (I) 11% {8%} [16%]
  • Jill Stein (G) 3% {5%} [3%]
  • Undecided 4% {5%} [7%]
Among Voters 'Very Sure' of Their Vote
  • Deval Patrick (D) 35.28% {32.56%}
  • Charlie Baker (R) 29.60% {29.16%}
  • Tim Cahill (I) 4.29% {2.48%}
Survey of 361 likely voters was conducted October 24-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 16-21, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2010 are in square brackets.

Kentucky Democratic Party Ad: "The Rand Paul STOMP"

Poll Watch: Dittman Research (R) Alaska Senatorial Survey

Dittman Research (R) Alaska Senatorial Survey
  • Lisa Murkowski (R) 37% [37%]
  • Joe Miller (R) 27% [31%]
  • Scott McAdams (D) 23% [19%]
  • Unsure 13% [13%]
Survey of 421 likely voters was conducted October 23-28, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted August 28 - September 1, 2010 are in square brackets.

Inside the numbers:

Respondents are first asked an open-ended question about their vote preference, and their choice of candidate is recorded. If the respondent is unable to make a choice, he or she is read the names of the candidates on the ballot, with the option of a write-in candidate. In order to choose Murkowski, the respondent must choose the write-in option and provide her name.

Poll Watch: Washington Post-ABC News Survey on Sarah Palin

Washington Post-ABC News Survey on Sarah Palin

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Sarah Palin? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
  • Strongly favorable 16% [17%] {18%} (20%)
  • Somewhat favorable 23% [20%] {20%} (23%)
  • Somewhat unfavorable 15% [14%] {16%} (18%)
  • Strongly unfavorable 39% [41%] {38%} (34%)
Among Democrats
  • Strongly favorable 6%
  • Somewhat favorable 7%
  • Somewhat unfavorable 17%
  • Strongly unfavorable 65%
Among Republicans
  • Strongly favorable 30%
  • Somewhat favorable 41%
  • Somewhat unfavorable 12%
  • Strongly unfavorable 10%
Among Independents
  • Strongly favorable 14%
  • Somewhat favorable 25%
  • Somewhat unfavorable 18%
  • Strongly unfavorable 35%
Regardless of whether or not you’d vote for her, do you think Palin is or is not qualified to serve as president?
  • Is qualified 27% {26%} (38%)
  • Is not qualified 67% {71%} (60%) 
Among Democrats
  • Is qualified 14% {6%} (22%)
  • Is not qualified 82% {91%} (76%)
Among Republicans
  • Is qualified 47% {46%} (61%)
  • Is not qualified 46% {52%} (36%)
Among Independents
  • Is qualified 23% {29%} (37%)
  • Is not qualified 70% {67%} (59%)
Survey of 1,202 registered voters was conducted October 25-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 23-26, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4-8, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-15, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
While there are political and ideological divides on Palin, she faces hurdles across the board. Even in her own party, Republicans divide, 47 percent to 46 percent, on whether she’s qualified or unqualified to serve as president. Conservatives split, 45-48 percent, as do Tea Party supporters, 48-48 percent.
In only two groups do majorities see Palin as qualified – conservative Republicans, by 55-40 percent; and “strong” supporters of the Tea Party movement, by a broad 73-22 percent. (They’re a small group, one in 10 registered voters.)
While 82 percent of Democrats and 84 percent of liberals see her as unqualified, as do 70 percent of swing-voting independents and 77 percent of self-described political moderates.
At her peak, shortly after the Republican National Convention, 58 percent of Americans saw her favorably. That fell to 46 percent by the 2008 election and 40 percent last summer, and hasn’t recovered since.
