Monday, August 31, 2015

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Monmouth University Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
  • Ben Carson 23% (8%)
  • Donald Trump 23% (13%)
  • Carly Fiorina 10% (3%)
  • Ted Cruz 9% (7%) 
  • Scott Walker 7% (22%)
  • Jeb Bush 5% (7%) 
  • John Kasich 4% (2%)
  • Marco Rubio 4% (5%)
  • Rand Paul 3% (5%)
  • Mike Huckabee 2% (6%)
  • Rick Santorum 2% (3%)
  • Chris Christie 1% (1%)
  • Bobby Jindal 1% (4%)
  • Rick Perry 1% (3%)
  • George Pataki 0% (0%)
  • Jim Gilmore 0% (0%)
  • Lindsey Graham 0% (0%) 
  • Undecided (vol.) 5% (11%)
Survey of 405 Iowa voters likely to attend the Republican presidential caucuses was conducted August 27-30, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 16-19, 2015 are in parentheses.

Saturday, August 29, 2015

Poll Watch: Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
  • Donald Trump 23% {4%} [1%] 
  • Ben Carson 18% {10%} [10%] (11%)
  • Ted Cruz 8% {5%} [6%] (7%)
  • Scott Walker 8% {17%} [16%] (4%) 
  • Jeb Bush 6% {9%} [9%] (4%)
  • Marco Rubio 6% {6%} [4%] (2%) 
  • Carly Fiorina 5% {2%} [1%]
  • Mike Huckabee 4% {9%} [13%] (9%)
  • Rand Paul 4% {10%} [15%] (10%)
  • Chris Christie 2% {4%} [6%] (6%)
  • Bobby Jindal 2% {1%} [2%] (1%)
  • John Kasich 2% {2%} [1%]  (1%)
  • Rick Perry 1% {3%} [3%] (7%)
  • Rick Santorum 1% {6%} [5%] (3%)
  • Jim Gilmore 0%
  • Lindsey Graham 0% {1%}
  • George Pataki 0% {0%}
Survey of 400 likely Iowa GOP caucus-goers was conducted August 23-26, 2015 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 25-29, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 26-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 1-7, 2014 are in parentheses.

Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 37% {57%} [56%] (53%)
  • Bernie Sanders 30% {16%} [5%] (3%)
  • Joe Biden 14% {8%} [9%] (9%)
  • Martin O'Malley 3% {2%} [1%] (0%)
  • Jim Webb 2% {2%} [3%] (1%)
  • Lincoln Chafee 1%
If Joe Biden does not run for president:
  • Hillary Clinton 43%
  • Bernie Sanders 35%
  • Martin O'Malley 5%
  • Jim Webb 2%
  • Lincoln Chafee 1%
Survey of 404 registered voters who say they definitely or probably will attend the 2016 Democratic caucuses was conducted August 23-26, 2015 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 25-29, 2015 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 26-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 1-7, 2014 are in parentheses.

Thursday, August 27, 2015

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (45%) {45%} [46%] [50%]
  • Marco Rubio (R) 43% (41%) {43%} [41%] [34%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [41%] (47%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {48%}
  • Jeb Bush (R) 40% [42%] (37%) {39%} [42%] (41%) {41%} [38%] (39%) {40%}
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [48%] (50%)
    • Donald Trump (R) 41% [36%] (32%)
    If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Jeb Bush the Republican, and Donald Trump running as an independent, for whom would you vote? 
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
    • Jeb Bush (R) 24%
    • Donald Trump (I) 24%
    National survey of 1,563 registered voters was conducted August 20-25, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 34% [30%] (31%) {32%} [29%] (30%) {31%} [29%] (31%) {32%} [35%] (32%) {33%} [34%] Democrat; 29% [26%] (23%) {25%} [32%] (31%) {26%} [26%] (26%) {26%} [24%] (23%) {27%} [25%] Republican; 26% [34%] (36%) {34%} [28%] (27%) {35%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [31%] (35%) {33%} [34%] Independent; 10% [10%] (10%) {9%} [11%] (12%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [7%] Other/Don't know. Race: 74% [75%] (72%) {73%} [73%] (74%) {73%} [74%] (74%) {72%} [72%] White; 11% [11%] (12%) {12%} [13%] (12%) {13%} [11%] (12%) {12%} [12%] Black; 7% [7%] (8%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) {7%} [8%] Hispanic; 9% [7%] (8%) {8%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [7%] (6%) {8%} [8%] Other. Results from the poll conducted July 23-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 19-26, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 16-21, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 6-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 8, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 22-28, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27 - March 4, 2013 are in square brackets.

    Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

    • Hillary Clinton 45% (55%) {57%} [60%] (56%) {57%} [58%] (65%) {66%} [61%] (65%)
    • Bernie Sanders 22% (17%) {15%} [8%] (4%) {4%}
    • Joe Biden 18% (13%) {9%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [9%] (8%) {8%} [11%] (13%) 
    • Martin O'Malley 1% (1%) {1%} [3%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (1%)
    • Jim Webb 1% (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%}
    • Lincoln Chafee 0% (0%) {1%} [0%] 
    • Don't know 11% (11%) {14%} [14%] (14%) {14%} [15%] (13%) {12%} [15%] (14%)
    National survey of 647 registered Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters was conducted August 20-25, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 23-28, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 19-26, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 16-21, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 25-29, 2013 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

    Quinnipiac 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
    • Donald Trump 28% (20%) {5%}
    • Ben Carson 12% (6%) {10%} [3%] (7%) {9%}
    • Jeb Bush 7% (10%) {10%} [13%] (16%) {14%} [10%] (11%) {11%} [11%] (10%)
    • Ted Cruz 7% (5%) {6%} [9%] (6%) {5%} [8%] (9%) {13%} [10%]
    • Marco Rubio 7% (6%) {10%} [15%] (5%) {3%} [6%] (8%) {7%} [12%] (19%)
    • Scott Walker 6% (13%) {10%} [11%] (18%) {6%} [8%] (6%) {5%} [4%] (2%) 
    • John Kasich 5% (5%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%}
    • Carly Fiorina 5% (1%) {2%} [1%] 
    • Chris Christie 4% (3%) {4%} [7%] (8%) {11%} [10%] (12%) {17%} [13%] (14%)
    • Mike Huckabee 3% (6%) {10%} [7%] (8%) {7%} [10%]
    • Rand Paul 2% (6%) {7%} [8%] (6%) {8%} [11%] (13%) {14%} [17%] (15%) 
    • Rick Santorum 1% (1%) {0%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%]
    • Rick Perry 1% (2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) {3%} [3%]   
    • Jim Gilmore 0% (0%)
    • Bobby Jindal 0% (2%) {1%} [1%] (2%) {3%} [1%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
    • George Pataki 0% (1%) {0%}
    • Lindsey Graham 0% (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%)
    • Don't know 11% (12%) {20%} [14%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (22%) {17%} [19%] (18%)
    Survey of 666 registered Republican and GOP-leaning voters was conducted August 20-25, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 23-28, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 19-26, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 16-21, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26 - April 1, 2013 are in parentheses.

    Wednesday, August 26, 2015

    Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

    PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Poll
    • John Kasich (R) 43%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
    • Donald Trump (R) 44%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
    • Carly Fiorina (R) 42%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (49%) {49%} [49%]
                • Jeb Bush (R) 39% (36%) {38%} [40%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (51%) {43%} [43%]
                • Chris Christie (R) 38% (36%) {39%} [39%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (50%) (52%)
                • Marco Rubio (R) 39% (38%) (38%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (49%)
                • Scott Walker (R) 39% (40%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (51%)
                • Ben Carson (R) 40% (38%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (49%) {50%} [51%] (52%)
                • Rand Paul (R) 37% (40%) {37%} [41%] (41%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (52%) {51%} [50%]
                • Ted Cruz (R) 38% (37%) {32%} [38%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (51%)
                • Mike Huckabee (R) 36% (38%)
                If the candidates for President next time were Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Jeb Bush, and Donald Trump running as an independent who would you vote for?
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
                • Donald Trump (I) 28%
                • Jeb Bush (R) 22%
                Survey of 841 New Hampshire voters was conducted August 21-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 31% (30%) {27%} [30%] (29%) Republican; 31% (28%) {28%} [31%] (32%) Democrat; 38% (43%) {44%} [39%] (39%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% (32%) {34%} [33%] (31%) Moderate; 22% (20%) {25%} [21%] (23%) Somewhat conservative; 21% (21%) {18%} [19%] (18%) Somewhat liberal; 14% (12%) {13%} [15%] (15%) Very conservative; 12% (15%) {10%} [12%] (13%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 9-13, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

                • Hillary Clinton 50% [59%] (62%) {70%} [77%] (63%)
                • Bernie Sanders 24% [4%] 
                • Lincoln Chafee 2%
                • Martin O'Malley 2% [2%] (2%)
                • Jim Webb 2% [3%] (2%)
                • Some other candidate 10% [5%]
                • Undecided 10% [9%]
                Survey of 536 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted August 23-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 18-19, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 20-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 7-8, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 16-17, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 1-2, 2013 are in parentheses.

                Tuesday, August 25, 2015

                Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network (R) 2016 National Presidential Survey

                Gravis Marketing/OAN (R) 2016 National Presidential Poll
                • Donald Trump (R) 54%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
                • Ben Carson (R) 52%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
                • John Kasich (R) 52%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
                • Jeb Bush (R) 51%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
                • Chris Christie (R) 50%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
                • Carly Fiorina (R) 50%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
                • Rand Paul (R) 50%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
                • Marco Rubio (R) 50%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
                • Ted Cruz (R) 49%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
                • Mike Huckabee (R) 49%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
                • Rick Perry (R) 49%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
                • Rick Santorum (R) 49%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
                • Bobby Jindal (R) 48%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
                • George Pataki (R) 48%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
                • Scott Walker (R) 48%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
                • Lindsey Graham (R) 46%
                National survey of 3,567 registered voters was conducted August 21-22, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2 percentage points. Party ID: 38% Democrat; 32% Republican; 29% Independent/Other.

                Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network (R) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

                Gravis Marketing/OAN (R) 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
                • Hillary Clinton 53.7% [54.9%] (55%)
                • Bernie Sanders 21.0% [18.4%] (13%)
                • Joe Biden 13.4% [8.0%] (14%)
                • Elizabeth Warren 7.1% [9.0%] (9%) 
                • Jim Webb 2.1% [5.1%] (5%)
                • Martin O'Malley 2.1% [2.8%] (2%)
                • Lincoln Chafee 0.7% [1.8%] (2%)
                Survey of registered Democratic voters was conducted August 21-22, 2015. Results from the poll conducted July 29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 1-2, 2015 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network (R) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

                Gravis Marketing/OAN (R) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
                • Donald Trump 40.1% [30.8%] (15%)
                • Ben Carson 13.0% [6.1%] (10%)
                • Jeb Bush 10.0% [13.3%] (22%)
                • Ted Cruz 7.0% [5.6%] (5%) 
                • Carly Fiorina 5.2% [1.9%] (3%)
                • John Kasich 4.8% [5.1%]
                • Marco Rubio 4.7% [5.4%] (8%)
                • Mike Huckabee 3.7% [5.6%] (10%)
                • Scott Walker 3.5% [12.5%] (8%)
                • Rick Perry 1.5% [3.0%] (4%) 
                • Rand Paul 1.5% [4.4%] (4%) 
                • Chris Christie 1.4% [3.4%] (5%) 
                • George Pataki 1.1% [0.2%] (1%)
                • Rick Santorum 1.0% [1.6%] (1%)
                • Bobby Jindal 0.9% [0.6%] (2%) 
                • Lindsey Graham 0.6% [0.7%] (2%)
                National survey of registered Republican voters was conducted August 21-22, 2015. Results from the poll conducted July 29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 1-2, 2015 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

                Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
                • Hillary Clinton 53.8% [66.49%] (62.96%)
                • Bernie Sanders 19.8%
                • Joe Biden 11.2% [7.85%] (9.63%)
                • Martin O'Malley 4.4% [2.09%] 
                • Jim Webb 0.6%
                • Lincoln Chafee 0.4%
                • Undecided 9.4% [7.85%] (11.85%)
                Survey of 500 likely Iowa Democratic caucus voters was conducted August 20-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 3-8, 2014 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: Roanoke College Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

                • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
                • Jeb Bush (R) 40%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
                • Marco Rubio (R) 40%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
                • Scott Walker (R) 38%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
                • Donald Trump (R) 32%
                Survey of 535 registered voters was conducted August 10-20, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.24 percentage points.  Click here to view topline results.

