Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Political Favorability Survey

Rasmussen (R) Political Favorability Poll

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Hillary Clinton?

• Very favorable 27% {29%} [27%] (25%)
• Somewhat favorable 26% {33%} [31%] (34%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 20% {19%} [17%] (20%)
• Very unfavorable 22% {18%} [21%] (16%)

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Leon Panetta?

• Very favorable 9% {14%} [6%]
• Somewhat favorable 23% {25%} [23%]
• Somewhat unfavorable 22% {22%} [20%]
  
• Very unfavorable 15% {12%} [12%]
  

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted April 20-21, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-9, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 1, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 16-17, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Not surprisingly, Democrats think much more highly of both Cabinet members than Republicans and voters not affiliated with either major party do.

Sixty percent (60%) of female voters have a favorable view of Clinton, but only 46% of male voters share that view. There is little difference in opinion between men and women when it comes to Panetta.

Voters ages 18 to 39 tend to have a more favorable impression of the secretary of State compared to their elders. Older voters see Panetta more favorably than those who are younger.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 47% (46%) {45%} [43%] (43%) {42%} [44%] (44%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (47%)
• Barack Obama 46% (47%) {48%} [50%] (49%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (45%)

Survey of 2,265 registered voters was conducted April 24-29, 2012. The margin of error is ±3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 22-27, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 21-26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 20-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 18-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 17-21, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 16-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 14-18, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 11-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 47%
• Barack Obama 45%

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted April 27-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

Inside the numbers: 

Romney carries 82% of the Republican vote, while Obama earns support from 85% of Democrats. The two candidates are tied among voters not affiliated with either major party, with 43% support each.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2012 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

PPP (D) Texas 2012 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• David Dewhurst 38% {36%} [41%]
• Ted Cruz 26% {18%} [12%]
• Tom Leppert 8% {7%} [6%]
• Craig James 7% {4%}
• Someone else 4%
• Undecided 18%

Very Conservative

• David Dewhurst 35% {39%} [45%]
• Ted Cruz 32% {22%} [14%]
• Tom Leppert 5% {6%} [3%]
• Craig James 4% {4%}
• Someone else 3%
• Undecided 21%

Somewhat Conservative

• David Dewhurst 45% {38%} [38%]
• Ted Cruz 23% {14%} [10%]
• Tom Leppert 7% {7%} [9%]
• Craig James 6% {3%}
• Someone else 2%
• Undecided 17%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• David Dewhurst 47% {41%} [42%] / 22% {19%} [16%] {+25%}
• Ted Cruz 31% {15%} [8%] / 17% {14%} [14%] {+14%}
• Tom Leppert 20% {20%} [13%] / 15% {16%} [13%] {+5%}
• Craig James 14% {11%} / 21% {19%} {-7%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 34% {36%}
• No 48% {53%}

Tea Party Members 

• David Dewhurst 35% {39%}
  
• Ted Cruz 35% {23%}
  
• Tom Leppert 5% {4%}
• Craig James 5% {4%}
• Someone else 3%
• Undecided 18%

Non-Tea Party GOP Primary Voters

• David Dewhurst 41% {34%}
• Ted Cruz 20% {14%}
• Tom Leppert 11% {8%}
• Craig James 8% {5%}
• Someone else 4%
• Undecided 15%

Survey of 400 Republican primary voters was conducted April 19-22, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 79% {72%} [82%] Republican; 18% {23%} [17%] Independent/Other; 3% {5%} [2%] Democrat.  Political ideology: 47% {41%} [38%] Very conservative; 33% {34%} [41%] Somewhat conservative; 12% {18%} [14%] Moderate; 6% {5%} [4%] Somewhat liberal; 2% {2%} [3%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-18, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas Political Survey

PPP (D) Texas Political Poll

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison’s job performance?

• Approve 50%
• Disapprove 32%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator John Cornyn's job performance?

• Approve 40%
• Disapprove 37%

Do you think Rick Perry should run for Governor again in 2014, or not?

• He should 29%
• He should not 64%

Among Republicans

• He should 49%
• He should not 38%

Among Independents

• He should 22%
• He should not 73%

Do you think Rick Perry should run for President again in 2016, or not?

• He should 19%
• He should not 73%

Among Republicans

• He should 31%
• He should not 57%

Among Independents

• He should 15%
• He should not 77%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

• George H.W. Bush 54% / 32% {+22%}
• Lyndon B. Johnson 44% / 30% {+14%}
• George W. Bush 48% / 44% {+4%}

Who do you think is the greatest president ever from Texas?

