Sunday, October 28, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

  • Barack Obama 51% {49%} [51%] (49%) {50%} [50%] (48%) {47%} [50%] (49%) {50%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [46%] (44%)
  • Mitt Romney 47% {48%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (42%) {41%} [46%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (42%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 50% {49%} [50%] (42%) {51%} [46%] (39%) {42%} [40%] (40%) {45%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [39%] (40%)
  • Barack Obama 46% {42%} [45%] (41%) {34%} [44%] (49%) {42%} [43%] (45%) {39%} [35%] (38%) {34%} [37%] (34%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 57% {56%} [57%] (60%) [64%] (66%) {56%} [56%] (62%) {64%} [54%] (57%) {52%} [61%] (59%)
  • Mitt Romney 39% {39%} [36%] (32%) [28%] (27%) {29%} [31%] (33%) {23%} [35%] (28%) {30%} [21%] (24%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 52% {57%} [50%] (43%) {50%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [50%] (49%) {47%} [54%] (44%) {50%} [47%] (47%)
  • Barack Obama 46% {41%} [48%] (50%) {43%} [46%] (44%) {41%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [38%] (42%) {43%} [38%] (37%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 55% {55%} [54%] (48%) {55%} [53%] (52%) {52%} [55%] (54%) {54%} [53%] (47%) {49%} [52%] (51%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% {41%} [42%] (46%) {39%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [36%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (43%) {35%} [35%] (37%)
Have you already voted, either at an early voting site or with an absentee ballot?
  • Yes 36% {21%} [19%]
  • No 64% {79%} [81%]
Already Voted
  • Barack Obama 63% {66%} [76%]
  • Mitt Romney 36% {34%} [24%]
Did Not Vote Yet
  • Mitt Romney 53% {52%} [51%]
  • Barack Obama 45% {44%} [45%]
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?
  • Barack Obama 52% {47%} [51%] (47%
  • Mitt Romney 46% {51%} [46%] (47%
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of foreign policy?
  • Barack Obama 54% (49%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% (45%)
Who do you think won the Presidential debates overall?
  • Barack Obama 45%
  • Mitt Romney 43%
  • Not sure 12%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 47% {49%} [45%] (45%) [44%] (41%) {35%} [37%] (28%) {28%} [36%] (30%) {32%} [33%] (36%) / 51% {47%} [51%] (49%) [49%] (52%) {54%} [53%] (56%) {48%} [48%] (49%) {43%} [43%] (39%) {-4%
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 50% {47%} [47%] (41%) [42%] (34%) {28%} [33%] (30%) {32%} [42%] (32%) {35%} [34%] (38%) / 48% {41%} [47%] (45%) [47%] (57%) {54%} [59%] (53%) {40%} [42%] (44%) {38%} [38%] (36%) {+2%}
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 39% {37%} [34%] (33%) [28%] (24%) {19%} [26%] (26%) {26%} [37%] (22%) {26%} [26%] (27%) / 58% {55%} [61%] (61%) [62%] (68%) {68%} [62%] (59%) {46%} [40%] (54%) {48%} [50%] (47%) {-19%
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 51% {55%} [49%] (46%) [47%] (45%) {39%} [43%] (30%) {30%} [38%] (31%) {42%} [35%] (39%) / 48% {40%} [48%] (51%) [47%] (49%) {50%} [49%] (58%) {53%} [51%] (53%) {41%} [44%] (40%) {+3%}
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 44% {44%} [42%] (44%) [41%] (37%) {31%} [31%] (25%) {26%} [33%] (29%) {24%} [32%] (33%) / 53% {52%} [54%] (48%) [52%] (55%) {57%} [56%] (53%) {44%} [45%] (46%) {44%} [42%] (38%) {-9%
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 51% {48%} [50%] (48%) [48%] (46%) {44%} [48%] (48%) {41%} [43%] (44%) {46%} [47%] (42%)
  • Disapprove 48% {50%} [48%] (49%) [48%] (51%) {51%} [48%] (48%) {49%} [52%] (52%) {49%} [46%] (49%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 42% {41%} [45%] (41%) [40%] (46%) {37%} [41%] (40%) {30%} [39%] (34%) {37%} [39%] (40%)
  • Disapprove 54% {54%} [50%] (52%) [54%] (49%) {53%} [53%] (53%) {56%} [57%] (59%) {55%} [49%] (54%)
Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 elections?
  • Very excited 64% {62%} [60%] (58%)
  • Somewhat excited 24% {24%} [26%] (24%)
  • Not at all excited 12% {15%} [15%] (18%)
Among Democrats
  • Very excited 69% {70%} [62%] (66%)
  • Somewhat excited 20% {16%} [25%] (20%)
  • Not at all excited 11% {14%} [14%] (14%)
Among Republicans
  • Very excited 68% {69%} [62%] (62%)
  • Somewhat excited 21% {22%} [27%] (26%)
  • Not at all excited 10% {9%} [11%] (13%)
Among Independents
  • Very excited 48% {37%} [54%] (36%)
  • Somewhat excited 36% {39%} [24%] (28%)
  • Not at all excited 16% {24%} [23%] (36%)
Survey of 718 likely Ohio voters was conducted October 26-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 43% {42%} [40%] (41%) {41%} [41%] (40%) {39%} [41%] (42%) {41%} [47%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (44%) Democrat; 35% {34%} [36%] (36%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [39%] (36%) {35%} [37%] (34%) {35%} [35%] (39%) Republican; 21% {23%} [24%] (23%) {26%} [22%] (24%) {24%} [20%] (21%) {24%} [16%] (22%) {20%} [21%] (18%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 32% {32%} [29%] (33%) [29%] (30%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {31%} [30%] (31%) {33%} [29%] Moderate; 23% {25%} [26%] (24%) [25%] (25%) {27%} [22%] (21%) {25%} [19%] (24%) {25%} [28%] Somewhat conservative; 19% {16%} [16%] (16%) [17%] (18%) {17%} [18%] (18%) {20%} [21%] (19%) {16%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 15% {14%} [16%] (17%) [17%] (18%) {15%} [19%] (21%) {18%} [19%] (17%) {13%} [15%] Very conservative; 12% {13%} [13%] (11%) [11%] (10%) {9%} [9%] (10%) {7%} [10%] (8%) {13%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-13, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 14-18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 4-6, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 13-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11-14, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2010 are in parentheses.

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