Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Texas 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 45% {24%} [10%] (15%) {10%} [14%]
• Newt Gingrich 35% {23%} [8%] (8%) {17%} [23%]
• Ron Paul 14% {12%} [7%] (9%) {10%} [8%]
• Someone else/Not sure 6% {9%} [7%] (9%) [5%]

Very Conservative

• Newt Gingrich 42%
• Mitt Romney 40%
• Ron Paul 12%
• Someone else/Not sure 6%

Somewhat Conservative

• Mitt Romney 52%
• Newt Gingrich 33%
• Ron Paul 12%
• Someone else/Not sure 2%

Among Men

• Newt Gingrich 39% {25%}
• Mitt Romney 39% {21%}
• Ron Paul 17% {15%}
• Someone else/Not sure 5% {9%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 51% {26%}
• Newt Gingrich 32% {20%}
• Ron Paul 11% {10%}
• Someone else/Not sure 6% {9%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 66% {44%} [37%] (49%) {52%} / 23% {44%} [44%] (34%) {27%} {+43%}
• Newt Gingrich 55% {48%} [50%] / 32% {39%} [36%] {+23%}
• Ron Paul 37% {32%} [35%] (37%) / 48% {59%} [49%] (45%) {-11%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 34% {36%}
• No 48% {53%}

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 59%
• Are not 41%

Among Evangelical Christians

• Newt Gingrich 45%
• Mitt Romney 40%
• Ron Paul 9%
• Someone else/Not sure 6%

Among Non-Evangelicals

• Mitt Romney 53%
• Newt Gingrich 21%
• Ron Paul 21%
• Someone else/Not sure 4%

Survey of 400 Texas Republican primary voters was conducted April 19-22, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 79% {72%} [82%] Republican; 18% {23%} [17%] Independent/Other; 3% {5%} [2%] Democrat.  Political ideology: 47% {41%} [38%] (43%) Very conservative; 33% {34%} [41%] (34%) Somewhat conservative; 12% {18%} [14%] (15%) Moderate; 6% {5%} [4%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 2% {2%} [3%] (3%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 25-27, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 19-20, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2012 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ 2012 Presidential Poll

Among Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 49% {50%} (49%) [47%] {49%} (46%) [46%] {48%} [49%] {49%} [47%]
• Mitt Romney 43% {44%} (43%) [45%] {43%} (44%) [45%] {41%} [43%] {40%} [40%]

(Among Obama Voters) Would you definitely vote for Barack Obama, probably vote for Barack Obama but are still thinking about it, or are you just leaning toward voting for Obama?

• Definitely vote for Obama 74%
• Probably vote for Obama, but still thinking about it 13%
• Just leaning toward voting for Obama 12%

(Among Romney Voters) Would you definitely vote for Mitt Romney, probably vote for Mitt Romney but are still thinking about it, or are you just leaning toward voting for Romney?

• Definitely vote for Romney 65%
• Probably vote for Romney, but still thinking about it 16%
• Just leaning toward voting for Romney 19%

Definitely Vote for Candidate

• Barack Obama 37%
• Mitt Romney 28%

Rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative.

Barack Obama

• Very positive 30% {28%} (28%) [22%] {26%} (23%) [24%] [27%] [28%] {28%} (29%) [25%]
• Somewhat positive 18% {21%} (22%) [23%] {19%} (23%) [20%] [22%] [22%] {21%} (23%) [23%]
• Neutral 13% {14%} (10%) [13%] {15%} (14%) [12%] [14%] [14%] {15%} (15%) [14%]
• Somewhat negative 13% {12%} (14%) [15%] {13%} (12%) [14%] [13%] [13%] {15%} (14%) [14%]
• Very negative 26% {25%} (25%) [27%] {27%} (28%) [30%] [24%] [23%] {20%} (18%) [24%]

Mitt Romney

• Very positive 10% {6%} (6%) [4%] {5%} (6%) [5%] [7%] {6%} [10%]
• Somewhat positive 23% {22%} (25%) [20%] {21%} (21%) [19%] [20%] {19%} [18%]
• Neutral 26% {28%} (26%) [30%] {32%} (30%) [32%] [30%] {30%} [30%]
• Somewhat negative 18% {20%} (21%) [21%] {17%} (17%) [18%] [16%] {13%} [10%]
• Very negative 18% {19%} (15%) [11%] {13%} (12%) [11%] [10%] {12%} [10%]

I'd like you to compare Barack Obama and Mitt Romney on a few qualities that people might look for in a president. For each one, please tell me whether you think that Barack Obama would be better or Mitt Romney would be better on that item.

Who do you think would be better when it comes to:

Being easygoing and likable

• Obama 54%
• Romney 18%

Caring about average people

• Obama 52%
• Romney 22%

Being compassionate enough to understand average people

• Obama 52%
• Romney 23%

Dealing with issues of concern to women

• Obama 49%
• Romney 21%

Looking out for the middle class

• Obama 48%
• Romney 27%

Being knowledgeable and experienced enough to handle the presidency

• Obama 45%
• Romney 30%

Being a good commander-in-chief

• Obama 43%
• Romney 33%

Being consistent and standing up for his beliefs

• Obama 41%
• Romney 30%

Sharing your positions on the issues

• Obama 40%
• Romney 34%

Being honest and straightforward

• Obama 37%
• Romney 30%

Setting the proper moral tone for the country

• Obama 37%
• Romney 35%

Having good ideas for how to improve the economy

• Romney 40%
• Obama 34%

Changing business as usual in Washington

• Romney 36%
• Obama 29%

How confident are you that Barack Obama has the right set of personal characteristics to be president of the United States?

• Extremely confident 25%
• Quite confident 21%
• Only somewhat confident 23%
• Not at all confident 30%

How confident are you that Mitt Romney has the right set of personal characteristics to be president of the United States?

• Extremely confident 11%
• Quite confident 19%
• Only somewhat confident 39%
• Not at all confident 29%

How confident are you that Barack Obama has the right set of goals and policies to be president of the United States?

• Extremely confident 21%
• Quite confident 20%
• Only somewhat confident 25%
• Not at all confident 33%

How confident are you that Mitt Romney has the right set of goals and policies to be president of the United States?

• Extremely confident 11%
• Quite confident 18%
• Only somewhat confident 38%
• Not at all confident 31%

Now, more specifically when talking about candidates for president, I’m going to read two criticisms. One that some people might make about the approach Mitt Romney would take and the other about the approach Barack Obama would take to deal with the economy and the budget deficit. After I read each one tell me if you totally agree with the criticism, mainly agree with the criticism, feel neutral, mainly disagree with the criticism or totally disagree with the criticism. The first one is…


The approach by Mitt Romney relies too much on extending tax reductions for the upper income people and reducing taxes on corporations and reduces the federal budget deficit by cutting domestic spending without cutting the budget of the Defense Department.

• Totally Agree with Criticism 19%
• Mainly Agree with Criticism 25%
• Feel Neutral 27%
• Mainly Disagree with Criticism 15%
• Totally Disagree with Criticism 12%

The approach by Barack Obama relies too much on raising taxes on upper income people and reduces the federal budget deficit by cutting the budget of the Defense Department without cutting domestic programs significantly enough to reduce the budget deficit.

• Totally Agree with Criticism 17%
• Mainly Agree with Criticism 25%
• Feel Neutral 23%
• Mainly Disagree with Criticism 18%
• Totally Disagree with Criticism 16%

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 49%
• Disapprove 46%

Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in handling the economy?

• Approve 45%
• Disapprove 52%

Survey of 1,000 adults, including a subsample of 830 registered voters, was conducted April 13-17, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points among adults.  Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 3, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 7-11, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 2-5, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 6-10, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 27-31, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 9-13, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-28, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 13-17, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 9-13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September, 2010 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

CBS News/New York Times 2012 GOP Nomination Poll

• Mitt Romney 54% (30%) [27%] {28%} (19%) [20%] {15%} (21%) [17%] {16%}
• Newt Gingrich 20% (13%) [10%] {21%} (15%) [20%] {15%} (10%) [8%] {7%}  
• Ron Paul 12% (8%) [12%] {15%} (10%) [10%] {5%} (8%) [7%] {5%}

If Mitt Romney became the Republican nominee for President, would you enthusiastically support him, support him but with reservations, support him only because he is the Republican Party nominee, or not support him? 

• Enthusiastically support 33% 
• Support with reservations 40% 
• Support only because nominee 18% 
•  Not support 8%  

Survey of 268 likely Republican primary voters was conducted April 13-17, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 6 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted March 7-11, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-13, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 4-8, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 6-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 19-24, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 28 - October 2, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-15, 2011 are in curly brackets.
 

Inside the numbers: 

When asked if Santorum should have suspended his campaign, 63 percent of those polled said yes; 30 percent said no.

Still, many Republicans expressed lukewarm feelings toward Romney, with 40 percent of primary voters having reservations about him compared with 33 percent saying they supported him "enthusiastically." In January, the last time a CBS News/New York Times survey asked primary voters about Romney, 28 percent said they supported him enthusiastically and 38 percent had reservations.

Among Republicans with reservations of Romney are primary voters who identified themselves as white evangelicals, conservatives and supporters of the tea party movement. Half of white evangelicals told pollsters that they had reservations about Romney over the 27 percent who supported him enthusiastically. Romney received enthusiastic support from more than a third (36 percent) of conservatives and tea party backers; however, 41 percent have reservations about him.

