Friday, September 30, 2011

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2012 Republican Primary Survey

SurveyUSA Florida 2012 GOP Primary Poll

Should all presidential primaries be held on the same date? Or should some states go before others?
  • Same date 62%
  • Some states should go before others 32%
Among Men
  • Same date 50%
  • Some states should go before others 44%
Among Women
  • Same date 75%
  • Some states should go before others 19%
Very Conservative
  • Same date 54%
  • Some states should go before others 39%
Conservative
  • Same date 64%
  • Some states should go before others 31%
Moderate
  • Same date 76%
  • Some states should go before others 16%
Should Florida be able to schedule its primary whenever it wants? Or should Florida have to obey rules set at the national level?
  • Whenever it wants 38%
  • Obey rules 57%
Among Men
  • Whenever it wants 49%
  • Obey rules 51%
Among Women
  • Whenever it wants 28%
  • Obey rules 64%
In 2012, Florida will hold its primary on January 31. The national Republican party says it will penalize Florida, and half of the delegates chosen during the Florida primary will NOT be recognized at the Republican national convention. Is the decision to penalize Florida fair? Or unfair?
  • Fair 38%
  • Unfair 54%
Among Men
  • Fair 35%
  • Unfair 56%
Among Women
  • Fair 41%
  • Unfair 52%
In the end, will all of Florida's delegates be recognized, or not recognized, at the Republican national convention?
  • Recognized 58%
  • Not recognized 23%
  • Not sure 18%
Among Men
  • Recognized 71%
  • Not recognized 18%
  • Not sure 11%
Among Women
  • Recognized 45%
  • Not recognized 29%
  • Not sure 26%
Survey of 400 registered Republicans was conducted September 30, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Political ideology: 34% Conservative; 24% Very conservative; 29% Moderate; 9% Liberal; 1% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida Survey on Governor Rick Scott

PPP (D) Florida Survey on Governor Rick Scott

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Scott’s job performance?

  • Approve 36% {33%} [32%]
  • Disapprove 52% {59%} [55%]
Among Democrats
  • Approve 16% {10%} [11%]
  • Disapprove 79% {82%} [81%]
Among Republicans
  • Approve 60% {63%} [57%]
  • Disapprove 23% {30%} [27%]
Among Independents
  • Approve 35% {27%} [31%]
  • Disapprove 52% {64%} [54%]
Among Moderates
  • Approve 25% {21%} [17%]
  • Disapprove 65% {71%} [72%]
Among Men
  • Approve 36% {37%} [39%]
  • Disapprove 52% {56%} [51%]
Among Women
  • Approve 37% {29%} [26%]
  • Disapprove 53% {62%} [59%]
If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again, would you vote for Republican Rick Scott or Democrat Alex Sink?
  • Alex Sink 52% {57%} [56%]
  • Rick Scott 41% {35%} [37%]
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Charlie Crist?
  • Favorable 51% [46%]
  • Unfavorable 34% [42%]
Among Democrats
  • Favorable 66% [59%]
  • Unfavorable 21% [28%]
Among Republicans
  • Favorable 35% [33%]
  • Unfavorable 52% [57%]
Among Independents
  • Favorable 47% [44%]
  • Unfavorable 30% [44%]
Among Moderates
  • Favorable 61% [64%]
  • Unfavorable 22% [24%]
Among Men
  • Favorable 50% [43%]
  • Unfavorable 36% [45%]
Among Women
  • Favorable 51% [49%]
  • Unfavorable 33% [39%]
Do you think Charlie Crist should become a Democrat or not?
  • He should 45% {43%}
  • He should not 25% {26%}
If the candidates for Governor next time were Republican Rick Scott and Charlie Crist, running as a Democrat, who would you vote for?
  • Charlie Crist 51% {56%}
  • Rick Scott 38% {34%}
Survey of 476 Florida voters was conducted September 22-25, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 40% {42%} [41%] Democrat; 37% {36%} [37%] Republican; 23% {21%} [22%] Independent/Other. Political ideology: 32% {30%} [30%] Moderate; 27% {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 16% {20%} [21%] Very conservative; 14% {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 10% {10%} [7%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Mitt Romney 45%
  • Barack Obama 53%
  • Rick Perry 41%
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Ron Paul 38%
  • Barack Obama 54%
  • Newt Gingrich 38%
  • Barack Obama 55%
  • Michele Bachmann 36%
Note: In 2008, John McCain received 38% of the vote in Connecticut. In 2004, George W. Bush received 44% of the vote in CT.

Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 48%
  • Barack Obama 36%
  • Barack Obama 42%
  • Ron Paul 41%
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Rick Perry 44%
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Newt Gingrich 42%
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Michele Bachmann 41%
Note: In 2008, John McCain received 39% of the Independent vote in Connecticut (31% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 41% of the Independent vote in CT (33% of the electorate). 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Mitt Romney 41% / 42% {-1%}
  • Rick Perry 27% / 54% {-27%}
  • Newt Gingrich 30% / 58% {-28%}
  • Ron Paul 25% / 55% {-30%}
  • Michele Bachmann 24% / 60% {-36%}
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 64% / 22% {+42%}
  • Newt Gingrich 51% / 36% {+15%}
  • Rick Perry 45% / 36% {+9%}
  • Michele Bachmann 41% / 40% {+1%}
  • Ron Paul 37% / 45% {-8%}
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 45% / 37% {+8%}
  • Newt Gingrich 35% / 53% {-18%}
  • Rick Perry 29% / 49% {-20%}
  • Ron Paul 28% / 49% {-21%}
  • Michele Bachmann 22% / 63% {-41%}
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 43% / 38% {+5%}
  • Ron Paul 28% / 51% {-23%}
  • Rick Perry 19% / 59% {-40%}
  • Newt Gingrich 22% / 65% {-43%}
  • Michele Bachmann 13% / 69% {-56%}
Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 48%
  • Disapprove 49%
Among Independents
  • Approve 41%
  • Disapprove 53%
Among Moderates
  • Approve 48%
  • Disapprove 46%
Survey of 592 Connecticut voters was conducted September 22-25, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 45% Democrat; 31% Republican; 24% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 29% Moderate; 26% Somewhat liberal; 24% Somewhat conservative; 11% Very conservative; 10% Very liberal.

