Sunday, July 31, 2011
White House Economic Adviser: No New Revenues Until 2013 'Has Always Been President's Position'
GENE SPERLING, Director of the White House National Economic Council: Nobody is talking about raising any revenues over the next year and a half. In fact, the president, as you know, has been pushing very hard to cut taxes with the payroll tax cut extension for next year because we want to make sure we're giving this economy as much momentum as possible. But you've also seen a lot of bipartisan consensus, more than is often reported, that you can do a form of tax reform that lowers rates and still raises revenue, contributes to the deficit reduction.
---------------
BORGER: What I just heard you say is 'No revenues for the next year and a half.'
SPERLING: That has always been the president's position. The president - You know, remember, everything we do, Gloria, is about trying to strengthen this recovery, this economy, getting jobs going. Removing the uncertainty of default from our economy will be a significant help. Giving greater confidence that there will be long-term deficit reduction will give people who are doing long-term investments in our country more confidence to go forward. But, in the short term, we have to make sure we're giving this recovery momentum. That's why the president supports a payroll tax cut. That's why he supports an infrastructure bank proposal that could put construction workers back to work -- creating jobs. And we're hoping that we'll find bipartisan support for those type of job-creating efforts in the short term as well.
Sen. McConnell: 'Very Close' to Deal on Debt Ceiling
(VIDEO) FACE THE NATION: McConnell: Debt deal within reach
Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) spoke with Bob Schieffer on how a deal between the White House and the GOP to raise the U.S. debt ceiling is in the works and very close to completion.
Saturday, July 30, 2011
Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Jersey Political Survey
PPP (D) New Jersey Political Survey
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Frank Lautenberg’s job performance?
Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?
Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Frank Lautenberg’s job performance?
- Approve 41% (41%)
- Disapprove 36% (38%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Bill Bradley 56% / 14% {+42%}
- Christie Whitman 31% / 52% {-21%}
- Robert Torricelli 10% / 33% {-23%}
- Jim McGreevey 19% / 64% {-45%}
- Legal 47%
- Illegal 42%
Among Democrats
- Legal 64%
- Illegal 27%
Among Republicans
- Legal 23%
- Illegal 68%
Among Independents
- Legal 46%
- Illegal 35%
- Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 41%
- Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 40%
- There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 17%
Among Democrats
- Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 59%
- Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 26%
- There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 14%
Among Republicans
- Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 20%
- Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 57%
- There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 21%
Among Independents
- Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 33%
- Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 45%
- There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 19%
Friday, July 29, 2011
Poll Watch: PPP (D) Virginia Political Survey
PPP (D) Virginia Political Survey
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Bob McDonnell’s job performance?
Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?
Survey of 500 Virginia voters was conducted July 21-24, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 36% [34%] (35%) Republican; 35% [39%] (36%) Democrat; 30% [27%] (30%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% [32%] Moderate; 21% [25%] Somewhat conservative; 20% [16%] Very conservative; 18% [16%] Somewhat liberal; 11% [11%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Bob McDonnell’s job performance?
- Approve 50% [46%] (44%)
- Disapprove 31% [34%] (36%)
- More likely 24%
- Less likely 31%
- Wouldn't make a difference 44%
- Approve 54% [58%] (54%)
- Disapprove 28% [29%] (32%)
- Approve 45% [48%] (43%)
- Disapprove 36% [35%] (37%)
- Favorable 29%
- Unfavorable 31%
- Legal 35%
- Illegal 52%
Among Democrats
- Legal 54%
- Illegal 31%
Among Republicans
- Legal 14%
- Illegal 80%
Among Independents
- Legal 37%
- Illegal 43%
- Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 32%
- Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 33%
- There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 33%
Among Democrats
- Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 51%
- Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 28%
- There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 20%
Among Republicans
- Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 12%
- Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 38%
- There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 48%
Among Independents
- Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 34%
- Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 32%
- There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 32%
Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan Gubernatorial Survey
PPP (D) Michigan Gubernatorial Survey
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Snyder’s job performance?
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Snyder’s job performance?
- Approve 38% [33%]
- Disapprove 50% [50%]
- Too liberal 14% [15%] (12%)
- Too conservative 36% [36%] (26%)
- About right 40% [37%] (46%)
- Support 42% [38%]
- Oppose 47% [49%]
- Rick Snyder 45% [45%]
- Virg Bernero 45% [47%]
Thursday, July 28, 2011
Poll Watch: Pew Research 2012 Republican Nomination Survey
Pew Research 2012 GOP Nomination Survey
- Mitt Romney 21% (21%)
- Rick Perry 12%
- Sarah Palin 11% (13%)
- Michele Bachmann 11%
- Ron Paul 9% (8%)
- Herman Cain 8%
- Newt Gingrich 3% (11%)
- Tim Pawlenty 3% (3%)
- Jon Huntsman 2%
- Rick Santorum 1% (2%)
- Other 1% (1%)
- None/Don't know/Too early 20% (15%)
Survey of 546 registered Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents was conducted July 20-24, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 8-14, 2011 are in parentheses.
Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Republican Primary Survey
PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Survey
- Mitt Romney 18% {20%} [18%] (11%) {18%} [10%] (14%) {27%} [25%] (25%)
- Michele Bachmann 17% {5%}
- Rick Perry 14%
- Sarah Palin 12% {17%} [16%] (16%) {21%} [21%] (19%) {30%} [27%] (27%)
- Herman Cain 8% {18%}
- Newt Gingrich 8% {12%} [18%] (18%) {21%} [17%] (23%)
- Ron Paul 7% {8%} [6%] (6%) {7%} [7%]
- Tim Pawlenty 4% {8%} [5%] (7%) {3%} [4%] (4%)
- Jon Huntsman 1% {1%}
- Someone else/Undecided 9% {10%} [11%] (10%) {12%} [12%] (16%)
- Mitt Romney 23% {25%}
- Michele Bachmann 22% {10%}
- Rick Perry 14%
- Herman Cain 9% {21%}
- Newt Gingrich 9% {14%}
- Ron Paul 6% {9%}
- Tim Pawlenty 5% {9%}
- Jon Huntsman 2% {1%}
- Someone else/Undecided 10% {10%}
- Sarah Palin 68% {64%} [69%] (72%) {67%} [65%] / 23% {29%} [24%] (22%) {25%} [20%] {+45%}
- Mitt Romney 56% {53%} [56%] (50%) {57%} [49%] / 28% {30%} [24%] (26%) {22%} [23%] {+28%}
- Michele Bachmann 55% / 27% {+28%}
- Herman Cain 46% {39%} / 19% {17%} {+27%}
- Tim Pawlenty 34% {40%} / 24% {23%} {+10%}
Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Jersey 2012 Republican Primary Survey
PPP (D) New Jersey 2012 GOP Primary Survey
- Mitt Romney 21% (18%)
- Michele Bachmann 18%
- Sarah Palin 16% (14%)
- Ron Paul 10% (8%)
- Rick Perry 10%
- Newt Gingrich 6% (15%)
- Tim Pawlenty 6% (4%)
- Herman Cain 5%
- Jon Huntsman 2%
- Someone else/Undecided 5% (19%)
- Chris Christie 38%
- Mitt Romney 13%
- Michele Bachmann 12%
- Ron Paul 9%
- Rick Perry 8%
- Herman Cain 5%
- Newt Gingrich 4%
- Tim Pawlenty 2%
- Jon Huntsman 1%
- Someone else/Not sure 8%
- Mitt Romney 22%
- Michele Bachmann 21%
- Ron Paul 11%
- Rick Perry 10%
- Herman Cain 8%
- Newt Gingrich 7%
- Tim Pawlenty 5%
- Jon Huntsman 3%
- Someone else/Not sure 12%
- Mitt Romney 56% (60%) / 29% (20%) {+27%}
- Sarah Palin 56% (58%) / 37% (33%) {+19%}
- Michele Bachmann 49% / 33% {+16%}
- Herman Cain 37% / 22% {+15%}
- Tim Pawlenty 35% / 28% {+7%}
Wednesday, July 27, 2011
Poll Watch: SurveyUSA California Debt Ceiling Survey
SurveyUSA California Debt Ceiling Poll
Will the United States of America go into default on August 2nd? Or will government leaders find a way to prevent a default?
Will the United States of America go into default on August 2nd? Or will government leaders find a way to prevent a default?
- Gov't leaders will find way to prevent default 66%
- U.S. will go into default 24%
- Both 43%
- Republicans 36%
- Democrats 20%
- Republicans 55%
- Both 36%
- Democrats 8%
- Democrats 47%
- Both 38%
- Republicans 14%
- Both 54%
- Republicans 28%
- Democrats 18%
- Republicans 44%
- Both 42%
- Democrats 13%
Poll Watch: PPP (D) Virginia 2012 Senatorial Survey
PPP (D) Virginia 2012 Senatorial Survey
Survey of 500 Virginia voters was conducted July 21-24, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 36% {34%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 35% {37%} [39%] (36%) Democrat; 30% {29%} [27%] (30%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% {31%} [32%] Moderate; 21% {22%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 20% {21%} [16%] Very conservative; 18% {18%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 11% {8%} [11%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.
- Tim Kaine 46% {46%} [47%] (50%)
- George Allen 43% {44%} [47%] (44%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Tim Kaine 42% {42%} [46%] (43%) / 40% {41%} [38%] (40%) {+2%}
- George Allen 34% {36%} [39%] (40%) / 44% {42%} [40%] (41%) {-10%}
Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey
PPP (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey
Among Independents
Among Men
Among Women
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
Among Men
- Barack Obama 47% [48%] (47%)
- Mitt Romney 42% [41%] (43%)
- Barack Obama 50%
- Rick Perry 35%
- Barack Obama 53%
- Michele Bachmann 37%
- Barack Obama 50%
- Herman Cain 33%
- Barack Obama 54% [55%] (56%)
- Sarah Palin 36% [35%] (35%)
- Barack Obama 50%
- Thad McCotter 31%
- Mitt Romney 45% [40%] (41%)
- Barack Obama 34% [41%] (42%)
- Barack Obama 42%
- Michele Bachmann 41%
- Barack Obama 37%
- Herman Cain 34%
- Barack Obama 39%
- Rick Perry 35%
- Barack Obama 39%
- Thad McCotter 32%
- Barack Obama 46% [52%] (62%)
- Sarah Palin 37% [33%] (26%)
- Barack Obama 56% [56%] (59%)
- Mitt Romney 30% [25%] (29%)
- Barack Obama 61%
- Herman Cain 17%
- Barack Obama 68%
- Michele Bachmann 22%
- Barack Obama 63%
- Rick Perry 17%
- Barack Obama 68% [74%] (72%)
- Sarah Palin 21% [13%] (17%)
- Barack Obama 63%
- Thad McCotter 15%
- Mitt Romney 46% [44%] (50%)
- Barack Obama 43% [48%] (42%)
- Barack Obama 47%
- Rick Perry 39%
- Barack Obama 51%
- Michele Bachmann 40%
- Barack Obama 47%
- Herman Cain 36%
- Barack Obama 51% [54%] (50%)
- Sarah Palin 39% [37%] (39%)
- Barack Obama 48%
- Thad McCotter 35%
- Barack Obama 51% [48%] (52%)
- Mitt Romney 38% [38%] (36%)
- Barack Obama 54%
- Michele Bachmann 34%
- Barack Obama 52%
- Herman Cain 31%
- Barack Obama 53%
- Rick Perry 31%
- Barack Obama 57% [56%] (61%)
- Sarah Palin 33% [33%] (31%)
- Barack Obama 53%
