Wednesday, September 30, 2015

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48.1% {49.5%} (51.1%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 40.3% {37.7%}  (34.9%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50.5% (46.6%) {48.8%}
  • Jeb Bush (R) 38.1% (41.5%) {37.9%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49.8% (51.1%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 36.4% (35.4%)
Survey of 803 registered Wisconsin voters was conducted September 24-28, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

  • Hillary Clinton 42.2% (44.4%) {58.2%} [64.0%] (61.5%)
  • Bernie Sanders 29.7% (32.2%)
  • Joe Biden 17.0% (11.7%) {12.0%} [10.6%] (13.0%)
  • Martin O'Malley 1.0% (0.6%) {0.9%} [0.8%] (1.1%)
  • Lincoln Chafee 0.3% (0.5%)
  • Jim Webb 0.2% (0.5%) {0.9%}
  • Someone else 1.5% (1.2%) {3.7%} [2.1%] (1.5%)
  • Don't know 7.8% (8.8%) {8.9%} [9.2%] (11.0%)
Survey of 394 registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independent voters was conducted September 24-28, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2016 Republican Primary Survey

  • Donald Trump 20.1% (9.1%) 
  • Ben Carson 16.2% (13.2%) {5.0%}
  • Marco Rubio 14.4% (7.4%) {3.8%} [9.3%] (21.2%)
  • Carly Fiorina 10.8% (7.4%) {0.5%}
  • Jeb Bush 6.6% (5.9%) {7.9%} [2.4%] (4.6%)
  • Ted Cruz 5.1% (8.2%) {6.0%} [4.3%]
  • Rand Paul 4.5% (2.4%) {10.3%} [8.4%] (6.9%)
  • Mike Huckabee 3.4% (3.5%) {5.1%}
  • Chris Christie 3.1% (2.1%) {5.8%} [8.6%] (10.6%)
  • John Kasich 2.8% (1.0%)
  • Rick Santorum 1.2% (0.6%) {1.9%}
  • Bobby Jindal 0.5% (1.5%) {2.3%} (0.8%)
  • George Pataki 0.4% (0.0%)
  • Jim Gilmore 0.2% (0.6%)
  • Lindsey Graham 0.0% (0.0%)
  • Someone else 0.6% (0.6%) {1.7%} [4.2%] (1.6%)
  • Don't know 9.8% (9.6%) {8.9%} [8.9%] (10.5%)
Survey of 321 registered Republican and GOP-leaning Independent voters was conducted September 24-28, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
  • Donald Trump 23.42% (17.19%)
  • Ben Carson 13.16% (4.01%)
  • Carly Fiorina 13.16% (0.57%)
  • Marco Rubio 8.95% (4.87%)
  • Jeb Bush 7.89% (14.04%)
  • Ted Cruz 5.53% (5.73%)
  • John Kasich 2.37% (0.57%)
  • Mike Huckabee 2.11% (3.72%)
  • Rand Paul 2.11% (3.72%)
  • Bobby Jindal 1.32% (1.15%)
  • Chris Christie 0.53% (3.44%)
  • Lindsey Graham 0.53% (0.29%) 
  • George Pataki 0.00% (0.29%)
  • Rick Santorum 0.00% (1.15%)
  • Other 0.79% (0.57%)
  • Undecided 18.16% (29.51%)
Who would be your second choice?
  • Ben Carson 21.43% (5.28%)
  • Carly Fiorina 15.91% (1.63%)
  • Marco Rubio 13.64% (16.67%)
  • Jeb Bush 9.09% (13.82%)
  • Ted Cruz 9.09% (5.69%)
  • Donald Trump 5.84% (6.91%)
  • Chris Christie 4.55% (4.88%)
  • Mike Huckabee 2.60% (4.47%)
  • Rand Paul 2.60% (4.07%)
  • John Kasich 1.62%  (2.44%)
  • Rick Santorum 1.30% (0.81%) 
  • Bobby Jindal 0.65% (1.22%)
  • Lindsey Graham 0.32% (1.22%)
  • George Pataki 0.00%
  • Other 0.65% (1.22%)
  • Undecided 11.69% (13.82%)
National survey of 380 likely Republican primary/caucus voters was conducted September 24-28, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.03 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Marco Rubio (R) 43% (45%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (36%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 42% (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (39%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (40%) 
  • Jeb Bush (R) 37% (41%)
Survey of 1,483 likely voters was conducted September 18, 2015 for Fox 2 Detroit.  The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 10, 2015 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, September 29, 2015

