Poll Watch: Suffolk University/7NEWS Massachusetts 2012 Senatorial Survey

Suffolk University/7NEWS Massachusetts 2012 Senate Poll

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 53% {48%} [47%] (40%)
• Scott Brown (R) 46% {44%} [48%] (49%)

Among Independents

• Scott Brown (R) 54% {55%} [60%] (60%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 43% {34%} [35%] (28%)

Among Men

• Scott Brown (R) 51% {51%} [54%] (55%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 48% {43%} [43%] (38%)

Among Women

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 57% {52%} [51%] (42%)
• Scott Brown (R) 41% {38%} [42%] (43%)

(Among Warren voters) Is your vote more a vote FOR Warren or AGAINST Brown?

• For Warren 81% {86%} [77%]
• Against Brown 19% {14%} [23%]

(Among Brown voters) Is your vote more a vote FOR Brown or AGAINST Warren?

• For Brown 82% {85%} [92%]
• Against Warren 18% {15%} [8%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Elizabeth Warren 51% {52%} [43%] (35%) / 36% {33%} [33%] (28%) {+15%}
• Scott Brown 45% {60%} [58%] (52%) / 42% {29%} [28%] (28%) {+3%}

Among Independents

• Scott Brown 53% {70%} [64%] (60%) / 33% {19%} [21%] (19%) {+20%}
• Elizabeth Warren 42% {39%} [32%] (28%) / 44% {42%} [40%] (32%) {-2%}

Among Men

• Scott Brown 51% {64%} [58%] (56%) / 37% {25%} [30%] (28%) {+14%}
• Elizabeth Warren 45% {48%} [44%] (34%) / 41% {36%} [41%] (33%) {+4%}

Among Women

• Elizabeth Warren 57% {55%} [42%] (35%) / 32% {30%} [26%] (24%) {+25%}
• Scott Brown 39% {56%} [57%] (49%) / 45% {33%} [26%] (28%) {-6%}

Who do you trust more to tell the truth?

• Elizabeth Warren 42% {38%} [40%]
• Scott Brown 34% {41%} [37%]

Who do you think better represents the interests of middle-class families?

• Elizabeth Warren 51% {49%} [49%]
• Scott Brown 36% {42%} [36%]

Who do you think will be a more independent U.S. Senator?

• Scott Brown 46% {50%} [47%]
• Elizabeth Warren 41% {38%} [42%]

Who do you think is running a better campaign?

• Elizabeth Warren 43% {25%} [23%]
• Scott Brown 32% {49%} [42%]

Who do you think better represents the interests of Massachusetts?

• Elizabeth Warren 48% {40%}
• Scott Brown 38% {46%}

Regardless of who you will support in the General Election for U.S. Senator, when all the votes are counted, who do you think will be elected U.S. Senator?

• Elizabeth Warren 47%
• Scott Brown 37%

Currently Massachusetts has one Democratic Senator (John Kerry) and one Republican Senator (Scott Brown). Do you think that there is a benefit to having one Democratic and one Republican U.S. Senator representing Massachusetts in Washington?

• Yes 50% {50%} [56%] (60%)
• No 40% {45%} [38%] (36%)

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted October 25-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party registration: 36% {36%} [36%] (36%) Democrat; 12% {12%} [12%] (12%) Republican; 50% {51%} [52%] (52%) Unenrolled/Independent.  Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 20-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-15, 2012 are in parentheses.