Poll Watch: Bloomberg Politics 2016 Presidential Survey

Bloomberg Politics 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (50%) {46%} [50%]
• Donald Trump (R) 43% (41%) {46%} [44%]

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (47%) {41%} [44%] (49%)
• Donald Trump (R) 41% (38%) {43%} [40%] (37%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 4% (8%) {8%} [9%] (9%)
• Jill Stein (G) 2% (3%) {4%} [4%]

National survey of 799 likely voters was conducted November 4-6, 2016 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 14-17, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 21-24, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 5-8, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 10-13, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Bloomberg Politics Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

Bloomberg Politics Florida 2016 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump (R) 46%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 45%

Among Men

• Donald Trump (R) 49%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42%

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
• Donald Trump (R) 43%

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Donald Trump (R) 45%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
• Gary Johnson (L) 4%
• Jill Stein (G) 2%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

• Donald Trump (R) 46% / 51% {-5}
• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% / 53% {-9}

Survey of 953 likely Florida voters was conducted October 21-24, 2016 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Bloomberg Politics 2016 Presidential Survey

Bloomberg Politics 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {46%} [50%]
• Donald Trump (R) 41% {46%} [44%]

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {41%} [44%] (49%)
• Donald Trump (R) 38% {43%} [40%] (37%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 8% {8%} [9%] (9%)
• Jill Stein (G) 3% {4%} [4%]

National survey of 1,006 likely voters was conducted October 14-17, 2016 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 21-24, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 5-8, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 10-13, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Bloomberg Politics Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

Bloomberg Politics Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
• Donald Trump (R) 42%

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
• Donald Trump (R) 39%
• Gary Johnson (L) 6%
• Jill Stein (G) 4%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 48% / 51% {-3}
• Donald Trump 40% / 58% {-18}

Survey of 806 likely voters was conducted October 7-11, 2016 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Bloomberg Politics North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

Bloomberg Politics North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
• Donald Trump (R) 45%

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
• Donald Trump (R) 43%
• Gary Johnson (L) 6%
• Jill Stein (G) 2%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 46% / 52% {-6}
• Donald Trump 44% / 53% {-9}

Survey of 805 likely voters was conducted September 29 - October 2, 2016 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Bloomberg Politics 2016 Presidential Survey

Bloomberg Politics 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [50%]
• Donald Trump (R) 46% [44%]

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Donald Trump (R) 43% [40%] (37%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41% [44%] (49%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 8% [9%] (9%)
• Jill Stein (G) 4% [4%]

National survey of 1,002 likely voters was conducted September 21-24, 2016 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 5-8, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 10-13, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Bloomberg Politics Ohio 2016 Presidential Survey

Bloomberg Politics Ohio 2016 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump (R) 48%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43%

Including Third-Party Candidates: 

• Donald Trump (R) 44%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
• Gary Johnson (L) 10%
• Jill Stein (G) 3%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Donald Trump 45% / 52% {-7}
• Hillary Clinton 40% / 57% {-17}

Survey of 802 likely voters was conducted September 9-12, 2016 by Selzer & Company. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Bloomberg Politics 2016 Presidential Survey

Bloomberg Politics 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
• Donald Trump (R) 44%

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (49%)
• Donald Trump (R) 40% (37%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 9% (9%)
• Jill Stein (G) 4%

National survey of 749 likely voters was conducted August 5-8, 2016 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 10-13, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Bloomberg Politics 2016 Presidential Survey

Bloomberg Politics 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
• Donald Trump (R) 37%
• Gary Johnson (L) 9%

National survey of 750 likely voters was conducted June 10-13, 2016 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.

Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll

• Hillary Clinton 45% (42%) {48%} [48%] (43%)
• Bernie Sanders 42% (40%) {39%} [41%] (35%)
• Martin O'Malley 3% (4%) {4%} [2%] (5%)

Survey of 602 likely Democratic caucus attendees was conducted January 26-29, 2016 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 7-10, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 7-10, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Donald Trump 28% (22%) {21%} [19%] (23%) {4%} [1%]
• Ted Cruz 23% (25%) {31%} [10%] (8%) {5%} [6%] (7%) 
• Marco Rubio 15% (12%) {10%} [9%] (6%) {6%} [4%] (2%) 
• Ben Carson 10% (11%) {13%} [28%] (18%) {10%} [10%] (11%)
• Rand Paul 5% (5%) {3%} [5%] (4%) {10%} [15%] (10%)
• Chris Christie 3% (3%) {3%} [1%] (2%) {4%} [6%] (6%)
• Jeb Bush 2% (4%) {6%} [5%] (6%) {9%} [9%] (4%)
• Carly Fiorina 2% (2%) {1%} [4%] (5%) {2%} [1%]
• Mike Huckabee 2% (3%) {3%} [3%] (4%) {9%} [13%] (9%)
• John Kasich 2% (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%]  (1%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {6%} [5%] (3%)
• Jim Gilmore 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Ben Carson 72% (73%) {72%} [84%] (79%) {56%} [50%] (41%) / 22% (22%) {22%} [12%] (8%) {15%} [12%] (8%) {+50%}
• Marco Rubio 70% (73%) {70%} [70%] (67%) {60%} [57%] (54%) / 21% (21%) {21%} [20%] (20%) {17%} [20%] (16%) {+49%}
• Ted Cruz 65% (76%) {73%} [61%] (61%) {59%} [58%] (52%) / 28% (19%) {19%} [26%] (24%) {20%} [21%] (18%) {+37%}
• Donald Trump 50% (54%) {57%} [59%] (61%) {27%} [26%] / 47% (45%) {38%} [37%] (35%) {63%} [68%] {+3%}
• John Kasich 28% (28%) {19%} [31%] (33%) {25%} [22%]  (17%) / 27% (43%) {46%} [33%] (22%) {16%} [14%]  (7%) {+1%}
• Rand Paul 40% (45%) {37%} [43%] (39%) {55%} [64%] (59%) / 41% (43%) {50%} [48%] (49%) {34%} [25%] (24%) {-1%}
• Chris Christie 40% (51%) {46%} [39%] (29%) {28%} [36%] (39%) / 44% (42%) {42%} [49%] (59%) {58%} [54%] (45%) {-4%}
• Jeb Bush 41% (47%) {39%} [50%] (45%) {43%} [46%] (50%) / 53% (50%) {54%} [43%] (50%) {45%} [43%] (28%) {-12%}

Survey of 602 likely Iowa GOP caucus-goers was conducted January 26-29, 2016 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 7-10, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 7-10, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 25-29, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 26-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 1-7, 2014 are in parentheses.

Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll

• Hillary Clinton 42% {48%} [48%] (43%)
• Bernie Sanders 40% {39%} [41%] (35%)
• Martin O'Malley 4% {4%} [2%] (5%)

