Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida Survey on Senator Marco Rubio

PPP (D) Florida Poll on Sen. Marco Rubio

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Marco Rubio’s job performance?

• Approve 44% {49%} [48%] (52%) {51%} [45%] (44%) {43%} [40%] (44%) {42%} [43%]
• Disapprove 43% {36%} [35%] (32%) {33%} [42%] (40%) {41%} [40%] (39%) {35%} [31%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 22% {24%} [16%] (26%) {26%} [19%] (20%) {15%} [19%] (16%) {17%} [17%]
• Disapprove 61% {55%} [60%] (51%) {51%} [65%] (64%) {68%} [59%] (68%) {55%} [51%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 69% {75%} [79%] (85%) {85%} [74%] (71%) {74%} [65%] (82%) {75%} [70%]
• Disapprove 21% {16%} [9%] (9%) {11%} [17%] (17%) {10%} [17%] (6%) {13%} [10%]

Among Independents

• Approve 45% {53%} [55%] (50%) {42%} [44%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (34%) {36%} [44%]
• Disapprove 44% {28%} [36%] (33%) {38%} [45%] (39%) {50%} [45%] (43%) {30%} [31%]

Among Moderates

• Approve 29% {38%} [38%] (42%) {42%} [34%] (25%) {32%} [29%] (31%) {27%} [21%]
• Disapprove 55% {43%} [48%] (38%) {39%} [53%] (53%) {44%} [46%] (50%) {45%} [47%]

Among Men

• Approve 49% {57%} [54%] (56%) {51%} [47%] (50%) {50%} [42%] (45%) {47%} [50%]
• Disapprove 42% {35%} [34%] (34%) {38%} [45%] (34%) {40%} [44%] (41%) {32%} [30%]

Among Women

• Approve 39% {41%} [44%] (48%) {52%} [44%] (37%) {38%} [37%] (44%) {37%} [35%]
• Disapprove 44% {37%} [37%] (30%) {29%} [40%] (47%) {42%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [31%]

Survey of 500 voters was conducted March 15-18, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 42% {44%} [41%] (44%) {41%} [42%] (41%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {42%} [41%] Democrat; 37% {38%} [37%] (36%) {37%} [40%] (40%) {41%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [37%] Republican; 22% {18%} [22%] (20%) {21%} [19%] (19%) {18%} [20%] (23%) {21%} [22%] Independent/Other. Political ideology: 32% {33%} [35%] (34%) {36%} [33%] (33%) {32%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [30%] Moderate; 21% {21%} [24%] (25%) {25%} [20%] (25%) {22%} [23%] (27%) {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 17% {18%} [17%] (16%) {13%} [20%] (16%) {16%} [14%] (16%) {20%} [21%] Very conservative; 17% {17%} [16%] (13%) {16%} [17%] (16%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 13% {12%} [8%] (10%) {9%} [10%] (10%) {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [7%] Very liberal.  Race: 69% {68%} [66%] (69%) {70%} [69%] (70%) White: 12% {11%} [17%] (13%) {13%} [15%] (12%) Hispanic; 11% {15%} [12%] (13%) {13%} [11%] (12%) Black; 8% {6%} [4%] (5%) {5%} [5%] (5%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-23, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as governor? 

• Approve 73% (67%)
• Disapprove 23% (26%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 62% (49%)
• Disapprove 31% (39%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 90% (88%)
• Disapprove 10% (8%)

Among Independents

• Approve 75% (76%)
• Disapprove 21% (20%)

Among Moderates

• Approve 75% (68%)
• Disapprove 20% (25%)

Please tell me if your general impression of Governor Chris Christie is favorable or unfavorable.

• Favorable 70% (67%) {48%} [49%] (50%) {46%} [47%] (49%) {49%} [45%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {46%} [45%]
• Unfavorable 20% (25%) {42%} [40%] (39%) {42%} [42%] (37%) {39%} [47%] (42%) {44%} [38%] (42%) {39%} [26%]

Among Democrats

• Favorable 59% (49%) {22%} [25%] (27%) {28%} [22%] {26%} [20%] (18%) {24%}
• Unfavorable 29% (38%) {68%} [62%] (62%) {61%} [63%] {63%} [72%] (65%) {67%}

Among Republicans

• Favorable 88% (90%) {88%} [84%] (79%) {85%} [81%] {87%} [82%] (79%) {76%}
• Unfavorable 5% (8%) {8%} [9%] (12%) {8%} [14%] {10%} [11%] (16%) {19%}

