Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 50% (49%) {48%} [48%] (43%) 
• Barack Obama 48% (50%) {48%} [45%] (48%)
• Some other candidate 1% (0%) {3%} [4%] (2%)
• Undecided 1% (1%) {1%} [3%] (6%)

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?

• Very favorable 41% (36%) {33%} [32%] (24%)
• Somewhat favorable 13% (16%) {15%} [18%] (21%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 12% (16%) {16%} [13%] (21%)
• Very unfavorable 33% (32%) {34%} [37%] (31%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 54% (52%) {48%} [50%] (45%) / 45% (48%) {50%} [50%] (52%) {+9%}  

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

• Strongly approve 33% (28%) {30%} [30%] (28%)
• Somewhat approve 16% (22%) {18%} [19%] (23%)
• Somewhat disapprove 8% (4%) {7%} [8%] (8%)
• Strongly disapprove 43% (45%) {41%} [43%] (41%)

President Obama Job Approval

• Approve 49% (50%) {48%} [49%] (51%) 
• Disapprove 51% (49%) {48%} [51%] (49%)
  

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 23, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 20, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Ninety-seven percent (97%) of likely New Hampshire voters say they are certain to vote in this election. Among these voters, it’s Romney 51%, Obama 48%.

Voters in the state trust Romney more by nine points – 53% to 44% - when it comes to handling the economy. The GOP challenger has a four-point edge – 50% to 46% - in voter trust here when it comes to national security.

But still by a 13-point margin – 53% to 40% - Granite State voters think Obama has a better understanding of the issues of the middle class. Most (52%) also think Obama will be the ultimate winner of the election, compared to 41% who think Romney will come out on top.

Romney earns 89% support from his fellow Republicans in New Hampshire, while 96% of the state’s Democrats support the president. Romney leads by 11 points among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

Seventy-two percent (72%) of all voters in the state are excited about the choice between the president and Romney. Just 22% say they will be voting for the lesser of two evils.

Voters are almost evenly divided when asked which candidate they would get advice from if they had to make the toughest decision of their lives: 49% would turn to Obama, 47% to Romney.