NPR/PBS News/Marist 2024 Presidential Election Poll

NPR/PBS News/Marist 2024 Presidential Election Poll

Registered Voters

• Joe Biden 50% (49%) {50%} [50%] (51%) {50%} [48%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (47%)
• Donald Trump 48% (49%) {48%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (48%) {46%} [47%] (46%)

• Donald Trump 43% (42%) {44%} [42%] (38%) {41%}
• Joe Biden 42% (41%) {40%} [42%] (43%) {43%}
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 8% (11%) {8%} [11%] (14%) {11%}
• Cornel West 3% (3%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {1%}
• Jill Stein 2% (1%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%}
• Chase Oliver <1% (1%)

• Kamala Harris 50%
• Donald Trump 49%

• Gavin Newsom 50%
• Donald Trump 48%

• Gretchen Whitmer 49%
• Donald Trump 49%

Survey of 1,174 registered voters was conducted July 9-10, 2024. The overall margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 10-12, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 21-23, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 22-25, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 16-18, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 25-28, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29 - February 1, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-7, 2023 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 11, 2023 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-28, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11-14, 2023 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Bernie Sanders 31% (22%)
• Michael Bloomberg 19% (4%)
• Joe Biden 15% (24%)
• Elizabeth Warren 12% (17%)
• Amy Klobuchar 9% (4%)
• Pete Buttigieg 8% (13%)
• Tom Steyer 2% (0%)
• Tulsi Gabbard 0% (1%)

Among Men

• Bernie Sanders 41% (27%)
• Michael Bloomberg 15%
• Elizabeth Warren 12% (14%)
• Joe Biden 9% (18%)
• Pete Buttigieg 9% (12%)
• Amy Klobuchar 8%

Among Women

• Bernie Sanders 24% (18%)
• Michael Bloomberg 22%
• Joe Biden 18% (28%)
• Elizabeth Warren 11% (18%)
• Amy Klobuchar 9%
• Pete Buttigieg 7% (14%)

Under Age 45

• Bernie Sanders 54% (37%)
• Elizabeth Warren 16% (18%)
• Michael Bloomberg 8%
• Joe Biden 6% (14%)
• Pete Buttigieg 5% (9%)
• Amy Klobuchar 5%

Age 45+

• Michael Bloomberg 27%
• Joe Biden 22% (33%)
• Bernie Sanders 13% (8%)
• Amy Klobuchar 11%
• Pete Buttigieg 10% (16%)
• Elizabeth Warren 7% (15%)

.@NPR/@NewsHour/@MaristPoll 2020 Dem

White
Sanders 29%
Bloomberg 18%
Warren 15%
Klobuchar 13%
Buttigieg 10%
Biden 9%
Steyer 1%
Gabbard 0%

Black
Biden 31%
Sanders 28%
Bloomberg 16%
Warren 5%
Buttigieg 4%
Klobuchar 3%
Steyer 3%
Gabbard 0%

Feb 13-16, 2020https://t.co/HaOsmEkFwu

— Aron Goldman (@ArgoJournal) February 18, 2020

.@NPR/@NewsHour/@MaristPoll 2020 Dem

Progressive
Sanders 46%
Warren 19%
Bloomberg 12%
Biden 7%
Buttigieg 7%
Klobuchar 5%
Steyer 2%
Gabbard 0

Moderate
Bloomberg 29%
Biden 23%
Sanders 14%
Klobuchar 13%
Buttigieg 8%
Warren 5%
Steyer 1%
Gabbard 1%

Feb 13-16https://t.co/HaOsmEkFwu

— Aron Goldman (@ArgoJournal) February 18, 2020

Survey of 527 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents was conducted February 13-16, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 9-11, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Joe Biden 24%
• Bernie Sanders 22%
• Elizabeth Warren 17%
• Pete Buttigieg 13%
• Andrew Yang 5%
• Michael Bloomberg 4%
• Amy Klobuchar 4%
• Cory Booker 4%
• Julián Castro 1%
• Tulsi Gabbard 1%
• Michael Bennet 1%
• Tom Steyer 0%
• Deval Patrick 0%
• Marianne Williamson 0%
• John Delaney 0%

Among Men

• Bernie Sanders 27%
• Joe Biden 18%
• Elizabeth Warren 14%
• Pete Buttigieg 12%

Among Women

• Joe Biden 28% 
• Bernie Sanders 18%
• Elizabeth Warren 18%
• Pete Buttigieg 14%

Under Age 45

• Bernie Sanders 37%
• Elizabeth Warren 18%
• Joe Biden 14%
• Pete Buttigieg 9%

Age 45+

• Joe Biden 33%
• Pete Buttigieg 16%
• Elizabeth Warren 15%
• Bernie Sanders 8%

Survey of 704 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents was conducted December 9-11, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 National Presidential Survey

McClatchy-Marist 2016 National Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 46% (48%) {48%} [42%] (50%) {56%} [54%]
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 44% (41%) {33%} [39%] (41%) {41%} [38%]

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (45%) {45%} [40%]
• Donald Trump (R) 43% (39%) {31%} [35%]
• Gary Johnson (L) 6% (10%) {10%} [10%]
• Jill Stein (G) 2% (4%) {6%} [5%]

National survey of 940 likely voters was conducted November 1-3, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.Results from the poll conducted September 15-20, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 1-3, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-9, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 29 - November 4, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 22-28, 2015 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Texas 2016 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Texas 2016 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump (R) 49%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41%

 Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Donald Trump (R) 49%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
• Gary Johnson (L) 6%
• Jill Stein (G) 2%

