Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Jeb Bush 13% (9%) {10%} [6%] (10%)
• Rand Paul 13% (16%) {13%} [13%] (13%)
• Paul Ryan 12% (15%) {9%} [11%] (16%)
• Mike Huckabee 10% (10%) {14%}
• Chris Christie 9% (8%) {10%} [24%] (17%)
• Rick Perry 8% (11%) {8%} [7%] (6%)
• Scott Walker 7%
• Ted Cruz 7% (8%) {8%} [10%] (7%)
• Marco Rubio 6% (5%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (3%) {4%} [6%] (5%)
• Someone else (vol.) 4% (6%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
• None/No one (vol.) 4% (4%) {3%} [2%] (4%)
• No opinion 7% (5%) {4%} [6%] (6%)

Among Republicans

• Jeb Bush 15% (11%) {10%} [6%] (13%)
• Paul Ryan 14% (19%) {9%} [11%] (17%)
• Rand Paul 12% (10%) {13%} [12%] (9%)
• Mike Huckabee 12% (9%) {17%}
• Chris Christie 8% (6%) {8%} [28%] (17%)
• Scott Walker 7%
• Rick Perry 7% (11%) {8%} [8%] (7%)
• Ted Cruz 6% (11%) {5%} [9%] (7%)
• Marco Rubio 6% (5%) {12%} [10%] (10%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (4%) {5%} [7%] (3%)
• Someone else (vol.) 3% (8%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
• None/No one (vol.) 2% (3%) {4%} [1%] (4%)
• No opinion 8% (5%) {3%} [3%] (5%)

Among GOP-Leaning Independents

• Rand Paul 15% (22%) {13%} [15%] (17%)
• Chris Christie 10% (11%) {13%} [20%] (18%)
• Jeb Bush 10% (7%) {10%} [6%] (6%)
• Ted Cruz 9% (6%) {13%} [12%] (7%)
• Rick Perry 8% (12%) {7%} [7%] (6%)
• Paul Ryan 8% (11%) {10%} [12%]  (15%)
• Mike Huckabee 7% (11%) {10%}
• Marco Rubio 6% (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (2%) {3%} [5%] (7%)
• Someone else (vol.) 5% (3%) {12%} [6%] (4%)
• None/No one (vol.) 6% (6%) {2%} [3%] (4%)
• No opinion 7% (5%) {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Men

• Rand Paul 17% (17%) {17%} [15%] (13%)
• Jeb Bush 14% (7%) {9%} [2%] (9%)
• Rick Perry 11% (10%) {7%} [8%] (7%)
• Ted Cruz 9% (10%) {10%} [12%] (12%)
• Chris Christie 8% (9%) {6%} [23%] (16%)
• Scott Walker 8%
• Mike Huckabee 8% (11%) {14%}
• Paul Ryan 7% (15%) {12%} [10%] (14%) 
• Marco Rubio 4% (6%) {7%} [11%] (11%)
• Rick Santorum 1% (2%) {2%} [6%] (6%)
• Someone else (vol.) 3% (7%) {8%} [6%] (5%)
• None/No one (vol.) 4% (2%) {4%} [2%] (3%)
• No opinion 6% (3%) {4%} [4%] (5%)

Among Women

• Paul Ryan 17% (13%) {6%} [13%] (19%)
• Jeb Bush 12% (11%) {10%} [10%] (11%)
• Mike Huckabee 12% (9%) {14%}
• Rand Paul 10% (14%) {9%} [11%] (12%) 
• Chris Christie 9% (7%) {15%} [24%] (19%)
• Marco Rubio 8% (5%) {11%} [7%] (7%) 
• Scott Walker 6%
• Ted Cruz 5% (6%) {7%} [8%] (3%)
• Rick Perry 4% (13%) {9%} [6%] (6%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (4%) {7%} [6%] (4%)
• Someone else (vol.) 4% (4%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
• None/No one (vol.) 3% (7%) {3%} [2%] (6%)
• No opinion 9% (6%) {3%} [7%] (7%)

Survey of 473 Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted May 2-4, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 61% (50%) {52%} Republican; 39% (50%) {48%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.