- Thad McCotter 27%
- Mitt Romney 39% [37%] (39%) / 43% [45%] (37%) {-4%}
- Herman Cain 20% / 29% {-9%}
- Michele Bachmann 32% / 42% {-10%}
- Rick Perry 18% / 33% {-15%}
- Thad McCotter 13% / 29% {-16%}
- Sarah Palin 35% [31%] (34%) / 57% [61%] (60%) {-22%}
- Mitt Romney 61% [62%] (63%) / 22% [21%] (21%) {+39%}
- Sarah Palin 63% [65%] (65%) / 26% [22%] (24%) {+37%}
- Michele Bachmann 51% / 18% {+33%}
- Herman Cain 37% / 13% {+24%}
- Rick Perry 36% / 16% {+20%}
- Thad McCotter 17% / 22% {-5%}
- Mitt Romney 48% [42%] (43%) / 34% [39%] (34%) {+14%}
- Herman Cain 19% / 26% {-7%}
- Thad McCotter 15% / 23% {-8%}
- Rick Perry 17% / 27% {-10%}
- Michele Bachmann 26% / 39% {-13%}
- Sarah Palin 40% [29%] (28%) / 52% [66%] (68%) {-12%}
Among Moderates
- Mitt Romney 37% [34%] (31%) / 42% [46%] (39%) {-5%}
- Thad McCotter 10% / 25% {-15%}
- Herman Cain 11% / 36% {-25%}
- Rick Perry 7% / 36% {-29%}
- Michele Bachmann 19% / 51% {-32%}
- Sarah Palin 21% [12%] (17%) / 73% [80%] (79%) {-52%}
- Mitt Romney 41% [35%] (46%) / 40% [50%] (41%) {+1%}
- Michele Bachmann 35% / 40% {-5%}
- Herman Cain 25% / 31% {-6%}
- Rick Perry 24% / 37% {-13%}
- Thad McCotter 16% / 31% {-15%}
- Sarah Palin 37% [32%] (38%) / 54% [62%] (57%) {-17%}
- Mitt Romney 37% [39%] (33%) / 46% [40%] (32%) {-9%}
- Herman Cain 16% / 28% {-12%}
- Michele Bachmann 28% / 43% {-15%}
- Thad McCotter 11% / 27% {-16%}
- Rick Perry 13% / 31% {-18%}
- Sarah Palin 33% [31%] (31%) / 60% [61%] (62%) {-27%}
- Approve 50% [47%] (50%)
- Disapprove 46% [45%] (45%)
- Approve 47% [49%] (44%)
- Disapprove 49% [47%] (51%)
- Approve 53% [46%] (56%)
- Disapprove 44% [44%] (39%)
- It's been a success 51%
- It has not 30%
- It's been a success 71%
- It has not 19%
- It's been a success 27%
- It has not 46%
- It's been a success 49%
- It has not 30%
Poll Watch: PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) Political Survey
PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) Political Survey
- Favorable 49% {45%} (49%) [47%] {50%}
- Unfavorable 47% {50%} (47%) [48%] {45%}
- Favorable 78% {81%} (84%) [82%] {83%}
- Unfavorable 18% {14%} (12%) [14%] {12%}
- Favorable 11% {10%} (12%) [11%] {12%}
- Unfavorable 85% {86%} (84%) [85%] {83%}
- Favorable 50% {38%} (41%) [46%] {48%}
- Unfavorable 46% {57%} (55%) [50%] {47%}
- Favorable 80% {88%} (91%) [84%] {94%}
- Unfavorable 18% {10%} (7%) [14%] {5%}
- Favorable 62% {51%} (63%) [62%] {60%}
- Unfavorable 31% {42%} (32%) [34%] {34%}
- Favorable 17% {12%} (15%) [17%] {16%}
- Unfavorable 82% {85%} (80%) [79%] {79%}
- Favorable 46% {40%} (45%) [45%] {47%}
- Unfavorable 50% {56%} (50%) [51%] {48%}
- Favorable 52% {50%} (53%) [51%] {52%}
- Unfavorable 44% {45%} (43%) [46%] {42%}
- Approve 47% {44%} (47%) [46%] {48%}
- Disapprove 48% {52%} (49%) [50%] {48%}
- Approve 76% {80%} (83%) [80%] {79%}
- Disapprove 20% {16%} (14%) [14%] {16%}
