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Opinion Savvy (R) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
- Donald Trump 20.1%
- Ted Cruz 19.4%
- Marco Rubio 18.6%
- Ben Carson 9.0%
- Rand Paul 8.6%
- Jeb Bush 4.9%
- Mike Huckabee 4.4%
- John Kasich 4.0%
- Carly Fiorina 3.8%
- Chris Christie 3.0%
- Rick Santorum 2.1%
- Undecided 2.2%
Second Choice
- Marco Rubio 16.0%
- Ted Cruz 14.5%
- Ben Carson 13.3%
- Jeb Bush 9.4%
- Donald Trump 9.2%
- Rand Paul 9.0%
- Chris Christie 6.7%
- Carly Fiorina 6.6%
- Mike Huckabee 5.7%
- John Kasich 2.6%
- Rick Santorum 2.4%
- Undecided 4.7%
Survey of 887 likely Iowa GOP caucus-goers was conducted January 29-30, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.2
percentage points.
CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
- Bernie Sanders 57% {60%} [50%] (46%) {36%} [35%] (13%) {6%} [3%] (5%)
- Hillary Clinton 34% {33%} [40%] (30%) {42%} [43%] (51%) {58%} [58%] (59%) {65%} [74%] (64%) {62%} [61%] (63%)
- Martin O'Malley 1% {1%} [1%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [3%] (0%) {0%} (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
Survey of 347 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted January 27-30, 2016 by the
University of New Hampshire
Survey Center.
The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 13-18, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 7, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17-23, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 22-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 2 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.
CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- Donald Trump 30% {34%} [32%] (26%) {24%} [11%] (5%) {2%}
- Ted Cruz 12% {14%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [6%] (5%) {7%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
- Marco Rubio 11% {10%} [14%] (9%) {3%} [6%] (12%) {5%} [3%] (8%) {2%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
- John Kasich 9% {6%} [7%] (7%) {6%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
- Chris Christie 8% {6%} [9%] (5%) {7%} [5%] (3%) {9%} [12%] (19%) {12%} [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
- Jeb Bush 6% {10%} [8%] (7%) {12%} [16%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (11%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
- Carly Fiorina 4% {4%} [5%] (16%) {1%} [6%] (4%) {0%}
- Ben Carson 3% {3%} [5%] (8%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {8%}
- Rand Paul 3% {6%} [2%] (3%) {7%} [9%] (10%) {9%} [7%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (17%) {16%} [15%] (8%)
- Mike Huckabee 1% {1%} [1%] (0%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {9%} [9%] (8%)
- Jim Gilmore 0% {0%} [0%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
- Rick Santorum 0% {0%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%)
Survey of 409 likely Republican primary voters was conducted January 27-30, 2016 by the
University of New Hampshire Survey Center. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 13-18, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 7, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17-23, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 22-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.
Survey of 409 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted January 26-30, 2016 by RKM Research and Communications.
The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted January 20-24, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 13-17, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 14-17, 2015 are in curly brackets.
Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- Donald Trump 37.6% [33.0%] (26%) {28%} [18%]
- Ted Cruz 12.7% [14.1%] (12%) {5%} [10%] (9%)
- Marco Rubio 9.7% [8.2%] (12%) {6%} [4%] (4%)
- Jeb Bush 9.5% [9.2%] (10%) {9%} [13%] (15%)
- John Kasich 8.2% [11.8%] (8%) {6%} [12%] (1%)
- Rand Paul 5.4% [2.9%] (3%) {5%} [6%] (13%)
- Carly Fiorina 5.3% [4.5%] (6%) {10%} [9%] (0%)
- Chris Christie 4.9% [7.4%] (11%) {3%} [3%] (10%)
- Ben Carson 2.5% [3.5%] (5%) {16%} [4%] (4%)
- Mike Huckabee 0.3% [1.2%] (0%) {2%} [3%] (7%)
- Rick Santorum 0.0% [0.0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (2%)
- Other 1.7% [1.4%] (1%) {2%} [3%] (5%)
- Unsure 2.1% [2.9%] (5%) {7%} [9%] (10%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Carly Fiorina 57% [54%] (56%) {60%} [55%] (25%) / 28% [29%] (31%) {18%} [12%] (9%) {+29%}
- Ben Carson 59% [55%] (56%) {69%} [55%] (35%) / 31% [34%] (36%) {14%} [13%] (11%) {+28%}
- Marco Rubio 59% [56%] (65%) {59%} [62%] (55%) / 32% [37%] (26%) {19%} [21%] (15%) {+27%}
- Ted Cruz 57% [54%] (57%) {45%} [47%] (55%) / 39% [39%] (33%) {29%} [29%] (22%) {+18%}
- Donald Trump 56% [58%] (55%) {55%} [46%] / 39% [39%] (41%) {42%} [46%] {+17%}
- John Kasich 46% [51%] (43%) {46%} [50%] (24%) / 36% [30%] (39%) {22%} [16%] (7%) {+10%}
- Chris Christie 47% [51%] (64%) {46%} [49%] (43%) / 43% [43%] (30%) {39%} [41%] (46%) {+4%}
- Rand Paul 44% [40%] (38%) {48%} [44%] (57%) / 42% [46%] (52%) {36%} [45%] (24%) {+2%}
- Jeb Bush 48% [51%] (53%) {57%} [62%] (53%) / 47% [44%] (42%) {37%} [31%] (37%) {+1%}
- Mike Huckabee 38% [36%] (33%) {34%} [49%] (49%) / 43% [47%] (51%) {48%} [37%] (35%) {-5%}
- Rick Santorum 27% [27%] (27%) {27%} [42%] (36%) / 45% [45%] (52%) {43%} [36%] (34%) {-18%}
Survey of 439 likely Republican primary voters was conducted January 26-30, 2016 by RKM Research and Communications.
