Poll Watch: Des Moines Register Iowa 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

Des Moines Register Iowa 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• Joni Ernst 36%
• Mark Jacobs 18%
• Matt Whitaker 13%
• Sam Clovis 11%
• Scott Schaben 2%
• Undecided 16%

Note: The victor needs at least 35 percent to win Tuesday's five-person primary outright.

Survey of 400 likely GOP primary voters was conducted May 27-30, 2014 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Oregon 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Oregon 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
• Rand Paul (R) 39%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 39%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
• Ted Cruz (R) 37%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
• Jeb Bush (R) 36%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51% 
• Chris Christie (R) 34%

Among Men

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
• Rand Paul (R) 44%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 42%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
• Ted Cruz (R) 41%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
• Jeb Bush (R) 40%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% 
• Chris Christie (R) 37%

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
• Rand Paul (R) 34%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 36%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
• Ted Cruz (R) 33%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
• Jeb Bush (R) 32%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 55% 
• Chris Christie (R) 31%

Survey of 956 registered voters was conducted May 22-27, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 45% Democrat; 31% Republican; 24% Independent/Other.  Ideology: 26% Moderate; 24% Somewhat liberal; 21% Somewhat conservative; 16% Very liberal; 14% Very conservative.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Oregon 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Oregon 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Mike Huckabee 21%
• Ted Cruz 16%
• Jeb Bush 15%
• Rand Paul 15%
• Chris Christie 12%
• Marco Rubio 4%
• Paul Ryan 3%
• Scott Walker 3%
• Rick Santorum 2%
• Someone else/Not sure 10%

Among Men

• Mike Huckabee 20%
• Ted Cruz 16%
• Jeb Bush 16%
• Rand Paul 15%
• Chris Christie 10%
• Marco Rubio 5%
• Scott Walker 5%
• Paul Ryan 4%
• Rick Santorum 2%
• Someone else/Not sure 8%

Among Women

• Mike Huckabee 24%
• Ted Cruz 16%
• Chris Christie 14%
• Jeb Bush 14%
• Rand Paul 14%
• Marco Rubio 4%
• Paul Ryan 1%
• Scott Walker 1%
• Rick Santorum 1%
• Someone else/Not sure 12%

Survey of 375 Republican primary voters was conducted May 22-27, 2014.  The margin of error is +/-5.1 percentage points. Political ideology: 39% Somewhat conservative; 33% Very conservative; 21% Moderate; 5% Somewhat liberal; 2% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Mississippi Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

Harper Polling (R) Mississippi 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll 

• Thad Cochran 45% [52%] (54%)
• Chris McDaniel 40% [35%] (31%)
• Not sure 15% [12%] (14%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Thad Cochran 52% [59%] (64%) / 36% [30%] (28%) {+16%}
• Chris McDaniel 43% [37%] (33%) / 39% [31%] (17%) {+4%}

Survey of 599 likely GOP primary voters was conducted May 27-28, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Party ID: 74% [74%] (78%) Republican; 3% [2%] (0%) Democrat; 24% [23%] (22%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 63% [59%] (56%) Very conservative; 30% [32%] (33%) Somewhat conservative; 7% [9%] (9%) Moderate; 0% [0%] (1%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 3-5, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Kentucky 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Kentucky 2014 Senate Poll

• Mitch McConnell (R) 48% (42%)
• Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 41% (42%)
• Some other candidate 5% (6%)
• Undecided 7% (10%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted May 28-29, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 29-30, 2014 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers: 

McConnell now has the backing of 76% of Kentucky Republicans and 27% of the state’s Democrats. Sixty-seven percent (67%) of Democrats and 18% of GOP voters favor Grimes. Voters not affiliated with either major political party prefer the Democrat by three points.

Both candidates are well-known in Kentucky and have higher unfavorables than favorables. For McConnell, Very Favorables are 21%, Very Unfavorables 30%. Grimes is seen Very Favorably by 18% and Very Unfavorably by 26%.

Poll Watch: Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

• Thom Tillis (R) 46%
• Kay Hagan (D) 41%
• Undecided 12%

Survey of 600 registered voters was conducted May 20-22, 2014.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll

• Tom Cotton (R) 47% (45%)
• Mark Pryor (D) 43% (40%)
• Some other candidate 4% (5%)
• Undecided 6% (10%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted May 27-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Oregon 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Oregon 2014 Senate Poll

• Jeff Merkley (D) 50%
• Monica Wehby (R) 36%
• Undecided 15%

Among Men

• Jeff Merkley (D) 49%
• Monica Wehby (R) 40%
• Undecided 11%

Among Women

• Jeff Merkley (D) 50%
• Monica Wehby (R) 32%
• Undecided 18%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jeff Merkley’s job performance?

• Approve 41%
• Disapprove 34%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Monica Wehby?

• Favorable 26%
• Unfavorable 40%

Survey of 956 registered voters was conducted May 22-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 45% Democrat; 31% Republican; 24% Independent/Other. Ideology: 26% Moderate; 24% Somewhat liberal; 21% Somewhat conservative; 16% Very liberal; 14% Very conservative.

Poll Watch: Glengariff Group Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

Glengariff Group Michigan 2014 Senate Poll

• Gary Peters (D) 39.6%
• Terri Lynn Land (R) 35.3%
• Undecided 23.2%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Gary Peters 18.3% / 18.8% {-0.5%}
• Terri Lynn Land 25.0% / 28.0% {-3.0%}

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted May 20-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Party ID: 36.7% Democrat; 33.7% Republican; 26.7% Independent.

