Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Global Warming

Rasmussen (R) Poll on Global Warming

How serious a problem is global warming? 

• Very serious 37%
• Somewhat serious 26%
• Not very serious 20%
• Not at all serious 14%
  

Is global warming caused primarily by human activity or by long-term planetary trends? 

• Human activity 43%
• Long-term planetary trends 39%
• Something else 5%
• Not sure 13%
  

Is there a conflict between economic growth and environmental protection?

• Yes 50%
• No 32%
• Not sure 18%
  

Are Americans being selfish by putting their economic concerns ahead of the fight against global warming? 

• Yes, being selfish 34%
• No, not being selfish 49%
• Undecided 17%

To generate cleaner energy and fight global warming, it might cost Americans more money each year in taxes and utility costs. How much are you willing to pay each year in higher taxes and utility costs? 

• Nothing: 49%
• $100: 25%
• $300: 9%
• $500: 10%
• $1,000: 0%
• More than $1,000: 0%

Note: Sixty-five percent (65%) of Republicans are not willing to pay any more in taxes or utility costs to generate cleaner energy and fight global warming, compared to 38% of Democrats and 46% of unaffiliated voters.

National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted January 15-16, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Inside the numbers: 

Democrats and voters not affiliated with either major party view global warming as a much more serious problem than Republicans do. This is explained in part by the fact that most Republicans consider it the product of long-term planetary trends, while the majority of Democrats believes it is due to human activity. Unaffiliated voters are evenly divided.

Voters in President Obama’s party believe less strongly than the others that there is a conflict between economic growth and protecting the environment. They also tend to think Americans are selfish for putting economic concerns ahead of the fight against global warming; most GOP voters and a plurality of unaffiliateds disagree.

Women and voters under 40 consider global warming more of a problem than men and older voters do.

President Barack Obama on Meet the Press

Conan O'Brien Interview with Nate Silver

President Obama Holds a Press Conference

Click here to read press conference transcript.

Poll Watch: Pew Research/Washington Post Survey on the Fiscal Cliff

Pew Research/Washington Post Poll on the Fiscal Cliff 

Do you think President Obama and Republicans in Congress will reach an agreement to prevent automatic spending cuts and tax increases from going into effect before January 1st, or not?

• Yes, will 38%
  
• No, will not 51%

Democrats

• Yes, will 47%
• No, will not 40%

Republicans

• Yes, will 25%
  
• No, will not 66%

Independents 

• Yes, will 37%
  
• No, will not 51%

If an agreement is not reached, who do you think would be more to blame: Republicans in Congress or President Obama?

• Republicans in Congress 53%
• President Obama 29%

Democrats

• Republicans in Congress 85%
• President Obama 7%

Republicans

• Republicans in Congress 12%
• President Obama 68%

Independents 

• Republicans in Congress 53%
• President Obama 23%

Survey of 1,000 adults was conducted November 8-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on the Fiscal Cliff

Rasmussen (R) Poll on the Fiscal Cliff 

If Congress and the President take no action, a variety of tax cuts will expire on December 31. These include the Bush tax cuts and temporary cuts in payroll taxes that fund Social Security and Medicare. Should Congress and the President extend the tax cuts for another year or should they let the tax cuts expire?

• Extend tax cuts another year 60%
• Let tax cuts expire 28%
• Undecided 12%
  

If Congress and the President take no action, automatic spending cuts including cuts in defense spending and Medicare are scheduled to go into effect on January 1. Should Congress and the President allow these automatic spending cuts to go into effect?

• Yes, they should 32%
• No, they should not 48%
• Not sure 19%
  

If the tax cuts expire, will that be good for the economy, bad for the economy, or have no impact on the economy?

• Good 18%
  
• Bad 56%
• Have no impact 10%
• Undecided 16%
  

If the automatic spending cuts in government programs go into effect, will that be good for the economy, bad for the economy, or have no impact on the economy?

• Good 24%
  
• Bad 41%
• Have no impact 12%
• Undecided 23%
  

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted November 8-9, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Inside the numbers: 

Most Republicans (80%) and voters not affiliated with either major political party (60%) want to see the tax cuts extended. Forty-five percent (45%) of Democrats also want to see the tax cuts extended, but 41% do not.

