Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey

• Barack Obama 49% (49%) [45%] (47%)
• Mitt Romney 39% (40%) [41%] (41%)

• Barack Obama 51%
• Rick Perry 38%

• Barack Obama 51%
• Michele Bachmann 34%

• Barack Obama 51% (50%)
• Herman Cain 33% (32%)

• Barack Obama 54% (55%) [53%] (53%)
• Sarah Palin 33% (35%) [36%] (37%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 45% of the vote in Iowa. In 2004, George W. Bush received 50% of the vote in IA.

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 47% (51%) [41%] (40%)
• Mitt Romney 34% (32%) [37%] (38%)

• Barack Obama 48%
• Michele Bachmann 31%

• Barack Obama 51%
• Rick Perry 34%

• Barack Obama 48% (50%)
• Herman Cain 29% (23%)

• Barack Obama 51% (61%) [52%] (49%)
• Sarah Palin 31% (24%) [33%] (38%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 41% of the Independent vote in Iowa (33% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 45% of the Independent vote in IA (30% of the electorate).

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 77% (78%) [81%] (76%)
• Barack Obama 8% (9%) [6%] (11%)

• Rick Perry 75%
• Barack Obama 10%

• Michele Bachmann 69%
• Barack Obama 13%

• Herman Cain 69% (70%)
• Barack Obama 13% (10%)

• Sarah Palin 68% (74%) [73%] (67%)
• Barack Obama 17% (13%) [10%] (17%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 90% of the Republican vote in Iowa (33% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 93% of the Republican vote in IA (36% of the electorate).

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 87% (84%) [81%] (86%)
• Mitt Romney 9% (10%) [10%] (9%)

• Barack Obama 88%
• Rick Perry 7%

• Barack Obama 88%
• Michele Bachmann 4%

• Barack Obama 89% (86%)
• Herman Cain 5% (5%)

• Barack Obama 91% (90%) [89%] (91%)
• Sarah Palin 4% (8%) [7%] (6%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 6% of the Democratic vote in Iowa (34% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 8% of the Democratic vote in IA (34% of the electorate).

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 57% (62%) [56%] (58%)
• Mitt Romney 28% (24%) [26%] (29%)

• Barack Obama 62%
• Rick Perry 23%

• Barack Obama 63% (64%)
• Herman Cain 22% (13%)

• Barack Obama 65%
• Michele Bachmann 21%

• Barack Obama 66% (73%) [73%] (68%)
• Sarah Palin 22% (15%) [16%] (24%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 36% of the Moderate vote in Iowa (44% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 40% of the Moderate vote in IA (45% of the electorate).

Among Men

• Barack Obama 46% (45%) [41%] (36%)
• Mitt Romney 41% (43%) [45%] (48%)

• Barack Obama 49%
• Rick Perry 41%

• Barack Obama 47%
• Michele Bachmann 36%

• Barack Obama 50% (45%)
• Herman Cain 36% (38%)

• Barack Obama 53% (51%) [48%] (42%)
• Sarah Palin 34% (41%) [42%] (46%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 47% of the Male vote in Iowa (47% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 52% of the Male vote in IA (46% of the electorate).

Among Women

• Barack Obama 51% (52%) [49%] (56%)
• Mitt Romney 36% (36%) [37%] (35%)

• Barack Obama 53%
• Rick Perry 34%

• Barack Obama 53% (55%)
• Herman Cain 30% (26%)

• Barack Obama 55% (59%) [57%] (62%)
• Sarah Palin 32% (30%) [30%] (29%)

• Barack Obama 55%
• Michele Bachmann 31%

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 43% of the Female vote in Iowa (53% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 49% of the Female vote in IA (54% of the electorate).

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 31% (35%) [36%] (37%) / 53% (47%) [44%] (42%) {-22%}
• Rick Perry 29% / 51% {-22%}
• Herman Cain 24% (20%) / 47% (40%) {-23%}
• Michele Bachmann 26% / 59% {-33%}
• Sarah Palin 27% (29%) [29%] (34%) / 66% (63%) [63%] (59%) {-39%}

Among Democrats

• Mitt Romney 21% (20%) [21%] (16%) / 67% (59%) [63%] (62%) {-46%}
• Herman Cain 10% (7%) / 63% (56%) {-53%}
• Rick Perry 10% / 74% {-64%}
• Michele Bachmann 10% / 82% {-72%}
• Sarah Palin 6% (8%) [6%] (7%) / 89% (89%) [92%] (90%) {-83%}

Among Republicans

• Rick Perry 55% / 24% {+31%}
• Michele Bachmann 48% / 33% {+15%}
• Sarah Palin 51% (59%) [60%] (60%) / 37% (30%) [27%] (28%) {+14%}
• Herman Cain 41% (36%) / 29% (22%) {+12%}
• Mitt Romney 45% (51%) [56%] (59%) / 36% (35%) [23%] (25%) {+9%}

Among Independents

• Herman Cain 22% (16%) / 47% (39%) {-25%}
• Mitt Romney 27% (35%) [33%] (35%) / 55% (46%) [43%] (39%) {-28%}
• Rick Perry 23% / 52% {-29%}
• Michele Bachmann 22% / 60% {-38%}
• Sarah Palin 25% (21%) [25%] (35%) / 68% (70%) [64%] (56%) {-43%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 31% (34%) [30%] (32%) / 49% (44%) [47%] (46%) {-18%}
• Herman Cain 18% (11%) / 50% (42%) {-32%}
• Rick Perry 18% / 61% {-43%}
• Michele Bachmann 16% / 69% {-53%}
• Sarah Palin 16% (12%) [14%] (23%) / 78% (81%) [81%] (71%) {-62%}

Among Men

• Rick Perry 31% / 51% {-20%}
• Herman Cain 27% (25%) / 50% (41%) {-23%}
• Mitt Romney 31% (35%) [40%] (42%) / 55% (49%) [45%] (40%) {-24%}
• Michele Bachmann 26% / 58% {-32%}
• Sarah Palin 29% (34%) [35%] (43%) / 65% (58%) [57%] (49%) {-36%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 30% (35%) [32%] (32%) / 51% (45%) [44%] (45%) {-21%}
• Herman Cain 21% (14%) / 43% (38%) {-22%}
• Rick Perry 26% / 50% {-24%}
• Michele Bachmann 26% / 60% {-34%}
• Sarah Palin 24% (24%) [23%] (26%) / 67% (69%) [68%] (67%) {-43%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 45% (49%) [46%] (50%)
• Disapprove 48% (45%) [48%] (43%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 79% (84%) [82%] (87%)
• Disapprove 14% (12%) [14%] (8%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 10% (9%) [8%] (13%)
• Disapprove 87% (86%) [87%] (82%)

Among Independents

• Approve 43% (52%) [41%] (49%)
• Disapprove 47% (38%) [50%] (40%)

Among Moderates

• Approve 58% (65%) [62%] (64%)
• Disapprove 32% (26%) [30%] (27%)

Among Men

• Approve 42% (45%) [42%] (43%)
• Disapprove 51% (49%) [52%] (51%)

Among Women

• Approve 48% (54%) [49%] (56%)
• Disapprove 45% (41%) [44%] (37%)

Survey of 798 Iowa voters was conducted August 19-21, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 35% (37%) [38%] (37%) Democrat; 32% (34%) [33%] (37%) Republican; 33% (28%) [29%] (25%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 32% (34%) [30%] Moderate; 23% (22%) [22%] Somewhat conservative; 19% (18%) [19%] Somewhat liberal; 17% (17%) [20%] Very conservative; 9% (9%) [8%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 27-30, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 7-9, 2011 are in parentheses.