Poll Watch: EPIC-MRA Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

EPIC-MRA Michigan 2014 Senate Poll

• Gary Peters (D) 44% [38%] (38%)
• Terri Lynn Land (R) 38% [41%] (37%)
  

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted May 17-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted February 5-11, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Rick Scott (R) 42% {41%} [41%] (41%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 40% {44%} [44%] (46%)

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 77% {80%} (80%)
• Rick Scott (R) 8% {10%} (13%)

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 80% {74%} (71%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 7% {14%} (14%)

Among Independents

• Rick Scott (R) 39% {41%} (43%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 31% {36%} (40%)

Among Moderates

• Charlie Crist (D) 46% {55%} (57%)
• Rick Scott (R) 34% {30%} (33%)

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 49% {49%} (41%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 35% {37%} (47%)

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 47% {50%} (46%)
• Rick Scott (R) 35% {33%} (42%)

Survey of 531 likely voters was conducted May 20-22, 2014 for WFLA-TV.  The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Party ID: 39% {37%} (38%) Democrat; 37% {37%} (34%) Republican; 23% {26%} (27%) Independent. Ideology: 41% {42%} (45%) Moderate; 34% {34%} (32%) Conservative; 21% {19%} (20%) Liberal. Gender: 53% {51%} (52%) Male; 47% {49%} (48%) Female. Results from the poll released May 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll released April 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Charleston Daily Mail West Virginia 2014 Senatorial Survey

Charleston Daily Mail West Virginia 2014 Senate Poll

• Shelley Moore Capito (R) 49% (45%)
• Natalie Tennant (D) 38% (40%)
• Don't know 13% (15%)

Among Men

• Shelley Moore Capito (R) 52%
• Natalie Tennant (D) 35%
• Don't know 13%

Among Women

• Shelley Moore Capito (R) 47%
• Natalie Tennant (D) 41%
• Don't know 12%

Survey of 400 registered West Virginia voters was conducted May 19-22, 2014 by R.L. Repass & Partners. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Party ID: 49% Democrat; 31% Republican; 20% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-22, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Oregon 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Oregon 2014 Senate Poll

• Jeff Merkley (D) 47%
• Monica Wehby (R) 37% 
• Some other candidate 5%
• Undecided 11%

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted May 21-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Georgia 2014 Senate Poll

GENERAL ELECTION

• Jack Kingston (R) 45% [42%] (38%)
• Michelle Nunn (D) 45% [44%] (40%)
• Not sure 10% [14%] (21%)

• Michelle Nunn (D) 48% (40%)
• David Perdue (R) 46% (40%)
• Not sure 7% (21%) 

Among Men

• Jack Kingston (R) 48% [44%] (44%)
• Michelle Nunn (D) 44% [41%] (35%)
• Not sure 7% [15%] (21%)

• David Perdue (R) 48% (43%)
• Michelle Nunn (D) 48% (35%)
• Not sure 4% (21%)

Among Women

• Michelle Nunn (D) 45% [47%] (45%)
• Jack Kingston (R) 43% [40%] (33%)
• Not sure 13% [13%] (22%)

• Michelle Nunn (D) 47% (44%)
• David Perdue (R) 44% (36%)
• Not sure 9% (20%)

Among Whites

• Jack Kingston (R) 63% [54%] (49%)
• Michelle Nunn (D) 29% [33%] (30%)
• Not sure 8% [12%] (21%)

• David Perdue (R) 62% (51%)
• Michelle Nunn (D) 31% (29%)
• Not sure 7% (20%)

Among Blacks

• Michelle Nunn (D) 76% [69%] (71%)
• Jack Kingston (R) 14% [13%] (8%)
• Not sure 10% [18%] (21%)

• Michelle Nunn (D) 79% (72%)
• David Perdue (R) 15% (8%)
• Not sure 6% (20%)

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY RUNOFF 

• Jack Kingston 46%
• David Perdue 34%
• Not sure 20%
  

Very Conservative

• Jack Kingston 54%
• David Perdue 30%
• Not sure 16%

Somewhat Conservative

• Jack Kingston 41%
• David Perdue 33%
• Not sure 25%

Among Men

• Jack Kingston 42%
• David Perdue 37%
• Not sure 21%
  

Among Women 

• Jack Kingston 49%
• David Perdue 32%
• Not sure 19%
  

Survey of 803 Georgia voters, including a subsample of 410 Republican primary runoff voters, was conducted May 21-22, 2014 for Better Georgia. Party ID: 42% [38%] (39%) Republican; 39% [38%] (38%) Democrat; 20% [24%] (23%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 28% Moderate; 26% Somewhat conservative; 24% Very conservative; 14% Somewhat liberal; 8% Very liberal.  Gender: 53% [53%] (53%) Women; 47% [47%] (47%) Men.  Race: 64% [66%] (71%) White; 27% [27%] (24%) Black. Results from the poll conducted January 24-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 2-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Georgia 2014 Senate Poll

• Michelle Nunn (D) 45%
• David Perdue (R) 42%
• Some other candidate 7%
• Undecided 6% 

• Michelle Nunn (D) 47%
• Jack Kingston (R) 41% 
• Some other candidate 3%
• Undecided 9%

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted May 21-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [47%] (48%)
• Rand Paul (R) 42% [42%] (37%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [46%]
• Mike Huckabee (R) 42% [42%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [45%] (50%)
• Jeb Bush (R) 39% [41%] (36%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [45%] (43%)
• Chris Christie (R) 39% [39%] (36%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
• Ted Cruz (R) 40%

Among Independents

• Rand Paul (R) 51% [45%] (32%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 35% [37%] (42%)

• Mike Huckabee (R) 48% [48%]  
• Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [32%] 

• Jeb Bush (R) 43% [42%] (32%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 31% [36%] (47%)

