Showing posts with label Gay Marriage. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Gay Marriage. Show all posts

Wednesday, April 24, 2013

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Chris Christie (R) 58% [60%] (62%) {63%} [61%] (49%)
  • Barbara Buono (D) 26% [25%] (25%) {22%} [23%] (33%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Chris Christie 66% [69%] (69%) {69%} [67%] {52%} / 24% [22%] (22%) {21%} [22%] {42%} {+42%}
  • Barbara Buono 12% [10%] (8%) {8%} [8%] / 9% [10%] (8%) {9%} [7%] {+3%}
Do you feel that Chris Christie deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
  • Yes/Deserves 66% [66%] (71%) {68%} [67%] (52%)
  • No/Does not 26% [25%] (23%) {24%} [25%] (40%)
Survey of 1,112 registered voters was conducted April 19-22, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% [33%] (33%) {35%} [36%] (37%) {33%} Democrat; 23% [24%] (25%) {23%} [23%] (25%) {24%} Republican; 37% [37%] (36%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {37%} Independent; 5% [7%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {6%} Other/Don't know.  Results from the poll conducted March 19-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 13-17, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-14, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.

Tuesday, March 26, 2013

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Chris Christie (R) 60% (62%) {63%} [61%] (49%)
  • Barbara Buono (D) 25% (25%) {22%} [23%] (33%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Chris Christie 69% (69%) {69%} [67%] {52%} / 22% (22%) {21%} [22%] {42%} {+47%}
  • Barbara Buono 10% (8%) {8%} [8%] / 10% (8%) {9%} [7%] {0%}
Do you feel that Chris Christie deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
  • Yes/Deserves 66% (71%) {68%} [67%] (52%)
  • No/Does not 25% (23%) {24%} [25%] (40%)
Governor Christie thinks New Jersey voters should decide the issue of same-sex marriage in a referendum in November. Do you think that is a good idea or a bad idea?
  • Good idea 72%
  • Bad idea 22% 
Survey of 1,129 registered voters was conducted March 19-24, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% (33%) {35%} [36%] (37%) {33%} Democrat; 24% (25%) {23%} [23%] (25%) {24%} Republican; 37% (36%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {37%} Independent; 7% (7%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {6%} Other/Don't know.  Results from the poll conducted February 13-17, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-14, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.

Monday, March 18, 2013

Poll Watch: ABC News/Washington Post Survey on Same-Sex Marriage

ABC News/Washington Post Poll on Gay Marriage

Do you think it should be legal or illegal for gay and lesbian couples to get married? 
  • Legal 58%
  • Illegal 36%
Among Democrats
  • Legal 72%
  • Illegal 23%
Among Republicans
  • Legal 34%
  • Illegal 59%
Among Independents 
  • Legal 62%
  • Illegal 33%
Among Moderates
  • Legal 71%
  • Illegal 24%
Among Men
  • Legal 54%
  • Illegal 39%
Among Women
  • Legal 61%
  • Illegal 34%

Do you think each state should make its own law on whether same-sex marriage is legal or illegal there, or do you think this should be decided for all states on the basis of the U.S. Constitution?
  • Each state should make its own law 33%
  • Should be decided for all states on basis of Constitution 64%
Do you think being homosexual is something that people choose to be, or do you think it's just the way they are?   
  • Something that people choose 24%
  • Just the way they are 62%
Survey of 1,001 adults was conducted March 7-10, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 33% Democrat; 25% Republican; 35% Independent.

Inside the numbers
Among young adults age 18 to 29, support for gay marriage is overwhelming, hitting a record high of 81 percent in the new poll. Support has also been increasing among older adults, but those aged 65 years old and up remain opposed, on balance: 44 percent say same-sex marriage should be legal; 50 percent say illegal.
A slim majority of Republicans and GOP-leaning independents under 50 years old now support gay marriage. Nearly seven in 10 of those aged 65 and up oppose it, although that is down from more than eight in 10 just four years ago.

