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Jon Huntsman 2012 Ad: "Time to Compete"

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2012 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac 2012 Presidential Survey

• Barack Obama 45% {47%} [47%] (44%)
• Mitt Romney 45% {41%} [41%] (45%)

• Barack Obama 45% {50%}
• Rick Perry 42% {37%}

• Barack Obama 48% {50%}
• Michele Bachmann 39% {38%}

• Barack Obama 51% {53%} [53%] (48%)
• Sarah Palin 37% {34%} [36%] (40%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 46% {42%} [38%] (46%)
• Barack Obama 40% {40%} [45%] (35%)

• Barack Obama 42% {46%}
• Rick Perry 40% {36%}

• Barack Obama 47% {43%}
• Michele Bachmann 36% {40%}

• Barack Obama 51% {50%} [56%] (44%)
• Sarah Palin 35% {33%} [29%] (37%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 47% {45%} [45%] (51%)
• Barack Obama 43% {44%} [43%] (40%)

• Barack Obama 44% {47%}
• Rick Perry 44% {41%}

• Barack Obama 47% {48%}
• Michele Bachmann 41% {40%}

• Barack Obama 50% {50%} [50%] (44%)
• Sarah Palin 39% {37%} [37%] (44%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 46% {50%} [50%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney 43% {39%} [38%] (39%)

• Barack Obama 45% {53%}
• Rick Perry 41% {33%}

• Barack Obama 48% {52%}
• Michele Bachmann 37% {35%}

• Barack Obama 52% {56%} [55%] (52%)
• Sarah Palin 35% {31%} [35%] (36%)

College Degree

• Barack Obama 49% {50%} [51%] (51%)
• Mitt Romney 42% {40%} [41%] (42%)

• Barack Obama 50% {53%}
• Rick Perry 39% {35%}

• Barack Obama 54% {55%}
• Michele Bachmann 35% {34%}

• Barack Obama 56% {59%} [58%] (56%)
• Sarah Palin 31% {29%} [32%] (33%) 

No College Degree

• Mitt Romney 46% {42%} [42%] (46%)
• Barack Obama 43% {46%} [45%] (42%)

• Rick Perry 44% {38%}
• Barack Obama 42% {49%}

• Barack Obama 45% {48%}
• Michele Bachmann 41% {39%}

• Barack Obama 49% {50%} [50%] (46%)
• Sarah Palin 40% {36%} [38%] (42%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 36% / 27% {+9%}
• Barack Obama 47% / 47% {0%}
• Rick Perry 22% / 23% {-1%}
• Michele Bachmann 26% / 36% {-10%}
• Sarah Palin 32% / 55% {-23%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 39% / 24% {+15%}
• Barack Obama 45% / 48% {-3%}
• Rick Perry 19% / 22% {-3%}
• Michele Bachmann 23% / 38% {-15%}
• Sarah Palin 28% / 58% {-30%}

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 57% / 14% {+43%}
• Rick Perry 44% / 5% {+39%}
• Sarah Palin 63% / 25% {+38%}
• Michele Bachmann 50% / 14% {+36%}
• Barack Obama 8% / 87% {-79%}

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President, do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

• Deserves reelection 42% {47%} [46%] (43%)
• Does not 51% {47%} [48%] (49%)

Survey of 2,730 registered voters was conducted August 16-27, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 1.9 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-11, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 6, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-15, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Quinnipiac 2012 GOP Nomination Survey

• Rick Perry 24% (10%)
• Mitt Romney 18% (25%) {25%} [18%] (18%)
• Sarah Palin 11% (12%) {15%} [15%] (19%)
• Michele Bachmann 10% (14%) {6%} [4%]
• Ron Paul 9% (5%) {8%} [5%]
• Herman Cain 5% (6%) {9%}
• Newt Gingrich 3% (5%) {8%} [5%] (15%)
• Rick Santorum 1% (1%) {4%} [1%]
• Jon Huntsman 1% (1%) {1%} [1%]
• Thaddeus McCotter 1% (0%)
• Don't know 16% (18%) {20%} [15%] (17%)

Among Men

• Rick Perry 27% (11%)
• Mitt Romney 19% (27%) {27%} [20%] (20%)
• Ron Paul 10% (8%) {13%} [6%]
• Michele Bachmann 9% (15%) {5%} [6%]
• Sarah Palin 9% (10%) {11%} [11%] (14%)
• Herman Cain 5% (7%) {11%}
• Newt Gingrich 4% (5%) {9%} [6%] (18%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (1%) {3%} [2%]
• Jon Huntsman 2% (1%) {2%} [1%]
• Thaddeus McCotter 1% (0%)
• Don't know 12% (12%) {13%} [12%] (15%)

Among Women

• Rick Perry 22% (9%)
• Mitt Romney 18% (23%) {22%} [15%] (15%)
• Sarah Palin 13% (13%) {18%} [20%] (25%)
• Michele Bachmann 11% (12%) {7%} [1%]
• Ron Paul 7% (3%) {3%} [4%]
• Herman Cain 6% (5%) {7%}
• Newt Gingrich 2% (5%) {7%} [5%] (11%)
• Rick Santorum 1% (2%) {4%} [0%]
• Jon Hunstman 1% (1%) {1%} [1%]
• Thaddeus McCotter 0% (0%)
• Don't know 20% (25%) {26%} [19%] (19%)