                Poll Watch: Monmouth University South Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                Monmouth University South Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                • Donald Trump 30%
                • Ben Carson 15%
                • Jeb Bush 9%
                • Carly Fiorina 6%
                • Marco Rubio 6%
                • Ted Cruz 5%
                • Lindsey Graham 4%
                • Scott Walker 4%
                • Mike Huckabee 3%
                • John Kasich 3%
                • Rand Paul 3%
                • Chris Christie 2%
                • Rick Santorum 1%
                • Bobby Jindal 0% 
                • George Pataki 0%
                • Rick Perry 0%
                • Jim Gilmore 0%
                • Undecided (vol.) 11%
                Survey of 453 likely GOP primary voters was conducted August 20-23, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points.

                Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

                PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
                • Bernie Sanders 42% (12%) 
                • Hillary Clinton 35% (45%) {65%} [57%] (68%) {60%} [55%] (52%)
                • Jim Webb 6% (1%)
                • Martin O'Malley 4% (3%) {1%} [0%] (1%) {0%} [1%] 
                • Lincoln Chafee 2% (1%)
                • Lawrence Lessig 1%
                • Not sure 10% (9%) {9%} [11%] (9%) {15%} [17%] (16%)
                Survey of 370 usual Democratic primary voters was conducted August 21-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Party ID: 65% (62%) {64%} [68%] (70%) {66%} [66%] Democrat; 3% (2%) {1%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [2%] Republican; 33% (36%) {35%} [30%] (27%) {33%} [32%] Independent/Other.  Ideology: 39% (36%) {31%} [34%] (33%) {35%} [34%] Somewhat liberal; 30% (28%) {36%} [34%] (34%) {34%} [39%] Moderate; 24% (30%) {20%} [26%] (26%) {19%} [19%] Very liberal; 5% (4%) {9%} [4%] (5%) {9%} [6%] Somewhat conservative; 2% (1%) {4%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [1%] Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted April 9-13, 2015 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-12, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                • Donald Trump 35%
                • John Kasich 11%
                • Carly Fiorina 10%
                • Jeb Bush 7% [10%] (15%) {12%}
                • Scott Walker 7% [24%] {3%} 
                • Ben Carson 6% [7%] (15%)
                • Chris Christie 4% [8%] (11%) {24%}
                • Ted Cruz 4% [14%] (10%) {9%}
                • Marco Rubio 4% [8%] (7%) {8%}
                • Rand Paul 3% [12%] (10%) {12%}
                • Rick Perry 2% [4%] (3%) 
                • Lindsey Graham 1%
                • George Pataki 1%
                • Rick Santorum 1%
                • Jim Gilmore 0%
                • Mike Huckabee 0% [7%] (11%) {11%}
                • Bobby Jindal 0% {3%} 
                • Undecided 4% [7%] (11%) {13%} 
                Survey of 436 usual Republican primary voters was conducted August 21-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Party ID: 58% [62%] (61%) Republican; 40% [38%] (38%) Independent/Other; 3% [0%] (2%) Democrat.  Political ideology: 38% [39%] (40%) Somewhat conservative; 29% [31%] (26%) Moderate; 26% [22%] (25%) Very conservative; 5% [6%] (6%) Somewhat liberal; 2% [3%] (2%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 9-13, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 1-3, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets.

                Monday, August 24, 2015

                Poll Watch: EPIC-MRA Michigan 2016 Presidential Survey

                • Jeb Bush (R) 45% (37%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (40%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
                • Donald Trump (R) 42%
                Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted August 18-22, 2015 for the Detroit Free Press and WXYZ-TV. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 27-30, 2015 are in parentheses.

                Friday, August 21, 2015

                Poll Watch: Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2016 Presidential Survey

                • Marco Rubio (R) 45%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
                • Donald Trump (R) 40%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% 
                • Jeb Bush (R) 41%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
                Survey of 1,310 likely voters was conducted August 10, 2015 for Fox 2 Detroit.  The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.

                Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2016 Presidential Survey

                Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2016 Presidential Poll
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 46.6% {48.8%}
                • Jeb Bush (R) 41.5% {37.9%}
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 51.8% {51.5%} [53.3%] (50.2%)
                • Scott Walker (R) 41.5% {39.8%} [40.6%] (41.7%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 50.2% {52.1%} [55.3%]
                • Ted Cruz (R) 38.3% {36.4%} [33.4%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 51.1%
                • Donald Trump (R) 35.4%
                Survey of 802 registered Wisconsin voters was conducted August 13-16, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