Survey of 503 likely Democratic caucus attendees was conducted January 7-10, 2016 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 7-10, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Ted Cruz 25% {31%} [10%] (8%) {5%} [6%] (7%) 
• Donald Trump 22% {21%} [19%] (23%) {4%} [1%] 
• Marco Rubio 12% {10%} [9%] (6%) {6%} [4%] (2%) 
• Ben Carson 11% {13%} [28%] (18%) {10%} [10%] (11%)
• Rand Paul 5% {3%} [5%] (4%) {10%} [15%] (10%)
• Jeb Bush 4% {6%} [5%] (6%) {9%} [9%] (4%)
• Chris Christie 3% {3%} [1%] (2%) {4%} [6%] (6%)
• Mike Huckabee 3% {3%} [3%] (4%) {9%} [13%] (9%)
• Carly Fiorina 2% {1%} [4%] (5%) {2%} [1%]
• John Kasich 2% {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%]  (1%)
• Rick Santorum 1% {1%} [2%] (1%) {6%} [5%] (3%)
• Jim Gilmore 0% {0%} [0%] (0%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Ted Cruz 76% {73%} [61%] (61%) {59%} [58%] (52%) / 19% {19%} [26%] (24%) {20%} [21%] (18%) {+57%}
• Marco Rubio 73% {70%} [70%] (67%) {60%} [57%] (54%) / 21% {21%} [20%] (20%) {17%} [20%] (16%) {+52%}
• Ben Carson 73% {72%} [84%] (79%) {56%} [50%] (41%) / 22% {22%} [12%] (8%) {15%} [12%] (8%) {+51%}
• Carly Fiorina 58% {52%} [66%] (64%) {41%} [15%] / 28% {33%} [22%] (15%) {19%} [19%] {+30%}
• Mike Huckabee 59% {53%} [61%] (61%) {61%} [66%] (59%) / 33% {38%} [33%] (30%) {30%} [28%] (30%) {+26%}
• Rick Santorum 52% {42%} [51%] (48%) {56%} [57%] (52%) / 34% {43%} [34%] (37%) {28%} [30%] (30%) {+18%}
• Chris Christie 51% {46%} [39%] (29%) {28%} [36%] (39%) / 42% {42%} [49%] (59%) {58%} [54%] (45%) {+9%}
• Donald Trump 54% {57%} [59%] (61%) {27%} [26%] / 45% {38%} [37%] (35%) {63%} [68%] {+9%}
• Rand Paul 45% {37%} [43%] (39%) {55%} [64%] (59%) / 43% {50%} [48%] (49%) {34%} [25%] (24%) {+2%}
• Jeb Bush 47% {39%} [50%] (45%) {43%} [46%] (50%) / 50% {54%} [43%] (50%) {45%} [43%] (28%) {-3%}
• John Kasich 28% {19%} [31%] (33%) {25%} [22%]  (17%) / 43% {46%} [33%] (22%) {16%} [14%]  (7%) {-15%}

Survey of 500 likely Iowa GOP caucus-goers was conducted January 7-10, 2016 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 7-10, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 25-29, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 26-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 1-7, 2014 are in parentheses.

Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll

• Hillary Clinton 48% [48%] (43%)
• Bernie Sanders 39% [41%] (35%)
• Martin O'Malley 4% [2%] (5%)

Survey of 404 likely Democratic caucus attendees was conducted December 7-10, 2015 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Ted Cruz 31% [10%] (8%) {5%} [6%] (7%) 
• Donald Trump 21% [19%] (23%) {4%} [1%] 
• Ben Carson 13% [28%] (18%) {10%} [10%] (11%)
• Marco Rubio 10% [9%] (6%) {6%} [4%] (2%) 
• Jeb Bush 6% [5%] (6%) {9%} [9%] (4%)
• Chris Christie 3% [1%] (2%) {4%} [6%] (6%)
• Mike Huckabee 3% [3%] (4%) {9%} [13%] (9%)
• Rand Paul 3% [5%] (4%) {10%} [15%] (10%)
• John Kasich 2% [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%]  (1%)
• Carly Fiorina 1% [4%] (5%) {2%} [1%]
• Rick Santorum 1% [2%] (1%) {6%} [5%] (3%)
• Jim Gilmore 0% [0%] (0%)
• Lindsey Graham 0% [0%] (0%) {1%}
• George Pataki 0% [0%] (0%) {0%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Ted Cruz 73% [61%] (61%) {59%} [58%] (52%) / 19% [26%] (24%) {20%} [21%] (18%) {+54%}
• Ben Carson 72% [84%] (79%) {56%} [50%] (41%) / 22% [12%] (8%) {15%} [12%] (8%) {+50%}
• Marco Rubio 70% [70%] (67%) {60%} [57%] (54%) / 21% [20%] (20%) {17%} [20%] (16%) {+49%}
• Donald Trump 57% [59%] (61%) {27%} [26%] / 38% [37%] (35%) {63%} [68%] {+19%}
• Carly Fiorina 52% [66%] (64%) {41%} [15%] / 33% [22%] (15%) {19%} [19%] {+19%}
• Mike Huckabee 53% [61%] (61%) {61%} [66%] (59%) / 38% [33%] (30%) {30%} [28%] (30%) {+15%}
• Chris Christie 46% [39%] (29%) {28%} [36%] (39%) / 42% [49%] (59%) {58%} [54%] (45%) {+4%}
• Rick Santorum 42% [51%] (48%) {56%} [57%] (52%) / 43% [34%] (37%) {28%} [30%] (30%) {-1%}
• Rand Paul 37% [43%] (39%) {55%} [64%] (59%) / 50% [48%] (49%) {34%} [25%] (24%) {-13%}
• Jeb Bush 39% [50%] (45%) {43%} [46%] (50%) / 54% [43%] (50%) {45%} [43%] (28%) {-15%}
• John Kasich 19% [31%] (33%) {25%} [22%]  (17%) / 46% [33%] (22%) {16%} [14%]  (7%) {-27%}
• Lindsey Graham 16% [18%] (15%) {22%} / 53% [53%] (59%) {38%} {-37%} 

