Poll Watch: Pew Research 2012 Presidential Survey

Pew Research 2012 Presidential Survey

Among Voters Who've Heard of Candidate

How much of a chance is there that you would vote for ____________ if he/she is a candidate for president in 2012 — is there a good chance, some chance, or no chance?

Mitt Romney

• Good chance 16% (17%)
• Some chance 38% (34%)
• No chance 42% (44%)

Rick Perry

• Good chance 19%
• Some chance 28%
• No chance 47%

Herman Cain

• Good chance 20% (23%)
• Some chance 22% (25%)
• No chance 53% (41%)

Ron Paul

• Good chance 14% (9%)
• Some chance 28% (26%)
• No chance 53% (60%)

Michele Bachmann

• Good chance 14% (14%)
• Some chance 25% (26%)
• No chance 56% (51%)

Rick Santorum

• Good chance 11% (11%)
• Some chance 23% (27%)
• No chance 59% (51%)

Jon Huntsman

• Good chance 9% (8%)
• Some chance 25% (27%)
• No chance 59% (49%)

Newt Gingrich

• Good chance 8% (9%)
• Some chance 23% (24%)
• No chance 66% (63%)

Sarah Palin

• Good chance 13% (14%)
• Some chance 19% (20%)
• No chance 67% (63%)

Name recognition

• Sarah Palin 97%
• Mitt Romney 87%
• Newt Gingrich 87%
• Michele Bachmann 84%
• Ron Paul 76%
• Rick Perry 71%
• Rick Santorum 46%
• Herman Cain 41%
• Jon Huntsman 39%

AMONG REPUBLICANS and GOP-LEANING INDEPENDENTS

Rick Perry

• Good chance 37%
• Some chance 40%
• No chance 17%

Mitt Romney

• Good chance 28%
• Some chance 47%
• No chance 21%

Herman Cain

• Good chance 36%
• Some chance 32%
• No chance 29%

Michele Bachmann

• Good chance 28%
• Some chance 37%
• No chance 31%

Ron Paul

• Good chance 21%
• Some chance 37%
• No chance 37%

Sarah Palin

• Good chance 24%
• Some chance 34%
• No chance 41%

Rick Santorum

• Good chance 20%
• Some chance 34%
• No chance 39%

Jon Huntsman

• Good chance 15%
• Some chance 33%
• No chance 46%

Newt Gingrich

• Good chance 17%
• Some chance 33%
• No chance 48%

Name recognition

• Sarah Palin 99%
• Mitt Romney 94%
• Newt Gingrich 93%
• Michele Bachmann 89%
• Ron Paul 85%
• Rick Perry 80%
• Rick Santorum 53%
• Herman Cain 51%
• Jon Huntsman 44%

Survey of 1,205 registered voters, including a subsample of Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents, was conducted August 17-21, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 25-30, 2011 are in parentheses.