Fox News 2024 Presidential Election Poll

Fox News 2024 Presidential Election Poll

Registered Voters

• Donald Trump 49% {48%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [50%] (50%) {48%} [48%] (41%)
• Joe Biden 48% {50%} [48%] (45%) {47%} [46%] (46%) {49%} [46%] (44%)

Men

• Donald Trump 53% {56%} [49%] (54%) {53%} [49%] (54%) {49%} [49%] (44%)
• Joe Biden 44% {41%} [48%] (42%) {42%} [47%] (41%) {48%} [46%] (42%)

Women

• Joe Biden 51% {58%} [48%] (48%) {51%} [46%] (50%) {50%} [45%] (45%)
• Donald Trump 45% {41%} [49%] (47%) {45%} [50%] (46%) {47%} [48%] (39%)

• Donald Trump 44% {42%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [41%] (41%)
• Joe Biden 41% {43%} [40%] (38%) {38%} [37%] (35%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 10% {10%} [11%] (12%) {13%} [14%] (15%)
• Jill Stein 3% {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (3%)
• Cornel West 1% {2%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [2%] (3%)

Survey of 1,210 registered voters was conducted July 7-10, 2024. The overall margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 14-17, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 10-13, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 22-25, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 25-28, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 10-13, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2023 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 6-9, 2023 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 9-12, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11-14, 2023 are in parentheses.

Redfield Wilton/The Telegraph 2024 Swing States Poll

Redfield Wilton/The Telegraph 2024 Swing States Poll

Arizona

• Donald Trump 43% {40%} [44%] (44%) {41%} [40%] (42%)
• Joe Biden 39% {38%} [42%] (41%) {35%} [33%] (37%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 7% {6%} [7%] (7%) {10%} [10%] (8%)
• Jill Stein 1% {1%}
• Chase Oliver 0% {0%}

Florida

• Donald Trump 45% {43%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (44%)
• Joe Biden 41% {37%} [38%] (39%) {34%} [34%] (37%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 5% {7%} [6%] (7%) {9%} [9%] (8%)
• Chase Oliver 0% {1%}
• Jill Stein 0% {1%}

Georgia

• Donald Trump 46% {44%} [43%] (44%) {42%} [45%] (41%)
• Joe Biden 40% {39%} [38%] (41%) {34%} [35%] (38%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6% {6%} [5%] (6%) {8%} [7%] (8%)
• Jill Stein 1% {0%}
• Chase Oliver 0% {0%}

Michigan

• Joe Biden 43% {36%} [37%] (39%) {37%} [38%] (38%)
• Donald Trump 42% {37%} [43%] (41%) {39%} [39%] (40%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6% {8%} [7%] (6%) {9%} [9%] (7%)
• Chase Oliver 1% {1%}
• Jill Stein 0% {1%}

North Carolina

• Donald Trump 44% {43%} [44%] (43%) {37%} [44%] (41%)
• Joe Biden 42% {40%} [37%] (39%) {33%} [35%] (38%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 4% {7%} [7%] (8%) {11%} [8%] (9%)
• Jill Stein 1% {1%}
• Chase Oliver 0% {0%}

Pennsylvania

• Donald Trump 45% {44%} [43%] (44%) {40%} [44%] (39%)
• Joe Biden 40% {42%} [41%] (41%) {39%} [37%] (39%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6% {5%} [7%] (7%) {6%} [7%] (9%)
• Jill Stein 1% {1%}
• Chase Oliver 0% {0%}

Survey of eligible voters: 506 (Arizona), 574 (Florida), 534 (Georgia), 560 (Michigan), 536 (North Carolina), and 891 (Pennsylvania) was conducted July 8-10, 2024. Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 2-4, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 14-17, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 28-30, 2023 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 27-29, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-9, 2023 are in parentheses.

