Showing posts with label Sarah Palin. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sarah Palin. Show all posts

Tuesday, September 23, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Chris Christie (R) 46% [45%] (44%) {43%} [46%] (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [34%] (41%) {39%} [38%] (42%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 46%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
  • Rand Paul (R) 45% [50%] (46%) {47%} [49%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [36%] (40%) {41%} [43%]
    • Jeb Bush (R) 44% [47%] (47%) {47%} [49%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [38%] (41%) {39%} [42%]
    • Mike Huckabee (R) 44% [47%] (43%) {45%}
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [39%] (42%) {41%}
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [46%] (44%) {44%} [49%] (53%)
    • Sarah Palin (R) 38% [40%] (41%) {43%} [40%] (37%)
    Among Independents
    • Chris Christie (R) 43% [41%] (38%) {34%} [44%] (37%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% [32%] (43%) {41%} [38%] (42%)
    • Ted Cruz (R) 44%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [36%] (41%) {45%} [45%]
    • Rand Paul (R) 41% [46%] (39%) {38%} [46%]
    • Jeb Bush (R) 38% [39%] (38%) {40%} [42%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [38%] (43%) {41%} [45%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [39%] (45%) {45%}
    • Mike Huckabee (R) 39% [41%] (36%) {35%} 
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [49%] (47%) {49%} [53%] (62%)
    • Sarah Palin (R) 33% [37%] (34%) {34%} [32%] (25%)
    Among Moderates
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [40%] (49%) {51%} [45%] (53%)
    • Chris Christie (R) 34% [31%] (29%) {29%} [33%] (25%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
    • Ted Cruz (R) 33%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% [42%] (49%) {56%} [60%]
    • Rand Paul (R) 30% [29%] (28%) {28%} [32%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% [46%] (50%) {51%} [58%]
    • Jeb Bush (R) 25% [29%] (32%) {31%} [31%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% [47%] (53%) {55%}
    • Mike Huckabee (R) 25% [26%] (24%) {25%}
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 61% [60%] (54%) {61%} [67%] (79%)
    • Sarah Palin (R) 23% [21%] (25%) {25%} [21%] (14%)
    Among Men
    • Chris Christie (R) 49% [50%] (51%) {49%} [51%] (50%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% [28%] (33%) {34%} [31%] (35%)
    • Ted Cruz (R) 53%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
    • Rand Paul (R) 49% [57%] (55%) {55%} [58%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [33%] (34%) {35%} [34%]
      • Jeb Bush (R) 46% [49%] (58%) {54%} [59%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% [33%] (32%) {33%} [31%]
      • Mike Huckabee (R) 47% [49%] (51%) {51%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [36%] (36%) {35%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [42%] (34%) {37%} [39%] (46%)
      • Sarah Palin (R) 36% [45%] (50%) {49%} [48%] (43%)
      Among Women
      • Chris Christie (R) 43% [41%] (37%) {38%} [43%] (38%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% [40%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (47%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
      • Ted Cruz (R) 39%
      • Rand Paul (R) 41% [44%] (39%) {41%} [42%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [39%] (46%) {46%} [50%]
        • Jeb Bush (R) 43% [45%] (37%) {40%} [40%]
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [42%] (48%) {45%} [52%]
        • Mike Huckabee (R) 40% [45%] (37%) {40%}
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [41%] (47%) {47%}
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [50%] (54%) {50%} [58%] (60%)
        • Sarah Palin (R) 39% [36%] (32%) {38%} [34%] (31%)
        Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin?
        • Favorable 32% [36%] (36%) {39%} [39%] (34%)
        • Unfavorable 54% [55%] (56%) {55%} [58%] (59%)
        Do you think Sarah Palin should run for President in 2016, or not?
        • She should run 18% [20%] (19%) {23%} [18%] (16%)
        • She should not 75% [74%] (74%) {69%} [77%] (78%)
        Survey of 880 likely voters was conducted September 18-21, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points.  Party ID: 28% [32%] (29%) {33%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 16% [20%] (18%) {20%} [20%] (21%) Democrat; 56% [47%] (53%) {46%} [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 33% [33%] (31%) {32%} [30%] (33%) Moderate; 28% [25%] (21%) {23%} [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 17% [18%] (22%) {21%} [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 15% [16%] (16%) {16%} [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 7% [8%] (9%) {7%} [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 3, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 8-11, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

        Wednesday, August 13, 2014

        Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Presidential Survey

          • Rand Paul (R) 50% (46%) {47%} [49%]
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% (40%) {41%} [43%]
          • Chris Christie (R) 45% (44%) {43%} [46%] (43%)
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% (41%) {39%} [38%] (42%)
          • Jeb Bush (R) 47% (47%) {47%} [49%]
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (41%) {39%} [42%]
          • Mike Huckabee (R) 47% (43%) {45%}
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (42%) {41%}
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (44%) {44%} [49%] (53%)
          • Sarah Palin (R) 40% (41%) {43%} [40%] (37%)
          Among Men
            • Rand Paul (R) 57% (55%) {55%} [58%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% (34%) {35%} [34%]
            • Chris Christie (R) 50% (51%) {49%} [51%] (50%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 28% (33%) {34%} [31%] (35%)
            • Jeb Bush (R) 49% (58%) {54%} [59%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% (32%) {33%} [31%]
            • Mike Huckabee (R) 49% (51%) {51%}
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% (36%) {35%}
            • Sarah Palin (R) 45% (50%) {49%} [48%] (43%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (34%) {37%} [39%] (46%)
            Among Women 
              • Rand Paul (R) 44% (39%) {41%} [42%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (46%) {46%} [50%]
              • Chris Christie (R) 41% (37%) {38%} [43%] (38%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (48%) {44%} [45%] (47%)
              • Jeb Bush (R) 45% (37%) {40%} [40%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (48%) {45%} [52%]
              • Mike Huckabee (R) 45% (37%) {40%}
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (47%) {47%}
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (54%) {50%} [58%] (60%)
              • Sarah Palin (R) 36% (32%) {38%} [34%] (31%)
              Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin?
              • Favorable 36% (36%) {39%} [39%] (34%)
              • Unfavorable 55% (56%) {55%} [58%] (59%)
              Do you think Sarah Palin should run for President in 2016, or not?
              • She should run 20% (19%) {23%} [18%] (16%)
              • She should not 74% (74%) {69%} [77%] (78%)
              Survey of 673 Alaska voters was conducted July 31 - August 3, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points.  Party ID: 32% (29%) {33%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 20% (18%) {20%} [20%] (21%) Democrat; 47% (53%) {46%} [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 33% (31%) {32%} [30%] (33%) Moderate; 25% (21%) {23%} [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 18% (22%) {21%} [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 16% (16%) {16%} [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 8% (9%) {7%} [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted May 8-11, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

              Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Republican Primary Survey

              • Ted Cruz 16% (15%) {13%} [8%] 
              • Rand Paul 15% (11%) {15%} [18%] (12%)
              • Mike Huckabee 14% (11%) {11%} (14%)
              • Chris Christie 12% (14%) {10%} [13%] (11%)
              • Jeb Bush 12% (14%) {12%} [11%] (9%)
              • Sarah Palin 11% (12%) {13%} [14%] (9%) 
              • Scott Walker 7% (4%) {4%}
              • Paul Ryan 6% (4%) {4%} [9%] (10%)
              • Marco Rubio 5% (3%) {6%} [9%] (18%)
              • Someone else/Not sure 4% (12%) {12%} [12%] (10%)
              Do you think Sarah Palin should run for President in 2016, or not?
              • Think she should run 21%
              • Think she should not 72%
              Survey of 337 Republican primary voters was conducted July 31 - August 3, 2014The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points. Political ideology: 36% (31%) {33%} [37%] Somewhat conservative; 33% (38%) {37%} [ 33%] Very conservative; 24% (22%) {23%} [24%] Moderate; 5% (4%) {5%} [4%] Somewhat liberal; 2% (5%) {2%} [2%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted May 8-11, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

              Thursday, May 22, 2014

              Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

              PPP (D) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
              • Mike Huckabee 20% {17%} (16%) {15%} [17%] (16%
              • Ted Cruz 15% {10%} [10%]
              • Jeb Bush 12% {13%} [14%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (10%) 
              • Rand Paul 10% {14%} [18%] (15%) {5%} [11%] (9%)
              • Chris Christie 9% {10%} [16%] (12%) {12%} [16%] (15%)
              • Paul Ryan 8% {9%} [15%] (10%) {12%} [6%] (5%)
              • Scott Walker 6% {7%} 
              • Marco Rubio 4% {3%} [11%] (16%) {12%} [10%] (7%) 
              • Rick Santorum 3% [6%] {10%} [17%] (16%
              • Someone else/Not sure 13% {11%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (10%)
              Among Men
              • Ted Cruz 20% {10%} [13%]
              • Mike Huckabee 18% {19%} (14%) {13%} [13%] (11%)
              • Jeb Bush 11% {9%} [13%] (16%) {11%} [8%] (9%)
              • Rand Paul 11% {14%} [21%] (14%) {6%} [16%] (10%) 
              • Chris Christie 10% {7%} [17%] (12%) {14%} [15%] (17%)
              • Scott Walker 6% {11%}
              • Paul Ryan 6% {8%} [11%] (10%) {7%} [8%] (3%)
              • Marco Rubio 5% {3%} [10%] (17%) {15%} [8%] (9%) 
              • Rick Santorum 3% [5%] {10%} [17%] (19%
              • Someone else/Not sure 10% {9%} [4%] (6%) {8%} [5%] (11%)
              Among Women
              • Mike Huckabee 23% {15%} (18%) {17%} [21%] (22%)
              • Jeb Bush 14% {17%} [15%] (12%) {11%} [8%] (12%)
              • Paul Ryan 11% {9%} [19%] (10%) {17%} [5%] (8%) 
              • Ted Cruz 9% {9%} [7%] 
              • Rand Paul 8% {14%} [14%] (16%) {5%} [5%] (8%)
              • Chris Christie 7% {15%} [16%] (11%) {10%} [16%] (13%)
              • Scott Walker 5% {1%}  
              • Rick Santorum 4% [7%] {11%} [17%] (14%)
              • Marco Rubio 3% {3%} [12%] (16%) {10%} [11%] (4%)
              • Someone else/Not sure 17% {13%} [10%] (8%) {9%} [10%] (10%)
              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
              • Mike Huckabee 70% {63%} (64%) {68%} [68%] (69%) / 14% {19%} (22%) {16%} [20%] (12%) {+56%}
              • Sarah Palin 68% {61%} {60%} [60%] (70%) / 18% {21%} {26%} [26%] (17%) {+50%}
              • Rick Santorum 62% {44%} [57%] {64%} [65%] (68%) / 13% {21%} [15%] {18%} [22%] (17%) {+49%}
              • Rand Paul 60% {59%} [60%] (55%) {48%} [49%] (54%) / 12% {15%} [15%] (19%) {28%} [29%] (15%) {+48%}
              • Ted Cruz 58% {40%} [27%] / 11% {14%} [12%] {+47%}
              • Paul Ryan 60% {63%} [68%] (63%) {83%} [49%] (44%) / 15% {13%} [12%] (16%) {13%} [14%] (8%) {+45%}
              • Marco Rubio 51% {42%} [54%] (54%) {59%} [57%] (46%) / 10% {14%} [14%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (7%) {+41%}
              • Scott Walker 47% {39%} / 8% {12%} {+39%}  
              • Rick Perry 53% {45%} (43%) / 16% {17%} (28%) {+37%}
              • Bobby Jindal 41% {36%} [42%] (43%) / 9% {10%} [14%] (11%) {+32%}
              • Ben Carson 37% / 6% {+31%}
              • Jeb Bush 48% {50%} [58%] (55%) {60%} [53%] (62%) / 25% {17%} [17%] (17%) {11%} [19%] (9%) {+23%}  
              • John Kasich 18% {11%} / 10% {13%} {+8%}
              • Chris Christie 36% {38%} [45%] (36%) {55%} [57%] (50%) / 38% {35%} [27%] (33%) {21%} [17%] (16%) {-2%}  
              • Scott Brown 12% / 17% {-5%}
              • Peter King 11% / 19% {-8%}
              • Donald Trump 30% {23%} / 40% {44%} {-10%}
              • Joe Scarborough 10% / 22% {-12%}
              Survey of 303 Republican voters was conducted May 15-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.6 percentage points.  Political ideology: 42% {33%} [45%] (43%) {36%} [37%] (46%) Very conservative; 37% {39%} [33%] (31%) {39%} [40%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 16% {21%} [16%] (21%) {19%} [16%] (14%) Moderate; 3% {5%} [5%] (5%) {3%} [6%] (3%) Somewhat liberal; 1% {2%} [1%] (1%) {3%} [1%] (2%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1-3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.

