Showing posts with label Mark Warner. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Mark Warner. Show all posts

Wednesday, March 04, 2015

Poll Watch: Gravis Insights/Howie Carr (R) Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Gravis Insights/Howie Carr (R) Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 52% (51%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 14% (18%)
  • Joe Biden 9% (12%) 
  • Jim Webb 2%
  • Mark Warner 2% 
  • Martin O'Malley 2% (4%)
  • Unsure 18% (13%)
Survey of 435 Democratic voters was conducted February 24-25, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 19-20, 2014 are in parentheses.

Sunday, November 02, 2014

Poll Watch: NH1/New England College New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

NH1/New England College New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 53.1% [65%] (65%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 16.8%
  • Bernie Sanders 7.0%
  • Joe Biden 5.8% [8%] (10%)
  • Martin O'Malley 2.3% [0.6%] (0%)
  • Deval Patrick 1.4%
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 1.2%
  • Andrew Cuomo 1.2% [1.5%] (4%)
  • Mark Warner 1.2%
Survey of 583 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted October 31 - November 1, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.06 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May, 2013 are in parentheses.

Sunday, October 26, 2014

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Virginia 2014 Senatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Virginia 2014 Senate Poll
  • Mark Warner (D) 49% {51%} [51%] (53%)
  • Ed Gillespie (R) 39% {39%} [39%] (43%)
  • Robert Sarvis (L) 1% {1%}
  • Not sure 11% {9%} [9%]
Survey of 1,605 likely voters was conducted October 16-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Thursday, October 09, 2014

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 58% (59%) {65%} [74%] (64%) {62%} [61%] (63%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 18% (8%) (6%)
  • Joe Biden 3% (14%) {6%} [10%] (6%) {8%} [7%] (10%)  
  • Bernie Sanders 3% (5%)
  • Martin O'Malley 3% (0%) {0%} (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 1% (3%) {4%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%)
  • Mark Warner 0% (1%) {2%} [1%] (0%) {0%} [2%] (0%) 
  • Someone else 1% (1%) {5%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%)
  • Don't know yet 13% (9%) {18%} [10%] (18%) {19%} [22%] (16%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 84% (87%) {78%} [88%] (84%) {85%} [88%] (87%) / 10% (9%) {11%} [8%] (8%) {13%} [5%] (7%) {+74%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 65% (57%) (47%) / 7% (14%) (15%) {+58%}
  • Joe Biden 59% (67%) {53%} [53%] (54%) {61%} [64%] (73%) / 27% (20%) {37%} [27%] (31%) {30%} [25%] (22%) {+32%} 
  • Bernie Sanders 39% (37%) / 9% (10%) {+30%}
  • Andrew Cuomo 28% (37%) {37%} [38%] (35%) {41%} [53%] (56%) / 23% (21%) {19%} [24%] (21%) {19%} [16%] (16%) {+5%}
  • Martin O'Malley 8% (9%) {10%} [9%] (5%) {8%} [8%] (9%) / 4% (8%) {5%} [8%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (6%) {+4%}
  • Mark Warner 11% (16%) {13%} [16%] (11%) {15%} [18%] (14%) / 10% (14%) {14%} [16%] (13%) {11%} [18%] (14%) {+1%}
Survey of 234 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 6.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Sunday, October 05, 2014

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Virginia 2014 Senatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Virginia 2014 Senate Poll
  • Mark Warner (D) 51% [51%] (53%)
  • Ed Gillespie (R) 39% [39%] (43%)
  • Robert Sarvis (L) 1%
  • Not sure 9% [9%]
Survey of 1,656 likely voters was conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Thursday, September 25, 2014