NPR/PBS News/Marist 2024 Presidential Election Poll

NPR/PBS News/Marist 2024 Presidential Election Poll

Registered Voters

• Joe Biden 50% (49%) {50%} [50%] (51%) {50%} [48%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (47%)
• Donald Trump 48% (49%) {48%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (48%) {46%} [47%] (46%)

• Donald Trump 43% (42%) {44%} [42%] (38%) {41%}
• Joe Biden 42% (41%) {40%} [42%] (43%) {43%}
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 8% (11%) {8%} [11%] (14%) {11%}
• Cornel West 3% (3%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {1%}
• Jill Stein 2% (1%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%}
• Chase Oliver <1% (1%)

• Kamala Harris 50%
• Donald Trump 49%

• Gavin Newsom 50%
• Donald Trump 48%

• Gretchen Whitmer 49%
• Donald Trump 49%

Survey of 1,174 registered voters was conducted July 9-10, 2024. The overall margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 10-12, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 21-23, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 22-25, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 16-18, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 25-28, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29 - February 1, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-7, 2023 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 11, 2023 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-28, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11-14, 2023 are in parentheses.

Morning Consult/Bloomberg News 2024 Swing States Tracking Poll

Morning Consult/Bloomberg News 2024 Swing States Tracking Poll

Arizona

• Donald Trump 48% (49%) {49%} [48%] (49%) {47%} [46%] (46%) {47%}
• Joe Biden 45% (44%) {42%} [43%] (43%) {44%} [42%] (42%) {43%}

Georgia

• Donald Trump 47% (47%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (48%) {48%}
• Joe Biden 46% (44%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {41%} [43%] (41%) {43%}

Michigan

• Joe Biden 48% (46%) {47%} [45%] (44%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {44%}
• Donald Trump 43% (45%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (43%) {44%}

Nevada

• Donald Trump 48% (47%) {51%} [46%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (46%) {43%}
• Joe Biden 45% (47%) {43%} [44%] (42%) {40%} [44%] (43%) {46%}

North Carolina

• Donald Trump 46% (49%) {51%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [49%] (48%) {47%}
• Joe Biden 43% (42%) {41%} [43%] (41%) {39%} [40%] (39%) {43%}

Pennsylvania

• Donald Trump 51% (48%) {47%} [45%] (49%) {48%} [46%] (47%) {46%}
• Joe Biden 44% (46%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {45%} [44%] (44%) {45%}

Wisconsin

• Joe Biden 47% (46%) {44%} [46%] (42%) {44%} [41%] (46%) {44%}
• Donald Trump 44% (47%) {48%} [45%] (46%) {49%} [45%] (47%) {46%}

Survey of 4,902 registered voters (781 in Arizona, 790 in Georgia, 694 in Michigan, 452 in Nevada, 696 in North Carolina, 794 in Pennsylvania, and 695 in Wisconsin) was conducted July 1-5, 2024. The overall margin of error is +/- 1 percentage point (+/-4% in AZ, +/-3% in GA, +/-4% in MI, +/-5% in NV, +/-4% in NC, +/-3% in PA, +/-4% in WI). Results from the poll conducted May 7-13, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 8-15, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 8-15, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 12-20, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 16-22, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 27 - December 6, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 30 - November 7, 2023 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 5-10, 2023 are in curly brackets. 

Cygnal 2024 Presidential Election Poll

Cygnal 2024 Presidential Election Poll

Likely Voters

• Donald Trump 48.2% (46.5%) {45.8%} [46.9%] (47.0%)
• Joe Biden 43.1% (44.5%) {45.0%} [45.3%] (45.8%)

Democrat

• Joe Biden 91% (89%) {91%} [91%] (89%)
  
• Donald Trump 4% (6%) {3%} [5%] {6%)

Republican

• Donald Trump 94% (92%) {93%} [93%] (92%)
  
• Joe Biden 4% (5%) {3%} [5%] (5%)
  

Independent

• Donald Trump 45% (39%) {39%} [41%] (43%)
• Joe Biden 38% (43%) {39%} [38%] (41%)

White

• Donald Trump 54% (51%) {51%} [52%] (53%)
• Joe Biden 38% (41%) {42%} [41%] (41%)

Black

• Joe Biden 64% (67%) {70%} [70%] (67%)
  
• Donald Trump 24% (23%) {17%} [22%] (21%)

Hispanic

• Joe Biden 46% (44%) {44%} [52%] (54%)
  
• Donald Trump 43% (45%) {44%} [44%] (43%)

