Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Poll Watch: EPIC-MRA Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

EPIC-MRA Michigan 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 48% {52%} [48%] (47%) {49%} [48%] (45%) {47%} [48%] (41%) {43%} [41%] (41%)
  • Mitt Romney 42% {46%} [45%] (37%) {46%} [42%] (46%) {43%} [40%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (46%) 
Survey of 600 active and likely voters was conducted October 26-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 4-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-11, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 28, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 24-31, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 2-5, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 3, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 13-16, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-11, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 12-17, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 53% [51%] (51%) {53%} [53%] (54%) {47%} [48%] (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% [42%] (44%) {39%} [39%] (38%) {42%} [41%] (43%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 48% [44%] (38%) {37%} [36%] (38%) {45%} [40%] (41%)
  • Barack Obama 42% [42%] (54%) {50%} [48%] (50%) {34%} [41%] (42%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 53% [49%] (40%) {45%} [45%] (45%) {46%} [44%] (50%)
  • Barack Obama 44% [43%] (53%) {48%} [48%] (46%) {43%} [48%] (42%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 60% [58%] (49%) {59%} [58%] (61%) {51%} [48%] (52%)
  • Mitt Romney 38% [36%] (48%) {33%} [34%] (31%) {38%} [38%] (36%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 52% / 44% {+8%}
  • Mitt Romney 46% (45%) {38%} [35%] (29%) {39%} [37%] (39%) / 49% (49%) {55%} [57%] (58%) {43%} [45%] (37%) {-3%}
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 52% (39%) {36%} [32%] (32%) {48%} [42%] (43%) / 42% (51%) {57%} [60%] (52%) {34%} [39%] (34%) {+10%}
  • Barack Obama 43% / 49% {-6%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 55% (43%) {43%} [40%] (35%) {41%} [35%] (46%) / 43% (52%) {50%} [53%] (55%) {40%} [50%] (41%) {+12%}
  • Barack Obama 43% / 54% {-11%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 59% / 37% {+22%} 
  • Mitt Romney 39% (47%) {32%} [30%] (25%) {37%} [39%] (33%) / 55% (46%) {61%} [60%] (61%) {46%} [40%] (32%) {-16%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 52% (49%) {51%} [53%] (52%) {50%} [47%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 46% (49%) {44%} [41%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (45%)
Among Men
  • Approve 44% (52%) {44%} [48%] (44%) {47%} [49%] (44%)
  • Disapprove 54% (46%) {50%} [48%] (52%) {49%} [47%] (51%)
Among Women
  • Approve 58% (46%) {58%} [57%] (58%) {53%} [46%] (56%)
  • Disapprove 39% (52%) {37%} [36%] (38%) {44%} [44%] (39%)
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to stand up for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 55%
  • Mitt Romney 42%
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to make sure the wealthiest Americans pay their fair share of taxes: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 56%
  • Mitt Romney 38%
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to keep tax rates fair for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 53%
  • Mitt Romney 42%
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to protect Medicare: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Mitt Romney 44%
Survey of 500 likely Michigan voters was conducted October 30-31, 2012 on behalf of Health Care for America Now. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 43% [41%] (33%) {32%} [38%] (40%) {40%} [41%] (35%) Democrat; 33% [30%] (34%) {28%} [28%] (30%) {30%} [28%] (35%) Republican; 24% [29%] (33%) {40%} [34%] (30%) {30%} [31%] (29%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 17-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 24-27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 10-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-24, 2011 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted March 18-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-6, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: United Technologies/National Journal 2012 Presidential Survey