The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted January 20-24, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 13-17, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 14-17, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 7-10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 22-25, 2015 are in parentheses.
Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
- Donald Trump 28% (22%) {21%} [19%] (23%) {4%} [1%]
- Ted Cruz 23% (25%) {31%} [10%] (8%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
- Marco Rubio 15% (12%) {10%} [9%] (6%) {6%} [4%] (2%)
- Ben Carson 10% (11%) {13%} [28%] (18%) {10%} [10%] (11%)
- Rand Paul 5% (5%) {3%} [5%] (4%) {10%} [15%] (10%)
- Chris Christie 3% (3%) {3%} [1%] (2%) {4%} [6%] (6%)
- Jeb Bush 2% (4%) {6%} [5%] (6%) {9%} [9%] (4%)
- Carly Fiorina 2% (2%) {1%} [4%] (5%) {2%} [1%]
- Mike Huckabee 2% (3%) {3%} [3%] (4%) {9%} [13%] (9%)
- John Kasich 2% (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (1%)
- Rick Santorum 2% (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {6%} [5%] (3%)
- Jim Gilmore 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Ben Carson 72% (73%) {72%} [84%] (79%) {56%} [50%] (41%) / 22% (22%) {22%} [12%] (8%) {15%} [12%] (8%) {+50%}
- Marco Rubio 70% (73%) {70%} [70%] (67%) {60%} [57%] (54%) / 21% (21%) {21%} [20%] (20%) {17%} [20%] (16%) {+49%}
- Ted Cruz 65% (76%) {73%} [61%] (61%) {59%} [58%] (52%) / 28% (19%) {19%} [26%] (24%) {20%} [21%] (18%) {+37%}
- Donald Trump 50% (54%) {57%} [59%] (61%) {27%} [26%] / 47% (45%) {38%} [37%] (35%) {63%} [68%] {+3%}
- John Kasich 28% (28%) {19%} [31%] (33%) {25%} [22%] (17%) / 27% (43%) {46%} [33%] (22%) {16%} [14%] (7%) {+1%}
- Rand Paul 40% (45%) {37%} [43%] (39%) {55%} [64%] (59%) / 41% (43%) {50%} [48%] (49%) {34%} [25%] (24%) {-1%}
- Chris Christie 40% (51%) {46%} [39%] (29%) {28%} [36%] (39%) / 44% (42%) {42%} [49%] (59%) {58%} [54%] (45%) {-4%}
- Jeb Bush 41% (47%) {39%} [50%] (45%) {43%} [46%] (50%) / 53% (50%) {54%} [43%] (50%) {45%} [43%] (28%) {-12%}
Survey of 602 likely Iowa GOP caucus-goers was conducted January 26-29, 2016 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 4.0
percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 7-10, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 7-10, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 25-29, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 26-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 1-7, 2014 are in parentheses.
Gravis Marketing/OAN (R) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
- Hillary Clinton 53% {57%} [49%] (39.5%) {45.1%} [50.8%] (59%)
- Bernie Sanders 42% {36%} [31%] (30.6%) {16.9%} [24.0%] (15%)
- Martin O'Malley 5% {7%} [10%] (1.5%) {4.9%} [4.7%] (3%)
Survey
of 810 likely Democratic caucus participants was conducted January 26-27,
2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll released January 11-12, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll released December 18-21, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll released October 1, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 29-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 28-29, 2015 are in parentheses.