- Approve 10% {10%} (11%) [10%] {12%}
- Disapprove 86% {87%} (87%) [87%] {84%}
- Approve 46% {37%} (38%) [44%] {46%}
- Disapprove 47% {58%} (55%) [51%] {49%}
- Approve 78% {83%} (89%) [81%] {86%}
- Disapprove 18% {14%} (8%) [15%] {11%}
- Approve 59% {52%} (61%) [60%] {59%}
- Disapprove 34% {43%} (34%) [35%] {36%}
- Approve 15% {10%} (15%) [16%] {15%}
- Disapprove 82% {86%} (82%) [80%] {79%}
- Approve 44% {40%} (44%) [43%] {44%}
- Disapprove 52% {58%} (52%) [53%] {52%}
- Approve 49% {48%} (51%) [49%] {51%}
- Disapprove 45% {46%} (45%) [46%] {43%}
- Too liberal 46% {46%} (45%) [47%] {45%}
- Too conservative 8% {11%} (11%) [7%] {10%}
- About right 42% {38%} (42%) [42%] {42%}
- Too liberal 20% {13%} (14%) [14%] {15%}
- Too conservative 10% {19%} (13%) [9%] {12%}
- About right 68% {65%} (71%) [74%] {70%}
- Too liberal 81% {79%} (80%) [84%] {80%}
- Too conservative 4% {7%} (8%) [5%] {7%}
- About right 11% {10%} (11%) [9%] {10%}
- Too liberal 45% {53%} (49%) [48%] {45%}
- Too conservative 9% {7%} (11%) [7%] {11%}
- About right 42% {36%} (37%) [40%] {42%}
- Too liberal 15% {6%} (9%) [15%] {11%}
- Too conservative 23% {31%} (20%) [13%] {16%}
- About right 59% {59%} (69%) [67%] {73%}
- Too liberal 32% {38%} (29%) [31%] {32%}
- Too conservative 7% {8%} (13%) [9%] {9%}
- About right 57% {50%} (57%) [56%] {55%}
- Too liberal 80% {81%} (78%) [79%] {76%}
- Too conservative 3% {6%} (5%) [2%] {10%}
- About right 14% {11%} (15%) [16%] {10%}
- Too liberal 50% {51%} (47%) [50%] {46%}
- Too conservative 9% {14%} (12%) [8%] {13%}
- About right 38% {32%} (39%) [38%] {38%}
- Too liberal 43% {41%} (43%) [45%] {43%}
- Too conservative 7% {9%} (9%) [5%] {8%}
- About right 46% {45%} (45%) [46%] {47%}
- Approve 29% {23%}
- Disapprove 43% {41%}
- Approve 46% {39%}
- Disapprove 24% {26%}
- Approve 31% {31%}
- Disapprove 53% {53%}
- Approve 56% {53%}
- Disapprove 26% {24%}
- Approve 36% {36%}
- Disapprove 54% {53%}
- Approve 30% {28%}
- Disapprove 60% {59%}
- Democrats 46% {47%}
- Republicans 42% {43%}
- Democrats 80% {85%}
- Republicans 13% {7%}
- Republicans 83% {84%}
- Democrats 9% {8%}
- Democrats 41% {38%}
- Republicans 37% {43%}
- Congressional Republicans 46%
- President Obama 35%
- Both equally 18%
Among Democrats
- Congressional Republicans 73%
- President Obama 13%
- Both equally 12%
Among Republicans
- President Obama 66%
- Congressional Republicans 13%
- Both equally 19%
Among Independents
- Congressional Republicans 44%
- President Obama 30%
- Both equally 25%
Among Men
- Congressional Republicans 42%
- President Obama 38%
- Both equally 19%
Among Women
- Congressional Republicans 50%
- President Obama 32%
- Both equally 17%
- Yes 11% {18%} (15%) [11%] {13%}
- No 80% {71%} (72%) [78%] {75%}
Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York City Mayoral Survey
Quinnipiac New York City Mayoral Survey
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor?