              Wednesday, May 14, 2014

              Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Presidential Survey

              • Jeb Bush (R) 47% {47%} [49%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {39%} [42%]
              • Rand Paul (R) 46% {47%} [49%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {41%} [43%]
              • Chris Christie (R) 44% {43%} [46%] (43%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {39%} [38%] (42%)
              • Mike Huckabee (R) 43% {45%}
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {41%}
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {44%} [49%] (53%)
              • Sarah Palin (R) 41% {43%} [40%] (37%)
              Among Men
              • Jeb Bush (R) 58% {54%} [59%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 32% {33%} [31%]
              • Rand Paul (R) 55% {55%} [58%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {35%} [34%]
              • Chris Christie (R) 51% {49%} [51%] (50%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% {34%} [31%] (35%)
              • Mike Huckabee (R) 51% {51%}
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% {35%}
              • Sarah Palin (R) 50% {49%} [48%] (43%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {37%} [39%] (46%)
              Among Women 
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {45%} [52%]
              • Jeb Bush (R) 37% {40%} [40%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {46%} [50%]
              • Rand Paul (R) 39% {41%} [42%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {44%} [45%] (47%)
              • Chris Christie (R) 37% {38%} [43%] (38%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {47%}
              • Mike Huckabee (R) 37% {40%}
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {50%} [58%] (60%)
              • Sarah Palin (R) 32% {38%} [34%] (31%)
              Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin?
              • Favorable 36% {39%} [39%] (34%)
              • Unfavorable 56% {55%} [58%] (59%)
              Do you think Sarah Palin should run for President in 2016, or not?
              • She should run 19% {23%} [18%] (16%)
              • She should not 74% {69%} [77%] (78%)
              Survey of 582 registered voters was conducted May 8-11, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 29% {33%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 18% {20%} [20%] (21%) Democrat; 53% {46%} [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 31% {32%} [30%] (33%) Moderate; 22% {21%} [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 21% {23%} [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 16% {16%} [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 9% {7%} [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

              Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Republican Primary Survey

              Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Scott Walker, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
              • Ted Cruz 15% {13%} [8%] 
              • Chris Christie 14% {10%} [13%] (11%)
              • Jeb Bush 14% {12%} [11%] (9%)
              • Sarah Palin 12% {13%} [14%] (9%) 
              • Mike Huckabee 11% {11%} (14%)
              • Rand Paul 11% {15%} [18%] (12%)
              • Paul Ryan 4% {4%} [9%] (10%)
              • Scott Walker 4% {4%}
              • Marco Rubio 3% {6%} [9%] (18%)
              • Someone else/Not sure 12% {12%} [12%] (10%)
              If Sarah Palin was not a candidate for President, who would you support, given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Scott Walker?
              • Chris Christie 16% {9%} [14%]
              • Ted Cruz 15% {16%} [9%]
              • Jeb Bush 15% {14%} [15%]
              • Rand Paul 14% {14%} [20%]
              • Mike Huckabee 10% {13%} 
              • Paul Ryan 5% {7%} [14%]
              • Scott Walker 5% {5%}
              • Marco Rubio 4% {8%} [10%]
              • Someone else/Not sure 16% {15%} [12%]
              Survey of 313 Republican primary voters was conducted May 8-11, 2014The margin of error is +/-5.5  percentage points. Political ideology: 38% {37%} [ 33%] Very conservative; 31% {33%} [37%] Somewhat conservative; 22% {23%} [24%] Moderate; 5% {2%} [2%] Very liberal; 4% {5%} [4%] Somewhat liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

              Tuesday, May 13, 2014

              Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

              • Mark Begich (D) 42% {41%} [46%] (47%)
              • Dan Sullivan (R) 37% {37%} [39%] (41%)
              • Zachary Kile (AIP) 5% {6%}
              • Sidney Hill (I) 1% {2%}
              • Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1% {1%}
              • Mark Begich (D) 41% {44%} [52%] (54%)
              • Sarah Palin (R) 35% {40%} [40%] (38%)
              • Zachary Kile (AIP) 6% {4%}
              • Sidney Hill (I) 2% {2%}
              • Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1% {1%}
              • Mark Begich (D) 41% {43%} [44%] (47%)
              • Mead Treadwell (R) 33% {37%} [40%] (39%)
              • Zachary Kile (AIP) 6% {5%}
              • Sidney Hill (I) 2% {1%}
              • Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1% {1%}
              • Mark Begich (D) 43% {45%} [55%] (58%)
              • Joe Miller (R) 27% {25%} [32%] (30%)
              • Zachary Kile (AIP) 4% {5%}
              • Sidney Hill (I) 2% {2%}
              • Ted Gianoutsos (I) 0% {1%} 
              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
              • Mead Treadwell 30% {33%} [35%] (34%) / 34% {31%} [29%] (26%) {-4%} 
              • Dan Sullivan 34% {31%} [31%] (37%) / 43% {35%} [28%] (34%) {-9%}
              • Sarah Palin 36% {39%} [39%] (34%) / 56% {55%} [58%] (59%) {-20%}
              • Joe Miller 17% {16%} [19%] (20%) / 61% {62%} [63%] (63%) {-44%}
              Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Begich’s job performance?
              • Approve 44% {43%} [42%] (49%)
              • Disapprove 45% {44%} [41%] (39%)
              REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
              • Dan Sullivan 40% {30%} [25%]
              • Mead Treadwell 26% {25%} [33%]
              • Joe Miller 14% {20%} [24%]
              • John Jaramillo 3% {2%}
              • Someone else/Not sure 17% {19%} [19%]
              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
              • Dan Sullivan 54% {46%} [42%] / 28% {21%} [19%] {+26%}
              • Mead Treadwell 46% {51%} [50%]/ 23% {20%} [19%] {+23%} 
              • Joe Miller 28% {26%} [26%] / 52% {52%} [53%] {-24%}
              Survey of 582 registered voters, including 313 Republican primary voters, was conducted May 8-11, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points among all voters; +/- 5.5 percentage points among GOP primary voters.  Party ID (among all voters): 29% {33%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 18% {20%} [20%] (21%) Democrat; 53% {46%} [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology (among all voters): 31% {32%} [30%] (33%) Moderate; 22% {21%} [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 21% {23%} [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 16% {16%} [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 9% {7%} [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

              Wednesday, April 09, 2014

              Poll Watch: Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

              Suffolk University Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
              • Mike Huckabee 11.02%
              • Jeb Bush 10.24%
              • Rand Paul 10.24%
              • Ted Cruz 9.45%
              • Ben Carson 8.66%
              • Chris Christie 7.09%
              • Paul Ryan 6.30%
              • Condoleezza Rice 5.51%
              • Marco Rubio 5.51%
              • Scott Walker 5.51%
              • Sarah Palin 5.51%
              • Rick Santorum 5.51%
              • Rick Perry 3.15%
              • Bobby Jindal 3.15%
              • Undecided 3.15%
              Survey of 127 GOP caucus-goers was conducted April 3-8, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 8.7 percentage points.

