Poll Watch: Pew Research 2016 Republican Net Favorability Survey

Pew Research 2016 GOP Net Favorability Poll

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Paul Ryan 65% / 15% {+50%}
• Rand Paul 55% / 19% {+36%}
• Marco Rubio 50% / 20% {+30%}
• Ted Cruz 33% / 13% {+20%}
• Chris Christie 47% / 30% {+17%}

Among Tea Party Republicans

• Paul Ryan 81% / 7% {+74%}
• Rand Paul 70% / 12% {+58%}
• Ted Cruz 48% / 9% {+39%}
• Marco Rubio 59% / 23% {+36%} 
• Chris Christie 47% / 35% {+12%}

Among Non-Tea Party Republicans

• Paul Ryan 54% / 21% {+33%}
• Marco Rubio 43% / 18% {+25%}
• Chris Christie 48% / 26% {+22%}
• Rand Paul 43% / 25% {+18%} 
• Ted Cruz 23% / 17% {+6%}

Survey of 497 registered Republican and GOP-leaning Independent voters was conducted July 17-21, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

• Mark Begich (D) 44% (47%)
• Mead Treadwell (R) 40% (39%)

• Mark Begich (D) 46% (47%)
• Dan Sullivan (R) 39% (41%)

• Mark Begich (D) 52% (54%)
• Sarah Palin (R) 40% (38%)

• Mark Begich (D) 55% (58%)
• Joe Miller (R) 32% (30%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mead Treadwell 35% (34%) / 29% (26%) {+6%} 
• Dan Sullivan 31% (37%) / 28% (34%) {+3%}
• Sarah Palin 39% (34%) / 58% (59%) {-19%}
• Joe Miller 19% (20%) / 63% (63%) {-44%}
  

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Begich’s job performance?

• Approve 42% (49%)
• Disapprove 41% (39%)

GOP SENATE PRIMARY

Given the choices of Joe Miller, Sarah Palin, Dan Sullivan, and Mead Treadwell, who would you most like to see as the Republican candidate for Senate next year?

• Sarah Palin 36%
• Mead Treadwell 26%
• Dan Sullivan 15%
• Joe Miller 12%
• Someone else/Not sure 11%

If Sarah Palin didn’t run for the Senate, and the candidates were Joe Miller, Dan Sullivan, and Mead Treadwell, who would you vote for?

• Mead Treadwell 33%
• Dan Sullivan 25%
• Joe Miller 24% 
• Someone else/Not sure 19%

If the candidates for Senate were just Joe Miller and Mead Treadwell, who would you vote for?

• Mead Treadwell 53%
• Joe Miller 30% 
• Not sure 18%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mead Treadwell 50%/ 19% {+31%} 
• Dan Sullivan 42% / 19% {+23%}
• Sarah Palin 56% / 38% {+18%}
• Joe Miller 26% / 53% {-27%}

Survey of 890 Alaska voters and 507 usual Republican primary voters was conducted July 25-28, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points among all voters; +/- 4.4 percentage points among GOP primary voters.  Party ID (among all voters): 32% (32%) Republican; 20% (21%) Democrat; 48% (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology (among all voters): 30% (33%) Moderate; 25% (25%) Somewhat conservative; 20% (19%) Very conservative; 17% (15%) Somewhat liberal; 8% (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Pew Research Survey on Abortion

Pew Research Poll on Abortion

Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases, or illegal in all cases?

• Legal in all cases 20%
• Legal in most cases 34%
• Illegal in most cases 24%
• Illegal in all cases 15%

 

Survey of 1,480 adults was conducted July 17-21, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 National Presidential Survey

PPP (D) 2016 National Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [47%] (46%) {46%} [44%]
• Chris Christie (R) 42% [44%] (42%) {41%} [42%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (50%) {50%} [53%]
• Paul Ryan (R) 44% (43%) {44%} [39%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {49%} [51%]
• Jeb Bush (R) 41% {43%} [37%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [51%] (49%) {49%} [51%]
• Marco Rubio (R) 40% [41%] (42%) {41%} [37%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [51%] (49%)
• Rand Paul (R) 39% [41%] (43%) 

• Chris Christie (R) 45% [49%] (49%) {44%}
• Joe Biden (D) 39% [40%] (40%) {44%}

• Paul Ryan (R) 46% (45%) {45%}
• Joe Biden (D) 43% (48%) {49%}

• Jeb Bush (R) 45% {45%}
• Joe Biden (D) 41% {48%}

• Joe Biden (D) 42% [46%] (46%) {48%}
• Marco Rubio (R) 42% [45%] (44%) {43%}

• Joe Biden (D) 43% [46%] (47%)
• Rand Paul (R) 43% [44%] (43%)

Among Independents

• Chris Christie (R) 41% [42%] (40%) {43%} [47%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 29% [39%] (37%) {35%} [29%]

• Paul Ryan (R) 41% (41%) {44%} [41%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 36% (44%) {42%} [42%]

• Jeb Bush (R) 37% {43%} [35%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 32% {40%} [38%]

• Marco Rubio (R) 40% [39%] (42%) {42%} [39%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 31% [46%] (42%) {40%} [38%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 37% [45%] (43%)
• Rand Paul (R) 34% [43%] (42%) 

Among Moderates

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [60%] (54%) {54%} [49%]
• Chris Christie (R) 28% [27%] (30%) {28%} [29%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 58% (60%) {63%} [67%]
• Paul Ryan (R) 28% (30%) {27%} [23%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53% {63%} [62%]
• Jeb Bush (R) 28% {27%} [24%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 55% [67%] (59%) {59%} [63%]
• Marco Rubio (R) 28% [21%] (29%) {25%} [22%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 61% [67%] (61%)
• Rand Paul (R) 22% [23%] (26%) 

Among Men

• Chris Christie (R) 46% [47%] (46%) {46%} [44%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [43%] (41%) {38%} [37%]

• Paul Ryan (R) 49% (49%) {49%} [42%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (46%) {45%} [48%]

• Jeb Bush (R) 46% {46%} [39%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 38% {44%} [47%]

• Marco Rubio (R) 47% [46%] (46%) {47%} [41%] 
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [47%] (46%) {44%} [47%]

• Rand Paul (R) 44% [46%] (48%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41% [47%] (45%)

