Monday, June 30, 2014

Poll Watch: Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press NJ Poll on Gov. Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?

  • Approve 49% [51%] (49%) {58%} [65%] (63%) {65%} [70%] (69%) {55%} [53%] (50%) {55%} [55%] (50%) {46%} [49%] (44%) {45%} [42%] (31%)
  • Disapprove 43% [43%] (46%) {35%} [27%] (24%) {26%} [16%] (22%) {36%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [37%] (41%) {49%} [41%] (40%) {43%} [44%] (15%)
Among Democrats
  • Approve 37% [34%] (31%) {38%} [47%] (47%) {52%} [58%] (57%) {30%} [26%] (33%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {22%} [27%] (22%) {23%} [19%] (21%)
  • Disapprove 54% [59%] (64%) {52%} [45%] (37%) {39%} [26%] (30%) {57%} [60%] (55%) {56%} [59%] (55%) {72%} [61%] (58%) {65%} [68%] (24%)
Among Republicans
  • Approve 76% [84%] (77%) {89%} [85%] (89%) {86%} [88%] (85%) {90%} [82%] (74%) {79%} [84%] (78%) {75%} [80%] (71%) {80%} [65%] (52%)
  • Disapprove 23% [14%] (20%) {7%} [9%] (7%) {10%} [7%] (7%) {4%} [10%] (18%) {16%} [12%] (15%) {24%} [14%] (22%) {14%} [19%] (4%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 50% [55%] (54%) {62%} [73%] (64%) {64%} [71%] (68%) {55%} [57%] (54%) {55%} [58%] (44%) {53%} [49%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (35%)
  • Disapprove 39% [36%] (38%) {30%} [17%] (21%) {24%} [14%] (20%) {34%} [31%] (28%) {34%} [34%] (46%{41%} [38%] (31%) {41%} [34%] (13%)
Among Men 
  • Approve 53% [56%] (55%) {62%} [70%] (62%) {61%} [69%] (68%) {61%} [58%] (59%) {56%} [54%] (52%)
  • Disapprove 38% [38%] (41%) {28%} [20%] (23%) {27%} [18%] (19%) {31%} [32%] (28%) {33%} [36%] (37%)
Among Women
  • Approve 47% [47%] (46%) {57%} [61%] (61%) {65%} [70%] (66%) {47%} [45%] (43%) {48%} [53%] (45%)
  • Disapprove 45% [42%] (47%) {36%} [30%] (25%) {26%} [16%] (23%) {40%} [40%] (42%) {42%} [40%] (48%)
Survey of 717 registered voters was conducted June 25-29, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 37% [38%] (38%) {38%} [37%] (37%) {39%} [37%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) {35%} [35%] (35%) {38%} [40%] Democrat; 21% [21%] (22%) {22%} [24%] (23%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {24%} [23%] (23%) {23%} [20%] (22%) {21%} [22%] (22%) {22%} [22%] Republican; 42% [41%] (40%) {40%} [39%] (40%) {38%} [40%] (40%) {41%} [43%] (40%) {41%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (43%) {40%} [38%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted March 30 - April 1, 2014 are in square brackets. February 19-23, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 10-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-8, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 6-10, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 6-10, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 29 - December 2, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 18-22, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 11-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-9, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 2-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-19, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27-31, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Colorado 2014 Senate Poll
  • Mark Udall (D) 43% (42%)
  • Cory Gardner (R) 42% (41%)
  • Some other candidate 6% (5%)
  • Undecided 9% (13%)
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted June 25-26, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 5-6, 2014 are in parentheses.

Friday, June 27, 2014

Poll Watch: Moore Information (R) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
Among Registered GOP Primary Voters
  • Dan Sullivan 36% (38%)
  • Mead Treadwell 27% (22%)
  • Joe Miller 13% (12%)
Among Likely GOP Primary Voters
  • Dan Sullivan 43%
  • Mead Treadwell 25%
  • Joe Miller 15%
GENERAL ELECTION
  • Mark Begich (D) 43% (44%
  • Dan Sullivan (R) 43% (42%)
Survey of 500 registered voters, including a subsample of GOP primary voters, was conducted June 16-18, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 27-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Mississippi 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Thad Cochran (R) 46% (48%)
  • Travis Childers (D) 34% (31%)
  • Some other candidate 10% (9%)
  • Undecided 9% (12%)
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted June 25-26, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 26-29, 2014 are in parentheses.

Thursday, June 26, 2014

Poll Watch: Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll
  • Kay Hagan (D) 47% (41%)
  • Thom Tillis (R) 43% (46%)
  • Undecided 9% (12%)
Survey of 600 registered voters was conducted June 18-19 and 22, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted May 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kentucky 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Kentucky 2014 Senate Poll
  • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 48% (45%) {44%} [42%] (45%) {45%} [45%] (41%)
  • Mitch McConnell (R) 46% (44%) {45%} [43%] (43%) {44%} [45%] (45%)
Among Men
  • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 49% (46%) {41%} [42%] (39%) [44%] (38%)
  • Mitch McConnell (R) 47% (45%) {49%} [47%] (49%) [49%] (49%)
Among Women
  • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 48% (43%) {46%} [41%] (51%) [46%] (44%)
  • Mitch McConnell (R) 45% (43%) {41%} [40%] (38%) [41%] (41%)
Survey of 682 Kentucky voters was conducted June 20-22, 2014 for Americans for Tax Fairness Action Fund.  The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 52% (54%) {52%} [52%] (53%) [50%] (51%) Democrat; 37% (38%) {36%} [39%] (37%) [35%] (39%) Republican; 11% (8%) {12%} [9%] (11%) [15%] (10%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 31% [31%] Moderate; 24% [27%] Somewhat conservative; 19% [19%] Very conservative; 16% [14%] Somewhat liberal; 10% [9%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 1-2, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 24-26, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 12-15, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 14-15, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 23-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 5-7, 2013 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, June 25, 2014

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

SurveyUSA Florida 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 39%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 46%
  • Joe Biden (D) 43%
Among Men
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 43%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 51%
  • Joe Biden (D) 38%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 60%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 34%
  • Joe Biden (D) 47%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 43%
Survey of 834 registered voters was conducted June 20-23, 2014 for WFLA-TV.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 40% Democrat; 33% Republican; 25% Independent. Ideology: 46% Moderate; 27% Conservative; 18% Liberal. Gender: 53% Female; 47% Male . 

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Rick Scott (R) 42% [40%] (42%) {41%} [41%] (41%) 
  • Charlie Crist (D) 41% [44%] (40%) {44%} [44%] (46%)
Among Democrats
  • Charlie Crist (D) 75% [82%] (77%) {80%} (80%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 11% [6%] (8%) {10%} (13%)
Among Republicans
  • Rick Scott (R) 77% [75%] (80%) {74%} (71%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 12% [13%] (7%) {14%} (14%)
Among Independents
  • Rick Scott (R) 40% [39%] (39%) {41%} (43%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 32% [35%] (31%) {36%} (40%)
Among Moderates
  • Charlie Crist (D) 52% [47%] (46%) {55%} (57%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 28% [31%] (34%) {30%} (33%)
Among Men
  • Rick Scott (R) 49% [45%] (49%) {49%} (41%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 36% [39%] (35%) {37%} (47%)
Among Women
  • Charlie Crist (D) 47% [50%] (47%) {50%} (46%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 35% [34%] (35%) {33%} (42%)
Survey of 541 likely voters was conducted June 20-23, 2014 for WFLA-TV.  The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Party ID: 40% [38%] (39%) {37%} (38%) Democrat; 37% [38%] (37%) {37%} (34%) Republican; 23% [23%] (23%) {26%} (27%) Independent. Ideology: 49% [41%] (41%) {42%} (45%) Moderate; 30% [35%] (34%) {34%} (32%) Conservative; 17% [20%] (21%) {19%} (20%) Liberal. Gender: 51% [53%] (53%) {51%} (52%) Male; 49% [47%] (47%) {49%} (48%) Female. Results from the poll released June 5-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll released May 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll released May 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll released April 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.

Monday, June 23, 2014

Poll Watch: SoonerPoll Oklahoma 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

SoonerPoll Oklahoma 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll
  • James Lankford 43.4% [41%] (33.8%)
  • T.W. Shannon 34.9% [38%] (31.9%)
  • Randy Brogdon 4.2% [3%] (4.5%)
  • Jason Weger 1.5% (1.5%)
  • Kevin Crow 1.4% (1.7%)
  • Eric McCray 0.9% (0.6%)
  • Andy Craig 0.4% (0.6%)
  • Undecided 13.3% [16%] (25.4%)
Note: A candidate needs to get more than 50 percent of the votes cast in the June 24 primary to avoid a runoff.  

Survey of 840 likely GOP primary voters was conducted June 19-21, 2014. The margin of error is ± 3.38 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 14-18, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-10, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Chism Strategies (D) Mississippi 2014 Republican Senate Primary Runoff Survey

  • Chris McDaniel 52% {50%} [47%] (50.6%)
  • Thad Cochran 44% {44%} [48%] (47.6%)
  • Undecided 4% {6%} [5%] (1.8%)
Survey of 697 likely GOP runoff voters was conducted June 20, 2014. The margin of error is +/ - 3.8 percentage points. Race: 95% {95%} [95%] (96%) White: 3% {3%} [3%] (2%) Black; 2% {2%} [2%] (2%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted June 17-18, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 13, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 5, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Ben Carson (R) 38%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Rand Paul (R) 39%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 36%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 37%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (43%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 33% (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Rick Perry (R) 36%
Three surveys of 1,000 likely voters each were conducted on June 14-15, June 16-17 and June 20-21, 2014. The margin of error for each survey is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 7-8, 2013 are in parentheses.  

Inside the numbers: 
Among likely Republican voters, Paul is the top vote-getter against Clinton with 79% support, followed by Cruz at 75% and Carson with 74%. Seventy-one percent (71%) of GOP voters favor Perry in a matchup with Clinton, while Rubio earns 68% support and Christie 66% among their fellow Republicans.
Among likely Democratic voters, Clinton earns 82% to 90% support against the six Republicans, running strongest against Cruz and Christie.
Voters not affiliated with either major political party are closely divided in all six matchups, with Clinton leading by two to six points against Rubio, Christie, Cruz and Perry. Paul and Carson both have a four-point edge over Clinton among these voters.
While Carson is black, he does not fare any better than his fellow Republicans among black voters.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Iowa 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (49%) {45%} (46%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 40% (39%) {44%} (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 39%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (48%) {40%} [41%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 36% (35%) {45%} [41%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (51%) {47%}
  • Jeb Bush (R) 36% (37%) {40%}
    Among Independents
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (48%) {43%} (38%)
    • Rand Paul (R) 37% (36%) {40%} (44%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
    • Paul Ryan (R) 38%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
    • Mike Huckabee (R) 37%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (46%) {35%} [36%]
    • Chris Christie (R) 31% (32%) {44%} [37%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (52%) {43%}
    • Jeb Bush (R) 30% (33%) {37%}
      Among Men
      • Rand Paul (R) 49% (47%) {53%} (49%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (41%) {34%} (39%)
      • Paul Ryan (R) 48%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
      • Mike Huckabee (R) 48% 
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 37%
      • Chris Christie (R) 42% (40%) {51%} [45%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% (39%) {30%} [35%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (44%) {35%}
      • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (42%) {49%}
        Among Women
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% (55%) {56%} (53%)
        • Rand Paul (R) 32% (32%) {35%} (34%)
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
        • Paul Ryan (R) 33%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
        • Mike Huckabee (R) 32%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (56%) {49%} [47%]
        • Chris Christie (R) 30% (32%) {39%} [37%]
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% (58%) {57%}
        • Jeb Bush (R) 31% (32%) {33%}
        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
        • Hillary Clinton 52% [52%] / 41% [41%] {+11%}
        • Mike Huckabee 41% / 34% {+7%}
        • Rand Paul 34% / 32% {+2%}
        • Paul Ryan 35% / 35% {0%}
        • Chris Christie 34% [42%] / 36% [16%] {-2%}
        • Jeb Bush 28% / 36% {-8%}
        Among Independents
        • Hillary Clinton 52% [50%] / 39% [40%] {+13%}
        • Mike Huckabee 35% / 31% {+4%}
        • Paul Ryan 33% / 29% {+4%}
        • Rand Paul 30% / 28% {+2%}
        • Chris Christie 30% [43%] / 34% [15%] {-4%}
        • Jeb Bush 22% / 35% {-13%}
        Among Men
        • Rand Paul 42% / 30% {+12%}
        • Mike Huckabee 44% / 33% {+11%}
        • Paul Ryan 42% / 34% {+8%}
        • Chris Christie 37% [46%] / 39% [17%] {-2%}
        • Jeb Bush 30% / 37% {-7%}
        • Hillary Clinton 42% [45%] / 50% [49%] {-8%}
        Among Women
        • Hillary Clinton 60% [58%] / 33% [33%] {+27%}
        • Mike Huckabee 38% / 34% {+4%}
        • Chris Christie 32% [39%] / 34% [14%] {-2%}
        • Paul Ryan 30% / 35% {-5%}
        • Rand Paul 26% / 34% {-8%}
        • Jeb Bush 26% / 35% {-9%}
          Survey of 1,277 registered voters was conducted June 12-16, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 29% (28%) {27%} [29%] Democrat; 27% (25%) {28%} [27%] Republican; 40% (39%) {40%} [40%] Independent; 5% (7%) {4%} [4%] Other/Don't know. Gender: 52% {52%} [51%] Female; 48% {48%} [49%] Male.  Race: 94% {92%} [93%] White; 2% {2%} [3%] Black; 1% {2%} [1%] Hispanic; 3% {3%} [4%] Other/Don't know.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-10, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-15, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-17, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 15-21, 2013 are in parentheses.

          Poll Watch: Florida Chamber of Commerce/Cherry Communications (R) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

          FCPI/Cherry Communications (R) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
          • Rick Scott (R) 41%
          • Charlie Crist (D) 38%
          • Adrian Wyllie (L) 4%
          • Another candidate 8%
          Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
          • Rick Scott 45% / 43% {+2%}
          • Charlie Crist 41% / 45% {-4%}
          Survey of 806 likely Florida voters was completed June 11, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.
          Inside the numbers: 
          More than half of respondents approve of Scott’s job performance (52%) and only 42% disapprove of the job he is doing.

          Friday, June 20, 2014

          Poll Watch: American Research Group New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

          ARG New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
          • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 50% [50%] (48%) 
          • Scott Brown (R) 38% [38%] (38%)
          • Undecided 12% [12%] (14%)
          Among Men
          • Scott Brown (R) 52% [49%] (44%)
          • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 38% [44%] (43%)  
          • Undecided 10% [7%] (13%)
          Among Women
          • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 61% [55%] (52%) 
          • Scott Brown (R) 25% [28%] (32%)
          • Undecided 14% [17%] (16%)
          Survey of 540 registered voters was conducted June 14-18, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID: 31% [32%] Republican; 31% [30%] Democrat; 38% [38%] Undeclared. Results from the poll conducted March 13-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 13-16, 2013 are in parentheses.
          Inside the numbers: 
          Of the 36% of registered voters in New Hampshire saying they approve of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president, Shaheen leads Brown 92% to 5%, with 3% undecided.
          Of the 56% of registered voters in New Hampshire saying they disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job, Brown leads Shaheen 66% to 19%, with 15% undecided.

          Poll Watch: Tea Party Express/NSON Opinion Strategy (R) Mississippi 2014 Republican Senate Primary Runoff Survey

          • Thad Cochran 44.5%
          • Chris McDaniel 44.0%
          • Undecided 11.5%
          Survey of 400 likely GOP runoff voters was conducted June 13-17, 2014. The margin of error is +/ - 4.9 percentage points.

          Poll Watch: Chism Strategies (D) Mississippi 2014 Republican Senate Primary Runoff Survey

          • Chris McDaniel 50% [47%] (50.6%)
          • Thad Cochran 44% [48%] (47.6%)
          • Undecided 6% [5%] (1.8%)
          Survey of 1,192 likely GOP runoff voters was conducted June 17-18, 2014. The margin of error is +/ - 2.85 percentage points. Race: 95% [95%] (96%) White: 3% [3%] (2%) Black; 2% [2%] (2%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted June 13, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 5, 2014 are in parentheses.

          Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

          Rasmussen (R) New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie  

          Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?
          • Approve 51%
          • Disapprove 48%
          Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted June 17-18, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

          Thursday, June 19, 2014

          Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

          PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [45%] (45%) {47%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [47%]
          • Jeb Bush (R) 44% [42%] (44%) {46%} [43%] (44%) {45%} [43%]
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [47%] (48%) {49%} [48%]
          • Mike Huckabee (R) 43% [43%] (43%) {42%} [43%]
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [45%] (47%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {48%} [50%] (52%) 
          • Rand Paul (R) 43% [44%] (43%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (40%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [44%] (46%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {42%} [43%]
            • Chris Christie (R) 41% [40%] (44%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {45%} [46%]
              Among Independents
              • Jeb Bush (R) 45% [40%] (45%) {38%} [35%] (41%) {44%} [41%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% [33%] (39%) {46%} [50%] (36%) {37%} [40%]
              • Mike Huckabee (R) 46% [46%] (44%) {34%} [36%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% [39%] (38%) {48%} [52%]
              • Rand Paul (R) 43% [46%] (44%) {40%} [39%] (46%) {48%} [45%] (42%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [32%] (35%) {48%} [49%] (34%) {42%} [42%] (48%)
                • Chris Christie (R) 39% [39%] (45%) {38%} [33%] (39%) {50%} [46%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [36%] (38%) {39%} [47%] (33%) {31%} [31%]
                  Among Moderates
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% [57%] (60%) [58%] (58%) {59%} [61%]
                  • Jeb Bush (R) 30% [23%] (29%) [25%] (25%) {30%} [26%]
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% [64%] (62%) [60%]
                  • Mike Huckabee (R) 25% [21%] (28%) [25%]
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% [56%] (59%) [58%] (60%) {62%} [63%] (65%)
                  • Rand Paul (R) 25% [23%] (26%) [29%] (25%) {25%} [26%] (25%)
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [59%] (60%) [54%] (50%) {51%} [54%]
                    • Chris Christie (R) 30% [18%] (31%) [31%] (32%) {32%} [36%]
                      Among Men
                      • Jeb Bush (R) 51% [47%] (50%) {49%} [46%] (49%) {51%} [46%] 
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [39%] (42%) {42%} [45%] (41%) {38%} [42%]
                      • Mike Huckabee (R) 48% [49%] (47%) {44%} [46%]
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [43%] (45%) {47%} [47%]
                      • Rand Paul (R) 50% [50%] (48%) {49%} [47%] (49%) {49%} [46%] (47%)
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [41%] (45%) {43%} [45%] (44%) {43%} [46%] (46%)
                        • Chris Christie (R) 45% [43%] (47%) {48%} [46%] (49%) {51%} [51%]
                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% [39%] (42%) {40%} [41%] (37%) {35%} [37%]
                          Among Women
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [50%] (49%) {50%} [49%] (51%) {53%} [52%]
                          • Jeb Bush (R) 39% [38%] (39%) {43%} [41%] (38%) {39%} [40%]
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [50%] (50%) {52%} [50%]
                          • Mike Huckabee (R) 38% [38%] (40%) {41%} [41%]
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [48%] (49%) {55%} [49%] (49%) {53%} [54%] (57%)
                          • Rand Paul (R) 37% [38%] (39%) {38%} [41%] (38%) {38%} [38%] (35%)
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [49%] (49%) {52%} [48%] (47%) {49%} [47%]
                            • Chris Christie (R) 37% [36%] (42%) {37%} [38%] (38%) {40%} [42%]
                              Among Whites
                              • Jeb Bush (R) 54% [51%] (55%) {57%} [54%] (55%) {58%} [53%]
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% [39%] (37%) {35%} [37%] (34%) {35%} [37%]
                              • Mike Huckabee (R) 53% [51%] (53%) {53%} [54%]
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% [39%] (38%) {37%} [38%]
                              • Rand Paul (R) 52% [52%] (54%) {54%} [54%] (56%) {54%} [51%] (51%)
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% [38%] (38%) {38%} [36%] (35%) {37%} [39%] (41%)
                                • Chris Christie (R) 48% [46%] (54%) {51%} [50%] (53%) {57%} [56%]
                                • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% [39%] (37%) {36%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [33%]
                                  Among Blacks
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 82% [69%] (77%) {86%} [82%] (86%) {81%} [81%]
                                  • Jeb Bush (R) 11% [9%] (8%) {9%} [7%] (7%) {9%} [13%]
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 86% [78%] (80%) {89%} [82%]
                                  • Mike Huckabee (R) 8% [10%] (10%) {9%} [9%]
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 85% [75%] (80%) {87%} [82%] (84%) {83%} [86%] (87%)
                                  • Rand Paul (R) 9% [13%] (10%) {11%} [10%] (5%) {12%} [11%] (8%)
                                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 82% [68%] (78%) {80%} [78%] (79%) {81%} [77%]
                                    • Chris Christie (R) 12% [11%] (13%) {14%} [11%] (11%) {9%} [17%]
                                      Survey of 1,076 registered voters was conducted June 12-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 43% [42%] (42%) {42%} [39%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (43%) Democrat; 36% [35%] (36%) {35%} [34%] (33%) {34%} [33%] (34%) Republican; 22% [23%] (22%) {23%} [27%] (23%) {23%} [21%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Gender: 53% [53%] (53%) {53%} [53%] (53%) {53%} [54%] (57%) Women; 47% [47%] (47%) {47%} [47%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (43%) Men. Race: 75% [74%] (74%) {74%} [75%] (73%) {73%} [73%] (72%) White; 20% [20%] (20%) {20%} [20%] (21%) {21%} [20%] (22%) Black; 5% [6%] (6%) {6%} [5%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (6%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                      Poll Watch: Suffolk University/Boston Herald New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                      Suffolk/Boston Herald New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
                                      • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49.38% (52.00%)
                                      • Scott Brown (R) 39.38% (39.13%)
                                      • Gardner Goldsmith (L) 2.50%
                                      • Undecided 8.75% (8.87%)
                                      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                      • Jeanne Shaheen 51.50% (52.75%) / 36.38% (37.13%) {+15.12%}
                                      • Scott Brown 34.63% (32.75%) / 45.75% (42.38%) {-11.12%}
                                      Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted June 14-18, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party registration: 29.88% (30%) Republican; 28.25% (27%) Democrat; 39.63% (43%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted February 27 - March 5, 2014 are in parentheses.