Poll Watch: Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone Georgia 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Landmark/Rosetta Stone Georgia 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 30.8% [34.3%]
  • Ben Carson 17.9% [8.1%] (15.4%)
  • Carly Fiorina 13.2% (2.6%)
  • Marco Rubio 9.4% [4.5%] (9.6%)
  • Ted Cruz 7.9% [5.4%] (9.3%)
  • Jeb Bush 7.5% [12.0%] (10.1%)
  • Mike Huckabee 4.4% [8.1%] (18.3%)
  • John Kasich 1.9% [4.5%]
  • Rand Paul 1.1% [2.4%] (4.0%)
  • Undecided 5.9% [7.5%] (15.6%)
Survey of 600 Republican primary voters was conducted September 23, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 11-12, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Marco Rubio (R) 50% {45%} [47%] (44%) {45%} [42%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {41%} [46%] (45%) {45%} [46%
  • Ben Carson (R) 51% {47%} [47%] (44%) {44%} [46%] (45%) {44%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {40%} [44%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (45%) {44%}
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 48% {46%} [49%] (44%) {48%} [46%] {44%} [46%] (44%) {43%} [43%] (43%) {42%} [43%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {44%} [45%] (46%) {43%} [46%] {46%} [45%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {49%} [48%]  
  • Carly Fiorina (R) 48% {42%} [45%] (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {41%} [45%] (46%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 46% {42%} [43%] (40%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {46%} [43%] (44%) {45%} [43%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {42%} [45%] (47%) {45%} [46%] (44%) {46%} [43%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (45%) {47%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [47%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 47% {45%} [44%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {42%} [47%]
  • John Kasich (R) 44% {41%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {40%}
  • Ted Cruz (R) 46% {45%} [46%] (42%) {45%} [43%] [40%] (41%) (41%) {41%} [39%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {43%} [47%] (49%) {45%} [47%] [48%] (47%) (47%) {49%} [51%]
Survey of 957 registered North Carolina voters was conducted August 12-16, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 43% [43%] (42%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [45%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (42%) {42%} [39%] (43%) {43%} [45%] Democrat; 34% [35%] (36%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {36%} [34%] (31%) {36%} [35%] (36%) {35%} [34%] (33%) {34%} [33%] Republican; 23% [22%] (23%) {22%} [21%] (23%) {22%} [21%] (27%) {22%} [23%] (22%) {23%} [27%] (23%) {23%} [21%] Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted July 2-6, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 2-5, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-31, 2015 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 4-7, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 11-14, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 12-15, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) North Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

  • Hillary Clinton 37% [55%] (55%) {62%} [53%] (56%)
  • Joe Biden 30% [13%] (11%)
  • Bernie Sanders 17% [19%] (20%) {14%} [2%] (1%)
  • Jim Webb 3% [5%] (7%) {5%} [3%] (3%)  
  • Lincoln Chafee 2% [2%] (4%) {4%}
  • Martin O'Malley 1% [2%] (4%) {4%} [5%] (3%)
  • Lawrence Lessig 0% [1%] 
  • Not sure 10% [15%] (11%) {12%} [12%] (12%)
Survey of 605 Democratic primary voters was conducted September 24-27, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Ideology: 34% [37%] (36%) {33%} [31%] (38%) Moderate; 29% [25%] (28%) {29%} [33%] (27%) Somewhat liberal; 17% [19%] (20%) {22%} [21%] (21%) Very liberal; 13% [15%] (11%) {11%} [10%] (8%) Somewhat conservative; 7% [5%] (5%) {4%} [5%] (6%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted August 12-16, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 2-6, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 2-5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) North Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 26% (24%) {16%}
  • Ben Carson 21% (14%) {9%} [9%] (9%) {12%} [14%] (19%)
  • Carly Fiorina 12% (6%) {4%} [2%]
  • Marco Rubio 10% (9%) {9%} [12%] (11%) {7%} (4%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%) {10%} [10%] (21%
  • Ted Cruz 9% (10%) {6%} [11%] (11%) {3%} [6%] (5%) {12%} [17%] (12%) {14%} [8%] (11%) {12%} [12%]
  • Mike Huckabee 6% (6%) {11%} [10%] (11%) {15%} [13%] (14%) {17%} [19%] (22%) {19%} [20%] (15%) 
  • Jeb Bush 5% (13%) {12%} [19%] (19%) {17%} [14%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (18%) {12%} [15%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
  • John Kasich 4% (1%) {0%}
  • Chris Christie 2% (2%) {5%} [8%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (14%) {12%} [9%] (12%) {15%} [11%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
  • Bobby Jindal 1% (0%) {1%} {2%} [4%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%) {3%} [6%]
  • Rick Santorum 1% (2%) {1%} (4%) {5%} [2%] (5%)
  • Jim Gilmore 0% (0%)
  • Lindsey Graham 0% (0%) {1%}
  • George Pataki 0% (0%) {0%} 
  • Rand Paul 0% (3%) {7%} [12%] (6%) {5%} [6%] (5%) {12%} [15%] (9%) {12%} [14%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (6%)
  • Undecided 2% (3%) {4%} [5%] (7%) {8%} [9%] (7%) {11%} [9%] (6%) {12%} [9%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (8%)
Survey of 576 Republican primary voters was conducted September 24-27, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.