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Virginia 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Mark Warner (D) 48% (46%)
  • Ed Gillespie (R) 39% (31%)
  • Robert Sarvis (L) 6% (6%)
Among Independents
  • Ed Gillespie (R) 43% (30%)
  • Mark Warner (D) 41% (39%)
  • Robert Sarvis (L) 9% (11%)
Among Men
  • Mark Warner (D) 46% (41%)
  • Ed Gillespie (R) 41% (37%)
  • Robert Sarvis (L) 9% (8%)
Among Women
  • Mark Warner (D) 50% (50%)
  • Ed Gillespie (R) 37% (27%)
  • Robert Sarvis (L) 3% (6%)
Recalculated match-up, asking Sarvis voters: Who is your second choice?
  • Mark Warner (D) 50%
  • Ed Gillespie (R) 41%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mark Warner 52% (49%) / 34% (30%) {+18%}
  • Ed Gillespie 34% (20%) / 26% (14%) {+8%}
  • Robert Sarvis 10% (8%) / 11% (11%) {-1%}
Survey of 1,010 likely voters was conducted September 17-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 30% (33%) Democrat; 28% (24%) Republican; 34% (35%) Independent; 9% (8%) Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted March 19-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Sunday, September 07, 2014

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Virginia 2014 Senatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Virginia 2014 Senate Poll
  • Mark Warner (D) 51% (53%)
  • Ed Gillespie (R) 39% (43%)
  • Other 1%
  • Not sure 9%
Survey of 1,635 likely voters was conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Friday, July 11, 2014

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 59% {65%} [74%] (64%) {62%} [61%] (63%)
  • Joe Biden 14% {6%} [10%] (6%) {8%} [7%] (10%)  
  • Elizabeth Warren 8% (6%)
  • Bernie Sanders 5%
  • Andrew Cuomo 3% {4%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%)
  • Mark Warner 1% {2%} [1%] (0%) {0%} [2%] (0%) 
  • Brian Schweitzer 0% {0%} [0%] [0%] (1%)
  • Martin O'Malley 0% {0%} (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Someone else 1% {5%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%)
  • Don't know yet 9% {18%} [10%] (18%) {19%} [22%] (16%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 87% {78%} [88%] (84%) {85%} [88%] (87%) / 9% {11%} [8%] (8%) {13%} [5%] (7%) {+78%}
  • Joe Biden 67% {53%} [53%] (54%) {61%} [64%] (73%) / 20% {37%} [27%] (31%) {30%} [25%] (22%) {+47%} 
  • Elizabeth Warren 57% (47%) / 14% (15%) {+43%}
  • Bernie Sanders 37% / 10% {+27%}
  • Andrew Cuomo 37% {37%} [38%] (35%) {41%} [53%] (56%) / 21% {19%} [24%] (21%) {19%} [16%] (16%) {+16%}
  • Mark Warner 16% {13%} [16%] (11%) {15%} [18%] (14%) / 14% {14%} [16%] (13%) {11%} [18%] (14%) {+2%
  • Martin O'Malley 9% {10%} [9%] (5%) {8%} [8%] (9%) / 8% {5%} [8%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (6%) {+1%}
  • Brian Schweitzer 6% {10%} [3%] [5%] (12%) / 9% {6%} [11%] [12%] (6%) {-3%
Survey of 257 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 6.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Friday, June 13, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2014 Senate Poll
  • Mark Warner (D) 53% (51%)
  • Ed Gillespie (R) 36% (37%)
  • Some other candidate 3% (2%)
  • Undecided 9% (9%)
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted June, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 20-21, 2014 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers: 
Ninety percent (90%) of Virginia Democrats support Warner, while 70% of the state's Republicans back Gillespie. The incumbent has a 45% to 34% lead among voters not affiliated with either major party.
Warner remains far better-known to Virginia voters. He is viewed Very Favorably by 34% and Very Unfavorably by 14%. Just two percent (2%) say they have never heard of him. Ten percent (10%) have a Very Favorable opinion of Gillespie, while 11% view him Very Unfavorably. However, 23% still say they have never heard of the Republican candidate, although that’s down from 30% earlier this year.
Voters trust Warner more than Gillespie on all four issues regularly tracked by Rasmussen Reports. The Democrat leads in voter trust when it comes to handling government spending (47% to 29%) and taxes (45% to 31%). Warner holds even larger leads in the areas of government ethics and corruption (45% to 27%) and social issues (50% to 29%). However, 22% to 28% of voters are not sure which candidate they trust more on all four issues.