If Sarah Palin doesn't run

• Rick Perry 26% (10%)
• Mitt Romney 20% (28%)
• Michele Bachmann 12% (17%)
• Ron Paul 10% (6%) 
• Herman Cain 5% (6%)
• Newt Gingrich 4% (6%) 
• Rick Santorum 2% (1%)
• Jon Huntsman 1% (1%) 
• Thaddeus McCotter 1% (0%)
• Don't know 19% (22%) 

Survey of 1,185 registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents was conducted August 16-27, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-11, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 6, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 26 - May 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-15, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: IBOPE Zogby Interactive 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

IBOPE Zogby Interactive 2012 GOP Nomination Survey

• Rick Perry 41%
• Mitt Romney 12%
• Ron Paul 11%
• Michele Bachmann 9%
• Herman Cain 8%
• Rick Santorum 3%
• Jon Huntsman 3%
• Newt Gingrich 3%
• Gary Johnson 0%
• Fred Karger 0%
• Other 2%
• Not Sure 8%

If Chris Christie, Paul Ryan, and Sarah Palin also run:

• Rick Perry 30%
• Chris Christie 15%
• Ron Paul 10%
• Mitt Romney 8%
• Herman Cain 7%
• Michele Bachmann 6%
• Paul Ryan 5%
• Sarah Palin 4%
• Jon Huntsman 3%
• Rick Santorum 2%
• Newt Gingrich 2%
• Gary Johnson 0%
• Fred Karger 0%
• Other 1%
• Not Sure 9%

Which of the following candidates would you never vote for?

• Jon Huntsman 45%
• Ron Paul 37%
• Newt Gingrich 35%
• Gary Johnson 33%
• Fred Karger 33%
• Sarah Palin 30%
• Mitt Romney 24%
• Rick Santorum 24%
• Michele Bachmann 23%
• Herman Cain 16%
• Rick Perry 15%
• Paul Ryan 10%
• Chris Christie 9%
• Not sure 16%

Regardless of whom you intend to vote for, who do you think will get the nomination?

• Rick Perry 52%
• Mitt Romney 23%
• Ron Paul 4%
• Michele Bachmann 2%
• Chris Christie 1%
• Herman Cain 1%
• Sarah Palin 1%
• Newt Gingrich 1%
• Jon Huntsman 1%
• Paul Ryan 1%
• Fred Karger 0%
• Rick Santorum 0%
• Other 0%
• Not sure 14%

Survey of 1,184 likely Republican primary voters was conducted August 25-29, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.

Interview with Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Poll Watch: IBOPE Zogby Interactive 2012 Presidential Survey

IBOPE Zogby Interactive 2012 Presidential Survey

• Chris Christie 49% (43%) {45%} [43%] (44%) (43%)
• Barack Obama 40% (45%) {41%} [44%] (45%) (40%)

• Mitt Romney 45% (39%) {42%} [41%] (40%) (41%)
• Barack Obama 40% (45%) {43%} [42%] (45%) (41%)

• Rick Perry 46% (39%) {42%}
• Barack Obama 44% (46%) {43%}

• Barack Obama 43%
• Paul Ryan 43%

• Barack Obama 40% (45%) {40%} [43%] (44%)
• Ron Paul 40% (40%) {40%} [37%] (37%)

• Barack Obama 44% (46%) {42%} [45%] (46%)
• Herman Cain 44% (39%) {42%} [40%] (38%)

• Barack Obama 46% (46%) {44%} [47%] (47%)
• Michele Bachmann 41% (39%) {42%} [41%] (38%)

• Barack Obama 45% (47%) {44%} [46%] (47%)
• Rick Santorum 40% (36%) {39%} [36%] (36%)

• Barack Obama 46% (48%) {47%} (49%) (45%)
• Sarah Palin 39% (36%) {37%} (36%) (38%)

• Barack Obama 45% (47%) {45%} [46%] (48%)
• Newt Gingrich 38% (34%) {33%} [33%] (30%)

• Barack Obama 38% (43%) {39%} [44%] (44%)
• Jon Huntsman 30% (28%) {31%} [29%] (29%)

Interactive poll of 2,335 likely voters was conducted August 25-29, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 8-11, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 17-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 18-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 30, 2010 - January 3, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) Political Survey

PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) Political Survey

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama?

• Favorable 45% [49%] {45%} (49%) [47%] {50%}
• Unfavorable 51% [47%] {50%} (47%) [48%] {45%}

Among Democrats

• Favorable 82% [78%] {81%} (84%) [82%] {83%}
• Unfavorable 14% [18%] {14%} (12%) [14%] {12%}

Among Republicans

• Favorable 8% [11%] {10%} (12%) [11%] {12%}
• Unfavorable 88% [85%] {86%} (84%) [85%] {83%}

Among Independents

• Favorable 36% [50%] {38%} (41%) [46%] {48%}
• Unfavorable 58% [46%] {57%} (55%) [50%] {47%}

Among Liberals

• Favorable 89% [80%] {88%} (91%) [84%] {94%}
• Unfavorable 6% [18%] {10%} (7%) [14%] {5%}

Among Moderates

• Favorable 58% [62%] {51%} (63%) [62%] {60%}
• Unfavorable 37% [31%] {42%} (32%) [34%] {34%}

Among Conservatives

• Favorable 13% [17%] {12%} (15%) [17%] {16%}
• Unfavorable 84% [82%] {85%} (80%) [79%] {79%}

Among Men

• Favorable 39% [46%] {40%} (45%) [45%] {47%}
• Unfavorable 56% [50%] {56%} (50%) [51%] {48%}

