Poll Watch: American Research Group Colorado 2012 Presidential Survey

ARG Colorado 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 48% [50%] (47%)
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 47% [46%] (49%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 50% [48%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 42% [47%] (45%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 54% [49%] (48%)
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 43% [47%] (47%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 51% [45%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 43% [51%] (46%)

Age 18-49

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49% [48%] (49%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 46% [47%] (47%)

Age 50+

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 52% [55%] (47%)
  
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 44% [43%] (48%)

Among Whites

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 51% [53%] (50%)
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 45% [42%] (46%)

Among Hispanics

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 50% [54%] (53%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 42% [40%] (38%)

Early/Absentee Voter (31%)

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 52%
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 47%

Election Day Voter (69%)

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 47%
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 47%

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted October 25-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 35% [34%] (32%) Republican; 33% [33%] (34%) Democrat; 32% [33%] (34%) Independent.  Race: 83% [83%] (82%) White; 14% [14%] (15%) Hispanic. Gender: 48% [49%] Male; 52% [51%] Female.  Age: 18-49: 59% [59%] (58%); Age 50+: 41% [41%] (42%). Results from the poll conducted October 5-8, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-12, 2012 are in parentheses.