Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York Survey on Social Issues

Quinnipiac New York Survey on Social Issues

Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?

• Legal in all cases 30%
• Legal in most cases 37%
• Illegal in most cases 19%
• Illegal in all cases 10%

Democrats

• Legal in all cases 37%
  
• Legal in most cases 41%
  
• Illegal in most cases 10%
  
• Illegal in all cases 8%

Republicans

• Legal in all cases 17%
  
• Legal in most cases 27%
  
• Illegal in most cases 39%
• Illegal in all cases 13%

Independents

• Legal in all cases 26%
  
• Legal in most cases 40%
  
• Illegal in most cases 19%
  
• Illegal in all cases 9%

Age 18-34

• Legal in all cases 35%
  
• Legal in most cases 39%
  
• Illegal in most cases 19%
  
• Illegal in all cases 6%

Age 35-54

• Legal in all cases 34%
  
• Legal in most cases 34%
  
• Illegal in most cases 18%
  
• Illegal in all cases 9%

Age 55+

• Legal in all cases 23%
  
• Legal in most cases 39%
  
• Illegal in most cases 19%
  
• Illegal in all cases 13%

College Degree

• Legal in all cases 36%
  
• Legal in most cases 39%
  
• Illegal in most cases 15%
  
• Illegal in all cases 7%

No College Degree

• Legal in all cases 26%
  
• Legal in most cases 36%
  
• Illegal in most cases 21%
  
• Illegal in all cases 11%

Do you think that health insurance plans should cover birth control as preventive care for women or not?

• Yes 77%
• No 19%

Do you think the federal government should require private employers to offer free birth control coverage as part of their health insurance benefit plans or not?

• Yes 58%
• No 39%

Do you think the federal government should require religiously affiliated employers to offer free birth control coverage as part of their health insurance benefit plans or not?

• Yes 45%
• No 50%

Men

• Yes 38%
• No 58%

Women

• Yes 51%
• No 42%

Democrats

• Yes 63%
• No 30%

Republicans

• Yes 24%
• No 73%

Independents

• Yes 38%
• No 58%

Age 18-34

• Yes 56%
• No 40%

Age 35-54

• Yes 45%
• No 52%

Age 55+

• Yes 41%
• No 53%

College Degree

• Yes 50%
• No 46%

No College Degree

• Yes 42%
• No 52%

As you may know, Catholic dioceses, schools, and social service agencies have filed lawsuits challenging the Obama administration's rule that their employees receive coverage for contraception in their health insurance policies. Do you approve or disapprove of these lawsuits?

• Approve 38%
• Disapprove 55%

Do you think Catholic Church leaders are too involved in politics, not involved enough in politics, or is their involvement in politics about right?

• Too involved 43%
• Not involved enough 11%
• About right 32%

Do you think it is wrong or not wrong to use artificial birth control methods, also known as contraceptives?

• Yes, wrong 10%
• No, not wrong 83%

In general, do you support or oppose same-sex marriage?

• Support 54%
• Oppose 37%

Democrats

• Support 69%
• Oppose 24%

Republicans

• Support 32%
• Oppose 60%

Independents

• Support 52%
• Oppose 37%

Age 18-34

• Support 68%
• Oppose 24%

Age 35-54

• Support 57%
• Oppose 36%

Age 55+

• Support 46%
• Oppose 44%

College Degree

• Support 68%
• Oppose 24%

No College Degree

• Support 46%
• Oppose 45%

Do you think same-sex couples should be allowed legally to marry, should be allowed legally to form civil unions but not marry, or should not be allowed to obtain legal recognition of their relationships?

• Marry 51%
• Civil unions 32%
• No recognition 12%

Democrats

• Marry 66%
• Civil unions 21%
• No recognition 8%

Republicans

• Marry 29%
• Civil unions 50%
• No recognition 16%

Independents

• Marry 49%
• Civil unions 31%
• No recognition 13%

Survey of 1,504 registered voters was conducted May 22-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 42% Democrat; 22% Republican; 29% Independent.

Newt Gingrich on Morning Joe

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Presidential Poll

Are Barack Obama and Mitt Romney the best two people to be running for President?

• Yes 19%
• No 64%

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted May 26-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

Democrats are more enthusiastic about the choices than Republicans are. Just 48% of Democrats don't believe Obama and Romney are the best candidates running for the White House this year. But that compares to 71% of Republicans - and 73% of voters not affiliated with either party - who feel that way.

Three-out-of-four Tea Party voters (75%) don’t view the president and the former Massachusetts governor as the best possible candidates, and 63% of non-Tea Party members agree. Seventy-four percent (74%) of conservatives feel these candidates are not the best ones running, but only 59% of moderates and 54% of liberals agree.

Black voters are almost evenly divided. Seventy percent (70%) of whites and 58% of voters of other races don't think the two choices are the best.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 47%
• Mitt Romney 44%    

Survey of approximately 3,050 registered voters was conducted May 23-30, 2012. The margin of error is ±2 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Ohio 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 46% {42%} [40%] (41%)
• Barack Obama 44% {46%} [48%] (45%)
• Some other candidate 6% {5%} [8%] (10%)
• Undecided 5% {8%} [3%] (4%)

Please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney. 

• Very favorable 17% {14%}
• Somewhat favorable 31% {34%}
• Somewhat unfavorable 23% {23%}
• Very unfavorable 27% {23%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 48% {48%} [42%] (45%) / 50% {46%} [52%] {-2%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president? 

• Strongly approve 24% {23%}  [27%]
• Somewhat approve 22% {27%} [22%] 
• Somewhat disapprove 12% {9%} [12%]
• Strongly disapprove 42% {39%} [37%]

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted May 29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Romney leads by 12 points among male voters, Obama by seven among female voters. Most voters under 40 continue to like the president, while their elders prefer the Republican.

Voters not affiliated with either of the major political parties favor Romney by a 47% to 35% margin.

Just 37% of all Ohio voters are excited about choosing between Obama and Romney, while 55% view the election as the choice of the lesser of two evils. Obama leads 64% to 36% among Ohio voters who are excited about the race. Romney is ahead 53% to 32% among those who see the contest as between the lesser of two evils.

Just 15% of all voters in the state see Romney and Obama as the best two candidates for the presidency this year. Sixty-seven percent (67%) do not, while 18% more are not sure.

Maybe in part that’s because most Buckeye State voters disagree with both candidates on the issues. Only 38% agree with Romney on most important issues, while another six percent (6%) say they agree with him on just about everything. Thirty-one percent (31%) agree with the president on most important issues, and nine percent (9%) more agree with him on nearly everything.

Sixty-three percent (63%) of voters in Ohio think the candidates disagree on most important issues, and another 25% believe they disagree on just about everything.

Forty-nine percent (49%), however, think Romney would do a better job than Obama managing the economy. Forty percent (40%) say the president would do better. That’s comparable to findings nationally, but voters in Ohio are less enthusiastic about Romney’s business background: 40% see it as primarily a reason to vote for him, while 37% view it chiefly as a reason to vote against him.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 46%
• Barack Obama 45% 

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted May 28-30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

Inside the numbers:

Romney leads among male voters 51% to 38%, while the president is ahead among female voters 52% to 41%.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist Nevada 2012 Senatorial Survey

NBC News/Marist Nevada 2012 Senate Poll

• Dean Heller (R) 46%
• Shelley Berkley (D) 44%
• Undecided 10%

Survey of 1,040 registered voters was conducted May 22-24, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points.  Party ID: 40% Democrat; 38% Republican; 21% Independent.  Ideology: 36% Moderate; 30% Conservative; 20% Liberal; 11% Very conservative; 3% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist Nevada 2012 Presidential Survey

NBC News/Marist Nevada 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 46%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 44% / 41% {+3%}
• Barack Obama 48% / 46% {+2%}

Which candidate will do a better job handling the economy?

