Survey of 405 Iowa voters likely to attend the Republican presidential caucuses was
conducted August 27-30, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.9
percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 16-19, 2015 are in parentheses.
Survey of 400 likely Iowa GOP caucus-goers was conducted August 23-26, 2015 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 4.9
percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 25-29, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 26-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 1-7, 2014 are in parentheses.
Survey of 404 registered voters who say they definitely or probably will attend the 2016 Democratic caucuses was conducted August 23-26, 2015 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 25-29, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 26-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 1-7, 2014 are in parentheses.
Jeb Bush (R) 40% [42%] (37%) {39%} [42%] (41%) {41%} [38%] (39%) {40%}
Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [48%] (50%)
Donald Trump (R) 41% [36%] (32%)
If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Jeb Bush the Republican, and Donald Trump running as an independent, for whom would you vote?
Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
Jeb Bush (R) 24%
Donald Trump (I) 24%
National survey of 1,563 registered voters was conducted August 20-25,
2015. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.
Party ID: 34% [30%] (31%) {32%} [29%] (30%) {31%} [29%] (31%) {32%} [35%] (32%) {33%}[34%]
Democrat; 29% [26%] (23%) {25%} [32%] (31%) {26%} [26%] (26%) {26%} [24%] (23%) {27%} [25%] Republican; 26% [34%] (36%) {34%} [28%] (27%) {35%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [31%] (35%) {33%}
[34%] Independent; 10% [10%] (10%) {9%} [11%] (12%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [7%] Other/Don't know. Race: 74% [75%] (72%) {73%}
[73%] (74%) {73%} [74%] (74%) {72%} [72%] White; 11% [11%] (12%) {12%} [13%] (12%) {13%} [11%] (12%) {12%} [12%] Black; 7% [7%] (8%) {6%}
[7%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) {7%} [8%] Hispanic; 9% [7%] (8%) {8%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [7%] (6%) {8%} [8%] Other. Results from the poll conducted July 23-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 19-26, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 16-21, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 6-11, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 8, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 22-28, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 27 - March 4, 2013 are in square brackets.
National survey of 647 registered Democratic and Democratic-leaning
voters was conducted August 20-25, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Results from the poll
conducted July 23-28, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll
conducted May 19-26, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll
conducted April 16-21, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll
conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll
conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll
conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll
conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll
conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll
conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll
conducted April 25-29, 2013 are in parentheses.
Survey of 666 registered Republican and GOP-leaning voters was
conducted August 20-25, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.8
percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 23-28, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 19-26, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 16-21, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 26 - April 1, 2013 are in parentheses.
If the candidates for President next time were
Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Jeb
Bush, and Donald Trump running as an
independent who would you vote for?
Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
Donald Trump (I) 28%
Jeb Bush (R) 22%
Survey of 841 New Hampshire voters was conducted August 21-24, 2015. The
margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 31% (30%) {27%} [30%] (29%) Republican; 31% (28%) {28%} [31%] (32%)
Democrat; 38% (43%) {44%} [39%] (39%) Independent/Other. Political
ideology: 30% (32%) {34%} [33%] (31%)
Moderate; 22% (20%) {25%} [21%] (23%) Somewhat
conservative; 21% (21%) {18%} [19%] (18%) Somewhat liberal; 14% (12%) {13%} [15%] (15%) Very
conservative; 12% (15%) {10%} [12%] (13%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 9-13, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.
Survey of 536 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted August 23-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 18-19, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 20-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 7-8, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 16-17, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-2, 2013 are in parentheses.
National survey of 3,567 registered voters was conducted August 21-22, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2 percentage points. Party ID: 38% Democrat; 32% Republican; 29% Independent/Other.
Survey of registered Democratic voters was conducted August 21-22, 2015. Results from the poll conducted July 29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 1-2, 2015 are in parentheses.
National survey of registered Republican voters was conducted August 21-22, 2015. Results from the poll conducted July 29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 1-2, 2015 are in parentheses.
Survey of 500 likely Iowa Democratic caucus voters was conducted August 20-24,
2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from
the poll conducted August 23-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from
the poll conducted April 3-8, 2014 are in parentheses.
Survey of 535 registered voters was conducted August 10-20, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.24 percentage points. Click here to view topline results.