Political ideology: 38% (41%) {47%} [36%] (37%) {38%} [35%] (39%) {40%} [45%] (39%) {37%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [36%] (44%) Very conservative; 36% (35%) {36%} [39%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (38%) {37%} [35%] (32%) {35%} [33%] (40%) {39%} [36%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 21% (17%) {14%} [21%] (18%) {19%} [20%] (18%) {20%} [13%] (21%) {20%} [22%] (16%) {16%} [21%] (13%) Moderate; 3% (3%) {0%} [1%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) Very liberal; 2% (5%) {4%} [4%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (5%) {2%} [4%] (6%) {4%} [7%] (4%) {7%} [4%] (6%) Somewhat liberal.

Results from August 12-16, 2015 are in parentheses.
Results from July 2-6, 2015 are in curly brackets.
Results from May 28-31, 2015 are in square brackets.
Results from April 2-5, 2015 are in parentheses.
Results from February 24-26, 2015 are in curly brackets.
Results from January 29-31, 2015 are in square brackets.
Results from December 4-7, 2014 are in parentheses. 
Results from May 9-11, 2014 are in curly brackets.
Results from April 26-28, 2014 are in square brackets.
Results from April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.
Results from March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.
Results from February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.
Results from January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.
Results from December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.
Results from November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets.
Results from December 6-9, 2012 are in parentheses.

Monday, September 28, 2015

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Presidential Survey

NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Presidential Poll 
  • Carly Fiorina (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Ben Carson (R) 46%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [48%] (49%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 44% [40%] (43%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
      • Donald Trump (R) 39%
      Survey of registered voters was conducted September 20-24, 2015. Results from the poll conducted June 14-18, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 26-30, 2015 are in parentheses.

      Sunday, September 27, 2015

      Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

      • Hillary Clinton 42%
      • Bernie Sanders 35%
      • Joe Biden 17%
      • Jim Webb 1%
      • Martin O'Malley 0%
      • Lincoln Chafee 0%
       If Joe Biden does not run for President:
      • Hillary Clinton 53% [59%] (75%)
      • Bernie Sanders 38% [25%] (15%)
      • Jim Webb 1% [3%] (4%)
      • Martin O'Malley 1% [3%] (2%)
      • Lincoln Chafee 0% [1%] (0%)
      Survey of 256 Democrats and those who lean Democratic was conducted September 20-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 26-30, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 14-18, 2015 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

      NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
      • Donald Trump 21% {19%} [1%]
      • Ben Carson 20% {10%} [11%] (7%) 
      • Marco Rubio 11% {5%} [14%] (18%)
      • Carly Fiorina 11% {0%} [2%] (1%)
      • Jeb Bush 7% {14%} [22%] (23%)
      • John Kasich 6% {3%} [1%]
      • Ted Cruz 5% {9%} [4%] (11%)
      • Rand Paul 3% {6%} [7%] (11%)
      • Chris Christie 3% {3%} [4%] (5%)  
      • Mike Huckabee 2% {6%} [9%] (5%)
      • Rick Santorum 1% {1%} [0%]
      • Bobby Jindal 1% {1%} [0%]
      • Lindsey Graham 0% {0%} [1%]
      • George Pataki 0% {0%} [0%]
      • Jim Gilmore 0% {0%}
      Survey of 230 Republican primary voters was conducted September 20-24, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 6.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 26-30, 2015 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 14-18, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 26-30, 2015 are in parentheses.

