Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Ohio 2012 Senate Poll

• Sherrod Brown (D) 50% [48%] (49%) {47%} [46%] (49%) {44%} [46%] (47%) {44%} [43%] (44%)
  
• Josh Mandel (R) 48% [44%] (44%) {46%} [46%] (41%) {44%} [42%] (42%) {41%} [43%] (40%)
• Some other candidate 1% [2%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (4%)
• Undecided 1% [5%] (5%) {4%} [6%] (7%) {9%} [8%] (7%) {12%} [11%] (12%)

Among Independents

• Sherrod Brown (D) 52% [43%] (49%) {45%} [38%] (49%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 42% [37%] (41%) {43%} [49%] (38%) 

I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Josh Mandel

• Very favorable 21% [22%] (17%) {21%} [23%] (17%)
• Somewhat favorable 28% [23%] (26%) {25%} [25%] (25%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 17% [12%] (14%) {13%} [17%] (13%)
• Very unfavorable 31% [34%] (35%) {33%} [28%] (31%)

Sherrod Brown

• Very favorable 25% [29%] (30%) {27%} [25%] (26%)
• Somewhat favorable 20% [18%] (19%) {17%} [20%] (21%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 14% [12%] (17%) {16%} [17%] (15%)
• Very unfavorable 35% [31%] (27%) {30%} [31%] (26%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Josh Mandel 49% [45%] (43%) {46%} [48%] (42%) / 48% [46%] (49%) {46%} [45%] (44%) {+1%} 
• Sherrod Brown 45% [47%] (49%) {44%} [45%] (47%) / 49% [43%] (44%) {46%} [48%] (41%) {-4%}

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 17, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 10, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 4, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 12, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Thirty-two percent (32%) of Ohio voters say they have already voted, and Brown leads 62% to 36% among this group.

Mandel leads by 11 points among male voters in the state but trails by 13 among female voters. Most under 40 favor the incumbent, while the majority of older voters prefers the GOP challenger.