• Chris Christie (R) 43% [39%] (34%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 35% [35%] (29%)

• Ted Cruz (R) 45%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 37%

Among Moderates 

• Hillary Clinton (D) 55% [56%] (61%)
• Rand Paul (R) 26% [27%] (20%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 55% [52%]
• Mike Huckabee (R) 28% [28%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [51%] (65%)
• Jeb Bush (R) 25% [28%] (18%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [53%] (52%)
• Chris Christie (R) 29% [28%] (25%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
• Ted Cruz (R) 23%

Among Men

• Rand Paul (R) 50% [49%] (42%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [41%] (45%)

• Mike Huckabee (R) 50% [50%]  
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [39%] 

• Jeb Bush (R) 47% [48%] (42%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 35% [37%] (47%)

• Chris Christie (R) 46% [44%] (43%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 37% [38%] (38%)

• Ted Cruz (R) 48%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41%

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [53%] (51%)
• Rand Paul (R) 34% [34%] (33%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [53%]
• Mike Huckabee (R) 36% [36%] 

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [53%] (53%)
• Jeb Bush (R) 33% [35%] (31%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [51%] (47%)
• Chris Christie (R) 32% [33%] (31%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
• Ted Cruz (R) 32% 

Survey of 914 Iowa voters was conducted May 15-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 38% [37%] (38%) Democrat; 34% [31%] (37%) Republican; 28% [32%] (25%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 27% [30%] (32%) Moderate; 22% [24%] (21%) Somewhat conservative; 19% [14%] (18%) Very conservative; 18% [22%] (19%) Somewhat liberal; 14% [10%] (9%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?

• Hillary Clinton 59% (67%) {71%} [68%] (58%) {60%} [62%] (44%)
• Joe Biden 12% (12%) {12%} [21%] (17%) {18%} [14%] (13%)
• Elizabeth Warren 11% (5%) {5%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [4%]
• Andrew Cuomo 3% (2%) {1%} [2%] (6%) {3%} [4%] (7%)
• Cory Booker 3% (1%) {1%} (3%)
• Mark Warner 2% (3%) {2%} [2%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (1%)
• Kirsten Gillibrand 1% (0%) {2%} [0%] 
• Martin O'Malley 1% (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [1%]
• Brian Schweitzer 1% (0%) {0%} [0%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%)
• Someone else/Not sure 8% (10%) {5%} [3%] (13%) {14%} [9%] (21%)

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?

• Joe Biden 34% (40%) {51%} [58%] (40%) {36%} [28%]
• Elizabeth Warren 22% (13%) {16%} [7%] (9%) {8%} [10%]
• Andrew Cuomo 7% (8%) {9%} [13%] (14%) {14%} [14%]
• Cory Booker 4% (2%) {6%}
• Kirsten Gillibrand 3% (2%) {2%} [6%]
• Martin O'Malley 2% (5%) {2%} [0%] (4%) {2%} [0%]
• Mark Warner 1% (2%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {3%} [1%]
• Brian Schweitzer 1% (1%) {0%} [1%] (1%) {4%} [2%]
• Someone else/Not sure 26% (28%) {13%} [11%] (28%) {34%} [36%]

If neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee?

• Elizabeth Warren 31% (21%) {20%} [17%] (13%) {11%} [13%]
• Andrew Cuomo 14% (11%) {18%} [26%] (30%) {20%} [17%]
• Cory Booker 9% (8%) {12%}
• Kirsten Gillibrand 5% (3%) {7%} [5%] 
• Mark Warner 2% (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {6%} [1%] 
• Martin O'Malley 2% (6%) {4%} [8%] (3%) {2%} [3%]
• Brian Schweitzer 1% (2%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {4%} [4%]
• Someone else/Not sure 36% (47%) {33%} [37%] (46%) {53%} [47%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 83% (82%) {87%} [90%] (86%) {90%} [88%] / 12% (9%) {7%} [5%] (11%) {6%} [6%] {+71%}
• Joe Biden 74% (66%) {80%} [84%] (85%) {79%} [76%] / 15% (13%) {8%} [9%] (15%) {11%} [6%] {+59%}
• Elizabeth Warren 55% (43%) {41%} [45%] (37%) {30%} [31%] / 7% (8%) {8%} [8%] (11%) {10%} [8%] {+48%}
• Andrew Cuomo 38% (28%) {34%} [35%] (38%) {26%} [26%] / 13% (14%) {15%} [13%] (16%) {19%} [17%] {+25%}
• Cory Booker 34% (30%) {27%} / 12% (11%) {9%} {+22%}
• Kirsten Gillibrand 24% (20%) {22%} [14%] / 11% (10%) {11%} [6%] {+13%} 
• Mark Warner 20% (19%) {14%} [10%] (12%) {10%} [10%] / 12% (11%) {10%} [11%] (11%) {10%} [11%] {+8%}
• Martin O'Malley 12% (13%) {12%} [8%] (9%) {4%} [6%] / 9% (10%) {6%} [6%] (13%) {8%} [7%] {+3%}
• Brian Schweitzer 14% (12%) {10%} [9%] (12%) {5%} [7%] / 12% (12%) {5%} [5%] (7%) {10%} [9%] {+2%}