Among Independents

• Favorable 71% (73%) {49%} [48%] (55%) {43%} [52%] {52%} [47%] (49%) {50%}
• Unfavorable 20% (19%) {36%} [40%] (32%) {42%} [37%] {33%} [45%] (35%) {37%}

Survey of 698 registered voters was conducted January 30 - February 3, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 39% (43%) {38%} [35%] (37%) {39%} [37%] {35%} [31%] (36%) {35%} Democrat; 22% (22%) {24%} [24%] (22%) {21%} [20%] {18%} [19%] (22%) {23%} Republican; 40% (35%) {38%} [41%] (41%) {40%} [43%] {47%} [50%] (42%) {42%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted November 14-17, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 4, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 21-27, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 9-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 6-9, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 9-15, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 28 - April 4, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February, 2010 are in square brackets.

Conan O'Brien Interview with Nate Silver

Poll Watch: Fairleigh Dickinson PublicMind New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

FDU PublicMind New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?

• Approve 77% (56%) [51%] {55%} (56%) [54%] {53%} (51%) [54%] {44%} (51%) [51%] {53%}
• Disapprove 17% (33%) [35%] {35%} (33%) [34%] {37%} (36%) [36%] {44%} (41%) [39%] {36%}

Among Democrats

• Approve 67% (26%) [28%] {33%} (36%) [30%] {26%} (27%) [31%] {20%} (27%) [27%] {33%}
• Disapprove 26% (59%) [55%] {56%} (51%) [52%] {62%} (60%) [54%] {69%} (63%) [61%] {56%}

Among Republicans

• Approve 87% (86%) [84%] {82%} (83%) [85%] {90%} (81%) [81%] {75%} (83%) [82%] {80%}
• Disapprove 9% (9%) [10%] {13%} (11%) [9%] {7%} (11%) [16%] {16%} (14%) [15%] {14%}

Among Independents

• Approve 92% (60%) [55%] {65%} (53%) [60%] {52%} (50%) [64%] {47%} (49%) [54%] {50%}
• Disapprove 5% (20%) [30%] {23%} (31%) [27%] {36%} (35%) [26%] {32%} (36%) [28%] {32%}

Among Men

• Approve 76% (64%) [54%] {61%} (64%) [62%] {63%} (58%) [61%] {52%} (58%) [61%] {59%}
• Disapprove 19% (28%) [32%] {32%} (27%) [27%] {30%} (31%) [31%] {36%} (34%) [32%] {32%}

Among Women

• Approve 77% (49%) [49%] {49%} (48%) [46%] {42%} (45%) [46%] {36%} (45%) [41%] {47%}
• Disapprove 15% (37%) [39%] {38%} (39%) [40%] {45%} (41%) [42%] {53%} (47%) [47%] {40%}

Panel survey of 241 registered voters was conducted November 13 – November 18, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 6.3 percentage points.  Party ID: 49% [48%] {47%} Democrat; 34% [33%] {33%} Republican; 17% [19%] {21%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 26-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 30 - May 6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 2-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted October 17-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 16-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 4, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 7-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-9, 2011 are in curly brackets.

The most recent panel survey by Fairleigh Dickinson University’s PublicMind was conducted by telephone from October 26 – October 29, 2012 and then again from November 13 – November 18, 2012 using a randomly selected sample of registered voters statewide. Respondents were initially contacted in the days before the presidential election and Hurricane Sandy, yielding an original sample size of 394. The desired sample size was larger, however the effects of Hurricane Sandy brought the data collection to an early conclusion in the first wave. 

The same 394 respondents were re-contacted after the election and Hurricane Sandy. Due to the inevitable attrition that comes with any panel design, the final number of respondents who completed both pre- and post-election interviews was 241, or 61% of the original sample. This release compares the 241 respondents pre and post-election responses.

Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

Please tell me if your general impression of Governor Chris Christie is favorable or unfavorable.

• Favorable 67% {48%} [49%] (50%) {46%} [47%] (49%) {49%} [45%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {46%} [45%]
• Unfavorable 25% {42%} [40%] (39%) {42%} [42%] (37%) {39%} [47%] (42%) {44%} [38%] (42%) {39%} [26%]

Among Democrats

• Favorable 49% {22%} [25%] (27%) {28%} [22%] {26%} [20%] (18%) {24%}
• Unfavorable 38% {68%} [62%] (62%) {61%} [63%] {63%} [72%] (65%) {67%}

Among Republicans

• Favorable 89% {88%} [84%] (79%) {85%} [81%] {87%} [82%] (79%) {76%}
• Unfavorable {8%} [9%] (12%) {8%} [14%] {10%} [11%] (16%) {19%}

Among Independents

• Favorable 70% {49%} [48%] (55%) {43%} [52%] {52%} [47%] (49%) {50%}
• Unfavorable {36%} [40%] (32%) {42%} [37%] {33%} [45%] (35%) {37%}

How well do you think Governor Chris Christie has been handling the crisis of Superstorm Sandy, its aftermath, and recovery efforts?