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [50%] (51%) {53%} [52%]
• Chris Christie (R) 37% [41%] (37%) {37%} [39%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52% (53%) {55%} [58%]
• Paul Ryan (R) 38% (38%) {39%} [36%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {54%} [54%]
• Jeb Bush (R) 36% {39%} [36%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [54%] (53%) {54%} [55%]
• Marco Rubio (R) 33% [37%] (38%) {35%} [34%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [55%] (54%)
• Rand Paul (R) 34% [37%] (37%)

National survey of 800 registered voters was conducted July 19-21, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 41% [41%] (38%) {42%} [43%] (44%) Democrat; 32% [33%] (34%) {33%} [34%] (32%) Republican; 26% [26%] (28%) {25%} [23%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 27% [31%] (31%) {28%} [29%] (32%) Moderate; 26% [24%] (23%) {25%} [24%] (24%) Somewhat conservative; 21% [17%] (16%) {19%} [17%] (18%) Somewhat liberal; 17% [19%] (19%) {18%} [16%] (15%) Very conservative; 9% [10%] (11%) {11%} [13%] (11%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll 

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?

• Hillary Clinton 52% {63%} [64%] (58%) {57%} [61%] (57%)
• Joe Biden 12% {13%} [18%] (19%) {16%} [12%] (14%)
• Elizabeth Warren 6% {3%} [5%] (8%) {4%} [4%] (6%)
• Kirsten Gillibrand 5% {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%}
• Cory Booker 3%
• Andrew Cuomo 2% {4%} [3%] (3%) {4%} [5%] (5%)
• Brian Schweitzer 2% {1%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
• Mark Warner 1% {3%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (2%)
• Martin O'Malley 1% {2%} [1%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%)
• Someone else/Not sure 17% {10%} [6%] (9%) {10%} [12%] (12%)

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?

• Joe Biden 34% {38%} [49%] (57%) (32%)
• Elizabeth Warren 13% {13%} [11%] (13%) (8%)
• Andrew Cuomo 10% {10%} [10%] (5%) (18%)
• Cory Booker 4% 
• Kirsten Gillibrand 3% {2%} [7%] (4%)
• Martin O'Malley 3% {3%} [1%] (1%) (2%)
• Mark Warner 2% {3%} [3%] (3%) (2%)
• Brian Schweitzer 2% {1%} [2%] (0%) (1%) 
• Someone else/Not sure 29% {26%} [15%] (14%) (32%)

If neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee? 

• Elizabeth Warren 20% {17%} [18%] (21%) {16%} [16%] (9%)
• Andrew Cuomo 11% {25%} [22%] (25%) {19%} [21%] (27%)
• Cory Booker 8%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 5% {5%} [5%] (3%) {5%}
• Brian Schweitzer 4% {1%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) 
• Mark Warner 3% {4%} [5%] (4%) {4%} [3%] (4%)
• Martin O'Malley 2% {5%} [8%] (5%) {7%} [5%] (4%)
• Someone else/Not sure 47% {38%} [36%] (36%) {40%} [45%] (46%)

Survey of 418 Democratic primary voters was conducted July 19-21, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Political ideology: 35% {31%} [30%] (32%) {24%} [32%] (30%) Somewhat liberal; 34% {37%} [39%] (36%) {37%} [32%] (36%) Moderate; 17% {14%} [17%] (20%) {23%} [20%] (16%) Very liberal; 9% {12%} [9%] (9%) {13%} [12%] (13%) Somewhat conservative; 4% {6%} [5%] (3%) {2%} [4%] (5%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll 

Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Bobby Jindal, Susana Martinez, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Rick Santorum, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?

• Rand Paul 16% {14%} [17%] (10%) {5%} [7%] (4%)
• Chris Christie 13% {15%} [15%] (13%) {14%} [14%] (21%)  
• Jeb Bush 13% {15%} [12%] (13%) {14%} [12%] (17%)
• Paul Ryan 13% {9%} [12%] (15%) {16%} [12%] (7%)
• Ted Cruz 12% {7%}
• Marco Rubio 10% {16%} [21%] (22%) {21%} [18%] (10%)  
• Bobby Jindal 4% {3%} [4%] (4%) {3%} (3%)
• Rick Santorum 4% {5%} [5%] [4%] (12%)
• Susana Martinez 2% {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%}
• Someone else/Not sure 13% {15%} [10%] (8%) {7%} [7%] (10%)

Survey of 500 Republican primary voters was conducted July 19-21, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.  Political ideology: 40% {38%} [35%] (41%) {39%} [38%] (41%) Somewhat conservative; 35% {36%} [39%] (41%) {37%} [39%] (36%) Very conservative; 17% {19%} [19%] (14%) {16%} [16%] (16%) Moderate; 5% {5%} [5%] (2%) {5%} [6%] (4%) Somewhat liberal; 3% {2%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (3%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wyoming 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Wyoming 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Rand Paul 19%
• Chris Christie 14%
• Jeb Bush 13%
• Paul Ryan 11%
• Ted Cruz 9%
• Marco Rubio 9%
• Rick Santorum 4%
• Bobby Jindal 3%
• Susana Martinez 1%
• Someone else/Not sure 18%

Survey of 780 GOP primary voters was conducted July 19-21, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Political ideology: 37% Very conservative; 34% Somewhat conservative; 22% Moderate; 6% Somewhat liberal; 1% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wyoming 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Wyoming 2016 Presidential Poll

• Chris Christie (R) 56%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 28%

• Paul Ryan (R) 59%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 32%

• Jeb Bush (R) 58%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 31%

• Rand Paul (R) 58%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 32%

• Marco Rubio (R) 56%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 32%

Survey of 1,203 registered voters was conducted July 19-21, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 62% Republican; 22% Democrat; 16% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 28% Moderate; 28% Very conservative; 27% Somewhat conservative;  13% Somewhat liberal; 4% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

McClatchy-Marist 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Hillary Clinton 63%
• Joe Biden 13%
• Andrew Cuomo 6%
• Martin O'Malley 1%
• Unsure 18%

Survey of 426 registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted July 15-18, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points.

Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

McClatchy-Marist 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Chris Christie 15%
• Paul Ryan 13%
• Marco Rubio 12%
• Jeb Bush 10%
• Rand Paul 9%
• Ted Cruz 7% 
• Rick Perry 4%
• Rick Santorum 2%
• Scott Walker 2%
• Bobby Jindal 1%
• Susana Martinez 1%
• Unsure 25%

Survey of 357 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted July 15-18, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points.

Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 National Presidential Survey

McClatchy-Marist 2016 National Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (46%)
• Chris Christie (R) 41% (43%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (54%)
• Jeb Bush (R) 40% (38%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (52%)
• Rand Paul (R) 38% (41%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (52%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 38% (40%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
• Paul Ryan (R) 37%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
• Rick Perry (R) 36%

National survey of 491 registered voters was conducted July 15-18, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 34% (35%) Democrat; 25% (28%) Republican; 37% (35%) Independent.  Results from the poll conducted March 25-27, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wyoming 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

PPP (D) Wyoming 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• Mike Enzi 54%
• Liz Cheney 26%
• Not sure 19%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mike Enzi's job performance?

• Approve 66%
• Disapprove 24%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Liz Cheney?

• Favorable 40%
• Unfavorable 34%

Survey of 780 GOP primary voters was conducted July 19-21, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Political ideology: 37% Very conservative; 34% Somewhat conservative; 22% Moderate; 6% Somewhat liberal; 1% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: Pew Research Survey on the George Zimmerman Trial

Pew Research Poll on the George Zimmerman Trial

As you may know, a jury found George Zimmerman not guilty in the death of Florida teen Trayvon Martin. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with this verdict?

Among Registered Voters

• Satisfied 43%
• Dissatisfied 40% 

Not Registered to Vote

• Satisfied 28%
  
• Dissatisfied 47%

Among Whites

• Approve 49%
• Disapprove 30%

Among Blacks

• Approve 5%
• Disapprove 86%

Among Men

• Approve 44%
• Disapprove 36%

Among Women

• Approve 35%
• Disapprove 48%

Among Republicans

• Approve 61%
• Disapprove 20%

Among Tea Party Republicans

• Approve 80%
• Disapprove 7%

Among Democrats

• Approve 22%
• Disapprove 68%

Among Independents

• Approve 42%
• Disapprove 37%

Among Liberals

• Approve 22%
• Disapprove 64%

Among Moderates

• Approve 37%
• Disapprove 45%

Among Conservatives

• Approve 54%
• Disapprove 26%

Among College Graduates

• Approve 44%
• Disapprove 38%

High School Education or Less

• Approve 35%
• Disapprove 48%

National survey of 1,480 adults was conducted July 17-21, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Washington Post/ABC News Survey on the George Zimmerman Trial

Washington Post/ABC News Poll on the George Zimmerman Trial

Do you approve or disapprove of the jury’s verdict last week finding George Zimmerman not guilty in Trayvon Martin’s death?

• Approve 41%
• Disapprove 41% 
  

Among Whites

• Approve 51%
• Disapprove 31%

Among Blacks

• Approve 9%
• Disapprove 86%

Among Men

• Approve 47%
• Disapprove 33%

Among Women

• Approve 36%
• Disapprove 48%

Among Republicans

• Approve 65%
• Disapprove 20%

Among Democrats

• Approve 22%
• Disapprove 62%

Among Independents

• Approve 44%
• Disapprove 35%

Among Liberals

• Approve 22%
• Disapprove 57%

Among Moderates

• Approve 44%
• Disapprove 40%

Among Conservatives

• Approve 52%
• Disapprove 34%

Among College Graduates

• Approve 54%
• Disapprove 32%

High School Education or Less

• Approve 31%
• Disapprove 47%

National survey of 1,002 adults was conducted July 18-21, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Iowa 2016 Presidential Poll

• Chris Christie (R) 41%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41%

• Chris Christie (R) 49%
• Joe Biden (D) 32%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
• Scott Walker (R) 39%

• Scott Walker (R) 42%
• Joe Biden (D) 39%

Among Independents

• Chris Christie (R) 37%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 36%

• Chris Christie (R) 52%
• Joe Biden (D) 21%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
• Scott Walker (R) 35%

• Scott Walker (R) 41%
• Joe Biden (D) 33%

Among Men

• Chris Christie (R) 45%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 35%

• Chris Christie (R) 52%
• Joe Biden (D) 27%

• Scott Walker (R) 44%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40%

• Scott Walker (R) 46%
• Joe Biden (D) 34%

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
• Chris Christie (R) 37%

• Chris Christie (R) 45%
• Joe Biden (D) 36%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
• Scott Walker (R) 34%

• Joe Biden (D) 44%
• Scott Walker (R) 37%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris Christie 42% / 16% {+26%}
• Hillary Clinton 52% / 41% {+11%}
• Scott Walker 17% / 17% {0%}
• Joe Biden 38% / 47% {-9%}
  

Among Independents

• Chris Christie 43% / 15% {+28%}
• Hillary Clinton 50% / 40% {+10%}
• Scott Walker 16% / 18% {-2%}
• Joe Biden 31% / 51% {-20%}
  

Among Men

• Chris Christie 46% / 17% {+29%}
• Scott Walker 22% / 20% {+2%}
• Hillary Clinton 45% / 49% {-4%}
• Joe Biden 35% / 54% {-19%}
  

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton 58% / 33% {+25%}
• Chris Christie 39% / 14% {+25%}
• Joe Biden 41% / 40% {+1%}
• Scott Walker 11% / 14% {-3%}

Survey of 1,256 registered voters was conducted July 15-17, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points.  Party ID: 29% Democrat; 27% Republican; 40% Independent; 4% Other/Don't know. Gender: 51% Female; 49% Male.  Race: 93% White; 3% Black; 1% Hispanic; 4% Other/Don't know.

Poll Watch: TheRun2016/cygnal (R) Iowa Democratic Caucus Survey

TheRun2016/cygnal (R) Iowa Democratic Caucus Poll

• Hillary Clinton 55.6%
• Joe Biden 7.8%
• Elizabeth Warren 5.0%
• Andrew Cuomo 1.1%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 0.5%
• Martin O'Malley 0.2%
• Unsure 29.7%

Survey of 2,175 Iowa Democrats was conducted July 10-12, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.1 percentage points.  Political ideology: 44.0% Somewhat liberal; 23.1% Very liberal; 22.6% Independent; 6.1% Somewhat conservative; 4.1% Very conservative.