Among Women

• Favorable 50% [52%] {50%} (53%) [51%] {52%}
• Unfavorable 46% [44%] {45%} (43%) [46%] {42%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 42% [47%] {44%} (47%) [46%] {48%}
• Disapprove 54% [48%] {52%} (49%) [50%] {48%}

Among Democrats

• Approve 78% [76%] {80%} (83%) [80%] {79%}
• Disapprove 16% [20%] {16%} (14%) [14%] {16%}

Among Republicans

• Approve 8% [10%] {10%} (11%) [10%] {12%}
• Disapprove 92% [86%] {87%} (87%) [87%] {84%}

Among Independents

• Approve 33% [46%] {37%} (38%) [44%] {46%}
• Disapprove 61% [47%] {58%} (55%) [51%] {49%}

Among Liberals

• Approve 87% [78%] {83%} (89%) [81%] {86%}
• Disapprove 8% [18%] {14%} (8%) [15%] {11%}

Among Moderates

• Approve 53% [59%] {52%} (61%) [60%] {59%}
• Disapprove 42% [34%] {43%} (34%) [35%] {36%}

Among Conservatives

• Approve 11% [15%] {10%} (15%) [16%] {15%}
• Disapprove 86% [82%] {86%} (82%) [80%] {79%}

Among Men

• Approve 39% [44%] {40%} (44%) [43%] {44%}
• Disapprove 59% [52%] {58%} (52%) [53%] {52%}

Among Women

• Approve 45% [49%] {48%} (51%) [49%] {51%}
• Disapprove 49% [45%] {46%} (45%) [46%] {43%}

Among Whites

• Approve 34%
• Disapprove 62%

Among Blacks

• Approve 76%
• Disapprove 19%

Do you think Barack Obama is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

• Too liberal 48% [46%] {46%} (45%) [47%] {45%}
• Too conservative 9% [8%] {11%} (11%) [7%] {10%}
• About right 40% [42%] {38%} (42%) [42%] {42%}

Among Democrats

• Too liberal 14% [20%] {13%} (14%) [14%] {15%}
• Too conservative 14% [10%] {19%} (13%) [9%] {12%}
• About right 70% [68%] {65%} (71%) [74%] {70%}

Among Republicans

• Too liberal 85% [81%] {79%} (80%) [84%] {80%}
• Too conservative 4% [4%] {7%} (8%) [5%] {7%}
• About right 7% [11%] {10%} (11%) [9%] {10%}

Among Independents

• Too liberal 53% [45%] {53%} (49%) [48%] {45%}
• Too conservative 8% [9%] {7%} (11%) [7%] {11%}
• About right 37% [42%] {36%} (37%) [40%] {42%}

Among Liberals

• Too liberal 8% [15%] {6%} (9%) [15%] {11%}
• Too conservative 24% [23%] {31%} (20%) [13%] {16%}
• About right 68% [59%] {59%} (69%) [67%] {73%}

Among Moderates

• Too liberal 33% [32%] {38%} (29%) [31%] {32%}
• Too conservative 10% [7%] {8%} (13%) [9%] {9%}
• About right 53% [57%] {50%} (57%) [56%] {55%}

Among Conservatives

• Too liberal 82% [80%] {81%} (78%) [79%] {76%}
• Too conservative 2% [3%] {6%} (5%) [2%] {10%}
• About right 12% [14%] {11%} (15%) [16%] {10%}

Among Men

• Too liberal 54% [50%] {51%} (47%) [50%] {46%}
• Too conservative 10% [9%] {14%} (12%) [8%] {13%}
• About right 34% [38%] {32%} (39%) [38%] {38%}

Among Women

• Too liberal 43% [43%] {41%} (43%) [45%] {43%}
• Too conservative 8% [7%] {9%} (9%) [5%] {8%}
• About right 45% [46%] {45%} (45%) [46%] {47%}

Generally speaking if there was an election today would you vote to reelect Barack Obama, or would you vote for his Republican opponent?

• Republican opponent 48%{49%} [46%]
• Barack Obama 44% {44%} [46%]

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 80% {81%} [83%]
• Republican opponent 13% {13%} [10%]

Among Republicans

• Republican opponent 87% {88%} [87%]
• Barack Obama 7% {9%} [9%]

Among Independents

• Republican opponent 51% {50%} [44%]
• Barack Obama 37% {35%} [43%]

Among Men

• Republican opponent 53% {55%} [49%]
• Barack Obama 39% {39%} [43%]

Among Women

• Barack Obama 48% {48%} [50%]
• Republican opponent 44% {43%} [43%]

Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 election for President?

• Very excited 50% {53%} [52%]
• Somewhat excited 26% {28%} [28%]
• Not at all excited 24% {19%} [19%]

Among Democrats

• Very excited 47% {55%} [57%]
• Somewhat excited 33% {32%} [26%]
• Not at all excited 20% {13%} [17%]

Among Republicans

• Very excited 58% {54%} [52%]
• Somewhat excited 21% {25%} [31%]
• Not at all excited 21% {21%} [17%]

Among Independents

• Very excited 45% {48%} [47%]
• Somewhat excited 23% {25%} [27%]
• Not at all excited 32% {26%} [26%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Harry Reid is doing?

• Approve 23% {20%} [21%]
• Disapprove 47% {47%} [45%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 38% {35%} [35%]
• Disapprove 22% {25%} [24%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Mitch McConnell is doing?

• Approve 16% {20%} [20%]
• Disapprove 44% {40%} [35%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 22% {30%} [29%]
• Disapprove 35% {30%} [25%]

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Democratic Party?