Likely Voters

• Donald Trump 43.5% (41.2%) {40.8%} [41.5%] (40.8%)
• Joe Biden 38.1% (38.4%) {37.7%} [39.4%] (39.1%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 7.1% (8.4%) {8.8%} [8.6%] (13.0%)
• Cornel West 2.1% (2.3%) {2.3%} [1.8%]
• Jill Stein 2.0% (1.8%) {2.4%} [1.1%]

Democrat

• Joe Biden 86% (81%) {81%} [82%] (80%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 3% (6%) {5%} [6%] (11%)
• Jill Stein 3% (3%) {2%} [2%]
• Donald Trump 2% (3%) {2%} [3%] (4%)
• Cornel West 1% (3%) {2%} [2%]

Republican

• Donald Trump 90% (88%) {88%} [87%] (85%)
  
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 4% (4%) {5%} [7%] (7%)
• Joe Biden 2% (3%) {2%} [3%] (4%)
• Jill Stein 1% (0%) {1%} [0%]
• Cornel West 0% (1%) {1%} [0%]

Independent

• Donald Trump 37% (31%) {28%} [31%] (32%)
• Joe Biden 28% (33%) {26%} [29%] (30%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 14% (16%) {23%} [18%] (26%)
• Cornel West 6% (4%) {5%} [5%]
• Jill Stein 3% (2%) {5%} [2%]

White

• Donald Trump 51% (47%) {45%} [46%] (47%)
• Joe Biden 35% (36%) {37%} [37%] (36%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6% (7%) {8%} [8%] (12%)
• Cornel West 2% (2%) {2%} [1%]
• Jill Stein 1% (1%) {2%} [1%]

Black

• Joe Biden 57% (60%) {58%} [58%] (58%)
  
• Donald Trump 17% (15%) {14%} [18%] (15%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 10% (11%) {11%} [10%] (15%)
• Cornel West 6% (1%) {4%} [5%]
• Jill Stein 3% (4%) {1%} [1%]

Hispanic

• Joe Biden 41% (33%) {30%} [41%] (44%)
  
• Donald Trump 36% (37%) {35%} [37%] (35%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 13% (13%) {19%} [10%] (13%)
• Jill Stein 3% (2%) {4%} [0%]
• Cornel West 1% (8%) {2%} [3%]

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted July 1-2, 2024. The margin of error is +/- 2.53 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 4-6, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 14-16, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9-10, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 6-8, 2024 are in parentheses.

New York Times/Siena College 2024 Presidential Election Poll

 New York Times/Siena College 2024 Presidential Election Poll

Likely Voters

• Donald Trump 49% [48%] (47%) {48%} [45%] (43%)
• Joe Biden 43% [44%] (46%) {44%} [47%] (43%)

Democrat

• Joe Biden 91% [94%] (90%) {90%} [91%] (83%)
  
• Donald Trump 5% [3%] (8%) {7%} [5%] (7%)
  

Republican

• Donald Trump 95% [94%] (91%) {91%} [90%] (88%)
  
• Joe Biden 3% [4%] (5%) {6%} [6%] (5%)
  

Independent

• Donald Trump 45% [47%] (47%) {41%} [38%] (37%)
• Joe Biden 42% [40%] (44%) {45%} [50%] (42%)

Men

• Donald Trump 57% [52%] (57%) {49%} [49%] (50%)
• Joe Biden 34% [40%] (37%) {42%} [42%] (36%)

Women

• Joe Biden 51% [48%] (54%) {46%} [51%] (49%)
• Donald Trump 43% [43%] (38%) {47%} [42%] (37%)

White with B.A.+

• Joe Biden 54% [51%] (55%) {56%} [60%] (51%)
• Donald Trump 40% [44%] (39%) {40%} [35%] (36%)

White without B.A.