Survey of 356 Democratic voters was conducted May 15-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points.  Political ideology: 35% (41%) {37%} [33%] (32%) {37%} [36%] (33%) Somewhat liberal; 30% (20%) {18%} [26%] (20%) {14%} [21%] (14%) Very liberal; 28% (28%) {35%} [33%] (35%) {38%} [32%] (37%) Moderate; 5% (9%) {7%} [6%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (11%) Somewhat conservative; 2% (2%) {2%} [2%] (5%) {3%} [4%] (4%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Mike Huckabee 20% {17%} (16%) {15%} [17%] (16%) 
• Ted Cruz 15% {10%} [10%]
• Jeb Bush 12% {13%} [14%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (10%) 
• Rand Paul 10% {14%} [18%] (15%) {5%} [11%] (9%)
• Chris Christie 9% {10%} [16%] (12%) {12%} [16%] (15%)
• Paul Ryan 8% {9%} [15%] (10%) {12%} [6%] (5%)
• Scott Walker 6% {7%} 
• Marco Rubio 4% {3%} [11%] (16%) {12%} [10%] (7%) 
• Rick Santorum 3% [6%] {10%} [17%] (16%) 
• Someone else/Not sure 13% {11%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (10%)

Among Men

• Ted Cruz 20% {10%} [13%]
• Mike Huckabee 18% {19%} (14%) {13%} [13%] (11%)
• Jeb Bush 11% {9%} [13%] (16%) {11%} [8%] (9%)
• Rand Paul 11% {14%} [21%] (14%) {6%} [16%] (10%) 
• Chris Christie 10% {7%} [17%] (12%) {14%} [15%] (17%)
• Scott Walker 6% {11%}
• Paul Ryan 6% {8%} [11%] (10%) {7%} [8%] (3%)
• Marco Rubio 5% {3%} [10%] (17%) {15%} [8%] (9%) 
• Rick Santorum 3% [5%] {10%} [17%] (19%) 
• Someone else/Not sure 10% {9%} [4%] (6%) {8%} [5%] (11%)

Among Women

• Mike Huckabee 23% {15%} (18%) {17%} [21%] (22%)
• Jeb Bush 14% {17%} [15%] (12%) {11%} [8%] (12%)
• Paul Ryan 11% {9%} [19%] (10%) {17%} [5%] (8%) 
• Ted Cruz 9% {9%} [7%] 
• Rand Paul 8% {14%} [14%] (16%) {5%} [5%] (8%)
• Chris Christie 7% {15%} [16%] (11%) {10%} [16%] (13%)
• Scott Walker 5% {1%}  
• Rick Santorum 4% [7%] {11%} [17%] (14%)
• Marco Rubio 3% {3%} [12%] (16%) {10%} [11%] (4%)
• Someone else/Not sure 17% {13%} [10%] (8%) {9%} [10%] (10%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mike Huckabee 70% {63%} (64%) {68%} [68%] (69%) / 14% {19%} (22%) {16%} [20%] (12%) {+56%}
• Sarah Palin 68% {61%} {60%} [60%] (70%) / 18% {21%} {26%} [26%] (17%) {+50%}
• Rick Santorum 62% {44%} [57%] {64%} [65%] (68%) / 13% {21%} [15%] {18%} [22%] (17%) {+49%}
• Rand Paul 60% {59%} [60%] (55%) {48%} [49%] (54%) / 12% {15%} [15%] (19%) {28%} [29%] (15%) {+48%}
• Ted Cruz 58% {40%} [27%] / 11% {14%} [12%] {+47%}
• Paul Ryan 60% {63%} [68%] (63%) {83%} [49%] (44%) / 15% {13%} [12%] (16%) {13%} [14%] (8%) {+45%}
• Marco Rubio 51% {42%} [54%] (54%) {59%} [57%] (46%) / 10% {14%} [14%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (7%) {+41%}
• Scott Walker 47% {39%} / 8% {12%} {+39%}  
• Rick Perry 53% {45%} (43%) / 16% {17%} (28%) {+37%}
• Bobby Jindal 41% {36%} [42%] (43%) / 9% {10%} [14%] (11%) {+32%}
• Ben Carson 37% / 6% {+31%}
• Jeb Bush 48% {50%} [58%] (55%) {60%} [53%] (62%) / 25% {17%} [17%] (17%) {11%} [19%] (9%) {+23%}  
• John Kasich 18% {11%} / 10% {13%} {+8%}
• Chris Christie 36% {38%} [45%] (36%) {55%} [57%] (50%) / 38% {35%} [27%] (33%) {21%} [17%] (16%) {-2%}  
• Scott Brown 12% / 17% {-5%}
• Peter King 11% / 19% {-8%}
• Donald Trump 30% {23%} / 40% {44%} {-10%}
• Joe Scarborough 10% / 22% {-12%}

Survey of 303 Republican voters was conducted May 15-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.6 percentage points.  Political ideology: 42% {33%} [45%] (43%) {36%} [37%] (46%) Very conservative; 37% {39%} [33%] (31%) {39%} [40%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 16% {21%} [16%] (21%) {19%} [16%] (14%) Moderate; 3% {5%} [5%] (5%) {3%} [6%] (3%) Somewhat liberal; 1% {2%} [1%] (1%) {3%} [1%] (2%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1-3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2014 Senate Poll 

• Bruce Braley (D) 42% (41%)
• Mark Jacobs (R) 36% (35%)

• Bruce Braley (D) 45% (41%)
• Joni Ernst (R) 39% (35%)

• Bruce Braley (D) 43% (40%)
• Matt Whitaker (R) 36% (34%)

• Bruce Braley (D) 43% (42%)
• Sam Clovis (R) 34% (34%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Bruce Braley 29% (31%) / 29% (25%) {0%}
• Sam Clovis 19% (9%) / 19% (11%) {0%} 
• Matt Whitaker 13% (11%) / 15% (12%) {-2%}
• Joni Ernst 27% (9%) / 32% (12%) {-5%}
• Mark Jacobs 19% (13%) / 25% (12%) {-6%}