      Friday, September 25, 2015

      Poll Watch: Elon University North Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

      • Hillary Clinton 53.4%
      • Bernie Sanders 23.0%
      • Jim Webb 1.6%
      • Lincoln Chafee 0.7%
      • Lawrence Lessig 0.7% 
      • Martin O'Malley 0.2%
      • Other 2.1%  
      • Undecided 17.1%
      Survey of 427 registered Democratic and Democratic-leaning Independent voters was conducted September 17-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.74 percentage points.

      Poll Watch: Elon University North Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

      Elon University North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll
      • Donald Trump 21.5%
      • Ben Carson 20.9%
      • Carly Fiorina 9.9%
      • Marco Rubio 7.4%
      • Jeb Bush 7.0%
      • Ted Cruz 6.2%
      • Mike Huckabee 4.1%
      • Rand Paul 2.3%
      • John Kasich 2.1%
      • Chris Christie 1.6% 
      • Rick Santorum 1.0%
      • Lindsey Graham 0.2%
      • Jim Gilmore 0.0%
      • Bobby Jindal 0.0%
      • George Pataki 0.0%
      • Other 0.6%
      • Undecided 13.2%
      Survey of 516 registered Republican and Republican-leaning Independent voters was conducted September 17-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.31 percentage points.

      Poll Watch: Elon University North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

      • Ben Carson (R) 52.3%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 40.9%
      • Jeb Bush (R) 46.0% [44.0%] (40.2%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 42.6% [47.4%] (45.7%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 47.3%
      • Donald Trump (R) 40.0%
      Survey of 1,075 registered North Carolina voters was conducted September 17-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2.99 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 20-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 16-20, 2015 are in parentheses.

      Thursday, September 24, 2015

      Poll Watch: CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

      CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
      • Bernie Sanders 46% {36%} [35%] (13%) {6%} [3%] (5%) 
      • Hillary Clinton 30% {42%} [43%] (51%) {58%} [58%] (59%) {65%} [74%] (64%) {62%} [61%] (63%)
      • Joe Biden 14% {5%} [8%] (2%) {8%} [3%] (14%) {6%} [10%] (6%) {8%} [7%] (10%) 
      • Martin O'Malley 2% {1%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [3%] (0%) {0%} (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) 
      • Jim Webb 1% {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%}
      • Lincoln Chafee 0% {0%} [0%] (1%)  
      • Lawrence Lessig 0%
      Survey of 314 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted September 17-23, 2015 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 22-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 2 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

      CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
      • Donald Trump 26% {24%} [11%] (5%) {2%}
      • Carly Fiorina 16% {1%} [6%] (4%) {0%}
      • Marco Rubio 9% {3%} [6%] (12%) {5%} [3%] (8%) {2%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
      • Ben Carson 8% {5%} [5%] (4%) {8%} 
      • Jeb Bush 7% {12%} [16%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (11%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
      • John Kasich 7% {6%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
      • Chris Christie 5% {7%} [5%] (3%) {9%} [12%] (19%) {12%} [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
      • Ted Cruz 5% {5%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [6%] (5%) {7%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
      • Rand Paul 3% {7%} [9%] (10%) {9%} [7%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (17%) {16%} [15%] (8%)  
      • Jim Gilmore 1% {0%} [0%] (0%)
      • Lindsey Graham 1% {1%} [1%] (1%)
      • Mike Huckabee 0% {2%} [2%] (3%) {9%} [9%] (8%)
      • George Pataki 0% {0%} [1%] (2%) {1%}
      • Rick Santorum 0% {1%} [0%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%)
      • Bobby Jindal 0% {2%} [0%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%) {3%} [2%] (2%)
      • Mark Everson 0%
      Survey of 344 likely Republican primary voters was conducted September 17-23, 2015 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 22-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Bloomberg Politics 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

      Bloomberg Politics 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
      • Donald Trump 21% (21%)
      • Ben Carson 16% (5%)
      • Jeb Bush 13% (10%)
      • Carly Fiorina 11% (1%) 
      • Marco Rubio 8% (6%)
      • Ted Cruz 5% (4%)
      • Chris Christie 4% (4%)
      • John Kasich 4% (4%)
      • Mike Huckabee 3% (7%)
      • Rand Paul 2% (5%)
      • Bobby Jindal 1% (1%)
      • Rick Santorum 1% (2%)
      • Lindsey Graham 0% (1%)
      • Jim Gilmore 0% (0%)
      • George Pataki 0% (0%)
      Survey of 391 registered Republicans and Republican leaners was conducted September 18-21, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 30 - August 2, 2015 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Survey