• Very well 69%
• Somewhat well 23%
• Somewhat poorly 3%
• Very poorly 2% 

Among Democrats

• Very well 66%
• Somewhat well 26%
• Somewhat poorly 3%
• Very poorly 2%

Among Republicans

• Very well 78%
• Somewhat well 15%
• Somewhat poorly 1%
• Very poorly 1%

Among Independents

• Very well 67%
• Somewhat well 22%
• Somewhat poorly 3%
• Very poorly 3%

Did Governor Christie’s response to Superstorm Sandy make you more supportive of him, less supportive of him, or did it have no effect on how supportive you are of the governor?  

• More supportive 61%
• Less supportive 3%
• No effect 35%
  

Among Democrats

• More supportive 60%
• Less supportive 3%
• No effect 36%
  

Among Republicans

• More supportive 68%
• Less supportive 0%
• No effect 32%
  

Among Independents

• More supportive 58%
• Less supportive 5%
• No effect 36%
  

Governor Christie praised and embraced President Obama, during his visit after the storm, stating that this was not a time for partisan politics. Some say this showed needed cooperation and bipartisanship in a time of crisis. Others say the governor went too far in his praise of the president and hurt Mitt Romney’s campaign. What is your opinion? 

• Showed needed cooperation/bipartisanship 81% 
• Christie went too far in his praise 12% 
  

Among Democrats

• Showed needed cooperation/bipartisanship 88% 
• Christie went too far in his praise 6%

Among Republicans

• Showed needed cooperation/bipartisanship 69% 
• Christie went too far in his praise 25%

Among Independents

• Showed needed cooperation/bipartisanship 80% 
• Christie went too far in his praise 13%

Survey of 1,108 registered voters was conducted November 14-17, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 43% {38%} [35%] (37%) {39%} [37%] {35%} [31%] (36%) {35%} Democrat; 22% {24%} [24%] (22%) {21%} [20%] {18%} [19%] (22%) {23%} Republican; 35% {38%} [41%] (41%) {40%} [43%] {47%} [50%] (42%) {42%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 4, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 21-27, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 9-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 6-9, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 9-15, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 28 - April 4, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February, 2010 are in square brackets.

Inside the numbers: 

Christie receives high praise even from his customary detractors. Almost three-quarters of women (72 percent) think Christie handled the crisis very well, and 64 percent say they are now more supportive of him. Fifty-three percent of black residents and 61 percent of Hispanics say the governor did very well. Forty-three percent of blacks and 55 percent of Hispanics also say they are now more supportive of Christie.

The governor’s strongest support comes from those regions most heavily affected by Superstorm Sandy. Eighty-three percent of shore county residents say Christie handled the crisis very well, as do 76 percent of northwestern New Jersey (exurban) residents. More than 60 percent in each region are now more supportive of Christie because of his actions.

Sens. Schumer and Coburn on Meet the Press

Mitt Romney's Greatest Hits: 2012 Edition

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Post-Election Survey

Rasmussen (R) Post-Election Poll

Did President Obama set the right tone for the future with his victory speech?

• Yes, he did 46%
• No, he did not 32%
• Not sure 22%

Note: Seventy-eight percent (78%) of Democrats and a modest plurality (42%) of voters not affiliated with either party say the president set the right tone in his victory speech. Sixty-five percent (65%) of Republicans disagree. 

Thinking back on the presidential campaign did Paul Ryan help or hurt Mitt Romney’s chance of winning the election?

• Help 36%
• Hurt 31%
• Had no impact 25%
  

Note: Sixty-three percent (63%) of Republicans think Ryan helped Romney’s chances, while 51% of Democrats say he hurt them. Unaffiliated voters see the Ryan pick as slightly more of a positive than a negative.

Over the past several years, have Republicans in Congress done a good job of representing Republican values? Or have Republicans in Congress lost touch with Republican voters from throughout the nation?

• Done a good job representing GOP values 21%
• Lost touch with Republican voters 61%
• Undecided 17%
  

Note: Just 33% of GOP voters think Republicans in Congress have done a good job of representing their party’s values. Fifty-five percent (55%) believe Republicans in Congress have lost touch with the party’s voters throughout the nation.

Looking to the future, is it more important for the Republican Party to stand for what it believes in or to work with President Obama?