Mitt Romney 2012 Ad: "Thank You Governor Perry"

Michele Bachmann 2012 Ad: "We Can't Settle"

Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Barack Obama 44%
  • Chris Christie 43% 
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Chris Christie 38% / 27% {+11%}
Should Chris Christie run for President in 2012?
  • Yes 20%
  • No 37%
Among Republicans
  • Yes 32%
  • No 25%
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted September 28-29, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.
Inside the numbers:
Christie viewed favorably by 58% of Republicans nationwide and 39% of unaffiliated voters. 
Just 26% believe the first-term governor is likely to run for the White House, a figure that includes only five percent (5%) who think he is Very Likely to run.

Just 31% of GOP voters believe he is even somewhat likely to run, while 44% see a Christie campaign as unlikely.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Mitt Romney 44% {41%} [43%] (39%) {38%} [43%] {40%} [44%] (44%)
  • Barack Obama 42% {44%} [40%] (43%) {46%} [42%] {45%} [42%] (44%)
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted September 28-29, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 25-26, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the polls conducted August 17-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the polls conducted between July 14-15, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 3-4, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 24, 2009 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Both Obama and Romney draw support from roughly three-quarters of the voters in their respective parties. Romney holds a narrow 42% to 37% lead among voters not affiliated with either the Republicans or the Democrats. 
Male voters prefer Romney by 12 points, while female voters give the edge to Obama by eight. Voters under 40 like the president, but older voters favor Romney. 
Seventy-two percent (72%) of those who say they are part of the Tea Party movement support Romney. Most non-members (53%) opt for the incumbent.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Virginia 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Virginia 2012 Senatorial Survey
  • Tim Kaine 46%
  • George Allen 45%
  • Some other candidate 3%
  • Undecided 7%
Among Independents
  • Tim Kaine 48%
  • George Allen 38%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • George Allen 47% / 39% {+8%}
  • Tim Kaine 47% / 40% {+7%}
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 28, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points 
Inside the numbers:
Allen and Kaine are tied among both male and female voters. Voters under 40 prefer the Democrat; older voters opt for the Republican. Kaine has the backing of 83% of Virginia Democrats, while 84% of the state’s Republicans support Allen.

Thursday, September 29, 2011

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey
  • Chris Shays (R) 48%
  • Susan Bysiewicz (D) 37%
  • Rob Simmons (R) 42%
  • Susan Bysiewicz (D) 41%
  • Susan Bysiewicz (D) 47%
  • Linda McMahon (R) 46%
  • Chris Murphy (D) 43%
  • Chris Shays (R) 39%
  • Chris Murphy (D) 50%
  • Linda McMahon (R) 43%
  • Chris Murphy (D) 45%
  • Rob Simmons (R) 36%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Chris Shays 37% / 28% {+9%}
  • Chris Murphy 35% / 28% {+7%}
  • Rob Simmons 28% / 28% {0%}
  • Linda McMahon 39% / 49% {-10%}
  • Susan Bysiewicz 29% / 41% {-12%}
Survey of 592 Connecticut voters was conducted September 22-25, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 45% Democrat; 31% Republican; 24% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Survey on Russia and Vladimir Putin

Rasmussen Survey on Russia and Vladimir Putin

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of Vladimir Putin?
  • Very favorable 2%
  • Somewhat favorable 9%
  • Somewhat unfavorable 29%
  • Very unfavorable 23%
Generally speaking, is Russia an ally of the United States, an enemy of the United States or somewhere in-between?
  • Ally 6%
  • Enemy 16%
  • Somewhere in-between 66%
How important are U.S. relations with Russia?
  • Very important 38%
  • Somewhat important 40%
  • Not important 13%
Is Russia a growing national security problem for the United States?
  • Yes 36%
  • No 25%
Survey of 1,000 adults was conducted September 27-28, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:
Republicans have a more negative view of Putin than Democrats and adults not affiliated with either party do. Republicans are also much more likely to see Russia as a growing national security problem for the United States.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2012 Republican Primary Survey

SurveyUSA Florida 2012 GOP Primary Poll
  • Mitt Romney 27%
  • Herman Cain 25%
  • Rick Perry 13%
  • Newt Gingrich 6%
  • Michele Bachmann 5%
  • Ron Paul 5%
  • Jon Huntsman 3%
  • Rick Santorum 2%
  • Other 4%
  • Undecided 12%
Among Men
  • Herman Cain 32%
  • Mitt Romney 22%
  • Rick Perry 13%
  • Newt Gingrich 5%
  • Jon Huntsman 5%
  • Ron Paul 4%
  • Michele Bachmann 3%
  • Rick Santorum 2%
  • Other 4%
  • Undecided 10%
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 31%
  • Herman Cain 17%
  • Rick Perry 12%
  • Michele Bachmann 7%
  • Newt Gingrich 6%
  • Ron Paul 6%
  • Rick Santorum 1%
  • Jon Huntsman 1%
  • Other 4%
  • Undecided 14%
Favorable / Unfavorable
  • Mitt Romney 55% / 19% {+36%}
  • Rick Perry 36% / 28% {+8%}
Very Conservative
  • Mitt Romney 58% / 22% {+36%}
  • Rick Perry 44% / 28% {+16%}
Conservative
  • Mitt Romney 55% / 17% {+38%}
  • Rick Perry 38% / 21% {+17%}
Moderate
  • Mitt Romney 58% / 16% {+42%}
  • Rick Perry 20% / 41% {-21%}
Should Chris Christie get into the race? Or stay out?
  • Get in 25%
  • Stay out 51%
Should Sarah Palin get into the race? Or stay out?
  • Get in 16%
  • Stay out 76%
Survey of 500 likely Republican primary voters was conducted September 24-27, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Political ideology: 42% Conservative; 33% Very conservative; 20% Moderate; 2% Liberal; 1% Very liberal.

