Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Donald Trump 31% (28%) {28%} [22%] (24%) {19%}
• Ted Cruz 23% (26%) {25%} [14%] (8%) {9%} [8%] (15%) {10%} [10%] 
• Marco Rubio 14% (13%) {14%} [10%] (8%) {6%} [13%] (4%) {3%} [11%] (16%) {12%} [10%] (7%)
• Ben Carson 9% (8%) {10%} [21%] (17%) {12%} [7%]
• Jeb Bush 4% (6%) {7%} [5%] (6%) {11%} [12%] (12%) {13%} [14%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (10%)
• Mike Huckabee 4% (3%) {3%} [6%] (6%) {6%} [10%] (20%) {17%} (16%) {15%} [17%] (16%)
• Rand Paul 4% (3%) {2%} [2%] (4%) {3%} [10%] (10%) {14%} [18%] (15%) {5%} [11%] (9%)
• Carly Fiorina 3% (3%) {3%} [5%] (13%) {10%}  
• Chris Christie 2% (3%) {3%} [3%] (1%) {1%} [5%] (9%) {10%} [16%] (12%) {12%} [16%] (15%)
• John Kasich 2% (3%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {3%}
• Jim Gilmore 1% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
• Rick Santorum 1% (2%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {2%} (3%) [6%] {10%} [17%] (16%) 
• Undecided 2% (2%) {1%} [1%] (3%) {2%} [8%] (13%) {11%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (10%)

Who would be your second choice?

• Ted Cruz 16% (21%) {19%} [10%] (7%) {7%} [11%]
• Marco Rubio 16% (13%) {12%} [12%] (8%) {10%} [13%]
• Ben Carson 12% (9%) {12%} [19%] (14%) {6%} [8%]
• Donald Trump 8% (10%) {11%} [10%] (6%) {8%}
• Carly Fiorina 7% (7%) {5%} [7%] (16%) {11%}
• Jeb Bush 6% (4%) {6%} [6%] (8%) {7%} [9%]
• Mike Huckabee 6% (4%) {6%} [6%] (4%) {8%} [9%]
• Chris Christie 5% (5%) {7%} [5%] (3%) {3%} [4%]
• John Kasich 4% (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {5%}
• Rand Paul 4% (4%) {4%} [2%] (3%) {2%} [9%]
• Rick Santorum 3% (4%) {4%} [2%] (3%) {2%}
• Jim Gilmore 1% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
• Undecided 11% (15%) {11%} [11%] (14%) {14%} [17%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Ben Carson 72% (60%) {63%} [74%] (77%) {69%} [44%] (37%) / 20% (25%) {23%} [13%] (11%) {10%} [15%] (6%) {+52%}
• Mike Huckabee 60% (61%) {64%} [60%] (60%) {64%} [57%] (70%) {63%} (64%) {68%} [68%] (69%) / 28% (22%) {21%} [21%] (24%) {20%} [23%] (14%) {19%} (22%) {16%} [20%] (12%) {+32%}
• Marco Rubio 57% (56%) {59%} [60%] (61%) {66%} [53%] (51%) {42%} [54%] (54%) {59%} [57%] (46%) / 32% (26%) {22%} [20%] (19%) {15%} [20%] (10%) {14%} [14%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (7%) {+25%}
• Ted Cruz 56% (69%) {68%} [62%] (51%) {56%} [52%] (58%) {40%} [27%] / 35% (18%) {20%} [16%] (23%) {21%} [22%] (11%) {14%} [12%] {+21%}
• Carly Fiorina 53% (54%) {51%} [55%] (62%) {56%} / 34% (25%) {24%} [20%] (15%) {15%} {+19%} 
• Donald Trump 50% (54%) {53%} [53%] (48%) {46%} (30%) {23%} / 44% (34%) {36%} [34%] (38%) {40%} (40%) {44%} {+6%} 
• Rick Santorum 43% (46%) {50%} [51%] (51%) {55%} (62%) {44%} [57%] {64%} [65%] (68%) / 39% (29%) {26%} [21%] (25%) {22%} (13%) {21%} [15%] {18%} [22%] (17%) {+4%}
• Rand Paul 37% (41%) {37%} [44%] (43%) {31%} [51%] (60%) {59%} [60%] (55%) {48%} [49%] (54%) / 46% (39%) {34%} [28%] (32%) {45%} [26%] (12%) {15%} [15%] (19%) {28%} [29%] (15%) {-9%}
• Jeb Bush 38% (26%) {35%} [30%] (38%) {45%} [38%] (48%) {50%} [58%] (55%) {60%} [53%] (62%) / 48% (53%) {47%} [43%] (40%) {32%} [37%] (25%) {17%} [17%] (17%) {11%} [19%] (9%) {-10%} 
• Chris Christie 36% (45%) {46%} [48%] (43%) {34%} [28%] (36%) {38%} [45%] (36%) {55%} [57%] (50%) / 51% (33%) {33%} [28%] (32%) {44%} [50%] (38%) {35%} [27%] (33%) {21%} [17%] (16%) {-15%}
• John Kasich 28% (26%) {22%} [22%] (25%) {33%} (18%) {11%} / 45% (39%) {37%} [37%] (30%) {23%} (10%) {13%} {-17%}
• Jim Gilmore 6% (3%) {3%} [3%] (2%) {4%} / 50% (32%) {27%} [26%] (20%) {16%} {-44%}

Survey of 780 likely Republican caucus voters was conducted January 26-27, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Political ideology: 39% (39%) {39%} [40%] (43%) {36%} [41%] (37%) {39%} [33%] (31%) {39%} [40%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 36% (38%) {39%} [37%] (35%) {34%} [34%] (42%) {33%} [45%] (43%) {36%} [37%] (46%) Very conservative; 18% (18%) {17%} [15%] (15%) {23%} [19%] (16%) {21%} [16%] (21%) {19%} [16%] (14%) Moderate; 4% (4%) {4%} [7%] (6%) {6%} [5%] (3%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {3%} [6%] (3%) Somewhat liberal; 3% (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {3%} [1%] (2%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 8-10, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 10-13, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 30 - November 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 18-20, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 7-9, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 23-26, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1-3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.