Gravis Marketing/OAN (R) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
- Donald Trump 31% {34%} [31%] (18.8%) {31.7%} [30.9%]
- Ted Cruz 27% {28%} [31%] (10.6%) {6.9%} [5.5%] (6%) {6%} [4%] (7%)
- Marco Rubio 13% {5%] [9%] (8.9%) {5.8%} [2.8%] (13%) {12%} [7%] (4%)
- Ben Carson 7% {9%} [7%] (14.1%) {15.8%} [5.1%] (12%) {9%} [5%]
- Jeb Bush 6% {4%] [4%] (6.9%) {4.1%} [10.0%] (10%) {16%} [10%] (14%)
- John Kasich 4% {4%} [2%] (2.6%) {1.4%} [5.0%]
- Chris Christie 3% {5%} [2%] (1.4%) {2.0%} [0.8%] (4%) {5%} [9%] (5%)
- Carly Fiorina 3% {1%} [3%] (9.7%) {4.6%} [4.3%] (5%) {3%} [3%]
- Rand Paul 2% {3%} [1%] (2.4%) {1.3%} [0.8%] (4%) {9%} [10%] (8%)
- Mike Huckabee 2% {2%} [4%] (1.8%) {2.6%} [6.0%] (8%) {8%} [7%] (9%)
- Rick Santorum 1% {0%} [0%] (1.3%) {0.6%} [2.9%] (6%) {2%} [6%]
Survey of 724 likely Republican caucus participants was conducted
January 26-27, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 11-12, 2016 are in square brackets.
Results from the poll conducted December 18-21, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll released October 1, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 29-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 28-29, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 13, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 12-13, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 5-7, 2015 are in parentheses.
PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
- Hillary Clinton 48% [46%] (52%) {57%} [43%] (52%) {62%} [59%] (67%) {71%} [68%] (58%) {60%} [62%] (44%)
- Bernie Sanders 40% [40%] (34%) {25%} [22%] (25%) {14%}
- Martin O'Malley 7% [8%] (7%) {7%} [3%] (7%) {6%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [1%]
- Not sure 5% [5%] (6%) {9%} [9%] (11%) {13%} [8%] (10%) {5%} [3%] (13%) {14%} [9%] (21%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Bernie Sanders 76% [79%] (65%) {62%} [56%] (61%) / 14% [13%] (23%) {20%} [20%] (14%) {+62%}
- Hillary Clinton 69% [72%] (73%) {74%} [65%] (75%) / 22% [22%] (19%) {17%} [23%] (15%) {+47%}
- Martin O'Malley 53% [49%] (39%) (26%) / 18% [17%] (17%) (18%) {+35%}
Survey of 851 likely Democratic caucus voters was conducted January 26-27, 2016.
The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Political
ideology: 37% [33%] (31%) {36%} [33%] (35%) {34%} [35%] (41%) {37%} [33%] (32%) {37%} [36%] (33%) Somewhat liberal; 32% [32%] (36%) {35%} [34%]
(32%) {34%} [28%] (28%) {35%} [33%] (35%) {38%} [32%] (37%) Moderate; 23% [25%] (24%) {22%} [22%] (25%) {24%} [30%] (20%) {18%} [26%] (20%) {14%} [21%] (14%) Very liberal; 6% [7%] (7%) {6%} [8%] (7%) {6%} [5%] (9%) {7%} [6%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (11%)
Somewhat conservative; 1% [3%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (5%) {3%} [4%] (4%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted January 8-10, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 10-13, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 30 - November 1, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 18-20, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 7-9, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 23-26, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in parentheses.
- Hillary Clinton (D) 44.5% [48.1%] {49.5%} (51.1%)
- Marco Rubio (R) 43.9% [40.3%] {37.7%} (34.9%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 44.9%
- Ted Cruz (R) 44.1%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 46.7% [49.8%] (51.1%)
- Donald Trump (R) 38.3% [36.4%] (35.4%)
Survey of 806 registered Wisconsin voters
was conducted January 21-24, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.0
percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 24-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in parentheses.
- Hillary Clinton 45.1% [42.2%] (44.4%) {58.2%} [64.0%] (61.5%)
- Bernie Sanders 43.5% [29.7%] (32.2%)
- Martin O'Malley 0.8% [1.0%] (0.6%) {0.9%} [0.8%] (1.1%)
- Someone else 0.2% [1.5%] (1.2%) {3.7%} [2.1%] (1.5%)
- Don't know 9.4% [7.8%] (8.8%) {8.9%} [9.2%] (11.0%)
Survey of 312 registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independent voters
was conducted January 21-24, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 6.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 24-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in parentheses.