PPP (D) Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Barack Obama 45%
  • Ron Paul 44%
  • Barack Obama 46% {47%} [46%] (46%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% {43%} [44%] (44%)
  • Barack Obama 49% {49%}
  • Michele Bachmann 44% {40%}
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Rick Perry 43%
  • Barack Obama 50% [50%] (47%)
  • Newt Gingrich 42% [42%] (42%)
    Note: In 2008, John McCain received 48% of the vote in Florida. In 2004, George W. Bush received 52% of the vote in FL.
    Among Men
    • Ron Paul 50%
    • Barack Obama 39%
    • Mitt Romney 48% {48%} [47%] (45%)
    • Barack Obama 42% {44%} [42%] (46%)
    • Michele Bachmann 46% {45%}
    • Barack Obama 45% {45%}
    • Barack Obama 47% [46%] (49%)
    • Newt Gingrich 45% [48%] (45%)
    • Barack Obama 47%
    • Rick Perry 45%
    Note: In 2008, John McCain received 47% of the Male vote in Florida (47% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 53% of the Male vote in FL (46% of the electorate).
    Among Women
    • Barack Obama 50% {49%} [49%] (46%)
    • Mitt Romney 43% {38%} [41%] (42%)
    • Barack Obama 52% {52%}
    • Michele Bachmann 42% {35%}
    • Barack Obama 51%
    • Ron Paul 39%
    • Barack Obama 52%
    • Rick Perry 40%
    • Barack Obama 52% [55%] (45%)
    • Newt Gingrich 39% [37%] (40%)
    Note: In 2008, John McCain received 47% of the Female vote in Florida (53% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 50% of the Female vote in FL (54% of the electorate).
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Mitt Romney 40% {41%} [39%] (43%) / 46% {45%} [39%] (38%) {-6%}
    • Ron Paul 31% / 51% {-20%}
    • Newt Gingrich 28% [32%] (36%) / 57% [48%] (47%) {-29%}
    • Rick Perry 29% / 58% {-29%}
    • Michele Bachmann 26% {36%} / 56% {37%} {-30%}
        Among Moderates
        • Ron Paul 33% / 47% {-14%}
        • Mitt Romney 27% {42%} [33%] (31%) / 55% {44%} [44%] (43%) {-28%}
        • Michele Bachmann 17% {25%} / 63% {46%} {-46%}
        • Newt Gingrich 18% [16%] (19%) / 66% [63%] (62%) {-48%}
        • Rick Perry 15% / 69% {-54%}
        Among Men
        • Mitt Romney 44% {46%} [42%] (44%) / 42% {42%} [37%] (43%) {+2%}
        • Ron Paul 36% / 48% {-12%}
        • Newt Gingrich 32% [37%] (39%) / 53% [47%] (53%) {-21%}
        • Rick Perry 31% / 57% {-26%}
        • Michele Bachmann 28% {36%} / 57% {39%} {-29%}
        Among Women
        • Mitt Romney 37% {37%} [36%] (42%) / 49% {46%} [40%] (32%) {-12%}
        • Ron Paul 26% / 54% {-28%}
        • Michele Bachmann 24% {37%} / 56% {35%} {-32%}
        • Rick Perry 27% / 59% {-32%}
        • Newt Gingrich 25% [28%] (32%) / 60% [48%] (40%) {-35%}
          Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
          • Approve 46% {48%} [48%] (45%)
          • Disapprove 51% {49%} [47%] (49%)
            Among Moderates
            • Approve 64% {59%} [73%] (62%)
            • Disapprove 32% {37%} [24%] (30%)
            Among Men
            • Approve 44% {44%} [44%] (45%)
            • Disapprove 53% {53%} [51%] (52%)
            Among Women
            • Approve 47% {52%} [52%] (45%)
            • Disapprove 50% {45%} [42%] (46%)
              Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s leadership on Israel?
              • Approve 42%
              • Disapprove 49%
              Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: “Social Security is a Ponzi Scheme.”
              • Agree 25%
              • Disagree 63%
              Survey of 476 Florida voters was conducted September 22-25, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 40% {42%} [41%] (42%) Democrat; 37% {36%} [37%] (40%) Republican; 23% {21%} [22%] (18%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 32% {30%} [30%] Moderate; 27% {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 16% {20%} [21%] Very conservative; 14% {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 10% {10%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-20, 2010 are in parentheses.

              Poll Watch: FDU PublicMind New Jersey Survey on President Barack Obama

              FDU PublicMind New Jersey Survey on President Barack Obama

              Do you approve or disapprove of way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

              • Approve 44% (55%) [47%] {54%} (47%)
              • Disapprove 47% (36%) [42%] {36%} (41%)
              Among Republicans
              • Approve 10% (21%) [16%] {19%} (15%)
              • Disapprove 86% (73%) [77%] {74%} (76%)
              Among Independents
              • Approve 38% (43%) [44%] {55%} (37%)
              • Disapprove 49% (40%) [38%] {32%} (36%)
              Among Democrats
              • Approve 70% (82%) [73%] {83%} (77%)
              • Disapprove 20% (9%) [14%] {8%} (14%)
              Among Men
              • Approve 40% (54%) [42%] {52%} (41%)
              • Disapprove 53% (38%) [44%] {42%} (47%)
              Among Women
              • Approve 47% (56%) [51%] {57%} (53%)
              • Disapprove 42% (34%) [40%] {31%} (35%)
                Survey of 800 registered voters was conducted September 19-25, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted May 16-22, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 7-13, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-9, 2011 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Qualifications Survey

                Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Qualifications Survey

                Is Mitt Romney qualified to be President of the United States?

