Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 49%
• Barack Obama 49%   
  

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 49%  
• Mitt Romney 46% 

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 51% 
  
• Barack Obama 49% 

Among Women

• Barack Obama 50% 
• Mitt Romney 48%

Among Whites

• Mitt Romney 63% 
  
• Barack Obama 36%

Among Blacks

• Barack Obama 94% 
• Mitt Romney 4%

Have you already voted, either at an early voting site or with an absentee ballot?

• Yes 52%
• No 48%

Already Voted

• Barack Obama 58% 
• Mitt Romney 41% 
  

Did Not Vote Yet

• Mitt Romney 58% 
  
• Barack Obama 40%

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 47% 
  

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of foreign policy?

• Barack Obama 51%
• Mitt Romney 46%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 50% / 47%  {+3%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 48% / 51% {-3%} 
  

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 50% / 46% {+4%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 50% / 48%  {+2%}

Among Whites

• Mitt Romney 63% / 35% {+28%}
  

Among Blacks

• Mitt Romney 7% / 85% {-78%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 49%
• Disapprove 50% 
  

Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 elections?

Among Democrats

• Very excited 75%
• Somewhat excited 20%
• Not at all excited 5%

Among Republicans

• Very excited 70%
• Somewhat excited 19%
• Not at all excited 10%

Among Independents

• Very excited 46%
• Somewhat excited 38%
• Not at all excited 16%

Survey of 730 likely North Carolina voters was conducted October 29-31, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID: 48% Democrat; 36% Republican; 16% Independent/Other.  Race: 71% White; 22% Black; 7% Other. 

• Mitt Romney 49% {48%} [49%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (46%) {46%} [48%] (47%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {44%} [43%] (44%)
• Barack Obama 49% {48%} [47%] (48%) {49%} [48%] (49%) {47%} [46%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (47%) {46%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (44%) 

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 51% {53%} [53%] (57%) {56%} [52%] (56%) {51%} [53%] (51%) {49%} [54%] (53%) {53%} [54%] (54%) {53%} [51%] (49%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {43%} [44%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (52%) 
• Barack Obama 49% {42%} [43%] (40%) {42%} [44%] (40%) {42%} [41%] (44%) {43%} [42%] (39%) {39%} [39%] (39%) {36%} [38%] (38%) {41%} [46%] (41%) {49%} [42%] (44%) {43%} [39%] (37%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 50% {54%} [50%] (54%) {55%} [51%] (57%) {51%} [50%] (53%) {54%} [55%] (55%) {51%} [53%] (50%) {54%} [51%] (52%) {49%} [45%] (50%) {44%} [46%] (50%) {51%} [53%] (50%) 
• Mitt Romney 48% {43%} [46%] (42%) {42%} [44%] (38%) {43%} [45%] (43%) {39%} [39%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (40%) {37%} [39%] (38%) {41%} [40%] (39%) {46%} [41%] (39%) {42%} [39%] (37%)

Have you already voted, either at an early voting site or with an absentee ballot?

• Yes 52% {30%}
• No 48% {70%}

Already Voted

• Barack Obama 58% {57%} 
• Mitt Romney 41% {42%} 
  

Did Not Vote Yet

• Mitt Romney 58% {50%} 
  
• Barack Obama 40% {45%}

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?

• Barack Obama 50% {49%} [47%] (47%)
• Mitt Romney 47% {47%} [48%] (49%)

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of foreign policy?

• Barack Obama 51% {52%} (49%)
• Mitt Romney 46% {44%} (47%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 50% {49%} [49%] (46%) {48%} [47%] (42%) {44%} [41%] (37%) {29%} [31%] (31%) {34%} [32%] (36%) {32%} [28%] (32%) {32%} [35%] (30%) {31%} [32%] (37%) {33%} [34%] (33%) / 47% {47%} [46%] ( 49%) {49%} [48%] (50%) {47%} [46%] (53%) {58%} [56%] (56%) {48%} [51%] (47%) {49%} [52%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (38%) {+3%}
  

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 50% {54%} [54%] (53%) {55%} [49%] (50%) {46%} [46%] (41%) {34%} [34%] (36%) {38%} [33%] (39%) {35%} [33%] (36%) {37%} [34%] (33%) {31%} [33%] (45%) {37%} [36%] (39%) / 46% {41%} [43%] (42%) {42%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [44%] (50%) {56%} [55%] (52%) {48%} [55%] (46%) {48%} [55%] (48%) {52%} [53%] (47%) {50%} [43%] (40%) {36%} [47%] (39%) {+4%} 

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 50% {45%} [45%] (40%) {42%} [45%] (34%) {42%} [37%] (34%) {24%} [28%] (27%) {30%} [32%] (33%) {28%} [23%] (29%) {28%} [36%] (28%) {31%} [31%] (29%) {31%} [32%] (29%) / 48% {52%} [49%] ( 53%) {54%} [49%] (54%) {49%} [48%] (56%) {60%} [57%] (60%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {50%} [49%] (44%) {42%} [36%] (40%) {38%} [40%] (38%) {36%} [32%] (38%) {+2%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 49% {48%} [48%] (48%) {50%} [48%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (46%) {45%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [48%] (47%) {49%} [46%] (45%)
• Disapprove 50% {50%} [50%] (49%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {50%} [50%] (50%) {48%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [50%] (50%) {53%} [53%] (50%) {51%} [47%] (46%) {48%} [46%] (48%) {47%} [49%] (51%)

Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 elections?

Among Democrats

• Very excited 75% {77%} [72%] (69%)
• Somewhat excited 20% {16%} [18%] (20%)
• Not at all excited 5% {7%} [11%] (11%)

Among Republicans

• Very excited 70% {65%} [72%] (58%)
• Somewhat excited 19% {27%} [19%] (26%)
• Not at all excited 10% {8%} [9%] (16%)

Among Independents

• Very excited 46% {55%} [53%] (56%)
• Somewhat excited 38% {23%} [29%] (24%)
• Not at all excited 16% {23%} [19%] (20%)

Results from the poll conducted October 23-25, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 2-5, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-10, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 10-13, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-7, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 8-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 3-5, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 5-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 1-4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 27-31, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 3, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 1-4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.

Party ID: 48% {44%} [45%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (45%) {46%} [44%] (48%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {48%} [47%] (46%) {48%} [46%] (48%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {47%} [46%] (49%) Democrat; 36% {35%} [35%] (34%) {34%} [34%] (33%) {34%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [34%] (35%) {34%} [35%] (35%) {36%} [34%] (35%) {33%} [36%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 16% {21%} [21%] (19%) {20%} [19%] (21%) {21%} [20%] (18%) {20%} [21%] (23%) {18%} [18%] (19%) {16%} [19%] (18%) {21%} [16%] (16%) {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%} [21%] (17%) Independent/Other.