Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Quinnipiac University Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Donald Trump 31% (28%) {25%} [20%] (27%) {10%}
• Ted Cruz 29% (27%) {23%} [10%] (9%) {9%} [12%] (5%)
• Marco Rubio 15% (14%) {13%} [13%] (5%) {7%} [13%] (4%)
• Ben Carson 7% (10%) {18%} [28%] (21%) {10%} [7%] (11%)
• Chris Christie 4% (3%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [3%] (4%)
• Jeb Bush 3% (5%) {4%} [5%] (6%) {8%} [5%] (10%)
• Mike Huckabee 3% (1%) {2%} [2%] (4%) {5%} [11%] (11%)
• John Kasich 2% (1%) {1%} [3%] (5%) {2%} [2%] (0%) 
• Rand Paul 2% (4%) {5%} [6%] (4%) {9%} [13%] (13%)
• Carly Fiorina 1% (3%) {3%} [5%] (5%) {3%} [2%]
• Rick Santorum 1% (0%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {4%} [2%] (4%)
• Jim Gilmore 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Ted Cruz 75% (72%) {73%} [65%] (61%) {58%} [59%] (46%) / 17% (18%) {15%} [18%] (19%) {19%} [19%] (19%) {+58%}
• Ben Carson 67% (74%) {79%} [84%] (79%) {63%} [53%] (51%) / 22% (20%) {15%} [10%] (6%) {7%} [9%] (5%) {+45%}
• Marco Rubio 67% (71%) {70%} [70%] (66%) {60%} [69%] (48%) / 22% (18%) {18%} [15%] (15%) {13%} [9%] (15%) {+45%}
• Carly Fiorina 52% (59%) {60%} [61%] (62%) {36%} [26%] / 21% (22%) {19%} [18%] (8%) {8%} [8%] {+31%}
• Donald Trump 61% (55%) {59%} [53%] (60%) {42%} / 34% (39%) {34%} [43%] (35%) {47%} {+27%}
• Chris Christie 44% (49%) {45%} [36%] (37%) {25%} [32%] (30%) / 38% (40%) {40%} [52%] (50%) {59%} [56%] (54%) {+6%}
• Rand Paul 40% (43%) {41%} [45%] (41%) {53%} [59%] (58%) / 39% (42%) {44%} [43%] (43%) {31%} [23%] (22%) {+1%}
• John Kasich 23% (24%) {22%} [28%] (33%) {20%} [20%] (17%) / 34% (38%) {39%} [25%] (18%) {11%} [8%] (6%) {-11%}
• Jeb Bush 33% (41%) {39%} [43%] (41%) {46%} [39%] (41%) / 56% (51%) {53%} [51%] (48%) {42%} [45%] (40%) {-23%}

Survey of 602 likely Iowa Republican caucus participants was conducted January 5-10, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Gender: 62% (58%) {61%} [63%] (57%) {61%} [58%] (60%) Men; 38% (42%) {39%} [37%] (43%) {39%} [42%] (40%) Women. Political philosophy: 40% (40%) {43%} [45%] (42%) {44%} [43%] (45%) Very conservative; 30% (31%) {33%} [28%] (28%) {29%} [27%] (28%) Somewhat conservative; 28% (27%) {23%} [26%] (28%) {25%} [29%] (25%) Moderate/Liberal. Results from the poll conducted December 4-13, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 16-22, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 14-20, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 8, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 20-29, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 25 - May 4, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 16-23, 2015 are in parentheses.