Friday, March 08, 2013

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac National Survey on Same-Sex Marriage

Quinnipiac National Poll on Gay Marriage

In general, do you support or oppose same-sex marriage?
  • Support 47% (48%)
  • Oppose 43% (46%)
Democrats
  • Support 65% (65%)
  • Oppose 29% (29%)
Republicans
  • Support 23% (23%)
  • Oppose 69% (73%)
Independents
  • Support 50% (49%)
  • Oppose 38% (43%)
Age 18-34
  • Support 62%
  • Oppose 30%
Age 35-54
  • Support 48%
  • Oppose 45%
Age 55+
  • Support 39%
  • Oppose 50%
College Degree
  • Support 58% (60%)
  • Oppose 32% (35%)
No College Degree
  • Support 42% (42%)
  • Oppose 48% (50%)
White Born-Again Evangelicals
  • Support 20% (17%)
  • Oppose 72% (77%)
Survey of 1,944 registered voters was conducted February 27 - March 4, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points.  Party ID: 34% Democrat; 25% Republican; 34% Independent; 7% Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 3, 2012 are in parentheses.

Thursday, December 06, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll 

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Martin O’Malley, Deval Patrick, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016? 
  • Hillary Clinton 61% (57%)
  • Joe Biden 12% (14%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 5% (5%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 4% (6%)
  • Martin O'Malley 2% (1%)
  • Mark Warner 1% (2%) 
  • Deval Patrick 1%
  • Brian Schweitzer 1% (1%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 12% (12%)
If neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee? 
  • Andrew Cuomo 21% (27%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 16% (9%)
  • Deval Patrick 8%
  • Martin O'Malley 5% (4%)
  • Mark Warner 3% (4%)
  • Brian Schweitzer 2% (2%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 45% (46%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 86% (86%) / 10% (10%) {+76%} 
  • Joe Biden 80% (70%) / 14% (21%) {+66%} 
  • Elizabeth Warren 45% (28%) / 12% (17%) {+33%} 
  • Andrew Cuomo 37% (32%) / 21% (24%) {+16%} 
  • Deval Patrick 17% / 15% {+2%}
  • Mark Warner 11% (11%) / 17% (18%) {-6%
  • Martin O'Malley 7% (8%) / 17% (17%) {-10%
  • Brian Schweitzer 5% (7%) / 19% (17%) {-14%
Do you think same-sex marriage should be allowed, or not?
  • Should be allowed 64%
  • Should not 31%
  • Not sure 5%
Survey of 454 Democratic primary voters was conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Political ideology: 32% (36%) Moderate; 32% (30%) Somewhat liberal; 20% (16%) Very liberal; 12% (13%) Somewhat conservative; 4% (5%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

Thursday, November 08, 2012

AC360: Interview with Rudy Giuliani


COOPER: Joining me now is former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani. Mr. Mayor, thanks very much for being with us. Looking at last night's exit poll results, it is clear or I guess, I should ask you.

Do you think it is clear that your party has a big problem on its hands reaching out to Hispanic-Americans, for instance? It shows the Hispanic votes decreasing and if so, what do you do about that?
 
RUDY GIULIANI (R), 2008 PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: Well, I certainly agree that we have a big problem reaching out for the Hispanic vote, what was it -- twenty-five percent? 
I ran for mayor of New York, and each time I ran, I got a higher percentage of the Hispanic vote. That probably elected me with 43 percent, then I got 48 percent. I think President Bush had us up to about 44 percent to 48 percent nationally. And since then we've been declining. I think there's one big issue. I think Lindsey Graham would agree with this. I just talked to Lindsey about this a couple of days ago. We have to get over this immigration reform hurdle.
I mean, President Bush was on the right track with comprehensive immigration reform. If we had passed that, we would be a party that probably had a 40 percent, 45 percent Hispanic base.
COOPER: How do you sell that message to the fringe of your party? Because that is not a message they want to hear?

GIULIANI: Big opportunity lost really in Mitt Romney losing because I think that is one of the things Mitt Romney could have accomplished with a Democratic Senate, Republican House and new president. He probably could have gotten 100-150 Republican votes for comprehensive immigration reforms, which means to the Hispanic community being sensible about the 12, 14, 15 million people that are here.

You can't deport them all. You can't chase them all out. Sure, you can focus on the ones that are criminals or the ones that are doing bad things. But I know that community really well.
And 90 percent of them are hard-working people who are actually making a contribution. So why the heck do we want to hound them? And I think that's the major thing that hurts us, and --

COOPER: What's also interesting about your record, I mean, you're someone who's held positions on social issues that certainly are not in step with the rest of your party as it is right now according to exit polls. Unmarried women went for the president by nearly 40 points.

Do you think the Democrats, what they said was a 'War on Women' message, resonated? Should your party adjust to this approach on women's issues, especially reproductive issues, or same-sex issues, same-sex marriage? Do you think there needs to be an evolution there?

