Poll Watch: Pew Research 2016 Republican Net Favorability Survey

Pew Research 2016 GOP Net Favorability Poll

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Paul Ryan 65% / 15% {+50%}
• Rand Paul 55% / 19% {+36%}
• Marco Rubio 50% / 20% {+30%}
• Ted Cruz 33% / 13% {+20%}
• Chris Christie 47% / 30% {+17%}

Among Tea Party Republicans

• Paul Ryan 81% / 7% {+74%}
• Rand Paul 70% / 12% {+58%}
• Ted Cruz 48% / 9% {+39%}
• Marco Rubio 59% / 23% {+36%} 
• Chris Christie 47% / 35% {+12%}

Among Non-Tea Party Republicans

• Paul Ryan 54% / 21% {+33%}
• Marco Rubio 43% / 18% {+25%}
• Chris Christie 48% / 26% {+22%}
• Rand Paul 43% / 25% {+18%} 
• Ted Cruz 23% / 17% {+6%}

Survey of 497 registered Republican and GOP-leaning Independent voters was conducted July 17-21, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on the Tea Party Movement

Rasmussen (R) Poll on the Tea Party Movement

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of the Tea Party movement?

• Favorable 30%
• Unfavorable 49%

Over the past year has the Tea Party become more influential or less influential? 

• More influential 21%
• Less influential 56%

Is the Tea Party movement good for the country or bad for the country? 

• Good for the country 34%
• Bad for the country 40%

Do you consider yourself part of the Tea Party movement?  

• Yes 8%

Note:  Sixteen percent (16%) of Republicans now say they are Tea Party members, compared to two percent (2%) of Democrats and eight percent (8%) of voters not affiliated with either major party.

National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted January 3-4, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:  

Only eight percent (8%) now say they are members of the Tea Party, down from a high of 24% in April 2010 just after passage of the national health care law.  

In April 2009, when the Tea Party protests against President Obama’s spending policies first erupted, 51% of Americans held a favorable opinion of the movement. However, just 35% felt that way by last July.

Only 34% of voters now believe the Tea Party movement is good for the country, down from 49% in April 2011.

Most Republicans continue to have a favorable opinion of the Tea Party and have much more confidence in the average Tea Party member than the average member of Congress. Most GOP voters also still believe the movement is good for the country. Most Democrats disagree in every instance.

A plurality (46%) of unaffiliated voters regards the Tea Party unfavorably, but these voters are narrowly divided on most other questions related to the movement.

Still, 46% of Republicans agree with 60% of both Democrats and unaffiliateds that the Tea Party has become less influential over the past year.

Fifty-six percent (56%) of voters who are Tea Party members think the movement has become more influential over the past 12 months, while 60% of non-members believe it has become less influential.

Poll Watch: PPP Florida 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Survey

PPP Florida 2016 GOP Presidential Primary Poll

If Mitt Romney was not a candidate in 2016, and the Republican candidates for President were Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Rand Paul, Condoleezza Rice, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Rick Santorum, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President?

• Jeb Bush 28% (22%)
• Marco Rubio 22% (24%)
• Mike Huckabee 11% (10%) 
• Chris Christie 9% (10%)
• Paul Ryan 8% (10%)
• Condoleezza Rice 8% (12%)
• Sarah Palin 5% (3%)
• Rand Paul 3% (4%)
• Rick Santorum 3% (1%)
• Someone else/Not sure 5% (4%)

Among Men

• Jeb Bush 33% (23%)
• Marco Rubio 20% (28%)
• Chris Christie 8% (11%)
• Paul Ryan 8% (11%)
• Mike Huckabee 8% (9%)
• Condoleezza Rice 6% (8%)  
• Sarah Palin 6% (2%)
• Rand Paul 3% (4%)
• Rick Santorum 3% (1%)
• Someone else/Not sure 3% (3%)

Among Women

• Jeb Bush 23% (21%)
• Marco Rubio 23% (20%)
• Mike Huckabee 13% (11%)
• Chris Christie 9% (9%)
• Condoleezza Rice 9% (15%) 
• Paul Ryan 8% (9%) 
• Rand Paul 3% (5%)
• Sarah Palin 3% (3%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (2%)
• Someone else/Not sure 6% (5%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Marco Rubio 88% / 8% {+80%}
• Jeb Bush 85% (87%) / 9% (8%) {+76%}
• Paul Ryan 85% (84%) / 9% (9%) {+76%}
• Condoleezza Rice 84% (90%) / 8% (6%) {+76%}
• Chris Christie 59% (71%) / 20% (13%) {+39%}
• Mike Huckabee 76% (70%) / 10% (13%) {+66%}
• Sarah Palin 65% (66%) / 24% (23%) {+41%}
• Rick Santorum 57% (60%) / 16% (19%) {+41%}
• Rand Paul 51% (52%) / 28% (25%) {+23%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 29% (28%)
• No 60% (58%)