• Favorable 41% {42%} [41%]
• Unfavorable 51% {48%} [49%]

Among Men

• Favorable 36% {38%} [35%]
• Unfavorable 57% {53%} [55%]

Among Women

• Favorable 46% {45%} [47%]
• Unfavorable 46% {44%} [42%]

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Republican Party?

• Favorable 33% {33%} [33%]
• Unfavorable 54% {53%} [53%]

Among Men

• Favorable 34% {35%} [34%]
• Unfavorable 54% {53%} [53%]

Among Women

• Favorable 31% {32%} [32%]
• Unfavorable 54% {53%} [53%]

If passed into law, one version of immigration reform that people have discussed would secure the border and crack down on employers who hire illegal immigrants. It would also require illegal immigrants to register for legal immigration status, pay back taxes, and learn English in order to be eligible for U.S. citizenship. Do you favor or oppose Congress passing this version of immigration reform?

• Favor 59% {71%}
• Oppose 34% {19%}

Among Democrats

• Favor 77% {61%}
• Oppose 17% {25%}

Among Republicans

• Favor 47% {80%}
• Oppose 46% {14%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 17% {11%} {18%} (15%) [11%] {13%}
• No 73% {80%} {71%} (72%) [78%] {75%}

Survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted August 25-28, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 38% [39%] {39%} (40%) [37%] Democrat; 32% [30%] {35%} (32%) [34%] Republican; 29% [31%] {27%} (28%) [28%] Independent/Other. Political ideology: 49% [53%] {47%} (48%) [44%] Moderate; 38% [34%] {34%} (38%) [39%] Conservative; 13% [13%] {20%} (14%) [16%] Liberal. Results from the poll conducted July 21-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 23-26, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Republican Favorability Survey

Gallup 2012 GOP Favorability Survey

Name Recognition

• Sarah Palin 97% (97%) [97%] {95%} (96%) [96%] {95%}
• Rudy Giuliani 91% (91%) [91%] {90%} (89%) [87%] {86%}
• Mitt Romney 88% (86%) [86%] {86%} (84%) [85%] {86%}
• Michele Bachmann 85% (83%) [81%] {78%} (76%) [78%] {77%}
• Newt Gingrich 85% (85%) [86%] {85%} (84%) [85%] {85%}
• Ron Paul 78% (78%) [78%] {78%} (77%) [78%] {77%}
• Rick Perry 75% (67%) [59%] {54%} (54%) [56%] {55%}
• Rick Santorum 52% (51%) [51%] {51%} (50%) [50%] {49%}
• Herman Cain 50% (47%) [45%] {45%} (46%) [47%] {44%}
• Jon Huntsman 43% (40%) [38%] {39%} (40%) [40%] {41%}

Among Republicans/GOP-Leaning Independents Who Recognize Candidate

Herman Cain

• Strongly Favorable 28% (29%) [26%] {24%} (27%) [29%] {26%}
• Favorable 46% (45%) [48%] {53%} (49%) [48%] {46%}
• Unfavorable 12% (13%) [12%] {12%} (11%) [10%] {15%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 1% (1%) [1%] {1%} (2%) [2%] {1%}

Rick Perry

• Strongly Favorable 27% (25%) [25%] {24%} (26%) [26%] {23%}
• Favorable 44% (44%) [45%] {46%} (48%) [47%] {44%}
• Unfavorable 12% (13%) [11%] {14%} (13%) [12%] {14%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 2% (2%) [2%] {1%} (2%) [3%] {3%}

Rudy Giuliani

• Strongly Favorable 21% (23%) [22%] {22%} (21%) [22%] {22%}
• Favorable 54% (54%) [54%] {56%} (57%) [56%] {57%}
• Unfavorable 15% (14%) [13%] {14%} (14%) [14%] {14%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 4% (4%) [3%] {2%} (2%) [3%] {2%}

Mitt Romney

• Strongly Favorable 15% (18%) [17%] {17%} (18%) [21%] {19%}
• Favorable 55% (55%) [57%] {55%} (55%) [53%] {54%}
• Unfavorable 16% (15%) [14%] {15%} (15%) [13%] {14%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 4% (4%) [3%] {3%} (3%) [3%] {2%}

Michele Bachmann

• Strongly Favorable 19% (21%) [24%] {22%} (20%) [23%] {24%}
• Favorable 49% (46%) [46%] {47%} (44%) [44%] {50%}
• Unfavorable 17% (16%) [16%] {17%} (18%) [15%] {12%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 6% (5%) [4%] {4%} (6%) [5%] {3%}

Rick Santorum

• Strongly Favorable 13% (9%) [9%] {9%} (11%) [13%] {13%}
• Favorable 49% (53%) [55%] {53%} (51%) [54%] {56%}
• Unfavorable 20% (18%) [17%] {16%} (16%) [16%] {14%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 3% (2%) [2%] {4%} (4%) [2%] {1%}

Sarah Palin

• Strongly Favorable 25% (24%) [24%] {26%} (25%) [26%] {26%}
• Favorable 44% (45%) [47%] {43%} (43%) [47%] {47%}
• Unfavorable 20% (18%) [17%] {20%} (19%) [17%] {16%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 9% (10%) [9%] {8%} (9%) [8%] {8%}

Ron Paul

• Strongly Favorable 11% (14%) [15%] {13%} (13%) [12%] {11%}
• Favorable 49% (47%) [48%] {52%} (52%) [49%] {51%}
• Unfavorable 23% (22%) [21%] {20%} (20%) [21%] {22%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 5% (5%) [4%] {4%} (4%) [4%] {3%}

