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Rasmussen (R) Poll on the Fiscal Cliff
If Congress and the President take no action, a variety of tax cuts will expire on December 31. These include the Bush tax cuts and temporary cuts in payroll taxes that fund Social Security and Medicare. Should Congress and the President extend the tax cuts for another year or should they let the tax cuts expire?
- Extend tax cuts another year 60%
- Let tax cuts expire 28%
- Undecided 12%
If Congress and the President take no action, automatic spending cuts including cuts in defense spending and Medicare are scheduled to go into effect on January 1. Should Congress and the President allow these automatic spending cuts to go into effect?
- Yes, they should 32%
- No, they should not 48%
- Not sure 19%
If the tax cuts expire, will that be good for the economy, bad for the economy, or have no impact on the economy?
- Good 18%
- Bad 56%
- Have no impact 10%
- Undecided 16%
If the automatic spending cuts in government programs go into effect, will that be good for the economy, bad for the economy, or have no impact on the economy?
- Good 24%
- Bad 41%
- Have no impact 12%
- Undecided 23%
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted November 8-9, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.
Inside the numbers:
Most Republicans (80%) and voters not affiliated with either major political party (60%) want to see the tax cuts extended. Forty-five percent (45%) of Democrats also want to see the tax cuts extended, but 41% do not.
However, 54% of Republicans and 50% of Democrats agree that the government should not allow the automatic spending cuts to take place, while 46% of unaffiliated voters think those cuts should be allowed to go into effect.
Regardless of what voters believe, 76% of them are following news of the “fiscal cliff” closely, including 44% who are following very closely.
- Michele Bachmann (R) 50%
- Jim Graves (DFL) 41%
- Undecided 9%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Jim Graves 28% / 27% {+1%}
- Michele Bachmann 40% / 40% {0%}
Who will do more to bring jobs to the district?
-
Michele Bachmann (R) 45%
- Jim Graves (DFL) 36%
-
Not Sure 19%
Who do you agree with more on social issues?
-
Michele Bachmann (R) 46%
- Jim Graves (DFL) 39%
-
Not Sure 15%
Who do you agree with more on issues like Medicare and Social Security?
-
Michele Bachmann (R) 47%
-
Jim Graves (DFL) 35%
- Not Sure 17%
If the election for President were today, would you vote for Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one
of the other candidates?
-
Mitt Romney (R) 53%
- Barack Obama (D) 36%
-
Other 5%
-
Undecided 5%
Survey of 598 likely voters in Minnesota's 6th Congressional District was conducted October 9-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.
Registered Voters
- Barack Obama 48% [45%] (46%)
- Mitt Romney 41% [41%] (42%)
- Other candidate 4% [6%] (5%)
- Undecided 6% [8%] (7%)
Among Independents
- Barack Obama 41% [37%] (41%)
- Mitt Romney 41% [40%] (39%)
- Other candidate 8% [11%] (9%)
- Undecided 10% [13%] (12%)
Among Men
- Mitt Romney 45% [44%] (44%)
- Barack Obama 43% [40%] (43%)
- Other candidate 5% [7%] (5%)
- Undecided 7% [9%] (7%)
Among Women
- Barack Obama 53% [50%] (49%)
- Mitt Romney 39% [38%] (40%)
- Other candidate 3% [4%] (5%)
- Undecided 6% [7%] (6%)
Who do you trust more to handle the economy and jobs – Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?
Likely Voters
- Barack Obama 48% [45%]
- Mitt Romney 45% [45%]
Registered Voters
- Barack Obama 48% [44%]
- Mitt Romney 43% [42%]
Who do you trust more to handle Social Security and Medicare – Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?
Likely Voters
- Barack Obama 50% [46%]
- Mitt Romney 42% [43%]
Registered Voters
- Barack Obama 50% [46%]
- Mitt Romney 39% [39%]
Who do you trust more to handle the federal budget and national debt – Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?
Likely Voters
- Barack Obama 47% [44%]
- Mitt Romney 47% [46%]
Registered Voters
- Barack Obama 47% [43%]
- Mitt Romney 44% [43%]
Who do you trust more to handle foreign policy – Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?