Although evangelicals were some of Santorum's strongest supporters, 52 percent of those polled agreed that he did the right thing to bow out of the race.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2012 GOP Nomination Poll

• Mitt Romney 54% [34%] (23%) {22%} [18%] (22%) {18%} [20%] (20%) {27%} [20%] (28%) {25%} [24%] 
• Newt Gingrich 24% [20%] (17%) {35%} [28%] (15%) {10%} [8%] (7%) {12%} [13%] (26%) {23%} [24%]  
• Ron Paul 14% [9%] (13%) {11%} [5%] (5%) {11%} [6%] (9%) {6%} [11%] (12%) {13%} [12%]

Very Conservative: 36% [34%] (36%)

• Mitt Romney 48% [23%] (15%) {17%}
• Newt Gingrich 33% [27%] (20%) {38%}  
• Ron Paul 13% [7%] (8%) {10%}

Somewhat Conservative: 41% [42%] (39%)

• Mitt Romney 62% [43%] (26%) {24%}
• Newt Gingrich 23% [17%] (14%) {36%}  
• Ron Paul 8% [7%] (10%) {11%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 49% [34%] (19%) {21%}
• Newt Gingrich 25% [20%] (18%) {36%}  
• Ron Paul 17% [11%] (15%) {13%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 58% [33%] (27%) {22%}
• Newt Gingrich 23% [19%] (16%) {34%}  
• Ron Paul 115 [7%] (12%) {9%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 65% [54%] (44%) {55%} [48%] (55%) {52%} [51%] (50%) {55%} [54%] (52%) {50%} [51%] (55%) {52%} [56%] (57%) {57%} [59%] (57%) {54%} [54%] (58%) / 23% [35%] (43%) {31%} [39%] (31%) {32%} [33%] (31%) {27%} [30%] (29%) {29%} [29%] (25%) {28%} [24%] (21%) {21%} [14%] (14%) {19%} [24%] (17%) {+42%}
• Newt Gingrich 47% [47%] (42%) {60%} [68%] (57%) {46%} {36%} [39%] (54%) {50%} [50%] (55%) {58%} [57%] (57%) {65%} [63%] (58%) {57%} / 40% [42%] (44%) {28%} [23%] (30%) {39%} {49%} [44%] (30%) {33%} [32%] (26%) {24%} [28%] (25%) {19%} [14%] (18%) {21%} {+7%} 
• Ron Paul 36% [31%] (35%) {34%} [31%] (29%) [44%] / 49% [57%] (51%) {52%} [52%] (54%) [30%] {-13%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 29% [34%] (29%) {28%} [32%] (32%) {38%}
• No 57% [52%] (55%) {57%} [54%] (52%) {46%}

Among Tea Party Members

• Mitt Romney 47% [24%] (12%) 
• Newt Gingrich 35% [28%] (24%) 
• Ron Paul 12% [7%] (8%)

Among Non-Tea Party GOP Voters

• Mitt Romney 56% [40%] (28%)  
• Newt Gingrich 19% [14%] (14%)   
• Ron Paul 15% [10%] (16%)

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 48% [48%] (49%)
• Are not 52% [52%] (51%)

Among Evangelical Christians

• Mitt Romney 50% [23%] (18%) 
• Newt Gingrich 30% [22%] (21%)  
• Ron Paul 11% [6%] (8%)

Among Non-Evangelicals

• Mitt Romney 57% [43%] (28%)  
• Newt Gingrich 18% [17%] (14%)   
• Ron Paul 17% [12%] (19%)

Survey of 742 Republican primary voters was conducted April 12-15, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.  Political ideology: 41% [42%] (39%) {38%} [39%] (45%) {43%} [42%] (38%) {41%} [40%] (38%) {44%} [40%] (41%) Somewhat conservative; 36% [34%] (36%) {42%} [36%] (32%) {33%} [35%] (37%) {35%} [38%] (39%) {31%} [38%] (39%) Very conservative; 16% [18%] (17%) {16%} [18%] (17%) {19%} [17%] (20%) {18%} [16%] (17%) {17%} [19%] (15%) Moderate; 4% [4%] (6%) {3%} [3%] (3%) {4%} [3%] (4%) {3%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 3% [2%] (2%) {2%} [4%] (3%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 15-17, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 9-10, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 16-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-10, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-11, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 18-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-17, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 9-12, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 23-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 7-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 12-14, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2012 GOP Nomination Poll

• Mitt Romney 57% {36%} [32%] (34%) {28%} [20%] (24%) {26%} [22%] (21%) {18%} [23%] (22%) 
• Newt Gingrich 19% {15%} [15%] (18%) {28%} [24%] (22%) {8%} [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (5%) 
• Ron Paul 18% {17%} [16%] (15%) {14%} [9%] (8%) {9%} [7%] (13%) {6%} [14%] (12%) 