Beyond the expected partisan and ideological differences, Palin is notably more popular among evangelical white Protestants, 61 percent favorable, than among their mainline counterparts, 41 percent. And fewer than half in two key voter groups, independents and white Catholics, see her favorably overall.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire Gubernatorial Survey
  • John Lynch (D) 53% {51%} [51%] (47%)
  • John Stephen (R) 44% {39%} [34%] (36%)
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor John Lynch’s job performance?
  • Approve 51% {51%} [52%] (44%)
  • Disapprove 39% {38%} [36%] (42%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • John Stephen 37% {31%} [14%] (12%) / 40% {30%} [21%] (20%) {-3%}
Survey of 1,308 likely voters was conducted October 27-29, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 37% {36%} [29%] (30%) Republican; 28% {35%} [35%] (33%) Democrat;  36% {30%} [36%] (37%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 47% {41%} [47%] (47%) Moderate; 39% {39%} [30%] (35%) Conservative; 14% {21%} [23%] (18%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted September 11-12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-25, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 17-18, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire Senatorial Survey
  • Kelly Ayotte (R) 56% {47%} [45%] (47%)
  • Paul Hodes (D) 41% {43%} [42%] (40%)
  • Undecided 3% {9%} [13%] (13%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Kelly Ayotte 57% {35%} [36%] (34%) / 34% {47%} [39%] (24%) {+23%}
  • Paul Hodes 34% {35%} [35%] (32%) / 50% {46%} [40%] (39%) {-16%}
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Judd Gregg’s job performance?
  • Approve 52% {45%} [44%] (44%)
  • Disapprove 29% {41%} [39%] (37%) 
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jeanne Shaheen’s job performance?
  • Approve 41% {44%} [45%] (42%)
  • Disapprove 46% {49%} [44%] (48%)
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 39% {44%} [49%] (47%)
  • Disapprove 55% {52%} [47%] (48%)
Survey of 1,959 likely voters was conducted October 27-29, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 37% {36%} [29%] (30%) Republican; 28% {35%} [35%] (33%) Democrat; 36% {30%} [36%] (37%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 47% {41%} [47%] (47%) Moderate; 39% {39%} [30%] (35%) Conservative; 14% {21%} [23%] (18%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 11-12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-25, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 17-18, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Florida Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Florida Senatorial Survey 
  • Marco Rubio (R) 50% (43%) [50%] {41%} (41%) [40%] {38%} (35%) [36%] {37%} (39%) [34%] {37%} (42%)
  • Charlie Crist (I) 30% (32%) [25%] {30%} (30%) [30%] {33%} (33%) [34%] {37%} (31%) [38%] {30%} (22%)
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 16% (20%) [19%] {21%} (23%) [21%] {21%} (20%) [15%] {15%} (18%) [17%] {22%} (25%)
  • Other 1% (2%) [3%] {3%} (2%) [4%] {1%} (3%)
  • Not Sure 3% (3%) [3%] {5%} (4%) [5%] {7%} (8%) [14%] {11%} (12%) [11%] {11%} (11%)
Among Democrats
  • Charlie Crist (I) 47% (41%) [32%] {41%} (33%) [36%] {36%} (41%) [36%] {47%} (x) [44%] {33%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 38% (40%) [46%] {41%} (45%) [41%] {48%} (43%) [32%] {28%} (x) [35%] {46%}
  • Marco Rubio (R) 14% (14%) [16%] {9%} (16%) [13%] {10%} (8%) [14%] {7%} (x) [14%] {10%}
  • Other 1% (2%) [1%] {4%} (3%) [4%] {1%} (5%)
  • Not Sure 0% (2%) [4%] {5%} (4%) [6%] {4%} (4%) [18%] {18%} (x) [6%] {11%}
Among Republicans
  • Marco Rubio (R) 76% (76%) [79%] {78%} (72%) [73%] {66%} (65%) [60%] {66%} (68%) [58%] {62%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 20% (15%) [15%] {15%} (19%) [19%] {25%} (23%) [29%] {24%} (23%) [30%] {28%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 3% (4%) [3%] {2%} (5%) [3%] {4%} (5%) [4%] {1%} [5%] {3%}