• Mitt Romney 44%
• Barack Obama 44%

Which candidate comes closer to your views on social issues such as abortion, contraception, and same-sex marriage?

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 40%

Which is more important in deciding your vote for president?

• The economy 78%
• Social issues 17%

Which candidate will do a better job handling foreign policy?

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 40%

Which candidate will do a better job handling the national debt?

• Mitt Romney 50%
• Barack Obama 39%

Which candidate best understands the problems of people like yourself?

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 40%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 46%
• Disapprove 47%

Survey of 1,040 registered voters was conducted May 22-24, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points.  Party ID: 40% Democrat; 38% Republican; 21% Independent.  Ideology: 36% Moderate; 30% Conservative; 20% Liberal; 11% Very conservative; 3% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist Colorado 2012 Presidential Survey

NBC News/Marist Colorado 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 46%
• Mitt Romney 45%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 47% / 47% {0%}
• Mitt Romney 43% / 43% {0%}

Which candidate will do a better job handling the economy?

• Mitt Romney 45%
• Barack Obama 42%

Which candidate comes closer to your views on social issues such as abortion, contraception, and same-sex marriage?

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 41%

Which is more important in deciding your vote for president?

• The economy 74%
• Social issues 20%

Which candidate will do a better job handling foreign policy?

• Barack Obama 47%
• Mitt Romney 39%

Which candidate will do a better job handling the national debt?

• Mitt Romney 50%
• Barack Obama 37%

Which candidate best understands the problems of people like yourself?

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 40%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 45%
• Disapprove 49%

Survey of 1,030 registered voters was conducted May 22-24, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% Republican; 31% Democrat; 34% Independent.  Ideology: 34% Moderate; 31% Conservative; 18% Liberal; 12% Very conservative; 5% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey

NBC News/Marist Iowa 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 44% [46%] (43%)
• Mitt Romney 44% [39%] (40%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 48% / 45% {+3%}
• Mitt Romney 43% / 43% {0%}

Which candidate will do a better job handling the economy?

• Mitt Romney 46%
• Barack Obama 41%

Which candidate comes closer to your views on social issues such as abortion, contraception, and same-sex marriage?

• Barack Obama 45%
• Mitt Romney 43%

Which is more important in deciding your vote for president?

• The economy 71%
• Social issues 22%

Which candidate will do a better job handling foreign policy?

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 36%

Which candidate will do a better job handling the national debt?

• Mitt Romney 52%
• Barack Obama 34%

Which candidate best understands the problems of people like yourself?

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 38%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 46% [43%] (42%)
• Disapprove 45% [46%] (47%)

Survey of 1,106 registered voters was conducted May 22-24, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% Republican; 34% Democrat; 31% Independent.  Ideology: 34% Moderate; 34% Conservative; 17% Liberal; 11% Very conservative; 3% Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted November 27-29, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York 2012 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac New York 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 56% {56%} [52%] (53%)
• Mitt Romney 31% {33%} [35%] (35%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 57% / 37% {+20%}
• Mitt Romney 29% / 47% {-18%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 58% {56%} [50%] (50%)
• Disapprove 39% {38%} [46%] (45%)

Survey of 1,504 registered voters was conducted May 22-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 42% Democrat; 22% Republican; 29% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted March 28 - April 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-13, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 12-18, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Strategies 360 Washington 2012 Presidential Survey

Strategies 360 Washington 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 51%
• Mitt Romney 40%

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted last week. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  

Inside the numbers:

Fifty-four percent of respondents had a favorable opinion of President Barack Obama while only 39 percent had a positive view of Republican Mitt Romney.