United Technologies/National Journal 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 50% (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% (47%)
Survey of 713 likely voters was conducted October 25-28, 2012 by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 36% Democrat; 29% Republican; 30% Independent. Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Forty-seven percent (47%) of likely voters say they would prefer that Republicans maintain their House majority, while 44 percent want Democrats to take over; Democrats held a 45 percent to 43 percent advantage in late September. Voters, by a solid 50 percent to 40 percent margin, now say they would prefer a Democratic Senate; that’s up from a 47 percent to 42 percent advantage for Democrats in September.
The survey found an overwhelming correlation between preferences in the presidential race and the battle for congressional control. In the House, fully 85 percent of Obama voters preferred a Democratic majority, while 92 percent of Romney voters said they want the Republicans to maintain control. In the Senate, Obama voters by 89 percent to 3 percent said they preferred Democratic control, while Romney voters, by 83 percent to 9 percent, want Republicans to take the majority.
In the poll, three-fifths of likely voters say that if Romney wins they want Democrats to control at least one chamber “so they can act as a check” on his agenda; just 34 percent want Republicans to control both chambers “so they can implement his agenda.” Even among those voting for Romney, fully one-fourth say they want Democrats to control one congressional chamber.
Likewise, just 36 percent of voters want Democrats to control both chambers if Obama wins; 58 percent say they want Republicans to hold at least one to check him. About one-fourth of Obama voters say they would prefer divided control.
In its likely-voter model, the poll projected that the 2012 electorate will be virtually unchanged from 2008, with Democrats holding an 8 percentage-point advantage among voters (compared with 7 points last time) and whites representing 73 percent of voters (compared to 74 percent last time).

Poll Watch: Washington Post/ABC News 2012 Presidential Tracking Survey

  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49% {48%} [49%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {48%} [48.44%] (49%)
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 49% {49%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [48.51%] (48%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 51% {52%} [53%] (55%) {56%} [58%] (57%) {54%} [52%]
  • Barack Obama 46% {45%} [43%] (40%) {40%} [38%] (38%) {42%} [43%]
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 58% {57%} [57%] (57%) {56%} [56%] (56%) {57%} [57%]
  • Mitt Romney 40% {41%} [40%] (39%) {41%} [40%] (40%) {40%} [40%]
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 53% {51%} [52%] (53%) {55%} [58%] (57%) {57%} [53%]
  • Barack Obama 45% {46%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (40%) {40%} [43%]
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 52% {50%} [52%] (52%) {54%} [55%] (54%) {56%} [53%]
  • Mitt Romney 46% {48%} [45%] (45%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {41%} [44%]
(Among Obama Voters) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Barack Obama, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?
  • Very enthusiastic 64% {65%} [66%] (64%) {61%} [59%] (60%) {60%} [62%] (64%)
  • Somewhat enthusiastic 32% {32%} [30%] (31%) {33%} [35%] (35%) {35%} [34%] (32%)
  • Not so enthusiastic 2% {2%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
  • Not enthusiastic at all 1% {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
(Among Romney Voters) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Mitt Romney, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?
  • Very enthusiastic 61% {61%} [61%] (59%) {59%} [58%] (60%) {62%} [62%] (58%)
  • Somewhat enthusiastic 35% {34%} [33%] (36%) {35%} [35%] (33%) {31%} [32%] (35%)
  • Not so enthusiastic 3% {3%} [4%] (3%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [4%] (5%)
  • Not enthusiastic at all 1% {2%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (1%)
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? 
  • Approve 50% {50%} [51%] (50%) {50%} [49%] (49%) {50%} [49%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 49% {49%} [47%] (48%) {48%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [49%] (48%)
Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job handling the economy?
  • Mitt Romney 49% {49%} [49%] (50%) {51%} [51%] (52%) {50%} [50%] (48%)
  • Barack Obama 47% {46%} [47%] (45%) {44%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [45%] (46%)
Regardless of who you may support, who do you think better understands the economic problems people in this country are having?
  • Barack Obama 50% {49%} [50%] (49%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {50%} [51%] (51%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% {45%} [44%] (44%) {45%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (44%)
How would you rate Barack Obama's overall response to the Hurricane that hit the east coast this week, excellent, good, not so good or poor?
  • Excellent 35%
  • Good 42%
  • Not so good 4%
  • Poor 4%
How would you rate Mitt Romney's overall response to the Hurricane that hit the east coast this week, excellent, good, not so good or poor?
  • Excellent 14%
  • Good 30%
  • Not so good 13%
  • Poor 8%
How would you rate the federal government's overall response to the Hurricane that hit the east coast this week, excellent, good, not so good or poor?
  • Excellent 25%
  • Good 48%
  • Not so good 8%
  • Poor 1%
In thinking about your vote for president, what's more important - the things Obama has done as president in his first term, or the things you think he would do if elected to a second term?
  • Things Obama would do in 2nd term 47%
  • Things Obama has done in 1st term 27%
Survey of 1,288 likely voters was conducted October 27-30, 2012The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% {33%} [35%] (35%) {35%} [34%] (34%) {34%} [34%] (34%) Democrat; 28% {28%} [28%] (28%) {29%} [30%] (30%) {30%} [29%] (29%) Republican; 36% {35%} [34%] (34%) {33%} [32%] (31%) {32%} [32%] (33%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted October 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 25-28, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 24-27, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 23-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 22-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 19-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: We Ask America (R) Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey

We Ask America (R) Iowa 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 48.8% {48.7%} [47.5%] (45%)
  • Mitt Romney 47.3% {45.9%} [43.7%] (44%)
  • Third party candidate 3.9%
Survey of 1,174 likely voters was conducted October 30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 25-27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 18, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: We Ask America (R) Missouri 2012 Senatorial Survey

We Ask America (R) Missouri 2012 Senate Poll
  • Claire McCaskill (D) 48.6% (46.0%)
  • Todd Akin (R) 45.2% (45.2%)
  • Jonathan Dine (L) 6.2% 
Survey of 1,217 likely voters was conducted October 30, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 25-27, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: We Ask America (R) Missouri 2012 Presidential Survey

We Ask America (R) Missouri 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Mitt Romney 53.8% [47.7%] (49.01%)
  • Barack Obama 42.2% [44.5%] (39.73%)
  • Third party candidate 4.0%
Survey of 1,217 likely voters was conducted October 30, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 25-27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 24, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: We Ask America (R) Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

We Ask America (R) Florida 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Mitt Romney 49.8% {49%} [45.5%] (45.3%)
  • Barack Obama 48.9% {46%} [49.1%] (46.1%)
  • Third party candidate 1.3%
Survey of 1,146 likely voters was conducted October 30, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 4, 2012 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted September 18, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 1-2, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: We Ask America (R) Colorado 2012 Presidential Survey