"Selzer Score"

• Ted Cruz 97.5 [53.5] (53)
• Donald Trump 72.5 [64.5] (73)
• Ben Carson 67.5 [95.5] (75)
• Marco Rubio 62 [56.5] (50)
• Jeb Bush 39.5 [39] (41)
• Mike Huckabee 39.5 [39] (42)
• Chris Christie 34.5 [26.5] (27)
• Carly Fiorina 34.5 [48] (48.5) 
• Rand Paul 32.5 [35.5] (32.5)
• Rick Santorum 31 [31.5] (32)
• John Kasich 22 [24] (27.5)
• Lindsey Graham 14.5 [12.5] (15)
• George Pataki 9.5 [9.5] (13)
• Jim Gilmore 7 [8.5] (10)

Survey of 400 likely Iowa GOP caucus-goers was conducted December 7-10, 2015 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 25-29, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 26-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 1-7, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Bloomberg Politics 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

Bloomberg Politics 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Hillary Clinton 55% (33%)
• Bernie Sanders 30% (24%)
• Martin O'Malley 3% (1%)

Survey of 385 registered Democrats and Democrat-leaners was conducted November 15-17, 2015 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 18-21, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Bloomberg Politics 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Bloomberg Politics 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Donald Trump 24% [21%] (21%)
• Ben Carson 20% [16%] (5%)
• Marco Rubio 12% [8%] (6%)
• Ted Cruz 9% [5%] (4%) 
• Jeb Bush 6% [13%] (10%)
• Chris Christie 4% [4%] (4%)
• Carly Fiorina 3% [11%] (1%) 
• Mike Huckabee 3% [3%] (7%)
• John Kasich 3% [4%] (4%)
• Rand Paul 3% [2%] (5%)
• Lindsey Graham 1% [0%] (1%)
• George Pataki 1% [0%] (0%) 
• Rick Santorum 1% [1%] (2%)

Second Choice

• Ben Carson 17%
• Marco Rubio 14%
• Ted Cruz 10%
• Donald Trump 10%
• Jeb Bush 8%
• Carly Fiorina 6%
• Chris Christie 5%
• Mike Huckabee 3%
• John Kasich 3%
• Rand Paul 2%
• Lindsey Graham 1%
• Rick Santorum 1%
• George Pataki 0%

I’m going to mention the candidates who are not your first or second choice. For each, please tell me if you think you could ever support the person for president or would never support the person for president.