Likely Voters
- Barack Obama 51%
- Mitt Romney 42%
Registered Voters
- Barack Obama 52%
- Mitt Romney 39%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
Likely Voters
- Paul Ryan 38% [35%] / 33% [30%] {+5%}
- Barack Obama 46% [45%] (45%) / 43% [43%] (43%) {+3%}
- Mitt Romney 41% [40%] (38%) / 40% [39%] (37%) {+1%}
- Joe Biden 34% [32%] / 39% [39%] {-5%}
Registered Voters
- Barack Obama 46% [42%] (43%) / 39% [40%] (40%) {+7%}
- Paul Ryan 33% [31%] / 30% [27%] {+3%}
- Mitt Romney 37% [35%] (34%) / 39% [38%] (34%) {-2%}
- Joe Biden 32% [30%] / 35% [35%] {-3%}
Among Independents
- Paul Ryan 34% [28%] / 27% [23%] {+7%}
- Mitt Romney 33% [34%] (30%) / 34% [32%] (35%) {-1%}
- Barack Obama 36% [33%] (39%) / 40% [42%] (39%) {-4%}
- Joe Biden 24% [22%] / 35% [35%] {-11%}
Among Men
- Paul Ryan 36% [35%] / 28% [25%] {+8%}
- Mitt Romney 39% [39%] (38%) / 34% [32%] (34%) {+5%}
- Barack Obama 42% [38%] (41%) / 42% [44%] (43%) {0%}
- Joe Biden 29% [27%] / 40% [39%] {-11%}
Among Women
- Barack Obama 50% [47%] (45%) / 37% [36%] (37%) {+13%}
- Joe Biden 35% [32%] / 31% [32%] {+4%}
- Paul Ryan 30% [27%] / 33% [29%] {-3%}
- Mitt Romney 36% [32%] (31%) / 43% [43%] (34%) {-7%}
How much have you read or heard about recent violence and protests at U.S.
embassies in Africa and the Middle East – a lot, a little, or nothing at all?
Likely Voters
- A lot 61%
- A little 29%
- Nothing at all 10%
Registered Voters
- A lot 54%
- A little 32%
- Nothing at all 14%
Do you approve or disapprove of how Barack Obama has publicly responded to the situation, or haven’t you heard his response?
Likely Voters
- Strongly approve 27%
- Somewhat approve 12%
- Somewhat disapprove 7%
- Strongly disapprove 20%
- Haven’t heard response 20%
- Don't know 3%
- Not aware of situation 10%
Registered Voters
- Strongly approve 23%
- Somewhat approve 14%
- Somewhat disapprove 7%
- Strongly disapprove 18%
- Haven’t heard response 21%
- Don't know 3%
- Not aware of situation 14%
Do you approve or disapprove of how Mitt Romney has publicly responded to the situation, or haven’t you heard his response?
Likely Voters
- Strongly approve 17%
- Somewhat approve 8%
- Somewhat disapprove 5%
- Strongly disapprove 24%
- Haven’t heard response 31%
- Don't know 3%
- Not aware of situation 10%
Registered Voters
- Strongly approve 15%
- Somewhat approve 7%
- Somewhat disapprove 6%
- Strongly disapprove 21%
- Haven’t heard response 34%
- Don't know 3%
- Not aware of situation 14%
National survey of 1,571 registered voters, including a
subsample of 1,344 likely voters, was conducted September 13-16, 2012 by
Braun Research and SurveyUSA. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points among likely
voters; +/- 2.5 percentage
points among registered voters. Party ID (among likely voters): 35% Democrat; 31% Republican; 34% Independent. Party ID (among registered voters): 35% [33%] (35%) Democrat; 29% [27%]
(30%) Republican; 36% [40%] (35%) Independent. Results from the poll
conducted August 15-19, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll
conducted June 4-6, 2012 are in parentheses.
Rasmussen (R) 2012 Presidential Poll
I’m going to read you a short list of issues in the news. For each, please let me know which presidential candidate you trust more to handle that issue—Barack Obama or Mitt Romney.