• Donald Trump 67% [62%] (63%) {61%} [65%] (59%)
• Joe Biden 28% [30%] (31%) {30%} [29%] (30%)

Black

• Joe Biden 79% [65%] (76%) {71%} [82%] (71%)
  
• Donald Trump 14% [26%] (16%) {20%} [13%] (12%)

Hispanic

• Joe Biden 47% [52%] (52%) {43%} [47%] (41%)
  
• Donald Trump 46% [38%] (39%) {45%} [35%] (38%)

Age 18-29

• Joe Biden 48% [54%] (47%) {54%} [47%] (47%)
  
• Donald Trump 45% [35%] (45%) {41%} [44%] (37%)

Age 30-44

• Donald Trump 49% [45%] (44%) {48%} [42%] (42%)
  
• Joe Biden 43% [47%] (46%) {43%} [53%] (39%)

Age 45-64

• Donald Trump 55% [56%] (52%) {55%} [51%] (48%)
  
• Joe Biden 37% [37%] (44%) {37%} [39%] (39%)

Age 65+

• Joe Biden 48% [48%] (52%) {51%} [52%] (48%)
  
• Donald Trump 45% [45%] (43%) {42%} [41%] (43%)

Survey of 1,532 likely voters was conducted June 28 - July 2, 2024. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 20-25, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 7-11, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 25-28, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 10-14, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 23-27, 2023 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Pennsylvania 2020 Presidential Survey

Monmouth University Pennsylvania 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters (High Turnout)

• Joe Biden 51% {54%} [49%] (52%)
  
• Donald Trump 44% {43%} [46%] (42%)
  

Likely Voters (Low Turnout)

• Joe Biden 50% {53%} [48%] (51%)
  
• Donald Trump 45% {45%} [47%] (44%)
  

Registered Voters

• Joe Biden 50% {54%} [49%] (53%)
  
• Donald Trump 45% {42%} [45%] (40%)
  

Democrat

• Joe Biden 90% {97%} [88%] (93%)
  
• Donald Trump 8% {2%} [6%] (1%)
  

Republican

• Donald Trump 92% {89%} [90%] (84%)
  
• Joe Biden 5% {8%} [6%] (12%)
  

Independent

• Joe Biden 53% {59%} [45%] (54%)
  
• Donald Trump 35% {34%} [45%] (33%)
  

Men

• Donald Trump 48% {49%} [56%] (47%)
  
• Joe Biden 45% {48%} [37%] (45%)
  

Women

• Joe Biden 54% {61%} [59%] (60%)
  
• Donald Trump 42% {35%} [35%] (34%)
  

White, College

• Joe Biden 56% {57%} [58%] (61%)
  
• Donald Trump 40% {38%} [40%] (34%)
  

White, No Degree

• Donald Trump 58% {53%} [57%] (55%)
  
• Joe Biden 37% {44%} [35%] (39%)
  

Survey of 502 registered voters was conducted October 28 - November 1, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 4, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 28-31, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-13, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: New York Times/Siena College Wisconsin 2020 Presidential Survey

New York Times/Siena College Wisconsin 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

• Joe Biden 52% {51%} [48%] (49%)
  
• Donald Trump 41% {41%} [43%] (38%)
  

Democrat

• Joe Biden 97% {97%} [94%] (96%)
  
• Donald Trump 2% {2%} [3%] (1%)
  

Republican

• Donald Trump 94% {91%} [90%] (86%)
  
• Joe Biden 4% {6%} [7%] (6%)
  

Independent

• Joe Biden 59% {52%} [49%] (43%)
  
• Donald Trump 29% {34%} [35%] (36%)
  

Men

• Joe Biden 47% {50%} [44%] (43%)
  
• Donald Trump 45% {43%} [46%] (43%)
  

Women

• Joe Biden 56% {58%} [52%] (56%)
  
• Donald Trump 37% {34%} [39%] (33%)
  

Whites with BA+

• Joe Biden 62% {62%} [60%]
  
• Donald Trump 34% {30%} [35%]
  

Whites without BA+

• Donald Trump 47% {50%} [50%]
  
• Joe Biden 45% {44%} [39%]
  

Survey of 1,253 likely voters was conducted October 26-30, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 8-11, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 8-10, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-15, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: New York Times/Siena College Pennsylvania 2020 Presidential Survey

New York Times/Siena College Pennsylvania 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

• Joe Biden 49% {49%} [49%] (48%)
  
• Donald Trump 43% {42%} [40%] (41%)
  

Democrat

• Joe Biden 90% {91%} [92%] (93%)
  
• Donald Trump 6% {5%} [5%] (4%)
  