Thursday, June 12, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 66% (62%) {65%} [61%] (67%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 8% (3%) {4%} [1%] (2%)
  • Joe Biden 7% (12%) {15%} [14%] (11%)
  • Cory Booker 5%
  • Andrew Cuomo 4% (5%) {4%} [8%] (8%)
  • Mark Warner 1% (1%) {1%} [2%] (0%)
  • Martin O'Malley 0% (1%) {0%} [3%] (0%)
  • Brian Schweitzer 0% (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%) 
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 0% (0%) {0%}
  • Someone else/Undecided 9% (14%) {11%} [9%] (11%)
Survey of 251 Democratic primary voters was conducted June 6-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 6.2 percentage points.  Political ideology: 42% (28%) {28%} [30%] (27%) Somewhat liberal; 27% (42%) {39%} [33%] (41%) Moderate; 17% (18%) {18%} [22%] (16%) Very liberal; 10% (9%) {11%} [10%] (12%) Somewhat conservative; 5% (3%) {3%} [5%] (4%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted March 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.

Thursday, June 05, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

  • Hillary Clinton 65% (61%)
  • Joe Biden 9% (13%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 5% (3%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 5% (11%)
  • Cory Booker 4% (2%)
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 1% (1%)
  • Mark Warner 1% (0%)
  • Brian Schweitzer 1% (0%)
  • Martin O'Malley 0% (0%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 10% (9%)
Survey of 382 Democratic primary voters was conducted May 30 - June 1, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points. Ideology: 33%  (34%) Moderate; 30% (27%) Somewhat liberal; 21% (19%) Very liberal; 14% (17%) Somewhat conservative; 3% (3%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted November 22-25, 2013 are in parentheses.

Thursday, May 22, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
  • Hillary Clinton 59% (67%) {71%} [68%] (58%) {60%} [62%] (44%)
  • Joe Biden 12% (12%) {12%} [21%] (17%) {18%} [14%] (13%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 11% (5%) {5%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [4%]
  • Andrew Cuomo 3% (2%) {1%} [2%] (6%) {3%} [4%] (7%)
  • Cory Booker 3% (1%) {1%} (3%)
  • Mark Warner 2% (3%) {2%} [2%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (1%)
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 1% (0%) {2%} [0%] 
  • Martin O'Malley 1% (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [1%]
  • Brian Schweitzer 1% (0%) {0%} [0%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 8% (10%) {5%} [3%] (13%) {14%} [9%] (21%)
Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
  • Joe Biden 34% (40%) {51%} [58%] (40%) {36%} [28%]
  • Elizabeth Warren 22% (13%) {16%} [7%] (9%) {8%} [10%]
  • Andrew Cuomo 7% (8%) {9%} [13%] (14%) {14%} [14%]
  • Cory Booker 4% (2%) {6%}
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 3% (2%) {2%} [6%]
  • Martin O'Malley 2% (5%) {2%} [0%] (4%) {2%} [0%]
  • Mark Warner 1% (2%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {3%} [1%]
  • Brian Schweitzer 1% (1%) {0%} [1%] (1%) {4%} [2%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 26% (28%) {13%} [11%] (28%) {34%} [36%]
If neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee?
  • Elizabeth Warren 31% (21%) {20%} [17%] (13%) {11%} [13%]
  • Andrew Cuomo 14% (11%) {18%} [26%] (30%) {20%} [17%]
  • Cory Booker 9% (8%) {12%}
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 5% (3%) {7%} [5%] 
  • Mark Warner 2% (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {6%} [1%] 
  • Martin O'Malley 2% (6%) {4%} [8%] (3%) {2%} [3%]
  • Brian Schweitzer 1% (2%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {4%} [4%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 36% (47%) {33%} [37%] (46%) {53%} [47%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 83% (82%) {87%} [90%] (86%) {90%} [88%] / 12% (9%) {7%} [5%] (11%) {6%} [6%] {+71%}
  • Joe Biden 74% (66%) {80%} [84%] (85%) {79%} [76%] / 15% (13%) {8%} [9%] (15%) {11%} [6%] {+59%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 55% (43%) {41%} [45%] (37%) {30%} [31%] / 7% (8%) {8%} [8%] (11%) {10%} [8%] {+48%}
  • Andrew Cuomo 38% (28%) {34%} [35%] (38%) {26%} [26%] / 13% (14%) {15%} [13%] (16%) {19%} [17%] {+25%}
  • Cory Booker 34% (30%) {27%} / 12% (11%) {9%} {+22%}
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 24% (20%) {22%} [14%] / 11% (10%) {11%} [6%] {+13%} 
  • Mark Warner 20% (19%) {14%} [10%] (12%) {10%} [10%] / 12% (11%) {10%} [11%] (11%) {10%} [11%] {+8%}
  • Martin O'Malley 12% (13%) {12%} [8%] (9%) {4%} [6%] / 9% (10%) {6%} [6%] (13%) {8%} [7%] {+3%}
  • Brian Schweitzer 14% (12%) {10%} [9%] (12%) {5%} [7%] / 12% (12%) {5%} [5%] (7%) {10%} [9%] {+2%}
Survey of 356 Democratic voters was conducted May 15-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points.  Political ideology: 35% (41%) {37%} [33%] (32%) {37%} [36%] (33%) Somewhat liberal; 30% (20%) {18%} [26%] (20%) {14%} [21%] (14%) Very liberal; 28% (28%) {35%} [33%] (35%) {38%} [32%] (37%) Moderate; 5% (9%) {7%} [6%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (11%) Somewhat conservative; 2% (2%) {2%} [2%] (5%) {3%} [4%] (4%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in parentheses.

