Tuesday, October 30, 2012

Poll Watch: NPR/Democracy Corps (D)/Resurgent Republic (R) 2012 Presidential Survey

NPR/Democracy Corps (D)/Resurgent Republic (R) 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 48% [44%] (45%)
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 47% [51%] (47%)
Battleground States
  • Barack Obama 50% [50%] (46%)
  • Mitt Romney 46% [44%] (46%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Paul Ryan 50% / 40% {+10%}
  • Mitt Romney 51% / 45% {+6%}
  • Barack Obama 51% / 48% {+3%}
  • Joe Biden 46% / 48% {-2%}
Battleground States
  • Barack Obama 54% / 44% {+10%}
  • Joe Biden 48% / 46% {+2%}
  • Paul Ryan 44% / 44% {0%}
  • Mitt Romney 46% / 49% {-3%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?
  • Approve 49% [50%] (49%)
  • Disapprove 49% [46%] (46%)
Battleground States
  • Approve 52% [48%] (48%)
  • Disapprove 46% [49%] (49%)
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy?
  • Approve 47% [51%]
  • Disapprove 52% [47%]
Battleground States
  • Approve 49% [49%]
  • Disapprove 48% [49%]
Do you think Barack Obama has laid out a clear agenda for what he would like to do over the next four years if he is reelected as President?
  • Yes, has laid out agenda 55%
  • No, has not laid out agenda 43%
Battleground States
  • Yes, has laid out agenda 58%
  • No, has not laid out agenda 40%
Do you think Mitt Romney has laid out a clear agenda for what he would like to do over the next four years if he is reelected as President?
  • Yes, has laid out agenda 49%
  • No, has not laid out agenda 49%
Battleground States
  • Yes, has laid out agenda 48%
  • No, has not laid out agenda 50%
Which candidate do you trust more to handle each of the following issues:
Jobs and the economy
  • Mitt Romney 50%
  • Barack Obama 46%
The federal deficit and debt
  • Mitt Romney 51%
  • Barack Obama 43%
Federal taxes
  • Mitt Romney 49%
  • Barack Obama 47%
Health care
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Mitt Romney 47%
Medicare
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Mitt Romney 45%
Foreign policy and diplomacy
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Mitt Romney 43%
National security and military affairs
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Mitt Romney 46%
BATTLEGROUND STATES

Jobs and the economy
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Mitt Romney 48%
The federal deficit and debt
  • Mitt Romney 48%
  • Barack Obama 47%
Federal taxes
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Mitt Romney 46%
Health care
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Mitt Romney 43%
Medicare
  • Barack Obama 54%
  • Mitt Romney 40%
Foreign policy and diplomacy
  • Barack Obama 56%
  • Mitt Romney 40%
National security and military affairs
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Mitt Romney 43%
Did what you saw in the debates make you more likely to vote for Mitt Romney, more likely to vote for Barack Obama, or did the debates have no effect on your vote?
  • More likely Romney 34%
  • More likely Obama 28%
  • No effect 36% 
Battleground States
  • More likely Romney 33%
  • More likely Obama 28%
  • No effect 37%
Survey of 1,000 likely voters, including an oversample of 462 voters in 12 battleground states (CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI), was conducted October 23-25, 2012. The margin of error is ± 3.1 percentage points among all likely voters; ± 4.56 percentage points among voters in battleground states.  Party ID (all likely voters): 35% [37%] (36%) Democrat; 31% [30%] (29%) Republican; 33% [32%] (31%) Independent.  Party ID (Battleground States): 40% Democrat; 31% Republican; 27% Independent.  Ideology (all likely voters): 21% Very conservative; 23% Somewhat conservative; 25% Moderate; 16% Somewhat liberal; 10% Very liberal.  Ideology (Battleground States): 19% Very conservative; 25% Somewhat conservative; 24% Moderate; 17% Somewhat liberal; 10% Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 26-30, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2012 are in parentheses.

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