Poll Watch: Strategies 360 Washington 2012 Gubernatorial Survey

Strategies 360 Washington 2012 Gubernatorial Poll

• Rob McKenna (R) 43%
• Jay Inslee (D) 39%

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted last week. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

The poll found that McKenna has higher favorability ratings, with 37 percent saying they have a positive opinion of him and 29 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of Inslee.

On the issue of legalizing marijuana, voters are split at 43 percent, with 9 percent needing to know more information and 4 percent not expressing an opinion. Initiative 502, which would legalize and tax sales of marijuana to adults 21 and over, will be on the November ballot. In September, a Strategies 360 found voters were equally split, at 46 percent for and 46 percent against legalization.

The initiative would create a system of state-licensed growers, processors and stores, and impose a 25 percent excise tax at each stage. Those 21 and over could buy up to an ounce of dried marijuana; one pound of marijuana-infused product in solid form, such as brownies; or 72 ounces of marijuana-infused liquids.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Michigan 2012 Senate Poll

• Debbie Stabenow (D) 53% {51%} [50%]
• Pete Hoekstra (R) 37% {37%} [41%]

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Debbie Stabenow’s job performance?

• Approve 45% {47%} [46%]
• Disapprove 41% {41%} [40%]

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Pete Hoekstra?

• Favorable 29% {28%} [31%]
• Unfavorable 30% {38%} [30%]
  

Survey of 500 Michigan voters was conducted May 24-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 38% {40%} Democrat; 28% {30%} Republican; 34% {30%} Independent/Other.  Ideology: 30% {30%} [30%] Moderate; 23% {20%} [18%] Somewhat Liberal; 22% {21%} [26%] Somewhat Conservative; 15% {17%} [14%] Very Conservative; 11% {12%} [12%] Very Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 10-12, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-24, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Ohio 2012 Senate Poll

• Sherrod Brown (D) 47% {44%} [43%] (44%)
  
• Josh Mandel (R) 42% {41%} [43%] (40%)
• Some other candidate 3% {3%} [3%] (4%)
• Undecided 7% {12%} [11%] (12%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted May 29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

The incumbent draws support from 86% of voters in his own party, while Mandel is backed by 76% of Ohio Republicans. Mandel edges Brown 46% to 40% among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

While the Republican is just barely ahead among male voters, Brown leads by 11 points among female voters.

Seventeen percent (17%) of Ohio voters share a very favorable opinion of Brown, while 19% view him very unfavorably.

Mandel is seen very favorably by just 10% of voters in the state and very unfavorably by 24%. Fourteen percent (14%) don’t know enough about Mandel to form an opinion of him, although that is down from 25% in April.

Brown’s Very favorables are unchanged from April, but Mandel’s are down by five points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 45% [45%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (41%)
• Mitt Romney 44% [45%] (47%) {45%} [44%] (47%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 42% [46%] (43%) {39%} [45%] (47%)
• Barack Obama 39% [37%] (40%) {42%} [33%] (35%)

  Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 66% [61%] (61%) {63%} [61%] (55%)
• Mitt Romney 23% [27%] (28%) {22%} [25%] (28%)

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and John Danforth for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 44%
• Romney-Danforth 43%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Roy Blunt for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 46%
• Romney-Blunt 43%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and John Ashcroft for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 47%
• Romney-Ashcroft 43%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 38% [30%] (28%) {31%} [32%] (30%) / 50% [54%] (51%) {45%} [44%] (42%) {-12%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 36% [34%] (28%) {26%} [35%] (26%) / 46%  [48%] (48%) {46%} [41%] (39%) {-10%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 22% [28%] (25%) {26%} [29%] (20%) / 66% [59%] (50%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {-44%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 44% [45%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (43%)
• Disapprove 52% [50%] (53%) {53%} [52%] (52%)

