Poll Watch: PPP (D) Minnesota Survey on Same-Sex Marriage

PPP (D) Minnesota Poll on Gay Marriage

Should the Minnesota Constitution be amended to provide that only a union of one man and one woman shall be valid or recognized as a marriage in Minnesota?

• Yes 46% {48%} [43%] (48%)
• No 49% {47%} [49%] (44%)

Among Democrats

• Yes 23% {16%} [22%] (23%)
• No 70% {78%} [71%] (70%)

Among Republicans

• Yes 79% {80%} [74%] (74%)
• No 17% {17%} [21%] (19%)

Among Independents

• Yes 42% {51%} [37%] (50%)
• No 52% {42%} [54%] (40%)
  

Among Moderates

• Yes 35% {42%} [32%] (41%)
• No 58% {52%} [59%] (51%)

Among Men

• Yes 49% {55%} [43%] (56%)
• No 47% {41%} [50%] (39%)

Among Women

• Yes 43% {41%} [43%] (41%)
• No 51% {52%} [49%] (49%)

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

• Legal 47% {43%} [47%] (43%)
• Illegal 43% {46%} [42%] (47%)

Among Democrats

• Legal 68% {72%} [70%] (70%)
• Illegal 21% {18%} [19%] (20%)

Among Republicans

• Legal 15% {14%} [14%] (15%)
• Illegal 77% {77%} [75%] (75%)

Among Independents

• Legal 50% {39%} [53%] (41%)
  
• Illegal 40% {46%} [35%] (47%)

Among Moderates

• Legal 52% {46%} [56%] (44%)
• Illegal 34% {36%} [31%] (42%)

Among Men

• Legal 45% {37%} [46%] (38%)
• Illegal 46% {51%} [43%] (54%)

Among Women

• Legal 48% {49%} [48%] (48%)
• Illegal 41% {42%} [41%] (40%)

Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 43% {40%} [43%] (37%)
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 31% {32%} [32%] (34%)
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 24% {25%} [21%] (27%)

Among Democrats

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 63% {70%} [66%] (64%)
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 23% {18%} [23%] (22%)
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 13% {9%} [8%] (12%)

Among Republicans

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 13% {12%} [12%] (9%)
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 39% {39%} [43%] (42%)
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 46% {47%} [40%] (47%)

Among Independents

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 46% {34%} [49%] (34%)
  
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 34% {41%} [32%] (40%)
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 18% {20%} [17%] (25%)

Among Moderates

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 47% {42%} [51%] (36%)
  
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 40% {42%} [34%] (41%)
  
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 11% {13%} [12%] (21%)

Among Men

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 42% {33%} [42%] (30%)
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 30% {40%} [32%] (37%)
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 28% {25%} [22%] (32%)

Among Women

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 44% {47%} [45%] (43%)
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 33% {25%} [32%] (31%)
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 21% {25%} [19%] (23%)

Survey of 937 likely Minnesota voters was conducted October 5-8, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 38% {35%} [35%] (36%) Democrat; 29% {32%} [31%] (33%) Republican; 32% {33%} [34%] (32%) Independent/Other. Ideology: 30% {28%} [32%] (29%) Moderate; 23% {25%} [20%] (22%) Somewhat conservative; 20% {21%} [20%] (22%) Somewhat liberal; 14% {16%} [16%] (16%) Very conservative; 13% {10%} [11%] (11%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-22, 2012 are in parentheses.