• Lyndon B. Johnson 39%
• George W. Bush 22%
• George H.W. Bush 19%

Among Republicans

• George W. Bush 37%
• George H.W. Bush 31%
• Lyndon B. Johnson 11%

Among Democrats

• Lyndon B. Johnson 70%
• George H.W. Bush 6%
• George W. Bush 5%

Among Independents

• Lyndon B. Johnson 43%
• George W. Bush 21%
• George H.W. Bush 14%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

• San Antonio 71% / 11% {+60%}
• Austin 70% / 17% {+53%}
• Dallas 56% / 25% {+31%}
  
• Houston 46% / 31% {+15%}
• El Paso 28% / 34% {-6%}

Among Republicans

• San Antonio 74% / 12% {+62%}
• Austin 67% / 24% {+43%}
• Dallas 62% / 20% {+42%}
  
• Houston 46% / 30% {+15%}
• El Paso 23% / 43% {-20%}

Among Democrats

• Austin 76% / 9% {+67%} 
• San Antonio 71% / 11% {+60%}
• Dallas 52% / 29% {+23%}
  
• Houston 47% / 33% {+14%}
• El Paso 34% / 23% {+11%}

Survey of 591 Texas voters was conducted April 19-22, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 42% Republican; 30% Democrat; 28% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 27% Very conservative; 25% Moderate; 23% Somewhat conservative; 16% Somewhat liberal; 9% Very liberal.

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Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 47% {48%} [50%] (49%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (45%)
• Mitt Romney 46% {45%} [43%] (43%) {42%} [44%] (44%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (47%)

Survey of 2,265 registered voters was conducted April 23-28, 2012. The margin of error is ±3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 22-27, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 21-26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 20-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 18-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 17-21, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 16-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 14-18, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 11-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 48%
• Barack Obama 46%

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted April 26-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

Inside the numbers:

Romney is currently supported by 83% of conservative voters, while 92% of liberals plan to vote for the president. Among moderate voters, Obama has a 15-point advantage.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 48% [50%] (49%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (45%)
• Mitt Romney 45% [43%] (43%) {42%} [44%] (44%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (47%)

Survey of 2,265 registered voters was conducted April 22-27, 2012. The margin of error is ±3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 21-26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 20-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 18-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 17-21, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 16-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 14-18, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 11-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

Weekly Address: Helping our Veterans and Servicemembers Make Informed Decisions about Higher Education

Paul Ryan Delivers Weekly Republican Address

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 47%
• Mitt Romney 45%

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted April 25-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

Poll Watch: Elon University North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

Elon University North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Strongly approve 21.5%
• Approve 22.4%
• Disapprove 16.2%
• Strongly disapprove 32.8%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of President Obama?

• Strongly favorable 21.5%
• Favorable 27.6%
• Unfavorable 18.8%
• Strongly unfavorable 23.1%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney?

• Strongly favorable 3.9%
• Favorable 24.2%
• Unfavorable 25.5%
• Strongly unfavorable 17.4%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 49.1% / 41.9% {+7.2%}
• Mitt Romney 28.1% / 42.9% {-14.8%}

Survey of 640 adults was conducted April 22-25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.87 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 50% (49%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (45%)
• Mitt Romney 43% (43%) {42%} [44%] (44%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (47%)

Survey of 2,265 registered voters was conducted April 21-26, 2012. The margin of error is ±3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 20-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 18-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 17-21, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 16-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 14-18, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 11-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Vice Presidential Favorability Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 VP Favorability Poll

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Condoleezza Rice 66% / 24% {+42%}
• Mike Huckabee 44% / 40% {+4%}
• Allen West 27% / 27% {0%}
• Susana Martinez 19% / 23% {-4%}
• Bob McDonnell 20% / 26% {-6%}

National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted April 24-25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Inside the numbers: 

Rice is far and away the most popular in the latest batch of five possible vice presidential candidates asked about. She’s also viewed a lot more favorably than an earlier set of candidates including Florida Senator Marco Rubio, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie and the man who recently ended his own GOP presidential campaign, former Senator Rick Santorum.

Among Republican voters, 84% hold a favorable opinion of the nation’s chief diplomat under President George W. Bush, giving her double-digit leads over Rubio, Christie and Santorum who all run in the 60s. Running second among the current batch of possible vice presidential candidates is former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee, an unsuccessful candidate for the party’s presidential nomination in 2008. He’s viewed favorably by 72% of GOP voters.

Among Republicans, 44% like West, 18% don’t, 38% aren’t sure.