Republican

• Donald Trump 89% {84%} [85%] (84%)
  
• Joe Biden 8% {11%} [10%] (11%)
  

Independent

• Joe Biden 48% {47%} [44%] (51%)
  
• Donald Trump 36% {34%} [34%] (33%)
  

Men

• Donald Trump 47% {46%} [49%] (45%)
  
• Joe Biden 44% {44%} [41%] (42%)
  

Women

• Joe Biden 54% {54%} [58%] (54%)
  
• Donald Trump 40% {39%} [32%] (37%)
  

Whites with BA+

• Joe Biden 58% {60%} [59%]
  
• Donald Trump 36% {31%} [33%]
  

Whites without BA+

• Donald Trump 56% {58%} [52%]
  
• Joe Biden 39% {34%} [39%]
  

Survey of 1,862 likely voters was conducted October 26-31, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 2, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-27, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-16, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: New York Times/Siena College Florida 2020 Presidential Survey

New York Times/Siena College Florida 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

• Joe Biden 47% [47%] (47%)
  
• Donald Trump 44% [42%] (41%)
  

Democrat

• Joe Biden 91% [93%] (92%)
  
• Donald Trump 4% [3%] (4%)
  

Republican

• Donald Trump 90% [87%] (87%)
  
• Joe Biden 8% [11%] (5%)
  

Independent

• Joe Biden 47% [45%] (48%)
  
• Donald Trump 37% [33%] (30%)
  

Men

• Donald Trump 47% [47%] (47%)
  
• Joe Biden 45% [42%] (41%)
  

Women

• Joe Biden 50% [52%] (52%)
  
• Donald Trump 41% [38%] (37%)
  

Whites with BA+

• Joe Biden 49% [45%]
  
• Donald Trump 45% [42%]
  

Whites without BA+

• Donald Trump 59% [60%]
  
• Joe Biden 35% [33%]
  

Hispanic

• Joe Biden 55% [58%] (52%)
  
• Donald Trump 33% [34%] (29%)
  

Black

• Joe Biden 78% [75%] (85%)
  
• Donald Trump 11% [5%] (5%)
  

Survey of 1,451 likely voters was conducted October 27-31, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 1, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-18, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: New York Times/Siena College Arizona 2020 Presidential Survey

New York Times/Siena College Arizona 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

• Joe Biden 49% {49%} [49%] (48%)
  
• Donald Trump 43% {41%} [40%] (41%)
  

Democrat

• Joe Biden 96% {95%} [94%] (93%)
  
• Donald Trump 2% {3%} [3%] (4%)
  

Republican

• Donald Trump 91% {90%} [89%] (84%)
  
• Joe Biden 5% {6%} [8%] (11%)
  

Independent

• Joe Biden 52% {53%} [54%] (51%)
  
• Donald Trump 34% {28%} [23%] (33%)
  

Men

• Donald Trump 49% {46%} [43%] (45%)
  
• Joe Biden 41% {44%} [45%] (42%)
  

Women

• Joe Biden 56% {55%} [54%] (54%)
  
• Donald Trump 38% {37%} [37%] (37%)
  

Whites with BA+

• Joe Biden 54% {46%} [55%]
  
• Donald Trump 39% {45%} [40%]
  

Whites without BA+

• Donald Trump 58% {51%} [50%]
  
• Joe Biden 36% {41%} [39%]
  

Hispanic

• Joe Biden 66% {65%} [57%] (66%)
  
• Donald Trump 26% {27%} [26%] (26%)
  

Survey of 1,252 likely voters was conducted October 26-30, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 1-3, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-15, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-16, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Georgia 2020 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov Georgia 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

• Joe Biden 49% [46%] (46%)
  
• Donald Trump 49% [47%] (45%)
  

Democrat

• Joe Biden 97% [96%] (94%)
  
• Donald Trump 2% [0%] (1%)
  

Republican

• Donald Trump 95% [93%] (92%)
  
• Joe Biden 4% [4%] (3%)
  

Independent

• Donald Trump 52% [45%] (43%)
  
• Joe Biden 42% [38%] (39%)
  

Men

• Donald Trump 53% [53%] (49%)
  
• Joe Biden 44% [41%] (41%)
  