                • Hillary Clinton 44.4% {58.2%} [64.0%] (61.5%)
                • Bernie Sanders 32.2%
                • Joe Biden 11.7% {12.0%} [10.6%] (13.0%)
                • Martin O'Malley 0.6% {0.9%} [0.8%] (1.1%)
                • Lincoln Chafee 0.5%
                • Jim Webb 0.5% {0.9%}
                • Someone else 1.2% {3.7%} [2.1%] (1.5%)
                • Don't know 8.8% {8.9%} [9.2%] (11.0%)
                Survey of 396 registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independent voters was conducted August 13-16, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                • Scott Walker 25.0% {40.0%} [28.9%] (16.1%)
                • Ben Carson 13.2% {5.0%}
                • Donald Trump 9.1%
                • Ted Cruz 8.2% {6.0%} [4.3%]
                • Carly Fiorina 7.4% {0.5%}
                • Marco Rubio 7.4% {3.8%} [9.3%] (21.2%)
                • Jeb Bush 5.9% {7.9%} [2.4%] (4.6%)
                • Mike Huckabee 3.5% {5.1%}
                • Rand Paul 2.4% {10.3%} [8.4%] (6.9%)
                • Chris Christie 2.1% {5.8%} [8.6%] (10.6%)
                • Bobby Jindal 1.5% {2.3%} (0.8%)
                • Rick Perry 1.3% {0.5%}
                • John Kasich 1.0% 
                • Jim Gilmore 0.6%
                • Rick Santorum 0.6% {1.9%}
                • Lindsey Graham 0%
                • George Pataki 0%
                • Someone else 0.6% {1.7%} [4.2%] (1.6%)
                • Don't know 9.6% {8.9%} [8.9%] (10.5%)
                Survey of 334 registered Republican and GOP-leaning Independent voters was conducted August 13-16, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in parentheses.

                Thursday, August 20, 2015

                Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network (R) Arizona 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

                Gravis Marketing/OAN (R) Arizona 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
                • Hillary Clinton 56%
                • Bernie Sanders 34%
                • Joe Biden 6% 
                • Lincoln Chafee 2%
                • Jim Webb 1%
                • Martin O'Malley 1%
                Survey of 427 registered Democratic primary voters was conducted August 15, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points.

                Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network (R) Arizona 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                Gravis Marketing/OAN (R) Arizona 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                • Donald Trump 33.1% 
                • Ben Carson 16.2%
                • Carly Fiorina 10.8%
                • Jeb Bush 10.2%
                • Ted Cruz 8.2%
                • Marco Rubio 6.0%
                • John Kasich 4.2% 
                • Scott Walker 4.1%
                • Mike Huckabee 3.5%
                • Rand Paul 1.8%
                • Chris Christie 1.0%
                • Rick Perry 0.3%
                • Rick Santorum 0.2%
                • Bobby Jindal 0.1%
                • Lindsey Graham 0.1%
                • George Pataki 0.1%
                Survey of 844 registered Republican primary voters was conducted August 15, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.

                Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

                • Marco Rubio (R) 47% [44%] (42%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [43%] (46%)
                    • Jeb Bush (R) 43% [41%] (40%) {35%} [35%] (36%) {36%} 
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [45%] (46%) {50%} [51%] (53%) {52%}
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
                    • Donald Trump (R) 40%
                    Survey of 1,085 Pennsylvania voters was conducted August 7-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% [33%] (31%) {36%} [38%] (35%) {36%} [39%] (37%) Democrat; 33% [31%] (31%) {28%} [30%] (32%) {30%} [33%] (34%) Republican; 27% [29%] (31%) {28%} [27%] (26%) {27%} [21%] (24%) Independent; 7% [8%] (7%) {8%} [6%] (7%) {7%} [7%] (5%) Other/Don't know.  Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted June 4-15, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 19-24, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 11-16, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 4, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-11, 2013 are in parentheses.

                    Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Pennsylvania 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

                    Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
                    • Hillary Clinton 45% {53%} [48%] (54%)
                    • Bernie Sanders 19% {10%} [1%] (2%)
                    • Joe Biden 17% {15%} [13%] (10%)
                    • Martin O'Malley 1% {1%} [1%] (2%)
                    • Jim Webb 1% {2%} [1%] (1%) 
                    • Lincoln Chafee 0% {0%}
                    Survey of 462 registered Democrats was conducted August 7-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted June 4-15, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in parentheses.