Newt Gingrich

• Strongly Favorable 15% (12%) [10%] {9%} (8%) [10%] {11%}
• Favorable 45% (45%) [43%] {47%} (49%) [46%] {44%}
• Unfavorable 26% (27%) [29%] {27%} (27%) [29%] {29%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 8% (8%) [7%] {7%} (7%) [7%] {7%}

Jon Huntsman

• Strongly Favorable 6% (6%) [7%] {8%} (8%) [6%] {7%}
• Favorable 42% (44%) [44%] {42%} (47%) [49%] {48%}
• Unfavorable 30% (27%) [24%] {26%} (22%) [20%] {21%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 5% (4%) [3%] {2%} (3%) [4%] {5%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Herman Cain 74% (74%) [74%] {77%} (76%) [77%] {72%} / 13% (14%) [13%] {13%} (13%) [12%] {16%} {+61%}
• Rick Perry 71% (69%) [70%] {70%} (74%) [73%] {67%} / 14% (15%) [13%] {15%} (15%) [15%] {17%} {+57%}
• Rudy Giuliani 75% (77%) [76%] {78%} (78%) [78%] {79%} / 19% (18%) [16%] {16%} (16%) [17%] {16%} {+56%}
• Mitt Romney 70% (73%) [74%] {72%} (73%) [74%] {73%} / 20% (19%) [17%] {18%} (18%) [16%] {16%} {+50%}
• Michele Bachmann 68% (67%) [70%] {69%} (64%) [67%] {74%} / 23% (21%) [20%] {21%} (24%) [20%] {15%} {+45%}
• Sarah Palin 69% (69%) [71%] {69%} (68%) [73%] {73%} / 29% (28%) [26%] {28%} (28%) [25%] {24%} {+40%}
• Rick Santorum 62% (62%) [64%] {62%} (62%) [67%] {69%} / 23% (20%) [19%] {20%} (20%) [18%] {15%} {+39%}
• Ron Paul 60% (61%) [63%] {65%} (65%) [61%] {62%} / 28% (27%) [25%] {24%} (24%) [25%] {25%} {+32%}
• Newt Gingrich 60% (57%) [53%] {56%} (57%) [56%] {55%} / 34% (35%) [36%] {34%} (34%) [36%] {36%} {+26%}
• Jon Huntsman 48% (50%) [51%] {50%} (55%) [55%] {55%} / 35% (31%) [27%] {28%} (25%) [24%] {26%} {+13%}

Positive Intensity Score (Strongly Favorable minus Strongly Unfavorable)

• Herman Cain +27% (+28%) [+25%] {+22%} (+25%) [+27%] {+25%}
• Rick Perry +25% (+22%) [+23%] {+23%} (+24%) [+23%] {+21%}
• Rudy Giuliani +17% (+19%) [+19%] {+20%} (+19%) [+20%] {+20%}
• Sarah Palin +16% (+14%) [+15%] {+18%} (+16%) [+18%] {+18%}
• Michele Bachmann +13% (+16%) [+20%] {+18%} (+14%) [+18%] {+21%}
• Mitt Romney +11% (+14%) [+15%] {+14%} (+15%) [18%] {+17%}
• Rick Santorum +10% (+7%) [+6%] {+5%} (+7%) [+11%] {+12%}
• Newt Gingrich +7% (+4%) [+3%] {+2%} (+1%) [+3%] {+4%}
• Ron Paul +6% (+9%) [+11%] {+9%} (+8%) [+9%] {+8%}
• Jon Huntsman +1% (+2%) [+4%] {+6%} (+5%) [+3%] {+2%}

Survey Methods

Results are based on telephone interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking August 15-28, 2011, with random samples of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Questions asking about the 10 potential candidates measured in this research were rotated among randomly selected samples of Republicans each night; over the 14-day period, each candidate was rated by approximately 1,200 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents.

For the overall ratings of each potential candidate among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, including recognition scores, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 8-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 1-14, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25 - August 7, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-31, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 11-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 4-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) South Carolina 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) South Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Survey

• Rick Perry 36%
• Mitt Romney 13% {27%} [20%] (24%)
• Sarah Palin 10% {18%} [18%] (22%)
• Herman Cain 9% {12%}
• Michele Bachmann 7% {9%}
• Newt Gingrich 7% {12%} [13%] (25%)
• Ron Paul 5% {7%} [7%] (7%)
• Rick Santorum 4%
• Jon Huntsman 2% {2%}
• Someone else/Not sure 7% {9%} [8%]

If Sarah Palin doesn't run

• Rick Perry 36%
• Mitt Romney 16% {30%}
• Michele Bachmann 13% {13%}
• Herman Cain 9% {15%}
• Newt Gingrich 8% {15%}
• Ron Paul 5% {10%}
• Rick Santorum 4%
• Jon Huntsman 2% {2%}
• Someone else/Not sure 7% {11%}

If the Republican Presidential race came down to just Michele Bachmann, Rick Perry, and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

• Rick Perry 50%
• Mitt Romney 25%
• Michele Bachmann 16%

If the Republican Presidential race came down to just Rick Perry and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

• Rick Perry 59%
• Mitt Romney 28%

If the Republican Presidential race came down to just Michele Bachmann and Rick Perry, who would you vote for?