Survey of 914 registered voters was conducted May 15-19, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 38% (37%) Democrat; 34% (31%) Republican; 28% (32%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 27% (30%) Moderate; 22% (24%) Somewhat conservative; 19% (14%) Very conservative; 18% (22%) Somewhat liberal; 14% (10%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• Joni Ernst 34% (13%)
• Mark Jacobs 18% (20%)
• Sam Clovis 14% (8%)
• Matt Whitaker 6% (11%)
• Paul Lunde 2% (3%)
• Scott Schaben 1% (3%)
• Someone else/Not sure 26% (42%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Joni Ernst 45% (16%) / 13% (7%) {+32%}
• Sam Clovis 29% (15%) / 12% (7%) {+17%}
• Matt Whitaker 19% (17%) / 8% (10%) {+11%}
• Mark Jacobs 29% (24%) / 20% (8%) {+9%}

Survey of 303 Republican primary voters was conducted May 15-19, 2014.  Ideology: 42% (33%) Very conservative; 37% (39%) Somewhat conservative; 16% (21%) Moderate; 3% (5%) Somewhat liberal; 1% (2%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: InsiderAdvantage/Opinion Savvy (R) Georgia 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

InsiderAdvantage/Opinion Savvy (R) Georgia 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• David Perdue 26% (27%) {26%} [22%] (19%)
• Karen Handel 17% (17%) {18%} [21%] (13%)
• Jack Kingston 17% (19%) {17%} [17%] (15%)
• Phil Gingrey 11% (9%) {11%} [12%] (9%)
• Paul Broun 10% (10%) {12%} [14%] (11%)
• Undecided 18% (14%) {13%} [11%] (33%)

Survey of 852 likely primary voters was conducted May 18, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.36 percentage points. Party ID: 68% Republican; 3% Democrat; 29% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-14, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 7, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 27-29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) West Virginia 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) West Virginia 2014 Senate Poll

• Shelley Moore Capito (R) 48% (49%)
• Natalie Tennant (D) 39% (35%)
• Some other candidate 5% (4%)
• Undecided 9% (12%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted May 14-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 19-20, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {51%} [49%]
• John Kasich (R) 42% {39%} [38%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {50%} [48%]
• Marco Rubio (R) 40% {36%} [39%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {49%} [49%]
• Paul Ryan (R) 41% {40%} [41%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {49%} [42%] (42%)
• Chris Christie (R) 38% {36%} [41%] (42%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {51%} [50%] (47%)
• Rand Paul (R) 41% {38%} [40%] (44%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 41%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {51%} [50%]
• Jeb Bush (R) 39% {36%} [37%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {51%} [50%]
• Ted Cruz (R) 37% {34%} [35%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 53% (52%) / 43% (44%) {+10%}
• Rand Paul 38% (43%) / 29% (26%) {+9%}
• Chris Christie 36% (48%) / 36% (16%) {0%}
• Jeb Bush 32% / 38% {-6%}

Survey of 1,174 registered voters was conducted May 7-12, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 29% {32%} [31%] (29%) Democrat; 29% {28%} [26%] (28%) Republican; 35% {33%} [36%] (35%) Independent; 8% {7%} [7%] (7%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted February 12-17, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 18-23, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Presidential Poll

• Jeb Bush (R) 47% {47%} [49%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {39%} [42%]

• Rand Paul (R) 46% {47%} [49%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {41%} [43%]

• Chris Christie (R) 44% {43%} [46%] (43%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {39%} [38%] (42%)

• Mike Huckabee (R) 43% {45%}
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {41%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {44%} [49%] (53%)
• Sarah Palin (R) 41% {43%} [40%] (37%)

Among Men

• Jeb Bush (R) 58% {54%} [59%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 32% {33%} [31%]

• Rand Paul (R) 55% {55%} [58%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {35%} [34%]

• Chris Christie (R) 51% {49%} [51%] (50%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 33% {34%} [31%] (35%)

• Mike Huckabee (R) 51% {51%}
• Hillary Clinton (D) 36% {35%}

• Sarah Palin (R) 50% {49%} [48%] (43%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {37%} [39%] (46%)

Among Women 

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {45%} [52%]
• Jeb Bush (R) 37% {40%} [40%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {46%} [50%]
• Rand Paul (R) 39% {41%} [42%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {44%} [45%] (47%)
• Chris Christie (R) 37% {38%} [43%] (38%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {47%}
• Mike Huckabee (R) 37% {40%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {50%} [58%] (60%)
• Sarah Palin (R) 32% {38%} [34%] (31%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin?

• Favorable 36% {39%} [39%] (34%)
• Unfavorable 56% {55%} [58%] (59%)

Do you think Sarah Palin should run for President in 2016, or not?

• She should run 19% {23%} [18%] (16%)
• She should not 74% {69%} [77%] (78%)

Survey of 582 registered voters was conducted May 8-11, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 29% {33%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 18% {20%} [20%] (21%) Democrat; 53% {46%} [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 31% {32%} [30%] (33%) Moderate; 22% {21%} [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 21% {23%} [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 16% {16%} [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 9% {7%} [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Alaska 2016 GOP Primary Poll 

Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Scott Walker, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?

• Ted Cruz 15% {13%} [8%] 
• Chris Christie 14% {10%} [13%] (11%)
• Jeb Bush 14% {12%} [11%] (9%)
• Sarah Palin 12% {13%} [14%] (9%) 
• Mike Huckabee 11% {11%} (14%)
• Rand Paul 11% {15%} [18%] (12%)
• Paul Ryan 4% {4%} [9%] (10%)
• Scott Walker 4% {4%}
• Marco Rubio 3% {6%} [9%] (18%)
• Someone else/Not sure 12% {12%} [12%] (10%)

If Sarah Palin was not a candidate for President, who would you support, given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Scott Walker?