Survey of 679 likely voters was conducted October 30 - November 1, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Georgia 2016 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Georgia 2016 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 47% (46%)
• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 46% (43%)

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Donald Trump (R) 45% (44%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (42%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 8% (10%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 38% (38%) / 58% (59%) {-20}
• Donald Trump 37% (39%) / 59% (54%) {-22}

Survey of 707 likely voters was conducted October 30 - November 1, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Arizona 2016 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Arizona 2016 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 46% (42%)
• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 41% (41%)

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Donald Trump (R) 45% (40%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (38%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 9% (12%)
• Jill Stein (G) 3% (3%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 37% (34%) / 61% (61%) {-24}
• Donald Trump 34% (35%) / 59% (58%) {-25}

Survey of 719 likely voters was conducted October 30 - November 1, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 50% {48%} [48%] (44%)
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 44% {43%} [39%] (38%)

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {45%} [45%] (42%)
• Donald Trump (R) 41% {41%} [36%] (36%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 8% {9%} [9%] (7%)

Survey of 780 likely voters was conducted October 25-26, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 10-12, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 4-10, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-11, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Florida 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 46% (46%) {44%} [44%] (49%)
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 46% (44%) {39%} [37%] (41%)

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (45%) {41%} [41%]
• Donald Trump (R) 44% (42%) {36%} [36%]
• Gary Johnson (L) 5% (5%) {9%} [7%]
• Jill Stein (G) 2% (3%) {4%} [4%]

Survey of 779 likely voters was conducted October 25-26, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 3-5, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 4-10, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-11, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 4-10, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 47% (42%)
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 39% (41%)

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (39%)
• Donald Trump (R) 36% (37%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 10% (15%)
• Jill Stein (G) 4% (3%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 42% (38%) / 55% (59%) {-13}
• Donald Trump 29% (36%) / 68% (61%) {-39}

Survey of 768 likely voters was conducted October 20-24, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Nevada 2016 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Nevada 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 45% (45%)
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 45% (44%)

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (41%)
• Donald Trump (R) 43% (42%) 
• Gary Johnson (L) 10% (8%)
• Jill Stein (G) 0% (3%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 40% (40%) / 55% (55%) {-15}
• Donald Trump 38% (39%) / 58% (57%) {-20}

Survey of 707 likely voters was conducted October 20-24, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Ohio 2016 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Ohio 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {43%} [39%] (48%)
• Donald Trump (R) 45% {38%} [39%] (42%)

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Donald Trump (R) 42% {35%} [35%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {39%} [38%]
• Gary Johnson (L) 9% {12%} [9%]
• Jill Stein (G) 4% {4%} [3%]

Survey of 724 likely voters was conducted October 10-12, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 3-7, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-10, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 4-10, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 48% [48%] (44%)
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 43% [39%] (38%)

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [45%] (42%)
• Donald Trump (R) 41% [36%] (36%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 9% [9%] (7%)

Survey of 743 likely voters was conducted October 10-12, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 4-10, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-11, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Florida 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 46% {44%} [44%] (49%)
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 44% {39%} [37%] (41%)

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {41%} [41%]
• Donald Trump (R) 42% {36%} [36%]
• Gary Johnson (L) 5% {9%} [7%]
• Jill Stein (G) 3% {4%} [4%]

Survey of 700 likely voters was conducted October 3-5, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 4-10, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-11, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 4-10, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {48%} [45%] (54%)
• Donald Trump (R) 39% {37%} [36%] (39%)

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {45%} [43%]
• Donald Trump (R) 37% {36%} [35%]
• Gary Johnson (L) 6% {9%} [8%]
• Jill Stein (G) 4% {3%} [2%]

Survey of 709 likely voters was conducted October 3-6, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 3-7, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-10, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 18-20, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 National Presidential Survey

McClatchy-Marist 2016 National Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 48% {48%} [42%] (50%) {56%} [54%]
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 41% {33%} [39%] (41%) {41%} [38%]

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {45%} [40%]
• Donald Trump (R) 39% {31%} [35%]
• Gary Johnson (L) 10% {10%} [10%]
• Jill Stein (G) 4% {6%} [5%]

National survey of 758 likely voters was conducted September 15-20, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 1-3, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-9, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 29 - November 4, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 22-28, 2015 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 42%
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 41%

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
• Donald Trump (R) 37%
• Gary Johnson (L) 15%
• Jill Stein (G) 3%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 38% / 59% {-21%}
• Donald Trump 36% / 61% {-25%}

Survey of 737 likely voters was conducted September 6-8, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Nevada 2016 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Nevada 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 45%
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 44%

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Donald Trump (R) 42%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
• Gary Johnson (L) 8%
• Jill Stein (G) 3%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 40% / 55% {-15%}
• Donald Trump 39% / 57% {-18%}

Survey of 627 likely voters was conducted September 6-8, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Georgia 2016 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Georgia 2016 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 46%
• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 43%

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Donald Trump (R) 44%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
• Gary Johnson (L) 10%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Donald Trump 39% / 54% {-15%}
• Hillary Clinton 38% / 59% {-21%}

Survey of 625 likely voters was conducted September 6-8, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Arizona 2016 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Arizona 2016 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 42%
• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 41%

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Donald Trump (R) 40%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
• Gary Johnson (L) 12%
• Jill Stein (G) 3%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Donald Trump 35% / 58% {-23%}
• Hillary Clinton 34% / 61% {-27%}

Survey of 649 likely voters was conducted September 6-8, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points.