Sunday, October 28, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 49% {47%} [48%] (50%) {48%} [48%] (50%) {50%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (46%)
  • Mitt Romney 48% {48%} [49%] (46%) {47%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (45%) {43%} [44%] (44%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 50% {46%} [51%] (40%) {39%} [47%] (41%) {34%} [46%] (42%) {42%} [39%] (28%) 
  • Barack Obama 43% {47%} [43%] (51%) {51%} [40%] (50%) {53%} [39%] (45%) {44%} [41%] (52%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 61% [57%] (64%) {55%} [60%] (63%) {58%} [46%] (59%) {57%} [67%] (62%)
  • Mitt Romney 36% [41%] (31%) {39%} [34%] (30%) {35%} [37%] (27%) {31%} [21%] (28%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 53% {52%} [52%] (51%) {48%} [50%] (53%) {53%} [49%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (45%)
  • Barack Obama 43% {44%} [44%] (44%) {48%} [45%] (43%) {43%} [40%] (42%) {44%} [42%] (46%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 54% {50%} [51%] (55%) {49%} [51%] (57%) {55%} [48%] (50%) {49%} [49%] (46%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% {45%} [47%] (41%) {47%} [44%] (39%) {39%} [40%] (43%) {38%} [41%] (42%)
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?
  • Mitt Romney 50% [51%] (46%)
  • Barack Obama 46% [46%] (50%)
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of foreign policy?
  • Mitt Romney 49% (45%)
  • Barack Obama 48% (50%)
Who do you think won the Presidential debates overall?
  • Mitt Romney 47%
  • Barack Obama 46%
  • Not sure 7%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 51% [49%] (44%) {49%} [46%] (39%) {41%} [37%] (40%) {41%} [39%] (43%) / 46% [47%] (51%) {47%} [49%] (53%) {51%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [39%] (38%) {+5%}
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 41% [38%] (29%) {41%} [34%] (24%) {34%} [40%] (27%) {42%} [33%] (31%) / 58% [58%] (63%) {54%} [58%] (62%) {54%} [43%] (55%) {44%} [44%] (43%) {-17%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 56% [54%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (45%) {49%} [42%] (44%) {46%} [42%] (44%) / 40% [42%] (46%) {47%} [48%] (46%) {46%} [47%] (42%) {42%} [37%] (43%) {+16%}
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 47% [46%] (39%) {49%} [43%] (32%) {34%} [32%] (37%) {37%} [36%] (42%) / 51% [51%] (55%) {46%} [50%] (60%) {56%} [47%] (49%) {46%} [40%] (32%) {-4%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 48% [48%] (51%) {47%} [47%] (49%) {51%} [45%] (46%) {48%} [48%] (45%)
  • Disapprove 50% [50%] (47%) {50%} [50%] (46%) {45%} [50%] (51%) {49%} [47%] (49%)
Among Moderates
  • Approve 60% [59%] (64%) {54%} [57%] (60%) {64%} [53%] (64%) {59%} [73%] (62%)
  • Disapprove 37% [40%] (33%) {43%} [40%] (32%) {30%} [39%] (32%) {37%} [24%] (30%)
Among Men
  • Approve 44% [44%] (46%) {46%} [43%] (42%) {43%} [43%] (44%) {44%} [44%] (45%)
  • Disapprove 55% [53%] (53%) {51%} [55%] (54%) {54%} [52%] (53%) {53%} [51%] (52%)
Among Women
  • Approve 52% [52%] (55%) {48%} [50%] (57%) {58%} [46%] (47%) {52%} [52%] (45%)
  • Disapprove 46% [48%] (41%) {50%} [46%] (38%) {38%} [48%] (50%) {45%} [42%] (46%)
Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 elections?
  • Very excited 68% [69%] (66%)
  • Somewhat excited 22% [18%] (19%)
  • Not at all excited 10% [13%] (15%)
Among Democrats
  • Very excited 68% [74%] (72%)
  • Somewhat excited 24% [13%] (17%)
  • Not at all excited 8% [13%] (11%)
Among Republicans
  • Very excited 72% [69%] (68%)
  • Somewhat excited 18% [20%] (15%)
  • Not at all excited 10% [11%] (16%)
Among Independents
  • Very excited 59% [60%] (49%)
  • Somewhat excited 25% [22%] (28%)
  • Not at all excited 16% [18%] (22%)
Survey of 687 likely Florida voters was conducted October 26-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 43% [41%] (44%) {41%} [42%] (41%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {42%} [41%] (42%) Democrat; 38% [37%] (36%) {37%} [40%] (40%) {41%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [37%] (40%) Republican; 19% [22%] (20%) {21%} [19%] (19%) {18%} [20%] (23%) {21%} [22%] (18%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 34% [35%] (34%) {36%} [33%] (33%) {32%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [30%] Moderate; 27% [24%] (25%) {25%} [20%] (25%) {22%} [23%] (27%) {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 15% [17%] (16%) {13%} [20%] (16%) {16%} [14%] (16%) {20%} [21%] Very conservative; 14% [16%] (15%) {16%} [17%] (16%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 10% [8%] (10%) {9%} [10%] (10%) {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 17-18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-23, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-20, 2010 are in parentheses.

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