• Chris Christie 16% {9%} [14%]
• Ted Cruz 15% {16%} [9%]
• Jeb Bush 15% {14%} [15%]
• Rand Paul 14% {14%} [20%]
• Mike Huckabee 10% {13%} 
• Paul Ryan 5% {7%} [14%]
• Scott Walker 5% {5%}
• Marco Rubio 4% {8%} [10%]
• Someone else/Not sure 16% {15%} [12%]

Survey of 313 Republican primary voters was conducted May 8-11, 2014.  The margin of error is +/-5.5  percentage points. Political ideology: 38% {37%} [ 33%] Very conservative; 31% {33%} [37%] Somewhat conservative; 22% {23%} [24%] Moderate; 5% {2%} [2%] Very liberal; 4% {5%} [4%] Somewhat liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Charlie Crist (D) 44% [44%] (46%)
• Rick Scott (R) 41% [41%] (41%)

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 80% (80%)
• Rick Scott (R) 10% (13%)

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 74% (71%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 14% (14%)

Among Independents

• Rick Scott (R) 41% (43%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 36% (40%)

Among Moderates

• Charlie Crist (D) 55% (57%)
• Rick Scott (R) 30% (33%)

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 49% (41%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 37% (47%)

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 50% (46%)
• Rick Scott (R) 33% (42%)

Survey of 554 likely voters was conducted May 9-12, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID: 37% (38%) Democrat; 37% (34%) Republican; 26% (27%) Independent. Ideology: 42% (45%) Moderate; 34% (32%) Conservative; 19% (20%) Liberal. Results from the poll released April 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (47%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {48%} [50%] (52%) 
• Rand Paul (R) 44% (43%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (40%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (45%) {47%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [47%]
• Jeb Bush (R) 42% (44%) {46%} [43%] (44%) {45%} [43%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (46%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {42%} [43%]
• Chris Christie (R) 40% (44%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {45%} [46%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (48%) {49%} [48%]
• Mike Huckabee (R) 43% (43%) {42%} [43%]

Among Independents

• Rand Paul (R) 46% (44%) {40%} [39%] (46%) {48%} [45%] (42%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 32% (35%) {48%} [49%] (34%) {42%} [42%] (48%)

• Jeb Bush (R) 40% (45%) {38%} [35%] (41%) {44%} [41%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 33% (39%) {46%} [50%] (36%) {37%} [40%]

• Chris Christie (R) 39% (45%) {38%} [33%] (39%) {50%} [46%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 36% (38%) {39%} [47%] (33%) {31%} [31%]

• Mike Huckabee (R) 46% (44%) {34%} [36%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (38%) {48%} [52%]

Among Moderates

• Hillary Clinton (D) 56% (59%) [58%] (60%) {62%} [63%] (65%)
• Rand Paul (R) 23% (26%) [29%] (25%) {25%} [26%] (25%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 57% (60%) [58%] (58%) {59%} [61%]
• Jeb Bush (R) 23% (29%) [25%] (25%) {30%} [26%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 59% (60%) [54%] (50%) {51%} [54%]
• Chris Christie (R) 18% (31%) [31%] (32%) {32%} [36%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 64% (62%) [60%]
• Mike Huckabee (R) 21% (28%) [25%]

Among Men

• Rand Paul (R) 50% (48%) {49%} [47%] (49%) {49%} [46%] (47%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (45%) {43%} [45%] (44%) {43%} [46%] (46%)

• Jeb Bush (R) 47% (50%) {49%} [46%] (49%) {51%} [46%] 
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (42%) {42%} [45%] (41%) {38%} [42%]

• Chris Christie (R) 43% (47%) {48%} [46%] (49%) {51%} [51%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (42%) {40%} [41%] (37%) {35%} [37%]

• Mike Huckabee (R) 49% (47%) {44%} [46%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (45%) {47%} [47%]

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (49%) {55%} [49%] (49%) {53%} [54%] (57%)
• Rand Paul (R) 38% (39%) {38%} [41%] (38%) {38%} [38%] (35%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (49%) {50%} [49%] (51%) {53%} [52%]
• Jeb Bush (R) 38% (39%) {43%} [41%] (38%) {39%} [40%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (49%) {52%} [48%] (47%) {49%} [47%]
• Chris Christie (R) 36% (42%) {37%} [38%] (38%) {40%} [42%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (50%) {52%} [50%]
• Mike Huckabee (R) 38% (40%) {41%} [41%]

Among Whites

• Rand Paul (R) 52% (54%) {54%} [54%] (56%) {54%} [51%] (51%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (38%) {38%} [36%] (35%) {37%} [39%] (41%)

• Jeb Bush (R) 51% (55%) {57%} [54%] (55%) {58%} [53%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (37%) {35%} [37%] (34%) {35%} [37%]

• Chris Christie (R) 46% (54%) {51%} [50%] (53%) {57%} [56%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (37%) {36%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [33%]

• Mike Huckabee (R) 51% (53%) {53%} [54%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (38%) {37%} [38%]

Among Blacks

• Hillary Clinton (D) 75% (80%) {87%} [82%] (84%) {83%} [86%] (87%)
• Rand Paul (R) 13% (10%) {11%} [10%] (5%) {12%} [11%] (8%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 69% (77%) {86%} [82%] (86%) {81%} [81%]
• Jeb Bush (R) 9% (8%) {9%} [7%] (7%) {9%} [13%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 68% (78%) {80%} [78%] (79%) {81%} [77%]
• Chris Christie (R) 11% (13%) {14%} [11%] (11%) {9%} [17%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 78% (80%) {89%} [82%]
• Mike Huckabee (R) 10% (10%) {9%} [9%]