Inside the numbers: 

Of those voters who believe the country is definitely going in the right direction, Clinton’s support spiked to 65.9%. Democratic voters with a high propensity to participate in Primaries gave Clinton her lowest support numbers at 45.2%. Younger voters between 18-29 gave Clinton her highest support with 69.1% saying they would support her.

Poll Watch: New England College/NH Journal New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

New England College/NH Journal New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 65% (65%)
• Joe Biden 8% (10%)
• Jeanne Shaheen 6%
• Andrew Cuomo 1.5% (4%)
• Martin O'Malley 0.6% (0%)
• Unsure 19% (13%)
  

Survey of 333 registered Democratic primary voters was conducted July, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 5.37 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: New England College/NH Journal New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

New England College/NH Journal New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Rand Paul 19% (15%)
• Chris Christie 17.5% (12%)
• Marco Rubio 13% (17%)
• Paul Ryan 9.5% (12%)
• Kelly Ayotte 8.6%
• Rick Santorum 5.5% (4%)
• Bobby Jindal 2.5% (2%)
• Rick Perry 2.1%
• Scott Walker 1.8%
• Unsure 20% (17%)
  

Survey of 326 registered GOP primary voters was conducted July, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 5.42 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Viewpoint Florida Survey on the George Zimmerman Trial

Viewpoint Florida Poll on the George Zimmerman Trial

Do you think that George Zimmerman should have been found guilty in the death of Trayvon Martin, or do you think that the jury's 'not guilty' verdict was correct?

• Not guilty verdict was correct 56%
• Should have been found guilty 38%

Among Whites

• Not guilty verdict was correct 68%
• Should have been found guilty 24%

Among Blacks

• Not guilty verdict was correct 7%
• Should have been found guilty 91%

Among Republicans

• Not guilty verdict was correct 79%
• Should have been found guilty 17%

Among Democrats

• Not guilty verdict was correct 29%
• Should have been found guilty 63%

Now that George Zimmerman's trial is over, there has been some discussion of Zimmerman facing federal hate crime charges. Generally speaking, do you think that George Zimmerman should be charged for a hate crime?

• Should face federal hate crime charges 30%
• Should not face federal hate crime charges 63%

Among Whites

• Should face federal hate crime charges 18%
• Should not face federal hate crime charges 76%

Among Blacks 

• Should face federal hate crime charges 76%
• Should not face federal hate crime charges 9%

Among Republicans

• Should face federal hate crime charges 13%
• Should not face federal hate crime charges 84%

Among Democrats

• Should face federal hate crime charges 52%
• Should not face federal hate crime charges 38%

Which of the following statements best describes the George Zimmerman case to you? This was a clear act of racially motivated violence, this was an act of murder but not racially motivated, or was it a justified act of self-­defense?

• Act of self­‐defense 53%
• Act of racially motivated discrimination 27%
• Act of murder without racial motivation 13%

Among Whites

• Act of self­‐defense 63%
• Act of racially motivated discrimination 16%
• Act of murder without racial motivation 11%

Among Blacks 

• Act of self­‐defense 7%
• Act of racially motivated discrimination 72%
• Act of murder without racial motivation 18%

Among Republicans

• Act of self­‐defense 75%
• Act of racially motivated discrimination 11%
• Act of murder without racial motivation 8%

Among Democrats

• Act of self­‐defense 30%
• Act of racially motivated discrimination 48%
• Act of murder without racial motivation 16%

Which of the following statements best describes your views on Florida’s Stand Your Ground Law? The Stand Your Ground Law is fine the way it is, The Stand Your Ground Law should be changed and restricted, or The Stand Your Ground Law should be removed entirely.

• Fine the way it is 50% 
• Should be changed and restricted 31% 
• Should be removed entirely 13% 

Among Whites

• Fine the way it is 60% 
• Should be changed and restricted 25% 
• Should be removed entirely 10%

Among Blacks 

• Fine the way it is 15% 
• Should be changed and restricted 56% 
• Should be removed entirely 25%

Among Republicans

• Fine the way it is 72% 
• Should be changed and restricted 16% 
• Should be removed entirely 6%

Among Democrats

• Fine the way it is 27% 
• Should be changed and restricted 47% 
• Should be removed entirely 22%

In your opinion, have race relations in the United States gotten better or worse since Barack Obama took office almost 5 years ago, or have they stayed about the same?

• Gotten better 10%
• Gotten worse 53%
• Stayed about the same 35%

Among Whites

• Gotten better 10%
• Gotten worse 56%
• Stayed about the same 32%

Among Blacks 

• Gotten better 12%
• Gotten worse 38%
• Stayed about the same 45%

Among Republicans

• Gotten better 4%
• Gotten worse 70%
• Stayed about the same 24%

Among Democrats

• Gotten better 17%
• Gotten worse 35%
• Stayed about the same 45%

Survey of 900 registered Florida voters was conducted July 18, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.27 percentage points. Party ID: 42% Democrat; 39% Republican; 18% Independent/Other. Gender: 56% Female; 44% Male. Race: 71% White; 15% Black; 10% Hispanic; 5% Other. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Wyoming 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Harper Polling (R) Wyoming 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Paul Ryan 15%
• Rand Paul 12%
• Chris Christie 10%
• Jeb Bush 10%
• Marco Rubio 10%
• Ted Cruz 5%
• Rick Santorum 3%
• Bobby Jindal 2%
• Scott Walker 1%
• Not sure 33%

Survey of 422 likely GOP primary voters was conducted July 17-18, 2013 for Conservative Intel. The margin of error is +/- 4.77 percentage points. Political ideology: 44% Very conservative; 40% Somewhat conservative; 12% Moderate; 1% Liberal.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Wyoming 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

Harper Polling (R) Wyoming 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• Mike Enzi 55%
• Liz Cheney 21%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mike Enzi 76% / 6% {+70%}
• Liz Cheney 45% / 15% {+30%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mike Enzi is handling his job as Senator?

• Approve 73%
• Disapprove 9%

Do you believe Mike Enzi has done enough to deserve reelection or should we give someone else a chance?

• Deserves reelection 48%
• Someone new 28%
• Not sure 24%

Survey of 422 likely GOP primary voters was conducted July 17-18, 2013 for Conservative Intel. The margin of error is +/- 4.77 percentage points. Political ideology: 44% Very conservative; 40% Somewhat conservative; 12% Moderate; 1% Liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Virginia 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey

PPP (D) Virginia 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Poll

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?