Michael Bloomberg
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor?
- Approve 45%
- Disapprove 43%
- Approve 67%
- Disapprove 17%
- Approve 67%
- Disapprove 27%
Michael Bloomberg
- Excellent 13%
- Good 45%
- Not so good 27%
- Poor 14%
- Excellent 24%
- Good 38%
- Not so good 20%
- Poor 15%
- Excellent 7%
- Good 35%
- Not so good 25%
- Poor 19%
- Excellent 17%
- Good 49%
- Not so good 12%
- Poor 6%
- Excellent 2%
- Good 27%
- Not so good 17%
- Poor 6%
- Excellent 7%
- Good 27%
- Not so good 13%
- Poor 8%
- Rudy Giuliani 34%
- Michael Bloomberg 26%
- Ed Koch 20%
- David Dinkins 7%
- John Lindsay 6%
- Abe Beame 1%
- Ray Kelly 23%
- Christine Quinn 18%
- Marty Markowitz 12%
- John Liu 10%
- William Thompson 8%
- Bill de Blasio 6%
- Scott Stringer 4%
- Tom Allon 1%
- Success 63%
- Failure 26%
Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Republican Nomination Survey
Gallup 2012 Republican Nomination Survey
Survey of 1,088 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, aged 18 and older, was conducted July 20-24, 2011. The margin of error is ±4 percentage points.
Click Images to Enlarge
Click Images to Enlarge
Click Images to Enlarge
Click Images to Enlarge
Click Images to Enlarge
Click Images to Enlarge
Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Republican Name Recognition/Positive Intensity Survey
Cain and Perry Top GOP Positive Intensity List
Giuliani, Bachmann, Palin, and Romney also above average
Giuliani, Bachmann, Palin, and Romney also above average
Click Image to Enlarge
Results are based on telephone interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking July 11- 24, 2011, with random samples of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Questions asking about the 11 potential candidates measured in this research were rotated among randomly selected samples of Republicans each night; over the 14-day period, each candidate was rated by a minimum of 1,500 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents.
For the overall ratings of each potential candidate among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, including recognition scores, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points. For the Positive Intensity Score for each candidate, the maximum margin of sampling error varies depending on the size of the group recognizing the candidate.Inside the numbers:
Recent news reports have focused most intensely on the possibility that 10-year Texas Gov. Perry will jump into the race. If he does, one of his first challenges will be to increase his name recognition; his 56% recognition score is well below the recognition of many GOP candidates or potential candidates. On the other hand, Perry generates strong enthusiasm from Republicans who know him. His Positive Intensity Score is up to 23 for July 11-24, second only to that of the slightly less well-known Georgia businessman -- and announced candidate -- Cain.
Giuliani and Palin are the other two unannounced candidates who generate significant enthusiasm among Republicans, and, unlike Perry, both are well-known. As has been the case all year, Palin generates strong reactions on the positive and the negative side of the ledger. Twenty-six percent of Republicans have a strongly favorable opinion of the former Alaska governor, the same as for Perry and higher than Giuliani's 22%. Palin, however, also has an 8% strongly unfavorable rating (vs. 3% each for Perry and Giuliani), which pulls down her overall Positive Intensity Score.