Survey of 877 registered voters was conducted May 9-11, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 42% (42%) {42%} [39%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (43%) Democrat; 35% (36%) {35%} [34%] (33%) {34%} [33%] (34%) Republican; 23% (22%) {23%} [27%] (23%) {23%} [21%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Gender: 53% (53%) {53%} [53%] (53%) {53%} [54%] (57%) Women; 47% (47%) {47%} [47%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (43%) Men. Race: 74% (74%) {74%} [75%] (73%) {73%} [73%] (72%) White; 20% (20%) {20%} [20%] (21%) {21%} [20%] (22%) Black; 6% (6%) {6%} [5%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (6%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Mike Huckabee 17% [19%] (22%) {19%} [20%] (15%)
• Jeb Bush 17% [15%] (18%) {12%} [15%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
• Chris Christie 12% [9%] (12%) {15%} [11%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
• Ted Cruz 12% [17%] (12%) {14%} [8%] (11%) {12%} [12%]
• Rand Paul 12% [15%] (9%) {12%} [14%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (6%)
• Paul Ryan 8% [6%] (9%) {4%} [8%] (11%) {7%} [7%] (12%) 
• Scott Walker 5% (7%) {6%} [4%] (3%) {5%} [1%]
• Marco Rubio 5% [5%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%) {10%} [10%] (21%) 
• Bobby Jindal 2% [4%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%) {3%} [6%] 
• Someone else/Not sure 11% [9%] (6%) {12%} [9%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (8%)

Among Men

• Mike Huckabee 18% [13%] (19%) {15%} [15%] (14%)
• Chris Christie 14% [9%] (12%) {16%} [14%] (18%) {18%} [19%] (10%)
• Rand Paul 14% [18%] (8%) {13%} [19%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
• Ted Cruz 12% [19%] (16%) {16%} [7%] (14%) {15%} [16%] 
• Jeb Bush 12% [15%] {13%} [18%] (14%) {14%} [14%] (11%)
• Paul Ryan 7% [7%] (8%) {3%} [5%] (10%) {5%} [6%] (12%)  
• Scott Walker 7% (10%) {7%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [1%] 
• Marco Rubio 4% [6%] (6%) {3%} [7%] (7%) {10%} [9%] (22%)
• Bobby Jindal 1% [4%] (1%) {2%} [3%] (6%) {3%} [5%]
• Someone else/Not sure 11% [7%] (4%) {12%} [6%] (9%) {7%} [10%] (7%)

Among Women

• Jeb Bush 23% [15%] (21%) {11%} [13%] (13%) {16%} [18%] (8%)
• Mike Huckabee 16% [26%] (24%) {24%} [25%] (16%)
• Ted Cruz 11% [13%] (7%) {11%} [9%] (9%) {10%} [9%] 
• Chris Christie 10% [9%] (12%) {13%} [7%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
• Paul Ryan 9% [4%] (9%) {5%} [12%] (11%) {8%} [9%] (12%)
• Rand Paul 9% [11%] (11%) {10%} [9%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (4%)
• Marco Rubio 5% [4%] (5%) {7%} [7%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (19%) 
• Scott Walker 4% (3%) {5%} [2%] (1%) {4%} [0%] 
• Bobby Jindal 3% [4%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (4%) {3%} [7%] 
• Someone else/Not sure 10% [10%] (7%) {14%} [13%] (17%) {15%} [17%] (10%)

Survey of 394 Republican primary voters was conducted May 9-11, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Political ideology: 40% [45%] (39%) {37%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [36%] (44%) Very conservative; 37% [35%] (32%) {35%} [33%] (40%) {39%} [36%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 20% [13%] (21%) {20%} [22%] (16%) {16%} [21%] (13%) Moderate; 2% [4%] (6%) {4%} [7%] (4%) {7%} [4%] (6%) Somewhat liberal; 1% [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Georgia 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

SurveyUSA Georgia 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• David Perdue 27% [26%] (29%)
• Jack Kingston 19% [20%] (19%)
• Karen Handel 16% [15%] (10%)
• Phil Gingrey 10% [6%] (12%)
• Paul Broun 10% [13%] (11%)
• Derrick Grayson 3% [5%] (4%)
• Art Gardner 1% [1%] (1%)
• Undecided 14% [13%] (15%)

Survey of 634 likely and actual GOP primary voters was conducted May 8-12, 2014 for WXIA-TV Atlanta. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 77% [72%] (76%) Republican; 19% [22%] (21%) Independent; 3% [4%] (3%) Democrat.  Political ideology: 71% [68%] (72%) Conservative; 23% [24%] (24%) Moderate; 4% [5%] (3%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 24-27, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 16-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

• Mark Begich (D) 42% {41%} [46%] (47%)
• Dan Sullivan (R) 37% {37%} [39%] (41%)
• Zachary Kile (AIP) 5% {6%}
• Sidney Hill (I) 1% {2%}
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1% {1%}

• Mark Begich (D) 41% {44%} [52%] (54%)
• Sarah Palin (R) 35% {40%} [40%] (38%)
• Zachary Kile (AIP) 6% {4%}
• Sidney Hill (I) 2% {2%}
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1% {1%}

• Mark Begich (D) 41% {43%} [44%] (47%)
• Mead Treadwell (R) 33% {37%} [40%] (39%)
• Zachary Kile (AIP) 6% {5%}
• Sidney Hill (I) 2% {1%}
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1% {1%}

• Mark Begich (D) 43% {45%} [55%] (58%)
• Joe Miller (R) 27% {25%} [32%] (30%)
• Zachary Kile (AIP) 4% {5%}
• Sidney Hill (I) 2% {2%}
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 0% {1%} 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mead Treadwell 30% {33%} [35%] (34%) / 34% {31%} [29%] (26%) {-4%} 
• Dan Sullivan 34% {31%} [31%] (37%) / 43% {35%} [28%] (34%) {-9%}
• Sarah Palin 36% {39%} [39%] (34%) / 56% {55%} [58%] (59%) {-20%}
• Joe Miller 17% {16%} [19%] (20%) / 61% {62%} [63%] (63%) {-44%}
  

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Begich’s job performance?