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 45% (43%)
• Are not 55% (57%)

Survey of 624 Republican voters was conducted November 3-4, 2012. Political ideology: 42% (40%) Somewhat conservative; 34% (33%) Very conservative; 19% (20%) Moderate; 3% (5%) Somewhat liberal; 2% (3%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP Iowa 2016 Republican Presidential Survey

PPP Iowa 2016 GOP Presidential Poll

If Mitt Romney was not a candidate in 2016, and the Republican candidates for President were Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Rand Paul, Condoleezza Rice, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Rick Santorum, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President?

• Mike Huckabee 15% [17%] (16%)
• Chris Christie 12% [16%] (15%)
• Paul Ryan 12% [6%] (5%)
• Marco Rubio 12% [10%] (7%) 
• Jeb Bush 11% [8%] (10%)
• Rick Santorum 10% [17%] (16%)
• Condoleezza Rice 9% 
• Rand Paul 5% [11%] (9%)
• Sarah Palin 4% [4%] (10%)
• Someone else/Not sure 8% [8%] (10%)

Among Men

• Marco Rubio 15% [8%] (9%)
• Chris Christie 14% [15%] (17%)
• Mike Huckabee 13% [13%] (11%)
• Jeb Bush 11% [8%] (9%) 
• Condoleezza Rice 10%
• Rick Santorum 10% [17%] (19%)
• Paul Ryan 7% [8%] (3%) 
• Rand Paul 6% [16%] (10%) 
• Sarah Palin 6% [6%] (11%)
• Someone else/Not sure 8% [5%] (11%)

Among Women

• Paul Ryan 17% [5%] (8%) 
  
• Mike Huckabee 17% [21%] (22%)
• Jeb Bush 11% [8%] (12%)
• Rick Santorum 11% [17%] (14%)
• Chris Christie 10% [16%] (13%)
• Marco Rubio 10% [11%] (4%)
• Rand Paul 5% [5%] (8%)
• Sarah Palin 3% [3%] (10%)
• Someone else/Not sure 9% [10%] (10%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Paul Ryan 83% [49%] (44%) / 13% [14%] (8%) {+70%}
• Condoleezza Rice 75% / 13% {+62%} 
• Mike Huckabee 68% [68%] (69%) / 16% [20%] (12%) {+52%}
• Jeb Bush 60% [53%] (62%) / 11% [19%] (9%) {+49%} 
• Marco Rubio 59% [57%] (46%) / 11% [13%] (7%) {+48%}
• Rick Santorum 64% [65%] (68%) / 18% [22%] (17%) {+46%}
• Chris Christie 55% [57%] (50%) / 21% [17%] (16%) {+34%}
• Sarah Palin 60% [60%] (70%) / 26% [26%] (17%) {+34%}
• Rand Paul 48% [49%] (54%) / 28% [29%] (15%) {+20%} 

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 21% [25%] (31%)
• No 66% [64%] (50%)

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 53% [46%] (60%)
• Are not 47% [54%] (40%)

Survey of 470 Republican voters was conducted November 3-4, 2012. Party ID: 78% [81%] (89%) Republican; 17% [17%] (10%) Independent/Other; 4% [3%] (1%) Democrat. Political ideology: 39% [40%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 36% [37%] (46%) Very conservative; 19% [16%] (14%) Moderate; 3% [6%] (3%) Somewhat liberal; 3% [1%] (2%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.

AC360: Interview with Rudy Giuliani

COOPER: Joining me now is former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani. Mr. Mayor, thanks very much for being with us. Looking at last night's exit poll results, it is clear or I guess, I should ask you.

Do you think it is clear that your party has a big problem on its hands reaching out to Hispanic-Americans, for instance? It shows the Hispanic votes decreasing and if so, what do you do about that?
 
RUDY GIULIANI (R), 2008 PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: Well, I certainly agree that we have a big problem reaching out for the Hispanic vote, what was it -- twenty-five percent? 