Survey of 602 Missouri voters was conducted May 24-27, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% [39%] (33%) {37%} [38%] (36%) Democrat; 33% [35%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (39%) Republican; 33% [27%] (30%) {25%} [25%] (26%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 30% [27%] (27%) {32%} [27%] Moderate; 25% [22%] (26%) {25%} [27%] Somewhat conservative; 21% [20%] (23%) {20%} [22%] Very conservative; 14% [21%] (14%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 9% [10%] (10%) {9%} [8%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 27-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 29 - December 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey

Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 52% [46%] (51%) {48%} [53%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney 40% [44%] (42%) {43%} [38%] (40%)

Among Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 51% [46%] (49%)
• Mitt Romney 43% [46%] (45%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 55% [49%] (55%) {52%} [52%] (50%) / 41% [47%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (44%) {+14%}
• Mitt Romney 40% [40%] (33%) {32%} [27%] (30%) / 47% [44%] (46%) {47%} [50%] (42%) {-7%}

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 52% [45%] (50%) {48%}
• Disapprove 43% [49%] (46%) {47%}

Survey of 720 registered voters, including 600 likely voters, was conducted May 23-26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 4.1 percentage points among likely voters.  Party ID: 33% [29%] (33%) {33%} [34%] Democrat; 28% [28%] (30%) {27%} [26%] Republican; 36% [40%] (34%) {36%} [35%] Independent.  Political views: 9% [9%] (9%) {9%} [8%] Very conservative; 33% [38%] (33%) {30%} [30%] Conservative; 32% [30%] (32%) {37%} [38%] Moderate; 16% [13%] (17%) {15%} [14%] Liberal; 7% [6%] (5%) {4%} [4%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 22-25, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 19-22, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin Governor Walker Recall Survey

Marquette University Law School Wisconsin Governor Walker Recall Poll

• Scott Walker 50% {51%} [46%] (47%)
• Tom Barrett 44% {43%} [47%] (45%)

Among Likely Voters

• Scott Walker 52% {50%} [48%]
  
• Tom Barrett 45% {44%} [47%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Scott Walker 51% {50%} [48%] (50%) / 46% {45%} [48%] (45%) {+5%} 
• Tom Barrett 41% {37%} [37%] (34%) / 46% {45%} [39%] (27%) {-5%}

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Scott Walker is handling his job as Governor of Wisconsin?

• Approve 51% {50%} [47%] (50%)
• Disapprove 45% {46%} [51%] (47%)

Survey of 720 Wisconsin voters, including a subsample of 600 likely voters, was conducted May 23-26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 4.1 percentage points among likely voters.  Party ID: 33% {29%} Democrat; 28% {28%} Republican; 36% {40%} Independent.  Political views: 9% {9%} Very conservative; 33% {38%} Conservative; 32% {30%} Moderate; 16% {13%} Liberal; 7% {6%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 22-25, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 46%
• Mitt Romney 46%    

Survey of approximately 3,050 registered voters was conducted May 22-29, 2012. The margin of error is ±2 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Presidential Poll  

Do you agree with President Obama on just about everything, agree on most important issues, disagree on most important issues, or disagree on just about everything?

• Agree on just about everything 14%
• Agree on most important issues 32%
• Disagree on most important issues 23%
• Disagree on just about everything 27%

Do you agree with Mitt Romney on just about everything, agree on most important issues, disagree on most important issues, or disagree on just about everything?

• Agree on just about everything 10%
• Agree on most important issues 38%
• Disagree on most important issues 26%
• Disagree on just about everything 20%

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted May 26-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

Democrats are more closely aligned with their candidate than Republicans. Eighty-nine percent (89%) of Democrats agree with Obama on most or all issues. Support for Romney among Republicans is ten points lower at 79%

Thirty-four percent (34%) of Democrats agree with the president on just about everything, but only 19% of Republicans say that about Romney.

However, Romney has the edge among voters not affiliated with either major party. Forty-seven percent (47%) tend to agree with the GOP challenger on most issues while 37% agree with Obama.

Male voters are more likely to agree with Romney, female voters with Obama.

Most voters under the age of 40 share the president’s views. Most voters 40 and older are more likely to agree with Romney.