Friday, April 18, 2014

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 65% [74%] (64%) {62%} [61%] (63%)
  • Joe Biden 6% [10%] (6%) {8%} [7%] (10%)  
  • Andrew Cuomo 4% [2%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%)
  • Mark Warner 2% [1%] (0%) {0%} [2%] (0%) 
  • Brian Schweitzer 0% [0%] [0%] (1%)
  • Martin O'Malley 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Someone else 5% [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%)
  • Don't know yet 18% [10%] (18%) {19%} [22%] (16%)
(Open-Ended) If the Democratic primary for president were held today, who would you support for the Democratic nomination?

NOTE: This question was asked prior to respondents hearing the names of any potential candidates.    
  • Hillary Clinton 41%
  • Elizabeth Warren 2%
  • Barack Obama 2%
  • Chris Christie 2%
  • Joe Biden 2%
  • Someone else 0%
  • Did not give name 51%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 78% [88%] (84%) {85%} [88%] (87%) / 11% [8%] (8%) {13%} [5%] (7%) {+67%}
  • Andrew Cuomo 37% [38%] (35%) {41%} [53%] (56%) / 19% [24%] (21%) {19%} [16%] (16%) {+18%}
  • Joe Biden 53% [53%] (54%) {61%} [64%] (73%) / 37% [27%] (31%) {30%} [25%] (22%) {+16%}
  • Martin O'Malley 10% [9%] (5%) {8%} [8%] (9%) / 5% [8%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (6%) {+5%}
  • Brian Schweitzer 10% [3%] [5%] (12%) / 6% [11%] [12%] (6%) {+4%
  • Mark Warner 13% [16%] (11%) {15%} [18%] (14%) / 14% [16%] (13%) {11%} [18%] (14%) {-1%}
Survey of 184 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted April 1-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 7.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, April 09, 2014

Poll Watch: Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 62.96%
  • Elizabeth Warren 11.85%
  • Joe Biden 9.63% 
  • Mark Warner 1.48%
  • Andrew Cuomo 0.74%
  • Deval Patrick 0.74%
  • Cory Booker 0.00%
  • Undecided 11.85%
Survey of 135 Democratic caucus-goers was conducted April 3-8, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 8.4 percentage points.

Thursday, March 27, 2014

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Virginia 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Mark Warner (D) 46%
  • Ed Gillespie (R) 31%
  • Robert Sarvis (L) 6%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mark Warner 49% / 30% {+19%}
  • Ed Gillespie 20% / 14% {+6%}
  • Robert Sarvis 8% / 11% {-3%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Warner is handling his job as United States Senator?
  • Approve 55%
  • Disapprove 33%
Do you feel that Mark Warner deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
  • Yes/Deserves 49%
  • No/Does not 36%
If President Obama campaigns for Mark Warner in his Senate race, would that make you more likely to vote for Warner, less likely to vote for Warner, or wouldn't it make a difference?
  • More likely 15%
  • Less likely 33%
  • No difference 50%
Survey of 1,288 registered voters was conducted March 19-24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% Democrat; 24% Republican; 35% Independent; 8% Other/Don't know.