• More important for GOP to work with President Obama 55%
• More important for GOP to stand for what it believes in 39%
  

Note: Eighty-six percent (86%) of voters in the president’s party and 56% of unaffiliateds feel it is more important for the GOP to work with the president. But 79% of Republicans think the party should put what it stands for first.

Are you glad the presidential campaign is over?

• Yes 91%
• No 8%
  

National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted November 7, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

President Barack Obama's Victory Speech

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado Survey on Marijuana Legalization

PPP (D) Colorado Survey on Marijuana Legalization

Amendment 64 is an amendment to the Colorado constitution concerning marijuana, and, in connection therewith, providing for the regulation of marijuana; permitting a person twenty-one years of age or older to consume or possess limited amounts of marijuana; providing for the licensing of cultivation facilities, product manufacturing facilities, testing facilities, and retail stores; permitting local governments to regulate or prohibit such facilities; requiring the general assembly to enact an excise tax to be levied upon wholesale sales of marijuana; requiring that the first $40 million in revenue raised annually by such tax be credited to the public school capital construction assistance fund; and requiring the general assembly to enact legislation governing the cultivation, processing, and sale of industrial hemp. If the election was today, would you vote or against Amendment 64?

• For 52% (53%) {47%} [47%] (46%)
• Against 44% (43%) {38%} [38%] (42%)
• Not sure 4% (5%) {15%} [15%] (12%)

Among Democrats

• For 70% (68%) {58%} [59%] (62%)
• Against 26% (27%) {24%} [22%] (25%)
• Not sure 4% (5%) {17%} [18%] (14%)

Among Republicans

• For 29% (32%) {30%} [26%] (27%)
• Against 67% (65%) {55%} [61%] (62%)
• Not sure 4% (4%) {15%} [13%] (11%)

Among Independents

• For 60% (58%) {54%} [58%] (49%)
• Against 37% (36%) {34%} [28%] (40%)
• Not sure 4% (6%) {11%} [13%] (10%)

Among Moderates

• For 63% (55%) {55%} [50%] (57%)
• Against 34% (41%) {32%} [32%] (29%)
• Not sure 3% (4%) {13%} [19%] (13%)

Among Men

• For 56% (55%) {50%} [50%] (46%)
  
• Against 41% (40%) {38%} [41%] (46%)
• Not sure 3% (5%) {12%} [9%] (7%)

Among Women

• For 49% (50%) {43%} [44%] (45%)
• Against 46% (46%) {39%} [35%] (38%)
• Not sure 5% (5%) {18%} [20%] (17%)

Age 18-29

• For 63% (73%) {59%} [58%] (58%)
• Against 29% (25%) {30%} [30%] (33%)
• Not sure 8% (2%) {11%} [12%] (8%)

Age 30-45

• For 60% (53%) {50%} [59%] (48%)
• Against 36% (42%) {35%} [30%] (39%)
• Not sure 4% (5%) {15%} [12%] (13%)

Age 46-65

• For 50% (54%) {47%} [41%] (49%)
• Against 47% (42%) {36%} [43%] (42%)
• Not sure 3% (4%) {17%} [16%] (10%)

Older Than 65

• For 37% (38%) {32%} [34%] (30%)
• Against 60% (55%) {53%} [47%] (52%)
• Not sure 3% (7%) {14%} [19%] (18%)

In general, do you think that marijuana usage should be legal or illegal?

• Legal 56% (53%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {49%} [51%]
• Illegal 39% (42%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {40%} [38%]

Among Democrats

• Legal 74% (67%) {62%} [65%] (66%) {64%} [65%]
• Illegal 22% (28%) {29%} [24%] (26%) {26%} [24%]

Among Republicans

• Legal 33% (32%) {33%} [28%] (29%) {30%} [31%]
• Illegal 62% (63%) {61%} [67%] (64%) {61%} [62%]

Among Independents

• Legal 61% (59%) {53%} [58%] (50%) {54%} [55%]
• Illegal 33% (34%) {36%} [33%] (39%) {34%} [31%]

Among Moderates

• Legal 64% (55%) {51%} [52%] (60%) {57%} [53%]
• Illegal 31% (40%) {36%} [37%] (30%) {35%} [37%]

Among Men

• Legal 58% (56%) {55%} [51%] (51%) {52%} [54%]
• Illegal 38% (38%) {39%} [43%] (43%) {39%} [38%]

Among Women

• Legal 54% (49%) {43%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [49%]
• Illegal 41% (46%) {46%} [42%] (44%) {42%} [39%]
  