• Rick Perry 63%
• Michele Bachmann 20%

If the Republican nomination contest came down to Mitt Romney and Michele Bachmann, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 45% {54%}
• Michele Bachmann 40% {29%}

Among Birthers

• Michele Bachmann 46% {30%}
• Mitt Romney 39% {54%}

Among Non-Birthers

• Mitt Romney 57% {58%}
• Michele Bachmann 28% {26%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Perry 65% {24%} / 15% {11%} {+50%}
• Rudy Giuliani 62% {54%} [59%] / 22% {25%} [20%] {+40%}
• Herman Cain 46% {41%} [11%] / 11% {20%} [5%] {+35%}
• Chris Christie 45% {46%} / 11% {11%} {+34%}
• Sarah Palin 59% {60%} [61%] / 33% {33%} [28%] {+26%}
• Mitt Romney 52% {56%} [60%] / 32% {27%} [22%] {+20%}
• Michele Bachmann 48% {45%} [32%] / 29% {16%} [13%] {+19%}
• Rick Santorum 34% {31%} [25%] / 19% {16%} [7%] {+15%}
• Newt Gingrich 42% {37%} [54%] / 40% {44%} [25%] {+2%}
• Ron Paul 35% {38%} [47%] / 35% {31%} [19%] {0%}
• Gary Johnson 3% {2%} / 13% {14%} {-10%}
• Fred Karger 2% {3%} / 12% {13%} {-10%}
• Buddy Roemer 2% {4%} / 14% {16%} {-12%}
• Jon Huntsman 11% {10%} [9%] / 26% {20%} [4%] {-15%}

Among Republicans

• Rick Perry 68% {24%} / 11% {10%} {+57%}
• Rudy Giuliani 68% {56%} [59%] / 18% {24%} [19%] {+50%}
• Herman Cain 48% {40%} [10%] / 9% {19%} [4%] {+39%}
• Chris Christie 47% {47%} / 8% {9%} {+39%}
• Sarah Palin 61% {64%} [65%] / 30% {29%} [24%] {+31%}
• Mitt Romney 55% {60%} [62%] / 29% {24%} [20%] {+26%}
• Michele Bachmann 50% {47%} [32%] / 25% {13%} [13%] {+25%}
• Rick Santorum 35% {32%} [27%] / 15% {14%} [5%] {+20%}
• Newt Gingrich 46% {40%} [57%] / 36% {40%} [22%] {+10%}
• Ron Paul 34% {36%} [47%] / 35% {31%} [17%] {-1%}
• Gary Johnson 3% {2%} / 12% {14%} {-9%}
• Fred Karger 2% {2%} / 12% {14%} {-10%}
• Buddy Roemer 3% {3%} / 13% {16%} {-10%}
• Jon Huntsman 9% {10%} [7%] / 25% {19%} [3%] {-16%}

Among GOP-Leaning Independents

• Rick Perry 52% {22%} / 30% {16%} {+22%}
• Herman Cain 42% {45%} [16%] / 21% {24%} [9%] {+21%}
• Chris Christie 39% {42%} / 25% {19%} {+14%}
• Rudy Giuliani 41% {44%} [59%] / 38% {32%} [25%] {+3%}
• Ron Paul 39% {47%} [45%] / 36% {32%} [28%] {+3%}
• Sarah Palin 46% {45%} [49%] / 47% {47%} [44%] {-1%}
• Mitt Romney 41% {42%} [52%] / 44% {42%} [32%] {-3%}
• Rick Santorum 30% {23%} [16%] / 33% {24%} [18%] {-3%}
• Michele Bachmann 41% {40%} [31%] / 45% {28%} [16%] {-4%}
• Fred Karger 3% {5%} / 13% {10%} {-10%}
• Jon Huntsman 19% {10%} [16%] / 30% {26%} [10%] {-11%}
• Gary Johnson 4% {3%} / 16% {13%} {-12%}
• Buddy Roemer 1% {5%} / 19% {15%} {-18%}
• Newt Gingrich 26% {25%} [42%] / 57% {59%} [37%] {-31%}

Among Very Conservative

• Rick Perry 75% {31%} / 8% {8%} {+67%}
• Sarah Palin 72% {74%} / 19% {18%} {+53%}
• Herman Cain 55% {51%} / 6% {13%} {+49%}
• Chris Christie 53% {56%} / 7% {7%} {+46%}
• Michele Bachmann 61% {59%} / 17% {8%} {+44%}
• Rudy Giuliani 60% {50%} / 20% {29%} {+40%}
• Rick Santorum 43% {41%} / 13% {11%} {+30%}
• Newt Gingrich 49% {44%} / 32% {37%} {+17%}
• Mitt Romney 48% {56%} / 34% {29%} {+14%}
• Ron Paul 38% {40%} / 36% {30%} {+2%}
• Buddy Roemer 3% {3%} / 13% {14%} {-10%}
• Gary Johnson 2% {2%} / 12% {14%} {-10%}
• Fred Karger 1% {1%} / 11% {13%} {-10%}
• Jon Huntsman 6% {8%} / 30% {21%} {-24%}