- Donald Trump 24.3% [20.1%] (9.1%)
- Marco Rubio 17.6% [14.4%] (7.4%) {3.8%} [9.3%] (21.2%)
- Ted Cruz 16.1% [5.1%] (8.2%) {6.0%} [4.3%]
- Ben Carson 8.0% [16.2%] (13.2%) {5.0%}
- Chris Christie 4.8% [3.1%] (2.1%) {5.8%} [8.6%] (10.6%)
- Rand Paul 3.3% [4.5%] (2.4%) {10.3%} [8.4%] (6.9%)
- Carly Fiorina 2.5% [10.8%] (7.4%) {0.5%}
- Jeb Bush 2.4% [6.6%] (5.9%) {7.9%} [2.4%] (4.6%)
- John Kasich 2.0% [2.8%] (1.0%)
- Mike Huckabee 1.0% [3.4%] (3.5%) {5.1%}
- Don't know 16.8% [9.8%] (9.6%) {8.9%} [8.9%] (10.5%)
Survey of 313 registered Republican and GOP-leaning Independent voters
was conducted January 21-24, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 6.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 24-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in parentheses.
IBD/TIPP 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
- Donald Trump 31% (34%) {27%} [28%] (17%)
- Ted Cruz 21% (18%) {13%} [6%] (6%)
- Marco Rubio 10% (9%) {14%} [11%] (11%)
- Ben Carson 9% (8%) {15%} [23%] (24%)
- Jeb Bush 5% (4%) {3%} [6%] (8%)
- Rand Paul 4% (3%) {2%} [2%] (3%)
- Carly Fiorina 2% (2%) {3%} [3%] (9%)
- John Kasich 2% (2%) {2%} [1%] (4%)
- Chris Christie 1% (4%) {2%} [1%] (2%)
- Mike Huckabee 1% (1%) {2%} [1%] (2%)
- Rick Santorum 1% (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%)
National survey of 395 registered Republicans or those who lean Republican was conducted
January 22-27, 2016. The margin of error is
+/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 4-8, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 4, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 24-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 26 - October 1, 2015 are in parentheses.
PPP (D) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
- Donald Trump 31% (28%) {28%} [22%] (24%) {19%}
- Ted Cruz 23% (26%) {25%} [14%] (8%) {9%} [8%] (15%) {10%} [10%]
- Marco Rubio 14% (13%) {14%} [10%] (8%) {6%} [13%] (4%) {3%} [11%] (16%) {12%} [10%] (7%)
- Ben Carson 9% (8%) {10%} [21%] (17%) {12%} [7%]
- Jeb Bush 4% (6%) {7%} [5%] (6%) {11%} [12%] (12%) {13%} [14%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (10%)
- Mike Huckabee 4% (3%) {3%} [6%] (6%) {6%} [10%] (20%) {17%} (16%) {15%} [17%] (16%)
- Rand Paul 4% (3%) {2%} [2%] (4%) {3%} [10%] (10%) {14%} [18%] (15%) {5%} [11%] (9%)
- Carly Fiorina 3% (3%) {3%} [5%] (13%) {10%}
- Chris Christie 2% (3%) {3%} [3%] (1%) {1%} [5%] (9%) {10%} [16%] (12%) {12%} [16%] (15%)
- John Kasich 2% (3%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {3%}
- Jim Gilmore 1% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
- Rick Santorum 1% (2%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {2%} (3%) [6%] {10%} [17%] (16%)
- Undecided 2% (2%) {1%} [1%] (3%) {2%} [8%] (13%) {11%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (10%)
Who would be your second choice?
- Ted Cruz 16% (21%) {19%} [10%] (7%) {7%} [11%]
- Marco Rubio 16% (13%) {12%} [12%] (8%) {10%} [13%]
- Ben Carson 12% (9%) {12%} [19%] (14%) {6%} [8%]
- Donald Trump 8% (10%) {11%} [10%] (6%) {8%}
- Carly Fiorina 7% (7%) {5%} [7%] (16%) {11%}
- Jeb Bush 6% (4%) {6%} [6%] (8%) {7%} [9%]
- Mike Huckabee 6% (4%) {6%} [6%] (4%) {8%} [9%]
- Chris Christie 5% (5%) {7%} [5%] (3%) {3%} [4%]
- John Kasich 4% (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {5%}
- Rand Paul 4% (4%) {4%} [2%] (3%) {2%} [9%]
- Rick Santorum 3% (4%) {4%} [2%] (3%) {2%}
- Jim Gilmore 1% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
- Undecided 11% (15%) {11%} [11%] (14%) {14%} [17%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Ben Carson 72% (60%) {63%} [74%] (77%) {69%} [44%] (37%) / 20% (25%) {23%} [13%] (11%) {10%} [15%] (6%) {+52%}
- Mike Huckabee 60% (61%) {64%} [60%] (60%) {64%} [57%] (70%) {63%} (64%) {68%} [68%] (69%) /
28% (22%) {21%} [21%] (24%) {20%} [23%] (14%) {19%} (22%) {16%} [20%] (12%) {+32%}
- Marco Rubio 57% (56%) {59%} [60%] (61%) {66%} [53%] (51%) {42%} [54%] (54%) {59%}
[57%] (46%) / 32% (26%) {22%} [20%] (19%) {15%} [20%] (10%) {14%} [14%] (13%) {11%} [13%]
(7%) {+25%}
- Ted Cruz 56% (69%) {68%} [62%] (51%) {56%} [52%] (58%) {40%} [27%] /
35% (18%) {20%} [16%] (23%) {21%} [22%] (11%) {14%} [12%] {+21%}
- Carly Fiorina 53% (54%) {51%} [55%] (62%) {56%} / 34% (25%) {24%} [20%] (15%) {15%} {+19%}
- Donald Trump 50% (54%) {53%} [53%] (48%) {46%} (30%) {23%} / 44% (34%) {36%} [34%] (38%) {40%} (40%) {44%} {+6%}
- Rick Santorum 43% (46%) {50%} [51%] (51%) {55%} (62%) {44%} [57%] {64%} [65%] (68%) / 39% (29%) {26%} [21%] (25%) {22%} (13%) {21%} [15%] {18%} [22%] (17%) {+4%}
- Rand Paul 37% (41%) {37%} [44%] (43%) {31%} [51%] (60%) {59%} [60%] (55%) {48%} [49%]
(54%) / 46% (39%) {34%} [28%] (32%) {45%} [26%] (12%) {15%} [15%] (19%) {28%} [29%] (15%)
{-9%}
- Jeb Bush 38% (26%) {35%} [30%] (38%) {45%} [38%] (48%) {50%} [58%] (55%) {60%} [53%] (62%) / 48% (53%) {47%} [43%] (40%) {32%} [37%] (25%) {17%} [17%] (17%) {11%} [19%] (9%) {-10%}
- Chris Christie 36% (45%) {46%} [48%] (43%) {34%} [28%] (36%) {38%} [45%] (36%) {55%}
[57%] (50%) / 51% (33%) {33%} [28%] (32%) {44%} [50%] (38%) {35%} [27%] (33%) {21%} [17%]
(16%) {-15%}
- John Kasich 28% (26%) {22%} [22%] (25%) {33%} (18%) {11%} / 45% (39%) {37%} [37%] (30%) {23%} (10%) {13%} {-17%}
- Jim Gilmore 6% (3%) {3%} [3%] (2%) {4%} / 50% (32%) {27%} [26%] (20%) {16%} {-44%}
Survey of 780 likely Republican caucus voters was conducted January 26-27, 2016.
The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Political ideology: 39% (39%) {39%} [40%] (43%) {36%} [41%] (37%) {39%} [33%] (31%) {39%} [40%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 36% (38%) {39%} [37%] (35%) {34%} [34%] (42%) {33%} [45%] (43%) {36%} [37%] (46%) Very conservative; 18% (18%) {17%} [15%] (15%) {23%} [19%] (16%) {21%} [16%] (21%) {19%} [16%] (14%) Moderate; 4% (4%) {4%} [7%] (6%) {6%} [5%] (3%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {3%} [6%] (3%) Somewhat liberal; 3% (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {3%} [1%] (2%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 8-10, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 10-13, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 30 - November 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 18-20, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 7-9, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 23-26, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 1-3, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.
Suffolk University New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- Donald Trump 26.6% [21.6%] (10.6%)
- John Kasich 12.0% [9.2%] (2.0%)
- Ted Cruz 11.8% [9.2%] (3.6%)
- Jeb Bush 11.2% [7.6%] (14.4%)
- Marco Rubio 9.6% [11.0%] (6.8%)
- Chris Christie 5.6% [4.2%] (4.6%)
- Ben Carson 4.8% [10.2%] (6.0%)
- Carly Fiorina 4.0% [4.4%] (3.6%)
- Rand Paul 1.6% [2.6%] (4.2%)
- Mike Huckabee 0.4% [1.0%] (2.4%)
- Rick Santorum 0.0% [0.0%] (0.8%)
- Other 0.4% [0.4%] (0.6%)
- Undecided 11.8% [17.8%] (28.8%)
Who would be your second choice?