                • Yes 43% [49%] (49%)
                • No 28% [25%] (32%)
                • Not sure 29% [25%] (20%)
                  Is Herman Cain qualified to be President of the United States?
                  • Yes 30% [18%]
                  • No 33% [35%]
                  • Not sure 37% [47%]
                  Is Rick Perry qualified to be President of the United States?
                  • Yes 30%
                  • No 44%
                  • Not sure 27%
                  Is Ron Paul qualified to be President of the United States?
                  • Yes 27% [27%]
                  • No 46% [43%]
                  • Not sure 28% [31%]
                  Is Michele Bachmann qualified to be President of the United States?
                  • Yes 21% [20%]
                  • No 56% [45%]
                  • Not sure 23% [34%]
                  Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted September 26-27, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted June 2-3, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 17-18, 2010 are in parentheses.

                  Inside the numbers:
                  Sixty-four percent (64%) of GOP voters say Romney is qualified, 52% say the same of Perry, and 49% think Cain is up to the job. Fewer than one-in-five GOP voters believe any of these three are unqualified. 
                  Republicans are evenly divided on Bachmann's qualifications — 35% say she’s qualified and 37% say she’s not. 
                  Among GOP voters, just 29% see Paul as qualified to be president. 
                  Cain is seen as the most qualified candidate among Tea Party voters while Romney is viewed that way by non-Tea Party members.

                  Poll Watch: Fox News 2012 Presidential Survey

                  Fox News 2012 Presidential Survey
                  • Barack Obama 45% (47%) [48%] {48%}
                  • Mitt Romney 42% (41%) [41%] {41%}
                  • Barack Obama 47% (47%)
                  • Rick Perry 39% (37%)
                  Survey of 925 registered voters was conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D)/Shaw & Company Research (R) September 25-27, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 17-19, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 5-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 7-9, 2011 are in curly brackets.

                  Poll Watch: Fox News 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

                  Fox News 2012 GOP Nomination Poll
                  • Mitt Romney 23% (22%) {26%} [26%]
                  • Rick Perry 19% (29%)
                  • Herman Cain 17% (6%) {9%} [9%]
                  • Newt Gingrich 11% (3%) {9%} [9%]
                  • Ron Paul 6% (8%) {10%} [10%]
                  • Jon Huntsman 4% (1%) {2%} [2%]
                  • Michele Bachmann 3% (8%) {13%} [15%]
                  • Rick Santorum 3% (4%) {4%} [4%]
                  • Gary Johnson 0% (0%) {1%} [1%]
                  • Fred Karger 0% {0%} [0%]
                  • Buddy Roemer 0% (1%)
                  • Too soon to say 5% (6%) {8%} [7%]
                  • Don't know 7% (10%) {9%} [13%]
                  Survey of 363 Republican primary voters was conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D)/Shaw & Company Research (R) September 25-27, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 29-31, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 7-9, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-19, 2011 are in square brackets.

                  Wednesday, September 28, 2011

                  Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Survey on a Palestinian State and Israel

                  CNN/ORC Survey on a Palestinian State and Israel

                  Do you favor or oppose the establishment of an independent Palestinian state on the West Bank and the Gaza Strip?
                  • Favor 40%
                  • Oppose 41%
                  As you may know, the United Nations currently grants the Palestinians a status which allows them to speak in the U.N. but does not recognize them as an independent nation or allow them to cast votes. Do you think the United Nations should continue that policy, or should the United Nations formally recognize the Palestinians as an independent nation and admit them as full members of the U.N.?
                  • Continue policy 52%
                  • Admit as full members 40%
                  What is your general impression of the Palestinian people? As of today, is it very favorable, or somewhat favorable, or somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable?
                  • Very favorable 5%
                  • Somewhat favorable 24%
                  • Somewhat unfavorable 25%
                  • Very unfavorable 14%
                  Among Democrats
                  • Very favorable 5%
                  • Somewhat favorable 27%
                  • Somewhat unfavorable 16%
                  • Very unfavorable 9%
                  Among Republicans
                  • Very favorable 3%
                  • Somewhat favorable 14%
                  • Somewhat unfavorable 39%
                  • Very unfavorable 25%
                  What is your general impression of the Israeli people? As of today, is it very favorable, or somewhat favorable, or somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable?
                  • Very favorable 22%
                  • Somewhat favorable 37%
                  • Somewhat unfavorable 13%
                  • Very unfavorable 6%
                  Among Democrats
                  • Very favorable 13%
                  • Somewhat favorable 43%
                  • Somewhat unfavorable 10%
                  • Very unfavorable 7%
                  Among Republicans
                  • Very favorable 34%
                  • Somewhat favorable 29%
                  • Somewhat unfavorable 16%
                  • Very unfavorable 9%
                  Survey of 1,010 adults, including 917 registered voters, was conducted September 23-25, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

                  Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2012 Republican Primary Survey