              Thursday, February 27, 2014

              Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

              PPP (D) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
              • Mike Huckabee 17% (16%) {15%} [17%] (16%
              • Rand Paul 14% [18%] (15%) {5%} [11%] (9%)
              • Jeb Bush 13% [14%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (10%)
              • Chris Christie 10% [16%] (12%) {12%} [16%] (15%)
              • Ted Cruz 10% [10%] 
              • Paul Ryan 9% [15%] (10%) {12%} [6%] (5%)
              • Scott Walker 7% 
              • Bobby Jindal 7% [2%] (3%)
              • Marco Rubio 3% [11%] (16%) {12%} [10%] (7%)
              • Someone else/Not sure 11% [7%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (10%)
              Among Men
              • Mike Huckabee 19% (14%) {13%} [13%] (11%)
              • Rand Paul 14% [21%] (14%) {6%} [16%] (10%) 
              • Scott Walker 11%
              • Ted Cruz 10% [13%]
              • Jeb Bush 9% [13%] (16%) {11%} [8%] (9%)
              • Bobby Jindal 9% [4%] (2%)
              • Paul Ryan 8% [11%] (10%) {7%} [8%] (3%)
              • Chris Christie 7% [17%] (12%) {14%} [15%] (17%)  
              • Marco Rubio 3% [10%] (17%) {15%} [8%] (9%)
              • Someone else/Not sure 9% [4%] (6%) {8%} [5%] (11%)
              Among Women
              • Jeb Bush 17% [15%] (12%) {11%} [8%] (12%)
              • Chris Christie 15% [16%] (11%) {10%} [16%] (13%)
              • Mike Huckabee 15% (18%) {17%} [21%] (22%)
              • Rand Paul 14% [14%] (16%) {5%} [5%] (8%)
              • Paul Ryan 9% [19%] (10%) {17%} [5%] (8%)
              • Ted Cruz 9% [7%]
              • Bobby Jindal 4% [0%] (5%)
              • Marco Rubio 3% [12%] (16%) {10%} [11%] (4%)
              • Scott Walker 1% 
              • Someone else/Not sure 13% [10%] (8%) {9%} [10%] (10%)
              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
              • Paul Ryan 63% [68%] (63%) {83%} [49%] (44%) / 13% [12%] (16%) {13%} [14%] (8%) {+50%}
              • Mike Huckabee 63% (64%) {68%} [68%] (69%) / 19% (22%) {16%} [20%] (12%) {+44%}
              • Rand Paul 59% [60%] (55%) {48%} [49%] (54%) / 15% [15%] (19%) {28%} [29%] (15%) {+44%}
              • Sarah Palin 61% {60%} [60%] (70%) / 21% {26%} [26%] (17%) {+40%} 
              • Jeb Bush 50% [58%] (55%) {60%} [53%] (62%) / 17% [17%] (17%) {11%} [19%] (9%) {+33%}  
              • Rick Perry 45% (43%) / 17% (28%) {+28%}
              • Marco Rubio 42% [54%] (54%) {59%} [57%] (46%) / 14% [14%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (7%) {+28%} 
              • Scott Walker 39% / 12% {+27%}
              • Ted Cruz 40% [27%] / 14% [12%] {+26%}
              • Bobby Jindal 36% [42%] (43%) / 10% [14%] (11%) {+26%}  
              • Rick Santorum 44% [57%] {64%} [65%] (68%) / 21% [15%] {18%} [22%] (17%) {+23%}
              • Chris Christie 38% [45%] (36%) {55%} [57%] (50%) / 35% [27%] (33%) {21%} [17%] (16%) {+3%}  
              • John Kasich 11% / 13% {-2%}
              • Donald Trump 23% / 44% {-21%}
              Survey of 283 Republican voters was conducted February 20-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.8 percentage points.  Political ideology: 39% [33%] (31%) {39%} [40%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 33% [45%] (43%) {36%} [37%] (46%) Very conservative; 21% [16%] (21%) {19%} [16%] (14%) Moderate; 5% [5%] (5%) {3%} [6%] (3%) Somewhat liberal; 2% [1%] (1%) {3%} [1%] (2%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1-3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.

              Tuesday, February 11, 2014

              Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

              McClatchy-Marist 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
              • Chris Christie 13% {16%} [18%] (15%)
              • Mike Huckabee 13%
              • Marco Rubio 12% {7%} [7%] (12%)
              • Rand Paul 9% {9%} [12%] (9%)
              • Paul Ryan 9% {12%} [11%] (13%)
              • Jeb Bush 8% {8%} [10%] (10%)
              • Sarah Palin 8%
              • Scott Walker 7% {4%} [4%] (2%)
              • Ted Cruz 5% {5%} [10%] (7%)
              • Rick Perry 2% {6%} [3%] (4%) 
              • Rick Santorum 2% {5%} [4%] (2%)
              • John Kasich 1%
              • Undecided 12% {25%} [13%] (25%)
              Among Men
              • Chris Christie 13% {19%} [20%] (17%)
              • Rand Paul 11% {12%} [15%] (9%)
              • Marco Rubio 11% {9%} [6%] (16%)
              • Paul Ryan 10% {11%} [9%] (12%)
              • Mike Huckabee 10%
              • Scott Walker 10% {5%} [4%] (2%)
              • Sarah Palin 7%
              • Jeb Bush 6% {7%} [10%] (14%)
              • Ted Cruz 6% {6%} [12%] (7%)
              • Rick Perry 3% {6%} [4%] (6%)
              • Rick Santorum 2% {6%} [1%] (1%)
              • John Kasich 1%
              • Undecided 10% {16%} [11%] (15%)
              Among Women
              • Mike Huckabee 16%
              • Chris Christie 14% {13%} [16%] (13%)
              • Marco Rubio 13% {5%} [8%] (8%)
              • Jeb Bush 11% {9%} [10%] (6%)
              • Sarah Palin 10%
              • Rand Paul 7% {7%} [9%] (8%)
              • Paul Ryan 7% {13%} [13%] (14%
              • Ted Cruz 3% {5%} [9%] (6%) 
              • Scott Walker 3% {2%} [4%] (2%)
              • Rick Perry 1% {6%} [1%] (2%)
              • Rick Santorum 1% {5%} [6%] (4%)
              • John Kasich 1% 
              • Undecided 14% {33%} [15%] (34%)
              Survey of 403 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted February 4-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 64% [62%] (65%) Republican; 36% [38%] (35%) Independent.  Ideology: 53% [46%] (45%) Conservative; 26% [29%] (33%) Moderate; 16% [22%] (17%) Very conservative; 4% [4%] (4%) Liberal; 2% [0%] (1%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.
              Inside the numbers: 
              Without Christie or Palin in the race, Huckabee and Rubio tie at the top with 15 percent.

              Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 National Presidential Survey

              • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% {56%} [53%]
              • Paul Ryan (R) 44% {40%} [37%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
              • Mike Huckabee (R) 41%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% {57%}
              • Ted Cruz (R) 39% {35%}
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% {53%} [48%] (54%)
              • Jeb Bush (R) 38% {41%} [40%] (38%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% {55%} [50%] (52%)
              • Rand Paul (R) 38% {40%} [38%] (41%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% (50%) {48%} [47%] (46%)
              • Chris Christie (R) 37% (37%) {45%} [41%] (43%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% {52%} [50%] (52%)
              • Marco Rubio (R) 37% {42%} [38%] (40%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 62% {59%}
              • Sarah Palin (R) 35% {36%}
              Among Independents
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% (40%) {52%} [46%] (43%)
              • Chris Christie (R) 39% (40%) {40%} [42%] (40%)
              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
              • Hillary Clinton 52% (51%) / 43% (39%) {+9%}
              • Chris Christie 33% (29%) / 46% (32%) {-13%}
              National survey of 970 registered voters was conducted February 4-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 34% (34%) {31%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 27% (25%) {27%} [25%] (28%) Republican; 37% (39%) {41%} [37%] (35%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 25-27, 2013 are in parentheses.