Eighty-five percent (85%) of conservatives disagree with Obama on the issues, while 87% of liberals disagree with Romney. Moderates are more likely to agree with the incumbent than with his challenger.

Eighty-nine percent (89%) of Tea Party voters agree with Romney, but 91% disagree with the president. Among union members, 55% agree with Obama, while only 28% agree with the Republican.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 45%
• Mitt Romney 45% 

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted May 27-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

PPP (D) Missouri 2012 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• Sarah Steelman 28% [32%] (40%)
  
• John Brunner 25% [18%] (6%)
• Todd Akin 23% [23%] (29%)
• Another candidate 4%
• Undecided 20% [28%] (26%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Brunner 38% [29%] (8%) / 9% [7%] (10%) {+29%}
• Todd Akin 34% [33%] (31%) / 10% [8%] (12%) {+24%}
• Sarah Steelman 39% [39%] (32%) / 16% [13%] (14%) {+23%}

Survey of 430 GOP primary voters was conducted May 24-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Party ID: 71% Republican; 28% Independent/Other; 1% Democrat. Political ideology: 39% [38%] Somewhat conservative; 39% [40%] Very conservative; 17% [15%] Moderate; 5% [4%] Somewhat liberal; 1% [3%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 27-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Senate Poll

• Todd Akin (R) 45% [43%] (43%) {45%} [44%]
  
• Claire McCaskill (D) 44% [43%] (45%) {46%} [45%]

• Claire McCaskill (D) 44% [43%] (43%) {45%} [45%] (45%)
• Sarah Steelman (R) 44% [43%] (42%) {42%} [42%] (44%)

• Claire McCaskill (D) 46% [43%] (46%) {47%}
• John Brunner (R) 44% [43%] (37%) {41%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Sarah Steelman 30% [22%] (23%) {26%} [22%] (22%) / 26% [24%] (25%) {22%} [22%] (19%) {+4%}
• Todd Akin 21% [19%] (18%) {18%}[20%] / 21% [28%] (26%) {21%} [24%] {0%}
• John Brunner 20% [18%] (7%) {8%} / 23% [18%] (19%) {19%} {-3%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Claire McCaskill’s job performance?

• Approve 40% [42%] (43%) {46%} [46%] (43%)
• Disapprove 50% [49%] (47%) {47%} [45%] (44%)

Survey of 602 Missouri voters was conducted May 24-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Party ID: 35% [39%] (33%) {37%} [38%] (36%) Democrat; 33% [35%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (39%) Republican; 33% [27%] (30%) {25%} [25%] (26%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% [27%] (27%) {32%} [27%] Moderate; 25% [22%] (26%) {25%} [27%] Somewhat conservative; 21% [20%] (23%) {20%} [22%] Very conservative; 14% [21%] (14%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 9% [10%] (10%) {9%} [8%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 27-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 29 - December 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Florida Opinion Research 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Florida Opinion Research 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Charlie Crist (D) 48.1%
• Rick Scott (R) 34.1%
• Other 5.0%
• Don't know/Refused 12.8%

Survey of 802 likely voters was conducted May 23-25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.46 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

Republicans stick with Scott at 60.3%, but the current governor garners only 21.6% of the unaffiliated vote. The pop factor is that former governor Crist grabs 74.2% of the Democratic vote and 52.2% of the unaffiliated vote.

A few other breakdowns of interest:

African-Americans - 88.1% support Crist.

Whites - 43.4% Crist, 39.4% Scott.

Hispanic - 37.9% Scott, 35.3% Crist, while 23% stated 'do not know.'

Gender: Crist leads men, 45% to Scott's 39%. Women, 51% support Crist to Scott's 30%.

As for age breakdowns, Crist led all categories: 18-29: 52% to 27%; 30-44: 44% to 38%; 45-59: 55% to 28%; 60+: 45% to 38%.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Poll

When looking at a choice between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, is it a choice you are excited about or will you simply be voting for the lesser of two evils?

• Excited about choice between Obama and Romney 44%
• Will be voting for the lesser of two evils 46%

Do President Obama and Mitt Romney agree on just about everything, agree on most important issues, disagree on most important issues, or disagree on just about everything?

• Agree on just about everything 2%
• Agree on most important issues 6%
• Disagree on most important issues 56%
• Disagree on just about everything 25%

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted May 26-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

Two-out-of-three Democrats (64%) are excited about the choice between the president and Romney. However, most Republicans (53%) and voters not affiliated with either major party (59%) will be voting for the lesser of two evils. This highlights the unhappiness that many conservative voters have expressed about Romney.

Female voters are more excited about the choice between Obama and Romney than men are. Older voters are more enthusiastic about the choice than those who are younger.

Seventy-seven percent (77%) of blacks are excited about an Obama-Romney contest. Fifty-one percent (51%) of whites and a narrow plurality of other voters will be voting for the lesser of two evils.

Sixty percent (60%) of liberals are excited about the choice. Fifty-three percent (53%) of conservatives and a plurality (48%) of moderates see it as choice between the lesser of two evils.

Union members are more enthusiastic about the contest than non-members are. Fifty percent (50%) of voters who say they are members of the Tea Party see it as a race between two bad choices, compared to 44% of non-members.

Poll Watch: Keating Research/Project New America (D) Colorado 2012 Presidential Survey

Keating Research/Project New America (D) Colorado 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 44%

Survey of 601 likely voters was conducted May 21-24, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 53% (54%) {47%} [48%] (47%)
• Mitt Romney 39% (38%) {42%} [41%] (43%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 48% (50%) {34%} [41%] (42%)
• Mitt Romney 36% (38%) {45%} [40%] (41%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 66% (70%) {56%} [56%] (59%)
• Mitt Romney 21% (22%) {30%} [25%] (29%)

Among Men

• Barack Obama 48% (46%) {43%} [48%] (42%)
• Mitt Romney 45% (45%) {46%} [44%] (50%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 58% (61%) {51%} [48%] (52%)
• Mitt Romney 34% (31%) {38%} [38%] (36%)

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Rick Snyder for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 53%
• Romney-Snyder 38%

Who do you think has been better for the automotive industry in Michigan: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 55%
• Mitt Romney 31%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 35% (29%) {39%} [37%] (39%) / 57% (58%) {43%} [45%] (37%) {-22%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 32% (32%) {48%} [42%] (43%) / 60% (52%) {34%} [39%] (34%) {-28%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 22% (29%) {37%} [34%] (31%) / 65% (57%) {42%} [46%] (39%) {-43%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 40% (35%) {41%} [35%] (46%) / 53% (55%) {40%} [50%] (41%) {-13%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 30% (25%) {37%} [39%] (33%) / 60% (61%) {46%} [40%] (32%) {-30%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 53% (52%) {50%} [47%] (50%)
• Disapprove 41% (44%) {46%} [45%] (45%)

Among Men

• Approve 48% (44%) {47%} [49%] (44%)
• Disapprove 48% (52%) {49%} [47%] (51%)

Among Women

• Approve 57% (58%) {53%} [46%] (56%)
• Disapprove 36% (38%) {44%} [44%] (39%)

Survey of 500 Michigan voters was conducted May 24-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 38% (40%) {40%} [41%] (35%) Democrat; 28% (30%) {30%} [28%] (35%) Republican; 34% (30%) {30%} [31%] (29%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% (30%) {30%} [35%] Moderate; 23% (20%) {18%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 22% (21%) {26%} [21%] Somewhat conservative; 15% (17%) {14%} [16%] Very conservative; 11% (12%) {12%} [12%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 10-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-24, 2011 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted March 18-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-6, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 47%
• Mitt Romney 45%    

Survey of approximately 3,050 registered voters was conducted May 21-27, 2012. The margin of error is ±2 percentage points.

Poll Watch: USC/Los Angeles Times California 2012 Presidential Survey

USC/LA Times California 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 56% {57%} [52%] (54%)
• Mitt Romney 37% {36%} [35%] (35%)

Among Whites

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 46%

Among Latinos

• Barack Obama 74%
• Mitt Romney 18%

(Among Obama Voters) Would you say that your vote is more FOR Barack Obama or more AGAINST Mitt Romney?

• For Obama 83%
• Against Romney 15%

(Among Romney Voters) Would you say that your vote is more FOR Mitt Romney or more AGAINST Barack Obama?

• For Romney 44%
• Against Obama 51%

I am going to read you a list of names. For each, I would like you to tell me your impression of that person as of today: do you feel very favorable toward them, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable toward that person?

Barack Obama

• Very favorable 36%
• Somewhat favorable 22%
• Somewhat unfavorable 11%
• Very unfavorable 28%

Mitt Romney

• Very favorable 13%
• Somewhat favorable 23%
• Somewhat unfavorable 17%
• Very unfavorable 33%

AMONG WHITES

Barack Obama

• Very favorable 32%
• Somewhat favorable 18%
• Somewhat unfavorable 13%
• Very unfavorable 35%

Mitt Romney

• Very favorable 17%
• Somewhat favorable 23%
• Somewhat unfavorable 18%
• Very unfavorable 35%

AMONG LATINOS

Barack Obama

• Very favorable 43%
• Somewhat favorable 33%
• Somewhat unfavorable 9%
• Very unfavorable 10%

Mitt Romney

• Very favorable 6%
• Somewhat favorable 18%
• Somewhat unfavorable 19%
• Very unfavorable 27%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 58% / 38% {+20%}
• Mitt Romney 36% / 50% {-14%}

Among Whites

• Barack Obama 49% / 48% {+1%}
• Mitt Romney 40% / 53% {-13%}

Among Latinos

• Barack Obama 76% / 19% {+57%}
• Mitt Romney 23% / 46% {-23%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Barack Obama as President of the United States?

• Strongly approve 33%
• Somewhat approve 24%
• Somewhat disapprove 8%
• Strongly disapprove 31%

Among Whites

• Strongly approve 29%
• Somewhat approve 21%
• Somewhat disapprove 8%
• Strongly disapprove 39%

Among Latinos

• Strongly approve 39%
• Somewhat approve 33%
• Somewhat disapprove 9%
• Strongly disapprove 13%

Survey of 1,002 registered voters, including an oversample of 339 Latinos, was conducted May 17-21, 2012 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) and American Viewpoint (R). The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points; +/- 5.8 percentage points among Latinos.  Click here to view crosstabs.  Results from the poll conducted March 14-19, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 30 - November 9, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 17-28, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 46%
• Mitt Romney 45% 

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted May 27-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Presidential Survey

Gallup: Veterans Give Romney Big Lead Over Obama
Veterans responsible for Romney's advantage among men overall 

All Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 46%
• Mitt Romney 46%

VETERANS

• Mitt Romney 58%
• Barack Obama 34%

Men

• Mitt Romney 60%
• Barack Obama 32%

Women

• Barack Obama 47%
• Mitt Romney 42%

NON-VETERANS

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 44%

Men

• Mitt Romney 46%
• Barack Obama 45%

Women

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 42%

Survey Methods

Results are based on telephone interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking April 11-May 24, 2012, with a random sample of 43,352 adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia.


For results based on the total sample of national adults, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±1 percentage point.


Other results are based on telephone interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking April 11-May 24, 2012, with a random sample of 7,133 veterans, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.


For results based on the sample of 3,327 veterans who are registered voters and asked the presidential election ballot question, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 45% 
• Barack Obama 44%

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted May 26-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 45%
• Mitt Romney 45% 

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted May 24-26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.