Among Republicans (MoE: +/- 6.0%)

• Mitt Romney 59% {37%} [30%]
• Newt Gingrich 21% {17%} [15%] 
• Ron Paul 14% {13%} [11%] 

Among Independents (MoE: +/- 7.5%)

• Mitt Romney 54% {35%} [34%]
• Ron Paul 25% {23%} [23%] 
• Newt Gingrich 16% {12%} [15%]
  

Survey of 473 Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents was conducted April 13-15, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 24-25, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 10-13, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 16-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 11-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 14-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-11, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 24-25, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 5-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-20, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 24-26, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Siena College New York 2012 Presidential Survey

Siena College New York 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 60% (60%) {63%} [59%] {55%} [56%] (55%)
• Mitt Romney 35% (34%) {31%} [34%] {37%} [36%] (37%)

• Barack Obama 61% (62%) {65%} [60%] (57%)
• Ron Paul 31% (29%) {29%} [31%] (32%)

• Barack Obama 65% (66%) {68%} [63%]
• Newt Gingrich 29% (27%) {26%} [28%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 58% (61%) {64%} [57%] {55%} [52%] (52%) / 39% (36%) {34%} [40%] {43%} [45%] (45%) {+19%}
• Ron Paul 30% (29%) {32%} [26%] (26%) / 50% (52%) {49%} [46%] (40%) {-20%} 
• Mitt Romney 35% (32%) {35%} [36%] {34%} [30%] (32%) / 57% (57%) {55%} [48%] {45%} [46%] (46%) {-22%} 
• Newt Gingrich 22% (21%) {24%} [26%] (20%) / 71% (70%) {67%} [58%] (64%) {-49%}

How would you rate the job that Barack Obama is doing as President? Would you rate it excellent, good, fair, or poor?

• Excellent 13% (16%) {15%} [10%] {9%} [11%] (10%) [13%] {16%}
• Good 32% (34%) {34%} [33%] {29%} [29%] (26%) [32%] {37%}
• Fair 25% (23%) {27%} [28%] {32%} [28%] (30%) [30%] {24%}
• Poor 29% (26%) {24%} [29%] {30%} [33%] (33%) [25%] {23%}

Barack Obama is running for re-election as President in 2012. I know it's a ways off, but as things stand now, would you vote to reelect him or would you prefer someone else?

• Re-elect 54% (56%) {58%} [51%] {48%} [47%] (47%) [50%] (52%) {54%}
• Prefer someone else 41% (38%) {36%} [42%] {45%} [47%] (45%) [41%] (44%) {39%}

Survey of 808 registered voters was conducted April 1-4, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 48% (48%) {48%} [48%] {48%} Democrat; 24% (24%) {24%} [24%] {24%} Republican; 25% (25%) {25%} [24%] {25%} Independent/Other. Political ideology: 42% (42%) {41%} [43%] {42%} Moderate; 28% (26%) {28%} [27%] {29%} Conservative; 26% (28%) {28%} [27%] {24%} Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 26-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 29 - February 1, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 10-12, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15, 18-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-14, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 2011 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Colorado 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 47% {48%}
• Ron Paul 42% {39%}

• Barack Obama 53% {47%} [48%] (47%)
• Mitt Romney 40% {45%} [41%] (41%)

• Barack Obama 55% {50%} (53%)
• Newt Gingrich 37% {42%} (39%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 48% {52%}
• Ron Paul 37% {32%}

• Barack Obama 57% {49%} [42%] (43%)
• Mitt Romney 31% {37%} [40%] (34%)

• Barack Obama 59% {56%} (55%)
• Newt Gingrich 28% {32%} (32%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 46% {55%}
• Ron Paul 38% {27%}

• Barack Obama 54% {55%} [58%] (58%)
• Mitt Romney 32% {32%} [29%] (24%)

• Barack Obama 60% {61%} (71%)
• Newt Gingrich 29% {27%} (19%)

Among Men

• Ron Paul 52% {46%}
  
• Barack Obama 38% {46%}

• Barack Obama 47% {45%} [47%] (43%)
• Mitt Romney 47% {49%} [42%] (44%)

• Barack Obama 48% {48%} (48%)
• Newt Gingrich 44% {46%} (45%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 56% {50%}
• Ron Paul 33% {33%}

• Barack Obama 58% {49%} [50%] (51%)
• Mitt Romney 34% {42%} [40%] (37%)

• Barack Obama 61% {51%} (56%)
• Newt Gingrich 30% {39%} (35%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Ron Paul 37% {29%} / 51% {53%} {-14%} 
  