Among Somewhat Conservative

• Rudy Giuliani 73% {59%} / 17% {21%} {+56%}
• Rick Perry 66% {21%} / 13% {10%} {+53%}
• Chris Christie 51% {47%} / 8% {8%} {+43%}
• Herman Cain 51% {41%} / 11% {19%} {+40%}
• Mitt Romney 57% {58%} / 30% {23%} {+27%}
• Sarah Palin 56% {57%} / 33% {33%} {+23%}
• Michele Bachmann 47% {43%} / 28% {14%} {+19%}
• Rick Santorum 35% {29%} / 17% {14%} {+18%}
• Newt Gingrich 45% {35%} / 39% {42%} {+6%}
• Ron Paul 37% {39%} / 32% {29%} {+5%}
• Gary Johnson 3% {2%} / 13% {12%} {-10%}
• Fred Karger 2% {3%} / 12% {12%} {-10%}
• Jon Huntsman 13% {12%} / 26% {17%} {-13%}
• Buddy Roemer 1% {3%} / 15% {13%} {-14%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 57% {53%} [61%] / 26% {31%} [19%] {+31%}
• Rudy Giuliani 49% {46%} [62%] / 34% {29%} [18%] {+15%}
• Rick Perry 40% {12%} / 31% {18%} {+9%}
• Herman Cain 24% {25%} [5%] / 15% {33%} [10%] {+9%}
• Jon Huntsman 18% {9%} [7%] / 11% {21%} [6%] {+7%}
• Chris Christie 24% {27%} / 18% {18%} {+6%}
• Fred Karger 4% {3%} / 8% {15%} {-4%}
• Ron Paul 28% {32%} [33%] / 33% {33%} [28%] {-5%}
• Gary Johnson 2% {3%} / 9% {18%} {-7%}
• Buddy Roemer 1% {3%} / 11% {24%} {-10%}
• Rick Santorum 15% {14%} [13%] / 30% {26%} [15%] {-15%}
• Sarah Palin 36% {39%} [40%] / 56% {59%} [49%] {-20%}
• Newt Gingrich 25% {24%} [36%] / 53% {61%} [40%] {-28%}
• Michele Bachmann 24% {25%} [9%] / 52% {30%} [20%] {-28%}

Among Men

• Rick Perry 69% {27%} / 17% {14%} {+52%}
• Herman Cain 55% {48%} [15%] / 13% {23%} [5%] {+42%}
• Rudy Giuliani 63% {48%} [60%] / 24% {31%} [24%] {+39%}
• Chris Christie 51% {51%} / 14% {15%} {+37%}
• Sarah Palin 59% {57%} [63%] / 35% {36%} [31%] {+24%}
• Mitt Romney 56% {56%} [62%] / 34% {31%} [24%] {+22%}
• Michele Bachmann 52% {48%} [37%] / 31% {17%} [15%] {+21%}
• Rick Santorum 40% {34%} [27%] / 26% {21%} [9%] {+14%}
• Newt Gingrich 50% {36%} [57%] / 40% {48%} [26%] {+10%}
• Ron Paul 39% {47%} [56%] / 37% {29%} [20%] {+2%}
• Fred Karger 3% {4%} / 15% {17%} {-12%}
• Gary Johnson 3% {3%} / 17% {17%} {-14%}
• Buddy Roemer 3% {5%} / 18% {19%] {-15%}
• Jon Huntsman 14% {12%} [12%] / 33% {24%} [6%] {-19%}

Among Women

• Rick Perry 60% {20%} / 12% {8%} {+48%}
• Rudy Giuliani 62% {60%} [58%] / 20% {19%} [16%] {+42%}
• Chris Christie 39% {39%} / 7% {8%} {+32%}
• Sarah Palin 58% {63%} [60%] / 30% {29%} [25%] {+28%}
• Herman Cain 37% {34%} [7%] / 9% {17%} [4%] {+28%}
• Mitt Romney 48% {56%} [59%] / 30% {23%} [20%] {+18%}
• Michele Bachmann 44% {42%} [26%] / 26% {14%} [12%] {+18%}
• Rick Santorum 27% {27%} [22%] / 11% {11%} [5%] {+16%}
• Ron Paul 30% {29%} [37%] / 32% {33%} [18%] {-2%}
• Newt Gingrich 33% {38%} [51%] / 39% {39%} [24%] {-6%}
• Gary Johnson 2% {2%} / 8% {12%} {-6%}
• Buddy Roemer 2% {2%} / 10% {13%} {-8%}
• Fred Karger 1% {2%} / 9% {10%} {-8%}
• Jon Huntsman 8% {8%} [5%] / 18% {17%} [2%] {-10%}

Among Birthers (Believe Obama Was NOT Born in U.S.)

• Rick Perry 66% {22%} / 10% {10%} {+56%}
• Sarah Palin 67% {73%} / 23% {21%} {+44%}
• Rudy Giuliani 60% {59%} / 22% {21%} {+38%}
• Herman Cain 44% {41%} / 12% {20%} {+32%}
• Chris Christie 38% {43%} / 12% {8%} {+26%}
• Michele Bachmann 49% {46%} / 25% {13%} {+24%}
• Mitt Romney 49% {56%} / 35% {28%} {+14%}
• Rick Santorum 28% {30%} / 18% {16%} {+10%}
• Ron Paul 37% {41%} / 30% {25%} {+7%}
• Newt Gingrich 40% {43%} / 38% {38%} {+2%}
• Gary Johnson 3% {2%} / 15% {15%} {-12%}
• Buddy Roemer 3% {4%} / 16% {18%} {-13%}
• Fred Karger 1% {3%} / 15% {14%} {-14%}
• Jon Huntsman 7% {8%} / 25% {20%} {-18%}

Among Non-Birthers (Believe Obama WAS Born in U.S.)