Age 18-29

• Legal 73% (71%) {57%} [61%] (58%) {72%} [71%]
• Illegal 23% (27%) {34%} [33%] (33%) {24%} [14%]

Age 30-45

• Legal 60% (50%) {52%} [53%] (49%) {46%} [52%]
• Illegal 35% (42%) {38%} [39%] (41%) {42%} [38%]

Age 46-65

• Legal 54% (56%) {52%} [50%] (53%) {54%} [53%]
• Illegal 41% (40%) {39%} [44%] (40%) {35%} [36%]

Older Than 65

• Legal 39% (40%) {32%} [36%] (33%) {32%} [36%]
• Illegal 55% (54%) {62%} [51%] (58%) {58%} [55%]

Survey of 1,096 likely Colorado voters was conducted November 3-4, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points.  Party ID: 37% (37%) {37%} [34%] (39%) {37%} [41%] Democrat; 36% (36%) {37%} [37%] (35%) {35%} [33%] Republican; 26% (26%) {27%} [29%] (26%) {28%} [26%] Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% (31%) {28%} [27%] (30%) {32%} [27%] Moderate; 22% (26%) {25%} [21%] (24%) {25%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 18% (19%) {20%} [16%] (17%) {18%} [22%] Somewhat liberal; 16% (15%) {15%} [22%] (17%) {14%} [16%] Very conservative; 12% (9%) {12%} [14%] (12%) {11%} [13%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 23-25, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 2-5, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 14-17, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 1-4, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Senate Poll

• Dean Heller (R) 48% (44%) {47%} [44%] (47%) {44%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (51%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 46% (44%) {44%} [48%] (45%) {43%} [43%] (45%) {43%} [43%] (38%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 4% (7%) {4%}

Among Democrats

• Shelley Berkley (D) 85% (78%) {76%} [85%] (81%) {73%} [70%] (82%) {75%} [76%] (64%)
• Dean Heller (R) 11% (9%) {16%} [11%] (11%) {18%} [16%] (14%) {11%} [13%] (20%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 3% (6%) {3%} 

Among Republicans

• Dean Heller (R) 89% (84%) {85%} [84%] (86%) {71%} [76%] (83%) {86%} [86%] (85%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 9% (11%) {7%} [10%] (11%) {16%} [13%] (8%) {6%} [8%] (12%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 1% (2%) {3%} 

Among Independents

• Dean Heller (R) 51% (46%) {47%} [40%] (50%) {45%} [52%] (39%) {44%} [56%] (56%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 34% (33%) {38%} [41%] (37%) {38%} [39%] (37%) {41%} [29%] (28%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 14% (15%) {10%} 

Among Men

• Dean Heller (R) 50% (48%) {44%} [49%] (53%) {48%} [45%] (52%) {48%} [52%] (53%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 44% (43%) {49%} [44%] (41%) {40%} [43%] (38%) {40%} [39%] (36%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 6% (6%) {3%} 

Among Women

• Shelley Berkley (D) 48% (45%) {39%} [51%] (48%) {46%} [42%] (52%) {45%} [46%] (40%)
• Dean Heller (R) 47% (41%) {49%} [41%] (43%) {40%} [47%] (38%) {43%} [43%] (49%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 3% (7%) {5%}

Have you already voted, either at an early voting site or with an absentee ballot?

• Yes 74% (34%)
• No 26% (66%)

Already Voted

• Shelley Berkley (D) 52% (55%)
• Dean Heller (R) 44% (41%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 3% (3%)

Did Not Vote Yet

• Dean Heller (R) 60% (46%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 30% (38%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 7% (8%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Dean Heller’s job performance?

• Approve 47% (46%) {44%} [42%] (42%) {36%} [43%] (39%) {38%}
• Disapprove 42% (47%) {42%} [42%] (42%) {39%} [36%] (35%) {35%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Shelley Berkley?

• Favorable 39% (41%) {40%} [41%] (42%) {38%} [33%] (38%) {33%} [34%] (34%)
• Unfavorable 55% (53%) {51%} [46%] (45%) {37%} [40%] (35%) {33%} [31%] (29%)

Survey of 750 likely Nevada voters was conducted November 3-4, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 43% (42%) {44%} [42%] (38%) {40%} [43%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (45%) Democrat; 38% (36%) {35%} [38%] (34%) {38%} [39%] (38%) {38%} [35%] (39%) Republican; 20% (23%) {21%} [20%] (28%) {21%} [18%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (16%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 30% (34%) {33%} (35%) {34%} [30%] (29%) {29%} [28%] Moderate; 24% (23%) {24%} (21%) {23%} [26%] (25%) {25%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 18% (14%) {18%} (16%) {17%} [17%] (18%) {18%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 14% (16%) {16%} (15%) {14%} [16%] (17%) {17%} [18%] Very conservative; 13% (13%) {9%} (13%) {12%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [10%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 22-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 8-10, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-20, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 7-10, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 1, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 21-24, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Mitchell Research Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