I ran for mayor of New York, and each time I ran, I got a higher percentage of the Hispanic vote. That probably elected me with 43 percent, then I got 48 percent. I think President Bush had us up to about 44 percent to 48 percent nationally. And since then we've been declining. I think there's one big issue. I think Lindsey Graham would agree with this. I just talked to Lindsey about this a couple of days ago. We have to get over this immigration reform hurdle.

I mean, President Bush was on the right track with comprehensive immigration reform. If we had passed that, we would be a party that probably had a 40 percent, 45 percent Hispanic base.

COOPER: How do you sell that message to the fringe of your party? Because that is not a message they want to hear?

GIULIANI: Big opportunity lost really in Mitt Romney losing because I think that is one of the things Mitt Romney could have accomplished with a Democratic Senate, Republican House and new president. He probably could have gotten 100-150 Republican votes for comprehensive immigration reforms, which means to the Hispanic community being sensible about the 12, 14, 15 million people that are here.

You can't deport them all. You can't chase them all out. Sure, you can focus on the ones that are criminals or the ones that are doing bad things. But I know that community really well.

And 90 percent of them are hard-working people who are actually making a contribution. So why the heck do we want to hound them? And I think that's the major thing that hurts us, and --

COOPER: What's also interesting about your record, I mean, you're someone who's held positions on social issues that certainly are not in step with the rest of your party as it is right now according to exit polls. Unmarried women went for the president by nearly 40 points.

Do you think the Democrats, what they said was a 'War on Women' message, resonated? Should your party adjust to this approach on women's issues, especially reproductive issues, or same-sex issues, same-sex marriage? Do you think there needs to be an evolution there?

GIULIANI: Well, I ran that way in 2008. I didn't get the nomination. And nobody with my views ran in 2012. Frankly, Anderson, I didn't run in 2012 because I didn't think I could be nominated being pro-choice and being pro-gay rights. I signed, as mayor of New York, I signed the first -- I think the first in the nation civil union bill, and that was--

COOPER: Didn't you officiate at a gay wedding? I remember reading once, or you had some friends who got married, or something like that.

GIULIANI: No, didn't do that. I still believe that marriage should be between a man and a woman, but I'm very open to civil unions, and I'm also open to allowing states to decide this on a state by state basis.

So if New York wants gay marriage, fine. If some other state doesn't want to have gay marriage.

Here we are, a party that believes in state's rights -- until we get to an issue like gay marriage. And then we don't believe in state's rights.

COOPER: And also this is a party that doesn't believe in heavy federal government involvement in people's private lives, unless on certain issues. And, again, it's something Alex Castellanos brought up earlier. So again, how do things evolve in that? Do they need to evolve for the GOP?

GIULIANI: My ideal Republican Party would be a Republican Party that was fiscally conservative, conservative on foreign policy and military policy. And on social issues we would be libertarian. We would say, you know, we're going to stay out of your pocketbook and we're going to stay out of your bedroom.

And I think that party could be a majority party. I think if we were running that way this time, I think we win by 4 or 5 percent.

COOPER: What about the Tea Party? There are people who say the Tea Party decided it wanted "pure" candidates. So your party lost some 'unlosable' races, that they may have caused Republicans control of the Senate. Some say Republicans can't win with the Tea Party, but they can't win without them, and a lot of leaders don't feel comfortable publicly, you know, even bringing this issue up.

GIULIANI: Well, I think what we really should try to do with the Tea Party is to get them to figure out: What are your priority issues? Their priority issue, the whole reason it got established was: Big government, heavy taxes, ObamaCare, government trying to direct your life.

And then allow a certain amount of flexibility on social issues. If we could organize around fiscal conservatism, conservatism on foreign policy and on military policy, and then allow people to disagree with each other, sort of in the Ronald Reagan mold of, if you agree with me on eight out of ten issues, you are my friend.

Somehow we're going to have to get around to that kind of party. Otherwise, and I've been saying this for, you know, 10 years. Otherwise, we give away -- look at the map. We give away the entire northeast.

When you give away the entire west coast, by the time we get to the electoral vote, we've got to win by one state or two states. And when you get a good campaign against you. Barack Obama had a great ground game, and a great campaign -- then you lose.

Source: CNN

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Illinois 8th Congressional District Survey

Chicago Tribune/WGN-TV IL-8 Congressional District Poll

• Tammy Duckworth (D) 50%
• Joe Walsh (R) 40%
• Undecided 9%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tammy Duckworth 44% / 33% {+11%}
• Joe Walsh 35% / 44% {-9%}

Joe Walsh is an active member of the Tea Party caucus in Congress.  Does being a supporter of the Tea Party make you feel more like voting for Walsh, less, or does it make no difference?

• Feel more like voting for Walsh 12%
• Feel less like voting for Walsh 40%
• Makes no difference 46%

Joe Walsh accused Tammy Duckworth of exploiting her military background for political purposes. Do you agree?

• Agree 27%
• Disagree 56%

Survey of 600 likely IL-8 voters was conducted October 20-24, 2012 by Market Shares Corp.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.

Vernon Parker Delivers Weekly Republican Address

Poll Watch: EPIC-MRA Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

EPIC-MRA Michigan 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 47% {49%} [48%] (45%) {47%} [48%] (41%) {43%} [41%] (41%)
• Mitt Romney 37% {46%} [42%] (46%) {43%} [40%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (46%)

(Among Obama Voters) Would you say that you are voting FOR Barack Obama, or, voting AGAINST Mitt Romney?

• Voting for Barack Obama 76%
• Voting against Mitt Romney 21%

(Among Obama Voters) How enthusiastic would you say you are in voting for Barack Obama -- extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, only somewhat enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

• Extremely enthusiastic 40%
• Very enthusiastic 37%
• Only somewhat enthusiastic 20%
• Not enthusiastic at all 2%

(Among Romney Voters) Would you say that you are voting FOR Mitt Romney, or, voting AGAINST Barack Obama?

• Voting for Mitt Romney 54%
• Voting against Barack Obama 43%

(Among Romney Voters) How enthusiastic would you say you are in voting for Mitt Romney -- extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, only somewhat enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

• Extremely enthusiastic 24%
• Very enthusiastic 41%
• Only somewhat enthusiastic 31%
• Not enthusiastic at all 3%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 52% / 45% {+7%}
• Joe Biden 46% / 43% {+3%}
• Mitt Romney 44% / 47% {-3%}
• Paul Ryan 37% / 41% {-4%}

In the end, who do you think will win the November election and be elected President, Barack Obama the Democrat or Mitt Romney the Republican?

• Barack Obama 53%
• Mitt Romney 30%
• Undecided\Refused to answer 17%

Overall, how would you rate the job being done by Barack Obama as President -- would you give him a positive rating of excellent or pretty good, or a negative rating of just fair or poor?

• Positive 46%
• Negative 54%

Thinking about the current condition of our nation’s economy, who do you think is more responsible for the current condition of the national economy -- President Barack Obama and his economic policies, or, President George W. Bush and his economic policies?

• Bush and his economic policies 47%
• Obama and his economic policies 34%
• Both equally 9%
• Neither 7%
• Undecided/Refused to answer 3%

How much of the Republican National Convention, including Mitt Romney’s speech, how much of it did you watch on television?

• All of it 15%
• Most of it 18%
• Only some of it 36%
• None of it 31%

How much of the Democratic National Convention, including Barack Obama’s speech, how much of it did you watch on television?

• All of it 17%
• Most of it 19%
• Only some of it 33%
• None of it 31%

After watching one or both conventions, or watching and reading news coverage about the two conventions, would you say the conventions made you more likely to vote for Mitt Romney or Barack Obama, or, would you say the conventions didn’t really influence you one way or the other?

• Conventions didn’t influence 63%
• More likely to vote for Barack Obama 23%
• More likely to vote for Mitt Romney 12%

Based on your personal experience or what you know or have heard or read, do you support or oppose the efforts of the Tea Party movement?

• Support 26%
• Oppose 44%
• Undecided\Refused to answer 20%

Do you think of yourself as pro-choice, meaning that you support allowing women to have the right to an abortion, or do you consider yourself pro-life, meaning that you oppose abortions except where it is necessary to save the life of the mother?

• Pro-choice 50%
• Pro-life 42%

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted September 8-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.  Party ID: 43% Democrat; 38% Republican; 16% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted August 28, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 24-31, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 2-5, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 3, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 13-16, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-11, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 12-17, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2016 GOP Presidential Primary Poll

If Mitt Romney was not a candidate in 2016, and the Republican candidates for President were Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Rand Paul, Condoleezza Rice, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Rick Santorum, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President?

• Marco Rubio 24%
• Jeb Bush 22%
• Condoleezza Rice 12%
• Chris Christie 10%
• Paul Ryan 10%
• Mike Huckabee 10%
• Rand Paul 4%
• Sarah Palin 3%
• Rick Santorum 1%
• Someone else/Undecided 4%

Among Men

• Marco Rubio 28%
• Jeb Bush 23%
• Chris Christie 11%
• Paul Ryan 11%
• Mike Huckabee 9%
• Condoleezza Rice 8% 
• Rand Paul 4%
• Sarah Palin 2%
• Rick Santorum 1%
• Someone else/Undecided 3%

Among Women

• Jeb Bush 21%
• Marco Rubio 20%
• Condoleezza Rice 15%
• Mike Huckabee 11%
• Chris Christie 9%
• Paul Ryan 9% 
• Rand Paul 5%
• Sarah Palin 3%
• Rick Santorum 2%
• Someone else/Undecided 5%

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 28%
• No 58%

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 43%
• Are not 57%

Among Evangelical Christians

• Marco Rubio 29%
• Jeb Bush 17%
• Mike Huckabee 14%
• Condoleezza Rice 11%
• Paul Ryan 11%
• Chris Christie 8%
• Rand Paul 4%
• Rick Santorum 2%
• Sarah Palin 2%
• Someone else/Undecided 3%

Among Non-Evangelicals

• Jeb Bush 27%
• Marco Rubio 20%
• Condoleezza Rice 13%
• Chris Christie 11%
• Paul Ryan 10%
• Mike Huckabee 7%
• Rand Paul 5%
• Sarah Palin 4%
• Rick Santorum 1%
• Someone else/Undecided 5%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Condoleezza Rice 90% / 6% {+84%}
• Jeb Bush 87% / 8% {+79%}
• Paul Ryan 84% / 9% {+75%}
• Chris Christie 71% / 13% {+58%}
• Mike Huckabee 70% / 13% {+57%}
• Sarah Palin 66% / 23% {+43%}
• Rick Santorum 60% / 19% {+41%}
• Rand Paul 52% / 25% {+27%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Marco Rubio's job performance?

• Approve 87%
• Disapprove 9%

Survey of 599 Republican primary voters was conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Political ideology: 40% Somewhat conservative; 33% Very conservative; 20% Moderate; 5% Somewhat liberal; 3% Very liberal. 

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Illinois 8th Congressional District Survey

PPP (D) IL-8 Congressional District Poll

• Tammy Duckworth (D) 50%
• Joe Walsh (R) 41%
• Not sure 9%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of your member of Congress, Rep. Joe Walsh?

• Favorable 39%
• Unfavorable 44%

If your member of Congress opposed abortion, even in cases of incest and rape or when the health of the woman was in danger, would that make you more likely or less likely to vote for them, or would it make no difference?

• More likely 24%
• Less likely 33%
• No difference 40%

If your member of Congress voted for Rep. Paul Ryan’s budget that would make cuts to Medicare benefits, would that make you more likely or less likely to vote for them, or would it make no difference?

• More Likely 30%
• Less Likely 52%
• No difference 14%

If your member of Congress voted to extend the Bush tax cuts for millionaires, would that make you more likely or less likely to vote for them, or would it make no difference?

• More likely 29%
• Less likely 53%
• No difference 15%

If your member of Congress was supported by the Tea Party, would that make you more likely or less likely to vote for them, or would it make no difference?

• More likely 31%
• Less likely 46%
• No difference 21%

If your member of Congress spent years in court fighting against his wife who was suing him for delinquent child support payments, would that make you more likely or less likely to vote for them, or would it make no difference?

• More likely 11%
• Less likely 52%
• No difference 34%

If your member of Congress said that the reason President Obama was elected was because he was Black, would that make you more likely or less likely to vote for them, or would it make no difference?

• More likely 10%
• Less likely 51%
• No difference 37%

If your member of Congress said that veterans who speak publicly about their service are not true heroes, would that make you more likely or less likely to vote for them, or would it make no difference?

• More likely 10%
• Less likely 52%
• No difference 34%

Survey of 500 IL-8 voters was conducted August 13-14, 2012. Party ID: 31% Republican; 30% Democrat; 39% Independent.

Ted Cruz on Fox News Sunday

Sen. Chuck Schumer on Morning Joe

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Rep. Steve LaTourette (R-OH) on Morning Joe

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Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Indiana 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Indiana 2012 Senate Poll

• Richard Mourdock (R) 42%
• Joe Donnelly (D) 40%
• Some other candidate 3%
• Undecided 15% 
  

Among Independents

• Joe Donnelly (D) 39%
• Richard Mourdock (R) 35%
  

Among Men

• Richard Mourdock (R) 42%
  
• Joe Donnelly (D) 41%

Among Women

• Richard Mourdock (R) 43%
  
• Joe Donnelly (D) 39%

Survey of 400 likely voter was conducted July 31 - August 1, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

Seventy-five percent (75%) of Indiana Republicans support Mourdock, while 85% of Democrats back Donnelly.

Mourdock earns very favorable reviews from 13% of voters in the state and very unfavorable marks from 22%. For Donnelly, his very favorables are seven percent (7%) and very unfavorables 14%.

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Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2012 Republican Senatorial Runoff Survey

PPP (D) Texas 2012 GOP Senate Runoff Poll

• Ted Cruz 52% {49%} [34%]
• David Dewhurst 42% {44%} [59%]
• Not sure 6% {7%} [7%]

Among Men

• Ted Cruz 54% {55%} [42%]
• David Dewhurst 39% {38%} [54%]
• Not sure 6% {8%} [4%]

Among Women

• Ted Cruz 50% {44%} [26%]
• David Dewhurst 44% {49%} [64%]
• Not sure 6% {6%} [10%]

Very Conservative

• Ted Cruz 63% {61%} [41%]
  
• David Dewhurst 32% {34%} [52%]
• Not sure 5% {5%} [7%]

Somewhat Conservative

• David Dewhurst 47% {49%} [69%]
• Ted Cruz 47% {45%} [28%]
  
• Not sure 6% {6%} [3%]

Age 18-45

• Ted Cruz 60% {46%} [34%]
• David Dewhurst 33% {46%} [61%]
• Not sure 6% {8%} [5%]

Age 46-65

• Ted Cruz 59% {54%} [39%]
• David Dewhurst 35% {40%} [55%]
• Not sure 6% {6%} [6%]

Older Than 65

• David Dewhurst 56% {47%} [63%]
• Ted Cruz 39% {45%} [28%]
• Not sure 5% {8%} [10%]

Already Voted (49%)

• Ted Cruz 55%
• David Dewhurst 40%
• Not sure 4%

Will Definitely Vote (51%)

• Ted Cruz 49%
• David Dewhurst 44%
• Not sure 7%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Ted Cruz 53% {56%} [38%] (31%) {15%} [8%] / 32% {25%} [32%] (17%) {14%} [14%] {+21%}
• David Dewhurst 50% {52%} [61%] (47%) {41%} [42%] / 39% {33%} [25%] (22%) {19%} [16%] {+11%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 33% {40%} [41%] (34%) {36%}
• No 49% {50%} [45%] (48%) {53%}

Among Tea Party Members

• Ted Cruz 75% {71%} [45%]
• David Dewhurst 22% {26%} [52%]
• Not sure 2% {3%} [3%]

Among Non-Tea Party Republicans

• David Dewhurst 56% {57%} [67%]
• Ted Cruz 39% {34%} [27%]
• Not sure 6% {8%} [6%]

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 62% {65%} [61%]
• Are not 38% {35%} [39%]

Among Evangelical Christians

• Ted Cruz 54% {50%} [37%]
• David Dewhurst 40% {42%} [57%]
• Not sure 6% {8%} [6%]

Among Non-Evangelicals

• Ted Cruz 50% {47%} [29%]
• David Dewhurst 45% {47%} [63%]
• Not sure 5% {6%} [8%]

Would you say you are very excited, somewhat excited, or not that excited about voting in the runoff election?

• Very excited 50% {48%}
• Somewhat excited 29% {30%}
• Not that excited 21% {22%}

Very Excited

• Ted Cruz 63% {59%}
• David Dewhurst 33% {36%}
• Not sure 4% {5%}

Somewhat Excited

• Ted Cruz 49% {43%}
• David Dewhurst 45% {51%}
• Not sure 6% {6%}

Not That Excited

• David Dewhurst 59% {50%}
• Ted Cruz 31% {36%}
• Not sure 10% {13%}

Are you more or less likely to vote for a candidate endorsed by Rick Perry, or does it not make a difference?

• More likely 16%
• Less likely 35%
• Doesn't make a difference 50%

Are you more or less likely to vote for a candidate endorsed by Sarah Palin, or does it not make a difference?

• More likely 31%
• Less likely 24%
• Doesn't make a difference 45%

Survey of 665 likely Republican runoff voters was conducted July 28-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Political ideology: 48% {52%} [55%] (47%) {41%} [38%] Very conservative; 25% {26%} [28%] (33%) {34%} [41%] Somewhat conservative; 10% {13%} [8%] (12%) {18%} [14%] Moderate; 4% {2%} [1%] (6%) {5%} [4%] Somewhat liberal; 3% {7%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [3%] Very liberal. Age: 18-45: 24% {18%} [22%]; 46 to 65: 40% {44%} [44%]; Older than 65: 36% {38%} [34%]. Results from the poll conducted July 10-11, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 22-23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-18, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Republican Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 GOP Presidential Poll

If Mitt Romney was not a candidate in 2016, and the Republican candidates for President were Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Rick Santorum, and Scott Walker, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President?

• Rick Santorum 17% (16%)
• Mike Huckabee 17% (16%)
• Chris Christie 16% (15%)
• Rand Paul 11% (9%)
• Marco Rubio 10% (7%)
• Jeb Bush 8% (10%)
• Paul Ryan 6% (5%)
• Scott Walker 4%
• Sarah Palin 4% (10%)
• Someone else/Not sure 8% (10%)

Among Men

• Rick Santorum 17% (19%)
• Rand Paul 16% (10%)
• Chris Christie 15% (17%)
• Mike Huckabee 13% (11%)
• Paul Ryan 8% (3%)
• Jeb Bush 8% (9%)
• Marco Rubio 8% (9%)
• Sarah Palin 6% (11%)
• Scott Walker 4%
• Someone else/Not sure 5% (11%)

Among Women

• Mike Huckabee 21% (22%)
• Rick Santorum 17% (14%)
• Chris Christie 16% (13%)
• Marco Rubio 11% (4%)
• Jeb Bush 8% (12%)
• Paul Ryan 5% (8%)
• Rand Paul 5% (8%)
• Scott Walker 3%
• Sarah Palin 3% (10%)
• Someone else/Not sure 10% (10%)

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 25% (31%)
• No 64% (50%)

Among Tea Party Members

• Rand Paul 18% (9%)
• Rick Santorum 17% (12%) 
• Mike Huckabee 12% (11%)
• Paul Ryan 12% (10%)
• Chris Christie 11% (18%)
• Marco Rubio 10% (13%)
• Scott Walker 7%
• Jeb Bush 5% (6%) 
• Sarah Palin 3% (12%)
• Someone else/Not sure 5% (8%)

Among Non-Tea Party GOP Voters

• Mike Huckabee 19% (14%)
• Rick Santorum 17% (16%)
• Chris Christie 16% (16%)  
• Rand Paul 10% (9%)
• Marco Rubio 10% (4%)
• Jeb Bush 9% (13%)
• Paul Ryan 5% (4%)
• Sarah Palin 4% (11%)
• Scott Walker 3%
• Someone else/Not sure 9% (14%)

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 46% (60%)
• Are not 54% (40%)

Among Evangelical Christians

• Rick Santorum 23% (20%) 
• Mike Huckabee 19% (21%)
• Chris Christie 16% (17%)
• Marco Rubio 12% (7%)
• Paul Ryan 9% (5%)
• Jeb Bush 7% (5%)
• Rand Paul 6% (9%)
• Sarah Palin 5% (10%)
• Scott Walker 1%
• Someone else/Not sure 3% (6%)

Among Non-Evangelicals

• Chris Christie 16% (13%)
• Mike Huckabee 15% (9%)
• Rand Paul 15% (8%)
• Rick Santorum 13% (11%)
• Jeb Bush 9% (19%)
• Marco Rubio 7% (6%)
• Scott Walker 6%
• Paul Ryan 5% (6%) 
• Sarah Palin 4% (10%) 
• Someone else/Not sure 11% (18%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mike Huckabee 68% (69%) / 20% (12%) {+48%}
• Marco Rubio 57% (46%) / 13% (7%) {+44%}
• Rick Santorum 65% (68%) / 22% (17%) {+43%}
• Chris Christie 57% (50%) / 17% (16%) {+40%}
• Scott Walker 50% / 12% {+38%}
• Paul Ryan 49% (44%) / 14% (8%) {+35%}
• Sarah Palin 60% (70%) / 26% (17%) {+34%}
• Jeb Bush 53% (62%) / 19% (9%) {+34%}
• Rand Paul 49% (54%) / 29% (15%) {+20%}

Survey of 363 usual GOP primary voters was conducted July 12-15, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 81% (89%) Republican; 17% (10%) Independent/Other; 3% (1%) Democrat. Political ideology: 40% (35%) Somewhat conservative; 37% (46%) Very conservative; 16% (14%) Moderate; 6% (3%) Somewhat liberal; 1% (2%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2012 Republican Senatorial Runoff Survey

PPP (D) Texas 2012 GOP Senate Runoff Poll

• Ted Cruz 49% [34%]
• David Dewhurst 44% [59%]
• Not sure 7% [7%]

Among Men

• Ted Cruz 55% [42%]
• David Dewhurst 38% [54%]
• Not sure 8% [4%]

Among Women

• David Dewhurst 49% [64%]
• Ted Cruz 44% [26%]
• Not sure 6% [10%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Ted Cruz 56% [38%] (31%) {15%} [8%] / 25% [32%] (17%) {14%} [14%] {+31%}
• David Dewhurst 52% [61%] (47%) {41%} [42%] / 33% [25%] (22%) {19%} [16%] {+19%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 40% [41%] (34%) {36%}
• No 50% [45%] (48%) {53%}

Among Tea Party Members

• Ted Cruz 71% [45%]
• David Dewhurst 26% [52%]
• Not sure 3% [3%]

Among Non-Tea Party Republicans

• David Dewhurst 57% [67%]
• Ted Cruz 34% [27%]
• Not sure 8% [6%]

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 65% [61%]
• Are not 35% [39%]

Among Evangelical Christians

• Ted Cruz 50% [37%]
• David Dewhurst 42% [57%]
• Not sure 8% [6%]

Among Non-Evangelicals

• David Dewhurst 47% [63%]
• Ted Cruz 47% [29%]
• Not sure 6% [8%]

Would you say you are very excited, somewhat excited, or not that excited about voting in the runoff election?

• Very excited 48%
• Somewhat excited 30%
• Not that excited 22%

Very Excited

• Ted Cruz 59%
• David Dewhurst 36%
• Not sure 5%

Somewhat Excited

• David Dewhurst 51%
• Ted Cruz 43%
• Not sure 6%

Not That Excited

• David Dewhurst 50%
• Ted Cruz 36%
• Not sure 13%

Survey of 468 likely Republican runoff voters was conducted July 10-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Political ideology: 52% [55%] (47%) {41%} [38%] Very conservative; 26% [28%] (33%) {34%} [41%] Somewhat conservative; 13% [8%] (12%) {18%} [14%] Moderate; 7% [1%] (2%) {2%} [3%] Very liberal; 2% [1%] (6%) {5%} [4%] Somewhat liberal. Results from the poll conducted May 22-23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-18, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Tea Party Survey

Rasmussen (R) Tea Party Poll

Do you consider yourself part of the Tea Party Movement?

• Yes 13% (13%)
• No 77% (74%)
• Not sure 10% (13%)

Note: Twenty-six percent (26%) of GOP voters say they are part of the Tea Party movement, compared to two percent (2%) of Democrats and 12% of unaffiliated voters.

Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the Tea Party movement?

• Favorable 35% (31%)
• Unfavorable 42% (47%)
• Not sure 24% (22%)

Note: Sixty-eight percent (68%) of Republicans hold a favorable view of the Tea Party, compared to 71% of Democrats who view the protest movement unfavorably. Voters not affiliated with either party are almost evenly divided.

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted July 9-10, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-10, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Voters are almost evenly divided over whether the so-called Bush tax cuts should be extended permanently for all Americans or for everyone except the wealthy, 47% to 44% respectively.

But 87% of Tea Party members believe those tax cuts should be extended for all. Among those with no ties to the movement, a plurality (49%) favors extending the tax cuts for everyone but the wealthy.

Similarly, 34% of all voters feel the Bush tax cuts should be extended permanently, while just as many (35%) believe they should only be extended temporarily until the economy improves. Twenty percent (20%) think the tax cuts should expire at the end of the year as scheduled.

Again, while 70% of those who are a part of the Tea Party movement believe the tax cuts should be extended permanently, just 29% of non-Tea Party members agree.

Face the Nation Roundtable: Tradition of Compromise "Dying," Hurting Country

Dick Lugar on Face the Nation