Friday, March 14, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
  • Hillary Clinton 66% (67%) {66%} [67%] (52%) {63%} [64%] (58%) {57%} [61%] (57%)
  • Joe Biden 11% (7%) {10%} [12%] (12%) {13%} [18%] (19%) {16%} [12%] (14%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 5% (7%) {6%} [4%] (6%) {3%} [5%] (8%) {4%} [4%] (6%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 3% (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {4%} [3%] (3%) {4%} [5%] (5%) 
  • Cory Booker 3% (2%) {2%} [1%] (3%)
  • Martin O'Malley 2% (1%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%)
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 1% (1%) [0%] (5%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%}  
  • Brian Schweitzer 1% (1%) {1%} [0%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Mark Warner 0% (1%) [1%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (2%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 7% (10%) {7%} [12%] (17%) {10%} [6%] (9%) {10%} [12%] (12%)
Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
  • Joe Biden 37% (32%) {35%} [27%] (34%) {38%} [49%] (57%) (32%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 12% (16%) {13%} [19%] (13%) {13%} [11%] (13%) (8%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 10% (7%) {7%} [6%] (10%) {10%} [10%] (5%) (18%)
  • Cory Booker 5% (7%) {7%} [6%] (4%) 
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 4% (3%) [4%] (3%) {2%} [7%] (4%) 
  • Martin O'Malley 3% (1%) {4%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [1%] (1%) (2%)
  • Mark Warner 1% (2%) [1%] (2%) {3%} [3%] (3%) (2%)
  • Brian Schweitzer 1% (2%) {1%} [1%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (0%) (1%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 27% (31%) {16%} [33%] (29%) {26%} [15%] (14%) (32%)
Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
  • Andrew Cuomo 19% (13%) {14%} [13%] (11%) {25%} [22%] (25%) {19%} [21%] (27%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 19% (24%) {24%} [23%] (20%) {17%} [18%] (21%) {16%} [16%] (9%)
  • Cory Booker 12% (11%) {13%} [14%] (8%)
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 6% (4%) [3%] (5%) {5%} [5%] (3%) {5%} 
  • Martin O'Malley 4% (2%) {7%} [4%] (2%) {5%} [8%] (5%) {7%} [5%] (4%)
  • Mark Warner 3% (1%) [2%] (3%) {4%} [5%] (4%) {4%} [3%] (4%)
  • Brian Schweitzer 1% (3%) {2%} [1%] (4%) {1%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 37% (43%) {40%} [39%] (47%) {38%} [36%] (36%) {40%} [45%] (46%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 84% (83%) {85%} {85%} [84%] (81%) {79%} [86%] (86%) / 12% (9%) {11%} {12%} [11%] (12%) {15%} [10%] (10%) {+72%} 
  • Joe Biden 74% (67%) {72%} {73%} [73%] (80%) {73%} [80%] (70%) / 16% (11%) {15%} {16%} [15%] (13%) {22%} [14%] (21%) {+58%} 
  • Elizabeth Warren 47% (45%) {46%} {42%} [43%] (48%) {47%} [45%] (28%) / 17% (17%) {15%} {13%} [13%] (8%) {13%} [12%] (17%) {+30%}
Survey of 429 Democratic primary voters was conducted March 6-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points.  Political ideology: 32% (29%) {35%} [38%] (34%) {37%} [39%] (36%) {37%} [32%] (36%) Moderate; 32% (34%) {35%} [34%] (35%) {31%} [30%] (32%) {24%} [32%] (30%) Somewhat liberal; 25% (25%) {18%} [15%] (17%) {14%} [17%] (20%) {23%} [20%] (16%) Very liberal; 8% (8%) {10%} [8%] (9%) {12%} [9%] (9%) {13%} [12%] (13%) Somewhat conservative; 3% (5%) {2%} [5%] (4%) {6%} [5%] (3%) {2%} [4%] (5%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted January 23-26, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 13-15, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 29-31, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

