Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 50% (49%) {49%} [48%] (51%) {47%} [48%] (51%) {46%} [49%] (49%) [45%] (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% (47%) {48%} [49%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (41%) {42%} [39%] (40%) [41%] (41%)
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 88% (87%) {86%} [86%] (91%) {87%} [87%] (90%) {86%} [87%] (84%) [81%] (86%)
  • Mitt Romney 11% (10%) {13%} [13%] (7%) {10%} [7%] (9%) {8%} [9%] (10%) [10%] (9%)
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 89% (90%) {87%} [85%] (85%) {85%} [84%] (79%) {81%} [77%] (78%) [81%] (76%)
  • Barack Obama 11% (9%) {10%} [14%] (10%) {8%} [10%] (11%) {9%} [8%] (9%) [6%] (11%)
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 47% (47%) {43%} [46%] (47%) {49%} [46%] (54%) {35%} [47%] (51%) [41%] (40%)
  • Mitt Romney 40% (46%) {51%} [42%] (43%) {36%} [38%] (34%) {42%} [34%] (32%) [37%] (38%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 48% (48%) {53%} [49%] (44%) {51%} [48%] (46%) {48%} [41%] (43%) [45%] (48%
  • Barack Obama 46% (49%) {45%} [47%] (49%) {40%} [43%] (45%) {39%} [46%] (45%) [41%] (36%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 55% (49%) {53%} [49%] (53%) {53%} [54%] (57%) {52%} [51%] (52%) [49%] (56%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% (47%) {44%} [48%] (44%) {40%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [36%] (36%) [37%] (35%)
Have you already voted, either at an early voting site or with an absentee ballot?
  • Yes 42% (34%) {32%} [31%]
  • No 58% (66%) {68%} [69%]
Already Voted
  • Barack Obama 64% (68%) {64%} [66%]
  • Mitt Romney 35% (32%) {35%} [32%]
Did Not Vote Yet
  • Mitt Romney 53% (55%) {54%} [56%]
  • Barack Obama 40% (39%) {42%} [39%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 50% (50%) {48%} / 46% (47%) {49%} {+4%}
  • Mitt Romney 46% (47%) {47%} [48%] (40%) {47%} [37%] (34%) {34%} [31%] (35%) [36%] (37%) / 51% (48%) {49%} [47%] (55%) {48%} [55%] (56%) {52%} [53%] (47%) [44%] (42%) {-5%}
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 89% (88%) {84%} / 9% (11%) {15%} {+80%}
  • Mitt Romney 12% (13%) {13%} [15%] (7%) {14%} [7%] (9%) {17%} [21%] (20%) [21%] (16%) / 86% (82%) {84%} [83%] (92%) {82%} [88%] (86%) {72%} [67%] (59%) [63%] (62%) {-74%}
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 87% (86%) {87%} [83%] (79%) {82%} [72%] (63%) {52%} [45%] (51%) [56%] (59%) / 12% (11%) {12%} [14%] (15%) {12%} [19%] (25%) {36%} [36%] (35%) [23%] (25%) {+75%}
  • Barack Obama 10% (10%) {10%} / 89% (87%) {89%} {-79%
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 45% (48%) {44%} / 45% (47%) {51%} {0%}
  • Mitt Romney 42% (44%) {48%} [41%] (37%) {41%} [31%] (28%) {32%} [27%] (35%) [33%] (35%) / 50% (48%) {43%} [48%] (53%) {52%} [57%] (59%) {44%} [55%] (46%) [43%] (39%) {-8%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 50% (44%) {52%} [48%] (40%) {52%} [42%] (39%) {35%} [31%] (35%) [40%] (42%) / 46% (49%) {45%} [46%] (54%) {42%} [50%] (51%) {52%} [55%] (49%) [45%] (40%) {+4%}
  • Barack Obama 45% (49%) {44%} / 50% (48%) {54%} {-5%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 55% (51%) {52%} / 42% (47%) {45%} {+13%}
  • Mitt Romney 41% (48%) {43%} [49%] (40%) {41%} [31%] (29%) {32%} [30%] (35%) [32%] (32%) / 56% (48%) {52%} [47%] (55%) {53%} [60%] (61%) {52%} [51%] (45%) [44%] (45%) {-15%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 49% (48%) {44%} [46%] (49%) {45%} [47%] (49%) {43%} [45%] (49%) [46%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 47% (49%) {52%} [50%] (48%) {50%} [49%] (46%) {52%} [48%] (45%) [48%] (43%)
Among Democrats
  • Approve 88% (84%) {76%} [85%] (91%) {84%} [86%] (86%) {82%} [79%] (84%) [82%] (87%)
  • Disapprove 9% (12%) {18%} [13%] (8%) {12%} [11%] (10%) {12%} [14%] (12%) [14%] (8%)
Among Republicans
  • Approve 10% (9%) {9%} [13%] (10%) {6%} [9%] (11%) {5%} [10%] (9%) [8%] (13%)
  • Disapprove 89% (90%) {89%} [86%] (88%) {91%} [89%] (84%) {92%} [87%] (86%) [87%] (82%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 43% (46%) {38%} [44%] (40%) {49%} [45%] (52%) {37%} [43%] (52%) [41%] (49%)
  • Disapprove 47% (49%) {55%} [46%] (52%) {42%} [48%] (41%) {54%} [47%] (38%) [50%] (40%)
Among Men
  • Approve 44% (48%) {38%} [44%] (46%) {38%} [41%] (44%) {34%} [42%] (45%) [42%] (43%)
  • Disapprove 51% (49%) {57%} [51%] (50%) {56%} [54%] (52%) {60%} [51%] (49%) [52%] (51%)
Among Women
  • Approve 55% (47%) {48%} [48%] (52%) {52%} [53%] (54%) {52%} [48%] (54%) [49%] (56%)
  • Disapprove 42% (49%) {47%} [49%] (45%) {44%} [44%] (40%) {43%} [45%] (41%) [44%] (37%)
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to stand up for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 52% (51%) {50%}
  • Mitt Romney 45% (46%) {47%}
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to make sure the wealthiest Americans pay their fair share of taxes: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 52% (51%) {50%}
  • Mitt Romney 41% (41%) {43%}
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to keep tax rates fair for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 52% (50%) {48%}
  • Mitt Romney 44% (47%) {49%}
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to protect Medicare: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 50% (50%) {47%}
  • Mitt Romney 43% (45%) {47%}
Survey of 676 likely Iowa voters was conducted October 29-30, 2012 on behalf of Health Care for America Now. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 39% (37%) {41%} [34%] (37%) {35%} [35%] (36%) {39%} [35%] (37%) [38%] (37%) Democrat; 34% (34%) {34%} [38%] (33%) {38%} [34%] (37%) {35%} [32%] (34%) [33%] (37%) Republican; 27% (28%) {25%} [27%] (30%) {27%} [30%] (27%) {26%} [33%] (28%) [29%] (25%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 23-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 17-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 24-26, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 19-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 27-30, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 7-9, 2011 are in parentheses.

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