• Mitt Romney 31% {35%} [30%] (40%) / 60% {53%} [51%] (40%) {-29%}
• Newt Gingrich 21% {32%} (26%) / 70% {55%} (55%) {-49%}

Among Independents

• Ron Paul 43% {34%} / 43% {46%} {0%}
• Mitt Romney 25% {28%} [29%] (41%) / 65% {59%} [49%] (35%) {-40%}
• Newt Gingrich 13% {25%} (14%) / 76% {59%} (53%) {-63%}

Among Moderates

• Ron Paul 39% {28%} / 47% {47%} {-8%} 
• Mitt Romney 31% {32%} [33%] (39%) / 61% {55%} [44%] (37%) {-30%}
• Newt Gingrich 15% {21%} (12%) / 74% {64%} (62%) {-59%}

Among Men

• Ron Paul 44% {33%} / 47% {54%} {-3%}
• Mitt Romney 33% {36%} [31%] (42%) / 59% {55%} [57%] (42%) {-26%}
• Newt Gingrich 23% {36%} (30%) / 71% {57%} (54%) {-48%}

Among Women

• Ron Paul 30% {24%} / 54% {52%} {-24%} 
• Mitt Romney 29% {33%} [29%] (38%) / 61% {51%} [46%] (38%) {-32%}
• Newt Gingrich 18% {29%} (22%) / 68% {53%} (56%) {-50%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 50% {45%} [46%] (51%)
• Disapprove 47% {50%} [50%] (45%)

Survey of 542 Colorado voters was conducted April 5-7, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 36% {37%} [41%] (43%) Democrat; 35% {35%} [33%] (35%) Republican; 30% {28%} [26%] (22%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 28% {32%} [27%] Moderate; 23% {25%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 22% {18%} [22%] Somewhat liberal; 13% {14%} [16%] Very conservative; 13% {11%} [13%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted December 1-4, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-6, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Republican Nomination Daily Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 GOP Nomination Daily Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 42%
• Rick Santorum 24%
• Newt Gingrich 10% 
• Ron Paul 10%

Survey of at least 1,000 registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents was conducted April 4-9, 2012. The margin of error is ± 3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 34% [30%] (31%) {25%} [30%] (22%) {14%} [19%] (17%) {12%} [16%] (23%) {25%}
• Rick Santorum 30% [30%] (27%) {31%} [20%] (24%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {4%} 
• Newt Gingrich 17% [19%] (24%) {23%} [30%] (25%) {51%} [22%] (17%) {8%} [11%] (9%) {14%}
• Ron Paul 11% [13%] (8%) {8%} [11%] (9%) {7%} [4%] (6%) {10%} [11%] (6%) {9%}
• Someone else/Not sure 8% [8%] (10%) {13%} [9%] (11%) {11%} [8%] (8%) {12%} [13%] (10%) {10%}

Very Conservative

• Rick Santorum 40% [40%] (35%) {35%}
• Mitt Romney 26% [22%] (23%) {19%}
• Newt Gingrich 22% [24%] (28%) {32%}
• Ron Paul 7% [7%] (9%) {5%}
• Someone else/Not sure 5% [6%] (6%) {10%}

Somewhat Conservative

• Mitt Romney 40% [38%] (37%) {30%}
• Rick Santorum 31% [24%] (25%) {33%}
• Newt Gingrich 18% [16%] (22%) {16%}
• Ron Paul 6% [16%] (5%) {8%}
• Someone else/Not sure 6% [6%] (11%) {13%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 34% [29%] (31%) {23%}
• Rick Santorum 30% [28%] (27%) {31%}
• Ron Paul 15% [17%] (8%) {11%}
• Newt Gingrich 14% [20%] (27%) {25%} 
• Someone else/Not sure 7% [6%] (8%) {9%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 34% [33%] (31%) {27%}
• Rick Santorum 30% [33%] (26%) {31%}
• Newt Gingrich 20% [17%] (20%) {20%} 
• Ron Paul 7% [6%] (9%) {4%}
• Someone else/Not sure 9% [10%] (13%) {17%}

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 46% [52%] (49%) {52%} [45%] (42%) {37%} [34%]
• Might end up supporting someone else 54% [48%] (51%) {48%} [55%] (58%) {63%} [66%]

If the Republican candidates for President were just Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

