Tuesday, June 10, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Charlie Crist (D) 42% (49%) {43%} [50%] (52%) {53%} [48%] (45%) {44%} [55%] (51%) {56%}
  • Rick Scott (R) 42% (42%) {41%} [38%] (40%) {39%} [43%] (42%) {41%} [32%] (38%) {34%}
Among Democrats
  • Charlie Crist (D) 74% (77%) {66%} [72%] (74%) {76%} [77%] (69%) {69%} [80%] (83%) {81%}
  • Rick Scott (R) 12% (13%) {20%} [17%] (19%) {15%} [13%] (15%) {16%} [9%] (9%) {7%}
Among Republicans
  • Rick Scott (R) 75% (69%) {80%} [65%] (65%) {66%} [81%] (77%) {69%} [61%] (72%) {68%}
  • Charlie Crist (D) 11% (21%) {14%} [21%] (29%) {29%} [12%] (15%) {19%} [25%] (16%) {24%}
Among Independents
  • Rick Scott (R) 41% (56%) {23%} [33%] (41%) {41%} [41%] (31%) {43%} [32%] (33%) {30%}
  • Charlie Crist (D) 37% (38%) {47%} [57%] (47%) {48%} [47%] (52%) {40%} [52%] (51%) {62%}
Among Moderates
  • Charlie Crist (D) 44% {56%} [64%] (71%) {67%} [65%] (55%) {57%} [63%] (68%) {73%}
  • Rick Scott (R) 36% {28%} [23%] (23%) {25%} [25%] (33%) {24%} [22%] (21%) {22%}
Among Men
  • Rick Scott (R) 49% (52%) {47%} [43%] (44%) {49%} [48%] (46%) {43%} [37%] (39%) {41%}
  • Charlie Crist (D) 39% (41%) {39%} [46%] (50%) {44%} [45%] (42%) {44%} [50%] (48%) {52%}
Among Women
  • Charlie Crist (D) 44% (55%) {47%} [54%] (53%) {61%} [50%] (47%) {44%} [59%] (54%) {60%}
  • Rick Scott (R) 36% (33%) {36%} [34%] (37%) {31%} [38%] (39%) {40%} [28%] (37%) {28%}
If the candidates for Governor this fall were Republican Rick Scott and Democrat Nan Rich, who would you vote for?
  • Rick Scott 40% {40%} [37%]
  • Nan Rich 34% {34%} [36%]
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Scott’s job performance?
  • Approve 39% {34%} [33%] (33%) {33%} [38%] (41%) {39%} (31%) {34%} [26%] (36%) {33%} [32%]
  • Disapprove 48% {51%} [55%] (57%) {57%} [48%] (49%) {51%} (56%) {54%} [58%] (52%) {59%} [55%]
Among Democrats
  • Approve 15% {19%} [16%] (23%) {21%} [13%] (17%) {13%} (12%) {11%} [8%] (16%) {10%} [11%]
  • Disapprove 75% {69%} [74%] (69%) {71%} [73%] (72%) {77%} (79%) {83%} [80%] (79%) {82%} [81%]
Among Republicans
  • Approve 61% {58%} [57%] (46%) {49%} [72%] (72%) {64%} (53%) {60%} [46%] (60%) {63%} [57%]
  • Disapprove 26% {27%} [29%] (42%) {38%} [18%] (20%) {27%} (31%) {22%} [31%] (23%) {30%} [27%]
Among Independents
  • Approve 43% {26%} [27%] (30%) {32%} [31%] (31%) {43%} (26%) {27%} [30%] (35%) {27%} [31%]
  • Disapprove 42% {54%} [63%] (59%) {64%} [48%] (54%) {43%} (60%) {60%} [55%] (52%) {64%} [54%]
Among Moderates
  • Approve 33% {30%} [26%] (21%) {30%} [25%] (34%) {21%} (18%) {23%} [19%] (25%) {21%} [17%]
  • Disapprove 48% {57%} [63%] (68%) {65%} [60%] (57%) {66%} (66%) {64%} [66%] (65%) {71%} [72%]
Among Men
  • Approve 48% {41%} [39%] (34%) {40%} [44%] (42%) {41%} (37%) {41%} [30%] (36%) {37%} [39%]
  • Disapprove 46% {44%} [48%] (57%) {55%} [44%] (49%) {55%} (52%) {50%} [56%] (52%) {56%} [51%]
Among Women
  • Approve 31% {27%} [28%] (32%) {27%} [33%] (39%) {37%} (25%) {27%} [22%] (37%) {29%} [26%]
  • Disapprove 51% {57%} [62%] (57%) {60%} [52%] (48%) {47%} (60%) {57%} [59%] (53%) {62%} [59%]
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Charlie Crist?
  • Favorable 32% {36%} [43%] (46%) {49%} [39%] (36%) {41%} [48%] (51%) [46%]
  • Unfavorable 48% {46%} [42%] (43%) {38%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [33%] (34%) [42%]
Among Democrats
  • Favorable 55% {52%} [58%] (60%) {70%} [55%] (44%) {50%} [57%] (66%) [59%]
  • Unfavorable 22% {24%} [24%] (28%) {16%} [22%] (33%) {31%} [23%] (21%) [28%]
Among Republicans
  • Favorable 16% {17%} [25%] (28%) {29%} [19%] (24%) {34%} [38%] (35%) [33%]
  • Unfavorable 74% {72%} [65%] (62%) {62%} [69%] (60%) {49%} [44%] (52%) [57%]
Among Independents
  • Favorable 24% {35%} [47%] (49%) {38%} [40%] (43%) {36%} [45%] (47%) [44%]
  • Unfavorable 49% {45%} [38%] (40%) {44%} [41%] (35%) {44%} [36%] (30%) [44%]
Among Moderates
  • Favorable 35% {47%} [51%] (61%) {63%} [51%] (43%) {52%} [54%] (61%) [64%]
  • Unfavorable 41% {35%} [32%] (25%) {29%} [30%] (36%) {30%} [27%] (22%) [24%]
Among Men
  • Favorable 30% {34%} [44%] (48%) {45%} [39%] (34%) {40%} [45%] (50%) [43%]
  • Unfavorable 53% {50%} [48%] (44%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {45%} [35%] (36%) [45%]
Among Women
  • Favorable 34% {38%} [43%] (44%) {52%} [39%] (37%) {42%} [49%] (51%) [49%]
  • Unfavorable 44% {42%} [36%] (42%) {33%} [39%] (40%) {37%} [31%] (33%) [39%]
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Nan Rich?
  • Favorable 10% {9%} [8%]
  • Unfavorable 16% {21%} [23%]
Survey of 672 registered voters was conducted June 6-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 38% (44%) {41%} [39%] (42%) {44%} [44%] (41%) {42%} (41%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {42%} [41%] (42%) Democrat; 37% (39%) {34%} [35%] (37%) {38%} [36%] (37%) {40%} (40%) {41%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [37%] (40%) Republican; 25% (17%) {24%} [25%] (22%) {18%} [20%] (21%) {19%} (19%) {18%} [20%] (23%) {21%} [22%] (18%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 28% {33%} [29%] (32%) {33%} [34%] (36%) {33%} (33%) {32%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [30%] Moderate; 25% {21%} [27%] (21%) {21%} [25%] (25%) {20%} (25%) {22%} [23%] (27%) {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 22% {20%} [18%] (17%) {17%} [15%] (16%) {17%} (16%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 15% {17%} [16%] (17%) {18%} [16%] (13%) {20%} (16%) {16%} [14%] (16%) {20%} [21%] Very conservative; 11% {10%} [10%] (13%) {12%} [10%] (9%) {10%} (10%) {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted April 1-3, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 16-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.

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