We Ask America (R) Colorado 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 50.1% {47.0%} [49.3%] (46.6%)
  • Mitt Romney 46.7% {48.1%} [45.5%] (43.0%)
  • Third party candidate 3.2%
Survey of 1,246 likely voters was conducted October 30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 25-27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 25, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac/New York Times/CBS News Florida 2012 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac/NY Times/CBS Florida 2012 Senate Poll
  • Bill Nelson (D) 52% {53%} [50%] (47%)
  • Connie Mack (R) 39% {39%} [41%] (40%)
Among Independents
  • Bill Nelson (D) 52% {49%} [45%] (40%)
  • Connie Mack (R) 36% {40%} [43%] (43%)
Among Men
  • Bill Nelson (D) 49% {47%} [46%] (47%)
  • Connie Mack (R) 43% {46%} [47%] (44%)
Among Women
  • Bill Nelson (D) 54% {57%} [54%] (46%)
  • Connie Mack (R) 35% {32%} [36%] (38%)
Survey of 1,073 likely voters was conducted October 23-28, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Party ID: 37% {36%} [34%] (36%) Democrat; 30% {27%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 29% {33%} [32%] (32%) Independent; 4% {4%} [6%] (5%) Other.  Click here to view crosstabs.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-24, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 24-30, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac/New York Times/CBS News Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac/NY Times/CBS News Florida 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 48% {53%} [49%] (51%)
  • Mitt Romney 47% {44%} [46%] (45%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 49% {49%} [48%] (46%)
  • Barack Obama 44% {46%} [44%] (47%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 52% {50%} [51%] (46%)
  • Barack Obama 43% {47%} [45%] (50%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 53% {58%} [53%] (51%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% {39%} [41%] (44%)
(Among Obama Voters) Would you describe your support for Barack Obama as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Mitt Romney?
  • Strongly favor 76% {73%} (65%)
  • Like, but with reservations 18% {20%} (24%)
  • Dislike Romney 5% {6%} (10%) 
(Among Romney Voters) Would you describe your support for Mitt Romney as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Barack Obama? 
  • Strongly favor 74% {57%} (49%)
  • Like, but with reservations 19% {22%} (29%)
  • Dislike Obama 6% {20%} (19%) 
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 51% {54%} [50%] (50%) / 46% {42%} [45%] (46%) {+5%}  
  • Mitt Romney 48% {41%} [45%] (41%) / 47% {48%} [42%] (42%) {+1%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
  • Approve 49% {50%} [47%] (48%)
  • Disapprove 48% {47%} [48%] (48%)
Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
  • Yes 60% {57%} [57%] (55%)
  • No 38% {40%} [40%] (42%)
Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
  • Yes 47% {41%} [44%] (42%)
  • No 49% {55%} [48%] (49%)
Do you think Barack Obama understands the needs and problems of women in the workforce, or not?
  • Yes 65%
  • No 31%
Do you think Mitt Romney understands the needs and problems of women in the workforce, or not?
  • Yes 45%
  • No 50%
Would you say that Barack Obama has strong leadership qualities or not?
  • Yes 55%
  • No 43%
Would you say that Mitt Romney has strong leadership qualities or not?
  • Yes 65%
  • No 31%
Would you say that Barack Obama is honest and trustworthy or not?
  • Yes 54%
  • No 43%
Would you say that Mitt Romney is honest and trustworthy or not?
  • Yes 47%
  • No 47% 
Do you think Barack Obama has clearly explained his specific plans for the next four years, or hasn't he clearly explained them? 
  • Yes, explained 45%
  • No, has not 52%
Do you think Mitt Romney has clearly explained his specific plans for the next four years, or hasn't he clearly explained them?
  • Yes, explained 40%
  • No, has not 57%
Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on:
 The Economy
  • Mitt Romney 49% {46%} [48%] (47%)
  • Barack Obama 47% {51%} [45%] (45%)
Health Care
  • Barack Obama 52% {54%} [51%] (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% {41%} [43%] (42%)
Medicare
  • Barack Obama 50% {55%} [50%]
  • Mitt Romney 44% {40%} [42%]
Taxes
  • Barack Obama 48% {52%} [48%]
  • Mitt Romney 47% {43%} [44%]
Foreign Policy
  • Barack Obama 50% {52%} [50%]
  • Mitt Romney 44% {42%} [42%]
The Budget Deficit
  • Mitt Romney 53% {48%} [53%]
  • Barack Obama 40% {46%} [37%]
Helping the Middle Class
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Mitt Romney 44%
Social Issues like Abortion and Same-Sex Marriage
  • Barack Obama 57%
  • Mitt Romney 34%
Education
  • Barack Obama 53%
  • Mitt Romney 40%
Terrorism
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Mitt Romney 44%
Working with both Democrats and Republicans in Congress
  • Mitt Romney 50%
  • Barack Obama 41%
Survey of 1,073 likely voters was conducted October 23-28, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Party ID: 37% {36%} [34%] (36%) Democrat; 30% {27%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 29% {33%} [32%] (32%) Independent; 4% {4%} [6%] (5%) Other.  Click here to view crosstabs.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-24, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 24-30, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac/New York Times/CBS News Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac/NY Times/CBS News Ohio 2012 Senate Poll
  • Sherrod Brown (D) 51% (51%) {50%} [48%] (51%)
  • Josh Mandel (R) 42% (42%) {40%} [41%] (39%)
Among Independents
  • Sherrod Brown (D) 46% (45%) {48%} [42%] (49%
  • Josh Mandel (R) 44% (46%) {39%} [43%] (38%)
Among Men
  • Josh Mandel (R) 51% (48%) {47%} [45%] (46%)
  • Sherrod Brown (D) 44% (46%) {43%} [48%] (47%)
Among Women
  • Sherrod Brown (D) 58% (56%) {56%} [49%] (55%)
  • Josh Mandel (R) 34% (36%) {35%} [37%] (34%)
Survey of 1,110 likely voters was conducted October 23-28, 2012The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 37% (35%) {35%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 29% (26%) {26%} [26%] (27%) Republican; 30% (34%) {35%} [34%] (32%) Independent; 4% (4%) {4%} [6%] (5%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 17-20, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-24, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 15-21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 24-30, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac/New York Times/CBS News Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac/NY Times/CBS News Ohio 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 50% (50%) {53%} [50%] (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% (45%) {43%} [44%] (44%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 49% (49%) {47%} [48%] (44%)
  • Barack Obama 43% (42%) {46%} [43%] (47%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 50% (51%) {52%} [48%] (52%)
  • Barack Obama 44% (44%) {44%} [46%] (42%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 56% (55%) {60%} [54%] (58%)
  • Mitt Romney 39% (40%) {35%} [41%] (37%)
(Among Obama Voters) Would you describe your support for Barack Obama as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Mitt Romney?
  • Strongly favor Barack Obama 74% (74%) {66%} (60%)
  • Like but with reservations 18% (19%) {25%} (31%)
  • Dislike Mitt Romney 7% (6%) {8%} (9%)
(Among Romney Voters) Would you describe your support for Mitt Romney as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Barack Obama?
  • Strongly favor Mitt Romney 67% (63%) {51%} (42%)
  • Like but with reservations 22% (27%) {30%} (35%)
  • Dislike Barack Obama 10% (10%) {18%} (22%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 52% (51%) {54%} [51%] (51%) / 44% (45%) {43%} [45%] (45%) {+8%}  
  • Mitt Romney 46% (46%) {41%} [39%] (40%) / 48% (48%) {49%} [45%] (43%) {-2%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
  • Approve 50% (50%) {50%} [49%] (48%)
  • Disapprove 47% (47%) {47%} [48%] (48%)
Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
  • Yes 62% (60%) {59%} [59%] (55%)
  • No 36% (37%) {38%} [39%] (43%)
Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
  • Yes 44% (45%) {38%} [41%] (38%)
  • No 52% (50%) {57%} [53%] (55%)
Do you think Barack Obama understands the needs and problems of women in the workforce, or not?
  • Yes 65%
  • No 27%
Do you think Mitt Romney understands the needs and problems of women in the workforce, or not?
  • Yes 40%
  • No 54%
Would you say that Barack Obama has strong leadership qualities or not?
  • Yes 58% (58%)
  • No 40% (40%)
Would you say that Mitt Romney has strong leadership qualities or not?
  • Yes 64% (64%)
  • No 32% (32%)
Would you say that Barack Obama is honest and trustworthy or not?
  • Yes 54%
  • No 42%
Would you say that Mitt Romney is honest and trustworthy or not?
  • Yes 45%
  • No 50%
Do you think Barack Obama has clearly explained his specific plans for the next four years, or hasn't he clearly explained them?
  • Yes, explained 47%
  • No, has not 51%
Do you think Mitt Romney has clearly explained his specific plans for the next four years, or hasn't he clearly explained them?
  • Yes, explained 37%
  • No, has not 61%
Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on:

The Economy
  • Barack Obama 49% (48%) {51%} [47%] (46%)
  • Mitt Romney 48% (48%) {45%} [47%] (45%)
Taxes
  • Barack Obama 50% (51%) {53%} [51%]
  • Mitt Romney 45% (43%) {43%} [41%]
Helping the Middle Class
  • Barack Obama 54% (54%)
  • Mitt Romney 42% (41%)
Foreign Policy
  • Barack Obama 51% (50%) {54%} [50%]
  • Mitt Romney 42% (43%) {41%} [40%]
The Budget Deficit
  • Mitt Romney 55% (51%) {49%} [50%]
  • Barack Obama 40% (43%) {45%} [40%]
Health Care
  • Barack Obama 52% {54%} [51%] (48%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% {40%} [43%] (42%)
Medicare
  • Barack Obama 53% {55%} [51%]
  • Mitt Romney 42% {39%} [41%]
Social Issues like Abortion and Same-Sex Marriage
  • Barack Obama 56%
  • Mitt Romney 35%
Education
  • Barack Obama 60%
  • Mitt Romney 33%
Terrorism
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Mitt Romney 42%
Working with both Democrats and Republicans in Congress
  • Mitt Romney 46%
  • Barack Obama 45%
Survey of 1,110 likely voters was conducted October 23-28, 2012The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 37% (35%) {35%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 29% (26%) {26%} [26%] (27%) Republican; 30% (34%) {35%} [34%] (32%) Independent; 4% (4%) {4%} [6%] (5%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 17-20, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-24, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 24-30, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac/New York Times/CBS News Virginia 2012 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac/NY Times/CBS Virginia 2012 Senate Poll
  • Tim Kaine (D) 50% {51%} [51%] (48%)
  • George Allen (R) 46% {44%} [44%] (46%)
Among Independents
  • George Allen (R) 56% {42%} [46%] (49%
  • Tim Kaine (D) 38% {51%} [46%] (41%)
Among Men
  • George Allen (R) 51% {49%} [49%] (50%)
  • Tim Kaine (D) 44% {46%} [47%] (44%)
Among Women
  • Tim Kaine (D) 55% {55%} [55%] (51%)
  • George Allen (R) 42% {39%} [40%] (42%)
Survey of 1,074 likely voters was conducted October 23-28, 2012The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% {31%} [35%] (30%) Democrat; 27% {28%} [24%] (23%) Republican; 35% {35%} [36%] (40%) Independent; 3% {5%} [4%] (8%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 4-9, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 11-17, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 6, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac/New York Times/CBS News Virginia 2012 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac/NY Times/CBS Virginia 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 49% {51%} [50%] (49%)
  • Mitt Romney 47% {46%} [46%] (45%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 57% {46%} [53%] (50%)
  • Barack Obama 36% {48%} [42%] (43%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 52% {52%} [51%] (50%)
  • Barack Obama 43% {45%} [45%] (45%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 53% {56%} [54%] (54%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% {40%} [42%] (40%)
(Among Obama Voters) Would you describe your support for Barack Obama as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Mitt Romney?
  • Strongly favor Barack Obama 79% {72%} [71%] (68%)
  • Like but with reservations 15% {23%} [24%] (25%)
  • Dislike Mitt Romney 5% {5%} [4%] (7%)
(Among Romney Voters) Would you describe your support for Mitt Romney as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Barack Obama?
  • Strongly favor Mitt Romney 67% {62%} [55%] (40%)
  • Like but with reservations 21% {27%} [28%] (36%)
  • Dislike Barack Obama 10% {9%} [15%] (22%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 52% {54%} [53%] (50%) / 46% {43%} [43%] (46%) {+6%}  
  • Mitt Romney 49% {46%} [45%] (40%) / 46% {46%} [44%] (44%) {+3%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
  • Approve 49% {52%} [49%] (47%)
  • Disapprove 49% {46%} [47%] (49%)
Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
  • Yes 60% {63%} [59%] (59%)
  • No 36% {34%} [37%] (37%)
Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
  • Yes 49% {46%} [44%] (44%)
  • No 48% {49%} [50%] (48%)
Do you think Barack Obama understands the needs and problems of women in the workforce, or not?
  • Yes 68%
  • No 27%
Do you think Mitt Romney understands the needs and problems of women in the workforce, or not?
  • Yes 45%
  • No 50%
Would you say that Barack Obama has strong leadership qualities or not?
  • Yes 55% {62%}
  • No 43% {37%}
Would you say that Mitt Romney has strong leadership qualities or not?
  • Yes 64% {64%}
  • No 31% {30%}
Would you say that Barack Obama is honest and trustworthy or not?
  • Yes 53% {59%}
  • No 43% {38%}
Would you say that Mitt Romney is honest and trustworthy or not?
  • Yes 45% {47%}
  • No 48% {46%}
Do you think Barack Obama has clearly explained his specific plans for the next four years, or hasn't he clearly explained them? 
  • Yes, explained 45% {49%}
  • No, has not 53% {48%}
Do you think Mitt Romney has clearly explained his specific plans for the next four years, or hasn't he clearly explained them?
  • Yes, explained 41% {34%}
  • No, has not 48% {63%}
Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on:

The Economy
  • Mitt Romney 50% {48%} [47%] (47%)
  • Barack Obama 46% {48%} [49%] (45%)
Health Care
  • Barack Obama 51% {54%} [52%] (49%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% {42%} [44%] (42%)
Medicare
  • Barack Obama 51% {55%} [52%]
  • Mitt Romney 44% {40%} [42%]
Taxes
  • Barack Obama 48% {50%} [50%]
  • Mitt Romney 47% {44%} [45%]
Foreign Policy
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Mitt Romney 44%
Social Issues like Abortion and Same-Sex Marriage
  • Barack Obama 58%
  • Mitt Romney 36%
The Budget Deficit
  • Mitt Romney 54% {51%}
  • Barack Obama 40% {43%}
Helping the Middle Class
  • Barack Obama 52% {55%}
  • Mitt Romney 44% {42%}
Education
  • Barack Obama 56%
  • Mitt Romney 39%
Terrorism
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Mitt Romney 45%
Working with both Democrats and Republicans in Congress
  • Mitt Romney 49%
  • Barack Obama 42%
Survey of 1,074 likely voters was conducted October 23-28, 2012The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% {31%} [35%] (30%) Democrat; 27% {28%} [24%] (23%) Republican; 35% {35%} [36%] (40%) Independent; 3% {5%} [4%] (8%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 4-9, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 11-17, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 6, 2012 are in parentheses.