Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times 2012 Presidential Survey

CBS News/New York Times 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 48% [48%] (49%)
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 47% [46%] (46%) 
Independents
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 51% [42%] (50%
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 39% [46%] (44%)
Men
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 51% [47%] (52%)
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 44% [47%] (44%) 
Women
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 52% [50%] (53%)
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 44% [45%] (41%) 
Would you describe your support for Barack Obama as strongly favoring him, or do you like him with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Mitt Romney?
  • Strongly favor 68% [65%] (65%)
  • Like with reservations 19% [20%] (20%)
  • Dislike Romney 12% [13%] (12%)
Would you describe your support for Mitt Romney as strongly favoring him, or do you like him with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Barack Obama?
  • Strongly favor 57% [61%] (47%)
  • Like with reservations 25% [22%] (27%)
  • Dislike Obama 17% [15%] (23%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 44% [43%] (37%) / 43% [40%] (38%) {+1%}
  • Paul Ryan 35% (29%) / 34% (26%) {+1%} 
  • Barack Obama 46% [47%] (44%) / 46% [42%] (44%) {0%}
  • Joe Biden 37% (33%) / 43% (37%) {-6%
Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling each of the following issues – Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

The Federal Budget Deficit
  • Mitt Romney 54% [48%] (51%)
  • Barack Obama 39% [42%] (43%)
The Economy and Unemployment
  • Mitt Romney 51% [48%] (46%)
  • Barack Obama 45% [45%] (47%
Foreign Policy
  • Barack Obama 49% [50%] (49%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% [41%] (39%)
Health Care
  • Barack Obama 48% (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% (46%) 
Taxes
  • Mitt Romney 47% (46%)
  • Barack Obama 46% (48%)
Medicare
  • Barack Obama 51% (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 42% (43%)
Help Middle Class Americans
  • Barack Obama 52% (54%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% (40%)
Dealing with the Issue of Abortion
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Mitt Romney 39%
Dealing with Illegal Immigration
  • Mitt Romney 48%
  • Barack Obama 42%
Dealing with Terrorism and National Security
  • Barack Obama 49% [49%]
  • Mitt Romney 44% [42%]
Which candidate do you think would work better with both Democrats and Republicans in Congress?
  • Mitt Romney 50%
  • Barack Obama 39%
Do you think Barack Obama has strong qualities of leadership, or not?
  • Has 59%
  • Does not have 39%
Do you think Mitt Romney has strong qualities of leadership, or not?
  • Has 67%
  • Does not have 30%
Do you think Barack Obama says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?
  • Says what he believes 50% (54%)
  • What people want to hear 47% (43%)
Do you think Mitt Romney says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?
  • Says what he believes 42% (42%)
  • Says what people want 54% (53%)
How much confidence do you have in Barack Obama’s ability to handle an international crisis -- a lot, some, a little, or none at all?
  • A lot 40% [38%] (39%)
  • Some 22% [24%] (26%)
  • A little 15% [15%] (13%)
  • None at all 22% [22%] (21%)
How much confidence do you have in Mitt Romney’s ability to handle an international crisis -- a lot, some, a little, or none at all?
  • A lot 30% [30%] (26%)
  • Some 27% [28%] (32%)
  • A little 15% [16%] (15%)
  • None at all 26% [25%] (22%)
Do you think Barack Obama has made it clear what he wants to accomplish if he were re-elected president, or not?
  • Yes, he has 57% (59%)
  • No, he has not 41% (37%)
Do you think Mitt Romney has made it clear what he wants to accomplish if he were elected president, or not?
  • Yes, he has 53% (50%)
  • No, he has not 46% (44%)
Do you think Barack Obama's views on most issues are too liberal for you, not liberal enough, or just about right?
  • Too liberal 42%
  • Not liberal enough 9%
  • About right 46%
Do you think Mitt Romney's views on most issues are too conservative for you, not conservative enough, or just about right?
  • Too liberal 35%
  • Not liberal enough 15%
  • About right 45%
Do you think Barack Obama does or does not understand the needs and problems of people like yourself?
  • Does 59% [59%] (60%)
  • Does not 39% [38%] (37%)
Do you think Mitt Romney does or does not understand the needs and problems of people like yourself?
  • Does 49% [48%] (46%)
  • Does not 48% [48%] (48%)
Do you think Barack Obama understands the needs and problems of women in the workforce, or not?
  • Yes 66%
  • No 29%
Do you think Mitt Romney understands the needs and problems of women in the workforce, or not?
  • Yes 46%
  • No 50%
Regardless of how you intend to vote for President in 2012, who do you expect to finally win the 2012 presidential election?
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Mitt Romney 36%
Survey of 563 likely voters was conducted October 25-28, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% [32%] (35%) Democrat; 31% [32%] (29%) Republican; 33% [35%] (32%) Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 17-20, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-12, 2012 are in parentheses. 

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