- Ted Cruz 17.91% [11.68%]
- Marco Rubio 17.69% [17.27%]
- Jeb Bush 11.56% [11.44%]
- John Kasich 8.62% [7.54%]
- Carly Fiorina 8.16% [7.54%]
- Chris Christie 7.94% [6.81%]
- Donald Trump 6.58% [9.73%]
- Ben Carson 3.40% [9.49%]
- Rand Paul 3.40% [2.43%]
- Mike Huckabee 1.13% [0.49%]
- Rick Santorum 0.45% [0.73%]
- Other 0.45% [1.46%]
- Undecided 12.24% [11.92%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Marco Rubio 55.2% [63.6%] / 28.4% [21.6%] {+26.8%}
- Ben Carson 55.6% [58.4%] / 31.2% [29.6%] {+24.4%}
- John Kasich 50.4% [43.2%] / 30.2% [33.2%] {+20.2%}
- Ted Cruz 51.0% [55.6%] / 34.4% [28.6%] {+16.6%}
- Chris Christie 50.2% [51.2%] / 36.8% [33.6%] {+13.4%}
- Jeb Bush 50.4% [51.0%] / 40.4% [39.6%] {+10.0%}
- Donald Trump 48.8% [48.6%] / 40.4% [41.8%] {+8.4%}
Survey of 500 likely Republican primary voters was conducted January 25-27, 2016. The margin of
error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted November 17-19, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-22, 2015 are in parentheses.
Monmouth University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
- Hillary Clinton 47% [55%] (65%)
- Bernie Sanders 42% [33%] (24%)
- Martin O'Malley 6% [6%] (5%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Bernie Sanders 85% [80%] / 9% [6%] {+76%}
- Hillary Clinton 78% [85%] / 17% [9%] {+61%}
- Martin O'Malley 50% [49%] / 14% [10%] {+36%}
Survey of 504 likely Democratic caucus-goers was
conducted January 23-26, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.4
percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 3-6, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 22-25, 2015 are in parentheses.
- Hillary Clinton 46% (52%)
- Bernie Sanders 29% (18%)
- Martin O'Malley 2% (0%)
- Other 7% (12%)
- Don't know 16% (17%)
Survey of 303 Democratic primary voters was
conducted January 18-23, 2016. Results from the poll conducted October 19-25, 2015 are in parentheses.
- Donald Trump 24% (23%)
- Ted Cruz 14% (4%)
- Marco Rubio 11% (13%)
- Ben Carson 5% (22%)
- Jeb Bush 5% (3%)
- Chris Christie 5% (3%)
- John Kasich 3% (6%)
- Carly Fiorina 2% (3%)
- Mike Huckabee 2% (1%)
- Rand Paul 2% (1%)
- Rick Santorum 1% (1%)
- Don't know 26% (20%)
Survey of 276 Republican primary voters was
conducted January 18-23, 2016. Results from the poll conducted October 19-25, 2015 are in parentheses.
NBC News/WSJ/Marist New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- Donald Trump 31% {30%} [21%] (28%) {21%}
- Ted Cruz 12% {10%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [6%] (9%)
- Marco Rubio 11% {14%} [10%] (3%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
- John Kasich 11% {9%} [6%] (12%) {7%}
- Jeb Bush 8% {9%} [11%] (8%) {14%} [18%] (10%)
- Chris Christie 7% {12%} [7%] (5%) {6%} [13%] (13%)
- Ben Carson 5% {4%} [10%] (11%) {6%} [7%]
- Carly Fiorina 4% {3%} [16%] (6%) {2%}
- Rand Paul 4% {5%} [5%] (5%) {4%} [14%] (14%)
- Mike Huckabee 1% {0%} [1%] (2%) {3%} [7%]
- Undecided 5% {5%} [6%] (8%) {13%} [13%] (22%)
Who is your second choice for the 2016 Republican presidential primary in New Hampshire?
- Ted Cruz 19% {13%} [6%] (9%)
- Marco Rubio 15% {17%} [11%] (9%)
- Jeb Bush 13% {11%} [10%] (10%)
- Chris Christie 12% {14%} [9%] (6%)
- Donald Trump 10% {8%} [8%] (9%)
- John Kasich 9% {9%} [8%] (6%)
- Ben Carson 6% {7%} [15%] (16%)
- Carly Fiorina 6% {8%} [18%] (12%)
- Rand Paul 5% {5%} [6%] (5%)
- Mike Huckabee 2% {1%} [3%] (3%)
- Undecided 5% {6%} [2%] (7%)
Survey of 612 likely GOP primary voters was conducted January 17-23, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 2-7, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 23-30, 2015 are in square brackets.
Results from the poll conducted August 26 - September 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 14-21, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 3-10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 7-13, 2014 are in parentheses.
NBC News/WSJ/Marist South Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
- Hillary Clinton 64% (65%)
- Bernie Sanders 27% (3%)
- Martin O'Malley 2% (2%)
- Undecided 7% (8%)
Among Whites
- Hillary Clinton 52%
- Bernie Sanders 41%
- Martin O'Malley 3%
- Undecided 4%
Among Blacks
- Hillary Clinton 74%
- Bernie Sanders 17%
- Martin O'Malley 1%
- Undecided 8%
Survey of 446 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted January 17-23, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 3-10, 2015 are in parentheses.