                  PPP (D) Florida 2012 GOP Primary Survey
                  • Mitt Romney 30% {29%} [28%]
                  • Rick Perry 24%
                  • Newt Gingrich 10% {10%} [30%]
                  • Ron Paul 8% {8%} [9%]
                  • Herman Cain 7% {14%}
                  • Michele Bachmann 6% {22%} [11%]
                  • Jon Huntsman 3% {2%}
                  • Rick Santorum 2%
                  • Gary Johnson 1%
                  • Someone else/Undecided 9% {9%} [11%]
                  If the Republican Presidential race came down to just Rick Perry and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?
                  • Mitt Romney 45%
                  • Rick Perry 36%
                  • Not sure 19%
                  Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: “Social Security is a Ponzi Scheme.”
                  • Agree 37%
                  • Disagree 49%
                      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                      • Mitt Romney 65% {56%} [61%] (61%) / 22% {30%} [24%] (22%) {+43%}
                      • Newt Gingrich 57% {46%} [58%] (59%) / 29% {37%} [26%] (24%) {+28%}
                      • Rick Perry 54% {38%} / 31% {12%} {+23%}
                      • Michele Bachmann 39% {58%} [44%] / 37% {22%} [9%] {+2%}
                      • Ron Paul 33% {44%} [53%] / 45% {31%} [16%] {-12%}
                          Survey of 472 usual Florida Republican primary voters was conducted September 22-25, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Political ideology: 43% {35%} [38%] Somewhat conservative; 33% {40%} [40%] Very conservative; 19% {21%} [17%] Moderate; 4% {4%} [3%] Somewhat liberal; 1% {1%} [1%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-20, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 30-31, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 16-18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-8, 2010 are in parentheses.

                          Poll Watch: ARG Iowa 2012 Republican Caucus Survey

                          ARG Iowa 2012 GOP Caucus Survey
                          • Mitt Romney 21% [18%] (17%)
                          • Michele Bachmann 15% [21%] (9%)
                          • Rick Perry 14% [2%]
                          • Ron Paul 12% [14%] (3%)
                          • Newt Gingrich 8% [8%] (12%)
                          • Herman Cain 6% [2%] (0%)
                          • Sarah Palin 4% [11%] (4%)
                          • Rick Santorum 2% [5%] (2%)
                          • Jon Huntsman 1% [3%] (0%)
                          • Buddy Roemer 1% [0%] (0%)
                          • Gary Johnson 0% [0%] (0%)
                          • Other 1% [2%]
                          • Undecided 15% [10%] (8%)
                          Among Tea Party Supporters (52%)
                          • Michele Bachmann 19%
                          • Rick Perry 14%
                          • Newt Gingrich 13%
                          • Ron Paul 13%
                          • Herman Cain 10%
                          • Sarah Palin 8%
                          • Mitt Romney 6%
                          • Rick Santorum 3%
                          • Jon Huntsman 0%
                          • Gary Johnson 0%
                          • Buddy Roemer 0%
                          • Undecided 14%
                          Among Non-Tea Party Republican Primary Voters (48%)
                          • Mitt Romney 37%
                          • Rick Perry 15%
                          • Ron Paul 11%
                          • Michele Bachmann 10%
                          • Newt Gingrich 3%
                          • Jon Huntsman 2%
                          • Buddy Roemer 2%
                          • Herman Cain 1%
                          • Rick Santorum 1%
                          • Gary Johnson 0%
                          • Sarah Palin 0%
                          • Other 2%
                          • Undecided 16%
                          Survey 600 of likely Republican caucus-goers (517 Republicans and 83 independents) was conducted September 22-27, 2011. The margin of error is ± 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-11, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-19, 2011 (487 Republicans and 113 independents) are in parentheses.

                          Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey

                          Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey
                          • Barack Obama 39% {42%} [43%]
                          • Herman Cain 34% {35%} [25%]
                          • Some other candidate 14%
                          • Undecided 14%
                          Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted September 26-27, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-24, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 26-27, 2011 are in square brackets.

                          Inside the numbers:
                          In a match-up against President Obama, just 61% of Republicans are ready to vote for Cain. Eighteen percent (18%) would prefer a third option and 11% are not sure. Among unaffiliated voters, 33% prefer Cain, 31% Obama, and 36% aren’t ready to commit to either candidate.

                          Mitt Romney on Morning Joe

                          Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

                          Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

                          REPUBLICAN NOMINATION

                          • Mitt Romney 18% (21%) [21%]
                          • Rick Perry 16% (8%)
                          • Rick Santorum 12% (14%) [16%]
                          • Sarah Palin 8% (12%) [11%]
                          • Michele Bachmann 6% (11%) [5%]
                          • Herman Cain 5% (4%) [8%]
                          • Ron Paul 5% (5%) [6%]
                          • Newt Gingrich 4% (4%) [5%]
                          • Jon Huntsman 2% (1%) [1%]
                          • Someone else (vol.) 2% (3%) [2%]
                          • Wouldn't vote (vol.) 2% (2%) [3%]
                          • Don't know 19% (14%) [17%]
                            GENERAL ELECTION
                            • Barack Obama 45% (42%) [47%]
                            • Mitt Romney 43% (44%) [40%]
                            • Barack Obama 45% (45%) [49%]
                            • Rick Santorum 42% (43%) [38%]
                            • Barack Obama 46% (45%)
                            • Rick Perry 40% (39%)
                            Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                            • Mitt Romney 32% / 28% {+4%}
                            • Barack Obama 45% / 49% {-4%}
                            • Rick Santorum 33% / 37% {-4%}
                            • Rick Perry 20% / 33% {-13%}
                              Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                              • Approve 43% (43%) [48%] {42%} (51%) [44%]
                              • Disapprove 54% (54%) [48%] {53%} (44%) [43%]
                                  Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President, do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                                  • Yes/Deserves 44% (42%) [48%] {42%} (48%) [44%]
                                  • No/Does not 51% (52%) [46%] {52%} (45%) [45%]
                                  Do you consider yourself part of the Tea Party movement or not?
                                  • Yes 13%
                                  • No 83%
                                    Survey of 1,370 registered voters, including a subsample of 541 Republicans, was conducted September 21-26, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 4.2 percentage points among Republicans. Party ID breakdown: 37% Democrat; 30% Republican; 27% Independent; 4% Other.  Results from the poll conducted July 25-31, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-12, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-25, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-14, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 6-13, 2010 are in square brackets.

                                    Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

                                    Quinnipiac Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

                                    REPUBLICAN NOMINATION
                                    • Mitt Romney 24% [16%]
                                    • Rick Perry 20% [8%]
                                    • Sarah Palin 9% [15%]
                                    • Herman Cain 7% [6%]
                                    • Ron Paul 6% [5%]
                                    • Newt Gingrich 4% [4%]
                                    • Rick Santorum 4% [2%]
                                    • Michele Bachmann 3% [11%]
                                    • Jon Huntsman 1% [1%]
                                    • Don't know 21% [28%]
                                    If Sarah Palin doesn't run
                                    • Mitt Romney 25% [19%]
                                    • Rick Perry 21% [8%]
                                    • Herman Cain 7% [7%]
                                    • Newt Gingrich 6% [6%]
                                    • Ron Paul 6% [6%]
                                    • Michele Bachmann 4% [16%]
                                    • Rick Santorum 4% [3%]
                                    • Jon Huntsman 2% [1%]
                                    • Don't know 22% [31%]
                                    Suppose the primary came down to a choice between Rick Perry and Mitt Romney for whom would you vote?
                                    • Rick Perry 42%
                                    • Mitt Romney 38%
                                    • Don't know 17%
                                    GENERAL ELECTION
                                    • Barack Obama 44% [45%]
                                    • Mitt Romney 42% [41%]
                                    • Barack Obama 44% [47%]
                                    • Rick Perry 41% [35%]
                                      Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                      • Approve 42% [46%] (49%)
                                      • Disapprove 53% [50%] (45%)
                                        Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President, do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                                        • Yes/Deserves 43% [46%] (47%)
                                        • No/Does not 51% [47%] (47%)
                                        Benefits for today's retirees come from taxes paid by today's workers. When today's workers retire, their benefits will be paid by people working at the time. Some have said this system is a "Ponzi scheme." Do you think that is fair or unfair to describe the Social Security system as a Ponzi scheme?
                                        • Fair 29%
                                        • Unfair 64%
                                        Based on what you've heard or read, do you think Rick Perry wants to: Fix Social Security or End Social Security?
                                        • Fix Social Security 30%
                                        • End Social Security 39%
                                        If a presidential candidate said that in order to preserve the Social Security system they would not touch benefits for current retirees or workers soon to retire, but would reduce benefits for younger workers when they retire, would you be more likely to vote for that candidate, less likely to vote for that candidate, or wouldn't it make a difference?
                                        • More likely 22%
                                        • Less likely 43%
                                        • No difference 29%
                                        Do you consider yourself part of the Tea Party movement or not?
                                        • Yes 16%
                                        • No 80%
                                        Survey of 1,301 registered voters, including a subsample of 423 Republicans, was conducted September 20-25, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 4.8 percent among Republican voters. Party ID breakdown: 34% Democrat; 26% Republican; 34% Independent; 4% Other.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 10-16, 2011 are in parentheses.

                                        Tuesday, September 27, 2011

                                        LIVE: Gov. Chris Christie: Perspectives on Leadership Forum


                                        Watch live streaming video from reaganlibrary at livestream.com

                                        Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey

                                        Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey
                                        • Barack Obama 44% [39%] (41%) {42%} [44%]
                                        • Ron Paul 34% [38%] (37%) {34%} [35%]
                                        • Some other candidate 13% [14%]
                                        • Undecided 9% [8%]
                                        Among Independents
                                        • Barack Obama 40% [33%]
                                        • Ron Paul 33% [43%]
                                        Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted September 24-25, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 26-27, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 20-21, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted between January 17-18, 2011 are in square brackets.
                                        Inside the numbers:

                                        While Obama now carries 79% of the Democratic vote, Paul picks up just 61% of his fellow Republicans.

                                        Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Ohio Survey on Governor John Kasich

                                        Quinnipiac Ohio Survey on Governor John Kasich

                                        Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling his job as Governor?

                                        • Approve 40% (35%) {38%} [30%] (30%)
                                        • Disapprove 49% (50%) {49%} [46%] (22%)
                                        Among Democrats
                                        • Approve 17% (12%) {15%} [11%] (14%)
                                        • Disapprove 74% (76%) {73%} [67%] (35%)
                                        Among Republicans
                                        • Approve 72% (66%) {66%} [63%] (55%)
                                        • Disapprove 18% (19%) {22%} [18%] (6%)
                                        Among Independents
                                        • Approve 38% (34%) {37%} [25%] (31%)
                                        • Disapprove 48% (48%) {47%} [49%] (18%)
                                        Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling the state budget?
                                        • Approve 35% (32%) {35%} [31%]
                                        • Disapprove 53% (54%) {53%} [51%]
                                        Do you think that the budget approved by the legislature and signed by Governor Kasich is fair or unfair to people like you?
                                        • Fair 36% (32%)
                                        • Unfair 49% (50%)
                                        Governor Kasich says he would like to lease the Ohio Turnpike to a private company and use the funds the state would receive to fund other transportation projects for Ohio. Do you think leasing the Ohio Turnpike is a good idea or a bad idea?
                                        • Good idea 32%
                                        • Bad idea 56%
                                        Survey of 1,301 registered voters was conducted September 20-25, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 12-18, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 10-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 15-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-17, 2011 are in parentheses.