                                      Poll Watch: Suffolk University/Boston Herald New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                                      Suffolk/Boston Herald New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                                      • Chris Christie 11.22% (11.50%)
                                      • Rand Paul 10.98% (12.21%)
                                      • Jeb Bush 8.35% (9.39%)
                                      • Ted Cruz 7.88% (4.93%)
                                      • Jon Huntsman 7.16% (8.22%)
                                      • Marco Rubio 4.53% (5.63%) 
                                      • Mike Huckabee 4.30% (5.40%)
                                      • Scott Walker 3.82% (6.57%)
                                      • Bobby Jindal 3.34% (4.23%)
                                      • Paul Ryan 2.86% (9.15%)
                                      • Rick Perry 1.67%
                                      • Rick Santorum 0.95% (2.35%)
                                      • Undecided 31.50% (14.32%)
                                      Survey of 419 likely Republican primary voters was conducted June 14-18, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted February 27 - March 5, 2014 are in parentheses.

                                      Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                      • Cory Gardner (R) 47% (42%)
                                      • Mark Udall (D) 45% (45%
                                      Survey of 747 likely voters was conducted June 5-8, 2014 for the National Mining Association. The margin of error is +/- 3.54 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 14-15, 2014 are in parentheses.

                                      Poll Watch: PPP (D) Minnesota 2016 Presidential Survey

                                      • Hillary Clinton 47% (44%)
                                      • Chris Christie 37% (38%)
                                      • Hillary Clinton 49%
                                      • Jeb Bush 39%
                                      • Hillary Clinton 50%
                                      • Mike Huckabee 40%
                                      • Hillary Clinton 49%
                                      • Rand Paul 38%
                                      • Hillary Clinton 51%
                                      • Ted Cruz 35%
                                      Among Men
                                      • Chris Christie 42% (45%)
                                      • Hillary Clinton 40% (38%)
                                      • Hillary Clinton 46%
                                      • Jeb Bush 43%
                                      • Hillary Clinton 45%
                                      • Mike Huckabee 45%
                                      • Hillary Clinton 44%
                                      • Rand Paul 44%
                                      • Hillary Clinton 47%
                                      • Ted Cruz 39%
                                      Among Women
                                      • Hillary Clinton 53% (51%)
                                      • Chris Christie 33% (31%)
                                      • Hillary Clinton 53%
                                      • Jeb Bush 35%
                                      • Hillary Clinton 54%
                                      • Mike Huckabee 35%
                                      • Hillary Clinton 54%
                                      • Rand Paul 33%
                                      • Hillary Clinton 54%
                                      • Ted Cruz 32%
                                      Survey of 633 Minnesota voters was conducted June 12-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/-3.9 percentage points. Party ID: 37% (39%) Democrat; 28% (29%) Republican; 35% (33%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 28% (27%) Moderate; 22% (24%) Somewhat conservative; 19% (22%) Somewhat liberal; 17% (14%) Very conservative; 14% (13%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 18-20, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                      Wednesday, June 18, 2014

                                      Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                      • Bruce Braley (D) 44% [42%] (44%)
                                      • Joni Ernst (R) 40% [29%] (38%)
                                      Among Men
                                      • Joni Ernst (R) 44% [33%] (44%)
                                      • Bruce Braley (D) 40% [40%] (39%)
                                      Among Women
                                      • Bruce Braley (D) 47% [44%] (49%)
                                      • Joni Ernst (R) 36% [27%] (31%)
                                      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                      • Bruce Braley 35% [35%] / 26% [18%] {+9%}
                                      • Joni Ernst 34% [13%] / 28% [6%] {+6%}
                                      Survey of 1,277 registered voters was conducted June 12-16, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Party ID: 29% [28%] (27%) Democrat; 27% [25%] (28%) Republican; 40% [39%] (40%) Independent; 5% [7%] (4%) Other. Results from the poll conducted March 5-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-15, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                      Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Georgia 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Runoff Survey

                                      • Jack Kingston 49%
                                      • David Perdue 38%
                                      • Undecided 14%
                                      Survey of 1,140 likely GOP primary voters was conducted June 11-12, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Race: 95% White; 2% Black; 1% Other.

                                      Tuesday, June 17, 2014

                                      Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                      PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll
                                      • Kay Hagan (D) 39% {38%} (43%) [45%] {40%} (42%) [44%] {44%}
                                      • Thom Tillis (R) 34% {36%} (41%) [43%] {42%} (43%) [42%] {42%}  
                                      • Sean Haugh (L) 11% {11%}
                                      Among Men
                                      • Thom Tillis (R) 39% {42%} (42%) [50%] {47%} (48%) [45%] {48%}
                                      • Kay Hagan (D) 39% {36%} (47%) [42%] {42%} (43%) [43%] {42%}
                                      • Sean Haugh (L) 10% {12%}
                                      Among Women
                                      • Kay Hagan (D) 39% {40%} (39%) [47%] {39%} (41%) [46%] {46%}
                                      • Thom Tillis (R) 29% {31%} (40%) [37%] {38%} (39%) [40%] {37%} 
                                      • Sean Haugh (L) 12% {10%} 
                                      Horse race with Haugh supporters asked whether they lean Hagan or Tillis
                                      • Kay Hagan (D) 42% {41%
                                      • Thom Tillis (R) 38% {41%}
                                      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                      • Thom Tillis 23% {30%} (20%) [18%] {15%} (15%) [12%] {16%} / 45% {46%} (39%) [37%] {29%} (28%) [30%] {28%} {-22%}
                                      Do you approve or disapprove Senator Kay Hagan's job performance?
                                      • Approve 42% {38%} (41%) [41%] {41%} (39%) [43%] {44%}
                                      • Disapprove 46% {49%} (48%) [50%] {50%} (49%) [49%] {49%}
                                      Survey of 1,076 registered voters was conducted June 12-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Party ID: 43% {42%} (42%) [42%] {39%} [43%] {45%} Democrat; 36% {35%} (36%) [35%] {34%} [34%] {33%} Republican; 22% {23%} (22%) [23%] {27%} [23%] {21%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.

                                      Monday, June 16, 2014

                                      Poll Watch: The Polling Company/WomanTrend (R) Mississippi 2014 Republican Senate Primary Runoff Survey

                                      • Chris McDaniel 52%
                                      • Thad Cochran 40%
                                      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                      • Chris McDaniel 62% / 28% {+34%}
                                      • Thad Cochran 55% / 37% {+18%}
                                      Survey of 501 likely GOP runoff voters was conducted June 12-13, 2014 on behalf of Citizens United Political Victory Fund. The margin of error is +/ - 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 67% Republican; 2% Democrat; 11% Independent. Ideology: 79% Conservative; 13% Moderate; 2% Liberal.

                                      Poll Watch: Chism Strategies (D) Mississippi 2014 Republican Senate Primary Runoff Survey

                                      • Thad Cochran 48% (47.6%)
                                      • Chris McDaniel 47% (50.6%)
                                      • Undecided 5% (1.8%)
                                      Survey of 821 likely GOP runoff voters was conducted June 13, 2014. The margin of error is +/ - 3.3 percentage points. Race: 95% (96%) White: 3% (2%) Black; 2% (2%) Other. Results from the poll conducted June 5, 2014 are in parentheses.

                                      Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                      Magellan Strategies (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll
                                      • Gary Peters (D) 50% (46%)
                                      • Terri Lynn Land (R) 41% (41%)
                                      • Some other candidate 5% (8%)
                                      • Undecided 4% (5%)
                                      Survey of 753 likely Michigan voters was conducted June 5 and 8, 2014 for for the National Mining Association. The margin of error is +/- 3.57 percentage points. Party ID: 35% Democrat; 31% Republican; 34% Something else. Results from the poll conducted April 14-15, 2014 are in parentheses.

                                      Sunday, June 15, 2014

                                      Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

                                      CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
                                      • Rand Paul 14% [13%] (16%) {13%} [13%] (13%)
                                      • Jeb Bush 12% [13%] (9%) {10%} [6%] (10%)
                                      • Mike Huckabee 11% [10%] (10%) {14%}
                                      • Paul Ryan 10% [12%] (15%) {9%} [11%] (16%)
                                      • Ted Cruz 9% [7%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (7%)
                                      • Chris Christie 8% [9%] (8%) {10%} [24%] (17%)
                                      • Marco Rubio 8% [6%] (5%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
                                      • Rick Perry 6% [8%] (11%) {8%} [7%] (6%)
                                      • Scott Walker 5% [7%]
                                      • Rick Santorum 4% [2%] (3%) {4%} [6%] (5%)
                                      • Someone else (vol.) 6% [4%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
                                      • None/No one (vol.) 2% [4%] (4%) {3%} [2%] (4%)
                                      • No opinion 5% [7%] (5%) {4%} [6%] (6%)
                                      Among Republicans
                                      • Paul Ryan 15% [14%] (19%) {9%} [11%] (17%)
                                      • Mike Huckabee 14% [12%] (9%) {17%}
                                      • Jeb Bush 10% [15%] (11%) {10%} [6%] (13%)
                                      • Marco Rubio 9% [6%] (5%) {12%} [10%] (10%)
                                      • Ted Cruz 9% [6%] (11%) {5%} [9%] (7%)
                                      • Chris Christie 8% [8%] (6%) {8%} [28%] (17%)
                                      • Rand Paul 8% [12%] (10%) {13%} [12%] (9%)
                                      • Rick Perry 7% [7%] (11%) {8%} [8%] (7%)
                                      • Scott Walker 4% [7%] 
                                      • Rick Santorum 3% [2%] (4%) {5%} [7%] (3%)
                                      • Someone else (vol.) 7% [3%] (8%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
                                      • None/No one (vol.) 2% [2%] (3%) {4%} [1%] (4%)
                                      • No opinion 4% [8%] (5%) {3%} [3%] (5%)
                                      Among GOP-Leaning Independents
                                      • Rand Paul 21% [15%] (22%) {13%} [15%] (17%)
                                      • Jeb Bush 14% [10%] (7%) {10%} [6%] (6%)
                                      • Ted Cruz 9% [9%] (6%) {13%} [12%] (7%)
                                      • Mike Huckabee 8% [7%] (11%) {10%}
                                      • Chris Christie 7% [10%] (11%) {13%} [20%] (18%)
                                      • Marco Rubio 7% [6%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%)
                                      • Paul Ryan 5% [8%] (11%) {10%} [12%]  (15%)
                                      • Rick Perry 5% [8%] (12%) {7%} [7%] (6%)
                                      • Rick Santorum 4% [2%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (7%)
                                      • Someone else (vol.) 5% [5%] (3%) {12%} [6%] (4%)
                                      • None/No one (vol.) 3% [6%] (6%) {2%} [3%] (4%)
                                      • No opinion 7% [7%] (5%) {4%} [8%] (7%)
                                      Among Men
                                      • Rand Paul 17% [17%] (17%) {17%} [15%] (13%)
                                      • Jeb Bush 12% [14%] (7%) {9%} [2%] (9%)
                                      • Mike Huckabee 11% [8%] (11%) {14%}
                                      • Ted Cruz 10% [9%] (10%) {10%} [12%] (12%)
                                      • Paul Ryan 9% [7%] (15%) {12%} [10%] (14%)
                                      • Rick Perry 8% [11%] (10%) {7%} [8%] (7%)
                                      • Chris Christie 7% [8%] (9%) {6%} [23%] (16%)
                                      • Scott Walker 7% [8%]
                                      • Marco Rubio 6% [4%] (6%) {7%} [11%] (11%) 
                                      • Rick Santorum 4% [1%] (2%) {2%} [6%] (6%)
                                      • Someone else (vol.) 5% [3%] (7%) {8%} [6%] (5%)
                                      • None/No one (vol.) 1% [4%] (2%) {4%} [2%] (3%)
                                      • No opinion 3% [6%] (3%) {4%} [4%] (5%)
                                      Among Women
                                      • Paul Ryan 12% [17%] (13%) {6%} [13%] (19%)
                                      • Mike Huckabee 12% [12%] (9%) {14%}
                                      • Marco Rubio 11% [8%] (5%) {11%} [7%] (7%)
                                      • Jeb Bush 10% [12%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (11%)
                                      • Rand Paul 10% [10%] (14%) {9%} [11%] (12%) 
                                      • Chris Christie 8% [9%] (7%) {15%} [24%] (19%)
                                      • Ted Cruz 8% [5%] (6%) {7%} [8%] (3%)
                                      • Scott Walker 3% [6%]
                                      • Rick Perry 3% [4%] (13%) {9%} [6%] (6%)
                                      • Rick Santorum 3% [2%] (4%) {7%} [6%] (4%)
                                      • Someone else (vol.) 7% [4%] (4%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
                                      • None/No one (vol.) 4% [3%] (7%) {3%} [2%] (6%)
                                      • No opinion 8% [9%] (6%) {3%} [7%] (7%)
                                      Survey of 452 Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted May 29 - June 1, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 55% [61%] (50%) {52%} Republican; 45% [39%] (50%) {48%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted May 2-4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                      Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Minnesota 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                      • Al Franken (D) 48%
                                      • Mike McFadden (R) 42%
                                      • Kevin Terrell (IP) 4%
                                      • Other 1%
                                      • Undecided 5%
                                      Among Men
                                      • Al Franken (D) 47%
                                      • Mike McFadden (R) 44%
                                      • Kevin Terrell (IP) 5%
                                      • Other 0%
                                      • Undecided 5%
                                      Among Women
                                      • Al Franken (D) 50%
                                      • Mike McFadden (R) 39%
                                      • Kevin Terrell (IP) 4%
                                      • Other 2%
                                      • Undecided 6%
                                      Survey of 1,017 likely voters was conducted June 5-9, 2014 for KSTP-TV Minneapolis. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 36% Democrat; 32% Republican; 29% Independent. Ideology: 44% Moderate; 34% Conservative; 18% Liberal.

                                      Friday, June 13, 2014

                                      Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                      Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2014 Senate Poll
                                      • Mark Warner (D) 53% (51%)
                                      • Ed Gillespie (R) 36% (37%)
                                      • Some other candidate 3% (2%)
                                      • Undecided 9% (9%)
                                      Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted June, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 20-21, 2014 are in parentheses.