• Hillary Clinton 51% (56%)
• Joe Biden 14% (14%)
• Mark Warner 11% (11%)
• Elizabeth Warren 6% (3%) 
• Cory Booker 4%
• Martin O'Malley 3% (1%)
• Andrew Cuomo 2% (3%)
• Brian Schweitzer 1% (0%)
• Kirsten Gillibrand 0% (1%)
• Someone else/Not sure 8% (10%)

Survey of 357 registered Democratic primary voters was conducted July 11-14, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points. Ideology: 33% (34%) Moderate; 33% (32%) Somewhat liberal; 23% (24%) Very liberal; 8% (7%) Somewhat conservative; 3% (2%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted May 24-26, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Virginia 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Survey

PPP (D) Virginia 2016 GOP Presidential Primary Poll

Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Bobby Jindal, Bob McDonnell, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Rick Santorum, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?  

• Chris Christie 16% (15%)
• Jeb Bush 16% (14%)
• Rand Paul 15% (10%)
• Marco Rubio 12% (17%)
• Paul Ryan 11% (8%)
• Ted Cruz 9% (8%)
• Bob McDonnell 8% (12%)
• Bobby Jindal 4% (3%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (2%)
• Someone else/Not sure 7% (11%)

Survey of 415 registered GOP primary voters was conducted July 11-14, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points.  Ideology: 38% (33%) Very conservative; 37% (38%) Somewhat conservative; 22% (22%) Moderate; 2% (2%) Very liberal; 1% (4%) Somewhat liberal. Results from the poll conducted May 24-26, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: TheRun2016/cygnal (R) Iowa Republican Caucus Survey

TheRun2016/cygnal (R) Iowa GOP Caucus Poll

• Marco Rubio 11.4%
• Rand Paul 10.5%
• Paul Ryan 9.3%
• Jeb Bush 8.7%
• Chris Christie 7.7%
• Rick Santorum 6.7%
• Ted Cruz 6.1%
• Scott Walker 2.1%
• Bobby Jindal 1.3%
• Unsure 36.3%

Survey of 1,705 Iowa Republicans was conducted July 10-12, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.37 percentage points.  Political ideology: 41.9% Very conservative; 39.6% Somewhat conservative; 14.5% Independent; 2.8% Somewhat liberal; 1.2% Very liberal. 

Inside the numbers: 

Paul performed best among women with 14 percent while Rubio grabbed the most males with 13.4 percent. Former Gov. Jeb Bush was first among those with a high propensity to participate in the caucus.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

• Terry McAuliffe (D) 43% [43%] (38%) {38%} [40%] (41%) 
• Ken Cuccinelli (R) 39% [38%] (40%) {38%} [39%] (37%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Terry McAuliffe 30% [22%] (20%) {23%} [23%] (17%) / 19% [17%] (16%) {16%} [16%] (13%) {+11%}
• Ken Cuccinelli 31% [31%] (30%) {30%} [33%] (29%) / 30% [24%] (24%) {25%} [25%] (24%) {+1%}

Survey of 1,030 registered voters was conducted July 11-15, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 31% Democrat; 26% Republican; 36% Independent; 8% Other/Don't know. Gender: 53% Female; 47% Male.  Race: 71% White; 17% Black; 4% Hispanic; 9% Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted May 8-13, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 20-25, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 14-18, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 4-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-12, 2012 are in parentheses. 

Poll Watch: Huffington Post/YouGov Survey on the George Zimmerman Trial

Huffington Post/YouGov Poll on the George Zimmerman Trial

If you had been a member of the jury, would you have voted to find George Zimmerman guilty of murder, guilty of manslaughter, not guilty, or would you have been unsure?

• Not guilty 41%
• Guilty of manslaughter 23%
• Guilty of murder 15%
• Not sure 21%
  

Among Whites

• Not guilty 46%
• Guilty of manslaughter 22%
• Guilty of murder 12%
• Not sure 20%

Among Blacks

• Guilty of manslaughter 39%
• Guilty of murder 36%
• Not guilty 14%
• Not sure 11%

The jury found George Zimmerman not guilty. Which word best describes how you feel about the verdict?

• Pleased 22%
• Relieved 19%
• Disappointed 27%
• Angry 13%
• Not sure 19%

Among Whites

• Pleased 25%
• Relieved 21%
• Disappointed 23%
• Angry 12%
• Not sure 19%

Among Blacks 

• Pleased 5%
• Relieved 11%
• Disappointed 53%
• Angry 25%
• Not sure 6%

In the way they covered the case, would you say the news media were biased in favor of Zimmerman, biased against Zimmerman, or did they not show any bias one way or the other?

• Biased in favor of Zimmerman 12%
• Biased against Zimmerman 48%
• Not biased one way or the other 18%
• Not sure 22%

National survey of 1,000 adults was conducted July 15-16, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on the George Zimmerman Trial

Rasmussen (R) Poll on the George Zimmerman Trial

On Saturday, a jury found George Zimmerman not guilty of murder in the shooting death of Florida teenager Trayvon Martin. Do you agree or disagree with the jury’s verdict?

• Agree 48%
• Disagree 34%
• Not sure 18%
  

From what you know, were Zimmerman’s actions that led to the death of Trayvon Martin motivated primarily by racism or primarily by a concern about burglaries in the neighborhood?