War in Afghanistan
- Barack Obama 50%
- Mitt Romney 40%
Education
- Barack Obama 49%
- Mitt Romney 41%
Social Security
- Barack Obama 49%
- Mitt Romney 44%
Government Ethics and Corruption
- Barack Obama 46%
- Mitt Romney 42%
Immigration
- Barack Obama 47%
- Mitt Romney 46%
National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted September 7-8, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.
Inside the numbers:
On all five of the issues included in the latest survey, the president holds double-digit leads over Romney in terms of voter trust among voters not affiliated with either of the major political parties.
Most voters over 65 give Romney the edge in trust on all five issues, while most younger voters trust the president more.
FMW/Baydoun (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Poll
- Mitt Romney 47.68% (45.48%)
- Barack Obama 43.88% (46.89%)
- Another candidate 3.96% (3.56%)
- Undecided 4.01% (4.07%)
Republican nominee Mitt Romney has selected Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan as his vice presidential nominee. Does the selection of Paul Ryan make you more or less likely to vote for Mitt Romney in the United States Presidential election?
- More likely 36.11%
- Less likely 27.90%
- No difference 36.85%
Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan has been selected as the Republican vice presidential nominee. Congressman Ryan has proposed federal budgets that drastically cut the federal deficit, cuts taxes on job creators and proposes the reform of Medicare and Social Security benefits. The Tea Party and business groups support Ryan’s budget as fiscally responsible, reducing the size and cost of unsustainable programs. Democrats, senior citizens groups and a number of economists oppose Ryan’s budget proposal c iting it gives the richest Americans a tax cut, privatizes Social Security and Medicare and will have a negative effect on the economy. Do you support Congressman Ryan’s budget plan for the federal government?
- Support 47.99%
- Oppose 45.01%
With the continuing violence in Syria, concerns about the recent election in Egypt and the continuing issues between Israel and Iran over Iran’s nuclear program, some politicians such as Arizona Senator John McCain have called for military action in Syria and Iran, President Obama and most Democrats have favored drone strikes, diplomacy and economic sanctions. Do you believe America should actively intervene in Middle East affairs?
- Yes, with diplomatic and military actions 31.15%
- Yes, with diplomatic efforts only 25.20%
- Yes, with military action only 4.20%
- Do not intervene 20.39%
- Undecided 23.56%
Survey of 1,733 likely voters was conducted August 16, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.35 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 12, 2012 are in parentheses.
Monmouth University 2012 Presidential Poll
Registered Voters
- Barack Obama 45% (46%)
- Mitt Romney 41% (42%)
- Other candidate 6% (5%)
- Undecided 8% (7%)
Among Independents
- Mitt Romney 40% (39%)
- Barack Obama 37% (41%)
- Other candidate 11% (9%)
- Undecided 13% (12%)
Among Men
- Mitt Romney 44% (44%)
- Barack Obama 40% (43%)
- Other candidate 7% (5%)
- Undecided 9% (7%)
Among Women
- Barack Obama 50% (49%)
- Mitt Romney 38% (40%)
- Other candidate 4% (5%)
- Undecided 7% (6%)
Likely Voters
- Barack Obama 46% (47%)
- Mitt Romney 45% (46%)
- Other candidate 4% (3%)
- Undecided 6% (4%)
Who do you trust more to handle the economy and jobs – Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?
Registered Voters
- Barack Obama 44%
- Mitt Romney 42%
Likely Voters
- Barack Obama 45%
- Mitt Romney 45%
Who do you trust more to handle Social Security and Medicare – Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?
Registered Voters
- Barack Obama 46%
- Mitt Romney 39%
Likely Voters
- Barack Obama 46%
- Mitt Romney 43%
Who do you trust more to handle the federal budget and national debt – Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?
Registered Voters
- Barack Obama 43%
- Mitt Romney 43%
Likely Voters
- Mitt Romney 46%
- Barack Obama 44%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
Registered Voters
- Paul Ryan 31% / 27% {+4%}
- Barack Obama 42% (43%) / 40% (40%) {+2%}
- Mitt Romney 35% (34%) / 38% (34%) {-3%}
- Joe Biden 30% / 35% {-5%}
Among Independents
- Paul Ryan 28% / 23% {+5%}
- Mitt Romney 34% (30%) / 32% (35%) {+2%}
- Barack Obama 33% (39%) / 42% (39%) {-9%}
- Joe Biden 22% / 35% {-13%}
Among Men
- Paul Ryan 35% / 25% {+10%}
- Mitt Romney 39% (38%) / 32% (34%) {+7%}
- Barack Obama 38% (41%) / 44% (43%) {-6%}
- Joe Biden 27% / 39% {-12%}
Among Women
- Barack Obama 47% (45%) / 36% (37%) {+11%}
- Joe Biden 32% / 32% {0%}
- Paul Ryan 27% / 29% {-2%}
- Mitt Romney 32% (31%) / 43% (34%) {-11%}
Likely Voters
- Paul Ryan 35% / 30% {+5%}
- Barack Obama (45%) / (43%) {+2%}
- Mitt Romney 40% (38%) / 39% (37%) {+1%}
- Joe Biden 32% / 39% {-7%}
Did Mitt Romney’s choice of Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan as his running mate change your mind about who you will support for president or did it not affect who you will vote for?
Registered Voters
- Changed mind 8%
- Did not affect vote 87%
Likely Voters
- Changed mind 9%
- Did not affect vote 88%
Overall, would you describe Mitt Romney’s choice of Paul Ryan as a very good pick, somewhat good, somewhat bad, or very bad?
Registered Voters
- Very good 26%
- Somewhat good 28%
- Somewhat bad 13%
- Very bad 15%
Likely Voters
- Very good 30%
- Somewhat good 26%
- Somewhat bad 13%
- Very bad 17%
National survey of 1,375 registered voters, including a subsample of 1,149 likely voters, was conducted August 15-19, 2012 by Braun Research and SurveyUSA. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 2.9 percentage points among likely voters. Party ID (among registered voters): 33% (35%) Democrat; 27% (30%) Republican; 40% (35%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted June 4-6, 2012 are in parentheses.
Siena College New York 2012 Presidential Poll
- Barack Obama 59% {57%} [60%] (60%) {63%} [59%] {55%} [56%] (55%)
- Mitt Romney 35% {37%} [35%] (34%) {31%} [34%] {37%} [36%] (37%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Barack Obama 59% {60%} [58%] (61%) {64%} [57%] {55%} [52%] (52%) / 38% {38%} [39%] (36%) {34%} [40%] {43%} [45%] (45%) {+21%}
- Mitt Romney 35% {33%} [35%] (32%) {35%} [36%] {34%} [30%] (32%) / 56% {57%} [57%] (57%) {55%} [48%] {45%} [46%] (46%) {-21%}
How would you rate the job that Barack Obama is doing as President? Would you rate it excellent, good, fair, or poor?
- Excellent 14% {15%} [13%] (16%) {15%} [10%] {9%} [11%] (10%) [13%] {16%}
- Good 32% {32%} [32%] (34%) {34%} [33%] {29%} [29%] (26%) [32%] {37%}
- Fair 26% {25%} [25%] (23%) {27%} [28%] {32%} [28%] (30%) [30%] {24%}
- Poor 27% {27%} [29%] (26%) {24%} [29%] {30%} [33%] (33%) [25%] {23%}
Barack Obama is running for re-election as President in 2012. I know it's a ways off, but as things stand now, would you vote to reelect him or would you prefer someone else?
- Re-elect 54% {54%} [54%] (56%) {58%} [51%] {48%} [47%] (47%) [50%] (52%) {54%}
- Prefer someone else 42% {42%} [41%] (38%) {36%} [42%] {45%} [47%] (45%) [41%] (44%) {39%}
I'm going to read you a list of issues and I'd like you to tell me who you think will do a better job in addressing that issue as President, Mitt Romney or Barack Obama.
Creating jobs
- Barack Obama 51%
- Mitt Romney 40%
Addressing the national deficit
- Barack Obama 49%
- Mitt Romney 43%
Improving the economy
- Barack Obama 54%
- Mitt Romney 38%
Fighting for middle class families
- Barack Obama 64%
- Mitt Romney 30%
Keeping the United States safe from terrorism
- Barack Obama 62%
- Mitt Romney 27%
Tackling the nation's health care needs
- Barack Obama 59%
- Mitt Romney 33%
Resolving the finances of programs such as Social Security and Medicare for the long-term
- Barack Obama 53%
- Mitt Romney 39%
Making the federal government work more effectively
- Barack Obama 50%
- Mitt Romney 40%
Finally, as you think about the upcoming presidential election, do you think the two major candidates - Mitt Romney and Barack Obama - provide Americans with a clear choice and two distinct competing visions for our future? Or do you think that in reality there is little difference between the two?
- Clear choice 61%
- Little difference 35%
Survey of 807 registered voters was conducted June 3-6, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 48% {48%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [48%] {48%} Democrat; 24% {24%} [24%] (24%) {24%} [24%] {24%} Republican; 25% {25%} [25%] (25%) {25%} [24%] {25%} Independent/Other. Political ideology: 44% {39%} [42%] (42%) {41%} [43%] {42%} Moderate; 30% {27%} [28%] (26%) {28%} [27%] {29%} Conservative; 22% {27%} [26%] (28%) {28%} [27%] {24%} Liberal. Results from the poll conducted May 6-10, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 1-4, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 26-29, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 29 - February 1, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 8-13, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-12, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 15, 18-21, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 9-14, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 2011 are in curly brackets.
Suffolk University 2012 Presidential Poll
- Barack Obama 47%
- Mitt Romney 37%
- Barack Obama 49%
- Rick Santorum 35%
- Barack Obama 50%
- Newt Gingrich 31%
- Barack Obama 49%
- Ron Paul 28%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Barack Obama 52% / 43% {+9%}
- Mitt Romney 38% / 44% {-6%}
- Rick Santorum 33% / 46% {-13%}
- Ron Paul 28% / 43% {-15%}
- Newt Gingrich 25% / 61% {-36%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
- Approve 46%
- Disapprove 45%
Thinking about the current presidential primary process for electing party nominees, would you support a national primary election held on one day as opposed to the current, state-based process that takes over six months?
Among Republicans
Regardless of who you personally support for president this year, who do you expect our next president will be?
- Barack Obama 51%
- Mitt Romney 28%
- Rick Santorum 5%
- Someone else 4%
- Undecided 12%
Do you believe citizens should be required to show a photo ID before voting?
Do you believe the use of contraception is a religious, economic, family or women's health issue?
- Women's health 55%
- Family 17%
- Religious 13%
- Economic 3%
Do you agree or disagree that making changes or cuts to entitlement programs like Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security are necessary to reduce the national debt?
Do you believe that the Social Security and Medicare programs will be available to you in your retirement?
Age 18-34
Age 35-44
Do you think that the near-universal health care bill passed in Washington in 2009 should be repealed, modified or left alone?
- Repealed 34%
- Modified 32%
- Left alone 23%
Do you think you are better or worse off as a result of the national healthcare reform law, enacted in March 2010?
- Better off 20%
- Worse off 33%
- No difference 40%
To help save healthcare costs, do you believe that chronically-ill, mentally-able seniors should be able to end their own lives?
If the price of regular gas were to increase to $4.50/gallon by October will you vote Democrat, Republican or Independent for President in the General Election?
- Republican 37%
- Democrat 36%
- Independent 6%
How much influence do you think the President has on gas prices?
- A lot 25%
- Some 27%
- A little 27%
- None at all 19%
Should the United States explore options to increase its domestic oil production, even if that includes more offshore drilling?
Overall, which country do you feel poses the greatest threat to the United States?
- Iran 36%
- China 27%
- North Korea 9%
- Afghanistan 8%
- Mexico 3%
- Syria 2%
- Greece 0%
- Other 7%
What TV news or commentary source do you trust the most?
- Fox News 28%
- CNN 17%
- NBC 10%
- MSNBC 8%
- ABC 7%
- CBS 6%
- Comedy Central 3%
- C-SPAN 2%
- Undecided 19%
Survey of 1,070 likely voters was conducted March 21-25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 39% Democrat; 34% Republican; 22% Independent.