                                      Inside the numbers: 
                                      Ninety percent (90%) of Virginia Democrats support Warner, while 70% of the state's Republicans back Gillespie. The incumbent has a 45% to 34% lead among voters not affiliated with either major party.
                                      Warner remains far better-known to Virginia voters. He is viewed Very Favorably by 34% and Very Unfavorably by 14%. Just two percent (2%) say they have never heard of him. Ten percent (10%) have a Very Favorable opinion of Gillespie, while 11% view him Very Unfavorably. However, 23% still say they have never heard of the Republican candidate, although that’s down from 30% earlier this year.
                                      Voters trust Warner more than Gillespie on all four issues regularly tracked by Rasmussen Reports. The Democrat leads in voter trust when it comes to handling government spending (47% to 29%) and taxes (45% to 31%). Warner holds even larger leads in the areas of government ethics and corruption (45% to 27%) and social issues (50% to 29%). However, 22% to 28% of voters are not sure which candidate they trust more on all four issues.

                                      Poll Watch: Bloomberg/Selzer & Co. 2016 Presidential Survey

                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (52%) 
                                      • Chris Christie (R) 38% (39%)
                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
                                      • Rand Paul (R) 38%
                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
                                      • Jeb Bush (R) 38%
                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
                                      • Marco Rubio (R) 36%
                                      National survey of 723 likely voters was conducted June 6-9, 2014. Results from the poll conducted March 7-10, 2014 are in parentheses.

                                      Poll Watch: Vox Populi/Daller Caller (R) Alaska 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

                                      • Dan Sullivan 32%
                                      • Mead Treadwell 23%
                                      • Joe Miller 15%
                                      • Undecided/Another candidate 31%
                                      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                      • Mead Treadwell 44% / 16% {+28%}
                                      • Dan Sullivan 41% / 28% {+13%}
                                      • Joe Miller 24% / 52% {-28%}
                                      Survey of 619 likely Republican voters was conducted June 5-9, 2014.

                                      Poll Watch: InsiderAdvantage/Opinion Savvy (R) Georgia 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Runoff Survey

                                      • Jack Kingston 46.1%
                                      • David Perdue 35.1%
                                      • Undecided 18.9%
                                      Survey of 401 likely GOP primary voters was conducted June 10-11, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.89 percentage points.  Party ID: 69.7% Republican; 4.4% Democrat; 25.8% Independent.

                                      Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                      • Bill Cassidy (R) 50% (44%)
                                      • Mary Landrieu (D) 44% (42%)
                                      • Some other candidate 5% (10%)
                                      • Undecided 1% (4%)
                                      Survey of 719 likely voters was conducted June 5 and 8, 2014 for the National Mining Association. The margin of error is +/- 3.65 percentage points. Party registration: 50% (51%) Democrat; 35% (35%) Republican; 15% (14%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted April 14-15, 2014 are in parentheses.

                                      Thursday, June 12, 2014

                                      Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                      Magellan Strategies (R) Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll
                                      • Tom Cotton (R) 49% (46%)
                                      • Mark Pryor (D) 45% (43%)
                                      • Some other candidate 2% (4%)
                                      • Undecided 4% (7%)
                                      Survey of 755 likely voters was conducted June 4-5, 2014 for the National Mining Association. The margin of error is +/- 3.57 percentage points. Party ID: 37% Democrat; 29% Republican; 34% Something else. Results from the poll conducted April 14-15, 2014 are in parentheses.

                                      Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey

                                      PPP (D) Florida 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Poll
                                      • Hillary Clinton 66% (62%) {65%} [61%] (67%)
                                      • Elizabeth Warren 8% (3%) {4%} [1%] (2%)
                                      • Joe Biden 7% (12%) {15%} [14%] (11%)
                                      • Cory Booker 5%
                                      • Andrew Cuomo 4% (5%) {4%} [8%] (8%)
                                      • Mark Warner 1% (1%) {1%} [2%] (0%)
                                      • Martin O'Malley 0% (1%) {0%} [3%] (0%)
                                      • Brian Schweitzer 0% (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%) 
                                      • Kirsten Gillibrand 0% (0%) {0%}
                                      • Someone else/Undecided 9% (14%) {11%} [9%] (11%)
                                      Survey of 251 Democratic primary voters was conducted June 6-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 6.2 percentage points.  Political ideology: 42% (28%) {28%} [30%] (27%) Somewhat liberal; 27% (42%) {39%} [33%] (41%) Moderate; 17% (18%) {18%} [22%] (16%) Very liberal; 10% (9%) {11%} [10%] (12%) Somewhat conservative; 5% (3%) {3%} [5%] (4%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted March 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.

                                      Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

                                      PPP (D) Florida 2016 Presidential Poll
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [53%] (49%)
                                        • Jeb Bush (R) 45% [40%] (44%)
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [56%] (50%)
                                        • Marco Rubio (R) 44% [40%] (46%)
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
                                        • Rand Paul (R) 42%
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
                                        • Mike Huckabee (R) 41%
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
                                        • Chris Christie (R) 38%
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
                                        • Ted Cruz (R) 39%
                                        Among Men
                                        • Jeb Bush (R) 50% [46%] (52%)
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [47%] (43%)
                                        • Marco Rubio (R) 49% [46%] (53%)
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [50%] (43%)
                                        • Rand Paul (R) 48%
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
                                        • Mike Huckabee (R) 47%
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
                                        • Chris Christie (R) 44%
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
                                        • Ted Cruz (R) 46%
                                        Among Women
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [58%] (54%)
                                        • Jeb Bush (R) 41% [35%] (36%)
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [61%] (56%)
                                        • Marco Rubio (R) 39% [35%] (39%)
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
                                        • Rand Paul (R) 37%
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
                                        • Mike Huckabee (R) 36%
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
                                        • Chris Christie (R) 34%
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
                                        • Ted Cruz (R) 33%
                                        Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Marco Rubio's job performance?
                                        • Approve 45% [44%] (49%)
                                        • Disapprove 40% [43%] (36%)
                                        Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jeb Bush?
                                        • Favorable 51% [50%] (51%)
                                        • Unfavorable 35% [37%] (35%)
                                        Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Hillary Clinton?
                                        • Favorable 46% [56%] (52%)
                                        • Unfavorable 47% [37%] (41%)
                                        Do you think Jeb Bush should run for President in 2016, or not?
                                        • He should 35% [33%] (32%)
                                        • He should not 50% [51%] (53%)
                                        Do you think Marco Rubio should run for President in 2016, or not?
                                        • He should 27% [37%] (38%)
                                        • He should not 59% [53%] (49%)
                                        Survey of 672 Florida voters was conducted June 6-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 38% [42%] (44%) Democrat; 37% [37%] (38%) Republican; 25% [22%] (18%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 28% [32%] (33%) Moderate; 25% [21%] (21%) Somewhat conservative; 22% [17%] (17%) Somewhat liberal; 15% [17%] (18%) Very conservative; 11% [13%] (12%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 15-18, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                        Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Survey