• Concern about burglaries in neighborhood 54%
• Racism 24%
• Not sure 22%

National survey of 1,000 adults was conducted July 15-16, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Virginia 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
• Chris Christie (R) 40%

• Chris Christie (R) 46%
• Joe Biden (D) 38%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
• Rand Paul (R) 37%

• Joe Biden (D) 47%
• Rand Paul (R) 40%

Among Independents

• Chris Christie (R) 42%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39%

• Chris Christie (R) 51%
• Joe Biden (D) 29%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
• Rand Paul (R) 37%

• Joe Biden (D) 42%
• Rand Paul (R) 42%

Among Men

• Chris Christie (R) 47%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 37%

• Chris Christie (R) 51%
• Joe Biden (D) 32%

• Rand Paul (R) 48%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42%

• Rand Paul (R) 49%
• Joe Biden (D) 38%

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
• Chris Christie (R) 34%

• Joe Biden (D) 43%
• Chris Christie (R) 42%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
• Rand Paul (R) 28%

• Joe Biden (D) 55%
• Rand Paul (R) 33%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris Christie 55% / 17% {+38%}
• Hillary Clinton 58% / 37% {+21%}
• Rand Paul 36% / 32% {+4%}
• Joe Biden 47% / 44% {+3%}
  

Among Independents

• Chris Christie 61% / 15% {+46%}
• Hillary Clinton 58% / 36% {+22%}
• Rand Paul 40% / 30% {+10%}
• Joe Biden 44% / 48% {-4%}
  

Among Men

• Chris Christie 56% / 20% {+36%}
• Rand Paul 45% / 28% {+17%}
• Hillary Clinton 48% / 48% {0%}
• Joe Biden 40% / 51% {-11%}
  

Among Women

• Chris Christie 55% / 14% {+41%}
• Hillary Clinton 66% / 28% {+38%}
• Joe Biden 53% / 37% {+16%}
• Rand Paul 28% / 36% {-8%}

Among Whites

• Chris Christie 60% / 17% {+43%}
• Rand Paul 42% / 32% {+10%}
• Hillary Clinton 51% / 44% {+7%}
• Joe Biden 39% / 52% {-13%}

Among Blacks

• Hillary Clinton 91% / 4% {+87%}
• Joe Biden 75% / 15% {+60%}
• Chris Christie 42% / 15% {+27%}
• Rand Paul 6% / 37% {-31%}

Survey of 1,030 registered voters was conducted July 11-15, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 31% Democrat; 26% Republican; 36% Independent; 8% Other/Don't know. Gender: 53% Female; 47% Male.  Race: 71% White; 17% Black; 4% Hispanic; 9% Other/Don't know.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

• Terry McAuliffe (D) 41% [42%] (46%)
• Ken Cuccinelli (R) 37% [37%] (41%)
• Robert Sarvis (L) 7%
• Undecided 15% [21%] (13%) 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Terry McAuliffe 34% [29%] (25%) / 36% [33%] (26%) {-2%}
• Ken Cuccinelli 32% [32%] (29%) / 47% [44%] (45%) {-15%}

The candidates for Lieutenant Governor are Republican E.W. Jackson and Democrat Ralph Northam. If the election was today, who would you vote for? 

• Ralph Northam 42% [35%]
• E.W. Jackson 35% [29%]
• Not sure 23% [36%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Ralph Northam 16% [7%] / 19% [10%] {-3%}
• E.W. Jackson 15% [9%]  / 28% [20%] {-13%}

Survey of 601 registered Virginia voters was conducted July 11-14, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.  Party ID: 37% [34%] (35%) Democrat; 32% [33%] (32%) Republican; 31% [33%] (32%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% [31%] (32%) Moderate; 23% [23%] (24%) Somewhat conservative; 18% [17%] (17%) Very conservative; 17% [17%] (17%) Somewhat liberal; 12% [12%] (10%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted May 24-26, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 4-6, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University New Jersey 2013 Democratic Senatorial Special Election Survey

Monmouth New Jersey 2013 Democratic Senate Primary Poll

• Cory Booker 49%
• Frank Pallone 12%
• Rush Holt 8%
• Sheila Oliver 3%
• Undecided (vol) 28%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Cory Booker 64%/ 8% {+56%}
• Frank Pallone 33% / 3% {+30%} 
• Rush Holt 24% / 5% {+19%}
• Sheila Oliver 17% / 7% {+10%}

Is your general opinion of Governor Chris Christie favorable or unfavorable?

• Favorable 43%
• Unfavorable 42% 
  

Survey of 403 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted July 11-14, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [45%]
• Chris Christie (R) 40% [37%]

• Chris Christie (R) 46% [43%]
• Joe Biden (D) 35% [40%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {49%}
• Rand Paul (R) 38% {41%}

• Joe Biden (D) 42% {39%}
• Rand Paul (R) 42% {43%}

Among Independents

• Chris Christie (R) 41% [36%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [36%] 

• Chris Christie (R) 49% [44%]
• Joe Biden (D) 26% [32%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {41%}
• Rand Paul (R) 41% {45%}

• Rand Paul (R) 48% {50%}
• Joe Biden (D) 32% {27%}

Among Men

• Chris Christie (R) 43% [41%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [38%]

• Chris Christie (R) 49% [45%]
• Joe Biden (D) 31% [39%]

• Rand Paul (R) 45% {49%}
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {40%}

• Rand Paul (R) 48% {49%}
• Joe Biden (D) 37% {35%}

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [51%]
• Chris Christie (R) 36% [32%]

• Chris Christie (R) 43% [41%]
• Joe Biden (D) 39% [42%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 58% {57%}
• Rand Paul (R) 32% {33%}

• Joe Biden (D) 46% {43%}
• Rand Paul (R) 36% {38%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris Christie 45% / 18% {+27%}
• Hillary Clinton 55% {52%} (61%) / 38% {40%} (34%) {+17%}
• Rand Paul 31% {32%} / 28% {24%} {+3%}
• Joe Biden 38% {37%} (46%) / 44% {44%} (41%) {-6%}
  

Among Independents

• Chris Christie 46% / 19% {+27%}
• Rand Paul 37% / 25% {+12%}
• Hillary Clinton 49% / 42% {+7%}
• Joe Biden 31% / 49% {-18%}
  

Among Men

• Chris Christie 46% / 22% {+24%}
• Rand Paul 39% / 28% {+11%}
• Hillary Clinton 48% / 43% {+5%}
• Joe Biden 36% / 49% {-13%}
  

Among Women

• Chris Christie 45% / 14% {+31%}
• Hillary Clinton 61% / 32% {+29%}
• Joe Biden 40% / 40% {0%}
• Rand Paul 24% / 29% {-5%}

Among Whites

• Chris Christie 49% / 18% {+31%}
• Rand Paul 37% / 26% {+11%}
• Hillary Clinton 48% / 45% {+3%}
• Joe Biden 32% / 53% {-21%}

Among Blacks

• Hillary Clinton 88% / 6% {+82%}
• Joe Biden 77% / 6% {+71%}
• Chris Christie 36% / 15% {+21%}
• Rand Paul 10% / 41% {-31%}

