Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2012 Senate Poll

• George Allen 46% {46%} [46%] (45%)
• Tim Kaine 45% {44%} [46%] (46%)
• Some other candidate 4% {3%} [3%] (3%)
• Not sure 5% {7%} [5%] (7%)

Among Independents

• George Allen 46% {41%} [45%] (38%)
  
• Tim Kaine 33% {39%} [38%] (48%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted April 23, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted March 20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28, 2011 are in parentheses. 

Inside the numbers:

Kaine leads Allen by nine points among male voters, but the Republican posts an identical lead among female voters. As in most states, the GOP hopeful runs stronger among voters over 40, while younger voters prefer the Democrat.

Most married voters favor Allen; most unmarrieds like Kaine better.

Allen is viewed Very Favorably by 19% of Virginia voters and Very Unfavorably by 25%. Twenty-two percent (22%) share a Very Favorable opinion of Kaine, while 24% regard him Very Unfavorably. Kaine’s unfavorables are up slightly, but the other numbers are virtually unchanged from a month ago.