Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Ohio 2012 Senate Poll

• Sherrod Brown (D) 48% (49%) {47%} [46%] (49%) {44%} [46%] (47%) {44%} [43%] (44%)
  
• Josh Mandel (R) 44% (44%) {46%} [46%] (41%) {44%} [42%] (42%) {41%} [43%] (40%)
• Some other candidate 2% (1%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (4%)
• Undecided 5% (5%) {4%} [6%] (7%) {9%} [8%] (7%) {12%} [11%] (12%)

Among Independents

• Sherrod Brown (D) 43% (49%) {45%} [38%] (49%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 37% (41%) {43%} [49%] (38%) 

I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Sherrod Brown

• Very favorable 29% (30%) {27%} [25%] (26%)
• Somewhat favorable 18% (19%) {17%} [20%] (21%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 12% (17%) {16%} [17%] (15%)
• Very unfavorable 31% (27%) {30%} [31%] (26%)

Josh Mandel

• Very favorable 22% (17%) {21%} [23%] (17%)
• Somewhat favorable 23% (26%) {25%} [25%] (25%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 12% (14%) {13%} [17%] (13%)
• Very unfavorable 34% (35%) {33%} [28%] (31%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Sherrod Brown 47% (49%) {44%} [45%] (47%) / 43% (44%) {46%} [48%] (41%) {+4%}
• Josh Mandel 45% (43%) {46%} [48%] (42%) / 46% (49%) {46%} [45%] (44%) {-1%}

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 23, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 17, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 10, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 4, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 12, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Thirty-one percent (31%) of Ohio voters say they have already cast a ballot in this year's election. Among those who've already voted, Brown holds a 52% to 41% lead over Mandel.

Eighty-nine percent (89%) have already made up their minds whom they will vote for. Brown is also ahead in this group, 51% to 47%.

Mandel holds a four-point slight advantage over Brown among men but trails by 10 among women. Senior citizens support Mandel, but those who are younger favor Brown.

Eighty-eight percent (88%) of the state's Republicans support Mandel, while Brown is backed by 94% of Democrats.