Mitchell Research Michigan 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 51% (47%) {49%} [44%] (47%) 
• Mitt Romney 46% (47%) {44%} [45%] (46%)
• Someone else 2% (3%) {3%}
• Undecided 1% (3%) {4%}
  

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 50% (53%) {48%} [48%] (49%)
• Barack Obama 47% (39%) {45%} [43%] (41%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 55% (54%) {54%} [44%] (52%)
  
• Mitt Romney 42% (41%) {41%} [42%] (41%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

• Mitt Romney 53% / 47% {+6%}
• Barack Obama 52% / 48% {+4%}

Survey of 1,305 likely voters was conducted November 4, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.71 percentage points.  Party ID: 46% (44.3%) {42%} Democrat; 39% (38.0%) {38%} Republican.  Results from the poll conducted August 23, 2012 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted August 13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 18, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers: 

Obama leads by a large margin with younger voters. Among 18-29 year olds the lead is 67-23 and among 30-39 year olds it is 54-45. Obama leads 51-47 with 50-59 year olds. Obama and Romney are tied with 60-69 year old voters (49-49). Romney leads with just two age groups, 40-49 year olds (53-44) and 70 and over voters (50-48).

Both candidates have solidified their leads with their own party. Obama leads among Democrats 93-6 while Romney leads with Republicans 93-7. Among Independents, Romney leads by 4 percent (48-44).

By race, Obama leads by 92-7 with African-Americans while Romney leads with white voters by 7 (52-45). Among all other races, they are tied at 43 percent

Obama currently leads in labor households by 22 percent (60-38) while Romney leads in non-labor households by 4 (50-46). About one-third of the voters live in labor households and two-thirds in non-labor households.

Obama leads by an 88-6 margin in the City of Detroit. In the Tri-County area outside of Detroit, Obama leads by just 1 percent (49-48) while the areas outside the Tri-County area Romney leads by 1 percent (49-48).

Voters were given a choice between four issues and asked which one was the most important on in the choice they made for president. The top issue was jobs and the economy (66 percent) followed by national security (14), women's issues (12), and the auto bailout (8). Although Romney leads by 14 with those who say the economy (56-42), Obama leads among those who say national security (52-44), those who say women's issues (82-12) and those who say the auto bailout (77-15).

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 50% [48%] (50%) {48%} [45%] (48%) 
• Mitt Romney 48% [50%] (49%) {48%} [48%] (43%) 
• Some other candidate 0% [1%] (0%) {3%} [4%] (2%)
• Undecided 2% [1%] (1%) {1%} [3%] (6%)

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?

• Very favorable 37% [41%] (36%) {33%} [32%] (24%)
• Somewhat favorable 14% [13%] (16%) {15%} [18%] (21%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 14% [12%] (16%) {16%} [13%] (21%)
• Very unfavorable 34% [33%] (32%) {34%} [37%] (31%)

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Barack Obama?

• Very favorable 33%
• Somewhat favorable 16%
• Somewhat unfavorable 11%
• Very unfavorable 39%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 51% [54%] (52%) {48%} [50%] (45%) / 48% [45%] (48%) {50%} [50%] (52%) {+3%}
• Barack Obama 49% / 50% {-1%}  

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

• Strongly approve 33% [33%] (28%) {30%} [30%] (28%)
• Somewhat approve 17% [16%] (22%) {18%} [19%] (23%)
• Somewhat disapprove 8% [8%] (4%) {7%} [8%] (8%)
• Strongly disapprove 40% [43%] (45%) {41%} [43%] (41%)

President Obama Job Approval

• Approve 50% [49%] (50%) {48%} [49%] (51%) 
• Disapprove 48% [51%] (49%) {48%} [51%] (49%)
  

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted November 4, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 20, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Ninety percent (90%) of likely New Hampshire voters are certain of whom they will vote this year. Among these voters, Romney is ahead 51% to 49%.

Both candidates receive 92% support from members of their respective parties. Obama leads Romney by a 54% to 43% margin among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Romney is ahead of Obama 55% to 44% among men in New Hampshire, but the president leads 55% to 42% among women. Younger voters favor the president, while those who are older support Romney.