              Wednesday, February 05, 2014

              Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Presidential Survey

              • Jeb Bush (R) 47% [49%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [42%]
              • Rand Paul (R) 47% [49%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% [43%]
              • Chris Christie (R) 43% [46%] (43%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [38%] (42%)
              • Mike Huckabee (R) 45%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [49%] (53%)
              • Sarah Palin (R) 43% [40%] (37%)
              Among Men
              • Jeb Bush (R) 54% [59%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% [31%]
              • Rand Paul (R) 55% [58%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% [34%]
              • Chris Christie (R) 49% [51%] (50%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% [31%] (35%)
              • Mike Huckabee (R) 51%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 35%
              • Sarah Palin (R) 49% [48%] (43%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% [39%] (46%)
              Among Women 
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [52%]
              • Jeb Bush (R) 40% [40%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [50%]
              • Rand Paul (R) 41% [42%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [45%] (47%)
              • Chris Christie (R) 38% [43%] (38%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
              • Mike Huckabee (R) 40%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [58%] (60%)
              • Sarah Palin (R) 38% [34%] (31%)
              Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin?
              • Favorable 39% [39%] (34%)
              • Unfavorable 55% [58%] (59%)
              Do you think Sarah Palin should run for President in 2016, or not?
              • She should run 23% [18%] (16%)
              • She should not 69% [77%] (78%)
              Survey of 850 registered voters was conducted January 30 - February 1, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% [32%] (32%) Republican; 20% [20%] (21%) Democrat; 46% [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 32% [30%] (33%) Moderate; 23% [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 21% [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 16% [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 7% [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

              Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Republican Primary Survey

              Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Scott Walker, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
              • Rand Paul 15% [18%] (12%) 
              • Ted Cruz 13% [8%]
              • Sarah Palin 13% [14%] (9%)
              • Jeb Bush 12% [11%] (9%)
              • Mike Huckabee 11% (14%)
              • Chris Christie 10% [13%] (11%)
              • Marco Rubio 6% [9%] (18%
              • Paul Ryan 4% [9%] (10%)
              • Scott Walker 4%
              • Someone else/Not sure 12% [12%] (10%)
              If Sarah Palin was not a candidate for President, who would you support, given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Scott Walker?
              • Ted Cruz 16% [9%]
              • Rand Paul 14% [20%]
              • Jeb Bush 14% [15%]
              • Mike Huckabee 13% 
              • Chris Christie 9% [14%]
              • Marco Rubio 8% [10%]
              • Paul Ryan 7% [14%]
              • Scott Walker 5%
              • Someone else/Not sure 15% [12%]
              Survey of 442 Republican primary voters was conducted January 30 - February 1, 2014The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Political ideology: 37% [ 33%] Very conservative; 33% [37%] Somewhat conservative; 23% [24%] Moderate; 5% [4%] Somewhat liberal; 2% [2%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

              Tuesday, February 04, 2014

              Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

              • Mark Begich (D) 41% [46%] (47%)
              • Dan Sullivan (R) 37% [39%] (41%)
              • Zachary Kile (AIP) 6%
              • Sidney Hill (I) 2%
              • Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1%
              • Mark Begich (D) 44% [52%] (54%)
              • Sarah Palin (R) 40% [40%] (38%)
              • Zachary Kile (AIP) 4%
              • Sidney Hill (I) 2%
              • Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1%
              • Mark Begich (D) 43% [44%] (47%)
              • Mead Treadwell (R) 37% [40%] (39%)
              • Zachary Kile (AIP) 5%
              • Sidney Hill (I) 1%
              • Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1%
              • Mark Begich (D) 45% [55%] (58%)
              • Joe Miller (R) 25% [32%] (30%)
              • Zachary Kile (AIP) 5%
              • Sidney Hill (I) 2%
              • Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1% 
              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
              • Mead Treadwell 33% [35%] (34%) / 31% [29%] (26%) {+2%} 
              • Dan Sullivan 31% [31%] (37%) / 35% [28%] (34%) {-4%}
              • Sarah Palin 39% [39%] (34%) / 55% [58%] (59%) {-16%}
              • Joe Miller 16% [19%] (20%) / 62% [63%] (63%) {-46%}
              Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Begich’s job performance?
              • Approve 43% [42%] (49%)
              • Disapprove 44% [41%] (39%)
              GOP SENATE PRIMARY
              • Dan Sullivan 30% [25%]
              • Mead Treadwell 25% [33%]
              • Joe Miller 20% [24%]
              • Kathleen Tonn 4%
              • John Jaramillo 2% 
              • Someone else/Not sure 19% [19%]
              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
              • Mead Treadwell 51% [50%]/ 20% [19%] {+31%} 
              • Dan Sullivan 46% [42%] / 21% [19%] {+25%}
              • Joe Miller 26% [26%] / 52% [53%] {-26%}
              Survey of 850 Alaska voters and 442 Republican primary voters was conducted January 31 - February 1, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points among all voters; +/- 4.7 percentage points among GOP primary voters.  Party ID (among all voters): 33% [32%] (32%) Republican; 20% [20%] (21%) Democrat; 46% [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology (among all voters): 32% [30%] (33%) Moderate; 23% [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 21% [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 16% [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 7% [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