However, 54% of Republicans and 50% of Democrats agree that the government should not allow the automatic spending cuts to take place, while 46% of unaffiliated voters think those cuts should be allowed to go into effect.

Regardless of what voters believe, 76% of them are following news of the “fiscal cliff” closely, including 44% who are following very closely.

Fox News Sunday: Can Key Lawmakers Compromise on Fiscal Cliff?

This Week: Interview with Sens. Patty Murray and Saxby Chambliss

Sens. Schumer and Coburn on Meet the Press

President Obama Delivers Weekly Address: "Extending Middle Class Tax Cuts to Grow the Economy"

Poll Watch: Washington Post/ABC News 2012 Presidential Tracking Survey

Washington Post/ABC News 2012 Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 50% [49%] (48%) {48%} [48.56%] (49%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {48%} [48.44%] (49%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 47% [48%] (48%) {49%} [48.49%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [48.51%] (48%) 

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 48% [48%] (46%) {51%} [49%] (51%) {52%} [53%] (55%) {56%} [58%] (57%) {54%} [52%] 
• Barack Obama 46% [46%] (46%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [43%] (40%) {40%} [38%] (38%) {42%} [43%]

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 57% [53%] (54%) {53%} [54%] (58%) {57%} [57%] (57%) {56%} [56%] (56%) {57%} [57%]
• Mitt Romney 40% [42%] (41%) {43%} [43%] (40%) {41%} [40%] (39%) {41%} [40%] (40%) {40%} [40%]

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 50% [50%] (51%) {51%} [51%] (53%) {51%} [52%] (53%) {55%} [58%] (57%) {57%} [53%]
• Barack Obama 45% [44%] (44%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (40%) {40%} [43%]

Among Women

• Barack Obama 53% [52%] (52%) {50%} [51%] (52%) {50%} [52%] (52%) {54%} [55%] (54%) {56%} [53%]
• Mitt Romney 45% [45%] (46%) {48%} [46%] (46%) {48%} [45%] (45%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {41%} [44%]

(Among Obama Voters) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Barack Obama, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

• Very enthusiastic 69% [69%] (69%) {66%} [64%] (64%) {65%} [66%] (64%) {61%} [59%] (60%) {60%} [62%] (64%)
• Somewhat enthusiastic 27% [26%] (27%) {30%} [31%] (32%) {32%} [30%] (31%) {33%} [35%] (35%) {35%} [34%] (32%)
• Not so enthusiastic 2% [2%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
• Not enthusiastic at all 2% [3%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)

(Among Romney Voters) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Mitt Romney, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

• Very enthusiastic 61% [62%] (63%) {62%} [62%] (61%) {61%} [61%] (59%) {59%} [58%] (60%) {62%} [62%] (58%)
• Somewhat enthusiastic 32% [32%] (31%) {33%} [32%] (35%) {34%} [33%] (36%) {35%} [35%] (33%) {31%} [32%] (35%)
• Not so enthusiastic 4% [3%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [4%] (3%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [4%] (5%)
• Not enthusiastic at all 2% [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (1%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? 

• Approve 51% [50%] (50%) {50%} [50%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (50%) {50%} [49%] (49%) {50%} [49%] (50%)
• Disapprove 48% [49%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [47%] (48%) {48%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [49%] (48%)
  

Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job handling the economy?

• Mitt Romney 48% [49%] (49%) {50%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (50%) {51%} [51%] (52%) {50%} [50%] (48%)
• Barack Obama 47% [46%] (46%) {46%} [47%] (47%) {46%} [47%] (45%) {44%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [45%] (46%)

Regardless of who you may support, who do you think better understands the economic problems people in this country are having?

• Barack Obama 51% [50%] (50%) {50%} [50%] (50%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {50%} [51%] (51%)
• Mitt Romney 43% [44%] (44%) {45%} [45%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (44%) {45%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (44%)

Just your best guess, who do you think will win the presidential election this year?