                    Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Pennsylvania 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                    • Donald Trump 24% {4%}
                    • Ben Carson 13% {10%} [9%] (8%)
                    • Marco Rubio 10% {12%} [7%] (4%)
                    • Carly Fiorina 7% {1%}
                    • Jeb Bush 6% {10%} [9%] (12%)
                    • Ted Cruz 5% {5%} [7%] (6%)
                    • Rand Paul 5% {11%} [6%] (3%)
                    • Scott Walker 5% {9%} [14%] (6%)
                    • Rick Santorum 4% {7%} [9%] (8%) 
                    • John Kasich 3% {1%} [2%] (3%)
                    • Chris Christie 2% {6%} [5%] (11%)
                    • Mike Huckabee 2% {6%} [6%] (10%) 
                    • Bobby Jindal 1% {0%} [1%] (2%)
                    • Jim Gilmore 0%
                    • Lindsey Graham 0% {1%} [0%]
                    • George Pataki 0% {0%}
                    • Rick Perry 0% {1%} [3%] (1%)
                    Survey of 443 registered Republicans was conducted August 7-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted June 4-15, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in parentheses.

                    Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Ohio 2016 Presidential Survey

                    Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 Presidential Poll
                    • Marco Rubio (R) 42% [42%] (38%) (40%) {36%} [39%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%  [45%] (47%) (47%) {50%} [48%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% [42%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {51%} [50%]
                    • Jeb Bush (R) 39% [41%] (38%) {36%} [37%] (39%) {36%} [37%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
                    • Donald Trump (R) 38%
                      Survey of 1,096 Ohio voters was conducted August 7-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 30% [30%] (28%) {28%} [32%] (29%) {32%} [31%] (29%) Democrat; 27% [27%] (27%) {26%} [28%] (29%) {28%} [26%] (28%) Republican; 35% [34%] (35%) {32%} [35%] (35%) {33%} [36%] (35%) Independent; 8% [10%] (9%) {13%} [6%] (8%) {7%} [7%] (7%) Other. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted June 4-15, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 24-28, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 7-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 12-17, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 18-23, 2013 are in parentheses.

                      Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Ohio 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

                      Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
                      • Hillary Clinton 47% {60%} [54%] (51%) 
                      • Bernie Sanders 17% {10%} [3%] (5%)
                      • Joe Biden 14% {13%} [9%] (7%)
                      • Jim Webb 1% {0%} [2%] (0%)
                      • Lincoln Chafee 0% {0%}
                      • Martin O'Malley 0% {1%} [3%] (1%) 
                      Survey of 353 registered Democrats was conducted August 7-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted June 4-15, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in parentheses.

                      Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Ohio 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                      Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                      • John Kasich 27% {19%} [20%] (14%)
                      • Donald Trump 21% {1%}
                      • Ted Cruz 7% {6%} [9%] (6%)
                      • Marco Rubio 7% {7%} [5%] (4%)
                      • Ben Carson 6% {6%} [8%] (8%)
                      • Jeb Bush 5% {9%} [8%] (10%)
                      • Carly Fiorina 5% {1%}  
                      • Mike Huckabee 3% {7%} [9%] (7%) 
                      • Rand Paul 2% {7%} [7%] (10%)
                      • Rick Santorum 2% {2%} [1%] (1%)
                      • Scott Walker 2% {8%} [9%] (11%)
                      • Chris Christie 1% {3%} [5%] (6%)
                      • Jim Gilmore 0%
                      • Lindsey Graham 0% {2%} [0%]  
                      • Bobby Jindal 0% {0%} [1%] (1%)
                      • George Pataki 0% {0%}
                      • Rick Perry 0% {2%} [1%] (1%)
                      Survey of 371 registered Republicans was conducted August 7-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted June 4-15, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in parentheses.

                      Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

                      Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Presidential Poll
                      • Marco Rubio (R) 51% {44%} [44%] (39%) {39%} [40%] (41%) {43%} [41%] (41%)
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {47%} [46%] (49%) {53%} [52%] (51%) {50%} [53%] (52%)
                      • Jeb Bush (R) 49% {42%} [45%] (43%) {42%} [41%] (43%) {45%} [43%] (40%)
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% {46%} [42%] (44%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {47%} [50%] (51%) 
                      • Donald Trump (R) 43%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
                      Survey of 1,093 Florida voters was conducted August 7-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 32% {27%} [29%] (28%) {28%} [25%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 30% {31%} [32%] (33%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 29% {34%} [30%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) {32%} [30%] (31%) Independent; 9% {7%} [9%] (8%) {9%} [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) Other. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted June 4-15, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