Hillary Clinton 35% (45%) {65%} [57%] (68%) {60%} [55%] (52%)
Jim Webb 6% (1%)
Martin O'Malley 4% (3%) {1%} [0%] (1%) {0%} [1%]
Lincoln Chafee 2% (1%)
Lawrence Lessig 1%
Not sure 10% (9%) {9%} [11%] (9%) {15%} [17%] (16%)
Survey of 370 usual Democratic primary voters
was
conducted August 21-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage
points. Party ID: 65% (62%) {64%} [68%] (70%) {66%} [66%] Democrat; 3% (2%) {1%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [2%] Republican; 33% (36%) {35%} [30%]
(27%) {33%} [32%] Independent/Other.
Ideology: 39% (36%) {31%} [34%] (33%) {35%} [34%] Somewhat liberal; 30% (28%) {36%} [34%] (34%) {34%} [39%] Moderate; 24% (30%) {20%} [26%] (26%) {19%} [19%] Very liberal; 5% (4%) {9%} [4%] (5%) {9%} [6%]
Somewhat conservative; 2% (1%) {4%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [1%] Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted April 9-13, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 9-12, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011 are in parentheses.
Survey of 436 usual Republican primary voters was conducted August 21-24,
2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Party ID: 58% [62%]
(61%) Republican; 40% [38%] (38%) Independent/Other; 3% [0%] (2%) Democrat.
Political
ideology: 38% [39%] (40%) Somewhat conservative; 29% [31%] (26%) Moderate; 26% [22%] (25%) Very conservative; 5% [6%] (6%) Somewhat liberal; 2% [3%] (2%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 9-13, 2015 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted November 1-3, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets.
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted August 18-22, 2015 for the Detroit Free Press and WXYZ-TV. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage
points. Results from the poll conducted June 27-30, 2015 are in parentheses.
Survey of 802 registered Wisconsin voters
was conducted August 13-16, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.3
percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in parentheses.
Survey of 396 registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independent voters
was conducted August 13-16, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in parentheses.
Survey of 334 registered Republican and GOP-leaning Independent voters
was conducted August 13-16, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in parentheses.
Jeb Bush (R) 43% [41%] (40%) {35%} [35%] (36%) {36%}
Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [45%] (46%) {50%} [51%] (53%) {52%}
Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
Donald Trump (R) 40%
Survey of 1,085 Pennsylvania voters was conducted August 7-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 33% [33%] (31%) {36%} [38%] (35%) {36%} [39%] (37%)Democrat; 33% [31%] (31%) {28%}
[30%] (32%) {30%} [33%] (34%) Republican; 27% [29%] (31%) {28%} [27%] (26%) {27%} [21%] (24%)
Independent; 7% [8%] (7%) {8%} [6%] (7%) {7%} [7%] (5%) Other/Don't know. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted June 4-15, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 19-24, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 11-16, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 4, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 6-11, 2013 are in parentheses.
Survey of 462 registered Democrats was conducted August 7-18, 2015.
The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted June 4-15, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in parentheses.
Survey of 443 registered Republicans was
conducted August 7-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted June 4-15, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in parentheses.
Jeb Bush (R) 39% [41%] (38%) {36%} [37%] (39%) {36%} [37%]
Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
Donald Trump (R) 38%
Survey of 1,096 Ohio voters was conducted August 7-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.
Party ID: 30% [30%] (28%) {28%} [32%] (29%) {32%} [31%] (29%)
Democrat; 27% [27%] (27%) {26%} [28%] (29%) {28%} [26%] (28%) Republican; 35% [34%] (35%) {32%} [35%] (35%) {33%} [36%] (35%) Independent; 8% [10%] (9%) {13%} [6%] (8%) {7%} [7%] (7%) Other. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted June 4-15, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in curly brackets.Results from the poll conducted July 24-28, 2014 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted May 7-12, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 12-17, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 19-24, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-23, 2013 are in parentheses.
Survey of 353 registered Democrats was conducted August 7-18, 2015.
The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted June 4-15, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in parentheses.
Survey of 371 registered Republicans was conducted August 7-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted June 4-15, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in parentheses.
Survey of 1,093 Florida voters was conducted August 7-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.
Party ID: 32% {27%} [29%] (28%) {28%} [25%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (27%)
Republican; 30% {31%} [32%] (33%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%)
Democrat; 29% {34%} [30%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) {32%} [30%] (31%)
Independent; 9% {7%} [9%] (8%) {9%} [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) Other. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted June 4-15, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.