NBC News/WSJ/Marist South Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- Donald Trump 36%
- Ted Cruz 20% (1%)
- Marco Rubio 14% (4%)
- Jeb Bush 9% (15%)
- Ben Carson 8% (10%)
- Mike Huckabee 2% (10%)
- Chris Christie 2% (6%)
- Rand Paul 1% (7%)
- John Kasich 1%
- Carly Fiorina 1%
- Undecided 6% (11%)
Who is your second choice for the 2016 Republican presidential primary in South Carolina?
- Ted Cruz 21%
- Marco Rubio 17%
- Donald Trump 15%
- Ben Carson 13%
- Jeb Bush 9%
- Chris Christie 5%
- Mike Huckabee 5%
- Carly Fiorina 3%
- John Kasich 3%
- Rand Paul 2%
- Undecided 6%
Survey of 718 likely GOP primary voters was conducted January 17-23, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 3-10, 2015 are in parentheses.
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
- Donald Trump 32% {24%} [24%] (29%) {17%}
- Ted Cruz 25% {28%} [6%] (4%) {4%} [2%] (7%)
- Marco Rubio 18% {13%} [6%] (4%) {4%} [6%] (7%)
- Ben Carson 8% {11%} [19%] (22%) {8%} [6%]
- Jeb Bush 4% {4%} [7%] (6%) {12%} [16%] (12%)
- Carly Fiorina 2% {3%} [8%] (5%) {1%}
- John Kasich 2% {2%} [3%] (2%) {2%}
- Rand Paul 2% {5%} [4%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (12%)
- Chris Christie 2% {3%} [4%] (2%) {2%} [9%] (8%)
- Mike Huckabee 2% {2%} [5%] (3%) {7%} [17%]
- Undecided 3% {3%} [7%] (8%) {14%} [14%] (20%)
Who is your second choice for the 2016 Republican presidential caucus in Iowa?
- Ted Cruz 21% {21%} [8%] (6%)
- Marco Rubio 19% {16%} [10%] (4%)
- Ben Carson 12% {12%} [17%] (21%)
- Donald Trump 12% {16%} [14%] (12%)
- Rand Paul 7% {6%} [6%] (3%)
- Jeb Bush 6% {6%} [10%] (9%)
- Chris Christie 5% {6%} [2%] (2%)
- Mike Huckabee 5% {3%} [6%] (4%)
- Carly Fiorina 4% {6%} [13%] (6%)
- John Kasich 3% {2%} [2%] (3%)
- Undecided 5% {5%} [3%] (8%)
Survey of 450 likely GOP caucus-goers was conducted January 24-26, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Results
from the poll conducted January 2-7, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results
from the poll conducted September 23-30, 2015 are in square brackets. Results
from the poll conducted August 26 - September 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results
from the poll conducted July 14-21, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results
from the poll conducted February 3-10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results
from the poll conducted July 7-13, 2014 are in parentheses.
Monmouth University Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
- Donald Trump 30% (19%) {18%} [23%] (13%)
- Ted Cruz 23% (24%) {10%} [9%] (7%)
- Marco Rubio 16% (17%) {10%} [4%] (5%)
- Ben Carson 10% (13%) {32%} [23%] (8%)
- Jeb Bush 4% (6%) {8%} [5%] (7%)
- Rand Paul 3% (4%) {3%} [3%] (5%)
- John Kasich 3% (3%) {2%} [4%] (2%)
- Mike Huckabee 3% (2%) {2%} [2%] (6%)
- Chris Christie 2% (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
- Carly Fiorina 2% (3%) {5%} [10%] (3%)
- Rick Santorum 1% (1%) {1%} [2%] (3%)
- Jim Gilmore 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
- Undecided (vol.) 3% (4%) {5%} [5%] (11%)
Who would be your second choice?
- Ted Cruz 20% (18%) {14%} [13%] (7%)
- Marco Rubio 16% (17%) {14%} [8%] (9%)
- Ben Carson 11% (10%) {19%} [12%] (6%)
- Donald Trump 9% (14%) {12%} [10%] (9%)
- Jeb Bush 5% (6%) {5%} [5%] (6%)
- Carly Fiorina 5% (6%) {8%} [8%] (3%)
- Chris Christie 5% (5%) {1%} [3%] (2%)
- Mike Huckabee 5% (4%) {2%} [5%] (5%)
- Rand Paul 4% (2%) {0%} [3%] (4%)
- John Kasich 2% (2%) {1%} [2%] (1%)
- Rick Santorum 1% (1%) {1%} [1%] (3%)
- Jim Gilmore 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
- No one (vol.) 9% (7%) {6%} [6%] (4%)
- Undecided (vol.) 8% (8%) {9%} [7%] (15%)
Survey of 500 Iowa voters likely to attend the Republican presidential caucuses was
conducted January 23-26, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.4
percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 3-6, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 22-25, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 27-30, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 16-19, 2015 are in parentheses.