Among College Graduates

• Chris Christie 58% / 19% {+39%}
• Hillary Clinton 60% / 35% {+25%}
• Joe Biden 46% / 43% {+3%}
• Rand Paul 32% / 39% {-7%}

Among Non-College Graduates 

• Chris Christie 39% / 17% {+22%}
• Hillary Clinton 52% / 39% {+13%}
• Rand Paul 31% / 23% {+8%}
• Joe Biden 34% / 45% {-11%}

Survey of 2,014 registered voters was conducted June 28 - July 8, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points.  Party ID: 32% {33%} [34%] (33%) Democrat; 23% {27%} [25%] (24%) Republican; 35% {33%} [34%] (34%) Independent; 9% {7%} [7%] (9%) Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted May 22-28, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27 - March 4, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 4, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
• Chris Christie (R) 36%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
• Paul Ryan (R) 40%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
• Rand Paul (R) 37%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
• Marco Rubio (R) 35%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
• Jeb Bush (R) 36%

Among Men

• Chris Christie (R) 43%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 38%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
• Paul Ryan (R) 45%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
• Rand Paul (R) 42%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
• Marco Rubio (R) 41%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
• Jeb Bush (R) 42%

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
• Chris Christie (R) 31%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
• Paul Ryan (R) 36%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
• Rand Paul (R) 33%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
• Marco Rubio (R) 30%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
• Jeb Bush (R) 31%

Survey of 668 registered Iowa voters was conducted July 5-7, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 38% Democrat; 37% Republican; 25% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 32% Moderate; 21% Somewhat conservative; 19% Somewhat liberal; 18% Very conservative; 9% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?

• Hillary Clinton 71% [68%] (58%) {60%} [62%] (44%)
• Joe Biden 12% [21%] (17%) {18%} [14%] (13%)
• Elizabeth Warren 5% [2%] (3%) {3%} [4%]
• Kirsten Gillibrand 2% [0%]
• Mark Warner 2% [2%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (1%) 
• Cory Booker 1% (3%)
• Andrew Cuomo 1% [2%] (6%) {3%} [4%] (7%)
• Martin O'Malley 1% [0%] (0%) {0%} [1%]
• Brian Schweitzer 0% [0%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%)
• Someone else/Not sure 5% [3%] (13%) {14%} [9%] (21%)

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?

• Joe Biden 51% [58%] (40%) {36%} [28%]
• Elizabeth Warren 16% [7%] (9%) {8%} [10%]
• Andrew Cuomo 9% [13%] (14%) {14%} [14%]
• Cory Booker 6%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 2% [6%]
• Martin O'Malley 2% [0%] (4%) {2%} [0%] 
• Mark Warner 1% [2%] (1%) {3%} [1%]
• Brian Schweitzer 0% [1%] (1%) {4%} [2%]
• Someone else/Not sure 13% [11%] (28%) {34%} [36%]

If neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee?

• Elizabeth Warren 20% [17%] (13%) {11%} [13%]
• Andrew Cuomo 18% [26%] (30%) {20%} [17%]
• Cory Booker 12%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 7% [5%]
• Martin O'Malley 4% [8%] (3%) {2%} [3%] 
• Brian Schweitzer 3% [2%] (2%) {4%} [4%]
• Mark Warner 2% [2%] (2%) {6%} [1%]
• Someone else/Not sure 33% [37%] (46%) {53%} [47%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 87% [90%] (86%) {90%} [88%] / 7% [5%] (11%) {6%} [6%] {+80%}
• Joe Biden 80% [84%] (85%) {79%} [76%] / 8% [9%] (15%) {11%} [6%] {+72%}
• Elizabeth Warren 41% [45%] (37%) {30%} [31%] / 8% [8%] (11%) {10%} [8%] {+33%}
• Andrew Cuomo 34% [35%] (38%) {26%} [26%] / 15% [13%] (16%) {19%} [17%] {+19%}
• Cory Booker 27% / 9% {+18%}
• Kirsten Gillibrand 22% [14%] / 11% [6%] {+11%}
• Martin O'Malley 12% [8%] (9%) {4%} [6%] / 6% [6%] (13%) {8%} [7%] {+6%}
• Brian Schweitzer 10% [9%] (12%) {5%} [7%] / 5% [5%] (7%) {10%} [9%] {+5%}
• Mark Warner 14% [10%] (12%) {10%} [10%] / 10% [11%] (11%) {10%} [11%] {+4%}

Survey of 260 Iowa Democrats was conducted July 5-7, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 6.1 percentage points.  Political ideology: 37% [33%] (32%) {37%} [36%] (33%) Somewhat liberal; 35% [33%] (35%) {38%} [32%] (37%) Moderate; 18% [26%] (20%) {14%} [21%] (14%) Very liberal; 7% [6%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (11%) Somewhat conservative; 2% [2%] (5%) {3%} [4%] (4%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Rand Paul 18% (15%) {5%} [11%] (9%)
• Chris Christie 16% (12%) {12%} [16%] (15%)
• Paul Ryan 15% (10%) {12%} [6%] (5%)  
• Jeb Bush 14% (14%) {11%} [8%] (10%)
• Marco Rubio 11% (16%) {12%} [10%] (7%)
• Ted Cruz 10%
• Rick Santorum 6% {10%} [17%] (16%)
• Bobby Jindal 2% (3%)
• Susana Martinez 1% (4%)
• Someone else/Not sure 7% (7%) {8%} [8%] (10%)

Among Men

• Rand Paul 21% (14%) {6%} [16%] (10%)
• Chris Christie 17% (12%) {14%} [15%] (17%)
• Jeb Bush 13% (16%) {11%} [8%] (9%)
• Ted Cruz 13%
• Paul Ryan 11% (10%) {7%} [8%] (3%)  
• Marco Rubio 10% (17%) {15%} [8%] (9%)
• Rick Santorum 5% {10%} [17%] (19%)
• Bobby Jindal 4% (2%)
• Susana Martinez 1% (5%)
• Someone else/Not sure 4% (6%) {8%} [5%] (11%)

Among Women

• Paul Ryan 19% (10%) {17%} [5%] (8%)
• Chris Christie 16% (11%) {10%} [16%] (13%)
• Jeb Bush 15% (12%) {11%} [8%] (12%)
• Rand Paul 14% (16%) {5%} [5%] (8%)
• Marco Rubio 12% (16%) {10%} [11%] (4%)  
  