GIULIANI: Well, I ran that way in 2008. I didn't get the nomination. And nobody with my views ran in 2012. Frankly, Anderson, I didn't run in 2012 because I didn't think I could be nominated being pro-choice and being pro-gay rights. I signed, as mayor of New York, I signed the first -- I think the first in the nation civil union bill, and that was--

COOPER: Didn't you officiate at a gay wedding? I remember reading once, or you had some friends who got married, or something like that.

GIULIANI: No, didn't do that. I still believe that marriage should be between a man and a woman, but I'm very open to civil unions, and I'm also open to allowing states to decide this on a state by state basis.

So if New York wants gay marriage, fine. If some other state doesn't want to have gay marriage.
Here we are, a party that believes in state's rights -- until we get to an issue like gay marriage. And then we don't believe in state's rights.

COOPER: And also this is a party that doesn't believe in heavy federal government involvement in people's private lives, unless on certain issues. And, again, it's something Alex Castellanos brought up earlier. So again, how do things evolve in that? Do they need to evolve for the GOP?

GIULIANI: My ideal Republican Party would be a Republican Party that was fiscally conservative, conservative on foreign policy and military policy. And on social issues we would be libertarian. We would say, you know, we're going to stay out of your pocketbook and we're going to stay out of your bedroom.
And I think that party could be a majority party. I think if we were running that way this time, I think we win by 4 or 5 percent.

COOPER: What about the Tea Party? There are people who say the Tea Party decided it wanted "pure" candidates. So your party lost some 'unlosable' races, that they may have caused Republicans control of the Senate. Some say Republicans can't win with the Tea Party, but they can't win without them, and a lot of leaders don't feel comfortable publicly, you know, even bringing this issue up.

GIULIANI: Well, I think what we really should try to do with the Tea Party is to get them to figure out: What are your priority issues? Their priority issue, the whole reason it got established was: Big government, heavy taxes, ObamaCare, government trying to direct your life.

And then allow a certain amount of flexibility on social issues. If we could organize around fiscal conservatism, conservatism on foreign policy and on military policy, and then allow people to disagree with each other, sort of in the Ronald Reagan mold of, if you agree with me on eight out of ten issues, you are my friend.

Somehow we're going to have to get around to that kind of party. Otherwise, and I've been saying this for, you know, 10 years. Otherwise, we give away -- look at the map. We give away the entire northeast.

When you give away the entire west coast, by the time we get to the electoral vote, we've got to win by one state or two states. And when you get a good campaign against you. Barack Obama had a great ground game, and a great campaign -- then you lose.
Source: CNN

Monday, October 08, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Minnesota Survey on Same-Sex Marriage

PPP (D) Minnesota Poll on Gay Marriage

Should the Minnesota Constitution be amended to provide that only a union of one man and one woman shall be valid or recognized as a marriage in Minnesota?
  • Yes 46% {48%} [43%] (48%)
  • No 49% {47%} [49%] (44%)
Among Democrats
  • Yes 23% {16%} [22%] (23%)
  • No 70% {78%} [71%] (70%)
Among Republicans
  • Yes 79% {80%} [74%] (74%)
  • No 17% {17%} [21%] (19%)
Among Independents
  • Yes 42% {51%} [37%] (50%)
  • No 52% {42%} [54%] (40%)
Among Moderates
  • Yes 35% {42%} [32%] (41%)
  • No 58% {52%} [59%] (51%)
Among Men
  • Yes 49% {55%} [43%] (56%)
  • No 47% {41%} [50%] (39%)
Among Women
  • Yes 43% {41%} [43%] (41%)
  • No 51% {52%} [49%] (49%)
Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?
  • Legal 47% {43%} [47%] (43%)
  • Illegal 43% {46%} [42%] (47%)
Among Democrats
  • Legal 68% {72%} [70%] (70%)
  • Illegal 21% {18%} [19%] (20%)
Among Republicans
  • Legal 15% {14%} [14%] (15%)
  • Illegal 77% {77%} [75%] (75%)
Among Independents
  • Legal 50% {39%} [53%] (41%)
  • Illegal 40% {46%} [35%] (47%)
Among Moderates
  • Legal 52% {46%} [56%] (44%)
  • Illegal 34% {36%} [31%] (42%)
Among Men
  • Legal 45% {37%} [46%] (38%)
  • Illegal 46% {51%} [43%] (54%)
Among Women
  • Legal 48% {49%} [48%] (48%)
  • Illegal 41% {42%} [41%] (40%)
Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?
  • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 43% {40%} [43%] (37%)
  • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 31% {32%} [32%] (34%)
  • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 24% {25%} [21%] (27%)
Among Democrats
  • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 63% {70%} [66%] (64%)
  • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 23% {18%} [23%] (22%)
  • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 13% {9%} [8%] (12%)
Among Republicans
  • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 13% {12%} [12%] (9%)
  • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 39% {39%} [43%] (42%)
  • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 46% {47%} [40%] (47%)
Among Independents
  • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 46% {34%} [49%] (34%)
  • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 34% {41%} [32%] (40%)
  • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 18% {20%} [17%] (25%)
Among Moderates
  • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 47% {42%} [51%] (36%)
  • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 40% {42%} [34%] (41%)
  • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 11% {13%} [12%] (21%)
Among Men
  • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 42% {33%} [42%] (30%)
  • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 30% {40%} [32%] (37%)
  • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 28% {25%} [22%] (32%)
Among Women
  • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 44% {47%} [45%] (43%)
  • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 33% {25%} [32%] (31%)
  • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 21% {25%} [19%] (23%)
Survey of 937 likely Minnesota voters was conducted October 5-8, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 38% {35%} [35%] (36%) Democrat; 29% {32%} [31%] (33%) Republican; 32% {33%} [34%] (32%) Independent/Other. Ideology: 30% {28%} [32%] (29%) Moderate; 23% {25%} [20%] (22%) Somewhat conservative; 20% {21%} [20%] (22%) Somewhat liberal; 14% {16%} [16%] (16%) Very conservative; 13% {10%} [11%] (11%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-22, 2012 are in parentheses.