  • Other 1% (2%) [2%] {2%} (2%) [2%] {1%} (1%)
  • Not Sure 1% (4%) [2%] {4%} (3%) [3%] {4%} (7%) [7%] {9%} [7%] {7%}
Among Independents
  • Marco Rubio (R) 47% (33%) [47%] {28%} (27%) [29%] {38%} (30%) [35%] {38%} (x) [28%] {40%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 29% (49%) [33%] {38%} (42%) [38%] {38%} (38%) [37%] {41%} (x) [40%] {28%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 11% (14%) [8%] {22%} (24%) [19%] {5%} (13%) [8%] {18%} (x) [11%] {18%}
  • Other 2% (2%) [8%] {5%} (3%) [7%] {2%} (3%)
  • Not Sure 11% (2%) [4%] {7%} (5%) [7%] {18%} (16%) [19%] {3%} (x) [21%] {15%}
Among Liberals
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 100% (47%) [54%] {35%} (45%) [35%] {49%} (31%) [38%] {32%} (x) [33%] {35%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 0% (45%) [29%] {50%} (41%) [53%] {38%} (34%) [45%] {50%} (x) [56%] {44%}
  • Marco Rubio (R) 0% (7%) [12%] {6%} (10%) [8%] {4%} (14%) [5%] {5%} {5%} (x) [4%] {8%}
  • Other (2%) [3%] (2%) [2%] {2%} (5%)
  • Not Sure (0%) [3%] (2%) [1%] {9%} (17%) [12%] {13%} [6%] {13%}
Among Moderates
  • Marco Rubio (R) 63% (24%) [16%] {18%} (22%) [26%] {21%} (16%) [20%] {17%} (x) [22%] {21%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 21% (47%) [47%] {46%} (42%) [36%] {51%} (54%) [41%] {52%} (x) [55%] {35%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 11% (22%) [26%] {27%} (26%) [29%] {18%} (20%) [21%] {22%} (x) [12%] {29%}
  • Other (2%) [8%] {3%} (4%) [2%] {2%} (2%)
  • Not Sure (5%) [3%] {6%} (5%) [7%] {9%} (7%) [18%] {9%} (x) [12%] {14%}
Among Conservatives
  • Marco Rubio (R) 48% (74%) [75%] {69%} (70%) [66%] {65%} (59%) [58%] {70%} (x) [57%] {64%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 31% (15%) [13%] {15%} (16%) [14%] {21%} (21%) [24%] {20%} (x) [22%] {21%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 16% (7%) [8%] {8%} (9%) [9%] {7%} (13%) [5%] {2%} (x) [14%] {9%}
  • Other 1% (2%) [1%] {3%} (1%) [6%] {1%} (2%)
  • Not Sure 3% (2%) [3%] {4%} (4%) [6%] {6%} (4%) [13%] {7%} (x) [7%] {6%}
Among Men
  • Marco Rubio (R) 59% (45%) [55%] {47%} (53%) [42%] {46%} (38%) [43%] {48%} (x) [38%] {45%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 26% (31%) [22%] {26%} (26%) [29%] {31%} (35%) [29%] {33%} (x) [36%] {31%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 12% (21%) [15%] {20%} (16%) [21%] {16%} (23%) [10%] {13%} (x) [16%] {16%}
  • Other 1% (2%) [6%] {2%} (3%) [4%] {1%} (2%)
  • Not Sure 1% (1%) [2%] {4%} (3%) [4%] {6%} (2%) [17%] {6%} (x) [10%] {8%}
Among Women
  • Marco Rubio (R) 41% (42%) [45%] {36%} (32%) [38%] {31%} (33%) [31%] {27%} (x) [30%] {30%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 34% (32%) [28%] {33%} (33%) [31%] {34%} (32%) [37%] {41%} (x) [40%] {28%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 19% (20%) [23%] {21%} (29%) [20%] {25%} (18%) [20%] {17%} (x) [18%] {28%}
  • Other 1% (2%) [1%] {4%} (2%) [4%] {2%} (4%)
  • Not Sure 6% (4%) [4%] {6%} (4%) [6%] {8%} (13%) [12%] {15%} (x) [12%] {14%}
Among Whites
  • Marco Rubio (R) 54% (51%) [56%] {49%} (52%) [46%] {45%} (41%) [43%] {45%} (x) [40%] {43%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 30% (30%) [27%] {30%} (27%) [31%] {33%} (34%) [33%] {38%} (x) [36%] {32%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 13% (13%) [11%] {12%} (15%) [15%] {13%} (16%) [9%] {8%} (x) [12%] {15%}
  • Other 1% (3%) [2%] {3%} (3%) [4%] {1%} (3%)
  • Not Sure 2% (3%) [3%] {6%} (4%) [5%] {7%} (6%) [14%] {9%} (x) [12%] {10%}
Among Blacks
  • Charlie Crist (I) 42% (37%) [22%] {25%} (41%) [7%] {29%} (14%) [38%] {38%} (x) [22%] {4%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 39% (48%) [66%] {58%} (58%) [70%] {53%} (72%) [31%] {40%} (x) [63%] {84%}