Thursday, February 27, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
  • Hillary Clinton 67% {71%} [68%] (58%) {60%} [62%] (44%)
  • Joe Biden 12% {12%} [21%] (17%) {18%} [14%] (13%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 5% {5%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [4%]
  • Mark Warner 3% {2%} [2%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (1%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 2% {1%} [2%] (6%) {3%} [4%] (7%)
  • Cory Booker 1% {1%} (3%)
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 0% {2%} [0%] 
  • Martin O'Malley 0% {1%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [1%]
  • Brian Schweitzer 0% {0%} [0%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 10% {5%} [3%] (13%) {14%} [9%] (21%)
Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
  • Joe Biden 40% {51%} [58%] (40%) {36%} [28%]
  • Elizabeth Warren 13% {16%} [7%] (9%) {8%} [10%]
  • Andrew Cuomo 8% {9%} [13%] (14%) {14%} [14%]
  • Martin O'Malley 5% {2%} [0%] (4%) {2%} [0%]
  • Cory Booker 2% {6%}
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 2% {2%} [6%]
  • Mark Warner 2% {1%} [2%] (1%) {3%} [1%]
  • Brian Schweitzer 1% {0%} [1%] (1%) {4%} [2%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 28% {13%} [11%] (28%) {34%} [36%]
If neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee?
  • Elizabeth Warren 21% {20%} [17%] (13%) {11%} [13%]
  • Andrew Cuomo 11% {18%} [26%] (30%) {20%} [17%]
  • Cory Booker 8% {12%}
  • Martin O'Malley 6% {4%} [8%] (3%) {2%} [3%]
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 3% {7%} [5%]
  • Brian Schweitzer 2% {3%} [2%] (2%) {4%} [4%]
  • Mark Warner 2% {2%} [2%] (2%) {6%} [1%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 47% {33%} [37%] (46%) {53%} [47%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 82% {87%} [90%] (86%) {90%} [88%] / 9% {7%} [5%] (11%) {6%} [6%] {+73%}
  • Joe Biden 66% {80%} [84%] (85%) {79%} [76%] / 13% {8%} [9%] (15%) {11%} [6%] {+53%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 43% {41%} [45%] (37%) {30%} [31%] / 8% {8%} [8%] (11%) {10%} [8%] {+35%}
  • Cory Booker 30% {27%} / 11% {9%} {+19%}
  • Andrew Cuomo 28% {34%} [35%] (38%) {26%} [26%] / 14% {15%} [13%] (16%) {19%} [17%] {+14%}
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 20% {22%} [14%] / 10% {11%} [6%] {+10%} 
  • Mark Warner 19% {14%} [10%] (12%) {10%} [10%] / 11% {10%} [11%] (11%) {10%} [11%] {+8%}
  • Martin O'Malley 13% {12%} [8%] (9%) {4%} [6%] / 10% {6%} [6%] (13%) {8%} [7%] {+3%}
  • Brian Schweitzer 12% {10%} [9%] (12%) {5%} [7%] / 12% {5%} [5%] (7%) {10%} [9%] {0%}
Survey of 335 Democratic voters was conducted February 20-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points.  Political ideology: 41% {37%} [33%] (32%) {37%} [36%] (33%) Somewhat liberal; 28% {35%} [33%] (35%) {38%} [32%] (37%) Moderate; 20% {18%} [26%] (20%) {14%} [21%] (14%) Very liberal; 9% {7%} [6%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (11%) Somewhat conservative; 2% {2%} [2%] (5%) {3%} [4%] (4%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in parentheses.

Friday, January 31, 2014

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 64% (70%)
  • Joe Biden 9% (9%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 5% (4%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 1% (2%)
  • Mark Warner 1% (1%)
  • Martin O'Malley 1% (1%)
Survey of 529 Democratic voters was conducted January 22-27, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, January 29, 2014