• Rick Santorum 42% [43%] (42%) {43%}
• Mitt Romney 38% [37%] (38%) {33%}
• Ron Paul 10% [13%] (10%) {10%}
• Not sure 9% [8%] (11%) {14%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 60% [55%] (58%) {58%} [62%] (62%) / 30% [34%] (27%) {29%} [25%] (22%) {+30%}
• Mitt Romney 51% [50%] (51%) {43%} [53%] (46%) {50%} [53%] (50%) {45%} [46%] (56%) {53%} [56%] (50%) {57%} [49%] / 32% [38%] (35%) {43%} [34%] (38%) {34%} [30%] (31%) {38%} [35%] (28%) {30%} [24%] (26%) {22%} [23%] {+19%}
• Newt Gingrich 50% [45%] (48%) {45%} [50%] (48%) {73%} [65%] (58%) {42%} {38%} [55%] (62%) {61%} [63%] / 36% [39%] (39%) {41%}  [35%] (35%) {17%} [25%] (31%) {43%} {47%} [25%] (18%) {21%} [21%] {+14%}
• Ron Paul 35% [34%] (32%) {28%} [32%] (29%) {29%} [27%] (34%) / 51% [52%] (54%) {55%} [55%] (56%) {51%} [48%] (45%) {-16%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 28% [35%] (32%)
• No 56% [51%] (52%)

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 63% [61%] (64%)
• Are not 37% [39%] (36%)

Among Evangelical Christians

• Rick Santorum 34% [36%] (31%)
• Mitt Romney 32% [26%] (28%)
• Newt Gingrich 18% [22%] (26%)
• Ron Paul 8% [10%] (6%)
• Someone else/Not sure 8% [7%] (9%)

Among Non-Evangelicals

• Mitt Romney 38% [37%] (36%)
  
• Rick Santorum 21% [21%] (20%)
• Ron Paul 17% [17%] (12%)
• Newt Gingrich 15% [15%] (20%) 
• Someone else/Not sure 8% [10%] (12%)

Survey of 461 likely North Carolina Republican primary voters was conducted April 4-7, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 79% [77%] (77%) {75%} Republican; 21% [23%] (21%) {25%} Independent; 0% [0%] (3%) {0%} Democrat .  Political ideology: 40% [44%] (37%) {49%} [40%] (39%) {40%} [36%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {39%} Very conservative; 37% [36%] (42%) {34%} [37%] (38%) {38%} [40%] (37%) {36%} [37%] (39%) {37%} Somewhat conservative; 15% [17%] (15%) {13%} [14%] (17%) {18%} [17%] (16%) {14%} [15%] (15%) {17%} Moderate; 6% [1%] (4%) {4%} [6%] (3%) {2%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [2%] (2%) {4%} Somewhat liberal; 2% [2%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (1%) {3%} Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted March 22-25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 8-11, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 1, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 3-5, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 5-8, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 1-4, 2011 are in Results from the poll conducted October 27-31, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 3, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conductedSeptember 1-4, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Washington Post/ABC News 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Washington Post/ABC News 2012 GOP Nomination Poll

• Mitt Romney 44% [33%] (38%) {36%} [30%] (25%) {25%} [25%] (30%)
• Rick Santorum 25% [29%] (18%) {13%} [4%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (3%)
• Ron Paul 13% [12%] (14%) {16%} [15%] (9%) {9%} [10%] (10%) 
• Newt Gingrich 10% [14%] (24%) {16%} [30%] (12%) {9%} [5%] (6%) 
• No opinion 3% [4%] (5%) {7%} [4%] (8%) {7%} [5%] (9%)

Second Choice

• Rick Santorum 32% [27%]
• Mitt Romney 25% [27%]
• Newt Gingrich 22% [26%]
• Ron Paul 14% [12%]
• No opinion 1% [2%]

Regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you trust most to handle the economy?

• Mitt Romney 48% [35%] (37%) {35%}
• Ron Paul 16% [13%] (17%) {14%}
• Newt Gingrich 12% [21%] (23%) {17%}
• Rick Santorum 12% [18%] (11%) {8%}

Regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you trust most to handle social issues, such as abortion and gay marriage?

• Rick Santorum 29% [31%] (19%) {14%}
• Mitt Romney 27% [22%] (25%) {25%}
• Ron Paul 16% [13%] (13%) {10%}
• Newt Gingrich 10% [15%] (22%) {15%}

Survey of registered Republicans and GOP-leaning independents was conducted April 5-8, 2012.  Results from the poll conducted March 7-10, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1-4, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 15-18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 31 - November 3, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 2, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 29 - September 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 14-17, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 2-5, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Republican Nomination Daily Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 GOP Nomination Daily Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 42%
• Rick Santorum 25%
• Ron Paul 11%
• Newt Gingrich 9%

Survey of at least 1,000 registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents was conducted April 3-7, 2012. The margin of error is ± 3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Republican Nomination Daily Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 GOP Nomination Daily Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 41%
• Rick Santorum 26%
• Ron Paul 11%
• Newt Gingrich 10%

Survey of at least 1,000 registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents was conducted April 2-6, 2012. The margin of error is ± 3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Republican Nomination Daily Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 GOP Nomination Daily Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 41%
• Rick Santorum 25%
• Ron Paul 12%
• Newt Gingrich 9%