Survey of 406 registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters was
conducted January 21-24, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 10-13, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 16-19, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 15-18, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 7-10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 16-19, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 26-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 11-14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 1, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.
Quinnipiac University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
- Bernie Sanders 49% [49%] (40%) {42%} [40%] (44%)
- Hillary Clinton 45% [44%] (51%) {51%} [51%] (47%)
- Martin O'Malley 4% [4%] (6%) {4%} [4%] (4%)
Among Men
- Bernie Sanders 63% [61%] (52%) {51%} [51%] (54%)
- Hillary Clinton 32% [30%] (39%) {42%} [39%] (36%)
- Martin O'Malley 4% [6%] (5%) {5%} [5%] (4%)
Among Women
- Hillary Clinton 54% [55%] (59%) {57%} [59%] (55%)
- Bernie Sanders 40% [39%] (32%) {36%} [33%] (37%)
- Martin O'Malley 3% [3%] (7%) {4%} [3%] (3%)
- Bernie Sanders 49% {49%} [47%] (43%)
- Hillary Clinton 42% {43%} [44%] (46%)
- Martin O'Malley 3% {3%} [3%] (3%)
- Undecided 5% {5%} [6%] (7%)
Survey
of 600 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted January 23-25,
2016. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 15-18, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 7-10, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 20-22, 2015 are in parentheses.
ARG New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- Donald Trump 31% {27%} [25%] (21%)
- John Kasich 17% {20%} [14%] (13%)
- Ted Cruz 12% {9%} [9%] (10%)
- Marco Rubio 9% {10%} [14%] (15%)
- Jeb Bush 8% {8%} [8%] (7%)
- Chris Christie 8% {9%} [10%] (12%)
- Carly Fiorina 3% {2%} [3%] (5%)
- Ben Carson 2% {2%} [2%] (6%)
- Rand Paul 2% {5%} [4%] (4%)
- Mike Huckabee 1% {1%} [1%] (0%)
- Rick Santorum 1% {1%} [1%] (0%)
- Jim Gilmore 0% {0%} [0%] (0%)
- Undecided 6% {7%} [8%] (5%)
Survey
of 600 likely Republican primary voters was conducted January 23-25,
2016. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 15-18, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 7-10, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 20-22, 2015 are in parentheses.
ABC News/Washington Post 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
- Donald Trump 37% [38%] (32%) {32%} [33%] (24%) {4%}
- Ted Cruz 21% [15%] (8%) {6%} [7%] (4%) {8%} [12%] (8%) {4%} [7%] (12%)
- Marco Rubio 11% [12%] (11%) {10%} [7%] (7%) {10%} [8%] (7%) {8%} [6%] (10%)
- Ben Carson 7% [12%] (22%) {22%} [20%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (8%) {7%}
- Jeb Bush 5% [5%] (6%) {7%} [8%] (12%) {10%} [21%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (18%)
- Chris Christie 4% [4%] (2%) {3%] [1%] (3%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [9%] (14%)
- Carly Fiorina 3% [1%] (4%) {5%] [2%] (0%) {2%} [1%]
- Mike Huckabee 2% [1%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (8%) {9%} [8%] (7%) {12%} [14%]
- John Kasich 2% [2%] (3%) {2%} [3%] (2%) {3%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [1%]
- Rand Paul 1% [2%] (3%) {2%] [5%] (6%) {11%} [8%] (10%) {12%} [15%] (11%)
- Rick Santorum 0% [0%] (1%) {0%} [1%] (1%) {4%} [2%] (3%) {4%}
Who would your second choice be?
- Marco Rubio 23% [14%] (17%)
- Ted Cruz 20% [18%] (12%)
- Donald Trump 13% [12%] (13%)
- Ben Carson 11% [12%] (16%)
- Jeb Bush 6% [9%] (9%)
- Chris Christie 6% [4%] (7%)
- Mike Huckabee 4% [4%] (6%)
- Carly Fiorina 3% [3%] (3%)
- John Kasich 2% [3%] (2%)
- Rand Paul 1% [5%] (5%)
- Rick Santorum 1% [0%] (1%)
Survey of 356 registered Republican and GOP-leaning voters was
conducted January 21-24, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage
points. Results from the poll conducted December 10-13, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 16-19, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 15-18, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 7-10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 16-19, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 26-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 11-14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.