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 74% (64%) {62%} [61%] (63%)
  • Joe Biden 10% (6%) {8%} [7%] (10%)  
  • Andrew Cuomo 2% (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%)
  • Mark Warner 1% (0%) {0%} [2%] (0%) 
  • Brian Schweitzer 0% [0%] (1%)
  • Martin O'Malley (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 0% (0%) {0%}
  • Someone else 2% (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%)
  • Don't know yet 10% (18%) {19%} [22%] (16%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 88% (84%) {85%} [88%] (87%) / 8% (8%) {13%} [5%] (7%) {+80%}
  • Joe Biden 53% (54%) {61%} [64%] (73%) / 27% (31%) {30%} [25%] (22%) {+26%}
  • Andrew Cuomo 38% (35%) {41%} [53%] (56%) / 24% (21%) {19%} [16%] (16%) {+14%}
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 15% (12%) {19%} / 10% (5%) {7%} {+5%}  
  • Martin O'Malley 9% (5%) {8%} [8%] (9%) / 8% (7%) {5%} [5%] (6%) {+1%}
  • Mark Warner 16% (11%) {15%} [18%] (14%) / 16% (13%) {11%} [18%] (14%) {0%}
  • Brian Schweitzer 3% [5%] (12%) / 11% [12%] (6%) {-8%}
Survey of 205 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted January 21-26, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 6.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
  • Hillary Clinton 67% {66%} [67%] (52%) {63%} [64%] (58%) {57%} [61%] (57%)
  • Joe Biden 7% {10%} [12%] (12%) {13%} [18%] (19%) {16%} [12%] (14%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 7% {6%} [4%] (6%) {3%} [5%] (8%) {4%} [4%] (6%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 2% {2%} [2%] (2%) {4%} [3%] (3%) {4%} [5%] (5%) 
  • Cory Booker 2% {2%} [1%] (3%)
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 1% [0%] (5%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} 
  • Mark Warner 1% [1%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (2%)
  • Martin O'Malley 1% {2%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%) 
  • Brian Schweitzer 1% {1%} [0%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 10% {7%} [12%] (17%) {10%} [6%] (9%) {10%} [12%] (12%)
Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
  • Joe Biden 32% {35%} [27%] (34%) {38%} [49%] (57%) (32%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 16% {13%} [19%] (13%) {13%} [11%] (13%) (8%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 7% {7%} [6%] (10%) {10%} [10%] (5%) (18%)
  • Cory Booker 7% {7%} [6%] (4%) 
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 3% [4%] (3%) {2%} [7%] (4%) 
  • Mark Warner 2% [1%] (2%) {3%} [3%] (3%) (2%)
  • Brian Schweitzer 2% {1%} [1%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (0%) (1%)
  • Martin O'Malley 1% {4%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [1%] (1%) (2%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 31% {16%} [33%] (29%) {26%} [15%] (14%) (32%)
Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
  • Elizabeth Warren 24% {24%} [23%] (20%) {17%} [18%] (21%) {16%} [16%] (9%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 13% {14%} [13%] (11%) {25%} [22%] (25%) {19%} [21%] (27%)
  • Cory Booker 11% {13%} [14%] (8%)
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 4% [3%] (5%) {5%} [5%] (3%) {5%} 
  • Brian Schweitzer 3% {2%} [1%] (4%) {1%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%)
  • Martin O'Malley 2% {7%} [4%] (2%) {5%} [8%] (5%) {7%} [5%] (4%)
  • Mark Warner 1% [2%] (3%) {4%} [5%] (4%) {4%} [3%] (4%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 43% {40%} [39%] (47%) {38%} [36%] (36%) {40%} [45%] (46%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 83% {85%} {85%} [84%] (81%) {79%} [86%] (86%) / 9% {11%} {12%} [11%] (12%) {15%} [10%] (10%) {+74%} 
  • Joe Biden 67% {72%} {73%} [73%] (80%) {73%} [80%] (70%) / 11% {15%} {16%} [15%] (13%) {22%} [14%] (21%) {+56%} 
  • Elizabeth Warren 45% {46%} {42%} [43%] (48%) {47%} [45%] (28%) / 17% {15%} {13%} [13%] (8%) {13%} [12%] (17%) {+28%}
Survey of 334 Democratic primary voters was conducted January 23-26, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points.  Political ideology: 34% {35%} [34%] (35%) {31%} [30%] (32%) {24%} [32%] (30%) Somewhat liberal; 29% {35%} [38%] (34%) {37%} [39%] (36%) {37%} [32%] (36%) Moderate; 25% {18%} [15%] (17%) {14%} [17%] (20%) {23%} [20%] (16%) Very liberal; 8% {10%} [8%] (9%) {12%} [9%] (9%) {13%} [12%] (13%) Somewhat conservative; 5% {2%} [5%] (4%) {6%} [5%] (3%) {2%} [4%] (5%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted December 13-15, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 29-31, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.