• Rudy Giuliani 64% {53%} / 23% {28%} {+41%}
• Rick Perry 62% {28%} / 22% {14%} {+40%}
• Chris Christie 50% {49%} / 14% {16%} {+36%}
• Mitt Romney 60% {59%} / 30% {28%} {+30%}
• Herman Cain 45% {43%} / 16% {20%} {+29%}
• Rick Santorum 38% {33%} / 23% {22%} {+15%}
• Michele Bachmann 41% {43%} / 38% {22%} {+3%}
• Sarah Palin 43% {47%} / 49% {46%} {-6%}
• Jon Huntsman 19% {13%} / 25% {23%} {-6%}
• Ron Paul 34% {38%} / 41% {37%} {-7%}
• Newt Gingrich 40% {33%} / 48% {51%} {-8%}
• Fred Karger 4% {3%} / 12% {14%} {-8%}
• Buddy Roemer 3% {5%} / 14% {17%} {-11%}
• Gary Johnson 3% {3%} / 14% {15%} {-11%}

Believe in Evolution

• Rick Perry 60% / 22% {+38%}
• Mitt Romney 64% / 27% {+37%}
• Chris Christie 48% / 14% {+34%}
• Rudy Giuliani 60% / 27% {+33%}
• Herman Cain 48% / 16% {+32%}
• Michele Bachmann 44% / 39% {+5%}
• Rick Santorum 33% / 28% {+5%}
• Sarah Palin 47% / 47% {0%}
• Ron Paul 37% / 40% {-3%}
• Jon Huntsman 19% / 24% {-5%}
• Fred Karger 4% / 12% {-8%}
• Newt Gingrich 40% / 49% {-9%}
• Gary Johnson 4% / 13% {-9%}
• Buddy Roemer 1% / 17% {-16%}

Do NOT Believe in Evolution

• Rick Perry 69% / 9% {+60%}
• Rudy Giuliani 62% / 19% {+43%}
• Sarah Palin 64% / 26% {+38%}
• Herman Cain 45% / 10% {+35%}
• Chris Christie 44% / 10% {+34%}
• Michele Bachmann 51% / 22% {+29%}
• Rick Santorum 32% / 15% {+17%}
• Mitt Romney 46% / 35% {+11%}
• Newt Gingrich 44% / 35% {+9%}
• Ron Paul 34% / 33% {+1%}
• Buddy Roemer 3% / 13% {-10%}
• Gary Johnson 2% / 13% {-11%}
• Fred Karger 1% / 14% {-13%}
• Jon Huntsman 7% / 26% {-19%}

Do you think Barack Obama was born in the United States?

• Yes 35% {42%}
• No 44% {37%}
• Not sure 21% {21%}

Among Those Who Believe in Evolution

• Yes 51%
• No 32%
• Not sure 18%

Among Those Who Do NOT Believe in Evolution

• Yes 27%
• No 51%
• Not sure 22%

How important to you is it that the Republican Presidential candidate be from the South: very important, somewhat important, or not that important?

• Very important 9%
• Somewhat important 15%
• Not that important 75%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Tea Party?

• Favorable 71%
• Unfavorable 13%

Do you believe in global warming or not?

• Believe in global warming 25%
• Do not 61%

Do you believe in evolution or not?

• Believe in evolution 32%
• Do not 57%

Survey of 750 usual South Carolina Republican primary voters was conducted August 25-28, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 80% {78%} [81%] (77%) Republican; 18% {19%} [18%] (20%) Independent/Other; 1% {3%} [0%] (3%) Democrat. Political ideology: 40% {41%} Very conservative; 39% {36%} Somewhat conservative; 16% {17%} Moderate; 4% {3%} Somewhat liberal; 1% {3%} Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted June 2-5, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-30, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 22-23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (TP) Survey on Political Labels

Rasmussen (TP) Survey on Political Labels

Suppose a candidate was described to you as politically liberal. Would you consider that a positive description, a negative description, or somewhere in between?

• Positive 21% (17%)
• Negative 38% (44%)
• In between 34% (~32%)

Suppose a candidate was described to you as politically progressive. Would you consider that a positive description, a negative description, or somewhere in between?

• Positive 31% (22%)
• Negative 26% (34%)
• In between ~39% (41%)

What about a candidate who was described to you as politically moderate? Would you consider that a positive description, a negative description, or somewhere in between?

• Positive 37%
• Negative 13%
• In between 45%

What if a candidate was described to you as politically conservative? Would you consider that a positive description, a negative description, or somewhere in between?

• Positive 38% (42%)
• Negative 27% (21%)
• In between 30% (36%)

What if a candidate was described to you as being a member of the Tea Party. Would you consider that a positive description, a negative description, or somewhere in between?

• Positive 29% (31%)
• Negative 43% (32%)
• In between 23% (33%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted August 25-26, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 3-4, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

The partisan divided on the Tea Party label is perhaps predictable: 56% of Republicans see it as a positive, while 70% of Democrats think it’s a negative. Voters not affiliated with either party also now regard Tea Party as a negative label by a 42% to 25% margin. 

Fifty-six percent (56%) of non-Tea party members see the label as a negative. 

Several prominent Democrats and their media friends charged the Tea Party with being economic terrorists during the recent congressional debate over raising the debt ceiling for their refusal to accept any tax increases. But just 29% of voters think members of the Tea Party are economic terrorists. 

More voters still think the average Tea Party member has a better handle on America’s problems than the average member of Congress does, but there’s a sharp difference of opinion between Democrats and Republicans. Fifty-eight percent (58%) of Likely GOP Primary voters believe the Tea Party will help Republicans in the 2012 presidential election. 

Republicans continue to strongly dislike the liberal label, while Democrats lukewarmly defend it. Unaffiliated voters view it primarily as a negative or somewhere in between a positive and a negative. 

Progressive, however, is a positive term for a plurality (49%) of Democrats and a negative one for a plurality (45%) of Republicans. Unaffiliateds are closely divided.