Twenty-one percent of Republicans have a strongly favorable opinion of former Massachusetts Gov. Romney, while 3% have a strongly unfavorable opinion. He is recognized by 85% of Republicans. Bachmann's recognition score is now 78%, up 26 percentage points from early March. Bachmann's Positive Intensity Score of 18 is identical to Romney's, based on the 23% of Republicans who give her a strongly favorable rating and the 5% whose opinion is strongly unfavorable.
The July 11-24 Gallup tracking data make it clear that potential candidates Perry, Giuliani, and Palin would have an immediate impact on the race if they were to enter it. Perry is the least well-known nationally of these three, but generates the strongest positive intensity from those who do know him. Giuliani and Palin are much better known, and have above-average Positive Intensity Scores.
Among announced candidates, Cain has the strongest Positive Intensity Score, although his recognition among Republicans nationwide has yet to break the 50% barrier. Bachmann is now almost as well-known as Romney, and this week they share a Positive Intensity Score of 18.
The data continue to provide sobering news for Paul, Pawlenty, Santorum, Gingrich, and Huntsman. None of these announced candidates have been able to move the needle on their below-average Positive Intensity Scores in recent weeks. Additionally, Pawlenty's, Santorum's, and Huntsman's name recognition has been static, with no new signs that their campaign efforts are attracting the attention of rank-and-file Republicans nationwide.
Tuesday, July 26, 2011
Poll Watch: PPP (D) Virginia 2012 Presidential Survey
PPP (D) Virginia 2012 Presidential Survey
Among Independents
Among Men
Among Women
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
Among Republicans
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
- Barack Obama 47% {51%} [48%] (48%)
- Mitt Romney 43% {40%} [42%] (43%)
- Barack Obama 49%
- Michele Bachmann 40%
- Barack Obama 48%
- Rick Perry 39%
- Barack Obama 49%
- Herman Cain 38%
- Barack Obama 51% {55%} [54%] (51%)
- Sarah Palin 37% {40%} [35%] (40%)
Among Democrats
- Barack Obama 91% {93%} [89%] (91%)
- Mitt Romney 6% {5%} [5%] (5%)
- Barack Obama 92%
- Michele Bachmann 6%
- Barack Obama 92%
- Herman Cain 4%
- Barack Obama 92%
- Rick Perry 4%
- Barack Obama 93% {97%} [92%] (94%)
- Sarah Palin 5% {2%} [4%] (4%)
Among Republicans
- Mitt Romney 84% {80%} [81%] (82%)
- Barack Obama 6% {7%} [6%] (9%)
- Rick Perry 80%
- Barack Obama 6%
- Michele Bachmann 78%
- Barack Obama 5%
- Herman Cain 78%
- Barack Obama 5%
- Sarah Palin 75% {81%} [70%] (83%)
- Barack Obama 6% {11%} [12%] (7%)
- Barack Obama 44% {48%} [39%] (42%)
- Mitt Romney 36% {37%} [47%] (42%)
- Barack Obama 51%
- Michele Bachmann 34%
- Barack Obama 48%
- Rick Perry 31%
- Barack Obama 51%
- Herman Cain 31%
- Barack Obama 55% {54%} [50%] (53%)
- Sarah Palin 30% {40%} [34%] (36%)