Among Republicans, 36% view McDonnell favorably and 26% say the same of Martinez, but 45% and 54% of GOP voters respectively have no opinion of them.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Florida 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Florida 2012 Senate Poll

• Bill Nelson (D) 47% (36%) {41%} [39%]
• Connie Mack (R) 36% (43%) {41%} [43%]

• Bill Nelson (D) 44% (41%) {45%} [39%]
• George LeMieux (R) 30% (38%) {35%} [33%]

• Bill Nelson (D) 48% (42%) {43%}
• Mike McCalister (R) 29% (38%) {37%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted April 25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted March 13, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 17, 2011 are in square brackets.

Inside the numbers:

One-out-of-five Florida Republicans now expresses a preference for Nelson over any of the GOP candidates.

Among voters not affiliated with either of the major political parties, Nelson now posts double-digit leads over all three Republican hopefuls.

Mack is the only Republican who leads Nelson among male voters, but like the other GOP hopefuls, he trails the Democrat by more than 20 points among female voters.

Nelson now posts leads among most age and income demographic categories against all three of his challengers.

Nelson is viewed Very Favorably by 18% of Florida voters and Very Unfavorably by 14%. This marks little change from a month ago.

Thirteen percent (13%) share a Very Favorable opinion of Mack, down four points from March, while 12% regard him Very Unfavorably. For LeMieux, Very Favorables are 10%, Very Unfavorables 15%. McCalister is seen Very Favorably by eight percent (8%) and Very Unfavorably by 11%.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Florida 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 46% {43%} [44%] (46%)
• Barack Obama 45% {46%} [47%] (42%)
  

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 58%
• Barack Obama 31%
  

Among Women

• Barack Obama 55%
  
• Mitt Romney 37%

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney? 

• Very favorable 21%
• Somewhat favorable 29%
• Somewhat unfavorable 25%
• Very unfavorable 22%

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president? 

• Strongly approve 37% {28%}
• Somewhat approve 12% {21%} 
• Somewhat disapprove 12% {6%}
• Strongly disapprove 39% {45%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted April 25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted March 13, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 17, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Among voters not affiliated with either political party, it’s Romney 47%, Obama 38%.

The Republican earns 55% support among married voters, while 55% of unmarrieds prefer the president.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 47%
• Mitt Romney 46%

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted April 24-26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 48%
• Barack Obama 45%

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted April 23-25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Mexico 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) New Mexico 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 54% {53%} [49%] (53%)
• Mitt Romney 40% {38%} [42%] (37%)

If the Democratic ticket this fall was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Susana Martinez for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 53%
• Romney-Martinez 42%

If the candidates for President this year were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and Libertarian Gary Johnson, who would you vote for?

• Barack Obama 48% {44%}
• Mitt Romney 35% {27%}
• Gary Johnson 15% {23%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Gary Johnson 37% {45%} [43%] (44%) / 42% {39%} [40%] (32%) {-5%}
• Mitt Romney 33% {27%} [33%] (33%) / 55% {58%} [46%] (45%) {-22%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 53% {49%} [50%] (55%)
• Disapprove 44% {46%} [44%] (40%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Susana Martinez's job performance?

• Approve 54%
• Disapprove 38%

Survey of 526 New Mexico voters was conducted April 19-22, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 50% {52%} [51%] (55%) Democrat; 32% {29%} [32%] (29%) Republican; 18% {19%} [17%] (16%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% {30%} [29%] Moderate; 22% {22%} [19%] Somewhat conservative; 15% {17%} [19%] Very conservative; 15% {16%} [20%] Somewhat liberal; 15% {14%} [13%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 23-26, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-6, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News (R) 2012 Presidential Survey

Fox News (R) 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 46% {44%} (46%) [47%] {46%} (44%) [42%] {45%} (47%) [48%] {48%} 
• Mitt Romney 46% {46%} (42%) [42%] {45%} {42%} [44%] {42%} (41%) [41%] {41%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 49% {52%} [47%]
• Barack Obama 45% {38%} [42%]

Among Women

• Barack Obama 47% {49%} [50%]
• Mitt Romney 42% {41%} [38%]

Which of the following best describes how you feel about voting for Barack Obama for president in November?

• I would definitely vote for him 44%
• I would never vote for him 48%
• I'm still deciding 7%

Which of the following best describes how you feel about voting for Mitt Romney for president in November?

• I would definitely vote for him 41%
• I would never vote for him 46%
• I'm still deciding 11%

Do you think Barack Obama has a clear plan for fixing the economy, or not?