                      Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

                      Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
                      • Hillary Clinton 48% (64%) {65%} [61%] (67%) {64%} [64%] (70%)
                      • Bernie Sanders 15% (8%) {3%} [2%]
                      • Joe Biden 11% (9%) {11%} [11%] (8%) {11%} [9%] (9%)
                      • Martin O'Malley 1% (1%) {0%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
                      • Jim Webb 1% (0%) {2%} [1%] 
                      • Lincoln Chafee 0% (0%)
                      Survey of 345 registered Democrats was conducted August 7-18, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted June 4-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

                      Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                      Quinnipiac Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                      • Donald Trump 21% (3%)
                      • Jeb Bush 17% (20%) {24%} [32%] (21%) {27%} [25%] (22%)
                      • Ben Carson 11% (7%) {8%} [8%]
                      • Marco Rubio 11% (18%) {12%} [15%] (18%) {11%} [16%] (18%)
                      • Ted Cruz 7% (3%) {7%} [4%] (10%) {6%} [9%] (12%)
                      • Carly Fiorina 7% (2%)
                      • Mike Huckabee 4% (6%) {6%} [11%] (7%) {6%}  
                      • Rand Paul 4% (5%) {4%} [3%] (8%) {14%} [11%] (9%) 
                      • Scott Walker 4% (9%) {15%} [9%] (2%) {4%} [5%] (2%) 
                      • John Kasich 3% (1%) {1%} [0%] (1%)
                      • Chris Christie 1% (3%) {1%} [3%] (6%) {7%} [9%] (14%)
                      • Bobby Jindal 1% (1%) {0%} [3%] (1%) {1%} [3%] (3%)
                      • Jim Gilmore 0%
                      • Lindsey Graham 0% (1%) {0%}
                      • George Pataki 0% (1%)
                      • Rick Perry 0% (4%) {2%} [1%] (5%)
                      • Rick Santorum 0% (1%) {0%} [3%] (1%)
                      Survey of 477 registered Republicans was conducted August 7-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted June 4-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

                      Wednesday, August 19, 2015

                      Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

                      PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll
                      • Ben Carson (R) 47% [47%] (44%) {44%} [46%] (45%) {44%}
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [44%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (45%) {44%}
                      • Marco Rubio (R) 45% [47%] (44%) {45%} [42%]
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% [46%] (45%) {45%} [46%]
                      • Donald Trump (R) 45% [44%]
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [47%]
                      • Scott Walker (R) 44% [47%] (45%) {46%} [43%] (44%) 
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% [43%] (45%) {43%} [45%] (46%)
                      • Ted Cruz (R) 45% [46%] (42%) {45%} [43%] [40%] (41%) (41%) {41%} [39%]
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [47%] (49%) {45%} [47%] [48%] (47%) (47%) {49%} [51%]
                        • Mike Huckabee (R) 46% [49%] (44%) {48%} [46%] {44%} [46%] (44%) {43%} [43%] (43%) {42%} [43%]
                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [45%] (46%) {43%} [46%] {46%} [45%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {49%} [48%]  
                        • Carly Fiorina (R) 42% [45%] (40%)
                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% [45%] (46%)
                        • John Kasich (R) 41%
                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [45%] (47%) {45%} [46%] (44%) {46%} [43%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (45%) {47%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [47%]
                          • Jeb Bush (R) 42% [43%] (40%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {46%} [43%] (44%) {45%} [43%]
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [46%] (43%) {43%} [45%] {44%} [45%] (45%) {45%} [44%] (46%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {42%} [43%]
                          • Chris Christie (R) 39% [43%] (40%) {41%} [42%] {42%} [38%] (38%) {41%} [40%] (44%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {45%} [46%]
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [45%] (44%) {45%} [46%] [46%] (47%) {46%} [45%] (47%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {48%} [50%] (52%)
                            • Rand Paul (R) 40% [46%] (44%) {45%} [43%] [41%] (42%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (40%)
                            Survey of 957 registered North Carolina voters was conducted August 12-16, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 43% [43%] (42%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [45%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (42%) {42%} [39%] (43%) {43%} [45%] Democrat; 34% [35%] (36%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {36%} [34%] (31%) {36%} [35%] (36%) {35%} [34%] (33%) {34%} [33%] Republican; 23% [22%] (23%) {22%} [21%] (23%) {22%} [21%] (27%) {22%} [23%] (22%) {23%} [27%] (23%) {23%} [21%] Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted July 2-6, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 2-5, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-31, 2015 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 4-7, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 11-14, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 12-15, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets.

