Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2012 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Florida 2012 Senate Poll

• Bill Nelson (D) 49% {48%} [47%] (42%)
• Connie Mack (R) 41% {40%} [36%] (48%)
  
• Other 4% {4%} [9%] (2%)
• Undecided 7% {8%} [9%] (8%)

Among Men

• Bill Nelson (D) 47%
• Connie Mack (R) 45%
  
• Other 2%
• Undecided 6%

Among Women

• Bill Nelson (D) 52%
• Connie Mack (R) 37%
  
• Other 5%
• Undecided 7%

Already Voted (23%)

• Bill Nelson (D) 60%
• Connie Mack (R) 36%
  
• Other 2%
• Undecided 1%

Will Vote Before Election Day (27%)

• Bill Nelson (D) 53%
• Connie Mack (R) 35%
  
• Other 3%
• Undecided 9%

Will Vote on Election Day (50%)

• Connie Mack (R) 46%
• Bill Nelson (D) 43%
• Other 4%
• Undecided 8%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Bill Nelson 40% {38%} / 32% {29%} {+8%}
• Connie Mack 32% {29%} / 37% {39%} {-5%}

Survey of 595 likely and actual voters was conducted October 25-27, 2012 for WFLA-TV (Tampa).  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 42% {43%} [41%] (39%) Democrat; 37% {34%} [36%] (40%) Republican; 20% {23%} [23%] (21%) Independent. Ideology: 42% {42%} [45%] (39%) Moderate; 35% {32%} [34%] (37%) Conservative; 18% {20%} [17%] (19%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 17-18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-19, 2012 are in parentheses.