Could support / Would never support 

• Chris Christie 52% (34%) / 35% (43%)
• Jeb Bush 51% (39%) / 32% (32%)
• Carly Fiorina 47% (34%) / 35% (36%)
• Marco Rubio 46% (47%) / 22% (25%)
• Mike Huckabee 45% (48%) / 43% (30%)
• Ted Cruz 44% (37%) / 27% (34%) 
• Rand Paul 41% (38%) / 47% (38%)
• Ben Carson 40% (40%) / 21% (28%)
• Rick Santorum 38% (39%) / 50% (38%)
• Donald Trump 27% (27%) / 36% (37%)
• John Kasich 26% (26%) / 52% (38%)
• Lindsey Graham 24% (23%) / 58% (55%)
• George Pataki 18% (19%) / 62% (52%)

"Selzer Score"

• Ben Carson 77
• Donald Trump 71.5
• Marco Rubio 61
• Ted Cruz 50
• Jeb Bush 45.5
• Chris Christie 39
• Carly Fiorina 35.5 
• Mike Huckabee 31.5
• Rand Paul 28.5
• John Kasich 22
• Rick Santorum 22
• Lindsey Graham 15
• George Pataki 11

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Marco Rubio 67% [60%] / 17% [14%] {+50%}
• Ben Carson 67% [68%] / 21% [10%] {+46%}
  
• Ted Cruz 57% [52%] / 22% [26%] {+35%}
• Carly Fiorina 54% [57%] / 26% [17%] {+28%}
• Chris Christie 53% [49%] / 35% [32%] {+18%}
• Donald Trump 55% [51%] / 42% [40%] {+13%}
• Jeb Bush 47% [57%] / 41% [31%] {+6%}
• Rand Paul 38% [36%] / 39% [42%] {-1%}
• John Kasich 29% [34%] / 34% [17%] {-5%}

Survey of 379 registered Republicans and Republican leaners was conducted November 15-17, 2015 by Selzer & Co.  The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 18-21, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 30 - August 2, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Ben Carson 28% (18%) {10%} [10%] (11%)
• Donald Trump 19% (23%) {4%} [1%] 
• Ted Cruz 10% (8%) {5%} [6%] (7%) 
• Marco Rubio 9% (6%) {6%} [4%] (2%) 
• Jeb Bush 5% (6%) {9%} [9%] (4%)
• Rand Paul 5% (4%) {10%} [15%] (10%)
• Carly Fiorina 4% (5%) {2%} [1%]
• Mike Huckabee 3% (4%) {9%} [13%] (9%)
• Bobby Jindal 2% (2%) {1%} [2%] (1%)
• John Kasich 2% (2%) {2%} [1%]  (1%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (1%) {6%} [5%] (3%)
• Chris Christie 1% (2%) {4%} [6%] (6%)
• Lindsey Graham 0% (0%) {1%}
• George Pataki 0% (0%) {0%} 
• Jim Gilmore 0% (0%)

Survey of 401 likely Iowa GOP caucus-goers was conducted October 16-19, 2015 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 25-29, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 26-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 1-7, 2014 are in parentheses.

Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll

• Hillary Clinton 48% (43%)
• Bernie Sanders 41% (35%)
• Martin O'Malley 2% (5%)
• Lincoln Chafee 1% (1%) 
• Larry Lessig 0%

Survey of 402 likely Democratic caucus attendees was conducted October 16-19, 2015 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

St. Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Bernie Sanders 41% (24%) {18%} [8%] (6%)
• Hillary Clinton 36% (56%) {62%} [56%] (62%) 
• Lawrence Lessig 1%
• Martin O'Malley 0% (2%) {3%} [0%] (1%)
• Lincoln Chafee 0% (1%) {1%} 
• Someone else 1%
• None of the above 2% (4%) {3%} [2%] (2%)
• Not sure 8% (12%) {8%} [11%] (8%)  

Survey of 400 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted October 15-18, 2015 by Purple Strategies.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 19-22, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 2-6, 2015 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-18, 2014 are in parentheses.