  • Marco Rubio (R) 18% (12%) [8%] {6%} (1%) [11%] {6%} (8%) [10%] {1%} (x) [14%] {4%}
  • Other 0% (0%) [0%] {5%} (0%) [6%] {0%} (3%)
  • Not Sure 1% (4%) [4%] {6%} (1%) [6%] {12%} (2%) [21%] {21%} (x) [0%] {7%}
Among Hispanics/Other
  • Marco Rubio (R) 43% (22%) [24%] {15%} (9%) [24%] {20%} (22%) [8%] {22%} (x) [14%] {25%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 26% (37%) [24%] {32%} (39%) [46%] {30%} (44%) [31%] {45%} (x) [62%] {32%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 13% (41%) [37%] {48%} (49%) [22%] {42%} (8%) [50%] {33%} (x) [14%] {22%}
  • Other (0%) [10%] {5%} (2%) [0%] {2%} (1%)
  • Not Sure (0%) [4%] {0%} (2%) [9%] {7%} (25%) [11%] {0%} [10%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Marco Rubio 58% (48%) [57%] {54%} (53%) [51%] {46%} (42%) [51%] {46%} (46%) [42%] {51%} (48%) [51%] {51%} (51%) {41%} / 39% (49%) [41%] {39%} (42%) [41%] {41%} (44%) [41%] {38%} (43%) [48%] {37%} (34%) [27%] {31%} (29%) {31%} {+19%}
  • Charlie Crist 51% (46%) [52%] {57%} (55%) [56%] {58%} (59%) [56%] {62%} (57%) [57%] {55%} (49%) [55%] {58%} (59%) {64%} (57%) / 48% (52%) [47%] {40%} (44%) [42%] {39%} (37%) [42%] {37%} (41%) [40%] {40%} (48%) [41%] {40%} (38%) {35%} (36%) {+3%}
  • Kendrick Meek 41% (39%) [35%] {40%} (45%) [41%] {31%} (32%) [36%] {30%} (33%) [32%] {38%} (33%) [42%] {38%} (41%) {37%} (37%) / 51% (53%) [56%] {50%} (46%) [47%] {46%} (41%) [40%] {39%} (36%) [36%] {31%} (39%) [33%] {36%] (33%) {34%} (36%) {-10%
How would you rate the job Charlie Crist has been doing as Governor?
  • Strongly approve 19% (20%) [15%] {17%} (18%) [20%] {15%} (20%) [19%] {22%} (22%) [22%] {16%} (14%) [15%] {10%} (9%) [13%] {17%} (15%)
  • Somewhat approve 39% (32%) [34%] {38%} (35%) [32%] {43%} (33%) [34%] {38%} (35%) [40%] {40%} (31%) [37%] {41%} (43%) [36%] {42%} (45%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 21% (20%) [25%] {23%} (25%) [25%] {25%} (23%) [27%] {25%} (24%) [18%] {26%} (35%) [30%] {30%} (25%) [29%] {21%} (20%)
  • Strongly disapprove 20% (27%) [26%] {21%} (21%) [21%] {15%} (21%) [18%] {12%} (18%) [20%] {17%} (19%) [15%] {17%} (20%) [20%] {19%} (16%)
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?
  • Strongly approve 27% (32%) [28%] {34%} (31%) [27%] {30%} (32%) [29%] {33%} (32%) [32%] {33%} (29%) [31%] {25%} (29%) [29%] {27%} (32%)
  • Somewhat approve 15% (16%) [13%] {14%} (15%) [19%] {14%} (15%) [14%] {13%} (18%) [15%] {11%} (14%) [14%] {17%} (15%) [13%] {15%} (14%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 11% (4%) [5%] {5%} (8%) [9%] {9%} (8%) [12%] {8%} (6%) [10%] {8%} (9%) [10%] {11%} (9%) [11%] {10%} (12%)
  • Strongly disapprove 46% (48%) [52%] {47%} (46%) [46%] {45%} (44%) [45%] {45%} (43%) [43%] {46%} (46%) [44%] {47%} (46%) [47%] {47%} (38%)
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 27, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 43% (41%) [41%] {40%} (40%) Republican; 31% (41%) [34%] {35%} (34%) Democrat; 25% (19%) [25%] {25%} (25%) Independent/Other.  Racial breakdown: 79% (78%) [80%] {79%} (78%) White; 21% (22%) [20%] {21%} (22%) Non-White.  Results from the poll conducted October 18, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 14, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 25, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 6, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 16, 2010 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted May 3, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 21, 2010 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted March 18, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 19, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 17, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 22, 2009 are in parentheses.