                                        PPP (D) Florida 2016 GOP Presidential Primary Poll
                                        • Jeb Bush 30% (30%) {26%} [28%] (22%) 
                                        • Marco Rubio 14% (29%) {31%} [22%] (24%
                                        • Rand Paul 11% (11%) {5%} [3%] (4%)
                                        • Ted Cruz 9%
                                        • Chris Christie 8% (8%) {7%} [9%] (10%)
                                        • Mike Huckabee 7% (9%) {11%} [11%] (10%)
                                        • Scott Walker 7%
                                        • Paul Ryan 2% (4%) {5%} [8%] (10%)
                                        • Bobby Jindal 1% (2%) {5%}
                                        • Someone else/Not sure 10% (6%) {5%} [5%] (4%)
                                        Among Men
                                        • Jeb Bush 32% (33%) {22%} [33%] (23%)
                                        • Rand Paul 11% (13%) {4%} [3%] (4%)
                                        • Scott Walker 10%
                                        • Ted Cruz 10%
                                        • Marco Rubio 10% (27%) {34%} [20%] (28%)
                                        • Chris Christie 9% (7%) {7%} [8%] (11%)
                                        • Mike Huckabee 5% (8%) {11%} [8%] (9%)
                                        • Paul Ryan 2% (4%) {7%} [8%] (11%)
                                        • Bobby Jindal 2% (3%) {4%}
                                        • Someone else/Not sure 9% (5%) {4%} [3%] (3%)
                                        Among Women
                                        • Jeb Bush 27% (25%) {31%} [23%] (21%
                                        • Marco Rubio 17% (31%) {27%} [23%] (20%)
                                        • Rand Paul 11% (10%) {6%} [3%] (5%)
                                        • Mike Huckabee 9% (10%) {12%} [13%] (11%)
                                        • Ted Cruz 8%
                                        • Chris Christie 7% (9%) {7%} [9%] (9%) 
                                        • Scott Walker 4%
                                        • Paul Ryan 3% (5%) {3%} [8%] (9%) 
                                        • Bobby Jindal 1% (1%) {6%}
                                        • Someone else/Not sure 11% (7%) {6%} [6%] (5%)
                                        If you had to choose between just Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio as the Republican candidate for President in 2016, who would you pick? 
                                        • Marco Rubio 45% (49%)  
                                        • Jeb Bush 41% (36%)
                                        • Not sure 14% (15%)
                                        Do you think Jeb Bush should run for President in 2016, or not?
                                        • Think he should 47%
                                        • Think he should not 38%
                                        Do you think Marco Rubio should run for President in 2016, or not?
                                        • Think he should 42%
                                        • Think he should not 41%
                                        Survey of 315 Republican primary voters was conducted June 6-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Political ideology: 41% (40%) {36%} [42%] (40%) Somewhat conservative; 28% (27%) {35%} [34%] (33%) Very conservative; 22% (24%) {19%} [19%] (20%) Moderate; 6% (6%) {9%} [3%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 2% (2%) {2%} [2%] (3%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.

                                        Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                        Rasmussen (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll
                                        • Steve Daines (R) 53% (51%)
                                        • John Walsh (D) 35% (37%)
                                        • Some other candidate 3% (4%)
                                        • Undecided 9% (9%)
                                        Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted June 9-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

                                        Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Kentucky 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                        Magellan Strategies (R) Kentucky 2014 Senate Poll
                                        • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 49%
                                        • Mitch McConnell (R) 46%
                                        • Undecided 5%
                                        Survey of 808 likely voters was conducted June 4-5, 2014 for the National Mining Association. The margin of error is +/- 3.45 percentage points. Party registration: 56% Democrat; 40% Republican; 4% Independent.

                                        Poll Watch: Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                        Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll
                                        • Gary Peters (D) 45% [38%] (33%)
                                        • Terri Lynn Land (R) 42% [44%] (32%)
                                        • Undecided 14% [18%] (35%)
                                        Survey of 961 likely voters was conducted June 6, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.16 percentage points.  Party ID: 39% [38%] (41%) Democrat; 35% [36%] (37%) Republican; 20% [19%] (17%) Independent; 6% [7%] (5%) Another party.  Results from the poll conducted April 9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                        Wednesday, June 11, 2014

                                        Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

                                        SurveyUSA Florida 2016 Presidential Poll
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
                                        • Jeb Bush (R) 41%
                                        • Jeb Bush (R) 47%
                                        • Joe Biden (D) 38%
                                        Among Men
                                        • Jeb Bush (R) 45%
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
                                        • Jeb Bush (R) 49%
                                        • Joe Biden (D) 34%
                                        Among Women
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
                                        • Jeb Bush (R) 37%
                                        • Jeb Bush (R) 45%
                                        • Joe Biden (D) 43%
                                        Survey of 556 likely voters was conducted June 5-10, 2014 for WFLA-TV.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID: 38% Democrat; 38% Republican; 23% Independent. Ideology: 41% Moderate; 35% Conservative; 20% Liberal. Gender: 53% Male; 47% Female.

                                        Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

                                        SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
                                        • Charlie Crist (D) 44% (40%) {44%} [44%] (46%)
                                        • Rick Scott (R) 40% (42%) {41%} [41%] (41%)
                                        Among Democrats
                                        • Charlie Crist (D) 82% (77%) {80%} (80%)
                                        • Rick Scott (R) 6% (8%) {10%} (13%)
                                        Among Republicans
                                        • Rick Scott (R) 75% (80%) {74%} (71%)
                                        • Charlie Crist (D) 13% (7%) {14%} (14%)
                                        Among Independents
                                        • Rick Scott (R) 39% (39%) {41%} (43%)
                                        • Charlie Crist (D) 35% (31%) {36%} (40%)
                                        Among Moderates
                                        • Charlie Crist (D) 47% (46%) {55%} (57%)
                                        • Rick Scott (R) 31% (34%) {30%} (33%)
                                        Among Men
                                        • Rick Scott (R) 45% (49%) {49%} (41%)
                                        • Charlie Crist (D) 39% (35%) {37%} (47%)
                                        Among Women
                                        • Charlie Crist (D) 50% (47%) {50%} (46%)
                                        • Rick Scott (R) 34% (35%) {33%} (42%)
                                        Survey of 556 likely voters was conducted June 5-10, 2014 for WFLA-TV.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID: 38% (39%) {37%} (38%) Democrat; 38% (37%) {37%} (34%) Republican; 23% (23%) {26%} (27%) Independent. Ideology: 41% (41%) {42%} (45%) Moderate; 35% (34%) {34%} (32%) Conservative; 20% (21%) {19%} (20%) Liberal. Gender: 53% (53%) {51%} (52%) Male; 47% (47%) {49%} (48%) Female. Results from the poll released May 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll released May 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll released April 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.

                                        Tuesday, June 10, 2014

                                        Poll Watch: Vox Populi Polling (R) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

                                        Vox Populi Polling (R) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
                                        • Hillary Clinton 65% (71%)
                                        • Joe Biden 18% (13%)
                                        • Elizabeth Warren 12% (10%)
                                        • Andrew Cuomo 3% (3%)
                                        • Martin O'Malley 2% (1%)
                                        Survey of 223 registered Democratic voters was conducted June 4-5, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 6.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 22-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

                                        Poll Watch: Vox Populi Polling (R) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

                                        Vox Populi Polling (R) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
                                        • Jeb Bush 18% (18%)
                                        • Mike Huckabee 15% (20%)
                                        • Paul Ryan 13% (19%)
                                        • Rand Paul 12% (8%)
                                        • Marco Rubio 11% (9%)
                                        • Rick Santorum 10%
                                        • Ted Cruz 9% (9%)
                                        • Chris Christie 6% (7%)
                                        • Scott Walker 6% (6%)
                                        Survey of 222 registered Republican voters was conducted June 4-5, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 6.6 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 22-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