              Wednesday, January 29, 2014

              Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

              PPP (D) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll 
               
              Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Scott Walker, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
              • Jeb Bush 18% (12%) {14%} [11%] (13%) {15%} [12%]
              • Chris Christie 17% (23%) {16%} [14%] (13%) {15%} [15%]
              • Rand Paul 13% (12%) {16%} [17%] (16%) {14%} [17%]
              • Ted Cruz 11% (15%) {15%} [20%] (12%) {7%}
              • Paul Ryan 9% (11%) {11%} [10%] (13%) {9%} [12%]
              • Marco Rubio 8% (8%) {10%} [10%] (10%) {16%} [21%]  
              • Scott Walker 7% (6%) [3%]
              • Bobby Jindal 5% (4%) {6%} [4%] (4%) {3%} [4%] 
              • Someone else/Not sure 11% (10%) {8%} [9%] (13%) {15%} [10%]
              Among Men
              • Chris Christie 19% (25%) {16%} [11%] (13%) {15%}
              • Jeb Bush 19% (11%) {15%} [13%] (16%) {15%}
              • Rand Paul 19% (13%) {17%} [18%] (15%) {15%}
              • Ted Cruz 11% (18%) {15%} [24%] (14%) {9%}
              • Scott Walker 10% (7%) [4%]
              • Paul Ryan 6% (8%) {12%} [9%] (14%) {8%}
              • Marco Rubio 5% (8%) {10%} [9%] (8%) {16%}
              • Bobby Jindal 4% (4%) {7%} [4%] (4%) {4%}
              • Someone else/Not sure 8% (6%) {6%} [7%] (13%) {11%}
              Among Women
              • Jeb Bush 17% (12%) {14%} [10%] (10%) {15%}
              • Chris Christie 16% (20%) {16%} [16%] (13%) {14%}
              • Paul Ryan 12% (15%) {10%} [10%] (13%) {10%}
              • Marco Rubio 12% (8%) {9%} [10%] (12%) {15%}
              • Ted Cruz 10% (10%) {15%} [16%] (11%) {4%}
              • Rand Paul 6% (12%) {14%} [16%] (17%) {12%}
              • Bobby Jindal 6% (3%) {5%} [5%] (3%) {3%}
              • Scott Walker 5% (5%) [2%]
              • Someone else/Not sure 15% (14%) {10%} [11%] (14%) {19%}
              Very Conservative
              • Rand Paul 18% (18%) {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%}
              • Ted Cruz 16% (26%) {26%} [34%] (20%) {8%}
              • Jeb Bush 15% (7%) {15%} [7%] (12%) {14%}
              • Scott Walker 12% (8%) [2%]
              • Marco Rubio 10% (9%) {6%} [9%] (8%) {17%}
              • Chris Christie 8% (11%) {3%} [4%] (7%) {7%} 
              • Paul Ryan 7% (12%) {13%} [12%] (17%) {9%}
              • Bobby Jindal 4% (4%) {7%} [5%] (4%) {3%}
              • Someone else/Not sure 10% (6%) {3%} [7%] (9%) {13%}
              Somewhat Conservative
              • Chris Christie 20% (24%) {16%} [12%] (13%) {14%}
              • Jeb Bush 16% (17%) {11%} [14%] (13%) {16%}
              • Paul Ryan 14% (13%) {12%} [11%] (13%) {11%} 
              • Ted Cruz 10% (9%) {12%} [13%] (7%) {6%}
              • Marco Rubio 9% (8%) {13%} [11%] (14%) {18%}
              • Rand Paul 8% (9%) {17%} [20%] (16%) {13%}
              • Scott Walker 7% (4%) [2%]
              • Bobby Jindal 6% (4%) {5%} [3%] (3%) {3%}
              • Someone else/Not sure 11% (12%) {9%} [11%] (15%) {15%}
              Moderate
              • Chris Christie 28% (34%) {36%} [34%] (24%) {25%}
              • Jeb Bush 28% (11%) {18%} [12%] (12%) {17%} 
              • Rand Paul 13% (10%) {10%} [9%] (12%) {9%}
              • Bobby Jindal 5% (3%) {3%} [7%] (4%) {2%}
              • Marco Rubio 4% (8%) {8%} [10%] (6%) {14%}
              • Ted Cruz 4% (5%) {5%} [4%] (8%) {5%}
              • Paul Ryan 2% (10%) {8%} [6%] (11%) {7%}
              • Scott Walker 1% (6%) [6%]
              • Someone else/Not sure 14% (14%) {10%} [9%] (16%) {17%}
              Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Scott Walker, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
              • Mike Huckabee 16% (13%) (11%) {15%} [11%] (17%)
              • Jeb Bush 14% (10%) (13%) {14%} [12%] (17%)
              • Chris Christie 13% (19%) (13%) {14%} [14%] (21%)
              • Rand Paul 11% (11%) (10%) {5%} [7%] (4%)
              • Paul Ryan 8% (10%) (15%) {16%} [12%] (7%)
              • Marco Rubio 8% (7%) (22%) {21%} [18%] (10%)
              • Ted Cruz 8% (14%)
              • Scott Walker 6% (4%)
              • Bobby Jindal 5% (3%) (4%) {3%} (3%)
              • Someone else/Not sure 10% (10%) (8%) {7%} [7%] (10%)
              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
              • Sarah Palin 70% [66%] (65%) / 20% [24%] (26%) {+50%}
              • Mike Huckabee 64% (65%) (71%) {70%} [73%] (69%) / 18% (14%) (12%) {15%} [15%] (15%) {+46%}
              • Paul Ryan 58% {67%} [75%] (78%) {76%} [74%] (47%) / 18% {13%} [11%] (9%) {11%} [15%] (11%) {+40%} 
              • Jeb Bush 56% (49%) {56%} [51%] (59%) {59%} [63%] (71%) / 18% (22%) {17%} [16%] (12%) {15%} [14%] (13%) {+38%}
              • Rand Paul 58% (58%) {58%} [60%] (61%) {55%} [53%] (42%) / 21% (15%) {16%} [16%] (13%) {20%} [22%] (20%) {+37%}
              • Ted Cruz 45% (43%) {27%} / 20% (21%) {13%} {+25%}
              • Chris Christie 40% (47%) {42%} [41%] (42%) {44%} [49%] (62%) / 38% (29%) {29%} [29%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (12%) {+2%}
              Survey of 457 Republican primary voters was conducted January 23-26, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points.  Political ideology: 39% (39%) {42%} [37%] (40%) {38%} [35%] (41%) {39%} [38%] (41%) Somewhat conservative; 37% (34%) {34%} [39%] (35%) {36%} [39%] (41%) {37%} [39%] (36%) Very conservative; 17% (21%) {20%} [18%] (17%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {16%} [16%] (16%) Moderate; 4% (4%) {3%} [4%] (5%) {5%} [5%] (2%) {5%} [6%] (4%) Somewhat liberal; 3% (2%) {2%} [1%] (3%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (3%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted December 13-15, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 29-31, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-26, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

              Tuesday, December 10, 2013

              Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

              McClatchy-Marist 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
              • Chris Christie 18% (15%)
              • Rand Paul 12% (9%)
              • Paul Ryan 11% (13%)
              • Ted Cruz 10% (7%) 
              • Jeb Bush 10% (10%)
              • Sarah Palin 8%
              • Marco Rubio 7% (12%)
              • Scott Walker 4% (2%)
              • Rick Santorum 4% (2%)
              • Rick Perry 3% (4%)
              • Undecided 13% (25%)
              Among Men
              • Chris Christie 20% (17%)
              • Rand Paul 15% (9%)
              • Ted Cruz 12% (7%)
              • Paul Ryan 9% (12%)
              • Jeb Bush 10% (14%)
              • Sarah Palin 8%
              • Marco Rubio 6% (16%)
              • Scott Walker 4% (2%)
              • Rick Perry 4% (6%)
              • Rick Santorum 1% (1%)
              • Undecided 11% (15%)
              Among Women
              • Chris Christie 16% (13%)
              • Paul Ryan 13% (14%)
              • Jeb Bush 10% (6%)
              • Ted Cruz 9% (6%)
              • Rand Paul 9% (8%)
              • Marco Rubio 8% (8%)
              • Sarah Palin 8% 
              • Rick Santorum 6% (4%)
              • Scott Walker 4% (2%)
              • Rick Perry 1% (2%)
              • Undecided 15% (34%)
              Survey of 419 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted December 3-5, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points.  Party ID: 62% (65%) Republican; 38% (35%) Independent.  Ideology: 46% (45%) Conservative; 29% (33%) Moderate; 22% (17%) Very conservative; 4% (4%) Liberal; 0% (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

              Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 National Presidential Survey

              McClatchy-Marist 2016 National Presidential Poll
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [47%] (46%)
              • Chris Christie (R) 45% [41%] (43%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [50%] (52%)
              • Marco Rubio (R) 42% [38%] (40%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [48%] (54%)
              • Jeb Bush (R) 41% [40%] (38%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% [50%] (52%)
              • Rand Paul (R) 40% [38%] (41%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% [53%]
              • Paul Ryan (R) 40% [37%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% [52%]
              • Rick Perry (R) 37% [36%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 57%
              • Ted Cruz (R) 35%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
              • Sarah Palin (R) 36%
              Among Independents
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [46%] (43%)
              • Chris Christie (R) 40% [42%] (40%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% [47%] (49%)
              • Marco Rubio (R) 36% [38%] (37%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 61% [44%] (52%)
              • Jeb Bush (R) 31% [42%] (35%)
              • Rand Paul (R) 48% [42%] (45%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [41%] (47%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [48%]
              • Paul Ryan (R) 41% [37%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [46%]
              • Rick Perry (R) 41% [39%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
              • Ted Cruz (R) 36%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 67%
              • Sarah Palin (R) 29%
              Among Moderates
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [46%] (54%)
              • Chris Christie (R) 44% [40%] (35%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 61% [53%] (61%)
              • Marco Rubio (R) 33% [32%] (30%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 61% [50%] (66%)
              • Jeb Bush (R) 35% [37%] (26%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 67% [49%] (61%)
              • Rand Paul (R) 27% [36%] (32%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 70% [60%]
              • Paul Ryan (R) 25% [29%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 73% [57%]
              • Rick Perry (R) 21% [27%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 72%
              • Ted Cruz (R) 19%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 71%
              • Sarah Palin (R) 24%
              Among Men
              • Chris Christie (R) 52% [41%] (46%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [49%] (45%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [49%] (46%)
              • Marco Rubio (R) 44% [39%] (46%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [51%] (52%)
              • Jeb Bush (R) 45% [39%] (39%)
              • Rand Paul (R) 48% [48%] (47%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [38%] (44%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [43%]
              • Paul Ryan (R) 48% [45%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [41%]
              • Rick Perry (R) 46% [45%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
              • Ted Cruz (R) 41%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 57%
              • Sarah Palin (R) 41%
              Among Women
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [46%] (47%)
              • Chris Christie (R) 39% [41%] (40%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [50%] (57%)
              • Marco Rubio (R) 41% [38%] (35%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [45%] (56%)
              • Jeb Bush (R) 38% [41%] (37%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 62% [62%] (59%)
              • Rand Paul (R) 33% [29%] (36%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 62% [63%]
              • Paul Ryan (R) 32% [30%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 66% [62%]
              • Rick Perry (R) 28% [28%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 63%
              • Ted Cruz (R) 30%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 62%
              • Sarah Palin (R) 32%
              National survey of 497 registered voters was conducted December 3-5, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 31% [34%] (35%) Democrat; 27% [25%] (28%) Republican; 41% [37%] (35%) Independent.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 25-27, 2013 are in parentheses.

              Tuesday, November 05, 2013

              Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

              PPP (D) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll 
               
              Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Rick Santorum, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
              • Chris Christie 16% [14%] (13%) {15%} [15%] (13%) {14%} [14%] (21%)
              • Rand Paul 16% [17%] (16%) {14%} [17%] (10%) {5%} [7%] (4%)
              • Ted Cruz 15% [20%] (12%) {7%} 
              • Jeb Bush 14% [11%] (13%) {15%} [12%] (13%) {14%} [12%] (17%)
              • Paul Ryan 11% [10%] (13%) {9%} [12%] (15%) {16%} [12%] (7%)
              • Marco Rubio 10% [10%] (10%) {16%} [21%] (22%) {21%} [18%] (10%)  
              • Bobby Jindal 6% [4%] (4%) {3%} [4%] (4%) {3%} (3%)
              • Rick Santorum 5% [3%] (4%) {5%} [5%] [4%] (12%) 
              • Someone else/Not sure 8% [9%] (13%) {15%} [10%] (8%) {7%} [7%] (10%)
              Among Men
              • Rand Paul 17% [18%] (15%) {15%}
              • Chris Christie 16% [11%] (13%) {15%}
              • Jeb Bush 15% [13%] (16%) {15%}
              • Ted Cruz 15% [24%] (14%) {9%}
              • Paul Ryan 12% [9%] (14%) {8%}
              • Marco Rubio 10% [9%] (8%) {16%}
              • Bobby Jindal 7% [4%] (4%) {4%}
              • Rick Santorum 3% [2%] (3%) {5%}
              • Someone else/Not sure 6% [7%] (13%) {11%}
              Among Women
              • Chris Christie 16% [16%] (13%) {14%}
              • Ted Cruz 15% [16%] (11%) {4%}
              • Jeb Bush 14% [10%] (10%) {15%}
              • Rand Paul 14% [16%] (17%) {12%}
              • Paul Ryan 10% [10%] (13%) {10%}
              • Marco Rubio 9% [10%] (12%) {15%}
              • Rick Santorum 6% [4%] (5%) {4%}
              • Bobby Jindal 5% [5%] (3%) {3%}
              • Someone else/Not sure 10% [11%] (14%) {19%}
              Very Conservative
              • Ted Cruz 26% [34%] (20%) {8%}
              • Rand Paul 18% [17%] (18%) {18%}
              • Jeb Bush 15% [7%] (12%) {14%}
              • Paul Ryan 13% [12%] (17%) {9%}
              • Rick Santorum 8% [4%] (4%) {9%}
              • Bobby Jindal 7% [5%] (4%) {3%}
              • Marco Rubio 6% [9%] (8%) {17%}
              • Chris Christie 3% [4%] (7%) {7%}
              • Someone else/Not sure 3% [7%] (9%) {13%}
              Somewhat Conservative
              • Rand Paul 17% [20%] (16%) {13%}
              • Chris Christie 16% [12%] (13%) {14%}
              • Marco Rubio 13% [11%] (14%) {18%}
              • Paul Ryan 12% [11%] (13%) {11%}
              • Ted Cruz 12% [13%] (7%) {6%}
              • Jeb Bush 11% [14%] (13%) {16%}
              • Bobby Jindal 5% [3%] (3%) {3%}
              • Rick Santorum 4% [3%] (4%) {4%}
              • Someone else/Not sure 9% [11%] (15%) {15%}
              Moderate
              • Chris Christie 36% [34%] (24%) {25%}
              • Jeb Bush 18% [12%] (12%) {17%} 
              • Rand Paul 10% [9%] (12%) {9%}
              • Paul Ryan 8% [6%] (11%) {7%}
              • Marco Rubio 8% [10%] (6%) {14%}
              • Ted Cruz 5% [4%] (8%) {5%}
              • Bobby Jindal 3% [7%] (4%) {2%}
              • Rick Santorum 2% [2%] (4%) {1%} 
              • Someone else/Not sure 10% [9%] (16%) {17%}
              Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Bobby Jindal, Sarah Palin, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Rick Santorum, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
              • Chris Christie 15%
              • Ted Cruz 14%
              • Rand Paul 13%
              • Jeb Bush 12%
              • Paul Ryan 9%
              • Marco Rubio 9%
              • Sarah Palin 7%
              • Bobby Jindal 5%
              • Rick Santorum 4%
              • Someone else/Not sure 12%
              Survey of 629 Republican primary voters was conducted October 29-31, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.  Political ideology: 42% [37%] (40%) {38%} [35%] (41%) {39%} [38%] (41%) Somewhat conservative; 34% [39%] (35%) {36%} [39%] (41%) {37%} [39%] (36%) Very conservative; 20% [18%] (17%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {16%} [16%] (16%) Moderate; 3% [4%] (5%) {5%} [5%] (2%) {5%} [6%] (4%) Somewhat liberal; 2% [1%] (3%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (3%) Very liberalResults from the poll conducted September 25-26, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