When it comes to which candidate voters in New Hampshire trust to handle the key issues facing the nation, Romney has a six-point edge over the president on the economy, a three-point lead in the area of job creation and is ahead by one point with regards to energy policy. But voters in the state trust Obama more by five points when it comes to national security and by three points in the area of housing.

Poll Watch: New England College New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Survey

New England College New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 50% [49.5%] (49%)
• Mitt Romney 46% [44.4%] (46%)
• Some other candidate 1% [2.4%] (2%)
• Not sure 3% [3.7%] (4%)

Survey of 687 likely voters was conducted November 3-4, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.72 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 29-31, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 23-25, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers: 

The President has significant support among Democrats (92%) and is doing better among Republicans (16%) than Governor Romney is doing among Democrats (7%). The two candidates effectively split the vote among Independents. The major difference between the candidates is among women who strongly back the President, by a 55%-42% margin.

In addition, New Hampshire voters gave the President high marks for his initial emergency response to Hurricane Sandy. His approval rating for handling the hurricane’s aftermath is 67%.

Poll Watch: American Research Group 2012 Presidential Survey

ARG 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49% (48%) {47%} [47%] (47%) {49%} [49%] (46%) 
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 49% (48%) {49%} [48%] (48%) {46%} [47%] (49%)

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 91% (89%) {90%} [91%] (87%) {89%} [90%] (85%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 7% (7%) {5%} [4%] (9%) {7%} [6%] (11%)

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 93% (91%) {94%} [93%] (92%) {91%} [92%] (92%)
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 5% (5%) {3%} [3%] (5%) {3%} [5%] (5%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 54% (54%) {55%} [54%] (52%) {50%} [50%] (49%)
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 42% (41%) {39%} [40%] (42%) {43%} [43%] (44%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 55% (56%) {57%} [56%] (52%) {52%} [51%] (54%)
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 43% (41%) {40%} [41%] (45%) {44%} [45%] (41%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 54% (54%) {53%} [52%] (50%) {51%} [52%] (51%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 43% (40%) {41%} [41%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (45%)

Age 18-49

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 51% (51%) {52%} [51%] (50%) {50%} [50%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 47% (44%) {43%} [44%] (44%) {44%} [45%] (46%)

Age 50+

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 50% (51%) {54%} [52%] (53%) {48%} [48%] (52%) 
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 47% (45%) {42%} [43%] (45%) {48%} [48%] (43%)

Among Whites

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 58% (57%) {56%} [55%] (54%) {54%} [55%] (57%)
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 40% (39%) {39%} [40%] (42%) {43%} [41%] (39%)

Among Blacks

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 96% (96%) {95%} [95%] (94%) {92%} [92%] (89%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 3% (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%) {5%} [5%] (5%)

Survey of 1,200 likely voters was conducted November 2-4, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 39% (39%) {39%} [38%] (39%) {38%} [40%] (38%) Democrat; 33% (33%) {34%} [34%] (33%) {32%} [34%] (34%) Republican; 28% (28%) {27%} [28%] (28%) {30%} [26%] (28%) Independent. Gender: 48% (48%) {48%} [48%] (49%) {49%} [48%] (48%) Male; 52% (52%) {52%} [52%] (51%) {51%} [52%] (52%) Female.  Race: 77% (77%) {78%} [78%] (78%) {77%} [77%] (76%) White; 12% (12%) {12%} [12%] (12%) {13%} [12%] (12%) Black. Age: 18-49: 46% (46%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [49%] (49%); 50 and older: 54% (54%) {53%} [52%] (52%) {52%} [51%] (51%).  Results from the poll conducted October 25-28, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 11-14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-8, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17-20, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 4-6, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Romney leads Obama 50% to 48% among likely voters interviewed on a landline (75% of likely voters). Obama leads Romney 52% to 44% among likely voters interviewed on a cell phone (25% of likely voters).

A total of 46% of likely voters say they would never vote for Obama in the general election and 47% of likely voters say they would never vote for Romney in the general election.

Poll Watch: POLITICO/George Washington University 2012 Battleground Brushfire Tracking Survey

POLITICO/GWU 2012 Battleground Brushfire Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 48% {48%} [49%] (47%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {50%} [48%] (47%) {53%} [49%]
• Mitt Romney 48% {48%} [48%] (49%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {47%} [47%] (48%) {43%} [43%] 

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 55% {52%} [55%]
• Barack Obama 39% {44%} [43%]

Among Women

• Barack Obama 55% {53%} [54%]
• Mitt Romney 40% {45%} [43%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 50% {50%} [52%] (50%) [47%] (46%) {46%} [46%] / 46% {44%} [43%] (45%) [47%] (48%) {49%} [46%] {+4%}
• Barack Obama 50% {51%} [51%] (52%) [52%] (50%) {53%} [50%] / 48% {45%} [47%] (44%) [45%] (47%) {46%} [47%] {+2%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President? Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing?