                                        Michele Bachmann on The O'Reilly Factor


                                        Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 GOP Favorability Survey


                                        Gallup 2012 GOP Favorability Survey

                                        Among Republicans/GOP-Leaning Independents Who Recognize Candidate


                                        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                        • Rudy Giuliani 79% {81%} (77%) [74%] {75%} (77%) [76%] {78%} (78%) [78%] {79%} / 16% {15%} (18%) [20%] {19%} (18%) [16%] {16%} (16%) [17%] {16%} {+63%}
                                        • Herman Cain 77% {76%} (73%) [73%] {74%} (74%) [74%] {77%} (76%) [77%] {72%} / 15% {15%} (13%) [14%] {13%} (14%) [13%] {13%} (13%) [12%] {16%} {+62%}
                                        • Rick Perry 71% {74%} (73%) [73%] {71%} (69%) [70%] {70%} (74%) [73%] {67%} / 17% {15%} (16%) [13%] {14%} (15%) [13%] {15%} (15%) [15%] {17%} {+54%}
                                        • Mitt Romney 72% {74%} (71%) [71%] {70%} (73%) [74%] {72%} (73%) [74%] {73%} / 20% {18%} (20%) [19%] {20%} (19%) [17%] {18%} (18%) [16%] {16%} {+52%}
                                        • Rick Santorum 65% {65%} (60%) [63%] {62%} (62%) [64%] {62%} (62%) [67%] {69%} / 19% {21%} (22%) [23%] {23%} (20%) [19%] {20%} (20%) [18%] {15%} {+46%}
                                        • Sarah Palin 66% {67%} (67%) [69%] {69%} (69%) [71%] {69%} (68%) [73%] {73%} / 31% {31%} (30%) [27%] {29%} (28%) [26%] {28%} (28%) [25%] {24%} {+35%}
                                        • Newt Gingrich 64% {61%} (61%) [61%] {60%} (57%) [53%] {56%} (57%) [56%] {55%} / 30% {31%} (33%) [31%] {34%} (35%) [36%] {34%} (34%) [36%] {36%} {+34%}
                                        • Michele Bachmann 62% {65%} (64%) [67%] {68%} (67%) [70%] {69%} (64%) [67%] {74%} / 29% {29%} (27%) [24%] {23%} (21%) [20%] {21%} (24%) [20%] {15%} {+33%}
                                        • Ron Paul 57% {57%} (59%) [61%] {60%} (61%) [63%] {65%} (65%) [61%] {62%} / 32% {34%} (30%) [27%] {28%} (27%) [25%] {24%} (24%) [25%] {25%} {+25%}
                                        • Jon Huntsman 51% {53%} (53%) [50%] {48%} (50%) [51%] {50%} (55%) [55%] {55%} / 32% {32%} (34%) [34%] {35%} (31%) [27%] {28%} (25%) [24%] {26%} {+19%}
                                        Rudy Giuliani
                                        • Strongly Favorable 22% {23%} (21%) [19%] {21%} (23%) [22%] {22%} (21%) [22%] {22%}
                                        • Favorable 57% {58%} (56%) [55%] {54%} (54%) [54%] {56%} (57%) [56%] {57%}
                                        • Unfavorable 14% {13%} (15%) [16%] {15%} (14%) [13%] {14%} (14%) [14%] {14%}
                                        • Strongly Unfavorable 2% {2%} (3%) [4%] {4%} (4%) [3%] {2%} (2%) [3%] {2%}
                                        Herman Cain
                                        • Strongly Favorable 27% {25%} (24%) [26%] {28%} (29%) [26%] {24%} (27%) [29%] {26%}
                                        • Favorable 50% {51%} (49%) [47%] {46%} (45%) [48%] {53%} (49%) [48%] {46%}
                                        • Unfavorable 14% {13%} (11%) [12%] {12%} (13%) [12%] {12%} (11%) [10%] {15%}
                                        • Strongly Unfavorable 1% {2%} (2%) [2%] {1%} (1%) [1%] {1%} (2%) [2%] {1%}
                                        Rick Perry
                                        • Strongly Favorable 25% {27%} (27%) [29%] {27%} (25%) [25%] {24%} (26%) [26%] {23%}
                                        • Favorable 46% {47%} (46%) [44%] {44%} (44%) [45%] {46%} (48%) [47%] {44%}
                                        • Unfavorable 14% {12%} (12%) [10%] {12%} (13%) [11%] {14%} (13%) [12%] {14%}
                                        • Strongly Unfavorable 3% {3%} (4%) [3%] {2%} (2%) [2%] {1%} (2%) [3%] {3%}
                                        Mitt Romney
                                        • Strongly Favorable 17% {19%} (19%) [15%] {15%} (18%) [17%] {17%} (18%) [21%] {19%}
                                        • Favorable 55% {55%} (52%) [56%] {55%} (55%) [57%] {55%} (55%) [53%] {54%}
                                        • Unfavorable 17% {15%} (17%) [16%] {16%} (15%) [14%] {15%} (15%) [13%] {14%}
                                        • Strongly Unfavorable 3% {3%} (3%) [3%] {4%} (4%) [3%] {3%} (3%) [3%] {2%}
                                        Rick Santorum
                                        • Strongly Favorable 13% {12%} (11%) [13%] {13%} (9%) [9%] {9%} (11%) [13%] {13%}
                                        • Favorable 52% {53%} (49%) [50%] {49%} (53%) [55%] {53%} (51%) [54%] {56%}
                                        • Unfavorable 17% {19%} (19%) [20%] {20%} (18%) [17%] {16%} (16%) [16%] {14%}
                                        • Strongly Unfavorable 2% {2%} (3%) [3%] {3%} (2%) [2%] {4%} (4%) [2%] {1%}