                            Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) North Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

                            • Hillary Clinton 55% (55%) {62%} [53%] (56%)
                            • Bernie Sanders 19% (20%) {14%} [2%] (1%)
                            • Jim Webb 5% (7%) {5%} [3%] (3%)  
                            • Lincoln Chafee 2% (4%) {4%}
                            • Martin O'Malley 2% (4%) {4%} [5%] (3%)
                            • Lawrence Lessig 1% 
                            • Not sure 15% (11%) {12%} [12%] (12%)
                            Survey of 477 Democratic primary voters was conducted August 12-16, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Ideology: 37% (36%) {33%} [31%] (38%) Moderate; 25% (28%) {29%} [33%] (27%) Somewhat liberal; 19% (20%) {22%} [21%] (21%) Very liberal; 15% (11%) {11%} [10%] (8%) Somewhat conservative; 5% (5%) {4%} [5%] (6%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted July 2-6, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 2-5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2015 are in parentheses.

                            Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) North Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                            PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                            • Donald Trump 24% {16%}
                            • Ben Carson 14% {9%} [9%] (9%) {12%} [14%] (19%)
                            • Jeb Bush 13% {12%} [19%] (19%) {17%} [14%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (18%) {12%} [15%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
                            • Ted Cruz 10% {6%} [11%] (11%) {3%} [6%] (5%) {12%} [17%] (12%) {14%} [8%] (11%) {12%} [12%]
                            • Marco Rubio 9% {9%} [12%] (11%) {7%} (4%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%) {10%} [10%] (21%)
                            • Carly Fiorina 6% {4%} [2%]
                            • Mike Huckabee 6% {11%} [10%] (11%) {15%} [13%] (14%) {17%} [19%] (22%) {19%} [20%] (15%) 
                            • Scott Walker 6% {12%} [12%] (16%) {24%} [14%] {5%} (7%) {6%} [4%] (3%) {5%} [1%] 
                            • Rand Paul 3% {7%} [12%] (6%) {5%} [6%] (5%) {12%} [15%] (9%) {12%} [14%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (6%)
                            • Chris Christie 2% {5%} [8%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (14%) {12%} [9%] (12%) {15%} [11%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
                            • Rick Santorum 2% {1%} (4%) {5%} [2%] (5%)
                            • John Kasich 1% {0%}
                            • Rick Perry 1% {2%} (2%) {3%} [3%] (7%) 
                            • Jim Gilmore 0%
                            • Lindsey Graham 0% {1%}
                            • Bobby Jindal 0% {1%} {2%} [4%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%) {3%} [6%]
                            • George Pataki 0% {0%}
                            • Undecided 3% {4%} [5%] (7%) {8%} [9%] (7%) {11%} [9%] (6%) {12%} [9%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (8%)
                            Survey of 406 Republican primary voters was conducted August 12-16, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Political ideology: 41% {47%} [36%] (37%) {38%} [35%] (39%) {40%} [45%] (39%) {37%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [36%] (44%) Very conservative; 35% {36%} [39%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (38%) {37%} [35%] (32%) {35%} [33%] (40%) {39%} [36%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 17% {14%} [21%] (18%) {19%} [20%] (18%) {20%} [13%] (21%) {20%} [22%] (16%) {16%} [21%] (13%) Moderate; 5% {4%} [4%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (5%) {2%} [4%] (6%) {4%} [7%] (4%) {7%} [4%] (6%) Somewhat liberal; 3% {0%} [1%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted July 2-6, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 2-5, 2015 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-31, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-7, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2012 are in parentheses.

                            Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 National Presidential Survey

                            CNN/ORC 2016 National Presidential Poll
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [56%] (59%)
                            • Donald Trump (R) 45% [40%] (35%)
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [53%] (57%) {49%} [59%] (55%)
                            • Scott Walker (R) 46% [44%] (40%) {46%} [37%] (40%)
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [51%] (54%) {51%} [56%] (55%) {54%} [59%] (58%)
                            • Jeb Bush (R) 43% [46%] (41%) {43%} [39%] (40%) {41%} [36%] (36%) 
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
                            • Carly Fiorina (R) 43%
                                National survey of 897 registered voters was conducted August 13-16, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 22-25, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 26-28, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 29-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 16-19, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 13-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 18-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16-19, 2013 are in parentheses.