• Approve 49% {49%} [50%] (49%) [50%] (49%) {50%} [49%]
• Disapprove 49% {49%} [49%] (49%) [48%] (49%) {47%} [50%]

I am going to read you several issues. For each one, please tell me if you approve or disapprove of the job that President Obama is doing on this issue.
  
The Economy

• Approve 46% {47%} [45%] (45%) {48%} [45%] (46%) {48%} [44%]
• Disapprove 53% {52%} [54%] (53%) {51%} [53%] (52%) {51%} [54%]

The Federal Budget and Spending 

• Approve 41% {38%} [40%] (39%) {40%} [39%] (42%) {40%} [37%]
• Disapprove 58% {60%} [58%] (57%) {56%} [57%] (56%) {57%} [61%]

I would like to read you a list of issues that some people have said are important to them. Please tell me, for each one, who will better handle this issue -- Mitt Romney or Barack Obama.

The Economy

• Mitt Romney 51% {50%} [51%] (51%) {50%} [49%] (49%) {48%} [49%] (48%)
• Barack Obama 45% {46%} [46%] (45%) {47%} [47%] (47%) {49%} [44%] (45%)

Jobs

• Mitt Romney 50% {50%} [51%] (50%) {49%} [49%] (48%) {48%} [50%] 
• Barack Obama 45% {46%} [46%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (47%) {48%} [44%]

Standing Up for the Middle Class

• Barack Obama 54% {55%} [54%] (55%) {54%} [56%] (54%) {57%} [54%] (58%) 
  
• Mitt Romney 43% {41%} [41%] (41%) {42%} [40%] (41%) {38%} [40%] (35%)
  

Taxes 

• Mitt Romney 48% {47%} [47%] (47%) {47%} [44%] (46%) {46%} [47%] (45%)
• Barack Obama 47% {49%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {50%} [47%] (51%)
  

Medicare

• Barack Obama 51% {51%} [51%] (51%) {52%} [51%] (50%) {52%} [49%] (47%)
  
• Mitt Romney 45% {43%} [45%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (42%) {43%} [45%] (44%)
  

Foreign Policy

• Barack Obama 51% {52%} [52%] (51%) {49%} [50%] (52%) {52%} [54%] (51%) 
  
• Mitt Romney 44% {42%} [43%] (42%) {45%} [44%] (40%) {43%} [39%] (38%)
  

The Federal Budget and Spending

• Mitt Romney 53% {52%} [54%] (55%) {54%} [50%] (50%) {50%}
  
• Barack Obama 43% {43%} [42%] (40%) {42%} [44%] (43%) {45%}

Sharing Your Values

• Barack Obama 48% {49%} [49%] (48%) {50%} [50%] (48%)
  
• Mitt Romney 47% {44%} [46%] (46%) {46%} [45%] (45%)
  

Being a Strong Leader 

• Barack Obama 48% {49%} [49%] (46%) {49%} [50%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 47% {46%} [46%] (47%) {47%} [45%] (43%)

Can Get Things Done

• Mitt Romney 49% {49%} [49%] (47%) {48%} [46%] (47%)
  
• Barack Obama 44% {43%} [45%] (43%) {45%} [46%] (45%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted November 4-5, 2012 by The Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 43% {43%} [43%] (43%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [44%] Democrat; 41% {40%} [41%] (41%) {40%} [40%] (41%) {40%} [40%] Republican; 15% {14%} [15%] (15%) {15%} [16%] (15%) {15%} [15%] Independent.  Ideology: 21% {20%} [20%] (20%) {19%} [21%] (21%) {21%} [24%] Very conservative; 37% {38%} [38%] (39%) {37%} [37%] (38%) {36%} [33%] Somewhat conservative; 26% {25%} [26%] (26%) {27%} [25%] (25%) {26%} [26%] Somewhat liberal; 9% {11%} [10%] (10%) {10%} [13%] (10%) {12%} [11%] Very liberal. Race: {78%} [77%] (78%) {77%} [77%] White; {12%} [12%] (12%) {12%} [12%] Black; {6%} [7%] (5%) {6%} [7%] Hispanic/Latino.  Click here to view crosstabs.  Results from the poll conducted October 29 - November 1, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 22-25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 14-18, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-11, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 1-4, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24-27, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 16-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 5-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 29 - May 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 19-22, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 6-9, 2011 are in square brackets.