Tuesday, October 30, 2012

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

SurveyUSA Florida 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 47% {47%} [48%] (48%)
  • Mitt Romney 47% {46%} [44%] (43%)
  • Other 1% {2%} [2%] (4%)
  • Undecided 5% {5%} [5%] (5%)
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 82% {81%} [84%] (86%)
  • Mitt Romney 15% {14%} [14%] (11%)
  • Other 2% {2%} [1%] (1%)
  • Undecided 2% {3%} [1%] (2%)
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 85% {86%} [84%] (81%)
  • Barack Obama 13% {11%} [10%] (11%)
  • Other 0% {2%} [2%] (4%)
  • Undecided 2% {2%} [4%] (5%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 45% {44%} [39%] (35%)
  • Barack Obama 40% {40%} [41%] (46%)
  • Other 2% {4%} [7%] (9%)
  • Undecided 13% {12%} [13%] (10%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 51% {53%} [57%] (59%)
  • Mitt Romney 41% {40%} [34%] (30%)
  • Other 1% {1%} [2%] (2%)
  • Undecided 6% {6%} [7%] (8%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 49% {46%} [49%] (44%)
  • Barack Obama 44% {46%} [44%] (47%)
  • Other 2% {4%} [3%] (4%)
  • Undecided 5% {4%} [4%] (4%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 50% {49%} [52%] (48%)
  • Mitt Romney 46% {45%} [40%] (43%)
  • Other 1% {1%} [2%] (3%)
  • Undecided 4% {5%} [6%] (5%)
Already Voted (23%)
  • Barack Obama 57%
  • Mitt Romney 42%
  • Other 1%
  • Undecided 0%
Will Vote Before Election Day (27%)
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Mitt Romney 41%
  • Other 1%
  • Undecided 7%
Will Vote on Election Day (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 53%
  • Barack Obama 40%
  • Other 1%
  • Undecided 5%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 46% {46%} [44%] / 44% {43%} [43%] {+2%}
  • Mitt Romney 44% {42%} [40%] / 43% {44%} [42%] {+1%
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 41% {40%} [37%] / 41% {42%} [41%] {0%}
  • Mitt Romney 38% {38%} [35%] / 41% {38%} [40%] {-3%}
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 50% {47%} [49%] / 36% {37%} [32%] {+14%}
  • Mitt Romney 34% {36%} [30%] / 50% {45%} [48%] {-16%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 45% {42%} [44%] / 42% {43%} [38%] {+3%}
  • Barack Obama 42% {44%} [40%] / 46% {46%} [47%] {-4%}
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 48% {47%} [47%] / 43% {41%} [39%] {+5%}
  • Mitt Romney 42% {42%} [35%] / 45% {44%} [46%] {-3%}
Survey of 595 likely and actual voters was conducted October 25-27, 2012 for WFLA-TV (Tampa).  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 42% {43%} [41%] (39%) Democrat; 37% {34%} [36%] (40%) Republican; 20% {23%} [23%] (21%) Independent. Ideology: 42% {42%} [45%] (39%) Moderate; 35% {32%} [34%] (37%) Conservative; 18% {20%} [17%] (19%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 17-18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-19, 2012 are in parentheses.

No comments: