Poll Watch: ARG Florida 2012 Republican Primary Survey

ARG Florida 2012 GOP Primary Survey

• Rick Perry 16%
• Michele Bachmann 15% (5%)
• Mitt Romney 15% (26%)
• Sarah Palin 13% (9%)
• Herman Cain 11% (4%)
• Rudy Giuliani 7% (6%)
• Ron Paul 4% (1%)
• Newt Gingrich 3% (11%)
• Jon Huntsman 1% (0%)
• Tim Pawlenty 1% (1%)
• Rick Santorum 1% (1%)
• Gary Johnson 0% (0%)
• Buddy Roemer 0% (0%)
• Other 1% (1%)
• Undecided 12% (11%)

Among Tea Party Supporters

• Michele Bachmann 20% (7%)
• Rick Perry 18%
• Sarah Palin 16% (14%)
• Herman Cain 13% (6%)
• Mitt Romney 8% (20%)
• Newt Gingrich 4% (13%)
• Ron Paul 4% (0%)
• Rudy Giuliani 2% (0%)
• Rick Santorum 1% (1%)
• Tim Pawlenty 1% (1%)
• Jon Huntsman 1% (0%)
• Gary Johnson 0% (0%)
• Buddy Roemer 0% (0%)
• Other 0% (0%)
• Undecided 12% (11%)

Among Non-Tea Party Republican Primary Voters

• Mitt Romney 26% (36%)
• Rudy Giuliani 15% (16%)
• Rick Perry 13%
• Michele Bachmann 8% (2%)
• Herman Cain 8% (0%)
• Sarah Palin 8% (1%)
• Ron Paul 4% (3%)
• Newt Gingrich 1% (7%)
• Rick Santorum 1% (1%)
• Tim Pawlenty 1% (1%)
• Jon Huntsman 1% (0%)
• Gary Johnson 0% (0%)
• Buddy Roemer 0% (0%)
• Other 2% (3%)
• Undecided 12% (11%)

Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters (550 Republicans and 50 independents) was conducted July 18-24, 2011. The margin of error is ± 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 92% (93%) Republican; 8% (7%) Independent. Tea Party supporter: 60% (63%); Not a Tea Party supporter/Undecided: 40% (37%).   Results from the poll conducted April 27 - May 2, 2011 are in parentheses.