                                        Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

                                        PPP (D) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
                                        • Charlie Crist (D) 42% (49%) {43%} [50%] (52%) {53%} [48%] (45%) {44%} [55%] (51%) {56%}
                                        • Rick Scott (R) 42% (42%) {41%} [38%] (40%) {39%} [43%] (42%) {41%} [32%] (38%) {34%}
                                        Among Democrats
                                        • Charlie Crist (D) 74% (77%) {66%} [72%] (74%) {76%} [77%] (69%) {69%} [80%] (83%) {81%}
                                        • Rick Scott (R) 12% (13%) {20%} [17%] (19%) {15%} [13%] (15%) {16%} [9%] (9%) {7%}
                                        Among Republicans
                                        • Rick Scott (R) 75% (69%) {80%} [65%] (65%) {66%} [81%] (77%) {69%} [61%] (72%) {68%}
                                        • Charlie Crist (D) 11% (21%) {14%} [21%] (29%) {29%} [12%] (15%) {19%} [25%] (16%) {24%}
                                        Among Independents
                                        • Rick Scott (R) 41% (56%) {23%} [33%] (41%) {41%} [41%] (31%) {43%} [32%] (33%) {30%}
                                        • Charlie Crist (D) 37% (38%) {47%} [57%] (47%) {48%} [47%] (52%) {40%} [52%] (51%) {62%}
                                        Among Moderates
                                        • Charlie Crist (D) 44% {56%} [64%] (71%) {67%} [65%] (55%) {57%} [63%] (68%) {73%}
                                        • Rick Scott (R) 36% {28%} [23%] (23%) {25%} [25%] (33%) {24%} [22%] (21%) {22%}
                                        Among Men
                                        • Rick Scott (R) 49% (52%) {47%} [43%] (44%) {49%} [48%] (46%) {43%} [37%] (39%) {41%}
                                        • Charlie Crist (D) 39% (41%) {39%} [46%] (50%) {44%} [45%] (42%) {44%} [50%] (48%) {52%}
                                        Among Women
                                        • Charlie Crist (D) 44% (55%) {47%} [54%] (53%) {61%} [50%] (47%) {44%} [59%] (54%) {60%}
                                        • Rick Scott (R) 36% (33%) {36%} [34%] (37%) {31%} [38%] (39%) {40%} [28%] (37%) {28%}
                                        If the candidates for Governor this fall were Republican Rick Scott and Democrat Nan Rich, who would you vote for?
                                        • Rick Scott 40% {40%} [37%]
                                        • Nan Rich 34% {34%} [36%]
                                        Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Scott’s job performance?
                                        • Approve 39% {34%} [33%] (33%) {33%} [38%] (41%) {39%} (31%) {34%} [26%] (36%) {33%} [32%]
                                        • Disapprove 48% {51%} [55%] (57%) {57%} [48%] (49%) {51%} (56%) {54%} [58%] (52%) {59%} [55%]
                                        Among Democrats
                                        • Approve 15% {19%} [16%] (23%) {21%} [13%] (17%) {13%} (12%) {11%} [8%] (16%) {10%} [11%]
                                        • Disapprove 75% {69%} [74%] (69%) {71%} [73%] (72%) {77%} (79%) {83%} [80%] (79%) {82%} [81%]
                                        Among Republicans
                                        • Approve 61% {58%} [57%] (46%) {49%} [72%] (72%) {64%} (53%) {60%} [46%] (60%) {63%} [57%]
                                        • Disapprove 26% {27%} [29%] (42%) {38%} [18%] (20%) {27%} (31%) {22%} [31%] (23%) {30%} [27%]
                                        Among Independents
                                        • Approve 43% {26%} [27%] (30%) {32%} [31%] (31%) {43%} (26%) {27%} [30%] (35%) {27%} [31%]
                                        • Disapprove 42% {54%} [63%] (59%) {64%} [48%] (54%) {43%} (60%) {60%} [55%] (52%) {64%} [54%]
                                        Among Moderates
                                        • Approve 33% {30%} [26%] (21%) {30%} [25%] (34%) {21%} (18%) {23%} [19%] (25%) {21%} [17%]
                                        • Disapprove 48% {57%} [63%] (68%) {65%} [60%] (57%) {66%} (66%) {64%} [66%] (65%) {71%} [72%]
                                        Among Men
                                        • Approve 48% {41%} [39%] (34%) {40%} [44%] (42%) {41%} (37%) {41%} [30%] (36%) {37%} [39%]
                                        • Disapprove 46% {44%} [48%] (57%) {55%} [44%] (49%) {55%} (52%) {50%} [56%] (52%) {56%} [51%]
                                        Among Women
                                        • Approve 31% {27%} [28%] (32%) {27%} [33%] (39%) {37%} (25%) {27%} [22%] (37%) {29%} [26%]
                                        • Disapprove 51% {57%} [62%] (57%) {60%} [52%] (48%) {47%} (60%) {57%} [59%] (53%) {62%} [59%]
                                        Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Charlie Crist?
                                        • Favorable 32% {36%} [43%] (46%) {49%} [39%] (36%) {41%} [48%] (51%) [46%]
                                        • Unfavorable 48% {46%} [42%] (43%) {38%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [33%] (34%) [42%]
                                        Among Democrats
                                        • Favorable 55% {52%} [58%] (60%) {70%} [55%] (44%) {50%} [57%] (66%) [59%]
                                        • Unfavorable 22% {24%} [24%] (28%) {16%} [22%] (33%) {31%} [23%] (21%) [28%]
                                        Among Republicans
                                        • Favorable 16% {17%} [25%] (28%) {29%} [19%] (24%) {34%} [38%] (35%) [33%]
                                        • Unfavorable 74% {72%} [65%] (62%) {62%} [69%] (60%) {49%} [44%] (52%) [57%]
                                        Among Independents
                                        • Favorable 24% {35%} [47%] (49%) {38%} [40%] (43%) {36%} [45%] (47%) [44%]
                                        • Unfavorable 49% {45%} [38%] (40%) {44%} [41%] (35%) {44%} [36%] (30%) [44%]
                                        Among Moderates
                                        • Favorable 35% {47%} [51%] (61%) {63%} [51%] (43%) {52%} [54%] (61%) [64%]
                                        • Unfavorable 41% {35%} [32%] (25%) {29%} [30%] (36%) {30%} [27%] (22%) [24%]
                                        Among Men
                                        • Favorable 30% {34%} [44%] (48%) {45%} [39%] (34%) {40%} [45%] (50%) [43%]
                                        • Unfavorable 53% {50%} [48%] (44%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {45%} [35%] (36%) [45%]
                                        Among Women
                                        • Favorable 34% {38%} [43%] (44%) {52%} [39%] (37%) {42%} [49%] (51%) [49%]
                                        • Unfavorable 44% {42%} [36%] (42%) {33%} [39%] (40%) {37%} [31%] (33%) [39%]
                                        Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Nan Rich?
                                        • Favorable 10% {9%} [8%]
                                        • Unfavorable 16% {21%} [23%]
                                        Survey of 672 registered voters was conducted June 6-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 38% (44%) {41%} [39%] (42%) {44%} [44%] (41%) {42%} (41%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {42%} [41%] (42%) Democrat; 37% (39%) {34%} [35%] (37%) {38%} [36%] (37%) {40%} (40%) {41%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [37%] (40%) Republican; 25% (17%) {24%} [25%] (22%) {18%} [20%] (21%) {19%} (19%) {18%} [20%] (23%) {21%} [22%] (18%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 28% {33%} [29%] (32%) {33%} [34%] (36%) {33%} (33%) {32%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [30%] Moderate; 25% {21%} [27%] (21%) {21%} [25%] (25%) {20%} (25%) {22%} [23%] (27%) {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 22% {20%} [18%] (17%) {17%} [15%] (16%) {17%} (16%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 15% {17%} [16%] (17%) {18%} [16%] (13%) {20%} (16%) {16%} [14%] (16%) {20%} [21%] Very conservative; 11% {10%} [10%] (13%) {12%} [10%] (9%) {10%} (10%) {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted April 1-3, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 16-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.