Hillary Clinton 48% (64%) {65%} [61%] (67%) {64%} [64%] (70%)
Bernie Sanders 15% (8%) {3%} [2%]
Joe Biden 11% (9%) {11%} [11%] (8%) {11%} [9%] (9%)
Martin O'Malley 1% (1%) {0%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
Jim Webb 1% (0%) {2%} [1%]
Lincoln Chafee 0% (0%)
Survey of 345 registered Democrats was conducted August 7-18, 2015.
The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll
conducted June 4-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll
conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll
conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll
conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll
conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll
conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll
conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.
Jeb Bush 17% (20%) {24%} [32%] (21%) {27%} [25%] (22%)
Ben Carson 11% (7%) {8%} [8%]
Marco Rubio 11% (18%) {12%} [15%] (18%) {11%} [16%] (18%)
Ted Cruz 7% (3%) {7%} [4%] (10%) {6%} [9%] (12%)
Carly Fiorina 7% (2%)
Mike Huckabee 4% (6%) {6%} [11%] (7%) {6%}
Rand Paul 4% (5%) {4%} [3%] (8%) {14%} [11%] (9%)
Scott Walker 4% (9%) {15%} [9%] (2%) {4%} [5%] (2%)
John Kasich 3% (1%) {1%} [0%] (1%)
Chris Christie 1% (3%) {1%} [3%] (6%) {7%} [9%] (14%)
Bobby Jindal 1% (1%) {0%} [3%] (1%) {1%} [3%] (3%)
Jim Gilmore 0%
Lindsey Graham 0% (1%) {0%}
George Pataki 0% (1%)
Rick Perry 0% (4%) {2%} [1%] (5%)
Rick Santorum 0% (1%) {0%} [3%] (1%)
Survey of 477 registered Republicans was conducted August 7-18, 2015.
The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll
conducted June 4-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll
conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll
conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll
conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll
conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll
conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll
conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.
Survey of 957 registered North Carolina voters was conducted August 12-16, 2015. The
margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 43% [43%] (42%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {42%}
[45%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (42%) {42%}
[39%] (43%) {43%} [45%]
Democrat; 34% [35%] (36%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {36%} [34%] (31%) {36%} [35%] (36%) {35%} [34%]
(33%) {34%} [33%] Republican; 23% [22%] (23%) {22%} [21%] (23%) {22%} [21%] (27%) {22%} [23%]
(22%) {23%} [27%] (23%) {23%} [21%] Independent/Other.Results from the poll conducted July 2-6, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 2-5, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-31, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 4-7, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 11-14, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 12-15, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets.
Survey of 477 Democratic primary voters was conducted August 12-16, 2015.
The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Ideology: 37% (36%) {33%} [31%] (38%) Moderate; 25% (28%) {29%} [33%] (27%) Somewhat
liberal; 19% (20%) {22%} [21%] (21%) Very liberal; 15% (11%) {11%} [10%] (8%)
Somewhat conservative; 5% (5%) {4%} [5%] (6%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted July 2-6, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 2-5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2015 are in parentheses.
Survey of 406 Republican primary voters was conducted August 12-16,
2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Political
ideology: 41% {47%} [36%] (37%) {38%} [35%] (39%) {40%} [45%] (39%) {37%}
[35%] (38%) {37%} [36%] (44%) Very
conservative; 35% {36%} [39%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (38%) {37%} [35%] (32%) {35%} [33%] (40%) {39%} [36%] (35%) Somewhat
conservative; 17% {14%} [21%] (18%) {19%} [20%] (18%) {20%} [13%] (21%) {20%} [22%]
(16%) {16%} [21%] (13%) Moderate; 5% {4%} [4%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (5%) {2%} [4%]
(6%) {4%} [7%] (4%) {7%} [4%] (6%) Somewhat liberal; 3% {0%} [1%] (1%) {3%} [2%]
(1%) {1%} [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%]
(2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted July 2-6, 2015are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2015are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 2-5, 2015are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2015are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-31, 2015are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-7, 2014are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 26-28, 2014are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2012 are in parentheses.
Jeb Bush (R) 43% [46%] (41%) {43%} [39%] (40%) {41%} [36%] (36%)
Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
Carly Fiorina (R) 43%
National survey of 897 registered voters was conducted August 13-16, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.Results from the poll conducted July 22-25, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 26-28, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 29-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 16-19, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 13-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 18-21, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16-19, 2013 are in parentheses.