Survey of at least 1,000 registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents was conducted April 1-5, 2012. The margin of error is ± 3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Howey/DePauw Indiana Battleground 2012 Presidential Survey

Howey/DePauw Indiana Battleground 2012 Presidential Poll

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Rick Santorum 27%
• Mitt Romney 26%
• Newt Gingrich 6%
• Ron Paul 6%
• Undecided 35%

GENERAL ELECTION

• Mitt Romney 49%
• Barack Obama 40%

• Rick Santorum 46%
• Barack Obama 41% 

Survey of 503 likely voters, including an oversample of 503 likely GOP primary voters, was conducted March 26-28, 2012, by Republican pollster Christine Matthews, the president of Alexandria, Va.-based Bellwether Research, and Democratic pollster Fred Yang, of D.C.-based Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group. The margin of error for each sample is +/- 4.4 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

President Obama's approval rating in the state is just 39 percent.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Republican Nomination Daily Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 GOP Nomination Daily Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 39%
• Rick Santorum 26%
• Ron Paul 12%
• Newt Gingrich 10%

Survey of at least 1,000 registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents was conducted March 31 - April 4, 2012. The margin of error is ± 3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Pennsylvania 2012 Republican Primary Survey

Rasmussen (R) Pennsylvania 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Rick Santorum 42%
• Mitt Romney 38%
• Ron Paul 7%
• Newt Gingrich 6%
• Some other candidate 2%
• Undecided 5%

If the 2012 Republican Primary for president were held today and you only had a choice between Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum, for whom would you vote?  

• Rick Santorum 46%
• Mitt Romney 44%

Survey of 750 likely Republican primary voters was conducted April 4, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. 

Inside the numbers: 

Eighty-three percent (83%) of Republican primary voters in Pennsylvania now believe Romney will be the party’s presidential nominee. Only 10% think Santorum will emerge as the standard-bearer. Fifty-two percent (52%) feel Romney would be the strongest candidate against Obama, while 27% believe that of Santorum.

Seventy-eight percent (78%) think if Romney is nominated he is at least somewhat likely to defeat the incumbent, while 56% say the same of Santorum. But while 40% feel a Romney victory is Very Likely, only 24% believe Santorum is Very Likely to capture the White House.

Most Pennsylvania Republicans think Gingrich and Paul are not likely to win in November.

Pennsylvania Republicans vote on April 24, and one-in-three (33%) say they still could change their minds.

While voters in most states give the edge to electability, Pennsylvania Republicans are evenly divided over whether it’s more important to choose a candidate who has the best chance of beating Obama or one who does the best job representing party values. Forty-five percent (45%) favor each position. Romney has the support of 53% of those who prize electability more. Santorum earns 51% of the vote from those who put more emphasis on the candidate truest to party values.

Santorum is viewed favorably by 69% of likely primary voters in the state, Romney by 66%, Gingrich by 50% and Paul by 36%.

Santorum leads Romney by eight among male voters and runs even with him among female voters. Very Conservative primary voters favor Santorum over Romney 55% to 30%, but Romney posts a similar lead among those who are Somewhat Conservative and also leads among non-conservatives.

Married voters give the edge to Santorum, while unmarrieds are tied between the two.

Santorum has a sizable lead among Evangelical Christian primary voters but trails Romney in all other religious demographic categories.

Among all likely GOP primary voters in the state, 81% say they will vote for the party nominee even if their favorite doesn’t win. Nine percent (9%) will vote for Obama if that’s the case, and six percent (6%) will choose a third party candidate.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York 2012 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac New York 2012 Presidential Poll

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Mitt Romney 54% [32%] (26%)
• Rick Santorum 21% [20%] (3%)
• Newt Gingrich 9% [10%] (29%)
• Ron Paul 8% [14%] (9%)
• Don't know 8% [18%] (16%)

Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? 

• Mind made up 59%
• Might change 39%

Among Romney voters 

• Mind made up 71%
• Might change 26%

Among Santorum voters 

• Mind made up 47%
• Might change 53%

GENERAL ELECTION

• Barack Obama 56% [52%] (53%)
• Mitt Romney 33% [35%] (35%)

• Barack Obama 59% [53%]
• Rick Santorum 30% [35%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 56% [50%] (50%)
• Disapprove 38% [46%] (45%)

Survey of 1,597 registered voters, including a subsample of 372 Republicans, was conducted March 28 - April 2, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 5.1 percentage points among Republican voters.   Results from the poll conducted February 8-13, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 12-18, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 42% [25%] (12%) {17%} [14%] 
• Rick Santorum 37% [43%] (12%) {14%} [11%]
• Ron Paul 9% [9%] (9%) {9%} [4%]
• Newt Gingrich 6% [13%] (32%) {6%} [16%]
• Someone else/Not sure 6% [10%] (9%) {8%} [8%]