Women

• Joe Biden 53% [51%] (50%)
  
• Donald Trump 46% [42%] (43%)
  

Liberal

• Joe Biden 93% [87%] (87%)
  
• Donald Trump 5% [8%] (7%)
  

Moderate

• Joe Biden 64% [59%] (60%)
  
• Donald Trump 34% [28%] (27%)
  

Conservative

• Donald Trump 86% [87%] (84%)
  
• Joe Biden 12% [9%] (10%)
  

Age 18-29

• Joe Biden 60% [64%] (61%)
  
• Donald Trump 39% [28%] (23%)
  

Age 30-44

• Joe Biden 55% [48%] (54%)
  
• Donald Trump 41% [40%] (34%)
  

Age 45-64

• Donald Trump 52% [53%] (50%)
  
• Joe Biden 47% [42%] (42%)
  

Age 65+

• Donald Trump 59% [55%] (58%)
• Joe Biden 40% [40%] (38%)
  

White, College

• Donald Trump 57% [54%]
  
• Joe Biden 41% [39%]
  

White, No Degree

• Donald Trump 76% [74%]
  
• Joe Biden 22% [21%]
  

Black

• Joe Biden 85% [83%] (85%)
  
• Donald Trump 13% [8%] (7%)
  

Survey of 1,090 likely voters, including leaners, was conducted October 20-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov North Carolina 2020 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov North Carolina 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

• Joe Biden 51% [48%] (48%)
  
• Donald Trump 47% [46%] (44%)
  

Democrat

• Joe Biden 98% [95%] (94%)
  
• Donald Trump 2% [4%] (3%)
  

Republican

• Donald Trump 93% [93%] (90%)
  
• Joe Biden 6% [4%] (7%)
  

Independent

• Donald Trump 49% [46%] (45%)
  
• Joe Biden 46% [40%] (40%)
  

Men

• Donald Trump 53% [56%] (52%)
  
• Joe Biden 44% [39%] (42%)
  

Women

• Joe Biden 57% [56%] (54%)
  
• Donald Trump 41% [37%] (38%)
  

Liberal

• Joe Biden 95% [89%] (89%)
  
• Donald Trump 5% [7%] (6%)
  

Moderate

• Joe Biden 64% [58%] (64%)
  
• Donald Trump 32% [34%] (27%)
  

Conservative

• Donald Trump 86% [84%] (82%)
  
• Joe Biden 11% [12%] (12%)
  

Age 18-29

• Joe Biden 63% [50%] (61%)
  
• Donald Trump 30% [39%] (24%)
  

Age 30-44

• Joe Biden 55% [51%] (55%)
  
• Donald Trump 44% [44%] (37%)
  

Age 45-64

• Donald Trump 53% [45%] (45%)
  
• Joe Biden 46% [51%] (48%)
  

Age 65+

• Joe Biden 50% [40%] (38%)
  
• Donald Trump 48% [55%] (59%)
  

White, College

• Donald Trump 51% [46%]
  
• Joe Biden 45% [48%]
  

White, No Degree

• Donald Trump 65% [66%]
  
• Joe Biden 34% [30%]
  

Black

• Joe Biden 87% [83%] (86%)
  
• Donald Trump 12% [10%] (5%)
  

Survey of 1,022 likely voters, including leaners, was conducted October 20-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Florida 2020 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov Florida 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

• Joe Biden 50% [48%] (48%)
• Donald Trump 48% [46%] (42%)

Democrat

• Joe Biden 96% [94%] (91%)
• Donald Trump 4% [5%] (3%)

Republican

• Donald Trump 91% [90%] (86%)
• Joe Biden 8% [7%] (9%)

Independent

• Donald Trump 48% [46%] (39%)
  
• Joe Biden 47% [43%] (39%)

Men

• Donald Trump 50% [51%] (47%)
• Joe Biden 48% [45%] (45%)

Women

• Joe Biden 52% [51%] (50%)
• Donald Trump 46% [42%] (37%)

Liberal

• Joe Biden 93% [87%] (85%)
• Donald Trump 5% [10%] (7%)

Moderate

• Joe Biden 62% [59%] (55%)
• Donald Trump 35% [31%] (29%)