Lisa Murkowski for Senate TV Ad: "Joe's America"

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Colorado Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Colorado Gubernatorial Survey
  • John Hickenlooper (D) 47% [42%] {43%} (46%) [36%] {43%} (42%) [46%] {41%}
  • Tom Tancredo (AC) 42% [38%] {35%} (25%) [14%] {18%} (24%)
  • Dan Maes (R) 5% [12%] {16%} (21%) [24%] {31%} (27%) [43%] {41%}
  • Some other candidate 6% [2%] {1%} (1%) [6%] {3%} (2%) [5%] {5%}
  • Not sure 1% [6%] {5%} (6%) [20%] {5%} (5%) [7%] {13%}
Among Voters Certain to Vote
  • John Hickenlooper (D) 47% [42%]
  • Tom Tancredo (AC) 43% [39%]
  • Dan Maes (R) 5% [10%]
  • Other 5% [2%]
  • Not sure 1% [5%] 
Already Voted
  • John Hickenlooper (D) 49%
  • Tom Tancredo (AC) 42%
  • Dan Maes (R) 4%
  • Other 5%
Did Not Vote Yet
  • John Hickenlooper (D) 43%
  • Tom Tancredo (AC) 40%
  • Dan Maes (R) 8%
  • Other 6%
  • Not sure 3%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • John Hickenlooper 52% [53%] {52%} (56%) [51%] {52%} (49%) [50%] {53%} (49%) [55%] {55%} (56%) [57%] / 45% [40%] {45%} (40%) [38%] {43%} (46%) [44%] {42%} (43%) [38%] {36%} (36%) [32%] {+7%}
  • Tom Tancredo 49% [49%] {45%} (42%) [34%] {38%} (39%) / 48% [42%] {47%} (51%) [52%] {52%} (51%) {+1%}
  • Dan Maes 13% [24%] {29%} (34%) [42%] {44%} (39%) [44%] {45%} / 83% [62%] {61%} (55%) [41%] {42%} (43%) [31%] {25%} {-70%}
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 38% [30%] {38%} Republican; 32% [30%] {32%} Democrat;  31% [40%] {30%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 14, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 3, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 29, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 2, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 14, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 11, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 14, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 4, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 6, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 8-10, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 15, 2009 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 9, 2009 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Braun Research/cn|2 Kentucky Senatorial Survey

Braun Research/cn|2 Kentucky Senatorial Survey
  • Rand Paul (R) 46.5% [43.4%] (42.1%) {41.2%} [40.6%] (41%)
  • Jack Conway (D) 39.0% [39.5%] (37.4%) {41.7%} [31.4%] (38%)
  • Undecided 12.9% [16.6%] (19.5%) {16.4%} [27.0%] (19%)
Among Men
  • Rand Paul (R) 52.9% [50.2%] (46.8%) {50.4%} [47.9%] (47%)
  • Jack Conway (D) 36.7% [38.2%] (35.8%) {35.3%} [29.5%] (33%)
  • Undecided 8.7% [10.8%] (16.0%) {14.2%} [22.1%] (19%)
Among Women
  • Jack Conway (D) 41.1% [40.5%] (38.9%) {47.5%} [33.1%] (43%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 40.8% [37.4%] (37.9%) {33.1%} [34.0%] (36%)
  • Undecided 16.7% [21.8%] (22.6%) {18.3%} [31.5%] (19%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Jack Conway 46.7% [50.6%] (49.6%) {54.4%} [43.9%] (50%) / 41.3% [28.6%] (22.7%) {22.9%} [21.1%] (19%) {+5.4%}
  • Rand Paul 48.0% [47.1%] (48.7%) {46.8%} [49.8%] (48%) / 43.4% [36.5%] (33.4%) {36.4%} [25.7%] (33%) {+4.6%}
What is your opinion of the job President Obama is doing?
  • Strongly approve 15.6% [13.6%] (15.8%) {13.3%}
  • Somewhat approve 24.2% [23.8%] (26.9%) {26.9%}
  • Somewhat disapprove 14.4% [18.8%] (15.9%) {18.4%}
  • Strongly disapprove 43.8% [41.4%] (38.3%) {39.2%}
Which party would you rather see in control of Congress after the November election, the Democrats or the Republicans?
  • Republicans 48.9% [47.0%] (45.4%) {47.7%}
  • Democrats 36.8% [37.4%] (36.5%) {36.0%}
Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted October 25-27, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Party registration breakdown: 54.0% [53.9%] (54.0%) {54.2%} [54.2%] (54%) Democrat; 37.9% [38.1%] (37.8%) {37.5%} [37.6%] (38%) Republican; 8.0% [7.9%] (8.0%) {8.2%} [8.1%] (8%) Independent.  Party ID breakdown: 49.8% [46.8%] Republican; 38.5% [42.8%] Democrat.  Political ideology: 50.2% [47.7%] (47.2%) {53.5%} [53.5%] (50%) Conservative; 25.4% [30.5%] (25.6%) {24.2%} [23.3%] (25%) Moderate; 20.1% [18.1%] (23.0%) {19.7%} [19.9%] (20%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 4-6, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 30 - September 1, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-18, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 2-4, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Texas Gubernatorial Survey
  • Rick Perry (R) 53% {48%} [43%] (48%)
  • Bill White (D) 44% {42%} [43%] (42%)
  • Undecided 3% {10%} [14%] (10%)
Already Voted (44%)
  • Rick Perry (R) 56%
  • Bill White (D) 44%
Did Not Vote Yet (56%)
  • Rick Perry (R) 51%
  • Bill White (D) 45%
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Perry’s job performance?
  • Approve 45% {39%} [36%] (33%)
  • Disapprove 45% {50%} [49%] (50%)
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bill White?
  • Favorable 46% {44%} [37%] (34%)
  • Unfavorable 39% {29%} [25%] (17%)
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 33%
  • Disapprove 61%
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison’s job performance?
  • Approve 45%
  • Disapprove 33%
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator John Cornyn’s job performance?
  • Approve 46%
  • Disapprove 31%
Survey of 568 likely voters was conducted October 26-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 2-6, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-7, 2010 are in parentheses.  Party ID breakdown: 44% {47%} [43%] (40%) Republican; 31% {30%} [37%] (36%) Democrat; 25% {23%} [20%] (24%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 50% {47%} [46%] (51%) Conservative; 38% {39%} [41%] (34%) Moderate; 12% {15%} [13%] (15%) Liberal. 

Mason-Dixon Florida Senatorial Survey

Mason-Dixon Florida Senatorial Survey 
  • Marco Rubio (R) 45% [42%] (40%) {38%} [32%]
  • Charlie Crist (I) 28% [27%] (28%) {33%} [38%]
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 21% [21%] (23%) {18%} [19%]
Survey of 625 likely voters was conducted October 25-27, 2010.  The margin of error for each survey is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 4-6, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-22, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-5, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Delaware Political Survey

Monmouth University Delaware Political Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION
  • Chris Coons (D) 51% [57%]
  • Christine O'Donnell (R) 41% [38%]
Among Democrats
  • Chris Coons (D) 85% [91%]
  • Christine O'Donnell (R) 10% [8%]
Among Republicans
  • Christine O'Donnell (R) 71% [67%]
  • Chris Coons (D) 19% [26%]
Among Independents
  • Christine O'Donnell (R) 47% [41%]
  • Chris Coons (D) 42% [51%]
Among Men
  • Christine O'Donnell (R) 48% [48%]
  • Chris Coons (D) 43% [46%]
Among Women
  • Chris Coons (D) 57% [68%]
  • Christine O'Donnell (R) 34% [27%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mike Castle 57% [56%] / 29% [29%] {+28%}
  • Chris Coons 45% [50%] / 39% [33%] {+6%}
  • Christine O'Donnell 34% [31%] / 51% [58%] {-17%}
Is Chris Coons qualified or unqualified to be a United States Senator?
  • Qualified 65% [64%]
  • Unqualified 25% [25%]
Is Christine O’Donnell qualified or unqualified to be a United States Senator?
  • Qualified 35% [35%]
  • Unqualified 56% [57%]
CONGRESSIONAL ELECTION
  • John Carney (D) 51% [53%]
  • Glen Urquhart (R) 44% [44%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • John Carney 46% [49%] / 28% [24%] {+18%}
  • Glen Urquhart 38% [36%] / 27% [25%] {+11%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
  • Approve 43% [44%]
  • Disapprove 49% [50%]
Who would you rather see in control of Congress next year – the Democrats, the Republicans, or does it make no difference?
  • Republicans 40% [45%]
  • Democrats 38% [41%]
  • No difference 22% [14%]
Survey of 1,171 likely voters was conducted October 25-27, 2010. The margin of error is + 2.9 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 36% [34%] Democrat; 30% [32%] Republican; 34% [34%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 8-11, 2010 are in square brackets.