      • Ben Carson (R) 49%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% 
      • Jeb Bush (R) 44% {40%} [42%] (37%) {39%} [42%] (41%) {41%} [38%] (39%) {40%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {42%} [41%] (47%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {48%} 
      • Carly Fiorina (R) 44%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {45%} [48%] (50%)
      • Donald Trump (R) 43% {41%} [36%] (32%)
      National survey of 1,574 registered voters was conducted September 17-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 31% {29%} [26%] (23%) {25%} [32%] (31%) {26%} [26%] (26%) {26%} [24%] (23%) {27%} [25%] Republican; 30% {34%} [30%] (31%) {32%} [29%] (30%) {31%} [29%] (31%) {32%} [35%] (32%) {33%} [34%] Democrat; 29% {26%} [34%] (36%) {34%} [28%] (27%) {35%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [31%] (35%) {33%} [34%] Independent; 10% {10%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [11%] (12%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [7%] Other/Don't know. Race: 72% {74%} [75%] (72%) {73%} [73%] (74%) {73%} [74%] (74%) {72%} [72%] White; 11% {11%} [11%] (12%) {12%} [13%] (12%) {13%} [11%] (12%) {12%} [12%] Black; 9% {7%} [7%] (8%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) {7%} [8%] Hispanic; 8% {9%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [7%] (6%) {8%} [8%] Other. Results from the poll conducted August 20-25, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 23-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 19-26, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 16-21, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 6-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 8, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 22-28, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27 - March 4, 2013 are in square brackets.

      Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

      • Hillary Clinton 43% [45%] (55%) {57%} [60%] (56%) {57%} [58%] (65%) {66%} [61%] (65%)
      • Bernie Sanders 25% [22%] (17%) {15%} [8%] (4%) {4%}
      • Joe Biden 18% [18%] (13%) {9%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [9%] (8%) {8%} [11%] (13%)  
      • Larry Lessig 0%
      • Jim Webb 0% [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%}
      • Lincoln Chafee 0% [0%] (0%) {1%} [0%]  
      • Martin O'Malley 0% [1%] (1%) {1%} [3%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (1%)
      • Don't know 10% [11%] (11%) {14%} [14%] (14%) {14%} [15%] (13%) {12%} [15%] (14%)
      If Joe Biden does not run for President:
      • Hillary Clinton 53%
      • Bernie Sanders 30% 
      • Martin O'Malley 1%
      • Larry Lessig 0%
      • Jim Webb 0%
      • Lincoln Chafee 0%
      • Don't know 12%
      National survey of 587 registered Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters was conducted September 17-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 20-25, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 23-28, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 19-26, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 16-21, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 25-29, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

      Quinnipiac 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
      • Donald Trump 25% [28%] (20%) {5%}
      • Ben Carson 17% [12%] (6%) {10%} [3%] (7%) {9%}
      • Carly Fiorina 12% [5%] (1%) {2%} [1%]
      • Jeb Bush 10% [7%] (10%) {10%} [13%] (16%) {14%} [10%] (11%) {11%} [11%] (10%)
      • Marco Rubio 9% [7%] (6%) {10%} [15%] (5%) {3%} [6%] (8%) {7%} [12%] (19%)
      • Ted Cruz 7% [7%] (5%) {6%} [9%] (6%) {5%} [8%] (9%) {13%} [10%] 
      • Mike Huckabee 2% [3%] (6%) {10%} [7%] (8%) {7%} [10%]
      • Chris Christie 2% [4%] (3%) {4%} [7%] (8%) {11%} [10%] (12%) {17%} [13%] (14%)
      • John Kasich 2% [5%] (5%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%}
      • Rand Paul 1% [2%] (6%) {7%} [8%] (6%) {8%} [11%] (13%) {14%} [17%] (15%) 
      • George Pataki 1% [0%] (1%) {0%}
      • Rick Santorum 0% [1%] (1%) {0%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] 
      • Lindsey Graham 0% [0%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%)
      • Bobby Jindal 0% [0%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (2%) {3%} [1%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
      • Jim Gilmore 0% [0%] (0%)
      • Don't know 9% [11%] (12%) {20%} [14%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (22%) {17%} [19%] (18%)
      Survey of 737 registered Republican and GOP-leaning voters was conducted September 17-21, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 20-25, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 23-28, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 19-26, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 16-21, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26 - April 1, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Presidential Survey

      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (47%) {51%}
      • Donald Trump (R) 42% (42%) {34%}
      National survey of 1,013 registered voters was conducted September 20-22, 2015 under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 11-13, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 21-23, 2015 are in curly brackets.

      Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

      Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
      • Hillary Clinton 44% (49%) {51%} [59%] (61%) {57%} [63%] (62%) {61%} [55%] (62%) {64%} [69%] (68%)
      • Bernie Sanders 30% (30%) {22%} [19%] (15%) {11%} [6%] (4%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
      • Joe Biden 18% (10%) {13%} [8%] (11%) {8%} [6%] (9%) {12%} [17%] (10%) {12%} [14%] (12%)   
      • Martin O'Malley 2% (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {4%} [0%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
      • Jim Webb 1% (1%) {1%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
      • Lawrence Lessig 0%  
      • Lincoln Chafee (0%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
      National survey of 381 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted September 20-22, 2015 under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 11-13, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 30 - August 2, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 13-15, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 21-23, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 2, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Wednesday, September 23, 2015

      Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

      Fox News 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
      • Donald Trump 26% {25%} [26%] (18%) {11%} [4%] (4%) {5%} [3%] 
      • Ben Carson 18% {12%} [7%] (6%) {10%} [11%] (13%) {6%} [11%] (10%)
      • Carly Fiorina 9% {5%} [2%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%) {0%} [1%]
      • Marco Rubio 9% {4%} [5%] (7%) {8%} [7%] (9%) {13%} [8%] (5%) {9%} [8%] (8%) 
      • Ted Cruz 8% {10%} [6%] (4%) {4%} [8%] (6%) {8%} [10%] (4%) {9%} [7%] (12%)
      • Jeb Bush 7% {9%} [15%] (14%) {15%} [12%] (13%) {9%} [12%] (15%) {12%} [14%] (12%)
      • Chris Christie 5% {3%} [3%] (3%) {2%} [5%] (6%) {6%} [4%] (6%) {10%} [15%] (16%)
      • John Kasich 4% {4%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (2%) {2%}
      • Mike Huckabee 3% {6%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [6%] (10%) {9%} [10%] (13%) 
      • Rand Paul 2% {3%} [5%] (8%) {9%} [9%] (7%) {10%} [9%] (13%) {11%} [14%] (11%) 
      • George Pataki 1% {1%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [2%] (0%) {1%} [1%]
      • Jim Gilmore 0% {0%} [0%]
      • Rick Santorum 0% {1%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (3%) 
      • Bobby Jindal 0% {1%} [1%] (0%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [2%]
      • Lindsey Graham 0% {0%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [2%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (1%) 
      National survey of 398 likely Republican primary voters was conducted September 20-22, 2015, under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 11-13, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July  30 - August 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 13-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 21-23, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2015 are in curly brackets. >Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Bloomberg Politics 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

      Bloomberg Politics 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
      • Hillary Clinton 33%
      • Joe Biden 25%
      • Bernie Sanders 24%
      • Jim Webb 2%
      • Martin O'Malley 1%
      • Lincoln Chafee 0%
      Survey of 375 registered Democrats and Democrat-leaners was conducted September 18-21, 2015 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points.

      Tuesday, September 22, 2015

      Poll Watch: FAU Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

      • Ben Carson (R) 51.7%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 39.5%
      • Marco Rubio (R) 50.4%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 42.2%
      • Jeb Bush (R) 49.1%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 40.9%
      • Donald Trump (R) 45.9%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 44.5%
      Survey of 801 registered voters was conducted September 17-20, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.

      Poll Watch: FAU Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

      FAU Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
      • Hillary Clinton 59.5%
      • Joe Biden 15.9%
      • Bernie Sanders 15.2%
      Survey of 298 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted September 17-20, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5.6 percentage points.

      Poll Watch: FAU Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

      FAU Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
      • Donald Trump 31.5%
      • Marco Rubio 19.2%
      • Jeb Bush 11.3%
      • Ben Carson 10.3%  
      • Carly Fiorina 8.3%
      Survey of 352 likely Republican primary voters was conducted September 17-20, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points.

      Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

      PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
      • Hillary Clinton 43% (52%) {62%} [59%] (67%) {71%} [68%] (58%) {60%} [62%] (44%)
      • Bernie Sanders 22% (25%) {14%}
      • Joe Biden 17%
      • Martin O'Malley 3% (7%) {6%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [1%]
      • Jim Webb 3% (3%) {3%}
      • Lincoln Chafee 2% (1%) {2%}
      • Lawrence Lessig 0%
      • Not sure 9% (11%) {13%} [8%] (10%) {5%} [3%] (13%) {14%} [9%] (21%)
      Survey of 494 usual Democratic primary voters was conducted September 18-20, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Political ideology: 34% (32%) {34%} [28%] (28%) {35%} [33%] (35%) {38%} [32%] (37%) Moderate; 33% (35%) {34%} [35%] (41%) {37%} [33%] (32%) {37%} [36%] (33%) Somewhat liberal; 22% (25%) {24%} [30%] (20%) {18%} [26%] (20%) {14%} [21%] (14%) Very liberal; 8% (7%) {6%} [5%] (9%) {7%} [6%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (11%) Somewhat conservative; 3% (1%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (5%) {3%} [4%] (4%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted August 7-9, 2015 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-26, 2015 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

      PPP (D) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
      • Donald Trump 24% {19%}
      • Ben Carson 17% {12%} [7%]
      • Carly Fiorina 13% {10%}  
      • Ted Cruz 8% {9%} [8%] (15%) {10%} [10%]  
      • Marco Rubio 8% {6%} [13%] (4%) {3%} [11%] (16%) {12%} [10%] (7%)
      • Jeb Bush 6% {11%} [12%] (12%) {13%} [14%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (10%)
      • Mike Huckabee 6% {6%} [10%] (20%) {17%} (16%) {15%} [17%] (16%)
      • Bobby Jindal 4% {2%} {7%} [2%] (3%)
      • Rand Paul 4% {3%} [10%] (10%) {14%} [18%] (15%) {5%} [11%] (9%)
      • John Kasich 2% {3%}
      • Chris Christie 1% {1%} [5%] (9%) {10%} [16%] (12%) {12%} [16%] (15%)
      • Rick Santorum 1% {2%} (3%) [6%] {10%} [17%] (16%
      • Jim Gilmore 0% {0%}
      • Lindsey Graham 0% {0%}
      • George Pataki 0% {0%}
      • Undecided 3% {2%} [8%] (13%) {11%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (10%)
      Survey of 488 usual Republican primary voters was conducted September 18-20, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Political ideology: 43% {36%} [41%] (37%) {39%} [33%] (31%) {39%} [40%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 35% {34%} [34%] (42%) {33%} [45%] (43%) {36%} [37%] (46%) Very conservative; 15% {23%} [19%] (16%) {21%} [16%] (21%) {19%} [16%] (14%) Moderate; 6% {6%} [5%] (3%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {3%} [6%] (3%) Somewhat liberal; 1% {1%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {3%} [1%] (2%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 7-9, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 23-26, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1-3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.

      Monday, September 21, 2015

      Poll Watch: Siena College New York 2016 Presidential Survey

      • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
      • Ben Carson (R) 40% 
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (55%)
      • Jeb Bush (R) 36% (32%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
      • Donald Trump (R) 36%
      Survey of 817 registered voters was conducted September 14-17, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Party ID: 47% Democrat; 23% Republican; 26% Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted April 19-23, 2015 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Siena College New York 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

      Siena College New York 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
      • Hillary Clinton 45%
      • Joe Biden 24%
      • Bernie Sanders 23%
      Survey of 378 registered Democratic primary voters was conducted September 14-17, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

      Poll Watch: Siena College New York 2016 Republican Primary Survey

      Siena College New York 2016 GOP Primary Poll
      • Donald Trump 34%
      • Ben Carson 14%
      • Jeb Bush 11% (20%)
      • Chris Christie 9% (25%)
      • Carly Fiorina 8%
      • Marco Rubio 5% (9%)  
      • John Kasich 4% 
      • Ted Cruz 3% (6%)
      • George Pataki 3%
      • Scott Walker 0% 
      Survey of 214 registered Republican primary voters was conducted September 14-17, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 19-23, 2015 are in parentheses.