Conservative

• Donald Trump 88% [85%] (80%)
• Joe Biden 11% [13%] (12%)

Age 18-29

• Joe Biden 68% [62%] (53%)
• Donald Trump 29% [30%] (27%)

Age 30-44

• Joe Biden 61% [52%] (55%)
• Donald Trump 38% [38%] (36%)

Age 45-64

• Donald Trump 53% [50%] (42%)
  
• Joe Biden 46% [46%] (46%)

Age 65+

• Donald Trump 53% [53%] (50%)
• Joe Biden 44% [44%] (42%)

White, College

• Joe Biden 49% [48%]
  
• Donald Trump 48% [47%]
  

White, No Degree

• Donald Trump 64% [66%]
  
• Joe Biden 34% [31%]
  

Hispanic

• Joe Biden 63% [56%] (61%)
• Donald Trump 37% [36%] (30%)

Black

• Joe Biden 92% [87%] (79%)
• Donald Trump 7% [8%] (7%)

Survey of 1,228 likely voters, including leaners, was conducted October 20-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 15-18, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Arizona 2020 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov Arizona 2020 Presidential Poll

 Likely Voters, Including Leaners 

• Joe Biden 50% [47%] (46%)
• Donald Trump 47% [44%] (46%)

Democrat

• Joe Biden 98% [95%] (92%)
• Donald Trump 1% [2%] (3%)

Republican

• Donald Trump 97% [93%] (90%)
• Joe Biden 2% [4%] (7%)

Independent

• Donald Trump 48% [40%] (46%)
• Joe Biden 45% [39%] (37%)

Men

• Donald Trump 50% [49%] (49%)
• Joe Biden 46% [42%] (41%)

Women

• Joe Biden 54% [52%] (50%)
• Donald Trump 44% [40%] (42%)

Liberal

• Joe Biden 91% [88%] (89%)
• Donald Trump 6% [6%] (6%)

Moderate

• Joe Biden 61% [60%] (55%)
• Donald Trump 35% [25%] (30%)

Conservative

• Donald Trump 89% [91%] (87%)
• Joe Biden 9% [5%] (7%)

White, 4-Year Degree

• Joe Biden 52% [53%]
  
• Donald Trump 42% [39%]
  

White, No Degree

• Donald Trump 58% [56%]
  
• Joe Biden 40% [37%]
  

Hispanic

• Joe Biden 62% [62%] (69%)
• Donald Trump 34% [27%] (21%)

Survey of 1,074 likely voters was conducted October 13-16, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 9-11, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Wisconsin 2020 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov Wisconsin 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters, Including Leaners

• Joe Biden 51% [50%] (48%)
• Donald Trump 46% [44%] (42%)

Democrat

• Joe Biden 95% [94%] (93%)
  
• Donald Trump 4% [4%] (2%)
  

Republican

• Donald Trump 94% [92%] (87%)
  
• Joe Biden 6% [4%] (8%)
  

Independent

• Joe Biden 51% [49%] (43%)
  
• Donald Trump 42% [36%] (38%)
  

Men

• Donald Trump 51% [49%] (47%)
  
• Joe Biden 46% [44%] (43%)
  

Women

• Joe Biden 56% [54%] (54%)
  
• Donald Trump 42% [39%] (38%)
  

Liberal

• Joe Biden 94% [91%] (95%)
  
• Donald Trump 4% [5%] (2%)
  

Moderate

• Joe Biden 58% [62%] (53%)
  
• Donald Trump 38% [27%] (29%)
  

Conservative

• Donald Trump 91% [87%] (81%)
  
• Joe Biden 7% [9%] (12%)
  

White, 4-Year Degree+

• Joe Biden 55% [53%] (53%)
  
• Donald Trump 41% [40%] (36%)
  

White, No Degree

• Donald Trump 52% [52%] (51%)
  
• Joe Biden 46% [42%] (41%)
  

Survey of 1,112 likely voters, including leaners, was conducted October 13-16, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 2-4, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Florida 2020 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov Florida 2020 Presidential Poll 

Likely Voters

• Joe Biden 48% (48%)
• Donald Trump 46% (42%)