- Barack Obama 64% {71%} [64%] (62%)
- Mitt Romney 19% {24%} [27%] (27%)
- Barack Obama 69%
- Michele Bachmann 22%
- Barack Obama 66%
- Rick Perry 17%
- Barack Obama 69%
- Herman Cain 16%
- Barack Obama 75% {77%} [73%] (72%)
- Sarah Palin 17% {18%} [15%] (21%)
- Mitt Romney 47% {43%} [48%] (44%)
- Barack Obama 41% {47%} [44%] (45%)
- Rick Perry 46%
- Barack Obama 43%
- Michele Bachmann 45%
- Barack Obama 44%
- Barack Obama 45%
- Herman Cain 44%
- Barack Obama 45% {52%} [51%] (45%)
- Sarah Palin 42% {45%} [40%] (46%)
- Barack Obama 51% {54%} [51%] (50%)
- Mitt Romney 39% {37%} [37%] (41%)
- Barack Obama 54%
- Michele Bachmann 35%
- Barack Obama 53%
- Herman Cain 33%
- Barack Obama 53%
- Rick Perry 33%
- Barack Obama 57% {58%} [56%] (56%)
- Sarah Palin 33% {35%} [29%] (36%)
Area Code 703 (Northern Virginia)
- Barack Obama 63%
- Mitt Romney 30%
- Barack Obama 64%
- Rick Perry 28%
- Barack Obama 64%
- Herman Cain 27%
- Barack Obama 64%
- Michele Bachmann 27%
- Barack Obama 64%
- Sarah Palin 25%
- Herman Cain 27% / 35% {-8%}
- Rick Perry 25% / 35% {-10%}
- Mitt Romney 34% {35%} [33%] (33%) / 49% {43%} [48%] (46%) {-15%}
- Michele Bachmann 30% / 49% {-19%}
- Sarah Palin 28% {31%} [30%] (35%) / 62% {62%} [63%] (58%) {-34%}
Among Democrats
- Herman Cain 7% / 54% {-47%}
- Michele Bachmann 17% / 65% {-48%}
- Rick Perry 5% / 55% {-50%}
- Mitt Romney 16% {21%} [11%] (6%) / 69% {62%} [73%] (69%) {-53%}
- Sarah Palin 5% {5%} [7%] (4%) / 91% {93%} [89%] (92%) {-86%}
- Rick Perry 46% / 15% {+31%}
- Herman Cain 49% / 21% {+28%}
- Sarah Palin 54% {63%} [57%] (72%) / 34% {24%} [34%] (22%) {+20%}
- Mitt Romney 53% {52%} [52%] (57%) / 34% {24%} [26%] (28%) {+19%}
- Michele Bachmann 48% / 34% {+14%}
- Herman Cain 23% / 29% {-6%}
- Mitt Romney 31% {34%} [42%] (37%) / 44% {43%} [40%] (38%) {-13%}
- Rick Perry 22% / 35% {-13%}
- Michele Bachmann 25% / 49% {-24%}
- Sarah Palin 24% {29%} [28%] (31%) / 62% {64%} [62%] (59%) {-38%}
- Mitt Romney 30% {32%} [31%] (23%) / 50% {43%} [50%] (53%) {-20%}
- Herman Cain 15% / 36% {-21%}
- Rick Perry 13% / 44% {-31%}
- Michele Bachmann 18% / 60% {-42%}
- Sarah Palin 14% {15%} [10%] (16%) / 82% {77%} [84%] (76%) {-68%}
- Herman Cain 32% / 37% {-5%}
- Rick Perry 29% / 37% {-8%}
- Mitt Romney 36% {36%} [38%] (33%) / 51% {49%} [47%] (50%) {-15%}
- Michele Bachmann 31% / 52% {-21%}
- Sarah Palin 34% {34%} [34%] (40%) / 58% {60%} [59%] (53%) {-24%}
- Herman Cain 21% / 33% {-12%}
- Rick Perry 21% / 33% {-12%}
- Mitt Romney 31% {34%} [28%] (33%) / 47% {39%} [50%] (42%) {-16%}
- Michele Bachmann 30% / 47% {-17%}
- Sarah Palin 23% {28%} [25%] (32%) / 67% {64%} [67%] (62%) {-44%}
Area Code 703 (Northern Virginia)
- Mitt Romney 38% / 48% {-10%}
- Rick Perry 24% / 36% {-12%}
- Herman Cain 18% / 40% {-22%}
- Michele Bachmann 27% / 59% {-32%}
- Sarah Palin 18% / 74% {-56%}
- Approve 47% {51%} [48%] (50%)
- Disapprove 48% {44%} [45%] (45%)
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