              Thursday, August 08, 2013

              Poll Watch: PPP (D) Georgia 2016 Presidential Survey

              • Chris Christie (R) 44%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
              • Jeb Bush (R) 45%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (50%)
              • Paul Ryan (R) 44% (45%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (51%)
              • Newt Gingrich (R) 43% (44%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
              • Rand Paul (R) 43%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
              • Sarah Palin (R) 38%
              Among Independents
              • Chris Christie (R) 43%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 32%
              • Jeb Bush (R) 40%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (45%)
              • Paul Ryan (R) 42% (40%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (50%)
              • Newt Gingrich (R) 41% (38%)
              • Rand Paul (R) 45%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
              • Sarah Palin (R) 30%
              Among Moderates
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
              • Chris Christie (R) 26%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 62%
              • Jeb Bush (R) 24%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 64% (67%)
              • Paul Ryan (R) 23% (22%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 67% (67%)
              • Newt Gingrich (R) 21% (21%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 65%
              • Rand Paul (R) 26%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 71%
              • Sarah Palin (R) 19%
              Among Men
              • Chris Christie (R) 51%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 35%
              • Jeb Bush (R) 52%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
              • Paul Ryan (R) 48% (50%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (44%)
              • Newt Gingrich (R) 49% (52%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (43%)
              • Rand Paul (R) 49%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
              • Sarah Palin (R) 44%
              Among Women
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
              • Chris Christie (R) 37%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
              • Jeb Bush (R) 40% 
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% (55%)
              • Paul Ryan (R) 41% (40%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (58%)
              • Newt Gingrich (R) 38% (38%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
              • Rand Paul (R) 37%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 57%
              • Sarah Palin (R) 33%
              Survey of 520 Georgia voters was conducted August 2-5, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Party ID: 39% (41%) Republican; 38% (37%) Democrat; 23% (22%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 30% (25%) Moderate; 22% (22%) Very conservative; 21% (21%) Somewhat conservative; 18% (19%) Somewhat liberal; 9% (12%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

              Monday, August 05, 2013

              Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2016 Presidential Survey

              • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
              • Chris Christie (R) 39%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
              • Jeb Bush (R) 37%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
              • Marco Rubio (R) 36%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
              • Ted Cruz (R) 32%
              Among Independents
              • Chris Christie (R) 43%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 33%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
              • Jeb Bush (R) 36%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
              • Marco Rubio (R) 36%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
              • Ted Cruz (R) 30%
              Among Men
              • Chris Christie (R) 42%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
              • Jeb Bush (R) 42%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
              • Marco Rubio (R) 40%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
              • Ted Cruz (R) 34%
              Among Women
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
              • Chris Christie (R) 35%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
              • Jeb Bush (R) 34%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
              • Marco Rubio (R) 33%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
              • Ted Cruz (R) 30%
              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
              • Chris Christie 49% / 20% {+29%}
              • Hillary Clinton 52% / 38% {+14%}
              • Paul Ryan 41% / 33% {+8%}
              • Marco Rubio 33% / 26% {+7%}
              • Rand Paul 34% / 28% {+6%}
              • Jeb Bush 39% / 38% {+1%}
              • Ted Cruz 22% / 24% {-2%}
              • Andrew Cuomo 24% / 29% {-5%}
              • Scott Walker 14% / 21% {-7%}
              • Rick Santorum 24% / 34% {-10%}
              • Joe Biden 35% / 51% {-16%}
              • Sarah Palin 26% / 61% {-35%}
              Among Independents
              • Chris Christie 53% / 19% {+34%}
              • Rand Paul 41% / 25% {+16%}
              • Paul Ryan 43% / 31% {+12%}
              • Hillary Clinton 48% / 38% {+10%}
              • Marco Rubio 32% / 24% {+8%}
              • Jeb Bush 37% / 34% {+3%}
              • Ted Cruz 23% / 23% {0%}
              • Andrew Cuomo 25% / 27% {-2%
              • Scott Walker 12% / 20% {-8%}
              • Rick Santorum 22% / 35% {-13%}
              • Joe Biden 29% / 53% {-24%}
              • Sarah Palin 23% / 62% {-39%}
              Among Men
              • Chris Christie 53% / 20% {+33%}
              • Rand Paul 43% / 24% {+19%}
              • Marco Rubio 39% / 24% {+15%}
              • Paul Ryan 43% / 32% {+11%}
              • Hillary Clinton 49% / 41% {+8%}
              • Jeb Bush 43% / 37% {+6%}
              • Andrew Cuomo 28% / 31% {-3%
              • Ted Cruz 24% / 29% {-5%}
              • Scott Walker 18% / 25% {-7%}
              • Rick Santorum 23% / 39% {-16%}
              • Joe Biden 36% / 55% {-19%}
              • Sarah Palin 31% / 57% {-26%}
              Among Women
              • Chris Christie 46% / 21% {+25%} 
              • Hillary Clinton 55% / 36% {+19%}
              • Paul Ryan 39% / 33% {+6%}
              • Ted Cruz 20% / 19% {+1%}
              • Marco Rubio 28% / 28% {0%}
              • Jeb Bush 34% / 39% {-5%}
              • Rick Santorum 25% / 31% {-6%}
              • Rand Paul 25% / 32% {-7%}
              • Scott Walker 10% / 17% {-7%}
              • Andrew Cuomo 19% / 27% {-8%}
              • Joe Biden 35% / 47% {-12%}
              • Sarah Palin 22% / 64% {-42%}
              Survey of 850 registered voters was conducted July 25-30, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% Democrat; 25% Republican; 42% Independent.