Saturday, October 06, 2012

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Washington 2012 Political Survey

SurveyUSA Washington 2012 Political Poll
 
Marijuana Legalization (Initiative 502)
  • Approve 57%
  • Reject 33%
  • Not sure 10%
Charter Schools (Initiative 1240)
  • Approve 49%
  • Reject 30%
  • Not sure 21%
Same-Sex Marriage (Referendum 74)
  • Approve 55%
  • Reject 40%
  • Not sure 6%
Western Washington
  • Approve 60%
  • Reject 34%
Eastern Washington
  • Approve 33%
  • Reject 62%
Survey of 540 likely voters was conducted September 28-30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.

Wednesday, September 26, 2012

Poll Watch: Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Maryland 2012 Presidential Poll

Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Maryland 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 55.0%
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 35.9%
  • Someone else 0.7%
  • Undecided 8.4%
Among Men
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 46.9%
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 43.8%
  • Someone else 1.3%
  • Undecided 8.0%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 62.3%
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 28.8%
  • Someone else 0.2%
  • Undecided 8.7%
Among Whites
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 46.1%
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 43.9%
  • Someone else 0.8%
  • Undecided 9.2%
Among Blacks
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 87.9%
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 7.0%
  • Someone else 0.5%
  • Undecided 4.5%
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Barack Obama 54.0% / 34.2% {+19.8%}
    • Joe Biden 46.9% / 33.6% {+13.3%}
    • Paul Ryan 35.9% / 37.8% {-1.9%}
    • Mitt Romney 35.1% / 49.9% {-14.8%}
    Question Four is a referendum that establishes that specified individuals, including undocumented immigrants, who have filed state taxes and have graduated from a Maryland high school, are eligible to pay in-state tuition rates at public colleges; and extends the time in which honorably discharged veterans may qualify for in-state tuition rates. If the election were held today, would you vote for this referendum or against this referendum?
    • For 57.8%
    • Against 34.3%
    • Undecided 7.9%
    Among Men
    • For 47.9%
    • Against 42.5%
    • Undecided 9.6%
    Among Women
    • For 66.7%
    • Against 26.9%
    • Undecided 6.3%
    Among Whites
    • For 53.6%
    • Against 38.7%
    • Undecided 7.7%
    Among Blacks
    • For 70.4%
    • Against 21.1%
    • Undecided 8.5%
    Question Six is a referendum that allows gay and lesbian couples to obtain a civil marriage license; protects clergy from having to perform any particular marriage ceremony in violation of their religious beliefs; and affirms that each religious faith has exclusive control over its own theological doctrine regarding who may marry within that faith. If the election were held today, would you vote for this referendum or against this referendum?
    • For 50.9%
    • Against 42.8%
    • Undecided 6.3%
    Among Men
    • For 44.0%
    • Against 47.7%
    • Undecided 8.3%
    Among Women
    • For 57.1%
    • Against 38.4%
    • Undecided 4.4%
    Among Whites
    • For 53.1%
    • Against 39.5%
    • Undecided 7.4%
    Among Blacks
    • For 44.2%
    • Against 52.3%
    • Undecided 3.5%
    Question Seven is a referendum that expands commercial gaming in the State of Maryland for the primary purpose of raising revenue for education to authorize video lottery operation licensees to operate “table games” as defined by law; to increase from 15,000 to 16,500 the maximum number of video lottery terminals; and to increase from 5 to 6 the maximum number of video lottery operation licenses that may be awarded in the State and allow a video lottery facility to operate in Prince George’s County. If the election were held today, would you vote for this referendum or against this referendum?
    • For 44.6%
    • Against 46.1%
    • Undecided 9.2%
    Among Whites
    • For 49.1%
    • Against 40.2%
    • Undecided 10.8%
    Among Blacks
    • For 31.2%
    • Against 64.3%
    • Undecided 4.5%
    Survey of 813 likely voters was conducted September 17-23, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 56.3% Democrat; 30.1% Republican; 13.5% Independent.