• Barack Obama 55% (52%)
• Mitt Romney 35% (40%)

Survey of 2,345 likely voters was conducted November 1-4, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% [33%] (33%) {32%} [32%] (33%) {33%} [35%] (35%) {35%} [34%] (34%) {34%} [34%] (34%) Democrat; 29% [29%] (29%) {29%} [28%] (28%) {28%} [28%] (28%) {29%} [30%] (30%) {30%} [29%] (29%) Republican; 32% [34%] (34%) {35%} [36%] (36%) {35%} [34%] (34%) {33%} [32%] (31%) {32%} [32%] (33%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted October 31 - November 3, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 30 - November 2, 2012 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted October 29 - November 1, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 28-31, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 27-30, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 25-28, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 24-27, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 23-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 22-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 19-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Washington Post/ABC News 2012 Presidential Tracking Survey

Washington Post/ABC News 2012 Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49% (48%) {48%} [48.56%] (49%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {48%} [48.44%] (49%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 48% (48%) {49%} [48.49%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [48.51%] (48%) 

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 48% (46%) {51%} [49%] (51%) {52%} [53%] (55%) {56%} [58%] (57%) {54%} [52%] 
• Barack Obama 46% (46%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [43%] (40%) {40%} [38%] (38%) {42%} [43%]

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 53% (54%) {53%} [54%] (58%) {57%} [57%] (57%) {56%} [56%] (56%) {57%} [57%]
• Mitt Romney 42% (41%) {43%} [43%] (40%) {41%} [40%] (39%) {41%} [40%] (40%) {40%} [40%]

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 50% (51%) {51%} [51%] (53%) {51%} [52%] (53%) {55%} [58%] (57%) {57%} [53%]
• Barack Obama 44% (44%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (40%) {40%} [43%]

Among Women

• Barack Obama 52% (52%) {50%} [51%] (52%) {50%} [52%] (52%) {54%} [55%] (54%) {56%} [53%]
• Mitt Romney 45% (46%) {48%} [46%] (46%) {48%} [45%] (45%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {41%} [44%]

(Among Obama Voters) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Barack Obama, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

• Very enthusiastic 69% (69%) {66%} [64%] (64%) {65%} [66%] (64%) {61%} [59%] (60%) {60%} [62%] (64%)
• Somewhat enthusiastic 26% (27%) {30%} [31%] (32%) {32%} [30%] (31%) {33%} [35%] (35%) {35%} [34%] (32%)
• Not so enthusiastic 2% (2%) {2%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
• Not enthusiastic at all 3% (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)

(Among Romney Voters) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Mitt Romney, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

• Very enthusiastic 62% (63%) {62%} [62%] (61%) {61%} [61%] (59%) {59%} [58%] (60%) {62%} [62%] (58%)
• Somewhat enthusiastic 32% (31%) {33%} [32%] (35%) {34%} [33%] (36%) {35%} [35%] (33%) {31%} [32%] (35%)
• Not so enthusiastic 3% (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [4%] (3%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [4%] (5%)
• Not enthusiastic at all 2% (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (1%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? 

• Approve 50% (50%) {50%} [50%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (50%) {50%} [49%] (49%) {50%} [49%] (50%)
• Disapprove 49% (48%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [47%] (48%) {48%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [49%] (48%)
  

Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job:

Handling the economy

• Mitt Romney 49% (49%) {50%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (50%) {51%} [51%] (52%) {50%} [50%] (48%)
• Barack Obama 46% (46%) {46%} [47%] (47%) {46%} [47%] (45%) {44%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [45%] (46%)

Handling an unexpected major crisis

• Barack Obama 52%
• Mitt Romney 42%

Regardless of who you may support, who do you think:

Better understands the economic problems people in this country are having

• Barack Obama (50%) {50%} [50%] (50%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {50%} [51%] (51%)
• Mitt Romney (44%) {45%} [45%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (44%) {45%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (44%)

Is the stronger leader

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 44%

Has better ideas about the right size and role of the federal government

• Mitt Romney 48%
• Barack Obama 45%

Survey of 2,069 likely voters was conducted October 31 - November 3, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% (33%) {32%} [32%] (33%) {33%} [35%] (35%) {35%} [34%] (34%) {34%} [34%] (34%) Democrat; 29% (29%) {29%} [28%] (28%) {28%} [28%] (28%) {29%} [30%] (30%) {30%} [29%] (29%) Republican; 34% (34%) {35%} [36%] (36%) {35%} [34%] (34%) {33%} [32%] (31%) {32%} [32%] (33%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted October 30 - November 2, 2012 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted October 29 - November 1, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 28-31, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 27-30, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 25-28, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 24-27, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 23-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 22-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 19-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2012 are in parentheses.