Democrat

• Joe Biden 94% (91%)
• Donald Trump 5% (3%)

Republican

• Donald Trump 90% (86%)
• Joe Biden 7% (9%)

Independent

• Donald Trump 46% (39%)
  
• Joe Biden 43% (39%)

Men

• Donald Trump 51% (47%)
• Joe Biden 45% (45%)

Women

• Joe Biden 51% (50%)
• Donald Trump 42% (37%)

Liberal

• Joe Biden 87% (85%)
• Donald Trump 10% (7%)

Moderate

• Joe Biden 59% (55%)
• Donald Trump 31% (29%)

Conservative

• Donald Trump 85% (80%)
• Joe Biden 13% (12%)

Age 18-29

• Joe Biden 62% (53%)
• Donald Trump 30% (27%)

Age 30-44

• Joe Biden 52% (55%)
• Donald Trump 38% (36%)

Age 45-64

• Donald Trump 50% (42%)
  
• Joe Biden 46% (46%)

Age 65+

• Donald Trump 53% (50%)
• Joe Biden 44% (42%)

White, College

• Joe Biden 48%
  
• Donald Trump 47%
  

White, No Degree

• Donald Trump 66%
  
• Joe Biden 31%
  

Hispanic

• Joe Biden 56% (61%)
• Donald Trump 36% (30%)

Black

• Joe Biden 87% (79%)
• Donald Trump 8% (7%)

Survey of 1,205 likely voters was conducted September 15-18, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Texas 2020 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov Texas 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters 

• Donald Trump 48% (46%)
• Joe Biden 46% (45%)

Democrat

• Joe Biden 92% (92%)
• Donald Trump 4% (4%)

Republican

• Donald Trump 92% (89%)
• Joe Biden 5% (4%)

Independent

• Donald Trump 50% (43%)
• Joe Biden 36% (41%)

Men

• Donald Trump 53% (50%)
• Joe Biden 40% (43%)

Women

• Joe Biden 51% (47%)
• Donald Trump 43% (42%)

Liberal

• Joe Biden 89% (86%)
• Donald Trump 7% (7%)

Moderate

• Joe Biden 57% (58%)
• Donald Trump 30% (26%)

Conservative

• Donald Trump 84% (83%)
• Joe Biden 12% (11%)

Age 18-29

• Joe Biden 60% (62%)
• Donald Trump 29% (23%)

Age 30-44

• Joe Biden 52% (49%)
• Donald Trump 38% (39%)

Age 45-64

• Donald Trump 53% (49%)
• Joe Biden 42% (43%)

Age 65+

• Donald Trump 60% (60%)
• Joe Biden 38% (35%)

White, 4-Year Degree+

• Donald Trump 53%
  
• Joe Biden 40%
  

White, No Degree

• Donald Trump 71%
• Joe Biden 24%
  

Hispanic

• Joe Biden 61% (60%)
• Donald Trump 30% (30%)

Black

• Joe Biden 86% (86%)
• Donald Trump 8% (5%)

Survey of 1,140 likely voters was conducted September 15-18, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Arizona 2020 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov Arizona 2020 Presidential Poll

• Joe Biden 46%
• Donald Trump 46%

Democrat

• Joe Biden 92%
• Donald Trump 3%

Republican

• Donald Trump 90%
• Joe Biden 7%

Independent

• Donald Trump 46%
• Joe Biden 37%

Men

• Donald Trump 49%
• Joe Biden 41%

Women

• Joe Biden 50%
• Donald Trump 42%

Liberal

• Joe Biden 89%
• Donald Trump 6%

Moderate

• Joe Biden 55%
• Donald Trump 30%

Conservative

• Donald Trump 87%
• Joe Biden 7%

Age 18-29

• Joe Biden 59%
• Donald Trump 23%

Age 30-44

• Joe Biden 56%
• Donald Trump 29%

Age 45-64

• Donald Trump 52%
• Joe Biden 42%

Age 65+

• Donald Trump 58%
• Joe Biden 39%

White

• Donald Trump 53%
• Joe Biden 39%

Hispanic

• Joe Biden 69%
• Donald Trump 21%

Survey of 1,099 likely voters was conducted July 7-10, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points.