If the Republican candidates for President were just Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

• Rick Santorum 42% [51%]
• Mitt Romney 41% [28%]
• Ron Paul 12% [12%]
• Not sure 6% [9%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 62% [64%] (56%) {56%} [54%] / 31% [30%] (30%) {29%} [27%] {+31%}
• Mitt Romney 57% [46%] (46%) {46%} [52%] / 35% [40%] (39%) {35%} [25%] {+22%}
• Newt Gingrich 44% [42%] (63%) [54%] / 43% [43%] (24%) [25%] {+1%}
• Ron Paul 40% [34%] (35%) / 48% [54%] (44%) {-8%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 23% [27%] (31%)
• No 63% [61%] (57%)

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 38% [41%]
• Are not 62% [59%]

Among Evangelical Christians

• Rick Santorum 44% [53%]
• Mitt Romney 34% [16%]
• Ron Paul 8% [8%]
• Newt Gingrich 7% [14%]
• Someone else/Not sure 6% [8%]

Among Non-Evangelicals

• Mitt Romney 46% [31%]
• Rick Santorum 32% [36%]
• Ron Paul 10% [10%]
• Newt Gingrich 6% [12%]
• Someone else/Not sure 7% [11%]

Do you think that Rick Santorum should drop out of the Presidential race, or not?

• He should 39%
• He should not 52%
• Not sure 9%

Regardless of which candidate you support, do you believe that Rick Santorum has a realistic chance of winning the Republican nomination for President, or not?

• He has a realistic chance 36%
• He does not 54%
• Not sure 10%

Which of the Republican candidates for President do you think would have the best chance of defeating Barack Obama?

• Mitt Romney 49%
• Rick Santorum 24%
• Newt Gingrich 10%
• Ron Paul 5%
• Not sure 12%

Survey of 403 likely Republican primary voters was conducted April 4, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Political ideology: 40% [38%] (39%) {36%} Somewhat conservative; 37% [35%] (41%) {40%} Very conservative; 17% [18%] (15%) {16%} Moderate; 4% [6%] (4%) {5%} Somewhat liberal; 3% [3%] (2%) {3%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 8-11, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 17-20, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA California 2012 Presidential Survey

SurveyUSA California 2012 Presidential Poll

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Mitt Romney 44% (33%)
• Rick Santorum 23% (31%)
• Ron Paul 12% (9%)
• Newt Gingrich 12% (17%)
• Other 1% (3%)
• Undecided 8% (7%)

GENERAL ELECTION

• Barack Obama 62% (60%) {57%} [54%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 31% (31%) {33%} [37%] (39%)

• Barack Obama 62% (60%)
• Ron Paul 28% (29%)

• Barack Obama 63% (61%)
• Rick Santorum 28% (29%)

• Barack Obama 64% (63%) [58%] (56%)
• Newt Gingrich 26% (27%) [32%] (32%)

Survey of 1,995 registered voters, including a subsample of 439 likely GOP primary voters, was conducted March 29 - April 2, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 4.8 percentage points among likely GOP primary voters.  Results from the poll released February 8-9, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll released January 23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll released November 21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 10, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 49% (47%)
• Ron Paul 42% (43%)

• Barack Obama 51% (46%) {47%} [43%] (47%)
• Mitt Romney 43% (46%) {46%} [46%] (46%)

• Barack Obama 54% 
• Rick Santorum 40%

• Barack Obama 54% (49%) [46%] (51%)
• Newt Gingrich 39% (46%) [42%] (40%)

If the Democratic ticket for President was Barack Obama and Joe Biden, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney and Brian Sandoval, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 50%
• Romney-Sandoval 44%
• Not sure 6%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 38% (45%) {38%} [43%] (47%) / 51% (44%) {43%} [43%] (37%) {-13%}
• Ron Paul 35% (34%) / 53% (51%) {-18%} 
• Newt Gingrich 27% (38%) [33%] (35%) / 62% (52%) [53%] (51%) {-35%}
• Rick Santorum 25% / 64% {-39%} 

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 50% (44%) {47%} [45%] (50%)
• Disapprove 46% (53%) {50%} [52%] (46%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Brian Sandoval’s job performance?

• Approve 46%
• Disapprove 31%

Survey of 553 Nevada voters was conducted March 29 - April 1, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 43% (43%) {43%} [45%] (45%) Democrat; 39% (38%) {38%} [35%] (39%) Republican; 18% (19%) {19%} [20%] (16%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% (29%) {29%} [28%] Moderate; 26% (25%) {25%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 17% (18%) {18%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 16% (17%) {17%} [18%] Very conservative; 10% (12%) {11%} [10%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 21-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.