                                        Sarah Palin
                                        • Strongly Favorable 20% {21%} (20%) [21%] {25%} (24%) [24%] {26%} (25%) [26%] {26%}
                                        • Favorable 46% {46%} (47%) [48%] {44%} (45%) [47%] {43%} (43%) [47%] {47%}
                                        • Unfavorable 22% {21%} (20%) [19%] {20%} (18%) [17%] {20%} (19%) [17%] {16%}
                                        • Strongly Unfavorable 9% {10%} (10%) [8%] {9%} (10%) [9%] {8%} (9%) [8%] {8%}
                                        Newt Gingrich
                                        • Strongly Favorable 16% {15%} (13%) [13%] {15%} (12%) [10%] {9%} (8%) [10%] {11%}
                                        • Favorable 48% {46%} (48%) [48%] {45%} (45%) [43%] {47%} (49%) [46%] {44%}
                                        • Unfavorable 24% {25%} (27%) [25%] {26%} (27%) [29%] {27%} (27%) [29%] {29%}
                                        • Strongly Unfavorable 6% {6%} (6%) [6%] {8%} (8%) [7%] {7%} (7%) [7%] {7%}
                                        Michele Bachmann
                                        • Strongly Favorable 15% {17%} (17%) [17%] {19%} (21%) [24%] {22%} (20%) [23%] {24%}
                                        • Favorable 47% {48%} (47%) [50%] {49%} (46%) [46%] {47%} (44%) [44%] {50%}
                                        • Unfavorable 22% {23%} (21%) [18%] {17%} (16%) [16%] {17%} (18%) [15%] {12%}
                                        • Strongly Unfavorable 7% {6%} (6%) [6%] {6%} (5%) [4%] {4%} (6%) [5%] {3%}
                                        Ron Paul
                                        • Strongly Favorable 12% {13%} (12%) [11%] {11%} (14%) [15%] {13%} (13%) [12%] {11%}
                                        • Favorable 45% {44%} (47%) [50%] {49%} (47%) [48%] {52%} (52%) [49%] {51%}
                                        • Unfavorable 26% {28%} (25%) [23%] {23%} (22%) [21%] {20%} (20%) [21%] {22%}
                                        • Strongly Unfavorable 6% {6%} (5%) [4%] {5%} (5%) [4%] {4%} (4%) [4%] {3%}
                                        Jon Huntsman
                                        • Strongly Favorable 6% {6%} (5%) [5%] {6%} (6%) [7%] {8%} (8%) [6%] {7%}
                                        • Favorable 45% {47%} (48%) [45%] {42%} (44%) [44%] {42%} (47%) [49%] {48%}
                                        • Unfavorable 27% {28%} (28%) [28%] {30%} (27%) [24%] {26%} (22%) [20%] {21%}
                                        • Strongly Unfavorable 5% {4%} (6%) [6%] {5%} (4%) [3%] {2%} (3%) [4%] {5%}
                                          Positive Intensity Score (Strongly Favorable minus Strongly Unfavorable)
                                          • Herman Cain +26% {+24%} (+22%) [+24%] {+27%} (+28%) [+25%] {+22%} (+25%) [+27%] {+25%}
                                          • Rick Perry +22% {+24%} (+24%) [+25%] {+25%} (+22%) [+23%] {+23%} (+24%) [+23%] {+21%}
                                          • Rudy Giuliani +20% {+21%} (+18%) [+15%] {+17%} (+19%) [+19%] {+20%} (+19%) [+20%] {+20%}
                                          • Mitt Romney +14% {+15%} (+16%) [+12%] {+11%} (+14%) [+15%] {+14%} (+15%) [18%] {+17%}
                                          • Sarah Palin +12% {+11%} (+10%) [+13%] {+16%} (+14%) [+15%] {+18%} (+16%) [+18%] {+18%}
                                          • Rick Santorum +11% {+10%} (+8%) [+10%] {+10%} (+7%) [+6%] {+5%} (+7%) [+11%] {+12%}
                                          • Newt Gingrich +10% {+10%} (+7%) [+7%] {+7%} (+4%) [+3%] {+2%} (+1%) [+3%] {+4%}
                                          • Michele Bachmann +8% {+11%} (+10%) [+11%] {+13%} (+16%) [+20%] {+18%} (+14%) [+18%] {+21%}
                                          • Ron Paul +6% {+7%} (+7%) [+6%] {+6%} (+9%) [+11%] {+9%} (+8%) [+9%] {+8%}
                                          • Jon Huntsman +1% {+2%} (-1%) [-2%] {+1%} (+2%) [+4%] {+6%} (+5%) [+3%] {+2%}
                                            Name Recognition
                                            • Sarah Palin 95% {95%} (97%) [97%] {97%} (97%) [97%] {95%} (96%) [96%] {95%}
                                            • Rudy Giuliani 89% {90%} (89%) [90%] {91%} (91%) [91%] {90%} (89%) [87%] {86%}
                                            • Newt Gingrich 85% {86%} (86%) [86%] {85%} (85%) [86%] {85%} (84%) [85%] {85%}
                                            • Mitt Romney 84% {85%} (86%) [88%] {88%} (86%) [86%] {86%} (84%) [85%] {86%}
                                            • Michele Bachmann 83% {84%} (84%) [84%] {85%} (83%) [81%] {78%} (76%) [78%] {77%}
                                            • Ron Paul 80% {82%} (81%) [79%] {78%} (78%) [78%] {78%} (77%) [78%] {77%}
                                            • Rick Perry 79% {76%} (75%) [74%] {75%} (67%) [59%] {54%} (54%) [56%] {55%}
                                            • Rick Santorum 53% {53%} (54%) [52%] {52%} (51%) [51%] {51%} (50%) [50%] {49%}
                                            • Herman Cain 51% {50%} (48%) [48%] {50%} (47%) [45%] {45%} (46%) [47%] {44%}
                                            • Jon Huntsman 44% {45%} (46%) [46%] {43%} (40%) [38%] {39%} (40%) [40%] {41%}
                                            Survey Methods
                                            Results are based on telephone interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking September 12-25, 2011, with random samples of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Questions asking about the 10 potential candidates measured in this research were rotated among randomly selected samples of Republicans each night; over the 14-day period, each candidate was rated by approximately 1,400 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents.

                                            For the overall ratings of each potential candidate among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, including recognition scores, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.  
                                             
                                            Results from the poll conducted September 5-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 29 - September 11, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 22 - September 4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-28, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 8-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 1-14, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25 - August 7, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-31, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 11-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 4-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.