• Yes 36%
• No 61%

Do you think Mitt Romney has a clear plan for fixing the economy, or not?

• Yes 31%
• No 58%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 50% (50%) {51%} / 48% (47%) {46%} {+2%}
• Mitt Romney 42% (39%) {45%} / 45% (49%) {38%} {-3%}

Survey of 915 registered voters was conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D)/Shaw & Company Research (R) April 22-24, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 13-15, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 25-27, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-19, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 5-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 7-9, 2011 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Behavior Research Center Arizona 2012 Presidential Survey

Behavior Research Center Arizona 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 42% [37%] (45%)
• Mitt Romney 40% [43%] (40%)

Survey of 511 registered voters was conducted April 9-17, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted January 5-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 13-24, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 49% {49%} [47%] (47%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (45%)
• Mitt Romney 43% {42%} [44%] (44%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (47%)

Survey of 2,265 registered voters was conducted April 20-24, 2012. The margin of error is ±3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 18-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 17-21, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 16-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 14-18, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 11-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: United Technologies/National Journal 2012 Presidential Survey

United Technologies/National Journal 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 47%
• Mitt Romney 39%
• Neither 9%
• Don't know 5%

Survey of 1,004 adults was conducted April 19-22, 2012 by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 45% {42%} [43%] (46%)  
• Barack Obama 44% {51%} [49%] (45%) 

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?

• Very favorable 17%
• Somewhat favorable 30%
• Somewhat unfavorable 22%
• Very unfavorable 28%

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 33% {34%} [31%]
• Somewhat approve 14% {19%} [20%]
• Somewhat disapprove 8% {5%} [8%]
• Strongly disapprove 43% {40%} [38%]

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted April 23, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

There may still be some lingering hard feelings about Virginia Republicans: Romney earns only 81% support among voters in his party, while Obama picks up 90% of Virginia Democrats. Among voters not affiliated with either political party, it’s Romney 52%, Obama 35%.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 49%
• Barack Obama 44%

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted April 22-24, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Mexico 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) New Mexico 2012 Senate Poll

• Martin Heinrich (D) 48%
• Heather Wilson (R) 43%

• Hector Balderas (D) 44%
• Heather Wilson (R) 43%
  

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Martin Heinrich 34% / 31% {+3%}
• Hector Balderas 22% / 24% {-2%}
• Heather Wilson 40% / 45% {-5%}

Survey of 526 New Mexico voters was conducted April 19-22, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Party ID: 50% Democrat; 32% Republican; 18% Independent/Other.  Ideology: 33% Moderate; 22% Somewhat conservative; 15% Somewhat liberal; 15% Very conservative; 15% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Texas 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 50% (49%) {47%} [50%] (49%)
• Barack Obama 43% (42%) {41%} [42%] (42%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 55% of the vote in Texas. In 2004, George W. Bush received 61% of the vote in TX.

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

• Mitt Romney 41% (31%) {32%} [37%] (40%) / 50% (54%) {49%} [43%] (37%) {-9%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 42% (44%) {40%} [42%] (42%)
• Disapprove 52% (54%) {55%} [55%] (55%)

Survey of 591 Texas voters was conducted April 19-22, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 42% (40%) {44%} [44%] (42%) Republican; 30% (34%) {36%} [35%] (31%) Democrat; 28% (27%) {20%} [21%] (27%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 27% (24%) {23%} [26%] Very conservative; 25% (26%) {26%} [29%] Moderate; 23% (25%) {26%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 16% (16%) {14%} [13%] Somewhat liberal; 9% (9%) {10%} [6%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 25-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Texas 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 45% {24%} [10%] (15%) {10%} [14%]
• Newt Gingrich 35% {23%} [8%] (8%) {17%} [23%]
• Ron Paul 14% {12%} [7%] (9%) {10%} [8%]
• Someone else/Not sure 6% {9%} [7%] (9%) [5%]

Very Conservative

• Newt Gingrich 42%
• Mitt Romney 40%
• Ron Paul 12%
• Someone else/Not sure 6%

Somewhat Conservative

• Mitt Romney 52%
• Newt Gingrich 33%
• Ron Paul 12%
• Someone else/Not sure 2%

Among Men

• Newt Gingrich 39% {25%}
• Mitt Romney 39% {21%}
• Ron Paul 17% {15%}
• Someone else/Not sure 5% {9%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 51% {26%}
• Newt Gingrich 32% {20%}
• Ron Paul 11% {10%}
• Someone else/Not sure 6% {9%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 66% {44%} [37%] (49%) {52%} / 23% {44%} [44%] (34%) {27%} {+43%}
• Newt Gingrich 55% {48%} [50%] / 32% {39%} [36%] {+23%}
• Ron Paul 37% {32%} [35%] (37%) / 48% {59%} [49%] (45%) {-11%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 34% {36%}
• No 48% {53%}

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 59%
• Are not 41%

Among Evangelical Christians

• Newt Gingrich 45%
• Mitt Romney 40%
• Ron Paul 9%
• Someone else/Not sure 6%

Among Non-Evangelicals

• Mitt Romney 53%
• Newt Gingrich 21%
• Ron Paul 21%
• Someone else/Not sure 4%

Survey of 400 Texas Republican primary voters was conducted April 19-22, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 79% {72%} [82%] Republican; 18% {23%} [17%] Independent/Other; 3% {5%} [2%] Democrat.  Political ideology: 47% {41%} [38%] (43%) Very conservative; 33% {34%} [41%] (34%) Somewhat conservative; 12% {18%} [14%] (15%) Moderate; 6% {5%} [4%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 2% {2%} [3%] (3%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 25-27, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 19-20, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen New York Quarterbacks Favorability Survey

Rasmussen New York Quarterbacks Favorability Poll

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Eli Manning 70% / 12% {+58%}
• Tim Tebow 52% / 24% {+28%}
• Mark Sanchez 48% / 20% {+28%}

Survey of 500 likely voters in New York City was conducted April 17, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

Men have a more favorable opinion of all three quarterbacks than women do.

While voters of all ages give high praise to Manning, voters under 40 are less fond of the Jets quarterbacks compared to their elders.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2012 Senate Poll

• George Allen 46% {46%} [46%] (45%)
• Tim Kaine 45% {44%} [46%] (46%)
• Some other candidate 4% {3%} [3%] (3%)
• Not sure 5% {7%} [5%] (7%)

Among Independents

• George Allen 46% {41%} [45%] (38%)
  
• Tim Kaine 33% {39%} [38%] (48%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted April 23, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted March 20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28, 2011 are in parentheses. 

Inside the numbers:

Kaine leads Allen by nine points among male voters, but the Republican posts an identical lead among female voters. As in most states, the GOP hopeful runs stronger among voters over 40, while younger voters prefer the Democrat.

Most married voters favor Allen; most unmarrieds like Kaine better.

Allen is viewed Very Favorably by 19% of Virginia voters and Very Unfavorably by 25%. Twenty-two percent (22%) share a Very Favorable opinion of Kaine, while 24% regard him Very Unfavorably. Kaine’s unfavorables are up slightly, but the other numbers are virtually unchanged from a month ago.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 49% [47%] (47%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (45%)
• Mitt Romney 42% [44%] (44%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (47%)

Survey of 2,265 registered voters was conducted April 19-23, 2012. The margin of error is ±3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 18-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 17-21, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 16-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 14-18, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 11-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 48%
• Barack Obama 44%

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted April 21-23, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

Poll Watch: ASU/Merrill/Morrison Institute Arizona 2012 Presidential Survey

ASU/Merrill/Morrison Institute Arizona 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 42%
• Barack Obama 40%
• Undecided 18%

Survey of 488 registered voters was conducted the second week of April 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

Eighty percent (80%) of Republicans said they would vote for Romney, 78 percent of Democrats for Obama. Although the sample of political independents is small (n=166), independents appear to be breaking slightly more for Obama (38 percent) than Romney (28 percent). However, the independent vote is still up for grabs because 34 percent of independents said they are undecided.

Romney appears to have the Tea Party support. Among the 39 percent of the electorate who said they support what the Tea Party stands for, 75 percent said they would vote for Romney.

But the poll also found that younger voters disproportionately support Obama while older voters support Romney. No “gender gap” was found among Arizona voters, however, as 40 percent of both men and women said they would vote for Obama.

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 51% [50%] {44%} (42%) [43%] {43%} (41%)
• Mitt Romney 42% [40%] {47%} (50%) [47%] {50%} (49%)

Survey of 486 likely voters was conducted April 9-20, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted January 25 - February 2, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 15-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 26 - October 6, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 21 - July 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15- May 2, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28 - February 7, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 47% (47%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (45%)
• Mitt Romney 44% (44%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (47%)

Survey of 2,265 registered voters was conducted April 18-22, 2012. The margin of error is ±3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 17-21, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 16-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 14-18, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 11-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 47%
• Barack Obama 44%

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted April 20-22, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.