• Rick Santorum 7% {11%} [17%] (14%) 
• Ted Cruz 7%
• Bobby Jindal 0% (5%)
• Susana Martinez 0% (2%)
• Someone else/Not sure 10% (8%) {9%} [10%] (10%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Paul Ryan 68% (63%) {83%} [49%] (44%) / 12% (16%) {13%} [14%] (8%) {+56%}
• Rand Paul 60% (55%) {48%} [49%] (54%) / 15% (19%) {28%} [29%] (15%) {+45%}
• Rick Santorum 57% {64%} [65%] (68%) / 15% {18%} [22%] (17%) {+42%}
• Jeb Bush 58% (55%) {60%} [53%] (62%) / 17% (17%) {11%} [19%] (9%) {+41%}  
• Marco Rubio 54% (54%) {59%} [57%] (46%) / 14% (13%) {11%} [13%] (7%) {+40%}
• Bobby Jindal 42% (43%) / 14% (11%) {+28%} 
• Chris Christie 45% (36%) {55%} [57%] (50%) / 27% (33%) {21%} [17%] (16%) {+18%}
• Ted Cruz 27% / 12% {+15%}
• Susana Martinez 18% (18%) / 12% (16%) {+6%} 

Survey of 250 Republican voters was conducted July 5-7, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 6.2 percentage points.  Political ideology: 45% (43%) {36%} [37%] (46%) Very conservative; 33% (31%) {39%} [40%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 16% (21%) {19%} [16%] (14%) Moderate; 5% (5%) {3%} [6%] (3%) Somewhat liberal; 1% (1%) {3%} [1%] (2%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 1-3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

• Chris Christie (R) 61% (59%) {58%} [60%] (62%) {63%} [61%] (49%)
• Barbara Buono (D) 29% (29%) {26%} [25%] (25%) {22%} [23%] (33%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris Christie 66% (63%) {66%} [69%] (69%) {69%} [67%] {52%} / 27% (27%) {24%} [22%] (22%) {21%} [22%] {42%} {+39%}
• Barbara Buono 25% (18%) {12%} [10%] (8%) {8%} [8%] / 29% (23%) {9%} [10%] (8%) {9%} [7%] {-4%}

Do you feel that Chris Christie deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

• Yes/Deserves 66% (65%) {66%} [66%] (71%) {68%} [67%] (52%)
• No/Does not 26% (28%) {26%} [25%] (23%) {24%} [25%] (40%)

Survey of 1,068 New Jersey voters was conducted July 2-7, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% (34%) {35%} [33%] (33%) {35%} [36%] (37%) {33%} Democrat; 23% (23%) {23%} [24%] (25%) {23%} [23%] (25%) {24%} Republican; 35% (37%) {37%} [37%] (36%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {37%} Independent; 9% (7%) {5%} [7%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {6%} Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted June 7-9, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 19-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 13-17, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-14, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Quinnipiac New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as Governor?

• Approve 68% (69%) {67%} [70%] (74%) {74%} [72%] (56%) {53%} [54%] (57%) {59%} [55%] (53%) {56%} [58%] (47%) {44%} [47%] (52%) {51%} [51%] (44%)
• Disapprove 26% (27%) {24%} [23%] (22%) {21%} [21%] (38%) {42%} [39%] (38%) {36%} [38%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (40%) {38%} [36%] (43%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 51% (41%) {46%} [48%] (56%) {56%} [52%] (28%) {22%} [27%] (30%) {30%} [27%] (25%) {28%} [29%] (17%) {17%} [17%] (27%) {22%} [24%] (18%)
• Disapprove 43% (52%) {43%} [40%] (38%) {37%} [39%] (65%) {74%} [65%] (63%) {64%} [61%] (64%) {66%} [67%] (76%) {75%} [75%] (66%) {68%} [63%] (67%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 90% (96%) {91%} [93%] (94%) {93%} [95%] (90%) {87%} [87%] (87%) {92%} [86%] (87%) {90%} [88%] (84%) {76%} [80%] (82%) {79%} [75%] (75%)
• Disapprove 6% (3%) {5%} [6%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (7%) {11%} [10%] (11%) {6%} [11%] (9%) {8%} [11%] (12%) {15%} [16%] (11%) {12%} [13%] (14%)

Among Independents

• Approve 70% (78%) {73%} [73%] (77%) {78%} [77%] (62%) {57%} [60%] (61%) {64%} [59%] (54%) {62%} [65%] (53%) {47%} [55%] (55%) {56%} [61%] (50%)
• Disapprove 24% (18%) {19%} [21%] (19%) {18%} [16%] (32%) {35%} [34%] (32%) {32%} [36%] (37%) {31%} [30%] (39%) {44%} [36%] (36%) {32%} [29%] (40%)

Among Men

• Approve 67% (71%) {72%} [75%] (82%) {79%} [75%] (62%) {62%} [60%] (61%) {67%} [62%] (60%) {60%} [65%] (58%) {53%} [56%] (58%) {58%} [63%] (53%)
• Disapprove 28% (26%) {21%} [19%] (15%) {18%} [19%] (33%) {34%} [34%] (34%) {30%} [32%] (34%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {39%} [38%] (35%) {31%} [27%] (36%)

Among Women

• Approve 69% (66%) {63%} [65%] (67%) {69%} [70%] (50%) {46%} [49%] (53%) {52%} [49%] (47%) {52%} [51%] (37%) {36%} [38%] (46%) {45%} [40%] (36%)
• Disapprove 25% (27%) {27%} [26%] (28%) {24%} [23%] (42%) {49%} [43%] (41%) {42%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [44%] (55%) {54%} [53%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (50%)

Survey of 1,068 New Jersey voters was conducted July 2-7, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% (34%) {35%} [33%] (33%) {35%} [36%] (37%) {33%} Democrat; 23% (23%) {23%} [24%] (25%) {23%} [23%] (25%) {24%} Republican; 35% (37%) {37%} [37%] (36%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {37%} Independent; 9% (7%) {5%} [7%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {6%} Other/Don't know.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-9, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 19-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 13-17, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 10-14, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-14, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-9, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 21-27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 10-16, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-14, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 14-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 3-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-8, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-17, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 10-15, 2010 are in parentheses.