    Wednesday, September 12, 2012

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) Minnesota Survey on Same-Sex Marriage

    PPP (D) Minnesota Poll on Gay Marriage

    Should the Minnesota Constitution be amended to provide that only a union of one man and one woman shall be valid or recognized as a marriage in Minnesota?
    • Yes 48% [43%] (48%)
    • No 47% [49%] (44%)
    Among Democrats
    • Yes 16% [22%] (23%)
    • No 78% [71%] (70%)
    Among Republicans
    • Yes 80% [74%] (74%)
    • No 17% [21%] (19%)
    Among Independents
    • Yes 51% [37%] (50%)
    • No 42% [54%] (40%)
    Among Moderates
    • Yes 42% [32%] (41%)
    • No 52% [59%] (51%)
    Among Men
    • Yes 55% [43%] (56%)
    • No 41% [50%] (39%)
    Among Women
    • Yes 41% [43%] (41%)
    • No 52% [49%] (49%)
    Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?
    • Legal 43% [47%] (43%)
    • Illegal 46% [42%] (47%)
    Among Democrats
    • Legal 72% [70%] (70%)
    • Illegal 18% [19%] (20%)
    Among Republicans
    • Legal 14% [14%] (15%)
    • Illegal 77% [75%] (75%)
    Among Independents
    • Legal 39% [53%] (41%)
    • Illegal 46% [35%] (47%)
    Among Moderates
    • Legal 46% [56%] (44%)
    • Illegal 36% [31%] (42%)
    Among Men
    • Legal 37% [46%] (38%)
    • Illegal 51% [43%] (54%)
    Among Women
    • Legal 49% [48%] (48%)
    • Illegal 42% [41%] (40%)
    Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 40% [43%] (37%)
    • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 32% [32%] (34%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 25% [21%] (27%)
    Among Democrats
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 70% [66%] (64%)
    • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 18% [23%] (22%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 9% [8%] (12%)
    Among Republicans
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 12% [12%] (9%)
    • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 39% [43%] (42%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 47% [40%] (47%)
    Among Independents
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 34% [49%] (34%)
    • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 41% [32%] (40%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 20% [17%] (25%)
    Among Moderates
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 42% [51%] (36%)
    • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 42% [34%] (41%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 13% [12%] (21%)
    Among Men
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 33% [42%] (30%)
    • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 40% [32%] (37%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 25% [22%] (32%)
    Among Women
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 47% [45%] (43%)
    • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 25% [32%] (31%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 25% [19%] (23%)
    Survey of 824 likely Minnesota voters was conducted September 10-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 35% [35%] (36%) Democrat; 32% [31%] (33%) Republican; 33% [34%] (32%) Independent/Other. Ideology: 28% [32%] (29%) Moderate; 25% [20%] (22%) Somewhat conservative; 21% [20%] (22%) Somewhat liberal; 16% [16%] (16%) Very conservative; 10% [11%] (11%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-22, 2012 are in parentheses.