• Approve 44% {43%} [42%] (49%)
• Disapprove 45% {44%} [41%] (39%)

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Dan Sullivan 40% {30%} [25%]
• Mead Treadwell 26% {25%} [33%]
• Joe Miller 14% {20%} [24%]
• John Jaramillo 3% {2%}
• Someone else/Not sure 17% {19%} [19%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Dan Sullivan 54% {46%} [42%] / 28% {21%} [19%] {+26%}
• Mead Treadwell 46% {51%} [50%]/ 23% {20%} [19%] {+23%} 
• Joe Miller 28% {26%} [26%] / 52% {52%} [53%] {-24%}

Survey of 582 registered voters, including 313 Republican primary voters, was conducted May 8-11, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points among all voters; +/- 5.5 percentage points among GOP primary voters.  Party ID (among all voters): 29% {33%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 18% {20%} [20%] (21%) Democrat; 53% {46%} [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology (among all voters): 31% {32%} [30%] (33%) Moderate; 22% {21%} [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 21% {23%} [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 16% {16%} [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 9% {7%} [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Hawaii 2014 Democratic Senatorial Primary Survey

PPP (D) Hawaii 2014 Democratic Senate Primary Poll

• Brian Schatz 49%
• Colleen Hanabusa 34%
• Undecided 17%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Democrat Brian Schatz is handling his job as a U.S. Senator? 

• Approve 55%
• Disapprove 22%

Survey of 606 likely Hawaii Democratic primary voters was conducted May 9-11, 2014 on behalf of Democracy for America. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Saint Leo University Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

St. Leo University Georgia 2014 Senate Poll

• David Perdue (R) 41%
• Michelle Nunn (D) 37%  

• Michelle Nunn (D) 39%
• Jack Kingston (R) 38% 

• Michelle Nunn (D) 39%
• Karen Handel (R) 38%

• Michelle Nunn (D) 42% 
• Paul Broun (R) 38%

• Michelle Nunn (D) 42%
• Phil Gingrey (R) 36% 

• Michelle Nunn (D) 43%
• Derrick Grayson (R) 32% 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

• Michelle Nunn 46% / 31% {+15%}
• David Perdue 41% / 28% {+13%}
• Jack Kingston 40% / 32% {+8%}
• Karen Handel 37% / 29% {+8%}
• Paul Broun 31% / 30% {+1%}
• Derrick Grayson 14% / 20% {-6%}
• Phil Gingrey 30% / 38% {-8%}

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• David Perdue 26%
• Jack Kingston 16%
• Karen Handel 15%
• Paul Broun 13%
• Phil Gingrey 8%
• Derrick Grayson 1%
• Some other candidate 6%
• Not sure 15%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

• David Perdue 64% / 17% {+47%}
• Jack Kingston 63% / 23% {+40%}
• Paul Broun 49% / 23% {+26%}
• Karen Handel 50% / 26% {+24%}
• Phil Gingrey 50% / 29% {+21%}
• Derrick Grayson 19% / 22% {-3%}

Survey of 1,000 likely voters, including 689 likely Republican primary voters, was conducted May 5-6, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 4% among likely GOP primary voters. Party ID: 37% Republican; 34% Democrat; 29% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

• Kay Hagan (D) 38% (43%) [45%] {40%} (42%) [44%] {44%}
• Thom Tillis (R) 36% (41%) [43%] {42%} (43%) [42%] {42%}  
• Sean Haugh (L) 11%

Note: With Haugh supporters asked whether they would lean to Hagan or Tillis, the race is tied at 41 percent, with 18% not sure.

Among Men

• Thom Tillis (R) 42% (42%) [50%] {47%} (48%) [45%] {48%}
• Kay Hagan (D) 36% (47%) [42%] {42%} (43%) [43%] {42%}
• Sean Haugh (L) 12%

Among Women

• Kay Hagan (D) 40% (39%) [47%] {39%} (41%) [46%] {46%}
• Thom Tillis (R) 31% (40%) [37%] {38%} (39%) [40%] {37%} 
• Sean Haugh (L) 10% 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Thom Tillis 30% (20%) [18%] {15%} (15%) [12%] {16%} / 46% (39%) [37%] {29%} (28%) [30%] {28%} {-16%}

Do you approve or disapprove Senator Kay Hagan's job performance?

• Approve 38% (41%) [41%] {41%} (39%) [43%] {44%}
• Disapprove 49% (48%) [50%] {50%} (49%) [49%] {49%}

Survey of 877 registered voters was conducted May 9-11, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 42% (42%) [42%] {39%} [43%] {45%} Democrat; 35% (36%) [35%] {34%} [34%] {33%} Republican; 23% (22%) [23%] {27%} [23%] {21%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Nebraska 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Nebraska 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• Ben Sasse 38%
• Sid Dinsdale 24%
• Shane Osborn 20%
• Bart McLeay 6% 
• Clifton Johnson 2%
• Some other candidate 3%
• Undecided 7%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

• Ben Sasse 59% / 24% {+35%}
• Sid Dinsdale 47% / 23% {+24%} 
• Shane Osborn 40% / 32% {+8%}
  

Survey of 525 likely GOP primary voters was conducted May 8, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.28 percentage points.