    Thursday, August 16, 2012

    Poll Watch: Franklin & Marshall Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

    Franklin & Marshall Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Poll
    • Barack Obama 44% [48%] (41%) {41%} [35%] (36%)
    • Mitt Romney 38% [36%] (33%) {30%} [26%] (30%)
    • Other 3% [5%] (8%) {6%} [10%] (8%)
    • Don't know 15% [12%] (18%) {24%} [30%] (27%)
    Note: Allocating voters who lean to a candidate produces a similar advantage for Obama, 47% to 42%, but shows that 7% of voters remain undecided.

    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Barack Obama 46% [47%] (45%) {45%} / 45% [44%] (47%) {44%} {+1%
    • Mitt Romney 32% [27%] (27%) {25%} / 49% [48%] (44%) {35%} {-17%}
    Regardless of how you plan to vote, which presidential candidate do you think is best described by each of the following statements?

    Best understands the concerns of ordinary Americans?
    • Barack Obama 57% [57%]
    • Mitt Romney 30% [31%]
    Is most prepared to fix our economic problems?
    • Mitt Romney 44% [38%] 
    • Barack Obama 42% [44%]
    Is closest to your views on value issues, such as abortion and gay marriage?
    • Barack Obama 44% [47%]
    • Mitt Romney 42% [37%]
    Will better handle the job of commander in chief of the military?
    • Barack Obama 47% [51%]
    • Mitt Romney 37% [33%]
    Is most prepared to handle foreign policy issues?
    • Barack Obama 53% [57%]
    • Mitt Romney 34% [29%]
    How would you rate the way that Barack Obama is handling his job as president?
    • Excellent 12% [13%] (11%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
    • Good 31% [29%] (26%) {31%} [28%] (25%)
    • Fair 23% [30%] (29%) {29%} [31%] (33%)
    • Poor 33% [28%] (35%) {30%} [32%] (33%)
    How would you rate the way that Barack Obama has handled the economy?
    • Excellent 7% [8%] (9%) {6%}
    • Good 26% [30%] (23%) {23%}
    • Fair 22% [26%] (26%) {27%}
    • Poor 44% [35%] (42%) {43%}
    Survey of 681 registered voters was conducted August 7-12, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party registration: 50% [50%] Democrat; 37% [37%] Republican; 11% [10%] Independent; 1% [2%] Something else.  Ideology: 40% [34%] Moderate; 36% [36%] Conservative; 21% [25%] Liberal. Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 4, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 14-20, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 17-22, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 24-30, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 22-29, 2011 are in parentheses.

    Thursday, August 02, 2012

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) Connecticut Survey on Same-Sex Marriage

    PPP (D) Connecticut Poll on Gay Marriage

    Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?
    • Legal 55% (55%)
    • Illegal 33% (32%)
    Among Democrats
    • Legal 71% (70%)
    • Illegal 18% (17%)
    Among Republicans
    • Legal 31% (32%)
    • Illegal 56% (57%)
    Among Independents
    • Legal 55% (56%)
    • Illegal 34% (30%)
    Among Men
    • Legal 49% (46%)
    • Illegal 40% (41%)
    Among Women
    • Legal 60% (63%)
    • Illegal 28% (24%)
    Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 51% (47%)
    • Gay couples should be able to form civil unions but not marry 37% (34%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 11% (16%)
    Among Democrats
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 71% (57%)
    • Gay couples should be able to form civil unions but not marry 20% (29%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 8% (10%)
    Among Republicans
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 24% (22%)
    • Gay couples should be able to form civil unions but not marry 59% (57%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 17% (20%)
    Among Independents
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 50% (48%)
    • Gay couples should be able to form civil unions but not marry 39% (30%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 9% (18%)
    Among Men
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 45% (36%)
    • Gay couples should be able to form civil unions but not marry 41% (40%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 12% (22%)
    Among Women
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 57% (57%)
    • Gay couples should be able to form civil unions but not marry 33% (29%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 10% (10%)
    Has the legalization of gay marriage in Connecticut had a positive or negative impact on your life, or has it not had any impact at all?
    • Positive impact 16% (13%)
    • Negative impact 14% (18%)
    • No impact at all 70% (70%)
    Survey of 771 likely Connecticut voters was conducted July 26-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 41% (45%) Democrat; 28% (31%) Republican; 30% (24%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 34% (29%) Moderate; 23% (24%) Somewhat conservative; 19% (26%) Somewhat liberal; 14% (10%) Very liberal; 10% (11%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.

    Saturday, July 21, 2012

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wisconsin Political Survey

    PPP (D) Wisconsin Political Poll

    Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Ron Johnson's job performance?
    • Approve 38%
    • Disapprove 37%
    Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Herb Kohl's job performance?
    • Approve 46%
    • Disapprove 38%
    If there was an election for the state legislature today, would you vote Democratic or Republican?
    • Democratic 45%
    • Republican 44%
    In general, do you think Wisconsin should have recall elections, or not?
    • Wisconsin should have recalls 51%
    • It should not 40%
    Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?
    • Legal 43%
    • Illegal 47%
    Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 39%
    • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 30%
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 28%
    Survey of 1,057 Wisconsin voters was conducted July 5-8, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points.  Party ID: 32% Republican; 30% Democrat; 38% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 28% Moderate; 26% Somewhat conservative; 18% Somewhat liberal; 18% Very conservative; 10% Very liberal. 

    Thursday, July 05, 2012

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) Oregon Survey on Same-Sex Marriage

    Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?
    • Legal 46% (48%)
    • Illegal 45% (42%)
    Among Democrats
    • Legal 74% (68%)
    • Illegal 20% (19%)
    Among Republicans
    • Legal 11% (15%)
    • Illegal 80% (78%)
    Among Independents
    • Legal 38% (53%)
    • Illegal 48% (35%)
    Among Moderates
    • Legal 51% (53%)
    • Illegal 35% (30%)
    Among Men
    • Legal 45% (46%)
    • Illegal 48% (44%)
    Among Women
    • Legal 48% (49%)
    • Illegal 42% (40%)
    Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 44% (43%)
    • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 30% (33%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 23% (22%)
    Among Democrats
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 69% (65%)
    • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 19% (23%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 11% (11%)
    Among Republicans
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 9% (12%)
    • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 44% (45%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 43% (42%)
    Among Independents
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 38% (45%)
    • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 35% (38%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 22% (16%)
    Among Moderates
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 47% (47%)
    • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 35% (36%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 13% (16%)
    Among Men
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 40% (42%)
    • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 30% (35%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 28% (21%)
    Among Women
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 47% (44%)
    • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 31% (32%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 19% (23%)
    Survey of 686 Oregon voters was conducted June 21-24, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 46% (45%) Democrat; 30% (33%) Republican; 25% (22%) Independent/Other. Political views: 27% (27%) Moderate; 22% (20%) Somewhat conservative; 21% (22%) Somewhat liberal; 15% (17%) Very conservative; 15% (14%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 19-21, 2011 are in parentheses.

    Friday, June 29, 2012

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) Massachusetts 2012 Political Survey

    PPP (D) Massachusetts 2012 Political Poll

    Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Deval Patrick’s job performance?
    • Approve 49% (48%)
    • Disapprove 43% (37%)
    Do you approve or disapprove of Senator John Kerry’s job performance?
    • Approve 53% (50%)
    • Disapprove 38% (38%)
    Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Scott Brown’s job performance?
    • Approve 51% (45%)
    • Disapprove 38% (42%)
    Do you have a higher opinion of Scott Brown or John Kerry?
    • John Kerry 47% (46%)
    • Scott Brown 43% (39%)
    • Like both equally 7% (9%)
    Would you support or oppose a proposal to legalize medical marijuana in Massachusetts?
    • Support 57% (53%)
    • Oppose 33% (35%)
    Would you support or oppose a proposal to legalize assisted suicide in Massachusetts?
    • Support 45% (43%)
    • Oppose 36% (37%)
    Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?
    • Legal 62% (58%)
    • Illegal 30% (31%)
    Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 58% (55%)
    • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 30% (31%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 11% (12%)
    Has the legalization of gay marriage in Massachusetts had a positive or negative
    impact on your life, or has it not had any impact at all?
    • Positive 20% (19%)
    • Negative 16% (14%)
    • Hasn't made any impact at all 64% (67%)
    Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Kennedys?
    • Favorable 49%
    • Unfavorable 32%
    Survey of 902 Massachusetts voters was conducted June 22-24, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 39% (41%) Democrat; 13% (14%) Republican; 48% (45%) Independent/Other. Political views: 35% (36%) Moderate; 25% (27%) Somewhat liberal; 19% (21%) Somewhat conservative; 13% (11%) Very liberal; 8% (5%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted March 16-18, 2012 are in parentheses.

    Tuesday, June 19, 2012

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) Washington Survey on Same-Sex Marriage

    PPP (D) Washington Poll on Gay Marriage

    Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?
    • Legal 51% (49%) [46%]
    • Illegal 42% (44%) [44%]
    Among Democrats
    • Legal 82% (81%) [76%]
    • Illegal 13% (14%) [17%]
    Among Republicans
    • Legal 10% (15%) [11%]
    • Illegal 82% (78%) [81%]
    Among Independents
    • Legal 53% (47%) [41%]
    • Illegal 39% (43%) [42%]
    Among Men
    • Legal 48% (43%) [42%]
    • Illegal 44% (50%) [49%]
    Among Women
    • Legal 54% (54%) [49%]
    • Illegal 40% (38%) [39%]
    Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage?  Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry; or, gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry; or, there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship.
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 47% (46%)
    • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry 30% (32%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 21% (20%)
    Among Democrats
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 75% (77%)
    • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry 14% (17%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 9% (4%)
    Among Republicans
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 9% (13%)
    • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry 47% (46%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 41% (40%)
    Among Independents
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 50% (44%)
    • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry 32% (35%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 16% (17%)
    Among Men
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 46% (40%)
    • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry 30% (35%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 22% (23%)
    Among Women
    • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 48% (51%)
    • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry 30% (30%)
    • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 19% (17%)
    Survey of 1,073 Washington voters was conducted June 14-17, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 36% (36%) [39%] Democrat; 28% (32%) [30%] Republican; 36% (32%) [31%] Independent. Ideology: 28% (28%) [30%] Moderate; 24% (20%) [22%] Somewhat liberal; 23% (21%) [21%] Somewhat conservative;  12% (17%) [16%] Very conservative; 12% (14%) [11%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted February 16-19, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 12-15, 2011 are in square brackets.

    Monday, June 18, 2012

    Poll Watch: WBUR/MassINC Maine 2012 Political Survey

    WBUR/MassINC Maine 2012 Political Poll

    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Olympia Snowe 82% / 9% {+73%}
    • Susan Collins 80% / 9% {+71%}
    • Paul LePage 41% / 50% {-9%}
    Do you approve or disapprove of the way Paul LePage is handling his job as governor?
    • Approve 40%
    • Disapprove 49%
    Do you think Governor LePage is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
    • Too liberal 8%
    • Too conservative 33%
    • About right 42%
    Do you favor a law allowing marriage licenses for same-sex couples that protects religious freedom by ensuring no religion or clergy be required to perform such a marriage in violation of their religious beliefs?
    • Yes, favor the law 55%
    • No, oppose the law 36%
    Survey of 506 likely voters was conducted June 13-14, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Party registration: 33% Democrat; 31% Republican; 34% Independent; 1% Green.  Click here to view crosstabs.

    Friday, June 08, 2012

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida Survey on Same-Sex Marriage

    PPP (D) Florida Survey on Same-Sex Marriage

    Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?
    • Legal 42% [37%] (37%)
    • Illegal 45% [48%] (53%)
    Among Democrats
    • Legal 61% [48%] (52%)
    • Illegal 26% [33%] (35%)
    Among Republicans
    • Legal 20% [17%] (15%)
    • Illegal 70% [74%] (79%)
    Among Independents
    • Legal 46% [47%] (44%)
    • Illegal 37% [34%] (43%)
    Among Men
    • Legal 36% [37%] (39%)
    • Illegal 54% [50%] (53%)
    Among Women
    • Legal 49% [36%] (35%)
    • Illegal 36% [47%] (53%)
      Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?
      • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 37% [29%] (33%)
      • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 35% [40%] (34%)
      • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 26% [29%] (31%)
      Among Democrats
      • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 54% [40%] (50%)
      • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 25% [35%] (26%)
      • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 18% [22%] (23%)
      Among Republicans
      • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 16% [10%] (11%)
      • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 45% [50%] (41%)
      • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 36% [40%] (47%)
      Among Independents
      • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 39% [41%] (40%)
      • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 38% [32%] (38%)
      • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 22% [26%] (21%)
      Among Men
      • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 30% [27%] (33%)
      • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 36% [43%] (38%)
      • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 31% [28%] (29%)
      Among Women
      • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 43% [31%] (34%)
      • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 34% [36%] (30%)
      • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 20% [31%] (34%)
        Survey of 642 Florida voters was conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Party ID: 41% [40%] (42%) Democrat; 40% [37%] (36%) Republican; 19% [23%] (21%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% [32%] (30%) Moderate; 25% [27%] (23%) Somewhat conservative; 16% [16%] (20%) Very conservative; 16% [14%] (17%) Somewhat liberal; 10% [10%] (10%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in parentheses.